Comparison of definitions of early knee osteoarthritis for likelihood of progression at 2-year and 5-year follow-up: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.

BACKGROUND: Preventing worsening osteoarthritis (OA) in persons with early OA is a major treatment goal. We evaluated if different early OA definitions yielded enough cases of worsening OA within 2-5 years to make trial testing treatments feasible. METHODS: We assessed different definitions of early OA using data from Multicenter Osteoarthritis (MOST) Study participants who were followed up longitudinally. We defined early OA as having at least minimal knee pain (WOMAC (Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index) pain ≥3/20) with different levels of pre-radiographic OA. For MRI, we required knee pain and used MRI definitions with combinations of cartilage damage, osteophytes, bone marrow lesions and meniscus damage.The primary outcome, worsening OA at 2 or 5 years, combined structural (Kellgren and Lawrence grade ≥2 with joint space narrowing ≥1) and symptom (WOMAC pain ≥6 with increase ≥2 from baseline) outcomes. We also examined structural and symptom outcomes separately. RESULTS: For worsening OA at 2 years, we included 750 participants (mean age 65 years, 60% female, 90% white, mean body mass index 29.2 kg/m2). Fewer than 10% of early OA knees had the combined outcome at 2 or 5 years. At 2 years, for several early OA definitions, roughly 20% of knees had either structural or symptom worsening outcomes. Two-year trials of either, but not both, outcomes would need to recruit over 1200 patients. CONCLUSION: Most knees with early OA are stable and do not progress. Some painful knees experience worse pain but not structural progression and vice versa. Trial testing treatments to prevent OA illness or disease will be challenging.

Clinical and imaging findings associated with preservation of knee joint health over 8 years in individuals aged 65 and over: data from the OAI.

OBJECTIVE: While risk factors for osteoarthritis (OA) are well known, it is not well understood why certain individuals maintain high mobility and joint health throughout their life while others demonstrate OA at older ages. The purpose of this study was to assess which demographic, clinical and MRI quantitative and semi-quantitative factors are associated with preserving healthy knees in older individuals. METHODS: This study analyzed data from the OA Initiative (OAI) cohort of individuals at the age of 65 years or above. Participants without OA at baseline (BL) (Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) ≤ 1) were followed and classified as incident cases (KL ≥ 2 during follow-up; n = 115) and as non-incident (KL ≤ 1 over 96-month; n = 391). Associations between the predictor-variables sex, age, BMI, race, clinical scoring systems, T2 relaxation times and Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Score (WORMS) readings at BL and the preservation of healthy knees (KL ≤ 1) during a 96-month follow-up period were assessed using logistic regression models. RESULTS: Obesity and presence of pain showed a significant inverse association with maintaining radiographically normal joints in patients aged 65 and above. T2 relaxation times of the lateral femur and tibia as well as the medial femur were also significantly associated with maintaining radiographically normal knee joints. Additionally, absence of lesions of the lateral meniscus and absence of cartilage lesions in the medial and patellofemoral compartments were significantly associated with maintaining healthy knee joints. CONCLUSION: Overall, this study provides protective clinical parameters as well as quantitative and semi-quantitative MR-imaging parameters associated with maintaining radiographically normal knee joints in an older population over 8 years.

Effect of weight loss on knee joint synovitis over 48 months and mediation by subcutaneous fat around the knee: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative.

