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AI-enabled ECGs have previously been shown to accurately predict patient sex in adults and correlate with sex hormone levels. We aimed to test the ability of AI-enabled ECGs to predict sex in the pediatric population and study the influence of pubertal development. AI-enabled ECG models were created using a convolutional neural network trained on pediatric 10-second, 12-lead ECGs. The first model was trained de novo using pediatric data. The second model used transfer learning from a previously validated adult data-derived algorithm. We analyzed the first ECG from 90,133 unique pediatric patients (aged ≤18 years) recorded between 1987-2022, and divided the cohort into training, validation, and testing datasets. Subgroup analysis was performed on prepubertal (0-7 years), peripubertal (8-14 years), and postpubertal (15-18 years) patients. The cohort was 46.7% male, with 21,678 prepubertal, 26,740 peripubertal, and 41,715 postpubertal children. The de novo pediatric model demonstrated 81% accuracy and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.91. Model sensitivity was 0.79, specificity was 0.83, positive predicted value was 0.84, and the negative predicted value was 0.78, for the entire test cohort. The model's discriminatory ability was highest in postpubertal (AUC = 0.98), lower in the peripubertal age group (AUC = 0.91), and poor in the prepubertal age group (AUC = 0.67). There was no significant performance difference observed between the transfer learning and de novo models. AI-enabled interpretation of ECG can estimate sex in peripubertal and postpubertal children with high accuracy.
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Background: Cardiomyopathy is a leading cause of pregnancy-related mortality and the number one cause of death in the late postpartum period. Delay in diagnosis is associated with severe adverse outcomes. Objective: To evaluate the performance of an artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) and AI-enabled digital stethoscope to detect left ventricular systolic dysfunction in an obstetric population. Methods: We conducted a single-arm prospective study of pregnant and postpartum women enrolled at 3 sites between October 28, 2021, and October 27, 2022. Study participants completed a standard 12-lead ECG, digital stethoscope ECG and phonocardiogram recordings, and a transthoracic echocardiogram within 24 hours. Diagnostic performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC). Results: One hundred women were included in the final analysis. The median age was 31 years (Q1: 27, Q3: 34). Thirty-eight percent identified as non-Hispanic White, 32% as non-Hispanic Black, and 21% as Hispanic. Five percent and 6% had left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <45% and <50%, respectively. The AI-ECG model had near-perfect classification performance (AUC: 1.0, 100% sensitivity; 99%-100% specificity) for detection of cardiomyopathy at both LVEF categories. The AI-enabled digital stethoscope had an AUC of 0.98 (95% CI: 0.95, 1.00) and 0.97 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.00), for detection of LVEF <45% and <50%, respectively, with 100% sensitivity and 90% specificity. Conclusion: We demonstrate an AI-ECG and AI-enabled digital stethoscope were effective for detecting cardiac dysfunction in an obstetric population. Larger studies, including an evaluation of the impact of screening on clinical outcomes, are essential next steps.
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Artificial intelligence-enhanced identification of organs, lesions, and other structures in medical imaging is typically done using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) designed to make voxel-accurate segmentations of the region of interest. However, the labels required to train these CNNs are time-consuming to generate and require attention from subject matter experts to ensure quality. For tasks where voxel-level precision is not required, object detection models offer a viable alternative that can reduce annotation effort. Despite this potential application, there are few options for general-purpose object detection frameworks available for 3-D medical imaging. We report on MedYOLO, a 3-D object detection framework using the one-shot detection method of the YOLO family of models and designed for use with medical imaging. We tested this model on four different datasets: BRaTS, LIDC, an abdominal organ Computed tomography (CT) dataset, and an ECG-gated heart CT dataset. We found our models achieve high performance on a diverse range of structures even without hyperparameter tuning, reaching mean average precision (mAP) at intersection over union (IoU) 0.5 of 0.861 on BRaTS, 0.715 on the abdominal CT dataset, and 0.995 on the heart CT dataset. However, the models struggle with some structures, failing to converge on LIDC resulting in a mAP@0.5 of 0.0.
