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2.
JAMA Intern Med ; 183(12): 1295-1303, 2023 Dec 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37930717

RESUMEN

Importance: Many older persons move into long-term care facilities (LTCFs) due to disability and insufficient home caregiving options. However, the extent of disability and caregiving provided around the time of entry is unknown. Objective: To quantitatively describe disability and caregiving before and after LTCF entry, comparing nursing home (NH), assisted living (AL), and independent living (IL) entrants. Design, Setting, and Participants: A longitudinal cohort study using prospectively collected annual data from the National Health and Aging Trends Study from 2011 to 2020 including participants in the continental US. Overall, 932 community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries entering LTCF from 2011 to 2019 were included. Entry into LTCF was set as t = 0, and participant interviews from 4 years before and 2 years after were used. Main Outcomes and Measures: Prevalence of severe disability (severe difficulty or dependence in ≥3 activities of daily living), prevalence of caregivers, and median weekly caregiving hours per entrant, using weighted mixed-effects regression against time as linear spline. Results: At entry, mean (SD) age was 84 (8.4) years, 609 (64%, all percentages survey weighted) were women, 143 (6%) were Black, 29 (3%) were Hispanic, 30 (4%) were other (other race and ethnicity included American Indian, Asian, Native Hawaiian, and other), and 497 (49%) had dementia. 349 (34%) entered NH, 426 (45%) entered AL, and 157 (21%) entered IL. Overall, NH and AL entry were preceded by months of severe disability and escalating caregiving. Before entry, 49% (95% CI, 29%-68%) of NH entrants and 10% (95% CI, 3%-24%) of AL entrants had severe disability. Most (>97%) had at least a caregiver, but only one-third (NH, 33%; 95% CI, 20%-50%; AL, 33%; 95% CI, 24%-44%) had a paid caregiver. Median care was 27 hours weekly (95% CI, 18-40) in NH entrants and 18 (95% CI, 14-24) in AL entrants. On NH and AL entry, severe disability rose to 89% (95% CI, 82%-94%) and 28% (95% CI, 16%-44%) on NH and AL entry and was 66% (95% CI, 55%-75%) 2 years after entry in AL residents. Few IL entrants (<2%) had severe disability and their median care remained less than 7 hours weekly before and after entry. Conclusions: This study found that persons often enter NHs and ALs after months of severe disability and substantial help at home, usually from unpaid caregivers. Assisted living residents move when less disabled, but approach levels of disability similar to NH entrants within 2 years. Data may help clinicians understand when home supports approach a breaking point.


Asunto(s)
Actividades Cotidianas , Cuidados a Largo Plazo , Anciano , Humanos , Femenino , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Masculino , Estudios Longitudinales , Medicare , Cuidadores/estadística & datos numéricos
3.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 24(5): 619-628.e3, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37030323

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Despite common use of palliative care screening tools in other settings, the performance of these tools in the nursing home has not been well established; therefore, the purpose of this review is to (1) identify palliative care screening tools validated for nursing home residents and (2) critically appraise, compare, and summarize the quality of measurement properties. DESIGN: Systematic review of measurement properties consistent with Consensus-based Standards for the selection of health Measurement Instruments (COSMIN) guidelines. SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Embase (Ovid), MEDLINE (PubMed), CINAHL (EBSCO), and PsycINFO (Ovid) were searched from inception to May 2022. Studies that (1) reported the development or evaluation of a palliative care screening tool and (2) sampled older adults living in a nursing home were included. METHODS: Two reviewers independently screened, selected, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias. RESULTS: We identified only 1 palliative care screening tool meeting COSMIN criteria, the NECesidades Paliativas (NEC-PAL, equivalent to palliative needs in English), but evidence for use with nursing home residents was of low quality. The NEC-PAL lacked robust testing of measurement properties such as reliability, sensitivity, and specificity in the nursing home setting. Construct validity through hypothesis testing was adequate but only reported in 1 study. Consequently, there is insufficient evidence to guide practice. Broadening the criteria further, this review reports on 3 additional palliative care screening tools identified during the search and screening process but which were excluded during full-text review for various reasons. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Given the unique care environment of nursing homes, we recommend future studies to validate available tools and develop new instruments specifically designed for nursing home use. In the meantime, we recommend that clinicians consider the evidence presented here and choose a screening instrument that best meets their needs.