BACKGROUND: Obesity influences the development of osteoarthritis via low-grade inflammation. Progression of local inflammation (= synovitis) increased with weight gain in overweight and obese women compared to stable weight. Synovitis could be associated with subcutaneous fat (SCF) around the knee. Purpose of the study was to investigate the effect of weight loss on synovitis progression and to assess whether SCF around the knee mediates the relationship between weight loss and synovitis progression. METHODS: We included 234 overweight and obese participants (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 25 kg/m2) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) with > 10% weight loss (n = 117) or stable overweight (< ± 3% change, n = 117) over 48 months matched for age and sex. In magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at baseline and 48 months, effusion-synovitis and Hoffa-synovitis using the MRI Osteoarthritis Knee Score (MOAKS) and average joint-adjacent SCF (ajSCF) were assessed. Odds-ratios (ORs) for synovitis progression over 48 months (≥ 1 score increase) were calculated in logistic regression models adjusting for age, sex, baseline BMI, Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly (PASE), and baseline SCF measurements. Mediation of the effect of weight loss on synovitis progression by local SCF change was assessed. RESULTS: Odds for effusion-synovitis progression decreased with weight loss and ajSCF decrease (odds ratio [OR] = 0.61 and 0.56 per standard deviation [SD] change, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44, 0.83 and 0.40, 0.79, p = 0.002 and 0.001, respectively), whereas odds for Hoffa-synovitis progression increased with weight loss and ajSCF decrease (OR = 1.47 and 1.48, CI 1.05, 2.04 and 1.02, 2.13, p = 0.024 and 0.038, respectively). AjSCF decrease mediated 39% of the effect of weight loss on effusion-synovitis progression. CONCLUSIONS: Effusion-synovitis progression was slowed by weight loss and decrease in local subcutaneous fat. Hoffa-synovitis characterized by fluid in the infrapatellar fat pad increased at the same time, suggesting a decreasing fat pad rather than active synovitis. Decrease in local subcutaneous fat partially mediated the systemic effect of weight loss on synovitis.

Cohort profile: Worldwide Collaboration on OsteoArthritis prediCtion for the Hip (World COACH) - an international consortium of prospective cohort studies with individual participant data on hip osteoarthritis.

PURPOSE: Hip osteoarthritis (OA) is a major cause of pain and disability worldwide. Lack of effective therapies may reflect poor knowledge on its aetiology and risk factors, and result in the management of end-stage hip OA with costly joint replacement. The Worldwide Collaboration on OsteoArthritis prediCtion for the Hip (World COACH) consortium was established to pool and harmonise individual participant data from prospective cohort studies. The consortium aims to better understand determinants and risk factors for the development and progression of hip OA, to optimise and automate methods for (imaging) analysis, and to develop a personalised prediction model for hip OA. PARTICIPANTS: World COACH aimed to include participants of prospective cohort studies with ≥200 participants, that have hip imaging data available from at least 2 time points at least 4 years apart. All individual participant data, including clinical data, imaging (data), biochemical markers, questionnaires and genetic data, were collected and pooled into a single, individual-level database. FINDINGS TO DATE: World COACH currently consists of 9 cohorts, with 38 021 participants aged 18-80 years at baseline. Overall, 71% of the participants were women and mean baseline age was 65.3±8.6 years. Over 34 000 participants had baseline pelvic radiographs available, and over 22 000 had an additional pelvic radiograph after 8-12 years of follow-up. Even longer radiographic follow-up (15-25 years) is available for over 6000 of these participants. FUTURE PLANS: The World COACH consortium offers unique opportunities for studies on the relationship between determinants/risk factors and the development or progression of hip OA, by using harmonised data on clinical findings, imaging, biomarkers, genetics and lifestyle. This provides a unique opportunity to develop a personalised hip OA risk prediction model and to optimise methods for imaging analysis of the hip.

Assessing the association of epigenetic age acceleration with osteoarthritis in the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST).

PURPOSE: Advancing age is one of the strongest risk factors for osteoarthritis (OA). DNA methylation-based measures of epigenetic age acceleration may provide insights into mechanisms underlying OA. METHODS: We analyzed data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study in a subset of 671 participants ages 45-69 years with no or mild radiographic knee OA. DNA methylation was assessed with the Illumina Infinium MethylationEPIC 850K array. We calculated predicted epigenetic age according to Hannum, Horvath, PhenoAge, and GrimAge epigenetic clocks, then regressed epigenetic age on chronological age to obtain the residuals. Associations between the residuals and knee, hand, and multi-joint OA were assessed using logistic regression, adjusted for chronological age, sex, clinical site, smoking status, and race. RESULTS: Twenty-three percent met criteria for radiographic hand OA, 25% met criteria for radiographic knee OA, and 8% met criteria for multi-joint OA. Mean chronological age (SD) was 58.4 (6.7) years. Mean predicted epigenetic age (SD) according to Horvath, Hannum, PhenoAge, and GrimAge epigenetic clocks was 64.9 (6.4), 68.6 (5.9), 50.5 (7.7), and 67.0 (6.2), respectively. Horvath epigenetic age acceleration was not associated with an increased odds of hand OA, odds ratio (95% confidence intervals) = 1.03 (0.99-1.08), with similar findings for knee and multi-joint OA. We found similar magnitudes of associations for Hannum epigenetic age, PhenoAge, and GrimAge acceleration compared to Horvath epigenetic age acceleration. CONCLUSIONS: Epigenetic age acceleration as measured by various well-validated epigenetic clocks based on DNA methylation was not associated with increased risk of knee, hand, or multi-joint OA independent of chronological age.

