Determinants of sub-optimal glycemic control among patients enrolled in a medicine dispensing programme in KwaZulu-Natal: A cohort study, 2018-2021.

BACKGROUND:  The Central Chronic Medicines Dispensing and Distribution (CCMDD) programme facilitates clinically stable patients to collect their chronic medication from community-based pick-up points. AIM:  We determined baseline glycaemic control and rates and predictors of becoming sub-optimally controlled for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) CCMDD-enrolled patients. SETTING:  The setting of the study was eThekwini, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. METHODS:  We performed a cohort study (April 2018- December 2021). We linked T2DM CCMDD-enrolled patients to glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) data from the National Health Laboratory Service. We selected patients optimally controlled at their baseline HbA1c, with ≥ 1 repeat-test available. We used Kaplan-Meier analysis to assess survival rates and extended Cox regression to determine associations between time to sub-optimal control (HbA1c 7%) and predictors. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs), 95% confidence interval (CI), and p-values are reported. RESULTS:  Of the 41145 T2DM patients enrolled in the CCMDD programme, 7960 (19%) had a HbA1c result available. Twenty-seven percent (2147/7960) were optimally controlled at their baseline HbA1c. Of those controlled at baseline, 695 (32%) patients had a repeat test available, with 35% (242/695) changing to sub-optimal status. The HbA1c testing frequency as per national guidelines was associated with a lower hazard of sub-optimal glycaemic control (aHR: 0.46; 95% CI: 0.24-0.91; p-value = 0.024). Patients prescribed dual-therapy had a higher hazard of sub-optimal glycaemic control (aHR: 1.50; 95% CI: 1.16-1.95; p-value = 0.002) versus monotherapy. CONCLUSIONS:  The HbA1c monitoring, in-line with testing frequency guidelines, is needed to alert the CCMDD programme of patients who become ineligible for enrolment. Patients receiving dual-therapy require special consideration.Contribution: Addressing identified shortfalls can assist programme implementation.

Comparison of Cardiovascular Health Profiles Across Population Surveys From 5 High- to Low-Income Countries.

Background: To facilitate the shift from risk-factor management to primordial prevention of cardiovascular disease, the American Heart Association developed guidelines to score and track cardiovascular health (CVH). How the prevalence and trajectories of a high level of CVH across the life course compare among high- and lower-income countries is unknown. Methods: Nationally representative survey data with CVH variables (physical activity, cigarette smoking, body mass index, blood pressure, blood glucose, and total cholesterol levels) were identified in Ethiopia, Bangladesh, Brazil, England, and the US for adults (aged 18-69 years and not pregnant). Data were harmonized, and CVH metrics were scored using the American Heart Association guidelines, as high (2), moderate (1), or low (0), with the prevalence of high scores (better CVH) across the life course compared across countries. Results: Among 28,092 adults (Ethiopia n = 7686, 55.2% male; Bangladesh n = 6731, 48.4% male; Brazil n = 7241, 47.9% male; England n = 2691, 49.5% male, and the US n = 3743, 50.3% male), the prevalence of high CVH scores decreased as country income level increased. Declining CVH with age was universal across countries, but differences were already observable in those aged 18 years. Excess body weight appeared to be the main driver of poor CVH in higher-income countries, and the prevalence of current smoking was highest in Bangladesh. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that CVH decline with age may be universal. Interventions to promote and preserve CVH throughout the life course are needed in all populations, tailored to country-specific time courses of the decline. In countries where the level of CVH remains relatively high, protection of whole societies from risk-factor epidemics may still be feasible.