Asunto(s)
Casas de Salud , Cuidados Paliativos , Humanos , Anciano , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Instituciones de Cuidados Especializados de Enfermería
4.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 23(12): 1900-1908.e7, 2022 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36370751

RESUMEN

The complex care needs of older adults arising at the intersection of age-related illnesses, military service, and social barriers have presented challenges to the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) for decades. In response, the VA has invested in centers that integrate research, education, and clinical innovation, using approaches aligned with a learning health care system, to create, evaluate, and implement new care models. This article presents an integrative review of 6 community care models developed within the VA to manage multimorbidity, complex social needs, and avoid institutional care, examining how these models address complex care needs among older adults. The models reviewed include Home Based Primary Care, Medical Foster Home, the VA Caregiver Support Program, the Resources Enhancing Alzheimer's Caregiver Health (REACH)-VA program, the Caregivers of Older Adults Cared for at Home (COACH) program, and Veteran Directed Care. Core components and evaluation outcomes for each model are summarized, along with implications for more widespread implementation and research. Each model promotes coordinated care, integrates behavioral health, and leverages interprofessional expertise. All models are cost-neutral or incur only modest cost increases to improve outcomes. Broader implementation will require interprofessional workforce development, payment model realignment, and infrastructure to evaluate outcomes in new settings. The VA provides a blueprint for infrastructure that could be adapted to other domestic and international settings. Care models successfully implemented within the VA's single-payer system hold promise to address persistent dilemmas in long-term care, such as management of multimorbidity and social drivers of health, integration and support of family caregivers, and mental health integration. These models also demonstrate the value of incorporating care approaches that have been developed or tested outside the United States and argue for greater cross-fertilization of ideas from different health systems.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Cuidados a Largo Plazo , Humanos , Anciano , Salud de los Veteranos , Cuidadores , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud
5.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 23(9): 1461-1467.e7, 2022 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35792146

RESUMEN

Behavioral health (BH) concerns are prevalent among residents (eg, depression, anxiety, and insomnia), family care partners (eg, depression and burden), and staff (eg, burnout and depression) in nursing home-based post-acute and subacute care, referred to as skilled nursing facility (SNF) care. When untreated, BH concerns can lead to negative care outcomes, including limited functional improvements, longer lengths of stay, and elevated risk of rehospitalization and mortality. Despite the high clinical need, the field lacks evidence and consensus regarding an optimal model of BH services and roles for BH clinicians in SNFs. Developing such a model can inform the testing of BH interventions that best align with clinical operations, moving the field toward answering questions regarding the effectiveness and implementation of BH services in SNFs. Evidence-based BH models from the primary care literature include coordinated, colocated, and integrated care, each of which present potential benefits and challenges for the SNF setting. In this special article, we argue that an integrated model of BH services in SNFs may (1) increase access to and engagement with BH; (2) strengthen positive biopsychosocial resident outcomes and quality of care; and (3) prevent or improve BH concerns among stakeholders involved in resident care, including family care partners and staff. From our evidence-based discussion, we propose a Stepped-Care Model of Integrated BH for SNFs that can help clarify the scope of practice and clinical roles for licensed BH clinicians in this setting (eg, psychologists, clinical social workers, master's-level counselors). We conclude with a discussion of policy and research implications with a focus on potential policy changes that may be necessary for BH integration in SNFs. Future research to establish feasibility, clinical benefit (eg, efficacy, effectiveness), and financial justification for our proposed model is needed. This article can serve as a guide for such future research endeavors.


