Accuracy and efficacy of Ion robotic-assisted bronchoscopic fine needle aspiration of lung lesions.

INTRODUCTION: The Ion Endoluminal Platform (ION) (IEPI Intuitive, Sunnyvale, CA), a minimally invasive robotic-assisted bronchoscopy platform, was recently US Food and Drug Administration approved for the performance of fine needle aspirations (FNAs) and biopsies of peripheral lung lesions. Rapid on-site intraoperative diagnosis (IOD) of FNAs and/or frozen section of biopsies help surgeons confirm adequate sampling of the targeted lesion and allow definitive treatment in selected cases. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed our experience with all FNAs of lung lesions sampled by interventional pulmonologists and thoracic surgeons using Ion from September 2020 to December 2022. IOD rendered during adequacy assessment were compared with final cytology diagnoses (Cyto-FD) and the ultimate final diagnoses (U-FD). The U-FD was based on the sum of all clinical, imaging, cytologic, and histologic diagnoses of the lung lesion which the clinical team used to treat the patient. RESULTS: The IOD and Cyto-FD were concordant in 62% of the 423 lesions that underwent intraoperative evaluation, yielding a sensitivity of 67% and a specificity of 99% for malignancy. The Cyto-FD and U-FD were concordant in 51% of the lesions with a sensitivity and specificity for malignancy of 66% and 100%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: IODs rendered during Ion were highly accurate but only moderately sensitive for a diagnosis of malignancy.

Antibiotic use during influenza infection augments lung eosinophils that impair immunity against secondary bacterial pneumonia.

A leading cause of mortality after influenza infection is the development of a secondary bacterial pneumonia. In the absence of a bacterial superinfection, prescribing antibacterial therapies is not indicated but has become a common clinical practice for those presenting with a respiratory viral illness. In a murine model, we found that antibiotic use during influenza infection impaired the lung innate immunologic defenses toward a secondary challenge with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA). Antibiotics augment lung eosinophils, which have inhibitory effects on macrophage function through the release of major basic protein. Moreover, we demonstrated antibiotic treatment during influenza infection causes a fungal dysbiosis that drive lung eosinophilia and impair MRSA clearance. Finally, we evaluated three cohorts of hospitalized patients and found eosinophils positively correlated with antibiotic use, systemic inflammation, and worsened outcomes. Altogether, our work demonstrates a detrimental effect of antibiotic treatment during influenza infection that has harmful immunologic consequences via recruitment of eosinophils to the lungs thereby increasing the risk of developing a secondary bacterial infection.

Robotic-Assisted Bronchoscopy for the Diagnosis of Lung Lesions: Experience With the Use of Frozen Sections as an Aid to Confirm the Localization of Lesions During the Procedure.

CONTEXT.­: Robotic-assisted navigation bronchoscopy (R-ANB) is used to target peripheral pulmonary nodules that are difficult to biopsy using conventional approaches. Frozen sections are requested to confirm these lesions have been localized and/or to diagnose neoplasms that can be immediately resected. OBJECTIVE.­: To estimate diagnostic concordance between frozen section diagnosis (FSD) and formalin-fixed tissue diagnosis (FFTD) in biopsies obtained with R-ANB, calculate the sensitivity and specificity of FSD and FFTD for a diagnosis of malignancy, and evaluate whether the residual tissue that can be fixed in formalin after frozen section still has sufficient material for molecular studies. DATA SOURCES.­: The results of consecutive FSD rendered on biopsies performed with R-ANB during a 30-month period were used to calculate the metrics listed above. FFTD and/or the diagnoses rendered on computed tomography-guided core biopsy subsequently performed in patients with negative R-ANB and/or lung resections in patients with malignancies were used as true-positive results. The overall concordance between FSD and FFTD in 226 lesions from 203 patients was 72%. Frozen section diagnosed 76 of 123 malignancies with 100% specificity and 68% sensitivity. Adequate material was available in 92% of biopsies where next-generation sequencing and other molecular studies were requested. CONCLUSIONS.­: Intraoperative consultations are helpful to diagnose a variety of lung lesions and help surgeons confirm that targets have been accurately reached by R-ANB. Malignancies can be diagnosed with 100% specificity but only 68% sensitivity. The performance of frozen section did not interfere with the subsequent analysis of tissue with molecular studies in most cases.

