Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Disease Burden attributable to High Body Mass Index in Belt and Road Initiative Countries, 1990-2019.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyze the spatial and temporal patterns of disease burden attributed to high body mass index (DB-hBMI) from 1990 to 2019 in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries, in light of increasing hBMI prevalence worldwide. DESIGN: The study was a secondary analysis of global burden of disease 2019 (GBD 2019) that analyzed (using Joinpoint regression analysis) numbers and the age-standardized rate of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of hBMI-induced diseases and their trends from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade. SETTING: GBD 2019 study data for BRI countries were categorized by country, age, gender, and disease. PARTICIPANTS: GBD 2019 data were used to analyze DB-hBMI in BRI countries. RESULTS: In 2019, China, India, and Russia reported the highest mortality and DALYs among BRI countries. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALYs increased in Southeast Asia and South Asia, whereas many European countries saw declines. Notably, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Vietnam showed the steepest increases, with AAPC values of 4.42%, 4.19%, and 4.28%, respectively (all P<0.05). In contrast, Israel, Slovenia, and Poland experienced significant reductions, with APCC values of -1.70%, -1.63%, and -1.58%, respectively (all P<0.05). The most rapid increases among males were seen in Vietnam, Nepal, and Bangladesh, while Jordan, Poland, and Slovenia recorded the fastest declines among females. Across most BRI countries, the burden of diabetes and kidney diseases related to hBMI showed a significant uptrend. CONCLUSION: DB-hBMI varies significantly by region, age, gender, and disease type across BRI countries. It can pose a substantial threat to public health.

Sonodynamic therapy for the treatment of atherosclerosis.

Atherosclerosis (AS) is a chronic inflammatory disease of large and medium-sized arteries that leads to ischemic heart disease, stroke, and peripheral vascular disease. Despite the current treatments, mortality and disability still remain high. Sonodynamic therapy (SDT), a non-invasive and localized methodology, has been developed as a promising new treatment for inhibiting atherosclerotic progression and stabilizing plaques. Promising progress has been made through cell and animal assays, as well as clinical trials. For example, the effect of SDT on apoptosis and autophagy of cells in AS, especially macrophages, and the concept of non-lethal SDT has also been proposed. In this review, we summarize the ultrasonic parameters and known sonosensitizers utilized in SDT for AS; we elaborate on SDT's therapeutic effects and mechanisms in terms of macrophages, T lymphocytes, neovascularization, smooth muscle cells, lipid, extracellular matrix and efferocytosis within plaques; additionally, we discuss the safety of SDT. A comprehensive summary of the confirmed effects of SDT on AS is conducted to establish a framework for future researchers.

The application of impulse oscillometry system based on machine learning algorithm in the diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Objective. Diagnosing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) using impulse oscillometry (IOS) is challenging due to the high level of clinical expertise it demands from doctors, which limits the clinical application of IOS in screening. The primary aim of this study is to develop a COPD diagnostic model based on machine learning algorithms using IOS test results.Approach. Feature selection was conducted to identify the optimal subset of features from the original feature set, which significantly enhanced the classifier's performance. Additionally, secondary features area of reactance (AX) were derived from the original features based on clinical theory, further enhancing the performance of the classifier. The performance of the model was analyzed and validated using various classifiers and hyperparameter settings to identify the optimal classifier. We collected 528 clinical data examples from the China-Japan Friendship Hospital for training and validating the model.Main results. The proposed model achieved reasonably accurate diagnostic results in the clinical data (accuracy = 0.920, specificity = 0.941, precision = 0.875, recall = 0.875).Significance. The results of this study demonstrate that the proposed classifier model, feature selection method, and derived secondary feature AX provide significant auxiliary support in reducing the requirement for clinical experience in COPD diagnosis using IOS.

Epidemiological variations and trends in glaucoma burden in the Belt and Road countries.

