Carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae in adults hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine the prevalence of and risk factors for nasopharyngeal and oral pneumococcal carriage in adults with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), and the relationship between carried and disease-causing serotypes. METHODS: Between 2016 and 2018, nasopharyngeal swabs, oral-fluid, and urine were collected from hospitalised adults recruited into a prospective cohort study of CAP. Pneumococcal carriage was detected by semi-quantitative real-time PCR of direct and culture-enriched nasopharyngeal swabs and culture-enriched oral-fluid. LytA and piaB positive/indeterminate samples underwent semi-quantitative serotype/serogroup-specific real-time-PCR. Serotypes in urine were identified using a 24-valent serotype-specific urinary-antigen assay. RESULTS: We included 465 CAP patients. Nasopharyngeal carriage was detected in 34/103 (33.0%) swabbed pneumococcal pneumonia patients and oral carriage in 18/155 (12%) of sampled pneumococcal pneumonia patients. Concordance between nasopharyngeal/urine serotypes and oral/urine serotypes was 70.6% and 50% respectively. Serotypes 3 (26%, 22.2%), 8 (19.7%, 19.4%), non-typeable (11.6%, 13.9%) and 19A/F (7.5%, 8.3%) were most prevalent in urine and nasopharyngeal swabs respectively, with non-typeable (35%) and 15A/F (17%) most prevalent in oral-fluid. Pneumococcal carriage was significantly associated with pneumococcal pneumonia (nasopharyngeal adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 8.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.8-17.2; oral aOR 5.5, 95% CI 2.1-13.3). All-cause CAP patients ≥65 years had lower odds of nasopharyngeal carriage (aOR 0.47, 95% CI 0.24-0.91) and current smokers had higher odds of oral carriage (aOR 2.69, 95% CI 1.10-6.60). CONCLUSIONS: The association between nasopharyngeal carriage and pneumococcal CAP was strong. Adult carriage and disease from serotypes 8 and 19A may support direct protection of adults with PCV vaccines.

Characteristics of children with invasive pneumococcal disease eligible for the 1+1 compared with the 2+1 PCV13 infant immunisation schedule in England: a prospective national observational surveillance study.

BACKGROUND: On Jan 1, 2020, the UK transitioned from a 2+1 to a 1+1 national infant immunisation schedule with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13). We assessed whether the 1+1 PCV13 schedule had any impact on incidence, disease characteristics, or outcomes after invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in eligible children aged 0-3 years. METHODS: The UK Health Security Agency conducts IPD surveillance and serotyping of invasive pneumococcal isolates via whole-genome sequencing in England. IPD was defined as identification of Streptococcus pneumoniae in a sterile site. We compared IPD incidence, demographics, clinical presentation, comorbidity prevalence, serotype distribution, and case-fatality rates (CFRs) in children from a single birth cohort eligible for the 1+1 schedule (born between Jan 1, 2020, and Dec 31, 2022) who developed IPD in the 2022-23 financial year (April to March) with children from three equivalent historical birth cohorts (born between Jan 1, 2015, and Dec 31, 2019) eligible for the 2+1 schedule who developed IPD during three respective pre-pandemic financial years: 2017-18, 2018-19, and 2019-20. FINDINGS: There were a total of 702 IPD episodes in 697 children, including 158 (incidence 8·99 per 100 000 person-years) in the single 1+1 birth cohort and 544 (incidence 9·39 per 100 000 person-years) in the 2+1 birth cohorts, with no significant difference in the incidence of overall IPD (incidence rate ratio 0·96, 95% CI 0·80-1·14, p=0·63), PCV13-type IPD (1·21, 0·71-2·00, p=0·45), or pneumococcal meningitis (0·97, 0·66-1·40, p=0·88). Comorbidity prevalence, clinical presentation, and CFRs were also similar between the two cohorts, as was the percentage of cases in infants too young to be vaccinated (<2 months old) and infants aged 5-11 months who received one or two PCV13 priming doses, in the 1+1 and 2+1 cohorts respectively. INTERPRETATION: After 3 years, the 1+1 schedule continues to provide direct and indirect protection against PCV13-type IPD in children, with no significant change in overall IPD incidence, serotype distribution, clinical presentation, or CFRs in children eligible for the 1+1 compared with the 2+1 schedule. Ongoing surveillance will be important to assess longer-term direct and indirect population protection. FUNDING: None.

Trends in invasive Haemophilus influenzae serotype b (Hib) disease in England: 2012/13 to 2022/23.