Guidelines for Pathologic Diagnosis of Mesothelioma.

CONTEXT.­: Mesothelioma is an uncommon tumor that can be difficult to diagnose. OBJECTIVE.­: To provide updated, practical guidelines for the pathologic diagnosis of mesothelioma. DATA SOURCES.­: Pathologists involved in the International Mesothelioma Interest Group and others with expertise in mesothelioma contributed to this update. Reference material includes peer-reviewed publications and textbooks. CONCLUSIONS.­: There was consensus opinion regarding guidelines for (1) histomorphologic diagnosis of mesothelial tumors, including distinction of epithelioid, biphasic, and sarcomatoid mesothelioma; recognition of morphologic variants and patterns; and recognition of common morphologic pitfalls; (2) molecular pathogenesis of mesothelioma; (3) application of immunohistochemical markers to establish mesothelial lineage and distinguish mesothelioma from common morphologic differentials; (4) application of ancillary studies to distinguish benign from malignant mesothelial proliferations, including BAP1 and MTAP immunostains; novel immunomarkers such as Merlin and p53; fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) for homozygous deletion of CDKN2A; and novel molecular assays; (5) practical recommendations for routine reporting of mesothelioma, including grading epithelioid mesothelioma and other prognostic parameters; (6) diagnosis of mesothelioma in situ; (7) cytologic diagnosis of mesothelioma, including use of immunostains and molecular assays; and (8) features of nonmalignant peritoneal mesothelial lesions.

Standardized Classification of Lung Adenocarcinoma Subtypes and Improvement of Grading Assessment Through Deep Learning.

The histopathologic distinction of lung adenocarcinoma (LADC) subtypes is subject to high interobserver variability, which can compromise the optimal assessment of patient prognosis. Therefore, this study developed convolutional neural networks capable of distinguishing LADC subtypes and predicting disease-specific survival, according to the recently established LADC tumor grades. Consensus LADC histopathologic images were obtained from 17 expert pulmonary pathologists and one pathologist in training. Two deep learning models (AI-1 and AI-2) were trained to predict eight different LADC classes. Furthermore, the trained models were tested on an independent cohort of 133 patients. The models achieved high precision, recall, and F1 scores exceeding 0.90 for most of the LADC classes. Clear stratification of the three LADC grades was reached in predicting the disease-specific survival by the two models, with both Kaplan-Meier curves showing significance (P = 0.0017 and 0.0003). Moreover, both trained models showed high stability in the segmentation of each pair of predicted grades with low variation in the hazard ratio across 200 bootstrapped samples. These findings indicate that the trained convolutional neural networks improve the diagnostic accuracy of the pathologist and refine LADC grade assessment. Thus, the trained models are promising tools that may assist in the routine evaluation of LADC subtypes and grades in clinical practice.

Nonspecific interstitial pneumonia pattern is a frequent finding in patients with post-acute COVID-19 syndrome treated with bilateral orthotopic lung transplantation: current best evidence.