Contexte: Afin de faciliter la transition de la prise en charge des facteurs de risque vers la prévention primordiale des maladies cardiovasculaires, l'American Heart Association a élaboré des lignes directrices en vue de mesurer la santé cardiovasculaire (SCV) et d'en faire le suivi. On ignore dans quelle mesure la prévalence et la trajectoire d'un niveau élevé de SCV au cours d'une vie se comparent entre les pays à revenu élevé et les pays à plus faible revenu. Méthodologie: Des résultats de sondages représentatifs des pays concernant les variables de la SCV (activité physique, tabagisme, indice de masse corporelle, pression artérielle, glycémie et taux de cholestérol total) ont été obtenus de l'Éthiopie, du Bangladesh, du Brésil, de l'Angleterre et des États-Unis, pour des adultes âgés de 18 à 69 ans, excluant les femmes enceintes. Les données ont été harmonisées, et la SCV a été mesurée conformément aux lignes directrices de l'American Heart Association, et notée en fonction des scores suivants : élevée (2), modérée (1) ou faible (0). La prévalence de scores élevés, soit une meilleure SCV tout au long de la vie, a été comparée entre les pays. Résultats: Parmi 28 092 adultes (Éthiopie, n = 7 686, 55,2 % de sexe masculin; Bangladesh, n = 6 731, 48,4 % de sexe masculin; Brésil, n = 7 241, 47,9 % de sexe masculin; Angleterre, n = 2 691, 49,5 % de sexe masculin, et États-Unis, n = 3 743, 50,3 % de sexe masculin), la prévalence de scores correspondant à une SCV élevée diminuait à mesure que le niveau de revenu du pays augmentait. La diminution de la SCV avec l'âge était universelle dans tous les pays, mais des différences étaient déjà observables chez les personnes âgées de 18 ans. Un surplus de poids corporel semblait être le principal facteur d'une faible SCV dans les pays à revenu plus élevé; la prévalence d'un tabagisme actuel était la plus élevée au Bangladesh. Conclusions: Nos observations laissent croire que le déclin de la SCV avec l'âge pourrait être universel. Il est nécessaire de mener des interventions adaptées à la progression du déclin dans chacun des pays en vue de favoriser et de préserver la SCV tout au long de la vie, et ce, dans toutes les populations. Dans les pays où le niveau de SCV demeure relativement élevé, il pourrait être encore possible de protéger des sociétés entières contre des épidémies liées aux facteurs de risque.

Variables included in cerebral palsy registries globally: A scoping review.

AIM: To identify cerebral palsy (CP) variables collected in CP registries from high-income countries (HICs) and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) to assist with the development of a regional CP registry relevant to the African region. METHOD: A systematic search of online databases to identify peer-reviewed publications and grey literature about CP risk-factor variables, using Ovid MEDLINE, Embase Ovid, CINAHL, and Google Scholar. RESULTS: A total of 197 studies published from global CP registries between 1990 and 2023 were identified. CP registries both from HICs and from LMICs included variables on prenatal CP risk factors. LMIC registries focused more on socioeconomic factors (the physical structure of the family home [21.1%, n = 8, in LMICs vs 1.7%, n = 2, in HICs]). Prenatal modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors were emphasized in HICs. LMIC registries included more postnatal CP risk-factor variables than HIC registries, including history of postnatal jaundice (15.8%, n = 6, in LMICs vs 6.9%, n = 8, in HICs) and postnatal head trauma (10.5%, n = 4, in LMICs vs 5.2%, n = 6, in HICs). INTERPRETATION: CP registries are currently more available in HICs than in LMICs. Differences in CP risk factors account for most of the differences in variables included in HICs and LMICs. Comparing variables used by CP registries in HICs and LMICs suggests the importance of understanding contextually relevant factors for regional registry design.

Validation of the Child-Oral-Health-Impact-Profile among adolescents in Johannesburg: A cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND:  Oral health-related quality of life (OHRQol) is described as the effect of oral conditions on the overall functioning and well-being of individuals. AIM:  This study sought to determine the validity of a modified-child oral health impact profile (M-COHIP) among adolescents living with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection (ALHIV) and HIV-undiagnosed adolescents and establish the factors influencing OHRQoL among adolescents in central Johannesburg. SETTING:  Schools and HIV wellness centre in central Johannesburg. METHODS:  An interviewer-administered questionnaire was applied, followed by an oral examination. RESULTS:  A total of 504 adolescents were included in the study. The overall mean decayed teeth for permanent dentition was 1.6 (standard deviation [s.d.]: 1.99) and caries prevalence was 62.2% (n = 309). The tool's Cronbach's alpha was 0.88. The item-rest correlations were from 0.6 to 0.85 for all items. The initial exploratory factor analysis explained 76% of the total variance. The overall M-COHIP score was 59.6 (18.2). The overall modified-COHIP scores for those not in care (schools) were higher [62.88] than those of ALHIV. The poor M-COHIP scores were associated with reporting toothache, having active decay, poor oral health-self-rating, and being selected from the school site (p  0.005). CONCLUSION:  The validation study supports the use of the tool as a reliable and valid measure of OHRQoL. Future research can investigate the extent to which the tool is effective in measuring treatment outcomes and patient satisfaction.Contribution: The validated tool will be beneficial in the African context for programme assessments and overall measure of quality-of-life impacts from oral conditions.

Bayesian spatial modelling of intimate partner violence and associated factors among adult women and men: evidence from 2019/2020 Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey.