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BACKGROUND: Despite effectiveness of the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) in saving patients with life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (VAs), the temporal occurrence of VA after ICD implantation is unpredictable. OBJECTIVE: The study aimed to apply machine learning (ML) to intracardiac electrograms (IEGMs) recorded by ICDs as a unique biomarker for predicting impending VAs. METHODS: The study included 13,516 patients who received Biotronik ICDs and enrolled in the CERTITUDE registry between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2020. Database extraction included IEGMs from standard quarterly transmissions and VA event episodes. The processed IEGM data were pulled from device transmissions stored in a centralized Home Monitoring Service Center and reformatted into an analyzable format. Long-range (baseline or first scheduled remote recording), mid-range (scheduled remote recording every 90 days), or short-range predictions (IEGM within 5 seconds before the VA onset) were used to determine whether ML-processed IEGMs predicted impending VA events. Convolutional neural network classifiers using ResNet architecture were employed. RESULTS: Of 13,516 patients (male, 72%; age, 67.5 ± 11.9 years), 301,647 IEGM recordings were collected; 27,845 episodes of sustained ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation were observed in 4467 patients (33.0%). Neural networks based on convolutional neural networks using ResNet-like architectures on far-field IEGMs yielded an area under the curve of 0.83 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.79-0.87 in the short term, whereas the long-range and mid-range analyses had minimal predictive value for VA events. CONCLUSION: In this study, applying ML to ICD-acquired IEGMs predicted impending ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation events seconds before they occurred, whereas midterm to long-term predictions were not successful. This could have important implications for future device therapies.
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Aims: Mobile devices such as smartphones and watches can now record single-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs), making wearables a potential screening tool for cardiac and wellness monitoring outside of healthcare settings. Because friends and family often share their smart phones and devices, confirmation that a sample is from a given patient is important before it is added to the electronic health record. Methods and results: We sought to determine whether the application of Siamese neural network would permit the diagnostic ECG sample to serve as both a medical test and biometric identifier. When using similarity scores to discriminate whether a pair of ECGs came from the same patient or different patients, inputs of single-lead and 12-lead medians produced an area under the curve of 0.94 and 0.97, respectively. Conclusion: The similar performance of the single-lead and 12-lead configurations underscores the potential use of mobile devices to monitor cardiac health.
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Aims: Augmenting echocardiography with artificial intelligence would allow for automated assessment of routine parameters and identification of disease patterns not easily recognized otherwise. View classification is an essential first step before deep learning can be applied to the echocardiogram. Methods and results: We trained two- and three-dimensional convolutional neural networks (CNNs) using transthoracic echocardiographic (TTE) studies obtained from 909 patients to classify nine view categories (10 269 videos). Transthoracic echocardiographic studies from 229 patients were used in internal validation (2582 videos). Convolutional neural networks were tested on 100 patients with comprehensive TTE studies (where the two examples chosen by CNNs as most likely to represent a view were evaluated) and 408 patients with five view categories obtained via point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS). The overall accuracy of the two-dimensional CNN was 96.8%, and the averaged area under the curve (AUC) was 0.997 on the comprehensive TTE testing set; these numbers were 98.4% and 0.998, respectively, on the POCUS set. For the three-dimensional CNN, the accuracy and AUC were 96.3% and 0.998 for full TTE studies and 95.0% and 0.996 on POCUS videos, respectively. The positive predictive value, which defined correctly identified predicted views, was higher with two-dimensional rather than three-dimensional networks, exceeding 93% in apical, short-axis aortic valve, and parasternal long-axis left ventricle views. Conclusion: An automated view classifier utilizing CNNs was able to classify cardiac views obtained using TTE and POCUS with high accuracy. The view classifier will facilitate the application of deep learning to echocardiography.
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Aims: Cardiac amyloidosis (CA) is common in patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS) undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Cardiac amyloidosis has poor outcomes, and its assessment in all TAVR patients is costly and challenging. Electrocardiogram (ECG) artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms that screen for CA may be useful to identify at-risk patients. Methods and results: In this retrospective analysis of our institutional National Cardiovascular Disease Registry (NCDR)-TAVR database, patients undergoing TAVR between January 2012 and December 2018 were included. Pre-TAVR CA probability was analysed by an ECG AI predictive model, with >50% risk defined as high probability for CA. Univariable and propensity score covariate adjustment analyses using Cox regression were performed to compare clinical outcomes between patients with high CA probability vs. those with low probability at 1-year follow-up after TAVR. Of 1426 patients who underwent TAVR (mean age 81.0 ± 8.5 years, 57.6% male), 349 (24.4%) had high CA probability on pre-procedure ECG. Only 17 (1.2%) had a clinical diagnosis of CA. After multivariable adjustment, high probability of CA by ECG AI algorithm was significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.96, P = 0.046] and higher rates of major adverse cardiovascular events (transient ischaemic attack (TIA)/stroke, myocardial infarction, and heart failure hospitalizations] (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.01-1.82, P = 0.041), driven primarily by heart failure hospitalizations (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.13-2.20, P = 0.008) at 1-year follow-up. There were no significant differences in TIA/stroke or myocardial infarction. Conclusion: Artificial intelligence applied to pre-TAVR ECGs identifies a subgroup at higher risk of clinical events. These targeted patients may benefit from further diagnostic evaluation for CA.