Thigh muscle and fat volumes are associated with knee cartilage abnormalities and bone marrow edema-like lesions: data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the associations of thigh muscle and fat volumes with structural abnormalities on MRI related to knee osteoarthritis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: MRI studies of the thighs and knees from 100 individuals were randomly selected from the Osteoarthritis Initiative Cohort. Whole Organ MR Scoring (WORMS) and effusion-synovitis scoring were performed in all knee MRI. Thigh muscles, intermuscular fat, and subcutaneous fat were manually segmented in 15 consecutive MR thigh images. Radiographic Kellgren-Lawrence grades (KLG) were also obtained in all knee radiographs. Independent t-tests were used to investigate the associations between thigh muscle and fat volumes, and sex. Mixed-effects analyses were obtained to investigate the associations between thigh muscle and fat volumes, KLG, WOMAC pain score, cartilage and bone marrow WORMS, as well as effusion-synovitis scores. RESULTS: Women had higher subcutaneous fat volume than men (616.82 vs. 229.13 cm3, p < 0.01) and men had higher muscle volumes than women (p < 0.01). Quadriceps (coef = -2.15, p = 0.01) and vastus medialis (coef = -1.84, p = 0.03) volumes were negatively associated with the WORMS cartilage scores. Intermuscular fat volume (coef = 0.48, p = 0.01) was positively associated with WORMS bone marrow edema-like lesion (BMEL) scores. The quadriceps (coef = -0.99, p < 0.01) and hamstring (coef = -0.59, p = 0.01) volumes were negatively associated with WORMS BMEL scores. No evidence of an association was found between thigh muscle and fat volumes with KLG and effusion-synovitis grading (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Increased quadriceps and hamstring volumes were negatively associated with cartilage lesion and BMEL scores while no evidence of an association was found between thigh muscle and fat volumes, and radiographic knee osteoarthritis or effusion-synovitis grading.

Participant-guided development of bilingual genomic educational infographics for Electronic Medical Records and Genomics Phase IV study.

OBJECTIVE: Developing targeted, culturally competent educational materials is critical for participant understanding of engagement in a large genomic study that uses computational pipelines to produce genome-informed risk assessments. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Guided by the Smerecnik framework that theorizes understanding of multifactorial genetic disease through 3 knowledge types, we developed English and Spanish infographics for individuals enrolled in the Electronic Medical Records and Genomics Network. Infographics were developed to explain concepts in lay language and visualizations. We conducted iterative sessions using a modified "think-aloud" process with 10 participants (6 English, 4 Spanish-speaking) to explore comprehension of and attitudes towards the infographics. RESULTS: We found that all but one participant had "awareness knowledge" of genetic disease risk factors upon viewing the infographics. Many participants had difficulty with "how-to" knowledge of applying genetic risk factors to specific monogenic and polygenic risks. Participant attitudes towards the iteratively-refined infographics indicated that design saturation was reached. DISCUSSION: There were several elements that contributed to the participants' comprehension (or misunderstanding) of the infographics. Visualization and iconography techniques best resonated with those who could draw on prior experiences or knowledge and were absent in those without. Limited graphicacy interfered with the understanding of absolute and relative risks when presented in graph format. Notably, narrative and storytelling theory that informed the creation of a vignette infographic was most accessible to all participants. CONCLUSION: Engagement with the intended audience who can identify strengths and points for improvement of the intervention is necessary to the development of effective infographics.