BACKGROUND: Intimate partner violence (IPV) remains a global public health concern for both men and women. Spatial mapping and clustering analysis can reveal subtle patterns in IPV occurrences but are yet to be explored in Rwanda, especially at a lower small-area scale. This study seeks to examine the spatial distribution, patterns, and associated factors of IPV among men and women in Rwanda. METHODS: This was a secondary data analysis of the 2019/2020 Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey (RDHS) individual-level data set for 1947 women aged 15-49 years and 1371 men aged 15-59 years. A spatially structured additive logistic regression model was used to assess risk factors for IPV while adjusting for spatial effects. The district-level spatial model was adjusted for fixed covariate effects and was implemented using a fully Bayesian inference within the generalized additive mixed effects framework. RESULTS: IPV prevalence amongst women was 45.9% (95% Confidence interval (CI): 43.4-48.5%) while that for men was 18.4% (95% CI: 16.2-20.9%). Using a bivariate choropleth, IPV perpetrated against women was higher in the North-Western districts of Rwanda whereas for men it was shown to be more prevalent in the Southern districts. A few districts presented high IPV for both men and women. The spatial structured additive logistic model revealed higher odds for IPV against women mainly in the North-western districts and the spatial effects were dominated by spatially structured effects contributing 64%. Higher odds of IPV were observed for men in the Southern districts of Rwanda and spatial effects were dominated by district heterogeneity accounting for 62%. There were no statistically significant district clusters for IPV in both men or women. Women with partners who consume alcohol, and with controlling partners were at significantly higher odds of IPV while those in rich households and making financial decisions together with partners were at lower odds of experiencing IPV. CONCLUSION: Campaigns against IPV should be strengthened, especially in the North-Western and Southern parts of Rwanda. In addition, the promotion of girl-child education and empowerment of women can potentially reduce IPV against women and girls. Furthermore, couples should be trained on making financial decisions together. In conclusion, the implementation of policies and interventions that discourage alcohol consumption and control behaviour, especially among men, should be rolled out.

Diabetic control and compliance using glycated haemoglobin (HbA1C) testing guidelines in public healthcare facilities of Gauteng province, South Africa.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed at evaluating diabetic control and compliance with testing guidelines, across healthcare facilities of Gauteng Province, South Africa, as well as factors associated with time to achieve control. South Africa's estimated total unmet need for care for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus is 80%. RESEARCH DESIGN, METHODS AND FINDINGS: The data of 511 781 patients were longitudinally evaluated. Results were reported by year, age category, race, sex, facility and test types. HbA1C of ≤7% was reported as normal, >7 - ≤9% as poor control and >9% as very poor control. The chi-squared test was used to assess the association between a first-ever HbA1C status and variables listed above. The Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to assess probability of attaining control among those who started with out-of-control HbA1C. The extended Cox regression model assessed the association between time to attaining HbA1C control from date of treatment initiation and several covariates. We reported hazard ratios, 95% confidence intervals and p-values. Data is reported for 511 781 patients with 705 597 laboratory results. Poorly controlled patients constituted 51.5%, with 29.6% classified as very poor control. Most poorly controlled patients had only one test over the entire study period. Amongst those who started with poor control status and had at least two follow-up measurements, the likelihood of achieving good control was higher in males (adjusted Hazard Ratio (aHR) = 1.16; 95% CI:1.12-1.20; p<0.001) and in those attending care at hospitals (aHR = 1.99; 95% CI:1.92-2.06; p<0.001). CONCLUSION: This study highlights poor adherence to guidelines for diabetes monitoring.

Comparison of cardiovascular health profiles across population surveys from five high- to low-income countries.

Aims: With the greatest burden of cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality increasingly observed in lower-income countries least prepared for this epidemic, focus is widening from risk factor management alone to primordial prevention to maintain high levels of cardiovascular health (CVH) across the life course. To facilitate this, the American Heart Association (AHA) developed CVH scoring guidelines to evaluate and track CVH. We aimed to compare the prevalence and trajectories of high CVH across the life course using nationally representative adult CVH data from five diverse high- to low-income countries. Methods: Surveys with CVH variables (physical activity, cigarette smoking, body mass, blood pressure, blood glucose, and total cholesterol levels) were identified in Ethiopia, Bangladesh, Brazil, England, and the United States (US). Participants were included if they were 18-69y, not pregnant, and had data for these CVH metrics. Comparable data were harmonized and each of the CVH metrics was scored using AHA guidelines as high (2), moderate (1), or low (0) to create total CVH scores with higher scores representing better CVH. High CVH prevalence by age was compared creating country CVH trajectories. Results: The analysis included 28,092 adults (Ethiopia n=7686, 55.2% male; Bangladesh n=6731, 48.4% male; Brazil n=7241, 47.9 % male; England n=2691, 49.5% male, and the US n=3743, 50.3% male). As country income level increased, prevalence of high CVH decreased (>90% in Ethiopia, >68% in Bangladesh and under 65% in the remaining countries). This pattern remained using either five or all six CVH metrics and following exclusion of underweight participants. While a decline in CVH with age was observed for all countries, higher income countries showed lower prevalence of high CVH already by age 18y. Excess body weight appeared the main driver of poor CVH in higher income countries, while current smoking was highest in Bangladesh. Conclusion: Harmonization of nationally representative survey data on CVH trajectories with age in 5 highly diverse countries supports our hypothesis that CVH decline with age may be universal. Interventions to promote and preserve high CVH throughout the life course are needed in all populations, tailored to country-specific time courses of the decline. In countries where CVH remains relatively high, protection of whole societies from risk factor epidemics may still be feasible.