INTRODUCTION: Haemophilus influenzae serotype b (Hib) conjugate vaccines have been highly successful in reducing the Hib disease worldwide. Recently, several European countries have reported an increase in invasive Hib disease. We aimed to describe the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, genomic trends, and outcomes of invasive Hib disease over the past 11 years in England. METHODS: The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) conducts national surveillance of invasive H influenzae disease and hosts a national reference laboratory for confirmation and serotyping. General practitioners are contacted to complete a surveillance questionnaire for confirmed Hib cases. Invasive Hib isolates routinely undergo whole genome sequencing. RESULTS: During 2012/13-2022/23, there were 6881 invasive H. influenzae infections, of which 5852 (85%) were serotyped; most isolates (4881, 83%) were non-typeable H. influenzae, followed by Hif (591, 10%), Hie (189, 3%), Hib (118, 2%) and Hia (54, 1.0%). The median age for invasive Hib disease was 51 years, and most cases (84%, 99/118) were in adults. Children accounted for 19 cases (16%), including 13 (11%) in <1 year-olds and 6 (5%) in 1-5-year-olds. Bacteraemic pneumonia was the most common diagnosis (66/118, 56%). Hib case-fatality rate was 5.9% (7/118), with the last fatality reported in 2016. Among 64 sequenced strains during 2016/17-2022/2023, most (56/64, 88%) belonged to the CC6 lineage (representing ST6 and single locus variants of ST6). CONCLUSIONS: In England, invasive Hib disease remains rare with no evidence of any increase in incidence and is rarely fatal, affecting mainly adults with underlying conditions, who typically develop pneumonia.

Potential impact of replacing the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine with 15-valent or 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in the 1 + 1 infant schedule in England: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Paediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) programmes in England using seven-valent PCV (PCV7) in 2006 and 13-valent PCV (PCV13) in 2010 have reduced vaccine-type invasive pneumococcal disease, but the overall effect has been reduced by an increase in invasive pneumococcal disease due to non-vaccine serotypes and serotype 3. We developed pneumococcal transmission models to investigate the potential effect on invasive pneumococcal disease of higher valency PCVs covering an additional two (ie, 15-valent PCV [PCV15]) or seven serotypes (ie, 20-valent PCV [PCV20]) in England. METHODS: We conducted a modelling study using realistic, age-structured, and compartmental deterministic models fitted to carriage data from before the introduction of PCVs and invasive pneumococcal disease data from before and after the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13 in England from the UK Heath Security Agency invasive pneumococcal disease surveillance system. We estimated key parameters, including PCV7 and PCV13 efficacy against vaccine-type carriage and invasiveness of PCV7 serotypes; the additional serotypes in PCV13, PCV15 and PCV20; and non-vaccine serotypes. We simulated the effect of transitioning from PCV13 to PCV15 or PCV20 in infants under the current 1 + 1 vaccination schedule and investigated the effect of reduced carriage protection against PCV13 serotypes due to attenuation of immunogenicity in higher valency vaccines. FINDINGS: Our results suggest that PCV15 might increase overall invasive pneumococcal disease as the reduction in vaccine-type invasive pneumococcal disease would be counterbalanced by an increase in non-PCV15 invasive pneumococcal disease. By contrast, PCV20 is projected to have a substantial impact on overall invasive pneumococcal disease due to higher invasiveness of the additional serotypes covered by PCV20 than the replacing non-vaccine serotypes. Reduced carriage protection against PCV13 serotypes with higher valency vaccines would amplify these effects. INTERPRETATION: Replacing PCV13 with PCV20 is likely to have a substantial public health benefit, but PCV15 could potentially increase the overall burden of disease. FUNDING: UK Health Security Agency and National Institute of Health Research.

Impact of age on pneumococcal colonization of the nasopharynx and oral cavity: an ecological perspective.

Pneumococcal carriage studies have suggested that pneumococcal colonization in adults is largely limited to the oral cavity and oropharynx. In this study, we used total abundance-based ß-diversity (dissimilarity) and ß-diversity components to characterize age-related differences in pneumococcal serotype composition of respiratory samples. quantitative PCR (qPCR) was applied to detect pneumococcal serotypes in nasopharyngeal samples collected from 946 toddlers and 602 adults, saliva samples collected from a subset of 653 toddlers, and saliva and oropharyngeal samples collected from a subset of 318 adults. Bacterial culture rates from nasopharyngeal samples were used to characterize age-related differences in rates of colonizing bacteria. Dissimilarity in pneumococcal serotype composition was low among saliva and nasopharyngeal samples from children. In contrast, respiratory samples from adults exhibited high serotype dissimilarity, which predominantly consisted of abundance gradients and was associated with reduced nasopharyngeal colonization. Age-related serotype dissimilarity was high among nasopharyngeal samples and relatively low for saliva samples. Reduced nasopharyngeal colonization by pneumococcal serotypes coincided with significantly reduced Moraxella catarrhalis and Haemophilus influenzae and increased Staphylococcus aureus nasopharyngeal colonization rates among adults. Findings from this study suggest that within-host environmental conditions, utilized in the upper airways by pneumococcus and other bacteria, undergo age-related changes. It may result in a host-driven ecological succession of bacterial species colonizing the nasopharynx and lead to competitive exclusion of pneumococcus from the nasopharynx but not from the oral habitat. This explains the poor performance of nasopharyngeal samples for pneumococcal carriage among adults and indicates that in adults saliva more accurately represents the epidemiology of pneumococcal carriage than nasopharyngeal samples.

Invasive pneumococcal disease 3 years after introduction of a reduced 1 + 1 infant 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine immunisation schedule in England: a prospective national observational surveillance study.