Asunto(s)
Instituciones de Cuidados Especializados de Enfermería , Atención Subaguda , Humanos , Casas de Salud , Derivación y Consulta
6.
Geriatrics (Basel) ; 7(3)2022 Jun 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35735771

RESUMEN

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic made older, homebound adults with multiple chronic conditions increasingly vulnerable to contracting the virus. The United States (US) Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Medical Foster Home (MFH) program cares for such medically complex veterans residing in the private homes of non-VA caregivers rather than institutional care settings like nursing homes. In this qualitative descriptive study, we assessed adaptations to delivering safe and effective health care during the early stages of the pandemic for veterans living in rural MFHs. From December 2020 to February 2021, we interviewed 37 VA MFH care providers by phone at 16 rural MFH programs across the US, including caregivers, program coordinators, and VA health care providers. Using both inductive and deductive approaches to thematic analysis, we identified themes reflecting adaptations to caring for rural MFH veterans, including care providers rapidly increased communication and education to MFH caregivers while prioritizing veteran safety. Telehealth visits also increased, MFH veterans were prioritized for in-home COVID-19 vaccinations, and strategies were applied to mitigate the social isolation of veterans and caregivers. The study findings illustrate the importance of clear, regular communication and intentional care coordination to ensure high-quality care for vulnerable, homebound populations during crises like the COVID-19 pandemic.

7.
J Palliat Med ; 25(6): 932-939, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35363053

RESUMEN

Background: Unlike fee-for-service Medicare, the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) allows for the provision of concurrent care, incorporating cancer treatment while in hospice. Methods: We compared trends of aggressive care at end of life between Medicare and VHA decedents with advanced nonsmall cell lung cancer from 2006 to 2012, and the relation between regional level end-of-life care between Medicare and VHA beneficiaries. Results: Among 18,371 Veterans and 25,283 Medicare beneficiaries, aggressive care at end of life decreased 15% in VHA and 4% in SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results)-Medicare (p < 0.001). Hospice use significantly increased within both cohorts (VHA 28%-41%; SM 60%-73%, p < 0.001). Veterans receiving care in regions with higher hospice admissions among Medicare beneficiaries were significantly less likely to receive aggressive care at end of life (adjusted odds ratio: 0.13, 95% confidence interval: 0.08-0.23, p < 0.001). Conclusions: Patients receiving lung cancer care in the VHA had a greater decline in aggressive care at end of life, perhaps due to increasing concurrent care availability.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas , Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Cuidado Terminal , Anciano , Muerte , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/terapia , Medicare , Estados Unidos , Salud de los Veteranos
8.
10.
J Aging Soc Policy ; 34(5): 809-837, 2022 Sep 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35129098

RESUMEN

As adults age, they often require more assistance with personal care needs and other daily living activities. Along with requiring more assistance, access to affordable housing options is also a concern. Homesharing has emerged as a potential means of addressing these housing challenges for older adults. In this study, we surveyed 23 homeshare organizations and interviewed 16 survey respondents to understand characteristics of homeshare organizations, populations served, and the homeshare model. Findings suggest that homeshare organizations use a high-touch matching approach and that they experience challenges to sustainability. Individuals who enter a match are a small subset of those who apply due to organizational eligibility criteria and characteristics of applicants that impact their suitability for homesharing. While homesharing is a niche housing option that is not appropriate for many people, future research should explore whether homesharing fills gaps in housing options for older adults and the outcomes of homesharing.


Asunto(s)
Actividades Cotidianas , Vivienda , Anciano , Humanos , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
11.
Gerontol Geriatr Med ; 8: 23337214221080307, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35187203