Correlates of Parental Consent to Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Uptake by Their Adolescent Daughters in ZAMBIA: Application of the Health Belief Model.

Parental consent for adolescent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine uptake is important; however, refusal is prevalent. Therefore, this study aimed to understand factors associated with parental consent for their adolescent daughter's HPV vaccination. A cross-sectional study was conducted in Lusaka, Zambia, between September and October 2021. We recruited parents from different social settings. The means and standard deviations or median and interquartile ranges were used as appropriate to summarise continuous variables. Simple and multiple logistic regression models were fitted with robust estimation of standard errors. The odds ratios are presented with 95% CI. Mediation analysis was conducted using a generalised structural equation model. The study enrolled 400 parents, mean age 45.7 years [95% CI, 44.3-47.1]. Two hundred and fifteen (53.8%) parents reported consenting to their daughters' HPV vaccination, and their daughters received it. None of the health belief model (HBM) construct scores showed an independent association with parental consent. Higher, compared to lower wealth index (AOR; 2.32, 95% CI: 1.29-4.16), knowing someone with genital warts (AOR = 2.23, 95 CI: 1.04-4.76), cervical cancer screening uptake (AOR = 1.93, 95% CI: 1.03-3.62) were associated with increased odds of parental consent. This study highlights factors influencing parental consent for their daughters' HPV vaccination. Ongoing sensitisation programs are important to improve their decision-making.

Using generalized structured additive regression models to determine factors associated with and clusters for COVID-19 hospital deaths in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: The first case of COVID-19 in South Africa was reported in March 2020 and the country has since recorded over 3.6 million laboratory-confirmed cases and 100 000 deaths as of March 2022. Transmission and infection of SARS-CoV-2 virus and deaths in general due to COVID-19 have been shown to be spatially associated but spatial patterns in in-hospital deaths have not fully been investigated in South Africa. This study uses national COVID-19 hospitalization data to investigate the spatial effects on hospital deaths after adjusting for known mortality risk factors. METHODS: COVID-19 hospitalization data and deaths were obtained from the National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD). Generalized structured additive logistic regression model was used to assess spatial effects on COVID-19 in-hospital deaths adjusting for demographic and clinical covariates. Continuous covariates were modelled by assuming second-order random walk priors, while spatial autocorrelation was specified with Markov random field prior and fixed effects with vague priors respectively. The inference was fully Bayesian. RESULTS: The risk of COVID-19 in-hospital mortality increased with patient age, with admission to intensive care unit (ICU) (aOR = 4.16; 95% Credible Interval: 4.05-4.27), being on oxygen (aOR = 1.49; 95% Credible Interval: 1.46-1.51) and on invasive mechanical ventilation (aOR = 3.74; 95% Credible Interval: 3.61-3.87). Being admitted in a public hospital (aOR = 3.16; 95% Credible Interval: 3.10-3.21) was also significantly associated with mortality. Risk of in-hospital deaths increased in months following a surge in infections and dropped after months of successive low infections highlighting crest and troughs lagging the epidemic curve. After controlling for these factors, districts such as Vhembe, Capricorn and Mopani in Limpopo province, and Buffalo City, O.R. Tambo, Joe Gqabi and Chris Hani in Eastern Cape province remained with significantly higher odds of COVID-19 hospital deaths suggesting possible health systems challenges in those districts. CONCLUSION: The results show substantial COVID-19 in-hospital mortality variation across the 52 districts. Our analysis provides information that can be important for strengthening health policies and the public health system for the benefit of the whole South African population. Understanding differences in in-hospital COVID-19 mortality across space could guide interventions to achieve better health outcomes in affected districts.