BACKGROUND: The UK transition from a 2 + 1 to a 1 + 1 infant immunisation schedule with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) on Jan 1, 2020, coincided with the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. We describe the epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in England over 6 financial years (April 1 to March 31) between 2017-18 and 2022-23. METHODS: We used prospective national surveillance data, including serotyping and whole-genome sequencing of invasive isolates, to analyse IPD trends in England by age and financial year. We compared breakthrough infections and vaccine failure rates in 2022-23 among children eligible for the 1 + 1 schedule with rates in cohorts of children eligible for the 2 + 1 schedule between 2017-18 and 2019-20. We assessed genomic changes over time by comparing Global Pneumococcal Sequencing Clusters and multilocus sequence types among PCV13 serotypes causing IPD. FINDINGS: There were 4598 laboratory-confirmed IPD cases in 2022-23, 3025 in 2021-22, 1240 in 2020-21, and 5316 in 2019-20. IPD incidence in 2022-23 was 14% lower than in 2019-20 (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0·86, 95% CI 0·81-0·91; p<0·001). IPD incidence in 2022-23 compared with 2019-20 was 34% higher in children (aged <15 years) (378 cases vs 292 cases; IRR 1·34, 95% CI 1·08-1·68; p=0·009) and 17% lower in adults (aged 15 years and older; 4220 vs 5024; 0·83, 0·78-0·88; p<0·001). The proportion of PCV13-type IPD increased from 19·4% (95% CI 18·2-20·4; 957 of 4947) in 2019-20 to 29·7% (28·3-31·0; 1283 of 4326) in 2022-23, mainly due to serotype 3, but also serotypes 19F, 19A, and 4, alongside a decrease in non-PCV13 serotypes 8, 12F, and 9N. The increase in IPD incidence due to serotypes 3, 19A, and 19F was driven by clonal expansion of previously circulating strains, whereas serotype 4 expansion was driven by newer strains (ie, sequence types 801 and 15603). Breakthrough infections and vaccine failure rates were similar in children eligible for the 1 + 1 (1·08 per 100 000 person-years) and 2 + 1 (0·76 per 100 000 person-years; IRR 1·42, 95% CI 0·78-2·49; p=0·20) PCV13 schedules. INTERPRETATION: Overall, IPD incidence in England was lower in 2022-23, 2 years after removal of pandemic restrictions, than in 2019-20. Breakthrough and vaccine failure rates were not significantly different between children who received the 1 + 1 compared with the 2 + 1 PCV13 immunisation schedule. The post-pandemic increase in childhood IPD incidence and especially PCV13-type IPD will require close monitoring. FUNDING: None.

Pneumococcal serotypes and risk factors in adult community-acquired pneumonia 2018-20; a multicentre UK cohort study.

Background: Higher-valency pneumococcal vaccines are anticipated. We aimed to describe serotype distribution and risk factors for vaccine-serotype community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in the two years pre-SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study of adults hospitalised with CAP at three UK sites between 2018 and 2020. Pneumococcal serotypes were identified using a 24-valent urinary-antigen assay and blood cultures. Risk factors associated with vaccine-type pneumonia caused by serotypes in the 13-, 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV13, PCV15, PCV20) and 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) were determined from multivariable analysis. Findings: Of 1921 adults hospitalised with CAP, 781 (40.7%, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 38.5-42.9%) had pneumococcal pneumonia. A single PCV13-serotype was detected in 242 (31.0%, 95% CI 27.8-34.3%) pneumococcal CAP patients, mostly serotype 3 (171/242, 70.7%, 95% CI 64.5-76.0%). The additional two PCV15-serotypes were detected in 31 patients (4%, 95% CI 2.8-5.6%), and PCV20-non13-serotypes in 192 (24.6%), with serotype 8 most prevalent (123/192, 64.1%, 95% CI 57.1-70.5%). Compared to PCV13-serotype CAP, people with PCV20-non13 CAP were younger (median age 62 versus 72 years, p < 0.001) and less likely to be male (44% versus 61%, p = 0.01). PPV23-non13-serotypes were found in 252 (32.3%, 95% CI 29.1-35.6%) pneumococcal CAP patients. Interpretation: Despite mature infant pneumococcal programmes, the burden of PCV13-serotype pneumonia remains high in older adults, mainly due to serotype 3. PCV20-non13-serotype pneumonia is more likely in younger people with fewer pneumococcal risk factors. Funding: Unrestricted investigator-initiated research grant from Pfizer, United Kingdom; support from National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham.

Mixture modelling of Bordetella pertussis serology samples to evaluate anti-pertussis toxin immunoglobulin G titre thresholds for positivity: England 2008-2022.