Patients with post-acute COVID-19 (PA-COVID) syndrome or long COVID-19 syndrome develop persistent symptoms and complications that last beyond 4 weeks of the initial infection. There is limited information regarding the pulmonary pathology in PA-COVID patients who require bilateral orthotopic lung transplantation (BOLT). Our experience with 40 lung explants from 20 PA-COVID patients who underwent BOLT is described. Clinicopathologic findings are correlated with best evidence from literature. The lung parenchyma showed bronchiectasis (n = 20) and severe interstitial fibrosis with areas resembling the nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP) pattern of fibrosis (n = 20), interstitial fibrosis not otherwise specified (n = 20), and fibrotic cysts (n = 9). None of the explants exhibited a usual interstitial pneumonia pattern of fibrosis. Other parenchymal changes included multinucleated giant cells (n = 17), hemosiderosis (n = 16), peribronchiolar metaplasia (n = 19), obliterative bronchiolitis (n = 6), and microscopic honeycombing (n = 5). Vascular abnormalities included thrombosis of a lobar artery (n = 1) and microscopic thrombi in small vessels (n = 7). Systematic literature review identified 7 articles reporting the presence in 12 patients of interstitial fibrosis showing the NSIP pattern (n = 3), organizing pneumonia/diffuse alveolar damage (n = 4) and not otherwise specified (n = 3) patterns. All but one of these studies also reported the presence of multinucleated giant cells and none of the studies reported the presence of severe vascular abnormalities. PA-COVID patients undergoing BOLT show a pattern of fibrosis that resembles a mixed cellular-fibrotic NSIP pattern and generally lack severe vascular complications. As the NSIP pattern of fibrosis is often associated with autoimmune diseases, additional studies are needed to understand the mechanism of disease and learn whether this information can be used for therapeutic purposes.

Overcoming the Interobserver Variability in Lung Adenocarcinoma Subtyping: A Clustering Approach to Establish a Ground Truth for Downstream Applications.

CONTEXT.­: The accurate identification of different lung adenocarcinoma histologic subtypes is important for determining prognosis but can be challenging because of overlaps in the diagnostic features, leading to considerable interobserver variability. OBJECTIVE.­: To provide an overview of the diagnostic agreement for lung adenocarcinoma subtypes among pathologists and to create a ground truth using the clustering approach for downstream computational applications. DESIGN.­: Three sets of lung adenocarcinoma histologic images with different evaluation levels (small patches, areas with relatively uniform histology, and whole slide images) were reviewed by 17 international expert lung pathologists and 1 pathologist in training. Each image was classified into one or several lung adenocarcinoma subtypes. RESULTS.­: Among the 4702 patches of the first set, 1742 (37%) had an overall consensus among all pathologists. The overall Fleiss κ score for the agreement of all subtypes was 0.58. Using cluster analysis, pathologists were hierarchically grouped into 2 clusters, with κ scores of 0.588 and 0.563 in clusters 1 and 2, respectively. Similar results were obtained for the second and third sets, with fair-to-moderate agreements. Patches from the first 2 sets that obtained the consensus of the 18 pathologists were retrieved to form consensus patches and were regarded as the ground truth of lung adenocarcinoma subtypes. CONCLUSIONS.­: Our observations highlight discrepancies among experts when assessing lung adenocarcinoma subtypes. However, a subsequent number of consensus patches could be retrieved from each cluster, which can be used as ground truth for the downstream computational pathology applications, with minimal influence from interobserver variability.

Severe Nonspecific Interstitial Pneumonia (NSIP) in an Adolescent.

Childhood interstitial lung disease (chILD) is remarkably rare with a reported prevalence from 0.13 per 100,000 children under 17 years to 16.2 per 100,000 children under 15 years of age (Kornum et al., 2008). Here, we present a case of a 15-year-old with subacute hypoxemic respiratory failure, admitted to the critical care unit. Her imaging on admission showed bilateral interstitial infiltrates; her laboratory workup, including autoimmune serologies, was unrevealing. A bronchoscopy revealed the diagnosis of nonspecific interstitial pneumonia. She had a partial recovery after a course of steroids.

Engineered Fibroblast Extracellular Vesicles Attenuate Pulmonary Inflammation and Fibrosis in Bleomycin-Induced Lung Injury.