Diabetes care cascade and associated factors in 10 700 middle-aged adults in four sub-Saharan African countries: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: We investigated progression through the care cascade and associated factors for people with diabetes in sub-Saharan Africa to identify attrition stages that may be most appropriate for targeted intervention. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Community-based study in four sub-Saharan African countries. PARTICIPANTS: 10 700 individuals, aged 40-60 years. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was the diabetes cascade of care defined as the age-adjusted diabetes prevalence (self-report of diabetes, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥7 mmol/L or random plasma glucose ≥11.1 mmol/L) and proportions of those who reported awareness of having diabetes, ever having received treatment for diabetes and those who achieved glycaemic control (FPG <7.2 mmol/L). Secondary outcome measures were factors associated with having diabetes and being aware of the diagnosis. RESULTS: Diabetes prevalence was 5.5% (95% CI 4.4% to 6.5%). Approximately half of those with diabetes were aware (54%; 95% CI 50% to 58%); 73% (95% CI 67% to 79%) of aware individuals reported ever having received treatment. However, only 38% (95% CI 30% to 46%) of those ever having received treatment were adequately controlled. Increasing age (OR 1.1; 95% CI 1.0 to 1.1), urban residence (OR 2.3; 95% CI 1.6 to 3.5), hypertension (OR 1.9; 95% CI 1.5 to 2.4), family history of diabetes (OR 3.9; 95% CI 3.0 to 5.1) and measures of central adiposity were associated with higher odds of having diabetes. Increasing age (OR 1.1; 95% CI 1.0 to 1.1), semi-rural residence (OR 2.5; 95% CI 1.1 to 5.7), secondary education (OR 2.4; 95% CI 1.2 to 4.9), hypertension (OR 1.6; 95% CI 1.0 to 2.4) and known HIV positivity (OR 2.3; 95% CI 1.2 to 4.4) were associated with greater likelihood of awareness of having diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: There is attrition at each stage of the diabetes care cascade in sub-Saharan Africa. Public health strategies should target improving diagnosis in high-risk individuals and intensifying therapy in individuals treated for diabetes.

Are cardiovascular health measures heritable across three generations of families in Soweto, South Africa? A cross-sectional analysis using the random family method.

OBJECTIVES: Cardiovascular disease is increasing in many low and middle-income countries, including those in Africa. To inform strategies for the prevention of cardiovascular disease in South Africa, we sought to determine the broad heritability of phenotypic markers of cardiovascular risk across three generations. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study conducted in a longitudinal family cohort. SETTING: Research unit within a tertiary hospital in a historically disadvantaged, large urban township of South Africa. PARTICIPANTS: 195 individuals from 65 biological families with all three generations including third-generation children aged 4-10 years were recruited from the longest running intergenerational cohort study in Africa, the Birth to Twenty Plus cohort. All adults (grandparents and parents) were female while children were male or female. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was heritability of blood pressure (BP; brachial and central pressures). Secondary outcomes were heritability of arterial stiffness (pulse wave velocity), carotid intima media thickness (cIMT) and left ventricular mass indexed to body surface area (LVMI). RESULTS: While no significant intergenerational relationships of BP or arterial stiffness were found, there were significant relationships in LVMI across all three generations (p<0.04), and in cIMT between grandparents and parents (p=0.0166). Heritability, the proportion of phenotypic trait variation attributable to genetics, was estimated from three common statistical methods and ranged from 23% to 44% for cIMT and from 21% to 39% for LVMI. CONCLUSIONS: Structural indicators of vascular health, which are strong markers of future clinical cardiovascular outcomes, transmit between generations within African families. Identification of these markers in parents may be useful to trigger assessments of preventable risk factors for cardiovascular disease in offspring.

Factors associated with adherence to HIV testing guidelines among HIV-negative female sex workers in Kampala, Uganda.

Background: Frequent human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) testing is recommended among female sex workers. This study examined the extent to which HIV-negative female sex workers (FSWs) in Kampala adhere to the HIV testing guidelines, and identified associated factors. Methods: This cross-sectional study used a simple random sampling method to select 12 sex work hotspots. Two hundred participants were allocated proportionally in each hotspot. Frequencies were used to describe categorical characteristics of FSWs, and a multivariable logistic regression model was used to determine the factors associated with adherence to the HIV testing guidelines. Results: Eighty-eight percent of the 200 study participants reported their HIV testing status; of these, 56% had tested three or more times in the 12 months preceding the survey. Attaining a secondary education was associated with adherence to the HIV testing guidelines [odds ratio (OR) 1.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-3.44; P=0.047]. Sexually transmitted infection testing in the preceding 3 months (OR 2.13, 95% CI 0.95-4.74; P=0.065) and accessing HIV testing at a drop-in centre (OR 5.90, 95% CI 0.71-49.1; P=0.101) were associated with higher odds of adherence to the HIV testing guidelines. Conclusion: Adherence to the HIV testing guidelines was suboptimal, indicating the need to scale up interventions to improve access to HIV testing, including rigorous behaviour change communication.