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BACKGROUND: Extended sedentary behavior is a risk factor for chronic disease and mortality, even among those who exercise regularly. Given the time constraints of incorporating physical activity into daily schedules, and the high likelihood of sitting during office work, this environment may serve as a potentially feasible setting for interventions to reduce sedentary behavior. METHODS AND RESULTS: A randomized cross-over clinical trial was conducted at an employee wellness center. Four office settings were evaluated on 4 consecutive days: stationary or sitting station on day 1 (referent), and 3 subsequent active workstations (standing, walking, or stepper) in randomized order. Neurocognitive function (Selective Attention, Grammatical Reasoning, Odd One Out, Object Reasoning, Visuospatial Intelligence, Limited-Hold Memory, Paired Associates Learning, and Digit Span) and fine motor skills (typing speed and accuracy) were tested using validated tools. Average scores were compared among stations using linear regression with generalized estimating equations to adjust standard errors. Bonferroni method adjusted for multiple comparisons. Healthy subjects were enrolled (n=44), 28 (64%) women, mean±SD age 35±11 years, weight 75.5±17.1 kg, height 168.5±10.0 cm, and body mass index 26.5±5.2 kg/m2. When comparing active stations to sitting, neurocognitive test either improved or remained unchanged, while typing speed decreased without affecting typing errors. Overall results improved after day 1, suggesting habituation. We observed no major differences across active stations, except decrease in average typing speed 42.5 versus 39.7 words per minute with standing versus stepping (P=0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Active workstations improved cognitive performance, suggesting that these workstations can help decrease sedentary time without work performance impairment. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT06240286.
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Salud Laboral , Lugar de Trabajo , Humanos , Femenino , Adulto Joven , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Ejercicio Físico , Caminata , Índice de Masa CorporalRESUMEN
Recent artificial intelligence (AI) advancements in cardiovascular care offer potential enhancements in effective diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes. More than 600 U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved clinical AI algorithms now exist, with 10% focusing on cardiovascular applications, highlighting the growing opportunities for AI to augment care. This review discusses the latest advancements in the field of AI, with a particular focus on the utilization of multimodal inputs and the field of generative AI. Further discussions in this review involve an approach to understanding the larger context in which AI-augmented care may exist, and include a discussion of the need for rigorous evaluation, appropriate infrastructure for deployment, ethics and equity assessments, regulatory oversight, and viable business cases for deployment. Embracing this rapidly evolving technology while setting an appropriately high evaluation benchmark with careful and patient-centered implementation will be crucial for cardiology to leverage AI to enhance patient care and the provider experience.
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Inteligencia Artificial , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Humanos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/terapia , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , CardiologíaRESUMEN
Recent artificial intelligence (AI) advancements in cardiovascular care offer potential enhancements in diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes. Innovations to date focus on automating measurements, enhancing image quality, and detecting diseases using novel methods. Applications span wearables, electrocardiograms, echocardiography, angiography, genetics, and more. AI models detect diseases from electrocardiograms at accuracy not previously achieved by technology or human experts, including reduced ejection fraction, valvular heart disease, and other cardiomyopathies. However, AI's unique characteristics necessitate rigorous validation by addressing training methods, real-world efficacy, equity concerns, and long-term reliability. Despite an exponentially growing number of studies in cardiovascular AI, trials showing improvement in outcomes remain lacking. A number are currently underway. Embracing this rapidly evolving technology while setting a high evaluation benchmark will be crucial for cardiology to leverage AI to enhance patient care and the provider experience.