Pulmonary fibrosis is a progressive disease for which no curative treatment exists. We have previously engineered dermal fibroblasts to produce extracellular vesicles with tissue reparative properties dubbed activated specialized tissue effector extracellular vesicles (ASTEX). Here, we investigate the therapeutic utility of ASTEX in vitro and in a mouse model of bleomycin-induced lung injury. RNA sequencing demonstrates that ASTEX are enriched in micro-RNAs (miRs) cargo compared with EVs from untransduced dermal fibroblast EVs (DF-EVs). Treating primary macrophages with ASTEX reduced interleukin (IL)6 expression and increased IL10 expression compared with DF-EV-exposed macrophages. Furthermore, exposure of human lung fibroblasts or vascular endothelial cells to ASTEX reduced expression of smooth muscle actin, a hallmark of myofibroblast differentiation (respectively). In vivo, intratracheal administration of ASTEX in naïve healthy mice demonstrated a favorable safety profile with no changes in body weight, lung weight to body weight, fibrotic burden, or histological score 3 weeks postexposure. In an acute phase (short-term) bleomycin model of lung injury, ASTEX reduced lung weight to body weight, IL6 expression, and circulating monocytes. In a long-term setting, ASTEX improved survival and reduced fibrotic content in lung tissue. These results suggest potential immunomodulatory and antifibrotic properties of ASTEX in lung injury.

Membranous HEG1 expression is a useful marker in the differential diagnosis of epithelioid and biphasic malignant mesothelioma versus carcinomas.

Sialylated HEG1 has been reported as a highly specific and sensitive mesothelioma marker but a comprehensive evaluation of its expression in carcinomas in different organs, various sarcomas and reactive mesothelial proliferations has not been reported. The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical applicability of HEG1 as a marker in the diagnosis of mesothelioma. HEG1 immunoreactivity was evaluated in whole sections of 122 mesotheliomas, 75 pulmonary carcinomas, 55 other carcinomas, 16 mesenchymal tumors, and 24 reactive mesothelial proliferations and in tissue microarrays containing 70 epithelioid (EM), 36 biphasic (BM), and 2 sarcomatoid mesotheliomas (SM). In whole sections and tissue microarrays, respectively, membranous HEG1 was expressed in 93.0% and 85.5% of EM, 81.3% and 69.4% of BM, 0% and 0% of SM. HEG1 was not expressed in pulmonary adenocarcinomas. HEG1 was expressed as cytoplasmic immunoreactivity in pulmonary squamous cell carcinomas (21.7%). Membranous HEG1 staining was seen in ovarian carcinomas (66.7%), thyroid carcinomas (100%), reactive conditions (16.7%), and mesenchymal tumors (18.8%). The sensitivity of membranous HEG1 expression to distinguish EM/BM from all carcinomas was 88.8%. The specificity for the differential diagnosis between EM/BM and all carcinomas and pulmonary carcinomas was 92.3% and 98.7%, respectively.

Comparison of Nuclear Grade, Necrosis, and Histologic Subtype Between Biopsy and Resection in Pleural Malignant Mesothelioma: An International Multi-Institutional Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Numerous studies on malignant mesothelioma (MM) highlight the prognostic importance of histologic subtype, nuclear grade, and necrosis. This study compares these parameters in paired biopsy and resection specimens of pleural MM. METHODS: Histologic subtype, percentage of epithelioid morphology, nuclear grade, and the presence or absence of necrosis were compared in 429 paired biopsies and resection specimens of pleural MM from 19 institutions. RESULTS: Histologic subtype was concordant in 81% of cases (κ = 0.58). When compared with resection specimens, epithelioid morphology at biopsy had a positive predictive value (PPV) of 78.9% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 93.5%; sarcomatoid morphology showed high PPV (92.9%) and NPV (99.3%), and biphasic morphology PPV was 89.7% and NPV was 79.7%. Agreement of the percentage of epithelioid morphology was fair (κ = 0.27). Nuclear grade and necrosis were concordant in 75% (κ = 0.59) and 81% (κ = 0.53) of cases, respectively. Nuclear grade showed moderate (κ = 0.53) and substantial (κ = 0.67) agreement from patients with and without neoadjuvant therapy, respectively, and necrosis showed moderate (κ = 0.47 and κ = 0.60) agreement, respectively, in the same subsets of paired specimens. CONCLUSIONS: Paired biopsy-resection specimens from pleural MM show overall moderate agreement in pathologic parameters. These findings may help guide postbiopsy management and triage of patients with MM.