Mapping Evidence on the Burden of Breast, Cervical, and Prostate Cancers in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Scoping Review.

Background: Cancer remains a major public health problem, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where the provision of health care is poor. This scoping review mapped evidence in the literature regarding the burden of cervical, breast and prostate cancers in SSA. Methods: We conducted this scoping review using the Arksey and O'Malley framework, with five steps: identifying the research question; searching for relevant studies; selecting studies; charting the data; and collating, summarizing, and reporting the data. We performed all the steps independently and resolved disagreements through discussion. We used Endnote software to manage references and the Rayyan software to screen studies. Results: We found 138 studies that met our inclusion criteria from 2,751 studies identified through the electronic databases. The majority were retrospective studies of mostly registries and patient files (n = 77, 55.8%), followed by cross-sectional studies (n = 51, 36.9%). We included studies published from 1990 to 2021, with a sharp increase from 2010 to 2021. The quality of studies was overall satisfactory. Most studies were done in South Africa (n = 20) and Nigeria (n = 17). The majority were on cervical cancer (n = 93, 67.4%), followed by breast cancer (67, 48.6%) and the least were on prostate cancer (48, 34.8%). Concerning the burden of cancer, most reported prevalence and incidence. We also found a few studies investigating mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and years of life lost (YLL). Conclusions: We found many retrospective record review cross-sectional studies, mainly in South Africa and Nigeria, reporting the prevalence and incidence of cervical, breast and prostate cancer in SSA. There were a few systematic and scoping reviews. There is a scarcity of cervical, breast and prostate cancer burden studies in several SSA countries. The findings in this study can inform policy on improving the public health systems and therefore reduce cancer incidence and mortality in SSA.

Prevalence and factors associated with self-reported HIV testing among adolescent girls and young women in Rwanda: evidence from 2019/20 Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey.

BACKGROUND: HIV/AIDS remains a major public health problem globally. The majority of people living with HIV are from Sub-Saharan Africa, particularly adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) aged 15-24 years. HIV testing is crucial as it is the gateway to HIV prevention, treatment, and care; therefore this study determined the prevalence and factors associated with self-reported HIV testing among AGYW in Rwanda. METHODS: We conducted secondary data analysis on the AGYW using data extracted from the nationally representative population-based 2019/2020 cross-sectional Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey (DHS). We described the characteristics of study participants and determined the prevalence of HIV testing and associated factors using the multivariable logistic regression model. We adjusted all our analyses for unequal sampling probabilities using survey weights. RESULTS: There were a total of 5,732 AGYW, with the majority (57%) aged 15-19 years, 83% were not living with a man, 80% were from rural areas, 29% were from the East region, and 20% had a history of pregnancy. Self-reported HIV testing prevalence was 55.4% (95%CI: 53.7 to 57.0%). The odds of ever having an HIV test were significantly higher for those aged 20-24 years (aOR 2.87, 95%CI: 2.44 to 3.37); with higher education (aOR 2.41, 95%CI:1.48 to 3.93); who were rich (aOR 2.06, 95%CI:1.57 to 2.70); with access to at least one media (aOR 1.64, 95%CI: 1.14 to 2.37); who had ever been pregnant (aOR 16.12, 95%CI: 9.60 to 27.07); who ever had sex (aOR 2.40, 95%CI: 1.96 to 2.95); and those who had comprehensive HIV knowledge (aOR 1.34, 95%CI: 1.17 to 1.54). CONCLUSIONS: We report an unmet need for HIV testing among AGYW in Rwanda. We recommend a combination of strategies to optimize access to HIV testing services, especially among the 15-19 years adolescent girls, including facility-based testing, school and community outreach, awareness campaigns on HIV testing, and home-based testing through HIV self-testing.

A vaccination model for COVID-19 in Gauteng, South Africa.

The COVID-19 pandemic provides an opportunity to explore the impact of government mandates on movement restrictions and non-pharmaceutical interventions on a novel infection, and we investigate these strategies in early-stage outbreak dynamics. The rate of disease spread in South Africa varied over time as individuals changed behavior in response to the ongoing pandemic and to changing government policies. Using a system of ordinary differential equations, we model the outbreak in the province of Gauteng, assuming that several parameters vary over time. Analyzing data from the time period before vaccination gives the approximate dates of parameter changes, and those dates are linked to government policies. Unknown parameters are then estimated from available case data and used to assess the impact of each policy. Looking forward in time, possible scenarios give projections involving the implementation of two different vaccines at varying times. Our results quantify the impact of different government policies and demonstrate how vaccinations can alter infection spread.

Effects of Modulated Electro-Hyperthermia (mEHT) on Two and Three Year Survival of Locally Advanced Cervical Cancer Patients.

