Diabetes risk reduction diet and risk of liver cancer and chronic liver disease mortality: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to prospectively evaluate the association between a diabetes risk reduction diet (DRRD) score and the risk of liver cancer development and chronic liver disease-specific mortality. METHODS: We included 98,786 postmenopausal women from the Women's Health Initiative-Observational Study and the usual diet arm of the Diet Modification trial. The DRRD score was derived from eight factors: high intakes of dietary fiber, coffee, nuts, polyunsaturated fatty acids, low intakes of red and processed meat, foods with high glycemic index, sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs), and trans fat based on a validated Food-Frequency Questionnaire administered at baseline (1993-1998). Multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for liver cancer incidence and chronic liver disease mortality were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: After a median follow-up of 22.0 years, 216 incident liver cancer cases and 153 chronic liver disease deaths were confirmed. A higher DRRD score was significantly associated with a reduced risk of developing liver cancer (HRTertile 3 vs. Tertile 1 = 0.69; 95% CI: 0.49-0.97; Ptrend = 0.03) and chronic liver disease mortality (HRT3 vs. T1 = 0.54; 95% CI: 0.35-0.82; Ptrend = 0.003). We further found inverse associations with dietary fiber and coffee, and positive associations with dietary glycemic index, SSBs, and trans fat. A higher DRRD score was associated with reduced risk of developing liver cancer and chronic liver disease mortality among postmenopausal women.

Circulating dimethylguanidino valeric acid, dietary factors, and risk of coronary heart disease.

AIMS: Circulating dimethylguanidino valeric acid (DMGV) was identified as a novel metabolite related to cardiorespiratory fitness and cardiometabolic abnormalities. Circulating DMGV levels are subjective to dietary modulation; however, studies on its associations with intakes of coronary heart disease (CHD)-related foods/nutrients are limited. We investigated whether plasma DMGV was related to risk of incident CHD. We tested associations of DMGV with CHD-related dietary intakes measured by 7-day dietary records and estimated corresponding disease risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: This nested case-control study on the incidence of CHD included 1520 women (760 incident cases of fatal CHD and nonfatal myocardial infarction and 760 controls) from the Nurses' Health Study. Separately, plasma DMGV and CHD-related dietary intakes and cardiometabolic abnormalities were assessed in the Women's Lifestyle Validation Study (WLVS; n=724). Higher plasma DMGV was related to a greater risk of CHD (relative risk [RR] per 1-SD: 1.26 [95% CI: 1.13, 1.40]; P-for-linearity=0.006). Greater intakes of sodium, energy dense-foods, and processed/red meat were related to higher DMGV levels; every 1-SD intake of sodium was associated with ß 0.13 (SE 0.05; p=0.007) for DMGV-Z-scores, which corresponded to a RR of 1.031 [1.016, 1.046] for CHD. High DMGV (the top quartile, Q4) showed a significant RR of 1.60 [1.17, 2.18] after adjusting for diet and lifestyle factors; the RR further adjusting for obesity and hypertension was 1.29 [0.93, 1.79] as compared with the lowest quartile. In both cohorts, greater adiposity and adverse cardiometabolic factor status were significantly related to higher DMGV levels. CONCLUSION: Higher levels of plasma DMGV, a metabolite reflecting unfavorable CHD-related dietary intakes, were associated with an increased risk of CHD. The unfavorable association was attenuated by cardiometabolic risk factor status. Our study underscores the potential importance of plasma DMGV as an early biomarker associated with diet and the long-term risk of CHD among women.