Introduction. Antibody testing for evidence of a recent Bordetella pertussis infection by estimating anti-pertussis toxin immunoglobulin G (anti-PT-IgG) titres by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays is often recommended for those with a cough lasting more than 14 days. Interpreting results varies, with studies recommending different anti-PT-IgG titre thresholds for assigning positivity. In England, early work looking at antibody titre distributions for samples submitted from April 2010 to July 2012 found an optimal threshold of greater than 70 IU ml-1 for good sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value.Aim. The aim of this study is to use the same mixture modelling technique to determine if the 70 IU ml-1 threshold remains appropriate when assessing data before, during and after the outbreak of pertussis in 2011-2012.Methods. We reviewed titres for all serology-tested samples in England between 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2022. IgG titres were used to calculate the positivity based on the current threshold of 70 IU ml-1, the median duration of cough for individuals who tested positive and, through mixture modelling, the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV) of assay thresholds.Results. Positivity rates increased from 21.7 % prior to the outbreak to 30.3 % during the outbreak and dropped to 25.1 % post-outbreak; similar to estimates from the mixture model of 20.5, 33.3 and 28.7 %, respectively. Although the estimated sensitivity dropped during and after the outbreak when applying the 70 IU ml-1 threshold, the PPV remained high and therefore no change to this threshold is warranted.Conclusion. Mixture modelling is a useful tool to establish thresholds, but reassessment should also be done when there have been changes to prevalence and/or testing regimes to determine whether there have been any changes in sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV and whether the threshold should be revised.

National public health response to an outbreak of toxigenic Corynebacterium diphtheriae among asylum seekers in England, 2022: a descriptive epidemiological study.

BACKGROUND: In July, 2022, an increase in diphtheria cases caused by toxigenic Corynebacterium diphtheriae (C diphtheriae) was reported among asylum seekers arriving by small boats to England. Rising case numbers presented challenges for case and contact management in initial reception centres, prompting changes to national guidance and implementation of population-based control measures. This study aimed to describe the outbreak of toxigenic C diphtheriae among asylum seekers arriving by small boats to England during 2022 by use of national surveillance data. METHODS: We undertook a descriptive epidemiological analysis of cases of toxigenic C diphtheriae among asylum seekers arriving by small boats to England during 2022, incorporating genomic sequencing data, antibiotic susceptibility testing results, and epidemiological data obtained through the UK Health Security Agency's national enhanced surveillance programme. Health Protection Teams conducted risk assessments, and operational data (including details regarding offer and uptake of antibiotics and vaccinations) were obtained from National Health Service partners supporting the intervention programme. FINDINGS: In 2022, C diphtheriae isolates from 86 asylum seekers arriving by small boats were submitted to the National Reference Laboratory for confirmation and testing. Toxigenic C diphtheriae was confirmed for 72 (84%) cases and one individual with typical diphtheritic lesions but from whom no C diphtheriae was isolated from clinical swabs was also included as a probable case, resulting in 73 cases of diphtheria. 71 (97%) were male, 39 (53%) were younger than 18 years, and 36 (49%) presented with cutaneous diphtheria. The prevalence of diphtheria was highest among Afghans (1·3%) compared with all other nationalities (<0·1%). Local antibiotic susceptibility testing identified six cases with a macrolide resistant strain. INTERPRETATION: The increase in diphtheria coincided with a high volume of asylum seekers arriving by small boats to England during 2022, and subsequently increased clinical awareness of the disease among this population. Long-term disruption to vaccination programmes in origin countries along with barriers to accessing health care along migrant routes puts asylum seekers arriving by small boats at risk of disease. With arrivals expected to continue in 2023, the UK Health Security Agency has recommended continuation of population-based control measures in England until October, 2023, subject to ongoing review. FUNDING: The UK Health Security Agency.

Evaluation of Laboratories Supporting Invasive Bacterial Vaccine-Preventable Disease (IB-VPD) Surveillance in the World Health Organization African Region, through the Performance of Coordinated External Quality Assessment.

(1) Background: Laboratories supporting the invasive bacteria preventable disease (IB-VPD) network are expected to demonstrate the capacity to identify the main etiological agents of pediatric bacterial meningitis (PBM) (Neisseria meningitidis, Streptococcus pneumoniae and Haemophilus influenzae) on Gram stains and in phenotypic identification. Individual reports of sentinel site (SSL), national (NL) and regional reference (RRL) laboratories participating in the World Health Organization (WHO)-coordinated external quality assessment, distributed by the United Kingdom National External Quality Assessment (EQA) Services (UK NEQAS) for Microbiology between 2014 and 2019 were analyzed. (2) Methods: The panels consisted of (1) unstained bacterial smears for Gram staining, (2) viable isolates for identification and serotyping/serogrouping (ST/SG) and (3) simulated cerebral spinal fluid (CSF) samples for species detection and ST/SG using polymerase chain reaction (PCR). SSLs and NLs tested for Gram staining and species identification (partial panel). RRLs, plus any SSLs and NLs (optionally) also analyzed the simulated CSF samples (full panel). The passing score was ≥75% for NLs and SSLs, and ≥90% for RRLs and NLs/SSLs testing the full panel. (3) Results: Overall, 63% (5/8) of the SSLs and NLs were able to correctly identify the targeted pathogens, in 2019; but there were challenges to identify Haemophilus influenzae either on Gram stains (35% of the labs failed 2014), or in culture. Individual performance showed inconsistent capacity, with only 39% (13/33) of the SSLs/NLs passing the EQA exercise throughout all surveys in which they participated. RRLs performed well over the study period, but one of the two failed to reach the minimal passing score in 2016 and 2018; while the SSLs/NLs that optionally tested the full panel scored between 75% and 90% (intermediate pass category). (4) Conclusions: We identified a need for implementing a robust quality management system for timely identification of the gaps and then implementing corrective and preventive actions, in addition to continuous refresher training in the SSLs and NLs supporting the IB-VPD surveillance in the World Health Organization, Regional Office for Africa (WHO AFRO).