(1) Background: Modulated electro-hyperthermia (mEHT) is a mild to moderate, capacitive-coupled heating technology that uses amplitude modulation to enhance the cell-killing effects of the treatment. We present three year survival results and a cost effectiveness analysis from an ongoing randomised controlled Phase III trial involving 210 participants evaluating chemoradiotherapy (CRT) with/without mEHT, for the management of locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC) in a resource constrained setting (Ethics Approval: M120477/M704133; ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT033320690). (2) Methods: We report hazard ratios (HR); odds ratio (OR), and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for overall survival and disease free survival (DFS) at two and three years in the ongoing study. Late toxicity, quality of life (QoL), and a cost effectiveness analysis (CEA) using a Markov model are also reported. (3) Results: Disease recurrence at two and three years was significantly reduced by mEHT (HR: 0.67, 95%CI: 0.48-0.93, p = 0.017; and HR: 0.70, 95%CI: 0.51-0.98, p = 0.035; respectively). There were no significant differences in late toxicity between the groups, and QoL was significantly improved in the mEHT group. In the CEA, mEHT + CRT dominated the model over CRT alone. (4) Conclusions: CRT combined with mEHT improves QoL and DFS rates, and lowers treatment costs, without increasing toxicity in LACC patients, even in resource-constrained settings.

Paediatric Hypertension in Africa: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and hypertension is rapidly increasing in low- and middle-income countries. This is evident not only in adults, but also in children. Recent estimates of prevalence in children are lacking, particularly in Africa. As such, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to provide updated estimates of paediatric hypertension in Africa. METHODS: We searched PubMed and EBSCO to identify articles published from January 2017 to November 2020. Studies were assessed for quality. We combined results for meta-analyses using a random effects model (Freeman-Tukey arcsine transformation). Heterogeneity was quantified using the I2 statistic. FINDINGS: In the narrative synthesis of 53 studies, publication bias was low for 28, moderate for 24, and high for one study. Hypertension prevalence ranged substantially (0·2%-38·9%). Meta-analysis included 41 studies resulting in data on 52918 participants aged 3 to 19 years from ten countries. The pooled prevalence for hypertension (systolic/diastolic BP≥95th percentile) was 7·45% (95%CI 5·30-9·92, I2=98.96%), elevated blood pressure (BP, systolic/diastolic BP≥90th percentile and <95th percentile) 11·38% (95%CI 7·94-15·33, I2=98.97%) and combined hypertension/elevated BP 21·74% (95%CI 15·5-28·69, I2=99.48%). Participants categorized as overweight/with obesity had a higher prevalence of hypertension (18·5% [95%CI 10·2-28·5]) than those categorized as underweight/normal (1·0% [95%CI 0·1-2·6], 4·8% [95%CI 2·9-7·1], p<0·001). There were significant differences in hypertension prevalence when comparing BP measurement methods and classification guidelines. INTERPRETATION: Compared to a previous systematic review conducted in 2017, this study suggests a continued increase in prevalence of paediatric hypertension in Africa, and highlights the potential role of increasing overweight/obesity. FUNDING: This research was funded in part by the Wellcome Trust [Grant number:214082/Z/18/Z]. LJW and SAN are supported by the DSI-NRF Centre of Human Development at the University of the Witwatersrand.

Estimated SARS-CoV-2 infection rate and fatality risk in Gauteng Province, South Africa: a population-based seroepidemiological survey.

BACKGROUND: Limitations in laboratory testing capacity undermine the ability to quantify the overall burden of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. METHODS: We undertook a population-based serosurvey for SARS-CoV-2 infection in 26 subdistricts, Gauteng Province (population 15.9 million), South Africa, to estimate SARS-CoV-2 infection, infection fatality rate (IFR) triangulating seroprevalence, recorded COVID-19 deaths and excess-mortality data. We employed three-stage random household sampling with a selection probability proportional to the subdistrict size, stratifying the subdistrict census-sampling frame by housing type and then selecting households from selected clusters. The survey started on 4 November 2020, 8 weeks after the end of the first wave (SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid amplification test positivity had declined to <10% for the first wave) and coincided with the peak of the second wave. The last sampling was performed on 22 January 2021, which was 9 weeks after the SARS-CoV-2 resurgence. Serum SARS-CoV-2 receptor-binding domain (RBD) immunoglobulin-G (IgG) was measured using a quantitative assay on the Luminex platform. RESULTS: From 6332 individuals in 3453 households, the overall RBD IgG seroprevalence was 19.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): 18.1-20.1%] and similar in children and adults. The seroprevalence varied from 5.5% to 43.2% across subdistricts. Conservatively, there were 2 897 120 (95% CI: 2 743 907-3 056 866) SARS-CoV-2 infections, yielding an infection rate of 19 090 per 100 000 until 9 January 2021, when 330 336 COVID-19 cases were recorded. The estimated IFR using recorded COVID-19 deaths (n = 8198) was 0.28% (95% CI: 0.27-0.30) and 0.67% (95% CI: 0.64-0.71) assuming 90% of modelled natural excess deaths were due to COVID-19 (n = 21 582). Notably, 53.8% (65/122) of individuals with previous self-reported confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were RBD IgG seronegative. CONCLUSIONS: The calculated number of SARS-CoV-2 infections was 7.8-fold greater than the recorded COVID-19 cases. The calculated SARS-CoV-2 IFR varied 2.39-fold when calculated using reported COVID-19 deaths (0.28%) compared with excess-mortality-derived COVID-19-attributable deaths (0.67%). Waning RBD IgG may have inadvertently underestimated the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections and conversely overestimated the mortality risk. Epidemic preparedness and response planning for future COVID-19 waves will need to consider the true magnitude of infections, paying close attention to excess-mortality trends rather than absolute reported COVID-19 deaths.