Plasma Levels of Polyols Erythritol, Mannitol, and Sorbitol and Incident Coronary Heart Disease Among Women.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Erythritol, a sugar alcohol (polyol), has recently been linked to the risks of major adverse cardiovascular events. We investigated whether plasma erythritol and other polyols (mannitol/sorbitol) were associated with the risk of incident coronary heart disease (CHD). METHODS: This prospective nested case-control study included 762 incident cases of CHD and 762 controls from the Nurses' Health Study. Plasma concentrations of polyols were measured at baseline (1989-90 or 2000-02). Associations of erythritol with cardiometabolic risk factors were also analyzed in the Women's Lifestyle Validation Study (n=728; blood collected in 2010-12). RESULTS: Higher erythritol levels were related to more adverse cardiometabolic risk factor status. The relative risk (RR) for CHD per 1-SD increment was 1.15 [95% CI: 1.04, 1.28] for erythritol and 1.16 [1.05, 1.28] for mannitol/sorbitol, after adjusting for diet quality, lifestyles, and adiposity. Compared with women in the lowest quartile, those in the highest quartile (Q4) of erythritol had a RR 1.55 [1.13, 2.14] for CHD. The RR in Q4 of erythritol was 1.61 [1.15, 2.24; p=0.006] when hypertension and dyslipidemia were further added to the model; the RR was 1.21 [0.86, 1.70] after adjustment for diabetes. For mannitol/sorbitol, the RR in the Q4 was 1.42 [1.05, 1.91; p=0.022] for CHD in the multivariable-adjusted model including diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Higher plasma erythritol and mannitol/sorbitol were related to elevated risks of CHD even after adjustment for diet, lifestyles, adiposity, and other risk factors. The unfavorable association of mannitol/sorbitol, but not erythritol, with CHD risk remained significant independently of diabetes/hyperglycemia.

The present study shows unfavorable associations of circulating erythritol and mannitol/sorbitol with long-term coronary heart disease (CHD) risk even after adjustments for overall diet quality, lifestyle factors, and several other traditional CHD risk factors among women at usual risk. In contrast to mannitol/sorbitol, the association between high erythritol levels and increased CHD risk was no longer significant upon additional inclusion of diabetes in the multivariable-adjusted model. Our findings from the two independent study populations of women without prior CHD suggest endogenous and exogenous erythritol levels are related to unfavorable cardiometabolic risk factor status.

Long-term nighttime aircraft noise exposure and risk of hypertension in a prospective cohort of female nurses.

There is growing interest in cardiometabolic outcomes associated with nighttime noise, given that noise can disturb sleep and sleep disturbance can increase cardiometabolic risk such as hypertension. However, there is little empirical research evaluating the association between nighttime aircraft noise and hypertension risk. In this study, we expand on previous work to evaluate associations between nighttime aircraft noise exposure and self-reported hypertension incidence in the Nurses' Health Studies (NHS/NHSII), two US-wide cohorts of female nurses. Annual nighttime average aircraft sound levels (Lnight) surrounding 90 airports for 1995-2015 (in 5-year intervals) were modeled using the Aviation Environmental Design Tool and assigned to participants' geocoded addresses over time. Hypertension risk was estimated for each cohort using time-varying Cox proportional-hazards models for Lnight dichotomized at 45 dB (dB), adjusting for individual-level hypertension risk factors, area-level socioeconomic status, region, and air pollution. Random effects meta-analysis was used to combine cohort results. Among 63,229 NHS and 98,880 NHSII participants free of hypertension at study baseline (1994/1995), we observed 33,190 and 28,255 new hypertension cases by 2014/2013, respectively. Although ∼1% of participants were exposed to Lnight ≥45 dB, we observed an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.10 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.27) in NHS and adjusted HR of 1.12 (95% CI: 0.98, 1.28) in NHSII, comparing exposure to Lnight ≥45 versus <45 dB(A). In meta-analysis, we observed an adjusted HR of 1.11 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.23). These results were attenuated with adjustment for additional variables such as body mass index. Our findings support a modest positive association between nighttime aircraft noise and hypertension risk across NHS/NHSII, which may reinforce the concept that sleep disturbance contributes to noise-related disease burden.