Trends in invasive bacterial diseases during the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic: analyses of prospective surveillance data from 30 countries and territories in the IRIS Consortium.

BACKGROUND: The Invasive Respiratory Infection Surveillance (IRIS) Consortium was established to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on invasive diseases caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, Neisseria meningitidis, and Streptococcus agalactiae. We aimed to analyse the incidence and distribution of these diseases during the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the 2 years preceding the pandemic. METHODS: For this prospective analysis, laboratories in 30 countries and territories representing five continents submitted surveillance data from Jan 1, 2018, to Jan 2, 2022, to private projects within databases in PubMLST. The impact of COVID-19 containment measures on the overall number of cases was analysed, and changes in disease distributions by patient age and serotype or group were examined. Interrupted time-series analyses were done to quantify the impact of pandemic response measures and their relaxation on disease rates, and autoregressive integrated moving average models were used to estimate effect sizes and forecast counterfactual trends by hemisphere. FINDINGS: Overall, 116 841 cases were analysed: 76 481 in 2018-19, before the pandemic, and 40 360 in 2020-21, during the pandemic. During the pandemic there was a significant reduction in the risk of disease caused by S pneumoniae (risk ratio 0·47; 95% CI 0·40-0·55), H influenzae (0·51; 0·40-0·66) and N meningitidis (0·26; 0·21-0·31), while no significant changes were observed for S agalactiae (1·02; 0·75-1·40), which is not transmitted via the respiratory route. No major changes in the distribution of cases were observed when stratified by patient age or serotype or group. An estimated 36 289 (95% prediction interval 17 145-55 434) cases of invasive bacterial disease were averted during the first 2 years of the pandemic among IRIS-participating countries and territories. INTERPRETATION: COVID-19 containment measures were associated with a sustained decrease in the incidence of invasive disease caused by S pneumoniae, H influenzae, and N meningitidis during the first 2 years of the pandemic, but cases began to increase in some countries towards the end of 2021 as pandemic restrictions were lifted. These IRIS data provide a better understanding of microbial transmission, will inform vaccine development and implementation, and can contribute to health-care service planning and provision of policies. FUNDING: Wellcome Trust, NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Torsten Söderberg Foundation, Stockholm County Council, Swedish Research Council, German Federal Ministry of Health, Robert Koch Institute, Pfizer, Merck, and the Greek National Public Health Organization.

Household transmission of non-toxigenic diphtheria toxin gene-bearing Corynebacterium diphtheriae following a cluster of cutaneous cases in a specialist outpatient setting.

Introduction. Combination of PCR and Elek testing to identify toxigenic corynebacteria has revealed organisms described as non-toxigenic toxin-gene bearing (NTTB) Corynebacterium diphtheriae or C. ulcerans (i.e. PCR tox positive; Elek negative). These organisms carry part or all of tox, but are unable to express diphtheria toxin (DT) and present a challenge to clinical and public health case management.Gap analysis/Hypothesis. There are few data on the theoretical risk of NTTB reversion to toxigenicity. This unique cluster and subsequent epidemiologically linked isolates allowed the opportunity to determine any change in DT expression status.Aim. To characterize a cluster of infections due to NTTB in a skin clinic and subsequent cases in two household contacts.Methodology. Epidemiological and microbiological investigations were carried out according to existing national guidance at the time. Susceptibility testing used gradient strips. The tox operon analysis and multi-locus sequence typing (MLST) was derived from whole-genome sequencing. Alignment of the tox operon and phylogenetic analyses were performed using clustalW, mega, the public core-genome MLST (cgMLST) scheme and an in-house bioinformatic single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) typing pipeline.Results. Isolates of NTTB C. diphtheriae were recovered from four cases (cases 1 to 4) with epidermolysis bullosa attending the clinic. Two further isolates were subsequently recovered from case 4, >18 months later, and from two household contacts (cases 5 and 6) after a further 18 months and 3.5 years, respectively. All eight strains were NTTB C. diphtheriae biovar mitis, belonged to the same sequence type (ST-336) with the same deletion in tox. Phylogenetic analysis showed relatively high diversity between the eight strains with 7-199 SNP and 3-109 cgMLST loci differences between them. The number of SNPs between the three isolates from case 4 and two household contacts (cases 5 and 6) was 44-70 with 28-38 cgMLST loci differences.Conclusions. We report a cluster of NTTB C. diphtheriae cases in a skin clinic and evidence of onward household transmission. We conclude the deletion in the tox was responsible for the non-expression of DT. There was no evidence of reversion to DT expression over the 6.5 year period studied. These data informed revision to guidance in the management of NTTB cases and their contacts in the UK.