BACKGROUND: Analyzing the glaucoma burden in "Belt and Road" (B&R) countries based on age, gender, and risk factors from 1990 to 2019 in order to provide evidence for future prevention strategies. METHODS: We applied global burden of disease(GBD) 2019 to compare glaucoma prevalence and Years lived with disabilities (YLDs) from 1990 to 2019 in the B&R countries. Trends of disease burden between 1990 and 2019 were evaluated using the average annual percent change and the 95% uncertainty interval (UI) were reported. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, most B&R countries showed a downward trend in age-standardized prevalence and YLDs (all P < 0.05). Additionally, only the age-standardized YLDs in males of Pakistan has a 0.35% increase (95%CI:0.19,0.50,P < 0.001), and most B&R countries has a decline(all P < 0.05) in age-standardized YLDs in every 5 years age group after 45 years old except for Pakistan(45-79 years and > 85 years), Malaysia(75-84 years), Brunei Darussalam(45-49 years), Afghanistan(70-79 years). Finally, in all Central Asian countries, the age-standardized YLDs due to glaucoma caused by fasting hyperglycemia demonstrated have an increase between 1990 and 2019 (all P < 0.05), but Armenia and Mongolia have a decrease between 2010 and 2019 (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of glaucoma continues to pose a significant burden across regions, ages, and genders in countries along the "B&R". It is imperative for the "B&R" nations to enhance health cooperation in order to collaboratively tackle the challenges associated with glaucoma.

Changing profiles of the burden of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias attributable to smoking in the belt and road initiative countries: A secondary analysis of global burden of disease 2019.

Objectives: This study was aimed at analyzing the burden and trend of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias attributed to smoking (SADD) in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries during 1990-2019. Methods: Data from The 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study was used to extract information on the burden of SADD in terms of the numbers and age-standardized rate of mortality (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (ASDALR) in the BRI countries for 1990-2019. The average annual percent change (AAPC) was used to analyze the temporal trends of ASDALR from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade by Joinpoint regression analysis. Results: The DALYs of SADD were the highest in China, India, and the Russian Federation in 1990 and in Lebanon, Montenegro and Bosnia, and Herzegovina in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the ASDALR in China had increased from 55.50/105 to 66.18/105, but decreased from 2010 to 2019, while that of India had declined from 32.84/105 to 29.35/105, but increased from 2010 to 2019. The ASDALR showed the fastest increase in the Russian Federation, with AAPC of 1.97% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.77%, 2.16%), and the fastest decline in Sri Lanka, with AAPC of -2.69% (95% CI: 2.79%, -2.59%). ASMR and ASDALR from SADD showed a substantial decline during 1990-2019 both globally and in the different socio-demographic index (SDI) regions (all P < 0.05, except for the high-middle-SDI region). Compared to the rates in males, the AAPC in ASDALR of females was significantly greater in 20 countries(all P < 0.05). In the age group of 20-54 years, the DALYs rate showed a decreasing trend only in 13 members in the low-SDI region (all P < 0.05). Conclusion: Under the premise of eliminating the differences, mobilizing resources in the country itself, the BRI organization, and globally will help reduce the global SADD burden and achieve healthy and sustainable development.

Patterns and trends of mortality from metastatic colorectal cancer in Shanghai, China from 2005 to 2021: a population-based retrospective analysis.

PURPOSE: Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is the leading cause of CRC deaths, however, the relative epidemiological research was insufficient. We aimed to analyze the patterns and trends of mortality of mCRC in Shanghai with a more complete system for monitoring the cause of death of the population and find potential methods to reduce the burden of CRC in China. METHODS: Mortality data from 2005 to 2021 of mCRC deaths were obtained from the mortality registration system in Shanghai. We analyzed the crude mortality rates, age-standardized mortality rates, and rates of years of life lost (YLL rates) of mCRC. In addition, the trends were quantified using Joinpoint Regression software. RESULTS: A total of 4,386 mCRC deaths were included, with 1,937 (44.16%) liver metastases and 1,061 (24.19%) lung metastases. The crude mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate of mCRC were 9.09 per 105 person-years and 3.78 per 105 person-years, respectively. The YLL was 50,533.13 years, and the YLL rate was 104.67 per 105 person-years. The overall annual crude mortality rate of mCRC increased by 1.47% (95% CI 0.28-2.68%, P < 0.001) from 2005 to 2021. The crude mortality rate of mCRC increased by 3.20% per year (95% CI 1.80-4.70%, P < 0.001) from 2005 to 2013, but the trend of mortality growth remained stable from 2013 to 2021. The YLL rates remained stable between 2005 and 2021. CONCLUSIONS: Population aging was the most likely factor responsible for the increase in CRC mortality in Pudong. Physical examinations and screenings for the elderly were possible reasons for reducing the burden of CRC in fast-growing regions.