Potato Consumption and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Harmonized Analysis of 7 Prospective Cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Data on the relation of potato consumption with risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) are limited and inconsistent. It is unclear whether the plant-based diet index (PDI), which is a novel and comprehensive tool to assess overall dietary pattern, modifies the association of potato intake with T2D. OBJECTIVES: We examined the association of total, combined baked, boiled, and mashed potatoes and fried potatoes with risk of T2D and test the interaction between PDI score and potato consumption on T2D risk. METHODS: We conducted a de novo, harmonized, individual-level data from 7 United States cohorts (N = 105,531). Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) separately in each cohort adjusting for anthropometric, demographic, and lifestyle factors and cohort-specific results were pooled using an inverse-variance weighted method. RESULTS: Mean age ranged from 25 to 72 y, 65% women, and mean consumption of total potatoes ranged from 1.9 to 4.3 times per week. In the primary analysis, total potato intake was not associated with T2D risk: multivariable adjusted HR of 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95, 1.08) for consumption of 1-2 servings/wk; 1.01 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.10) for >2-3 servings/wk; 1.05 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.12) for >3 to <5 servings/wk; and 1.07 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.16) for 5+ servings/wk compared with no potato intake. In secondary analyses, consumption of combined baked, boiled, and mashed potatoes was not associated with T2D risk, whereas fried potato consumption was positively associated with T2D risk: HR were 1 (ref), 1.07 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.12), and 1.12 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.22) for intake frequency of 0/wk, >0 to 1/wk, and >1/wk, respectively (P-trend = 0.04). There was no significant interaction between PDI score and potato consumption on T2D risk. CONCLUSIONS: Although consumption of total potato is not associated with T2D risk, a modest elevated risk of T2D is observed with fried potato consumption.

Ultra-processed foods and cardiovascular disease: analysis of three large US prospective cohorts and a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies.

Background: Prospective associations between total and groups of ultra-processed foods (UPF) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remained to be characterised. Our aim was to assess the association of total and group-specific UPF intakes with CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke in three large prospective cohorts of US adults. Additionally, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analyses on the existing evidence on the associations of total UPF intake with these outcomes. Methods: UPF intake was assessed through food frequency questionnaires in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS; n = 75,735), Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII; n = 90,813), and Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS; n = 40,409). Cox regression estimated cohort-specific associations of total and group-specific UPF intake with risk of CVD (cases = 16,800), CHD (cases = 10,401), and stroke (cases = 6758), subsequently pooled through fixed-effect models. Random-effects meta-analyses pooled existing prospective findings on the UPF-CVD association identified on Medline and Embase up to April 5, 2024, without language restrictions. Risk of bias was assessed with the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, funnel plots, and Egger's tests, and meta-evidence was evaluated using NutriGrade. Findings: The baseline mean (SD) age was 50.8 years (7.2) for the NHS, 36.7 years (4.6) for the NHSII, and 53.4 years (9.6) for the HPFS. The proportion of participants of White race was 97.7% in the NHS, 96.4% in the NHSII, and 94.9% in the HPFS. Among the three cohorts, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios [HRs (95% CIs)] for CVD, CHD, and stroke for the highest (vs. lowest) total UPF intake quintile were 1.11 (1.06-1.16), 1.16 (1.09-1.24), and 1.04 (0.96-1.12), respectively. UPF groups demonstrated divergent associations. Sugar-/artificially-sweetened drinks and processed meats were associated with higher CVD risk, whereas inverse associations were observed for bread/cold cereals, yoghurt/dairy desserts, and savoury snacks. Meta-analysing 22 prospective studies showed that total UPF intake at the highest category (vs. lowest) was associated with 17% (11%-24%), 23% (12%-34%), and 9% (3%-15%) higher CVD, CHD, and stroke risk. Meta-evidence quality was high for CHD, moderate for CVD, and low for stroke. Interpretation: Total UPF intake was adversely associated with CVD and CHD risk in US adults, corroborated by prospective studies from multiple countries, also suggesting a small excess stroke risk. Nutritional advice for cardiovascular health should consider differential consequences of group-specific UPF. Replication is needed in racially/ethnically-diverse populations. Funding: National Institutes of Health (NIH) grants supported the NHS, NHSII, and HPFS.