Clinico-pathologic findings in patients with median arcuate ligament syndrome (celiac artery compression syndrome).

Median Arcuate Ligament Syndrome (MALS) is a rare entity characterized by severe post-prandial epigastric pain, nausea, vomiting, and/or weight loss. Symptoms have been attributed to vascular compression (celiac artery compression syndrome, CACS), but it remains controversial whether they could be secondary to neural compression. Literature review identified rare description of pathologic findings in surgery journals. The clinico-pathologic findings of four MALS patients who underwent robotic or laparoscopic surgery in our hospital are described. All our patients were female with a median age of 32.5 (range 25-55 years), and a median BMI of 23.5 kg/m2. They presented with chronic often post-prandial abdominal pain (4/4), nausea (3/4), emesis (2/4), anorexia (1/4), and weight loss (1/4). Two patients had a history of Crohn's disease. At intraoperative exploration, the celiac artery and adjacent nerves and ganglia were encased and partially compressed by fibrotic tissue in each patient. In each case laparoscopic excision of fibrotic tissue, celiac plexus and ligament division and was performed; celiac plexus nerve block was also performed in one patient. After surgical intervention, symptoms improved in three of the patients whose specimens show periganglionic and perineural fibrosis with proliferation of small nerve fibers. Our findings support neurogenic compression as a contributing factor in the development of pain and other MALS symptoms, and favor the use of MALS rather than CACS as diagnostic terminology. To further study the pathogenesis of this unusual syndrome, surgeons should submit all tissues excised during MALS procedures for histopathologic examination.

Improvement in plasma D-dimer level in severe SARS-CoV-2 infection can be an indicator of fibrinolysis suppression: Case reports.

RATIONALE: Fibrinolysis shutdown associated with severe thrombotic complications is a recently recognized syndrome that was previously seldom investigated in patients with severe severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. It presents a unique therapeutic dilemma, as anticoagulation with heparin alone is insufficient to address the imbalance in fibrinolysis. And while the use of fibrinolytic agents could limit the disease severity, it is often associated with bleeding complications. There is a need for biomarkers that will guide the timely stratification of patients into those who may benefit from both anticoagulant and fibrinolytic therapies. PATIENT CONCERNS: All 3 patients presented with shortness of breath along with comorbidities predisposing them to severe SARS-CoV-2 infection. One patient (Patient 3) also suffered from bilateral deep venous thrombosis. DIAGNOSES: All 3 patients tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and were eventually diagnosed with respiratory failure necessitating intubation. INTERVENTIONS: All 3 patients required mechanical ventilation support, 2 of which also required renal replacement therapy. All 3 patients were also placed on anticoagulation therapy. OUTCOMES: In Patients 1 and 2, the initial D-dimer levels of 0.97 µg/ml fibrinogen equivalent units (FEU) and 0.83 µg/ml FEU were only slightly elevated (normal <0.50 µg/ml FEU). They developed rising D-dimer levels to a peak of 13.21 µg/ml FEU and >20.0 µg/ml FEU, respectively, which dropped to 1.34 µg/ml FEU 8 days later in Patient 1 and to 2.94 µg/ml on hospital day 13 in Patient 2. In Patient 3, the D-dimer level on admission was found to be elevated to >20.00 µg/ml FEU together with imaging evidence of thrombosis. And although he received therapeutic heparin infusion, he still developed pulmonary embolism (PE) and his D-dimer level declined to 5.91 µg/ml FEU. Despite "improvement" in their D-dimer levels, all 3 patients succumbed to multi-system organ failure. On postmortem examination, numerous arterial and venous thromboses of varying ages, many consisting primarily of fibrin, were identified in the lungs of all patients. LESSONS: High D-dimer levels, with subsequent downtrend correlating with clinical deterioration, seems to be an indicator of fibrinolysis suppression. These findings can help form a hypothesis, as larger cohorts are necessary to demonstrate their reproducibility.

The concept of mesothelioma in situ, with consideration of its potential impact on cytology diagnosis.