Service Use and Resilience among Adolescents Living with HIV in Blantyre, Malawi.

INTRODUCTION: Adolescents living with HIV (ALHIV) experience social and health challenges that warrant the provision of services and relational support to build resilience. Little is known about how social, community and health services help. We examine formal and alternative service use by and resilience of ALHIV participating in an enhanced teen-club clinic (TCC) programme. DESCRIPTION: TCC is an adolescent-centred differentiated care model offering a 'one-stop-shop' for HIV/Sexual and Reproductive Health (SRH) services to ALHIV. A survey was conducted with 406 ALHIV to determine frequency of use and satisfaction with services. In addition, we conducted 26 in-depth interviews with ALHIV, 12 group discussions with 144 caregivers, and observations of workshops held for 35 health workers to capture multiple perspectives on service use and relational support systems for adolescent's wellbeing. DISCUSSION: About 70% of ALHIV were concurrently clients of three or more services. The multi-method analysis showed variations on risks, range of services, frequency of use and satisfaction. Interview data reflected complex factors influencing access to formal services, and caregivers and adolescents also sought alternative care from spiritual and traditional healers. CONCLUSION: Adolescent centred-approaches have the potential to enhance resilience promoting resources and outcomes. A multi-sectoral approach to service use and provision is critical to inform adolescent intervention programs and wellbeing.

Bayesian semi-parametric spatial modelling of intimate partner violence in Namibia using 2013 Demographic Health Survey Data.

BACKGROUND: Intimate partner violence (IPV) is an important public health problem with health and socioeconomic consequences and is endemic in Namibia. Studies assessing risk factors for IPV often use logistic and Poisson regression without geographical location information and spatial effects. We used a Bayesian spatial semi-parametric regression model to determine the risk factors for IPV in Namibia; assess the non-linear effects of age difference between partners and determine spatial effects in the different regions on IPV prevalence. METHODS: We used the couples' dataset of the 2013-2014 Namibia Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) obtained on request from Measure DHS. The DHS domestic violence module included 2226 women. We generated a binary variable measuring IPV from the questions "ever experienced physical, sexual or emotional violence?" Covariates included respondent's educational level, age, couples' age difference, place of residence and partner's educational level. All estimation was done with the full Bayesian approach using R version 3.5.2 implementing the R2BayesX package. RESULTS: IPV country prevalence was 33.3% (95% CI = 30.1-36.5%); Kavango had the highest [50.6% (95% CI = 41.2-60.1%)] and Oshana the lowest [11.5% (95% CI = 3.2-19.9%)] regional prevalence. IPV prevalence was highest among teenagers [60.8% (95% CI = 36.9-84.7%)]). The spatial semi-parametric model used for adjusted results controlled for regional spatial effects, respondent's age, age difference, respondent's years of education, residence, wealth, and education levels. Women with higher education were 50% less likely to experience IPV [aOR: 0.46, 95% CI = 0.23-0.87]. For non-linear effects, the risk of IPV was high for women ≥ 5 years older or ≥ 25 years younger than their partners. Younger and older women had higher risks of IPV than those between 25 and 45 years. For spatial variation of IPV prevalence, northern regions had low spatial effects while western regions had very high spatial effects. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of IPV among Namibia women was high especially among teenagers, with higher educational levels being protective. The risk of IPV was lower in rural than urban areas and higher with wide partner age differences. Interventions and policies for IPV prevention in Namibia are needed for couples with wide age differences as well as for younger women, women with lower educational attainment and in urban and western regions.