Colorectal cancer's burden attributable to a diet high in processed meat in the Belt and Road Initiative countries.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) plays a significant role in morbidity, mortality, and economic cost in the Belt and Road Initiative ("B and R") countries. In addition, these countries have a substantial consumption of processed meat. However, the burden and trend of CRC in relation to the consumption of a diet high in processed meat (DHPM-CRC) in these "B and R" countries remain unknown. AIM: To analyze the burden and trend of DHPM-CRC in the "B and R" countries from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: We used the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study to collate information regarding the burden of DHPM-CRC. Numbers and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of deaths along with the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were determined among the "B and R" countries in 1990 and 2019. Using joinpoint regression analysis, the average annual percent change (AAPC) was used to analyze the temporal trends of age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDALR) from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade (2010-2019). RESULTS: We found geographical differences in the burden of DHPM-CRC among "B and R" countries, with the three highest-ranking countries being the Russian Federation, China, and Ukraine in 1990, and China, the Russian Federation, and Poland in 2019. The burden of DHPM-CRC generally increased in most member countries from 1990 to 2019 (all P < 0.05). The absolute number of deaths and DALYs in DHPM-CRC were 3151.15 [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 665.74-5696.64] and 83249.31 (95%UI 15628.64-151956.31) in China in 2019. However, the number of deaths (2627.57-2528.51) and DALYs (65867.39-55378.65) for DHPM-CRC in the Russian Federation has declined. The fastest increase in ASDALR for DHPM-CRC was observed in Vietnam, Southeast Asia, with an AAPC value of 3.90% [95% confidence interval (CI): 3.63%-4.16%], whereas the fastest decline was observed in Kyrgyzstan, Central Asia, with an AAPC value of -2.05% (95% CI: -2.37% to -1.73%). A substantial upward trend in ASR of mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and DALYs from DHPM-CRC changes in 1990-2019 and the final decade (2010-2019) for most Maritime Silk Route members in East Asia, South Asia, Southeast Asia, North Africa, and the Middle East, as well as Central Europe, while those of the most Land Silk Route members in Central Asia and Eastern Europe have decreased markedly (all P < 0.05). The ASDALR for DHPM-CRC increased more in males than in females (all P < 0.05). For those aged 50-74 years, the ASDALR for DHPM-CRC in 40 members exhibited an increasing trend, except for 20 members, including 7 members in Central Asia, Maldives, and 12 high or high-middle social development index (SDI) members in other regions (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The burden of DHPM-CRC varies substantially across "B and R" countries and threatens public health. Relevant evidence-based policies and interventions tailored to the different trends of countries in SDIs or Silk Routes should be adopted to reduce the future burden of CRC in "B and R" countries via extensive collaboration.

CHD-related/specific mortality of 3.17 million people in a transitioning region: trends, risk factors, and prevention.

BACKGROUND: Demographic shifts cause uncertain changes in the burden of coronary heart disease (CHD) in transitioning regions. We aimed to analyze the trends of CHD burden and its risk factors in Pudong, Shanghai, and explore prevention strategies for transitioning regions. METHODS: We analyzed CHD-related and CHD-specific deaths in Pudong from 2005 to 2020, including the crude mortality rate (CMR), age-standardized mortality rate worldwide (ASMRW), years of life lost (YLL), and age-specific proportions. We also examined the impact of population aging on the burden of CHD. The Joinpoint Regression Program was used to analyze trends, and the decomposition method was used to evaluate the impact of demographics on the mortality rate. RESULTS: Of the 86,171 CHD-related deaths, 52,152 (60.52%) were CHD-specific deaths. For both CHD-related and CHD-specific deaths, there was a significant increase in the CMR, ASMRW, and YLL rate, except in the 70-79-year age group, which exhibited a distinctive and statistically significant decline in these rates (all P < 0.05). There were steadily increasing trends in the rates caused by aging from 2005 to 2020, with average annual percent changes (AAPCs) of 42.59% and 41.43%, respectively (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that the CHD burden in Pudong has been persistently increasing, but in the age group of 70-79 years, substantial declines were observed. The quality of primary healthcare services may be a critical point in addressing the overwhelming CHD burden.