Associations of social determinants of health with life expectancy and future health risks among individuals with type 2 diabetes: two nationwide cohort studies in the UK and USA.

BACKGROUND: Social determinants of health (SDHs) are the primary drivers of preventable health inequities, and the associations between SDHs and health outcomes among individuals with type 2 diabetes remain unclear. This study aimed to estimate the associations of combined SDHs with life expectancy and future health risks among adults with type 2 diabetes from the UK and USA. METHODS: In an analysis of two nationwide cohort studies, adults with type 2 diabetes were identified from the UK Biobank from March 13, 2006, to Oct 1, 2010 (adults aged 37-73 years) and the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2018 (adults aged ≥20 years). Participants with type 2 diabetes at baseline were included in our analysis. Participants without information on SDHs or follow-up were excluded. The UK Biobank assessed 17 SDHs and the US NHANES assessed ten SDHs, with each SDH dichotomised into advantaged and disadvantaged levels. The combined score of SDHs were calculated as the sum of the weighted scores for each SDH. Participants were then categorised into tertiles (favourable, medium, and unfavourable SDH groups). Primary outcomes were life expectancy and mortality in both cohorts, and incidences of cardiovascular disease, diabetes-related microvascular disease, dementia, and cancer in the UK Biobank. Outcomes were obtained from disease registries up until Dec 31, 2021, in the UK Biobank and Dec 31, 2019, in the US NHANES cohorts. FINDINGS: We included 17 321 participants from the UK Biobank cohort (median age 61·0 years [IQR 56·0-65·0]; 6028 [34·8%] women and 11 293 [65·2%] men) and 7885 participants from the NHANES cohort (mean age 59·2 years [95% CI 58·7-59·6]; 3835 [49·1%, weighted] women and 4050 [50·9%, weighted] men) in our analysis. In the UK Biobank, 3235 deaths (median follow-up 12·3 years [IQR 11·5-13·2]), 3010 incident cardiovascular disease (12·1 years [10·8-13·0]), 1997 diabetes-related microvascular disease (8·0 years [7·1-8·9]), 773 dementia (12·6 years [11·8-13·5]), and 2259 cancer cases (11·3 years [10·4-12·2]) were documented; and the US NHANES documented 2278 deaths during a median follow-up of 7·0 years (3·7-11·2). After multivariable adjustment, compared with the favourable SDH group, the hazard ratio was 1·33 (95% CI 1·21-1·46) in the medium SDH group and 1·89 (1·72-2·07) in the unfavourable SDH group in the UK Biobank cohort; 1·51 (1·34-1·70) in the medium SDH group and 2·02 (1·75-2·33) in the unfavourable SDH group in the US NHANES cohort for all-cause mortality; 1·13 (1·04-1·24) in the medium SDH group and 1·40 (1·27-1·53) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident cardiovascular disease; 1·13 (1·01-1·27) in the medium SDH group and 1·41 (1·26-1·59) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident diabetes-related microvascular disease; 1·35 (1·11-1·64) in the medium SDH group and 1·76 (1·46-2·13) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident dementia; and 1·02 (0·92-1·13) in the medium SDH group and 1·17 (1·05-1·30) in the unfavourable SDH group for incident cancer in the UK Biobank cohort (ptrend<0·010 for each category). At the age of 45 years, the mean life expectancy of participants was 1·6 years (0·6-2·3) shorter in the medium SDH group and 4·4 years (3·3-5·4) shorter in the unfavourable SDH group than in the favourable SDH group in the UK Biobank. In the US NHAHES cohort, the life expectancy was 1·7 years (0·6-2·7) shorter in the medium SDH group and 3·0 years (1·8-4·3) shorter in the unfavourable SDH group, compared with the favourable group. INTERPRETATION: Combined unfavourable SDHs were associated with a greater loss of life expectancy and higher risks of developing future adverse health outcomes among adults with type 2 diabetes. These associations were similar across two nationwide cohorts from varied social contexts, and were largely consistent across populations with different demographic, lifestyle, and clinical features. Thus, assessing the combined SDHs of individuals with type 2 diabetes might be a promising approach to incorporate into diabetes care to identify socially vulnerable groups and reduce disease burden. FUNDING: The National Natural Science Foundation of China, the National Key R&D Program of China, and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.

