A fully automated pipeline for the extraction of pectoralis muscle area from chest computed tomography scans.

Background: Computed tomography (CT)-derived pectoralis muscle area (PMA) measurements are prognostic in people with or at-risk of COPD, but fully automated PMA extraction has yet to be developed. Our objective was to develop and validate a PMA extraction pipeline that can automatically: 1) identify the aortic arch slice; and 2) perform pectoralis segmentation at that slice. Methods: CT images from the Canadian Cohort of Obstructive Lung Disease (CanCOLD) study were used for pipeline development. Aorta atlases were used to automatically identify the slice containing the aortic arch by group-based registration. A deep learning model was trained to segment the PMA. The pipeline was evaluated in comparison to manual segmentation. An external dataset was used to evaluate generalisability. Model performance was assessed using the Dice-Sorensen coefficient (DSC) and PMA error. Results: In total 90 participants were used for training (age 67.0±9.9 years; forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) 93±21% predicted; FEV1/forced vital capacity (FVC) 0.69±0.10; 47 men), and 32 for external testing (age 68.6±7.4 years; FEV1 65±17% predicted; FEV1/FVC 0.50±0.09; 16 men). Compared with manual segmentation, the deep learning model achieved a DSC of 0.94±0.02, 0.94±0.01 and 0.90±0.04 on the true aortic arch slice in the train, validation and external test sets, respectively. Automated aortic arch slice detection obtained distance errors of 1.2±1.3 mm and 1.6±1.5 mm on the train and test data, respectively. Fully automated PMA measurements were not different from manual segmentation (p>0.05). PMA measurements were different between people with and without COPD (p=0.01) and correlated with FEV1 % predicted (p<0.05). Conclusion: A fully automated CT PMA extraction pipeline was developed and validated for use in research and clinical practice.

CT Imaging With Machine Learning for Predicting Progression to COPD in Individuals at Risk.

BACKGROUND: Identifying individuals at risk of progressing to COPD may allow for initiation of treatment to potentially slow the progression of the disease or the selection of subgroups for discovery of novel interventions. RESEARCH QUESTION: Does the addition of CT imaging features, texture-based radiomic features, and established quantitative CT scan to conventional risk factors improve the performance for predicting progression to COPD in individuals who smoke with machine learning? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Participants at risk (individuals who currently or formerly smoked, without COPD) from the Canadian Cohort Obstructive Lung Disease (CanCOLD) population-based study underwent CT imaging at baseline and spirometry at baseline and follow-up. Various combinations of CT scan features, texture-based CT scan radiomics (n = 95), and established quantitative CT scan (n = 8), as well as demographic (n = 5) and spirometry (n = 3) measurements, with machine learning algorithms were evaluated to predict progression to COPD. Performance metrics included the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to evaluate the models. DeLong test was used to compare the performance of the models. RESULTS: Among the 294 at-risk participants who were evaluated (mean age, 65.6 ± 9.2 years; 42% female; mean pack-years, 17.9 ± 18.7), 52 participants (23.7%) in the training data set and 17 participants (23.0%) in the testing data set progressed to spirometric COPD at follow-up (2.5 ± 0.9 years from baseline). Compared with machine learning models with demographics alone (AUC, 0.649), the addition of CT imaging features to demographics (AUC, 0.730; P < .05) or CT imaging features and spirometry to demographics (AUC, 0.877; P < .05) significantly improved the performance for predicting progression to COPD. INTERPRETATION: Heterogeneous structural changes occur in the lungs of individuals at risk that can be quantified using CT imaging features, and evaluation of these features together with conventional risk factors improves performance for predicting progression to COPD.

Quantitative CT Lung Imaging and Machine Learning Improves Prediction of Emergency Room Visits and Hospitalizations in COPD.

RATIONALE: Predicting increased risk of future healthcare utilization in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients is an important goal for improving patient management. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to determine the importance of computed tomography (CT) lung imaging measurements relative to other demographic and clinical measurements for predicting future health services use with machine learning in COPD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, lung function measurements and chest CT images were acquired from Canadian Cohort of Obstructive Lung Disease study participants from 2010 to 2017 (https://clinicaltrials.gov, NCT00920348). Up to two follow-up visits (1.5- and 3-year follow-up) were performed and participants were asked for details related to healthcare utilization. Healthcare utilization was defined as any COPD hospitalization or emergency room visit due to respiratory problems in the 12 months prior to the follow-up visits. CT analysis was performed (VIDA Diagnostics Inc.); a total of 108 CT quantitative emphysema, airway and vascular measurements were investigated. A hybrid feature selection method with support vector machine classifier was used to predict healthcare utilization. Performance was determined using accuracy, F1-measure and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and Matthews's correlation coefficient (MC). RESULTS: Of the 527 COPD participants evaluated, 179 (35%) used healthcare services at follow-up. There were no significant differences between the participants with or without healthcare utilization at follow-up for age (p = 0.50), sex (p = 0.44), BMI (p = 0.05) or pack-years (p = 0.76). The accuracy for predicting subsequent healthcare utilization was 80% ± 3% (F1-measure = 74%, AUC = 0.80, MC = 0.6) when all measurements were considered, 76% ± 6% (F1-measure = 72%, AUC = 0.77, MC = 0.55) for CT measurements alone and 65% ± 5% (F1-measure = 60%, AUC = 0.67, MC = 0.34) for demographic and lung function measurements alone. CONCLUSION: The combination of CT lung imaging and conventional measurements leads to greater prediction accuracy of subsequent health services use than conventional measurements alone, and may provide needed prognostic information for patients suffering from COPD.

Comparison of Feature Selection Methods and Machine Learning Classifiers for Predicting Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Using Texture-Based CT Lung Radiomic Features.

RATIONALE: Texture-based radiomics analysis of lung computed tomography (CT) images has been shown to predict chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) status using machine learning models. However, various approaches are used and it is unclear which provides the best performance. OBJECTIVES: To compare the most commonly used feature selection and classification methods and determine the optimal models for classifying COPD status in a mild, population-based COPD cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: CT images from the multi-center Canadian Cohort Obstructive Lung Disease (CanCOLD) study were pre-processed by resampling the image to a 1mm isotropic voxel volume, segmenting the lung and removing the airways (VIDA Diagnostics Inc.), and applying a threshold of -1000HU-to-0HU. A total of 95 texture features were then extracted from each CT image. Combinations of 17 feature selection methods and 9 classifiers were tested and evaluated. In addition, the role of data cleaning (outlier removal and highly correlated feature removal) was evaluated. The area under the curve (AUC) from the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate model performance. RESULTS: A total of 1204 participants were evaluated (n = 602 no COPD, n = 602 COPD). There were no significant differences between the groups for female sex (no COPD = 46.3%; COPD = 38.5%; p = 0.77), or body mass index (no COPD = 27.7 kg/m2; COPD = 27.4 kg/m2; p = 0.21). The highest AUC value for predicting COPD status (AUC = 0.78 [0.73, 0.84]) was obtained following data cleaning and feature selection using Elastic Net with the Linear-SVM classifier. CONCLUSION: In a population-based cohort, the optimal combination for radiomics-based prediction of COPD status was Elastic Net as the feature selection method and Linear-SVM as the classifier.