Evaluation and validation of a commercial ELISA versus the in vitro toxin neutralization assay for determination of diphtheria anti-toxin in human serum.

Introduction. Diphtheria is a potentially life-threatening infection and remains endemic in many low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). A reliable, low-cost method for serosurveys in LMICs is warranted to estimate the accurate population immunity to control diphtheria.Hypothesis/Gap Statement. The correlation between the ELISA results against diphtheria toxoid and the gold standard diphtheria toxin neutralization test (TNT) values is poor when ELISA values are <0.1 IU ml-1, which results in inaccurate estimates of susceptibility in populations when ELISA is used for measuring antibody levels.Aim. To explore methods to accurately predict population immunity and TNT-derived anti-toxin titres from ELISA anti-toxoid results.Methodology. A total of 96 paired serum and dried blood spot (DBS) samples collected in Vietnam were used for comparison of TNT and ELISA. The diagnostic accuracy of ELISA measurement with reference to TNT was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and other parameters. Optimal ELISA cut-off values corresponding to TNT cut-off values of 0.01 and 0.1 IU ml-1 were identified by ROC analysis. A method based on the multiple imputation approach was also applied to estimate TNT measurements in a dataset that only included ELISA results. These two approaches were then applied to ELISA results previously generated from 510 subjects in a serosurvey in Vietnam.Results. The ELISA results on DBS samples showed a good diagnostic performance compared to TNT. The cut-off values for ELISA measurement corresponding to the TNT cut-off values of 0.01 IU ml-1 were 0.060 IU ml-1 in serum samples, and 0.044 IU ml-1 in DBS samples. When a cut-off value of 0.06 IU ml-1 was applied to the 510 subject serosurvey data, 54 % of the population were considered susceptible (<0.01 IU ml-1). The multiple imputation-based approach estimated that 35 % of the population were susceptible. These proportions were much larger than the susceptible proportion estimated by the original ELISA measurements.Conclusion. Testing a subset of sera by TNT combined with ROC analysis or a multiple imputation approach helps to adjust ELISA thresholds or values to assess population susceptibility more accurately. DBS is an effective low-cost alternative to serum for future serological studies for diphtheria.

Trends in invasive Haemophilus influenzae serotype a disease in England from 2008-09 to 2021-22: a prospective national surveillance study.

BACKGROUND: Invasive Haemophilus influenzae serotype a (Hia) disease is rare, with most cases reported among Indigenous populations in North America. In England, national surveillance was enhanced following an increase in laboratory-confirmed invasive Hia disease since the 2016-17 epidemiological year. This study aimed to describe the epidemiological trends, clinical characteristics of cases, and assess potential genomic drivers. METHODS: Hospital laboratories in England routinely submit invasive H influenzae isolates to the UK Health Security Agency for confirmation and serotyping. In this prospective national surveillance study we contacted the general practitioners and clinicians of all patients with laboratory-confirmed invasive Hia from the 2008-09 to the 2021-22 epidemiological year to complete a clinical questionnaire on demographics, underlying conditions, clinical presentation, complications, outcomes, and travel history of the patient. All Hia invasive isolates from residents in England were included in the study; non-invasive isolates were excluded. Multilocus sequence typing (MLST), whole genome single-nucleotide polymorphism, and k-mer-based analysis of bacterial isolates were performed following Illumina whole-genome sequencing (WGS). Outcomes included epidemiological trends, clinical characteristics of confirmed Hia cases, and genomic analyses. FINDINGS: From the 2008-09 to the 2021-22 epidemiological years, there were 52 cases of invasive infection with H influenzae serotype a in England (25 [48%] in female patients and 27 [52%] in male patients). There were zero to two annual Hia cases (accounting for <0·5% of serotyped H influenzae isolates) until 2015-16, after which cases increased across England to 19 cases in 2021-22 (incidence 0·03 cases per 100 000), when Hia accounted for 19 (4%) of 484 serotyped H influenzae isolates, 19 (19%) of 100 capsulated cases, and 37% (19 of 52) of all H influenzae cases between 2008-09 and 2021-22. Most of the recent increase in cases occurred among individuals aged 65 years and older (17 [33%] of 52), who typically presented with bacteraemic pneumonia (13 [76%] of 17), and infants younger than 1 year, who had the highest incidence and were more likely to present with meningitis (five [50%] of ten). Overall case fatality rate was 7·7% (95% CI 2·1-19·7; four of 52 patients). WGS found that closely related MLST sequence types ST1511 (20 [39%] of 51), ST23 (13 [25%] of 51), and ST56 (seven [14%] of 51) accounted for most cases, with no evidence of serotype b strains switching capsule to Hia. Duplication of the capsule operon, associated with more severe disease, was present in 32 (80%) of 40 of these sequence types. Analysis of the core and accessory genome content grouped most isolates into a single strain. INTERPRETATION: The persistent increase in invasive Hia cases across England and across all age groups suggests widespread transmission, consistent with reports from other European countries, and will require close monitoring. FUNDING: UK Health Security Agency.

A spitting image: molecular diagnostics applied to saliva enhance detection of Streptococcus pneumoniae and pneumococcal serotype carriage.