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Inteligencia Artificial , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Humanos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/terapia , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Cardiología/métodosRESUMEN
Biological age may be a more valuable predictor of morbidity and mortality than a person's chronological age. Mathematical models have been used for decades to predict biological age, but recent developments in artificial intelligence (AI) have led to new capabilities in age estimation. Using deep learning methods to train AI models on hundreds of thousands of electrocardiograms (ECGs) to predict age results in a good, but imperfect, age prediction. The error predicting age using ECG, or the difference between AI-ECG-derived age and chronological age (delta age), may be a surrogate measurement of biological age, as the delta age relates to survival, even after adjusting for chronological age and other covariates associated with total and cardiovascular mortality. The relative affordability, noninvasiveness, and ubiquity of ECGs, combined with ease of access and potential to be integrated with smartphone or wearable technology, presents a potential paradigm shift in assessment of biological age.
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Envejecimiento , Inteligencia Artificial , Electrocardiografía , Anciano , Humanos , Envejecimiento/fisiología , Aprendizaje ProfundoRESUMEN
Clinical guidelines recommend influenza vaccination for cardiac patients, and COVID-19 vaccination is also beneficial given their increased risk. Patient education regarding vaccination was developed for cardiac rehabilitation (CR); impact on knowledge and attitudes were evaluated. A single-group pre-post design was applied at a Spanish CR program in early 2022. After baseline assessment, a nurse delivered the 40-minute group education. Knowledge and attitudes were re-assessed. Sixty-one (72%) of the 85 participants were vaccinated for influenza, and 40 (47%) for pneumococcus. Most participants perceived vaccines were important, and that the COVID-19 vaccine specifically was important, with three-quarters not influenced by vaccine myths/misinformation. The education intervention resulted in significant improvements in perceptions of the importance of vaccines (Hake's index 69%), understanding of myths (48%), knowledge of the different types of COVID vaccines (92%), and when they should be vaccinated. Vaccination rates are low despite their importance; while further research is needed, education in the CR setting could promote greater uptake.
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OBJECTIVE: Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) are at increased risk for peripheral artery disease (PAD) and its complications. Arterial calcification and non-compressibility may limit test interpretation in this population. Developing tools capable of identifying PAD and predicting major adverse cardiac event (MACE) and limb event (MALE) outcomes among patients with DM would be clinically useful. Deep neural network analysis of resting Doppler arterial waveforms was used to detect PAD among patients with DM and to identify those at greatest risk for major adverse outcome events. METHODS: Consecutive patients with DM undergoing lower limb arterial testing (April 1, 2015-December 30, 2020) were randomly allocated to training, validation, and testing subsets (60%, 20%, and 20%). Deep neural networks were trained on resting posterior tibial arterial Doppler waveforms to predict all-cause mortality, MACE, and MALE at 5 years using quartiles based on the distribution of the prediction score. RESULTS: Among 11,384 total patients, 4211 patients with DM met study criteria (mean age, 68.6 ± 11.9 years; 32.0% female). After allocating the training and validation subsets, the final test subset included 856 patients. During follow-up, there were 262 deaths, 319 MACE, and 99 MALE. Patients in the upper quartile of prediction based on deep neural network analysis of the posterior tibial artery waveform provided independent prediction of death (hazard ratio [HR], 3.58; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.31-5.56), MACE (HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.49-2.91), and MALE (HR, 13.50; 95% CI, 5.83-31.27). CONCLUSIONS: An artificial intelligence enabled analysis of a resting Doppler arterial waveform permits identification of major adverse outcomes including all-cause mortality, MACE, and MALE among patients with DM.