Diversities of disability caused by lung cancer in the 66 Belt and Road initiative countries: a secondary analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Objectives: Due to the increase in life expectancy and the aging of the global population, the "Belt and Road" ("B&R") countries are faced with varying degrees of lung cancer threat. The purpose of this study is to analyze the differences in the burden and trend of lung cancer disability in the "B&R" countries from 1990 to 2019 so as to provide an analytical strategic basis to build a healthy "B&R". Methods: Data were derived from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD 2019). Incidence, mortality, prevalence, the years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of lung cancer and those attributable to different risk factors were measured from 1990 to 2019. Trends of disease burden were estimated by using the average annual percent change (AAPC), and the 95% uncertainty interval (UI) was reported. Results: China, India, and the Russian Federation were the three countries with the highest burden of lung cancer in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the AAPC of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs generally showed a downward trend in Central Asia (except Georgia) and Eastern Europe, while in China, South Asia (except Bangladesh), most countries in North Africa, and the Middle East, the trend was mainly upward. The AAPC of age-standardized incidence was 1.33% (1.15%-1.50%); the AAPC of prevalence, mortality, and DALYs from lung cancer in China increased by 24% (2.10%-2.38%), 0.94% (0.74%-1.14%), and 0.42% (0.25%-0.59%), respectively. A downward trend of the AAPC values of age-standardized YLD rate in men was shown in the vast majority of "B&R" countries, but for women, most countries had an upward trend. For adults aged 75 years or older, the age-standardized YLD rate showed an increasing trend in most of the "B&R" countries. Except for the DALY rate of lung cancer attributable to metabolic risks, a downward trend of the DALY rate attributable to all risk factors, behavioral risks, and environmental/occupational risks was shown in the vast majority of "B&R" countries. Conclusion: The burden of lung cancer in "B&R" countries varied significantly between regions, genders, and risk factors. Strengthening health cooperation among the "B&R" countries will help to jointly build a community with a shared future for mankind.

Strong anisotropy of Sc2X2Se2 (X = Cl, Br, I) monolayers contributes to high thermoelectric performance.

As a novel type of anisotropic two-dimensional material, extensive attention has been paid to the thermoelectric (TE) properties of FeOCl-type monolayers, such as Al2X2Se2 (X = Cl, Br, I), Sc2I2S2, and Ir2Cl2O2. Recently, theoretical works based on first-principles calculations have been powerful driving forces in field of TE research. In this work, we perform an investigation into the TE properties of Sc2X2Se2 (X = Cl, Br, I) monolayers based on density functional theory (DFT). A study on the stability, including AIMD simulation and phonon calculation, shows the stable structure of Sc2Cl2Se2, Sc2Br2Se2, and Sc2I2Se2 monolayers. Additionally, the electronic and thermal transport properties of Sc2X2Se2 monolayers are anisotropic along the x and y directions. Moreover, the combination of excellent Seebeck coefficient and ultralow lattice thermal conductivity contributes to outstanding ZT values, and the ZT values follow the order: Sc2I2Se2 > Sc2Br2Se2 > Sc2Cl2Se2. At 300 K, we obtained maximum ZT of 0.34, 0.77, and 1.97 for Sc2Cl2Se2, Sc2Br2Se2, and Sc2I2Se2, respectively, by n-type doping in the x direction. These results demonstrate that monolayer Sc2X2Se2 (X = Cl, Br, I) materials are promising thermoelectric materials, Sc2I2Se2 has more desirable properties along the x direction, and n-type doping can significantly enhance the ZT values. Our work lays a foundation for exploring the TE transport properties of FeOCl-type monolayers.

Changes of the acute myocardial infarction-related resident deaths in a transitioning region: a real-world study involving 3.17 million people.