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The Veterans Health Administration (VA) contracts with non-VA owned and operated community nursing homes (CNHs) to provide Veterans nursing home care. This study explored VA staffs' experiences coordinating care with CNH staff during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: Qualitative study interviewing VA staff overseeing and coordinating care for CNH Veterans. Interviews were recorded, transcribed, and analyzed using inductive and deductive thematic analysis. RESULTS: Three themes influenced care coordination. (1) Pre-established working relationships strengthened trust in CNH staff and remote access to CNH electronic medical records (EMRs). (2) Remote oversight proved challenging as virtual visits did not fully capture Veterans' needs and Veterans experienced challenges due to cognitive status, hearing impairment, and discomfort with technology. (3) Partnerships strengthened as VA staff provided CNHs personal protective equipment, COVID-19 testing, infection control education, and emotional support. DISCUSSION: Despite pre-existing relationships and improved partnerships, most VA staff felt uncertain about the quality of oversight provided through remote monitoring and preferred in-person interactions. However, they found benefit in remote access to CNH EMRs and shared optimism with expanding virtual care. CONCLUSIONS: Fostering strong partnerships between VAs and CNHs improve care coordination during crises like the COVID-19 pandemic and for daily care.

13.
J Palliat Med ; 24(12): 1863-1866, 2021 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34851187

RESUMEN

Background: Surgeons must evaluate and communicate the risk associated with operative procedures for patients at high risk of poor postoperative outcomes. Multidisciplinary approaches to complex decision making are needed. Objective: To improve physician decision making for high-risk surgical patients. Design: This is a retrospective review of patients presented to a multidisciplinary committee for three years. Setting/Subjects: Evaluation of patients was done in a single-center U.S. veterans affairs (VA) hospital. All patients who were considered for surgery had a VA Surgical Quality Improvement Program (VASQIP) risk calculator 30-day mortality >5%. Measurements: Thirty-day and one-year mortality were measured. Results: Seventy-six patients were reviewed with an average expected 30-day mortality of 14.2%. Forty-two patients (57%) had a recommended change in the care plan before surgery. Fifty-four patients (71%) proceeded with surgery and experienced a 30-day mortality of 7.4%. Conclusions and Relevance: Multidisciplinary discussion of high-risk surgical patients may help surgeons make perioperative recommendations for patients. Implementation of a multidisciplinary high-risk committee should be considered at facilities that manage high-risk surgical patients.


Asunto(s)
Toma de Decisiones Clínicas , Grupo de Atención al Paciente , Atención Perioperativa , Médicos , Toma de Decisiones Clínicas/métodos , Hospitales de Veteranos , Humanos , Grupo de Atención al Paciente/organización & administración , Médicos/psicología , Mejoramiento de la Calidad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Estados Unidos , United States Department of Veterans Affairs
15.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 21(12): 1879-1884, 2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33263287

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Pneumonia is a common cause of hospitalization for nursing home residents and has increased as a cause for hospitalization during the COVID-19 pandemic. Risks of hospitalization, including significant functional decline, are important considerations when deciding whether to treat a resident in the nursing home or transfer to a hospital. Little is known about postdischarge functional status, relative to baseline, of nursing home residents hospitalized for pneumonia. We sought to determine the risk of severe functional limitation or death for nursing home residents following hospitalization for treatment of pneumonia. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Participants included Medicare enrollees aged ≥65 years, hospitalized from a nursing home in the United States between 2013 and 2014 for pneumonia. METHODS: Activities of daily living (ADL), patient sociodemographics, and comorbidities were obtained from the Minimum Data Set (MDS), an assessment tool completed for all nursing home residents. MDS assessments from prior to and following hospitalization were compared to assess for functional decline. Following hospital discharge, all patients were evaluated for a composite outcome of severe disability (≥4 ADL limitations) following hospitalization or death prior to completion of a postdischarge MDS. RESULTS: In 2013 and 2014, a total of 241,804 nursing home residents were hospitalized for pneumonia, of whom 89.9% (192,736) experienced the composite outcome of severe disability or death following hospitalization for pneumonia. Although we found that prehospitalization functional and cognitive status were associated with developing the composite outcome, 53% of residents with no prehospitalization ADL limitation, and 82% with no cognitive limitation experienced the outcome. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Hospitalization for treatment of pneumonia is associated with significant risk of functional decline and death among nursing home residents, even those with minimal deficits prior to hospitalization. Nursing homes need to prepare for these outcomes in both advance care planning and in rehabilitation efforts.