Association of Medial Meniscus Root Tears and Nonroot Tears With Worsening of Radiographic Knee Osteoarthritis.

Background: Medial meniscus root tears (RTs) are associated with the development and worsening of knee osteoarthritis (OA), but little is known about their progression when compared with meniscal tears that spare the root (nonroot tears; NRTs). Purpose: To compare radiographic worsening of OA in knees with RTs versus NRTs and to identify factors associated with radiographic worsening of OA in knees with RTs. Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: Using the Osteoarthritis Initiative database, we included knees with medial meniscus RTs and NRTs present at the baseline visit (baseline tears) and new RTs and NRTs observed at 12- to 48-month annual follow-up visits (incident tears). Worsening of radiographic OA was defined for baseline tears as an increase in Kellgren-Lawrence grade (KLG) during the subsequent 12 months of follow-up; for incident tears, worsening was defined as either concurrent (increase in KLG over the 12 months preceding tear appearance on magnetic resonance imaging) or subsequent (increase in KLG during the 12 months after tear appearance). Odds ratios (ORs), adjusted for covariates, were calculated for the association of worsening by type of tear. Results: Included were 39 knees with baseline RTs, 633 knees with baseline NRTs, 33 knees with incident RTs, and 234 knees with incident NRTs. Radiographic OA worsening subsequent to meniscal tear identification was no different for baseline RTs (15%) or baseline NRTs (14%; adjusted OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 0.52-3.47), nor did subsequent worsening differ for incident RTs (19%) versus incident NRTs (18%; adjusted OR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.15-1.83). Concurrent radiographic OA worsening was seen at a significantly higher rate for incident RTs (64%) versus incident NRTs (21%; adjusted OR, 3.00; 95% CI, 1.21-7.47). Incident RTs in knees without radiographic OA (KLG 0-1) before the tear had a high rate of worsening (94%, n = 16) and were more likely to worsen than those in knees with radiographic OA (KLG ≥2) present before the tear. Conclusion: Compared with NRTs, incident RTs were associated with a significantly increased risk of worsening radiographic OA over a 12-month period concurrent with the appearance of the tear. Incident RTs in knees without radiographic OA at baseline had a high rate of worsening.

Associations between weight change, knee subcutaneous fat and cartilage thickness in overweight and obese individuals: 4-Year data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

OBJECTIVE: To assess (i) the impact of changes in body weight on changes in joint-adjacent subcutaneous fat (SCF) and cartilage thickness over 4 years and (ii) the relation between changes in joint-adjacent SCF and knee cartilage thickness. DESIGN: Individuals from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (total=399) with > 10% weight gain (n=100) and > 10% weight loss (n=100) over 4 years were compared to a matched control cohort with less than 3% change in weight (n=199). 3.0T Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) of the right knee was performed at baseline and after 4 years to quantify joint-adjacent SCF and cartilage thickness. Linear regression models were used to evaluate the associations between the (i) weight change group and 4-year changes in both knee SCF and cartilage thickness, and (ii) 4-year changes in knee SCF and in cartilage thickness. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, baseline body mass index (BMI), tibial diameter (and weight change group in analysis (ii)). RESULTS: Individuals who lost weight over 4-years had significantly less joint-adjacent SCF (beta range, medial/lateral joint sides: 2.2-4.2 mm, p < 0.001) than controls; individuals who gained weight had significantly greater joint-adjacent SCF than controls (beta range: -1.4 to -3.9 mm, p < 0.001). No statistically significant associations were found between weight change and cartilage thickness change. However, increases in joint-adjacent SCF over 4 years were significantly associated with decreases in cartilage thickness (p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Weight change was associated with joint-adjacent SCF, but not with change in cartilage thickness. However, 4-year increases in joint-adjacent SCF were associated with decreases in cartilage thickness independent of baseline BMI and weight change group.

Do associations with hand OA vary by knee osteoarthritis phenotype? Cross-sectional data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.