Background: The impact of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) on the life span of residents in a transitioning region has not been studied in depth. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the changes in AMI-related resident deaths in a transitioning region in China. Methods: A longitudinal, population-based study was performed to analyze the deaths with/of AMI in Pudong New Area (PNA), Shanghai from 2005 to 2021. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) of AMI in crude mortality rates (CMR), age-standardized mortality rates worldwide (ASMRW), and rates of years of life lost (YLLr) were calculated by the joinpoint regression. The impact of demographic and non-demographic factors on the mortality of residents who died with/of AMI was quantitatively analyzed by the decomposition method. Results: In 7,353 residents who died with AMI, 91.74% (6,746) of them were died of AMI from 2005 to 2021. In this period, the CMR and ASMRW of residents died with/of AMI were 15.23/105 and 5.17/105 person-years, the AAPC of CMR was 0.01% (95% CI: -0.71,0.72, p = 0.989) and 0.06% (95% CI: -0.71,0.84, p = 0.868), and the ASMRW decreased by 2.83% (95% CI: -3.66,-2.00, p < 0.001) and 2.76% (95% CI: -3.56,-1.95, p < 0.001), respectively. The CMR of people died of AMI showed a downward trend (all p < 0.05) in people ≥60 years but an upward trend [AAPC = 2.47% (95% CI: 0.07,4.94, p = 0.045)] in people of 45-59 years. The change in CMR of people died with/of AMI caused by demographic factors was 28.70% (95% CI: 12.99,46.60, p = 0.001) and 28.07% (95% CI: 12.71,45.52, p = 0.001) per year, respectively. Conclusion: Preventative strategies for AMI should be applied to enhance the health management of residents aged 45-59 years or with comorbidities in the transitioning region.

Patterns and Trends in Mortality Associated With and Due to Diabetes Mellitus in a Transitioning Region With 3.17 Million People: Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus (DM) imposes a significant disease burden in economically transitioning regions. Most transitioning regions share similar experience in urbanization processes. Shanghai's Pudong district serves as a representative area of such regions. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the burden of and trends in DM mortality in Shanghai's Pudong district and analyze the impact of aging and multimorbidity. METHODS: A longitudinal, population-based study was conducted to analyze DM mortality in Pudong from 2005 to 2020. We used joinpoint regression to analyze epidemiological features and long-term trends in crude mortality rate (CMR), age-standardized mortality rate worldwide (ASMRW), and years of life lost (YLL). Furthermore, the decomposition method was used to evaluate the contribution of demographic and nondemographic factors associated with mortality. RESULTS: There were 49,414 deaths among individuals with DM, including 15,512 deaths due to DM. The CMR and ASMRW were 109.55/105 and 38.01/105 person-years, respectively. Among the mortality associated with and due to DM, the total annual ASMRW increased by 3.65% (95% CI 3.25%-4.06%) and 1.38% (95% CI 0.74%-2.02%), respectively. Additionally, the total annual YLL rate increased by 4.98% (95% CI 3.92%-6.05%) and 2.68% (95% CI 1.34%-4.04%). The rates of YLL increase in persons aged 30 to 44 years (3.98%, 95% CI 0.32%-7.78%) and 45 to 59 years (4.31%, 95% CI 2.95%-5.69%) were followed by the increase in persons aged 80 years and older (10.53%, 95% CI 9.45%-11.62%) for deaths associated with DM. The annual CMR attributable to demographic factors increased by 41.9% (95% CI 17.73%-71.04%) and 36.72% (95% CI 16.69%-60.2%) for deaths associated with and due to DM, respectively. Hypertension, cerebrovascular disease, and ischemic heart disease were the top 3 comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: Aging and multimorbidity played essential roles in changing the burden of DM in an urbanizing and transitioning region. There is an increasing disease burden among young and middle-aged people, emphasizing the need for greater attention to these groups. Health management is an emerging method that holds important implications for alleviating the future burden of DM.

Burden and trends of stroke attributable to dietary risk factors from 1990 to 2019 in the Belt and Road Initiative countries: an analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019.