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Enfermedad Arterial Periférica , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Ultrasonografía Doppler , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/fisiopatología , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/mortalidad , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/complicaciones , Medición de Riesgo , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Aprendizaje Profundo , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Pronóstico , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Factores de Tiempo , Arterias Tibiales/diagnóstico por imagen , Arterias Tibiales/fisiopatología , Angiopatías Diabéticas/fisiopatología , Angiopatías Diabéticas/diagnóstico por imagen , Angiopatías Diabéticas/mortalidad , Angiopatías Diabéticas/diagnósticoRESUMEN
Assessment of left ventricular diastolic function plays a major role in the diagnosis and prognosis of cardiac diseases, including heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. We aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiogram (ECG) model to identify echocardiographically determined diastolic dysfunction and increased filling pressure. We trained, validated, and tested an AI-enabled ECG in 98,736, 21,963, and 98,763 patients, respectively, who had an ECG and echocardiographic diastolic function assessment within 14 days with no exclusion criteria. It was also tested in 55,248 patients with indeterminate diastolic function by echocardiography. The model was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve, and its prognostic performance was compared to echocardiography. The AUC for detecting increased filling pressure was 0.911. The AUCs to identify diastolic dysfunction grades ≥1, ≥2, and 3 were 0.847, 0.911, and 0.943, respectively. During a median follow-up of 5.9 years, 20,223 (20.5%) died. Patients with increased filling pressure predicted by AI-ECG had higher mortality than those with normal filling pressure, after adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidities in the test group (hazard ratio (HR) 1.7, 95% CI 1.645-1.757) similar to echocardiography and in the indeterminate group (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.298-1.383). An AI-enabled ECG identifies increased filling pressure and diastolic function grades with a good prognostic value similar to echocardiography. AI-ECG is a simple and promising tool to enhance the detection of diseases associated with diastolic dysfunction and increased diastolic filling pressure.
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BACKGROUND: Patients with peripheral artery disease are at increased risk for major adverse cardiac events, major adverse limb events, and all-cause death. Developing tools capable of identifying those patients with peripheral artery disease at greatest risk for major adverse events is the first step for outcome prevention. This study aimed to determine whether computer-assisted analysis of a resting Doppler waveform using deep neural networks can accurately identify patients with peripheral artery disease at greatest risk for adverse outcome events. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive patients (April 1, 2015, to December 31, 2020) undergoing ankle-brachial index testing were included. Patients were randomly allocated to training, validation, and testing subsets (60%/20%/20%). Deep neural networks were trained on resting posterior tibial arterial Doppler waveforms to predict major adverse cardiac events, major adverse limb events, and all-cause death at 5 years. Patients were then analyzed in groups based on the quartiles of each prediction score in the training set. Among 11 384 total patients, 10 437 patients met study inclusion criteria (mean age, 65.8±14.8 years; 40.6% women). The test subset included 2084 patients. During 5 years of follow-up, there were 447 deaths, 585 major adverse cardiac events, and 161 MALE events. After adjusting for age, sex, and Charlson comorbidity index, deep neural network analysis of the posterior tibial artery waveform provided independent prediction of death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.44 [95% CI, 1.78-3.34]), major adverse cardiac events (HR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.49-2.61]), and major adverse limb events (HR, 11.03 [95% CI, 5.43-22.39]) at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: An artificial intelligence-enabled analysis of Doppler arterial waveforms enables identification of major adverse outcomes among patients with peripheral artery disease, which may promote early adoption and adherence of risk factor modification.
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Inteligencia Artificial , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Masculino , Enfermedad Arterial Periférica/diagnóstico por imagen , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
AIMS: Cardiotoxicity is a serious side effect of anthracycline treatment, most commonly manifesting as a reduction in left ventricular ejection fraction (EF). Early recognition and treatment have been advocated, but robust, convenient, and cost-effective alternatives to cardiac imaging are missing. Recent developments in artificial intelligence (AI) techniques applied to electrocardiograms (ECGs) may fill this gap, but no study so far has demonstrated its merit for the detection of an abnormal EF after anthracycline therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: Single centre consecutive cohort study of all breast cancer patients with ECG and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) evaluation before and after (neo)adjuvant anthracycline chemotherapy. Patients with HER2-directed therapy, metastatic disease, second primary malignancy, or pre-existing cardiovascular disease were excluded from the analyses as were patients with EF decline for reasons other than anthracycline-induced cardiotoxicity. Primary readout was the diagnostic performance of AI-ECG by area under the curve (AUC) for EFs < 50%. Of 989 consecutive female breast cancer patients, 22 developed a decline in EF attributed to anthracycline therapy over a follow-up time of 9.8 ± 4.2 years. After exclusion of patients who did not have ECGs within 90 days of a TTE, 20 cases and 683 controls remained. The AI-ECG model detected an EF < 50% and ≤ 35% after anthracycline therapy with an AUC of 0.93 and 0.94, respectively. CONCLUSION: These data support the use of AI-ECG for cardiotoxicity screening after anthracycline-based chemotherapy. This technology could serve as a gatekeeper to more costly cardiac imaging and could enable patients to monitor themselves over long periods of time.