Diffuse malignant mesothelioma (MM) is an incurable tumour of the serosal membranes, which is often caused by exposure to asbestos and commonly diagnosed at advanced stage. Malignant mesothelioma in situ (MMIS) is now included as diagnostic category by the World Health Organization (WHO). However, our international survey of 34 pulmonary pathologists with an interest in MM diagnosis highlights inconsistency regarding how the diagnosis is being made by experts, despite published guidelines. Whilst the WHO restricts the diagnosis to surgical samples, the very concept has implication for cytological diagnosis, which is already regarded as controversial in itself by some. MMIS is currently only applicable as precursor to MM with an epithelioid component, and raises the possibility for different molecular pathways for different histological MM subtypes. The clinical implications of MMIS at this stage are uncertain, but aggressive therapies are being initiated in some instances. Based on the results of the survey we here present a critical appraisal of the concept, its clinical and conceptual implications and provide practice suggestions for diagnosis. A low threshold for ancillary testing is suggested. The designations of 'malignant mesothelioma, cannot exclude MMIS' or 'atypical mesothelial proliferation with molecular indicators of malignancy, so-called MMIS' could be used on cytology samples, adding 'no evidence of invasion in sample provided' for surgical samples. Clinical and radiological correlation are integral to diagnosis and best done at multidisciplinary meetings. Finally, collaborative studies are required to improve our understanding of MMIS.

Challenges in Ki-67 assessments in pulmonary large-cell neuroendocrine carcinomas.

AIMS: To gather the best available evidence regarding Ki-67% values in large-cell neuroendocrine carcinoma (LCNEC) and determine whether certain cut-off values could serve as a prognostic feature in LCNEC. METHODS AND RESULTS: Aperio ScanScope AT Turbo, eSlide Manager and ImageScope software (Leica Biosystems) were used to measure Ki-67% in 77 resected LCNEC diagnosed by World Health Organisation (WHO) criteria. Cases were stratified into six classes by 10% Ki-67 increments. Using the Kaplan-Meier method, overall (OS) and disease-free survivals (DFS) were compared by AJCC stage, by six Ki-67% classes and with Ki-67% cut-points ≥20% and ≥40%. Tumours were from 0.9 to 11.5 cm and pathological stages 1-3. The system measured Ki-67% positivity using 4072-44 533 tumour nuclei per case (mean 16610 ± 8039). Ki-67% ranged from 1 to 64% (mean = 26%; median = 26%). Only 16 (21%) tumours had Ki-67% ≥40%. OS ranged from 1 to 298 months (median follow-up = 25 months). DFS ranged from 1 to 276 months (median follow-up = 9 months). OS and DFS differed across AJCC stage (overall log-rank P = 0.038 and P = 0.037). However, neither OS nor DFS significantly correlated with Ki-67% when six or two classes were used with either ≥20% Ki-67 or ≥40% Ki-67 as cut-point. A literature review identified 14 reports meeting our inclusion criteria with ≥10 LCNEC. Reported Ki-67% ranged from 2% to 100%. Problems contributing to variability in Ki-67% measurements are discussed. CONCLUSION: Our findings caution against a blanket use of 20%, 40% or other Ki-67% cut-points for LCNEC diagnosis or prognostication.

Malignant peritoneal mesothelioma: prognostic significance of clinical and pathologic parameters and validation of a nuclear-grading system in a multi-institutional series of 225 cases.