Risk factors for long COVID syndrome in postmenopausal women with previously reported diagnosis of COVID-19.

PURPOSE: Long COVID-19 syndrome occurs in 10-20 % of people after a confirmed/probable SARS-COV-2 infection; new symptoms begin within three months of COVID-19 diagnosis and last > 8 weeks. Little is known about risk factors for long COVID, particularly in older people who are at greater risk of COVID complications. METHODS: Data are from Women's Health Initiative (WHI) postmenopausal women who completed COVID surveys that included questions on whether they had ever been diagnosed with COVID and length and nature of symptoms. Long COVID was classified using standard consensus criteria. Using WHI demographic and health data collected at study enrollment (1993-98) through the present day, machine learning identified the top 20 risk factors for long COVID. These variables were tested in logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of n = 37,280 survey respondents, 1237 (mean age = 83 years) reported a positive COVID-19 test and 425 (30 %) reported long COVID. Symptoms included an array of neurological, cardio-pulmonary, musculoskeletal, and general fatigue, and malaise symptoms. Long COVID risk factors included weight loss, physical and mobility limitations, and specific heath conditions (e.g., history of heart valve procedure, rheumatoid arthritis). CONCLUSIONS: Knowledge of risk factors for long COVID may be the first step in understanding the etiology of this complex disease.

The Impact of a Lifestyle Intervention on Cardiometabolic Risk Factors among Postpartum Hispanic Women with Overweight and Obesity in a Randomized Controlled Trial (Proyecto Mamá).

INTRODUCTION: Maternal overweight or obesity has been associated with metabolic syndrome through 1 year postpartum, but it remains unknown whether a culturally-modified, motivationally-targeted, and individually-tailored Lifestyle Intervention could improve postpartum cardiometabolic health among Hispanic women with overweight or obesity. METHODS: Proyecto Mamá was a randomized controlled trial conducted in Western Massachusetts from 2014 to 2020 in which Hispanic women with overweight/obesity were randomized to a Lifestyle Intervention (LI) involving diet and exercise or to a comparison Health and Wellness Intervention (HW). Biomarkers of cardiovascular risk (i.e., lipids, C-reactive protein) and insulin resistance (fasting insulin, glucose, HbA1c, homeostasis model assessment [HOMA-IR], leptin, adiponectin) were measured at baseline (early pregnancy), mid-pregnancy, and 6 weeks, 6 months, and 12 months postpartum. Generalized linear mixed effect models were used to evaluate differences in the change in biomarkers over the course of postpartum follow-up time. RESULTS: In intent-to-treat analyses among eligible women (LI; n=51, HW; n=58) there were no significant differences in changes in biomarkers of CVD risk or insulin resistance over the postpartum year; for example, the intervention effect for total cholesterol was 6.98 (SE: 6.36, p=0.27) and for HbA1c was -0.01 (SE: 0.4, p=0.85). In pooled analyses, regardless of intervention arm, women who participated in any vigorous activity had less of an increase in HbA1c (intervention effect = -0.17, SE: 0.05, p=0.002) compared to those with no vigorous activity, and similarly beneficial associations with other cardiovascular risk biomarkers (p<0.05). DISCUSSION: Women who participated in vigorous activity, regardless of their assigned intervention arm, had more favorable changes in biomarkers of insulin resistance.

Integration of epidemiological and blood biomarker analysis links haem iron intake to increased type 2 diabetes risk.