Objectives: This study aimed to compare the burden and trends of stroke attributed to dietary risk factors in the Belt and Road ("B&R") countries from 1990 to 2019. Methods: The 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study was used to gather information on the burden of stroke attributable to dietary risk factors. Numbers and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were determined in 1990 and 2019 among the "B&R" countries. The average annual percent change (AAPC) was used to analyze the temporal trends of diet-induced stroke DALYs from 1990 to 2019 and in the final decade (2010-2019) by Joinpoint regression analysis. Results: In 2019, the absolute number of stroke deaths and DALYs attributable to dietary risk factors were 671,872 cases (95% UI 436,354-937,093) and 1.67 million cases (95% UI 1.15-2.24) in China. We found geographical differences in mortality and DALYs of diet-attributable stroke among member countries, with Bulgaria, Hungary and Serbia being the three highest countries in 1990, Bulgaria, North Macedonia and Montenegro in Central Asia in 2019. The ASRs of diet-induced stroke mortality and DALYs were generally declining in most member states from 1990 to 2019, however, the corresponding metrics in Mongolia remained high. The fastest decline in ASR of mortality and DALYs for diet-induced stroke was seen in Estonia, Eastern Europe, with AAPC values of -7.09% (95%CI: -7.72, -6.46%) and - 6.62% (95%CI: -7.20, -6.03%), respectively. We noted a substantial downward trend in ASR of mortality and DALYs from diet-induced stroke changes in the final decade (2010-2019) for most member states. The ASR of DALYs for diet-induced stroke decreased greater in females than in males. For those aged 50-74, the DALYs for stroke due to dietary risk factors in all other member countries of the "B&R" showed a decreasing trend, except for the Philippines, which rose (AAPC = 2.13, 95%CI: 1.40-2.87%) and Turkmenistan, which remained stable (AAPC = 0.05, 95%CI: -0.43-0.33%). Conclusion: The burden of diet-induced stroke varies substantially across "B&R" countries and threaten public health, relevant evidence-based policies and interventions should be adopted to address the future burden of stroke in "B&R" countries through extensive collaboration.

Optimizing allocation of colorectal cancer screening hospitals in Shanghai: a geospatial analysis.

Screening programmes are important for early diagnosis and treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC) but they are not equally efficient in all locations. Depending on which hospital people belong to, they often are not willing to follow up even after a positive result, resulting in a lower-than-expected overall detection rate. Improved allocation of health resources would increase the program's efficiency and assist hospital accessibility. A target population exceeding 70,000 people and 18 local hospitals were included in the investigation of an optimization plan based on a locationallocation model. We calculated the hospital service areas and the accessibility for people in communities to CRC-screening hospitals using the Huff Model and the Two-Step Floating Catchment Area (2SFCA) approach. We found that only 28.2% of the residents with initially a positive screening result had chosen followup with colonoscopy and significant geographical differences in spatial accessibility to healthcare services indeed exist. The lowest accessibility was found in the Southeast, including the Zhangjiang, Jichang and Laogang communities with the best accessibility mainly distributed near the city centre of Lujiazui; the latter also had relatively a high level of what is called "ineffective screening" as it represents wasteful resource allocation. It is recommended that Hudong Hospital should be chosen instead of Punan Hospital as the optimization, which can improve the service population of each hospital and the populations served per colonoscope. Based on our results, changes in hospital configuration in colorectal cancer screening programme are needed to achieve adequate population coverage and equitable facility accessibility. Planning of medical services should be based on the spatial distribution trends of the population served.

The burden and trend of liver metastases in Shanghai, China: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Studies on the epidemiology of liver metastases (LM)-related mortality are rare. we aimed to describe the burden and trend of liver metastases in Pudong of Shanghai, which could be beneficial to cancer prevention. METHODS: We performed a retrospective population-based analysis of cancer mortality data with liver metastases in Shanghai Pudong from 2005 to 2021. Long-term trends in crude mortality rates (CMRs), age-standardized mortality rates worldwide, and rate of years of life lost (YLL) were analyzed by the Join-point regression model. In addition, we evaluate the impact of the demographic and nondemographic factors on the mortality of disease by the decomposition method. RESULTS: Cancer with liver metastases accounted for 26.68% of all metastases. The CMR and age-standardized mortality rates by Segi's world population (ASMRW) of cancer with liver metastases were 15.12/105 person-years and 6.33/105 person-years, respectively. The YLL from cancer with liver metastases was 84 959.87 years, with the age group of 60-69 years having the highest YLL of 26 956.40 years. The top three cancer types in liver metastases are colorectal, gastric, and pancreatic cancer. The long-term trend of ASMRW significantly decreased by 2.31% per year ( P <0.05). The ASMRW and YLL rates of those over 45 decreased year by year. Particularly striking was the 70-79 age group. Although the overall mortality of cancer with liver metastases decreased, there was still a significant upward trend toward an increased mortality rate caused by cancer with liver metastases in aging patients. CONCLUSION: Liver metastases were a common site of metastases in patients with cancers originating from the digestive system. The disease burden caused by cancer with liver metastases provides valuable evidence for cancer management.