Objective: Osteoarthritis (OA) is highly heterogeneous and has both biomechanical and systemic components that may not have the same etiology. We therefore aimed to identify specific knee OA phenotypes that may be more strongly associated with hand OA to refine the criteria used to define multi-joint OA. Design: We assessed data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST). We ascertained hand OA from bilateral hand photographs; scores for each joint row were summed to yield an aggregate hand OA score. Knee OA was ascertained from bilateral posteroanterior knee radiographs read for Kellgren-Lawrence grade and individual radiographic features. We tested associations between hand and knee OA with phenotypes including symptomatic OA, hyper- and atrophic knee OA, and one excluding post-traumatic OA. Associations between hand and knee OA were assessed with logistic regression, adjusted for age. Results: We studied 2493 participants with hand and knee OA measures. Median age was 63 years with 57% women. 55% had an aggregate hand OA score ≥2; frequency of knee OA phenotypes ranged from 8% to 34%. The age-adjusted odds ratio (OR) was 1.14 (95% confidence interval (CI) â€‹= â€‹1.04-1.26) for knee OA per standard deviation of the hand OA aggregate score. Hand OA associations with symptomatic knee OA and knee OA excluding post-traumatic knee OA were OR â€‹= â€‹1.16 (95% CI â€‹= â€‹1.03-1.31) and OR â€‹= â€‹1.21 (95% CI â€‹= â€‹1.08-1.35), respectively. No other knee OA phenotype reached statistical significance. Conclusions: Age-adjusted associations between hand and knee OA were modest and were largely similar across knee OA phenotypes.

Developing video education materials for the return of genomic test results to parents and adolescents.

Objective: To describe the development, implementation, and revision of a video to provide information about genomic testing and the return of genomic research results to adolescents and parents. Methods: Formative, community-engaged research was conducted in three stages: development, implementation, and revision. Existing research participant advisory groups were used for focus groups and convenience sampling was used for interviews. Participants included parents, young adults without children, and adolescents. Transcripts of recorded sessions were used for formative analysis. Results: Video was the preferred format for delivering genomic testing information to adolescents during the development stage. During implementation, adolescents identified video length as an impediment to recall. During the revision stage, participants preferred the video in separate short segments, supported plan to require only one short video and leaving other short videos optional. Participants were divided on whether the required short video provided enough information, but all participants reported that watching additional videos would not have changed their decisions about receiving test results. Conclusion: Genomic education videos should be brief (<4 mins) to improve the odds that participants will view the entirety of any required video. Innovation: The development of participant materials should incorporate plans for monitoring implementation and plans for revising materials.

Revising the Bioethics Story: Memory and Story in Precarious Times.

The foundation story of bioethics is, as Susan Reverby (2009) argues, one of a trinity of horror stories culminating in what we commonly call the "Tuskegee Syphilis Study." The foundation story emphasizes that medical researchers violated participant autonomy by deceiving them about their medical conditions, the goals of the study, and the treatments they would receive, and by failing to consider the health and best interests of the research participant. While this story reflects some key elements of the Tuskegee study, it is only a selection of all the possible facts that, as a consequence, deflects attention from equally salient and problematic elements of the Public Health Service's unethical study and its context. Those elements not included in the bioethics foundation story represent the types of racial and social inequities that COVID-19 and other contemporary events have thrown into stark relief. If bioethics plans to emphasize translational work around public policy and public engagement understood broadly, then it will need to revise and expand the story it tells about itself and its founding.

Multiparametric 3-D analysis of bone and joint space width at the knee from weight bearing computed tomography.