Dietary haem iron intake is linked to an increased risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but the underlying plasma biomarkers are not well understood. We analysed data from 204,615 participants (79% females) in three large US cohorts over up to 36 years, examining the associations between iron intake and T2D risk. We also assessed plasma metabolic biomarkers and metabolomic profiles in subsets of 37,544 (82% females) and 9,024 (84% females) participants, respectively. Here we show that haem iron intake but not non-haem iron is associated with a higher T2D risk, with a multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio of 1.26 (95% confidence interval 1.20-1.33; P for trend <0.001) comparing the highest to the lowest quintiles. Haem iron accounts for significant proportions of the T2D risk linked to unprocessed red meat and specific dietary patterns. Increased haem iron intake correlates with unfavourable plasma profiles of insulinaemia, lipids, inflammation and T2D-linked metabolites. We also identify metabolites, including L-valine and uric acid, potentially mediating the haem iron-T2D relationship, highlighting their pivotal role in T2D pathogenesis.

Associations of steps per day and step intensity with the risk of cancer: Findings from the Women's Health Accelerometry Collaboration cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Accumulating more steps/day is associated with a lower risk of cancer mortality and composite cancer outcomes. However, less is known about the relationship of steps/day with the risk of multiple site-specific cancers. METHODS: This study included >22,000 women from the Women's Health Accelerometry Collaboration Cohort (2011-2022), comprised of women from the Women's Health Study and Women's Health Initiative Objective Physical Activity and Cardiovascular Health Study. Steps/day and step intensity were collected with accelerometry. Incident cancer cases and deaths were adjudicated. Stratified Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the associations of steps/day and step intensity with incident breast, colon, endometrial, lung, and ovarian cancers, a composite of 13 physical activity-related cancers, total invasive cancer, and fatal cancer. RESULTS: On average, women were 73.4 years old, accumulated 4993 steps/day, and had 7.9 years of follow-up. There were small nonsignificant inverse associations with the risks of colon cancer (HR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.83, 1.05), endometrial cancer (HR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.82, 1.01), and fatal cancer (HR = 0.95 95% CI: 0.90, 1.00) per 1000 steps/day. More minutes at ≥40 steps/min and a faster peak 10- and 30-min step cadence were associated with a lower risk of endometrial cancer, but findings were attenuated after adjustment for body mass index and steps/day. CONCLUSIONS: Among women 62-97 years, there were small nonsignificant inverse associations of colon, endometrial, and fatal cancer with more steps/day. Epidemiologic studies with longer follow-up and updated assessments are needed to further explore these associations.

Discovering the direct relations between nutrients and epigenetic ageing.

BACKGROUND: Along with the ageing of society, the absolute prevalence of age-related diseases is expected to rise, leading to a substantial burden on healthcare systems and society. Thus, there is an urgent need to promote healthy ageing. As opposed to chronological age, biological age was introduced to accurately represent the ageing process, as it considers physiological deterioration that is linked to morbidity and mortality risk. Furthermore, biological age responds to various factors, including nutritional factors, which have the potential to mitigate the risk of age-related diseases. As a result, a promising biomarker of biological age known as the epigenetic clock has emerged as a suitable measure to investigate the direct relations between nutritional factors and ageing, thereby identifying potential intervention targets to improve healthy ageing. METHODS: In this study, we analysed data from 3,969 postmenopausal women from the Women's Health Initiative to identify nutrients that are associated with the rate of ageing by using an accurate measure of biological age called the PhenoAge epigenetic clock. We used Copula Graphical Models, a data-driven exploratory analysis tool, to identify direct relationships between nutrient intake and age-acceleration, while correcting for every variable in the dataset. RESULTS: We revealed that increased dietary intakes of coumestrol, beta-carotene and arachidic acid were associated with decelerated epigenetic ageing. In contrast, increased intakes of added sugar, gondoic acid, behenic acid, arachidonic acid, vitamin A and ash were associated with accelerated epigenetic ageing in postmenopausal women. CONCLUSION: Our study discovered direct relations between nutrients and epigenetic ageing, revealing promising areas for follow-up studies to determine the magnitude and causality of our estimated diet-epigenetic relationships.