Background: Despite strong historical records on the accuracy of saliva testing, oral fluids are considered poorly suited for pneumococcal carriage detection. We evaluated an approach for carriage surveillance and vaccine studies that increases the sensitivity and specificity of pneumococcus and pneumococcal serotype detection in saliva samples. Methods: Quantitative PCR (qPCR)-based methods were applied to detect pneumococcus and pneumococcal serotypes in 971 saliva samples collected from 653 toddlers and 318 adults. Results were compared with culture-based and qPCR-based detection in nasopharyngeal samples collected from children and in nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal samples collected from adults. Optimal C q cut-offs for positivity in qPCRs were determined via receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and accuracy of different approaches was assessed using a composite reference for pneumococcal and for serotype carriage based on isolation of live pneumococcus from the person or positivity of saliva samples determined with qPCR. To evaluate the inter-laboratory reproducibility of the method, 229 culture-enriched samples were tested independently in the second center. Results: In total, 51.5% of saliva samples from children and 31.8% of saliva samples from adults were positive for pneumococcus. Detection of pneumococcus by qPCR in culture-enriched saliva exhibited enhanced sensitivity and higher agreement with a composite reference compared to diagnostic culture of nasopharyngeal samples in children (Cohen's κ: 0.69-0.79 vs. 0.61-0.73) and in adults (κ: 0.84-0.95 vs. 0.04-0.33) and culture of oropharyngeal samples in adults (κ: 0.84-0.95 vs. -0.12-0.19). Similarly, detection of serotypes with qPCR in culture-enriched saliva exhibited enhanced sensitivity and higher agreement with a composite reference compared to nasopharyngeal culture in children (κ: 0.73-0.82 vs. 0.61-0.73) and adults (κ: 0.90-0.96 vs. 0.00-0.30) and oropharyngeal culture in adults (κ: 0.90-0.96 vs. -0.13 to 0.30). However, results of qPCRs targeting serotype 4, 5, and 17F and serogroups 9, 12, and 35 were excluded due to assays' lack of specificity. We observed excellent quantitative agreement for qPCR-based detection of pneumococcus between laboratories. After exclusion of serotype/serogroup-specific assays with insufficient specificity, moderate agreement (κ 0.68, 95% CI 0.58-0.77) was observed. Conclusion: Molecular testing of culture-enriched saliva samples improves the sensitivity of overall surveillance of pneumococcal carriage in children and adults, but limitations of qPCR-based approaches for pneumococcal serotypes carriage detection should be considered.

Pneumococcal carriage following PCV13 delivered as one primary and one booster dose (1 + 1) compared to two primary doses and a booster (2 + 1) in UK infants.

In January 2020 the UK changed from a 2 + 1 schedule for 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) to a 1 + 1 schedule (doses at 3 and 12 months) based on a randomized immunogenicity trial comparing the two schedules. Carriage prevalence measured at the time of booster and 6 months later in 191 of the 213 study infants was 57 % (109/191) and 60 % (114/190) respectively. There were eight episodes of vaccine-type (VT) or vaccine-related 6C carriage in the 2 + 1 and six in the 1 + 1 group; ≥4-fold rises in serotype-specific IgG in 71 children with paired post-booster and follow up blood samples at 21-33 months of age were found in 20 % (7/35) of the 2 + 1 and 15 % (6/41) of the 1 + 1 group. VTs identified in carriage and inferred from serology were similar comprising 3, 19A and 19F. Dropping a priming dose from the 2 + 1 PCV 13 schedule did not increase VT carriage in the study cohort. Ongoing population level carriage studies will be important to confirm this.

Evaluation of the World Health Organization Global Invasive Bacterial Vaccine-Preventable Disease (IB-VPD) Surveillance Network's Laboratory External Quality Assessment Programme, 2014-2019.

Introduction. In 2009, the World Health Organization (WHO) established the Global Invasive Bacterial Vaccine Preventable Disease (IB-VPD) Surveillance Network (GISN) to monitor the global burden and aetiology of bacterial meningitis, pneumonia and sepsis caused by Haemophilus influenzae (Hi), Neisseria meningitidis (Nm) and Streptococcus pneumoniae (Sp).Hypothesis/Gap Statement. The GISN established an external quality assessment (EQA) programme for the characterization of Hi, Nm and Sp by culture and diagnostic PCR.Aim. To assess the performance of sentinel site laboratories (SSLs), national laboratories (NLs) and regional reference laboratories (RRLs) between 2014 and 2019 in the EQA programme.Methodology. Test samples consisted of bacterial smears for Gram-staining, viable isolates for identification and serotyping or serogrouping (ST/SG), plus simulated cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples for species detection and ST/SG by PCR. SSLs and NLs were only required to analyse the slides for Gram staining and identify the species of the live isolates. RRLs, and any SLs and NLs that had the additional laboratory capacity, were also required to ST/SG the viable isolates and analyse the simulated CSF samples.Results. Across the period, 69-112 SS/NL labs and eight or nine RRLs participated in the EQA exercise. Most participants correctly identified Nm and Sp in Gram-stained smears but were less successful with Hi and other species. SSLs/NLs identified the Hi, Nm and Sp cultures well and also submitted up to 56 % of Hi, 62 % of Nm and 33 % of Sp optional ST/SG results each year. There was an increasing trend in the proportion of correct results submitted over the 6 years for Nm and Sp. Some SSLs/NLs also performed the optional detection and ST/SG of the three organisms by PCR in simulated CSF from 2015 onwards; 89-100 % of the CSF samples were correctly identified and 76-93 % of Hi-, 90-100 % of Nm- and 75-100 % of Sp-positive samples were also correctly ST/SG across the distributions. The RRLs performed all parts of the EQA to a very high standard, with very few errors across all aspects of the EQA.Conclusion. The EQA has been an important tool in maintaining high standards of laboratory testing and building of laboratory capacity in the GISN.