Objective: Computed tomography (CT) can deliver multiple parameters relevant to osteoarthritis. In this study we demonstrate that a 3-D multiparametric approach at the weight bearing knee with cone beam CT is feasible, can include multiple parameters from across the joint space, and can reveal stronger relationships with disease status in combination. Design: 33 participants with knee weight bearing CT (WBCT) were analysed with joint space mapping and cortical bone mapping to deliver joint space width (JSW), subchondral bone plate thickness, endocortical thickness, and trabecular attenuation at both sides of the joint. All data were co-localised to the same canonical surface. Statistical parametric mapping (SPM) was applied in uni- and multivariate models to demonstrate significant dependence of parameters on Kellgren & Lawrence grade (KLG). Correlation between JSW and bony parameters and 2-week test-retest repeatability were also calculated. Results: SPM revealed that the central-to-posterior medial tibiofemoral joint space was significantly narrowed by up to 0.5 mm with significantly higher tibial trabecular attenuation up to 50 units for each increment in KLG as single features, and in a wider distribution when combined (p<0.05). These were also more strongly correlated with worsening KLG grade category. Test-retest repeatability was subvoxel (0.37 mm) for nearly all thickness parameters. Conclusions: 3-D JSW and tibial trabecular attenuation are repeatable and significantly dependent on radiographic disease severity at the weight bearing knee joint not just alone, but more strongly in combination. A quantitative multiparametric approach with WBCT may have potential for more sensitive investigation of disease progression in osteoarthritis.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Defined Osteoarthritis Features and Anterior Knee Pain in Individuals With, or at Risk for, Knee Osteoarthritis: A Multicenter Study on Osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: The lack of strong association between knee osteoarthritis (OA) structural features and pain continues to perplex researchers and clinicians. Evaluating the patellofemoral joint in addition to the tibiofemoral joint alone has contributed to explaining this structure-pain discordance, hence justifying a more comprehensive evaluation of whole-knee OA and pain. The present study, therefore, was undertaken to evaluate the association between patellofemoral and tibiofemoral OA features with localized anterior knee pain (AKP) using 2 study designs. METHODS: Using cross-sectional data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study, our first approach was a within-person, knee-matched design in which we identified participants with unilateral AKP. We then assessed magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-derived OA features (cartilage damage, bone marrow lesions [BMLs], osteophytes, and inflammation) in both knees and evaluated the association of patellofemoral and tibiofemoral OA features to unilateral AKP. In our second approach, MRIs from 1 knee per person were scored, and we evaluated the association of OA features to AKP in participants with AKP and participants with no frequent knee pain. RESULTS: Using the first approach (n = 71, 66% women, mean ± SD age 69 ± 8 years), lateral patellofemoral osteophytes (odds ratio [OR] 5.0 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.7-14.6]), whole-knee joint effusion-synovitis (OR 4.7 [95% CI 1.3-16.2]), and infrapatellar synovitis (OR 2.8 [95% CI 1.0-7.8]) were associated with AKP. Using the second approach (n = 882, 59% women, mean ± SD age 69 ± 7 years), lateral and medial patellofemoral cartilage damage (prevalence ratio [PR] 2.3 [95% CI 1.3-4.0] and PR 1.9 [95% CI 1.1-3.3], respectively) and lateral patellofemoral BMLs (PR 2.6 [95% CI 1.5-4.7]) were associated with AKP. CONCLUSION: Patellofemoral but not tibiofemoral joint OA features and inflammation were associated with AKP.

Longitudinal Relationship Between Tibiofemoral Contact Stress at Baseline and Worsening of Knee Pain Over 84 Months in the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to determine whether tibiofemoral contact stress predicts risk for worsening knee pain over 84 ms in adults aged 50-79 yrs with or at elevated risk for knee osteoarthritis. DESIGN: Baseline tibiofemoral contact stress was estimated using discrete element analysis. Other baseline measures included weight, height, hip-knee-ankle alignment, Kellgren-Lawrence grade, and Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index pain subscale. Logistic regression models assessed the association between baseline contact stress and 84-mo worsening of Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index pain subscale. RESULTS: Data from the dominant knee (72.6% Kellgren-Lawrence grade 0/1 and 27.4% Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥ 2) of 208 participants (64.4% female, mean ± SD body mass index = 29.6 ± 5.1 kg/m 2 ) were analyzed. Baseline mean and peak contact stress were 3.3 ± 0.9 and 9.4 ± 4.3 MPa, respectively. Forty-seven knees met the criterion for worsening pain. The highest tertiles in comparison with the lowest tertiles of mean (odds ratio [95% confidence interval] = 2.47 [1.03-5.95], P = 0.04) and peak (2.49 [1.03-5.98], P = 0.04) contact stress were associated with worsening pain at 84 mos, after adjustment for age, sex, race, clinic site, and baseline pain. Post hoc sensitivity analyses including adjustment for body mass index and hip-knee-ankle alignment attenuated the effect. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that elevated tibiofemoral contact stress can predict the development of worsening of knee pain.