Vitamin D and heart failure risk among individuals with type 2 diabetes: observational and Mendelian randomization studies.

BACKGROUND: Evidence is limited and inconsistent regarding vitamin D and heart failure (HF) risk in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D), among whom vitamin D insufficiency or deficiency is common. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate the associations of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] with HF risk among individuals with T2D, in observational and Mendelian randomization (MR) frameworks. METHODS: Observational analyses were performed among 15,226 T2D participants aged 40-72 y from the UK Biobank. HF incidence was ascertained through electronic health records. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between serum 25(OH)D and HF risk among people with T2D. MR analyses were conducted among 11,260 unrelated participants with T2D. A weighted genetic risk score for genetically predicted 25(OH)D concentration was instrumented using 62 confirmed genome-wide variants. RESULTS: The mean ± standard deviation of serum 25(OH)D was 43.4 ± 20.4 nmol/L. During a median follow-up of 11.3 y, 836 incident HF events occurred. Serum 25(OH)D was nonlinearly and inversely associated with HF and the decreasing risk tended to plateau at around 50 nmol/L. Comparing those with 25(OH)D <25 nmol/L, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) was 0.67 (0.54, 0.83) for participants with 25(OH)D of 50.0-74.9 nmol/L and was 0.71 (0.52, 0.98) for 25(OH)D >75 nmol/L. In MR analysis, each 7% increment in genetically predicted 25(OH)D was associated with 36% lower risk of HF among people with T2D (HR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.41, 0.99). CONCLUSIONS: Higher serum 25(OH)D was associated with lower HF risk among individuals with T2D and the MR analysis suggested a potential causal relationship. These findings indicate a role of maintaining adequate vitamin D status in the prevention of HF among individuals with T2D.

Association of clonal hematopoiesis and mosaic chromosomal alterations with solid malignancy incidence and mortality.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the impact of clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) and mosaic chromosomal alterations (mCAs) on solid tumor risk and mortality can shed light on novel cancer pathways. METHODS: The authors analyzed whole genome sequencing data from the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine Women's Health Initiative study (n = 10,866). They investigated the presence of CHIP and mCA and their association with the development and mortality of breast, lung, and colorectal cancers. RESULTS: CHIP was associated with higher risk of breast (hazard ratio [HR], 1.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.64; p = .02) but not colorectal (p = .77) or lung cancer (p = .32). CHIP carriers who developed colorectal cancer also had a greater risk for advanced-stage (p = .01), but this was not seen in breast or lung cancer. CHIP was associated with increased colorectal cancer mortality both with (HR, 3.99; 95% CI, 2.41-6.62; p < .001) and without adjustment (HR, 2.50; 95% CI, 1.32-4.72; p = .004) for advanced-stage and a borderline higher breast cancer mortality (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 0.98-2.41; p = .06). Conversely, mCA (cell fraction [CF] >3%) did not correlate with cancer risk. With higher CFs (mCA >5%), autosomal mCA was associated with increased breast cancer risk (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.06-1.83; p = .01). There was no association of mCA (>3%) with breast, colorectal, or lung mortality except higher colon cancer mortality (HR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.11-4.3; p = .02) with mCA >5%. CONCLUSIONS: CHIP and mCA (CF >5%) were associated with higher breast cancer risk and colorectal cancer mortality individually. These data could inform on novel pathways that impact cancer risk and lead to better risk stratification.

Gut-Microbiota-Related Metabolite Phenylacetylglutamine and Risk of Incident Coronary Heart Disease among Women.