Malignant peritoneal mesothelioma historically carried a grim prognosis, but outcomes have improved substantially in recent decades. The prognostic significance of clinical, morphologic, and immunophenotypic features remains ill-defined. This multi-institutional cohort comprises 225 malignant peritoneal mesotheliomas, which were assessed for 21 clinical, morphologic, and immunohistochemical parameters. For epithelioid mesotheliomas, combining nuclear pleomorphism and mitotic index yielded a composite nuclear grade, using a previously standardized grading system. Correlation of clinical, morphologic, and immunohistochemical parameters with overall and disease-free survival was examined by univariate and multivariate analyses. On univariate analysis, longer overall survival was significantly associated with diagnosis after 2000 (P = 0.0001), age <60 years (P = 0.0001), ECOG performance status 0 or 1 (P = 0.01), absence of radiographic lymph-node metastasis (P = 0.04), cytoreduction surgery (P < 0.0001), hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (P = 0.0001), peritoneal carcinomatosis index <27 (P = 0.01), absence of necrosis (P = 0.007), and epithelioid histotype (P < 0.0001). Among epithelioid malignant mesotheliomas only, longer overall survival was further associated with female sex (P = 0.03), tubulopapillary architecture (P = 0.005), low nuclear pleomorphism (P < 0.0001), low mitotic index (P = 0.0007), and low composite nuclear grade (P < 0.0001). On multivariate analyses, the low composite nuclear grade was independently associated with longer overall and disease-free survival (P < 0.0001). Our data further clarify the interactions of clinical and pathologic features in peritoneal mesothelioma prognosis and validate the prognostic significance of a standardized nuclear-grading system in epithelioid malignant mesothelioma of the peritoneum.

Pathologists should probably forget about kappa. Percent agreement, diagnostic specificity and related metrics provide more clinically applicable measures of interobserver variability.

Kappa statistics have been widely used in the pathology literature to compare interobserver diagnostic variability (IOV) among different pathologists but there has been limited discussion about the clinical significance of kappa scores. Five representative and recent pathology papers were queried using clinically relevant specific questions to learn how IOV was evaluated and how the clinical applicability of results was interpreted. The papers supported our anecdotal impression that pathologists usually assess IOV using Cohen's or Fleiss' kappa statistics and interpret the results using some variation of the scale proposed by Landis and Koch. The papers did not cite or propose specific guidelines to comment on the clinical applicability of results. The solutions proposed to decrease IOV included the development of better diagnostic criteria and additional educational efforts, but the possibility that the entities themselves represented a continuum of morphologic findings rather than distinct diagnostic categories was not considered in any of the studies. A dataset from a previous study of IOV reported by Thunnissen et al. was recalculated to estimate percent agreement among 19 international lung pathologists for the diagnosis of 74 challenging lung neuroendocrine neoplasms. Kappa scores and diagnostic sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were calculated using the majority consensus diagnosis for each case as the gold reference diagnosis for that case. Diagnostic specificity estimates among multiple pathologists were > 90%, although kappa scores were considerably more variable. We explain why kappa scores are of limited clinical applicability in pathology and propose the use of positive and negative percent agreement and diagnostic specificity against a gold reference diagnosis to evaluate IOV among two and multiple raters, respectively.

Prognosis in pathology: Are we "prognosticating" or only establishing correlations between independent variables and survival? A study with various analytics cautions about the overinterpretation of statistical results.

Survival data from 225 patients with resected pulmonary typical carcinoids were analyzed with Kaplan-Meier statistics (K-M) and "deep learning" methods to illustrate the difference between establishing "correlations" and "prognostications". Cases were stratified into G1 and G2 classes using a ≤5% Ki-67% cut-point. Overall survival, number of patients at risk and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated for the two classes. Seven neural network models (NN) were developed with GMDH Shell 3.8.2 and Statgraphics Centurion 18.1 software, using variable prior probabilities and different numbers of training vs testing cases. The NNs used age, sex, and pTNM, G1 and G2 as input neurons and "alive" and "dead" as output neurons. Areas under the curve (AUC) and other performance measures were evaluated for all models. Log-rank test showed a significant difference in overall survival between G1 and G2 (p < 0.001). However, 95% CI estimates showed considerable variability in survival at different time intervals. Including the number of patients at risk at different time intervals showed that most G2 patients had been censored by 100 weeks. The NN models provided variable "prognostications", with AUC ranging from 0.5 to 1 and variability in the sensitivity, specificity, and other performance measures. The results illustrate the limitations of survival statistics and NNs in predicting the prognosis of individual patients. The need for pathologists not to overinterpret the finding of significant correlations as "prognostic" or "predictive" for individual patients is discussed.