Oral fluid-based lateral flow point-of-care assays for pertussis serology.

Introduction. Current serological diagnosis of pertussis is usually performed by ELISA, which is typically performed in larger diagnostic or reference laboratories, requires trained staff, and due to sample batching may have longer turnaround times.Hypothesis and Aim. A rapid point-of-care (POC) assay for pertussis serology would aid in both the diagnosis and surveillance of the disease.Methodology. A quantitative lateral flow (LF)-based immunoassay with fluorescent Eu-nanoparticle reporters was developed for the detection of anti-pertussis toxin (PT) and adenylate cyclase toxin (ACT) antibodies from oral fluid samples (N=100), from suspected pertussis cases with respiratory symptoms.Results. LF assay results were compared to those obtained with anti-PT IgG oral fluid ELISA. For an ELISA cut-off value of 50 arbitrary units, the overall agreement between the assays was 91/100 (91 %), the sensitivity was 63/70 (90 %) and the specificity was 28/30 (93 %). No ACT-specific antibodies were detected from oral fluid samples; however, the signal readout positively correlated to those patients with high anti-PT IgG antibodies.Conclusion. The developed LF assay was a specific, sensitive and rapid test for serological diagnosis of pertussis with anti-PT antibodies and is a suitable POC test using oral fluid samples.

Optimization of Timing of Maternal Pertussis Immunization From 6 Years of Postimplementation Surveillance Data in England.

BACKGROUND: England's third-trimester maternal pertussis vaccination, introduced in October 2012, was extended to the second trimester in 2016. Maternal vaccination provides high protection against infant disease, but routine second-trimester vaccination has not previously been assessed. METHODS: National laboratory-confirmed pertussis case surveillance determined vaccination history, maternal vaccination history and hospitalization. Pertussis hospital admissions between 2012 and 2019 were extracted from the Hospital Episode Statistics data set. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was calculated for pertussis case patients born between October 2012 and September 2018 using the screening method and matching with a nationally representative data set. RESULTS: Higher coverage was observed after earlier maternal vaccination with approximately 40% of pregnant women vaccinated ≥13 weeks before delivery. Cases and hospitalizations stabilized at low levels in younger infants but remained elevated in older infants, children, and adults. No deaths occurred in infants with vaccinated mothers after 2016. Of 1162 laboratory-confirmed pertussis cases in the study, 599 (52%) were in infants aged <93 days: 463 (77%) with unvaccinated and 136 (23%) with vaccinated mothers. The VE was equivalent in infants with mothers vaccinated at different gestational periods except in those with mothers vaccinated between 7 days before and 41 days after delivery. Children whose mothers were unvaccinated but with vaccination in a previous pregnancy had a VE against disease of 44% (95% confidence interval, 19%-75%). There was no increased disease risk after primary vaccination in children with mothers vaccinated at least 7 days before delivery. CONCLUSIONS: National policy recommending vaccination in the second trimester increased earlier maternal vaccine uptake with sustained high VE and impact against early infant disease.

Phylogenetic inference of pneumococcal transmission from cross-sectional data, a pilot study.

Background: Inference on pneumococcal transmission has mostly relied on longitudinal studies which are costly and resource intensive. Therefore, we conducted a pilot study to test the ability to infer who infected whom from cross-sectional pneumococcal sequences using phylogenetic inference. Methods: Five suspected transmission pairs, for which there was epidemiological evidence of who infected whom, were selected from a household study. For each pair, Streptococcus pneumoniae full genomes were sequenced from nasopharyngeal swabs collected on the same day. The within-host genetic diversity of the pneumococcal population was used to infer the transmission direction and then cross-validated with the direction suggested by the epidemiological records. Results: The pneumococcal genomes clustered into the five households from which the samples were taken. The proportion of concordantly inferred transmission direction generally increased with increasing minimum genome fragment size and single nucleotide polymorphisms. We observed a larger proportion of unique polymorphic sites in the source bacterial population compared to that of the recipient in four of the five pairs, as expected in the case of a transmission bottleneck. The only pair that did not exhibit this effect was also the pair that had consistent discordant transmission direction compared to the epidemiological records suggesting potential misdirection as a result of false-negative sampling. Conclusions: This pilot provided support for further studies to test if the direction of pneumococcal transmission can be reliably inferred from cross-sectional samples if sequenced with sufficient depth and fragment length.