Multivariable Modeling of Biomarker Data From the Phase I Foundation for the National Institutes of Health Osteoarthritis Biomarkers Consortium.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the optimal combination of imaging and biochemical biomarkers for use in the prediction of knee osteoarthritis (OA) progression. METHODS: The present study was a nested case-control trial from the Foundation of the National Institutes of Health OA Biomarkers Consortium that assessed study participants with a Kellgren/Lawrence grade of 1-3 who had complete biomarker data available (n = 539 to 550). Cases were participants' knees that had radiographic and pain progression between 24 and 48 months compared to baseline. Radiographic progression only was assessed in secondary analyses. Biomarkers (baseline and 24-month changes) that had a P value of <0.10 in univariate analysis were selected, including quantitative cartilage thickness and volume on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), semiquantitative MRI markers, bone shape and area, quantitative meniscal volume, radiographic progression (trabecular bone texture [TBT]), and serum and/or urine biochemical markers. Multivariable logistic regression models were built using 3 different stepwise selection methods (complex models versus parsimonious models). RESULTS: Among baseline biomarkers, the number of locations affected by osteophytes (semiquantitative), quantitative central medial femoral and central lateral femoral cartilage thickness, patellar bone shape, and semiquantitative Hoffa-synovitis predicted OA progression in most models (C statistic 0.641-0.671). In most models, 24-month changes in semiquantitative MRI markers (effusion-synovitis, meniscal morphologic changes, and cartilage damage), quantitative central medial femoral cartilage thickness, quantitative medial tibial cartilage volume, quantitative lateral patellofemoral bone area, horizontal TBT (intercept term), and urine N-telopeptide of type I collagen predicted OA progression (C statistic 0.680-0.724). A different combination of imaging and biochemical biomarkers (baseline and 24-month change) predicted radiographic progression only, which had a higher C statistic of 0.716-0.832. CONCLUSION: The present study highlights the combination of biomarkers with potential prognostic utility in OA disease-modifying trials. Properly qualified, these biomarkers could be used to enrich future trials with participants likely to experience progression of knee OA.

Opioid users show worse baseline knee osteoarthritis and faster progression of degenerative changes: a retrospective case-control study based on data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI).

BACKGROUND: Opioids are frequently prescribed for pain control in knee osteoarthritis patients, despite recommendations by current guidelines. Previous studies have investigated the chondrotoxicity of different opioid subtypes. However, the impact opioids may have on progression of osteoarthritis in vivo remains unknown. The aim of this study was thus to describe the associations between opioid use and knee structural changes and clinical outcomes, over 4 years. METHODS: Participants with baseline opioid use (n=181) and who continued use for ≥1 year between baseline and 4-year follow-up (n=79) were included from the Osteoarthritis Initiative cohort and frequency matched with non-users (controls) (1:2). Whole-Organ Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scores (WORMS) were obtained, including a total summation score (WORMS total, range 0-96) and subscores for cartilage (0-36), menisci (0-24), and bone marrow abnormalities and subchondral cyst-like lesions (0-18, respectively). Knee Injury Osteoarthritis Outcomes score (KOOS) symptoms, quality of life (QOL), and pain were also obtained at baseline and follow-up (range 0-100; lower scores indicate worse outcomes). Using linear regression models, associations between baseline and longitudinal findings were investigated. As pain may modify observations, a sensitivity analysis was performed for longitudinal findings. All analyses were adjusted for sex, BMI, age, race, and Kellgren-Lawrence grade. RESULTS: Opioid users had greater structural degeneration at baseline (WORMS total: Coef. [95% CI], P; 7.1 [5.5, 8.8], <0.001) and a greater increase over 4 years (4.7 [2.9, 6.5], <0.001), compared to controls. Cartilage and meniscus scores increased greater in opioid users, compared to controls (P≤0.001), and findings withstood the adjustment for baseline pain (P≤0.002). All baseline KOOS scores were lower in opioid users compared to controls (P<0.001). QOL loss was greater, when adjusted for baseline KOOS pain (QOL -6.9 [-11.6, -2.1], 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: Opioid users had worse baseline knee structural degeneration and faster progression. Opioid use was also associated with worse symptoms, pain, and QOL. Furthermore, QOL loss was greater in opioid users compared to controls, when adjusted for baseline KOOS pain, indicating that opioids may not be suited to prevent subjective disease progression in KOA patients.