Asunto(s)
Estado Funcional , Casas de Salud , Neumonía/mortalidad , Actividades Cotidianas , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19 , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
16.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 68(10): 2382-2389, 2020 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32726475

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Group visits can support health behavior change and self-efficacy. In primary care, an advance care planning (ACP) group visit may leverage group dynamics and peer mentorship to facilitate education and personal goal setting that result in ACP engagement. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the ENgaging in Advance Care Planning Talks (ENACT) group visits intervention improves ACP documentation and readiness in older adults. METHODS: This randomized clinical trial was conducted among geriatric primary care patients from the University of Colorado Hospital Seniors Clinic, Aurora, CO, from August 2017 to November 2019. Participants randomized to ENACT group visits (n = 55) participated in two 2-hour sessions with discussions of ACP topics and use of ACP tools (i.e., Conversation Starter Kit, Medical Durable Power of Attorney form, and PREPARE videos). Participants randomized to the control arm (n = 55) received the Conversation Starter Kit and a Medical Durable Power of Attorney form by mail. The primary outcomes included presence of ACP documents or medical decision-maker documentation in the electronic health record (EHR) at 6 months, and a secondary outcome was ACP readiness (validated four-item ACP Engagement Survey) at 6 months. RESULTS: Participants were a mean of 77 years old, 60% female, and 79% white. At 6 months, 71% of ENACT participants had an advance directive in the EHR (26% higher) compared with 45% of control arm participants (P < .001). Similarly, 93% of ENACT participants had decision-maker documentation in the EHR (29% higher) compared with 73% in the control arm (P < .001). ENACT participants trended toward higher readiness to engage in ACP compared with control (4.56 vs 4.13; P = .16) at 6 months. CONCLUSION: An ACP group visit increased ACP documentation and readiness to engage in ACP behavior change. Primary care teams can explore implementation and adaptation of ACP group visits into routine care, as well as longer-term impact on patient health outcomes. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:2382-2389, 2020.


Asunto(s)
Planificación Anticipada de Atención , Procesos de Grupo , Participación del Paciente/métodos , Atención Primaria de Salud/métodos , Citas Médicas Compartidas , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Documentación , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Femenino , Implementación de Plan de Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Tutoría , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Grupo Paritario
18.
J Palliat Med ; 23(8): 1038-1044, 2020 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32119800

RESUMEN

Background: Aggressive care at the end of life (EOL) is a persistent issue for patients with stage IV nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We evaluated the use of concurrent care (CC) with hospice care and cancer-directed treatment simultaneously within the Veteran's Health Administration (VHA) and aggressive care at the EOL. Objective: To determine whether VHA facility-level CC is associated with changes in aggressive care at the EOL. Design/Setting: Veterans with stage IV NSCLC who died between 2006 and 2012 and received lung cancer care within the VHA. Measurements: The primary outcome was aggressive care at EOL (i.e., hospital admissions, chemotherapy, and intensive care unit) within the last month of life. To compare aggressive care across VHA facilities, we used a random intercept multilevel logistic regression model to examine the association between facility-level CC within each study year (<10%, 10% to 19%, and ≥20%) and aggressive care at the EOL among the decedents as a binary outcome. Results: In total, 18,371 veterans with NSCLC at 154 VHA facilities were identified. Facilities delivering CC for ≥20% of veterans (high CC) increased from 20.0% in 2006 to 43.2% in 2012 (p < 0.001). Overall, hospice care significantly increased and aggressive care at EOL decreased over the study period. However, facility-level CC adoption was not associated with any difference in aggressive care at EOL (adjusted odds ratio high CC vs. low CC: 0.91 [95% CI, 0.79 to 1.05], p = 0.21). Conclusions: Although the VHA adoption of CC increased hospice use among patients with NSCLC, additional measures may be needed to decrease aggressive care at the EOL.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas , Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Cuidado Terminal , Veteranos , Carcinoma de Pulmón de Células no Pequeñas/terapia , Muerte , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/terapia , Estudios Retrospectivos
19.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 67(12): 2511-2518, 2019 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31593296