Artificial intelligence electrocardiogram can be used to screen for an abnormal heart function after anthracycline chemotherapy, opening the door to new ways of cost-effective screening of cancer survivors at risk of cardiotoxicity over long periods of time.
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Antraciclinas , Neoplasias de la Mama , Humanos , Femenino , Volumen Sistólico , Antraciclinas/efectos adversos , Cardiotoxicidad , Función Ventricular Izquierda , Estudios de Cohortes , Inteligencia Artificial , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Electrocardiografía , Neoplasias de la Mama/tratamiento farmacológico , Antibióticos Antineoplásicos/efectos adversosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Although several studies have documented the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health, the long-term effects remain unclear. AIMS: To examine longitudinal changes in mental health before and during the consecutive COVID-19 waves in a well-established probability sample. METHOD: An online survey was completed by the participants of the COVID-19 add-on study at four time points: pre-COVID-19 period (2014-2015, n = 1823), first COVID-19 wave (April to May 2020, n = 788), second COVID-19 wave (August to October 2020, n = 532) and third COVID-19 wave (March to April 2021, n = 383). Data were collected via a set of validated instruments, and analysed with latent growth models. RESULTS: During the pandemic, we observed a significant increase in stress levels (standardised ß = 0.473, P < 0.001) and depressive symptoms (standardised ß = 1.284, P < 0.001). The rate of increase in depressive symptoms (std. covariance = 0.784, P = 0.014), but not in stress levels (std. covariance = 0.057, P = 0.743), was associated with the pre-pandemic mental health status of the participants. Further analysis showed that secondary stressors played a predominant role in the increase in mental health difficulties. The main secondary stressors were loneliness, negative emotionality associated with the perception of COVID-19 disease, lack of resilience, female gender and younger age. CONCLUSIONS: The surge in stress levels and depressive symptoms persisted across all three consecutive COVID-19 waves. This persistence is attributable to the effects of secondary stressors, and particularly to the status of mental health before the COVID-19 pandemic. Our findings reveal mechanisms underlying the surge in mental health difficulties during the COVID-19 waves, with direct implications for strategies promoting mental health during pandemics.
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Background: Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide, driven primarily by coronary artery disease (CAD). ASCVD risk estimators such as the pooled cohort equations (PCE) facilitate risk stratification and primary prevention of ASCVD but their accuracy is still suboptimal. Methods: Using deep electronic health record data from 7,116,209 patients seen at 70+ hospitals and clinics across 5 states in the USA, we developed an artificial intelligence-based electrocardiogram analysis tool (ECG-AI) to detect CAD and assessed the additive value of ECG-AI-based ASCVD risk stratification to the PCE. We created independent ECG-AI models using separate neural networks including subjects without known history of ASCVD, to identify coronary artery calcium (CAC) score ≥300 Agatston units by computed tomography, obstructive CAD by angiography or procedural intervention, and regional left ventricular akinesis in ≥1 segment by echocardiogram, as a reflection of possible prior myocardial infarction (MI). These were used to assess the utility of ECG-AI-based ASCVD risk stratification in a retrospective observational study consisting of patients with PCE scores and no prior ASCVD. The study period covered all available digitized EHR data, with the first available ECG in 1987 and the last in February 2023. Findings: ECG-AI for identifying CAC ≥300, obstructive CAD, and regional akinesis achieved area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) values of 0.88, 0.85, and 0.94, respectively. An ensembled ECG-AI identified 3, 5, and 10-year risk for acute coronary events and mortality independently and additively to PCE. Hazard ratios for acute coronary events over 3-years in patients without ASCVD that tested positive on 1, 2, or 3 versus 0 disease-specific ECG-AI models at cohort entry were 2.41 (2.14-2.71), 4.23 (3.74-4.78), and 11.75 (10.2-13.52), respectively. Similar stratification was observed in cohorts stratified by PCE or age. Interpretation: ECG-AI has potential to address unmet need for accessible risk stratification in patients in whom PCE under, over, or insufficiently estimates ASCVD risk, and in whom risk assessment over time periods shorter than 10 years is desired. Funding: Anumana.