The burden of congenital birth defects between 1990 and 2019 in China: an observational study.

Background: Congenital birth defects (CBDs) are a major public health issue. This study aims to assess trends in the burden of CBDs between 1990 and 2019 across China based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). Methods: Indicators of the burden of CBDs included incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Metrics included number, rate, and age-standardized rate with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Data were stratified by region [China, global, high-, middle-, low-socio-demographic index (SDI)], age, sex, and type of CBD. Average annual percentage changes (AAPC) and trends were evaluated. Results: In China, between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate for CBDs showed an increasing trend, with an AAPC of 0.26% (0.11% to 0.41%), reaching 148.12 per 105 person-years (124.03 to 176.33) in 2019. Most CBDs were congenital heart anomalies, with an AAPC of 0.12% (-0.08% to 0.32%). The age-standardized mortality rate for CBDs showed a decreasing trend, with an AAPC of -4.57% (-4.97% to -4.17%), reaching 4.62 per 105 person-years (3.88 to 5.57) in 2019. Most mortality was associated with congenital heart anomalies, with an AAPC of -3.77% (-4.35% to -3.19%). The age-standardized DALYs rate for CBDs showed a decreasing trend, with an AAPC of -3.74% (-3.95% to -3.52%), reaching 480.95 per 105 person-years (407.69 to 570.04) in 2019. Conclusions: Morbidity associated with CBDs increased in China between 1990 and 2019, accelerated by the adoption of the two-child policy, and ranked high globally. These findings emphasize the need for prenatal screening and primary and secondary prevention strategies.

Influence of the area of the aqueduct and region of interest on quantification of stroke volume in healthy volunteers using phase-contrast cine magnetic resonance imaging.

BACKGROUND: Phase-contrast cine magnetic resonance imaging (PC-MRI) has been used to measure cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) flow dynamics, but the influence of the area of the aqueduct and region of interest (ROI) on quantification of stroke volume (SV) has not been assessed. PURPOSE: To assess the influence of the area of the ROI in quantifying the aqueductal SV measured with PC-MRI within the cerebral aqueduct. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Nine healthy volunteers (mean age = 29.6 years) were enrolled in the study, and brain MRI examinations were performed on a 3.0-T system. Quantitative analysis of the aqueductal CSF flow was performed using manual ROI placement. ROIs were separately drawn for each of the 12 phases of the cardiac cycle, and changes in aqueduct size during the cardiac cycle were determined. The SV was calculated using 12 different aqueductal ROIs and compared with the SV calculated using a fixed ROI size. RESULTS: There was variation in the size of the aqueduct during the cardiac cycle. In addition, the measured SV increased with a greater area of the ROI. A significant difference in the calculated SVs with the 12 variable ROIs was observed compared with that using a fixed ROI throughout the cardiac cycle. CONCLUSION: To establish reliable reference values for the SV in future studies, a variable ROI should be considered.

Burden and trend of cardiovascular diseases among people under 20 years in China, Western Pacific region, and the world: An analysis of the global burden of disease study in 2019.