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Home-Based Primary Care (HBPC) Program provides interdisciplinary, long-term primary care for frail, disabled, or chronically ill veterans. This research identifies strategies used by HBPC teams to support veterans in their homes, rather than in institutionalized care. DESIGN: Focus groups and semistructured interviews were conducted with HBPC interdisciplinary team (IDT) members, including program directors, medical directors, and key staff, from September 2017 to March 2018. Field observations were gathered during visits to veterans' homes and IDT meetings. SETTING: In-person site visits were conducted at eight HBPC Programs across the United States. Sites varied in location, setting, and primary care model. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 105 HBPC professionals. MEASUREMENT: Qualitative thematic content analysis. RESULTS: Four main strategies drive and support the shared mission of IDTs to support veterans at home: fostering frequent communication among IDT members, veterans, caregivers, and outside agencies; development of longitudinal, trusting, reliable relationships within IDTs and with veterans and caregivers; ongoing, consistent education for IDT members and veterans and caregivers; and collaboration within and outside IDTs. Adhering to this mission meant providing timely and efficient care that kept veterans in their homes and minimized the need for acute hospitalizations and nursing home placement. CONCLUSION: HBPC IDTs studied worked together across disciplines to effectively create a dedicated culture of caring for veterans, caregivers, and themselves, leading to keeping veterans at home. Focusing on the strategies identified in this research may be useful to achieve similar positive outcomes when caring for medically complex, homebound patients within and outside the VA. J Am Geriatr Soc 67:2511-2518, 2019.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Crónica , Servicios de Atención de Salud a Domicilio , Visita Domiciliaria , Grupo de Atención al Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Atención Primaria de Salud , United States Department of Veterans Affairs , Veteranos/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Grupos Focales , Personas Imposibilitadas , Humanos , Entrevistas como Asunto , Masculino , Estados Unidos
20.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 67(12): 2505-2510, 2019 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31463941

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To use patient-level clinical variables to develop and validate a parsimonious model to predict hospital readmissions from home healthcare (HHC) in Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis using multivariable logistic regression and gradient boosting machine (GBM) learning to develop and validate a predictive model. SETTING/PARTICIPANTS/MEAUREMENTS: A 5% national sample of patients, aged 65 years or older, with Medicare fee-for-service who received skilled HHC services within 5 days of hospital discharge in 2012 (n = 43 407). Multiple data sets were merged, including Medicare Outcome and Assessment Information Set, Home Health Claims, Medicare Provider Analysis and Review, and Master Beneficiary Summary Files, to extract patient-level variables from the first HHC visit after discharge and measure 30-day readmission outcomes. RESULTS: Among 43 407 patients with inpatient hospitalizations followed by HHC, 14.7% were readmitted within 30 days. Of the 53 candidate variables, seven remained in the final model as individually predictive of outcome: Elixhauser comorbidity index, index hospital length of stay, urinary catheter presence, patient status (ie, fragile health with high risk of complications or serious progressive condition), two or more hospitalizations in prior year, pressure injury risk or presence, and surgical wound presence. Of interest, surgical wounds, either from a total hip or total knee arthroplasty procedure or another surgical procedure, were associated with fewer readmissions. The optimism-corrected c-statistics for the full model and parsimonious model were 0.67 and 0.66, respectively, indicating fair discrimination. The Brier score for both models was 0.120, indicating good calibration. The GBM model identified similar predictive variables. CONCLUSION: Variables available to HHC clinicians at the first postdischarge HHC visit can predict readmission risk and inform care plans in HHC. Future analyses incorporating measures of social determinants of health, such as housing instability or social support, have the potential to enhance prediction of this outcome. J Am Geriatr Soc 67:2505-2510, 2019.


Asunto(s)
Planes de Aranceles por Servicios/estadística & datos numéricos , Servicios de Atención de Salud a Domicilio/estadística & datos numéricos , Medicare/estadística & datos numéricos , Readmisión del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Transferencia de Pacientes , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Masculino , Alta del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos
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