Quantitative Three-dimensional Assessment of Knee Joint Space Width from Weight-bearing CT.

Background Imaging of structural disease in osteoarthritis has traditionally relied on MRI and radiography. Joint space mapping (JSM) can be used to quantitatively map joint space width (JSW) in three dimensions from CT images. Purpose To demonstrate the reproducibility, repeatability, and feasibility of JSM of the knee using weight-bearing CT images. Materials and Methods Two convenience samples of weight-bearing CT images of left and right knees with radiographic Kellgren-Lawrence grades (KLGs) less than or equal to 2 were acquired from 2014 to 2018 and were analyzed retrospectively with JSM to deliver three-dimensional JSW maps. For reproducibility, images of three sets of knees were used for novice training, and then the JSM output was compared against an expert's assessment. JSM was also performed on 2-week follow-up images in the second cohort, yielding three-dimensional JSW difference maps for repeatability. Statistical parametric mapping was performed on all knee imaging data (KLG, 0-4) to show the feasibility of a surface-based analysis in three dimensions. Results Reproducibility (in 20 individuals; mean age, 58 years ± 7 [standard deviation]; mean body mass index, 28 kg/m2 ± 6; 14 women) and repeatability (in nine individuals; mean age, 53 years ± 6; mean body mass index, 26 kg/m2 ± 4; seven women) reached their lowest performance at a smallest detectable difference less than ±0.1 mm in the central medial tibiofemoral joint space for individuals without radiographically demonstrated disease. The average root mean square coefficient of variation was less than 5% across all groups. Statistical parametric mapping (33 individuals; mean age, 57 years ± 7; mean body mass index, 27 kg/m2 ± 6; 23 women) showed that the central-to-posterior medial joint space was significantly narrower by 0.5 mm for each incremental increase in the KLG (threshold P < .05). One knee (KLG, 2) demonstrated a baseline versus 24-month change in its three-dimensional JSW distribution that was beyond the smallest detectable difference across the lateral joint space. Conclusion Joint space mapping of the knee using weight-bearing CT images is feasible, demonstrating a relationship between the three-dimensional joint space width distribution and structural joint disease. It is reliably learned by novice users, can be personalized for disease phenotypes, and can be used to achieve a smallest detectable difference that is at least 50% smaller than that reported to be achieved at the highest performance level in radiography. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Roemer in this issue.

Bone Structure Analysis of the Radius Using Ultrahigh Field (7T) MRI: Relevance of Technical Parameters and Comparison with 3T MRI and Radiography.

Bone fractal signature analysis (FSA-also termed bone texture analysis) is a tool that assesses structural changes that may relate to clinical outcomes and functions. Our aim was to compare bone texture analysis of the distal radius in patients and volunteers using radiography and 3T and 7T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-a patient group (n = 25) and a volunteer group (n = 25) were included. Participants in the patient group had a history of chronic wrist pain with suspected or confirmed osteoarthritis and/or ligament instability. All participants had 3T and 7T MRI including T1-weighted turbo spin echo (TSE) sequences. The 7T MRI examination included an additional high-resolution (HR) T1 TSE sequence. Radiographs of the wrist were acquired for the patient group. When comparing patients and volunteers (unadjusted for gender and age), we found a statistically significant difference of horizontal and vertical fractal dimensions (FDs) using 7T T1 TSE-HR images in low-resolution mode (horizontal: p = 0.04, vertical: p = 0.01). When comparing radiography to the different MRI sequences, we found a statistically significant difference for low- and high-resolution horizontal FDs between radiography and 3T T1 TSE and 7T T1 TSE-HR. Vertical FDs were significantly different only between radiographs and 3T T1 TSE in the high-resolution mode; FSA measures obtained from 3T and 7T MRI are highly dependent on the sequence and reconstruction resolution used, and thus are not easily comparable between MRI systems and applied sequences.