Objectives: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a global public health concern, but its disease burden and trend have been poorly studied in people younger than 20 years. This study aimed to fill this gap by evaluating the CVD burden and trend in China, Western Pacific Region, and the world from 1990 to 2019. Methods: We applied the 2019 Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) analytical tools to compare the incidence, mortality, and prevalence of CVD, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) among people younger than 20 years from 1990 to 2019 in China, the Western Pacific Region, and the world. The trends of disease burden between 1990 and 2019 evaluated using the average annual percent change (AAPC) and the 95% uncertainty interval (UI) were reported. Results: Globally, in 2019, there were 2.37 (95% UI: 1.82 to 3.05) million incidence of CVD, 16.85 (95% UI: 12.56 to 22.03) million prevalence of CVD, and 74386.73 (95% UI: 64543.82 to 86310.24) deaths due to CVD among people under 20 years of age. The trends for DALYs decreased among children and adolescents in China, Western Pacific Region, and the world (AAPC = -4.29, 95% CI: -4.38% to -4.20%; AAPC = -3.37, 95% CI: -3.48% to -3.26%; AAPC = -2.17, 95% CI: -2.24% to -2.09%; p < 0.001, respectively) between 1990 and 2019. With the increase in age, the AAPC values of mortality, YLLs, and DALYs showed a notable downward trend. The AAPC values of mortality, YLLs, and DALYs in female patients were significantly greater than those in male patients. For all subtypes of CVD, the AAPC values showed a downward trend, with the largest reduction observed for stroke. From 1990 to 2019, a decline in the DALY rate for all CVD risk factors was observed, with a significant decrease in environmental/occupational risk factors. Conclusion: Our study shows a decline in the burden and trend of CVD among people younger than 20 years, which reflects the success in reducing disability, premature death, and the early incidence of CVD. More effective and targeted preventive policies and interventions aimed at mitigating preventable CVD burden and addressing risk factors from childhood are urgently needed.

Association of ESR1 gene polymorphisms with the susceptibility to Hepatitis B virus infection and the clinical outcomes.

Estrogen receptor alpha (ESR1) has been implicated in the pathological process of Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and is probably an important determinant for gender differences. In this study, a total of 975 subjects including 368 healthy controls, 323 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with HBsAg positive, and 284 HBV-infected subjects without HCC were included. Three single nucleotide polymorphisms of ESR1 (rs2234693, rs2077647, rs2228480) were detected to investigate the correlation between ESR1 polymorphisms and the susceptibility to HBV persistence and the clinical outcomes. The association of ESR1 polymorphisms with HCC prognosis was investigated in our cohort enrolling 376 HBV-HCC patients. The frequency of rs2234693 C allele was lower in chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) and liver cirrhosis (LC) than that in HCC patients in the males (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 0.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.41-0.96). rs2228480 A allele was associated with increased risk of LC (AOR = 2.20, 95% CI = 1.06-4.56) in HBV genotype C, and significantly decreased the risk of HCC recurrence (p = 0.010) and ESR1 mRNA level in tumor tissues (p = 0.032). Haplotype C-G-G was associated with significantly increased risk of HBV persistence (OR = 1.37, 95% CI = 1.08-1.73), while it was opposite for C-A-G and T-G-G (OR = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.27-0.62; OR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.32-0.85, respectively). These results imply that combinations of these ESR1 polymorphisms may be valuable for the prediction of HBV persistence.

Premature death patterns and trends in diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue in Shanghai China from 1973 to 2019.

OBJECTIVES: The long-term trends in crude mortality rates (CMRs) and age-standardized mortality rates characterized by Segi's world standard population (ASMRWs) of DMSCT in Pudong New Area (PNA), Shanghai, were evaluated from 1973 to 2019, and the role of demographic and non-demographic factors in the mortality of diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue (DMSCT) was explored. METHODS: The PNA district has the largest population and area in Shanghai. Therefore, the mortality registration system of the PNA district was used to calculate and verify the number of deaths. Then, the Joinpoint Regression Program was used to analyze the time trend of mortality. The difference decomposition method was used to visualize the mortality of population and non-population factors, and GraphPad Prism was used for image visualization. RESULTS: A total of 2260 deaths from DMSCT occurred from 1973 to 2019. The CMR and ASMRW of DMSCT were 2.56/105 person-years and 1.57/105 person-years, respectively. The number of people aged ≥80 (696 deaths) who died of DMSCT was the highest among total deaths, the highest number of years of life lost (YLL) was observed in the 45-59 age group, and the YLL rate in the ≥80 age group was the highest. The CMR and YLL rates of DMSCT showed upward trends in the total population from 1973 to 2019. CONCLUSION: The CMR and YLL rates of DMSCT showed upward trends in the total population from 1973 to 2019 in PNA, Shanghai, and age was closely related to the occurrence of DMSCT. Similarly, demographic factors played a role in this process.