CONTEXT: Phenylacetylglutamine (PAGln) is a novel metabolite derived from gut microbial metabolism of dietary proteins, specifically phenylalanine, which may be linked to risks of adverse cardiovascular events. OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether higher plasma levels of PAGln were associated with a greater risk of incident coronary heart disease (CHD) and tested whether adherence to a plant-based diet, which characterizes habitual dietary patterns of animal and plant food intake, modified the associations. METHODS: We examined associations between plasma PAGln and risk of incident CHD over 11-16 years in a nested case-control study of 1520 women (760 incident cases and 760 controls) from the Nurses' Health Study. Separately, we analyzed relations between PAGln and dietary intakes measured through dietary records in the Women's Lifestyle Validation Study (n=725). RESULTS: Higher PAGln levels were related to a greater risk of CHD (p <0.05 for dose-response relationship). Higher PAGln was associated with greater red/processed meat intake and lower vegetable intake (p <0.05 for all). We found a significant interaction between PAGln and adherence to plant-based diet index (PDI) on CHD (Pinteraction=0.008); higher PAGln levels were associated with an increased risk of CHD (relative risk per 1 SD: 1.22 [95% CI: 1.05, 1.41]) among women with low PDI but not among those with high PDI. CONCLUSION: Higher PAGln was associated with higher risk of CHD, particularly in women with dietary patterns of eating more animal foods and fewer plant-based foods. Adherence to plant-based diets might attenuate unfavorable associations between a novel microbial metabolite and CHD risk.

Estrogen Plus Progestin and Colorectal Cancer: Long-Term Findings From the Women's Health Initiative Randomized Clinical Trial.

Clinical trials frequently include multiple end points that mature at different times. The initial report, typically based on the primary end point, may be published when key planned co-primary or secondary analyses are not yet available. Clinical Trial Updates provide an opportunity to disseminate additional results from studies, published in JCO or elsewhere, for which the primary end point has already been reported.We report long-term colorectal cancer findings from the Women's Health Initiative trial where 16,608 postmenopausal women with a uterus were randomly assigned to daily conjugated equine estrogen (CEE) 0.625 mg, plus medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) 2.5 mg, or placebo. When intervention ended after 5.6 years, although there were 44% fewer colorectal cancers in the intervention group (43 v 72, P = .003), the cancers were more commonly lymph node-positive (59.0% v 29.4%, P = .003). Now after cumulative 24-year follow-up, with 431 colorectal cancers, CEE plus MPA no longer influenced colorectal cancer incidence (215 [0.15, annualized rate %] v 216 [0.15], hazard ratio [HR], 0.95 [95% CI, 0.79 to 1.15]). Although not statistically significant, there were more colorectal cancer deaths with CEE plus MPA (87 [0.049] v 69 [0.041] deaths, HR, 1.20 [95% CI, 0.87 to 1.65], P = .26). Vaginal bleeding (54.1% v 5.2% at 6 months) and breast changes were more frequent in the intervention group. After adjusting for postrandomization vaginal bleeding and breast changes, bowel examinations were significantly delayed in intervention group participants (P = .005), potentially contributing to diagnostic delay. Taken together, the findings suggest no clinically meaningful benefit for about 5 years of CEE plus MPA use on colorectal cancer outcome.

Proteome-wide association study using cis and trans variants and applied to blood cell and lipid-related traits in the Women's Health Initiative study.

In most Proteome-Wide Association Studies (PWAS), variants near the protein-coding gene (±1 Mb), also known as cis single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), are used to predict protein levels, which are then tested for association with phenotypes. However, proteins can be regulated through variants outside of the cis region. An intermediate GWAS step to identify protein quantitative trait loci (pQTL) allows for the inclusion of trans SNPs outside the cis region in protein-level prediction models. Here, we assess the prediction of 540 proteins in 1002 individuals from the Women's Health Initiative (WHI), split equally into a GWAS set, an elastic net training set, and a testing set. We compared the testing r2 between measured and predicted protein levels using this proposed approach, to the testing r2 using only cis SNPs. The two methods usually resulted in similar testing r2, but some proteins showed a significant increase in testing r2 with our method. For example, for cartilage acidic protein 1, the testing r2 increased from 0.101 to 0.351. We also demonstrate reproducible findings for predicted protein association with lipid and blood cell traits in WHI participants without proteomics data and in UK Biobank utilizing our PWAS weights.