Does the meteorological origin of heat waves influence their impact on health? A 6-year morbidity and mortality study in Madrid (Spain).

BACKGROUND: In Spain, two synoptic-scale conditions influence heat wave formation. The first involves advection of warm and dry air masses carrying dust of Saharan origin (North African Dust (NAF) = 1). The second entails anticyclonic stagnation with high insolation and stability (NAF) = 0). Some studies show that the meteorological origin of these heat waves may affect their impact on morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the impact of heat waves on health outcomes in Madrid (Spain) during 2013-2018 varied by synoptic-scale condition. METHODOLOGY: Outcome data consist of daily mortality and daily hospital emergency admissions (morbidity) for natural, circulatory, and respiratory causes. Predictors include daily maximum and minimum temperatures and daily mean concentrations of NO2, PM10, PM2.5, NO2, and O3. Analyses adjust for insolation, relative humidity, and wind speed. Generalized linear models were performed with Poisson link between the variables controlling for trend, seasonality, and auto-regression in the series. Relative Risks (RR) and Attributable Risks (AR) were determined. The RRs for mortality attributable to high temperatures were similar regardless of NAF status. For hospital admissions, however, the RRs for hot days with NAF = 0 are higher than for days with NAF = 1. We also found that atmospheric pollutants worsen morbidity and mortality, especially PM10 concentrations when NAF = 1 and O3 concentrations when NAF = 0. RESULTS: The effect of heat waves on morbidity and mortality depends on the synoptic situation. The impact is greater under anticyclonic stagnation conditions than under Saharan dust advection. Further, the health impact of pollutants such as PM10 and O3 varies according to the synoptic situation. CONCLUSIONS: Based on these findings, we strongly recommend prevention plans to include data on the meteorological situation originating the heat wave, on a synoptic-scale, as well as comprehensive preventive measures against the compounding effect of high temperatures and pollution.

Behavioral effects of environmental enrichment on male and female wistar rats with early life stress experiences.

Exposure to adverse childhood experiences or early life stress experiences (ELSs) increase the risk of non-adaptive behaviors and psychopathology in adulthood. Environmental enrichment (EE) has been proposed to minimize these effects. The vast number of methodological variations in animal studies underscores the lack of systematicity in the studies and the need for a detailed understanding of how enrichment interacts with other variables. Here we evaluate the effects of environmental enrichment in male and female Wistar rats exposed to adverse early life experiences (prenatal, postnatal, and combined) on emotional (elevated plus maze), social (social interaction chamber), memory (Morris water maze) and flexibility tasks. Our results-collected from PND 51 to 64-confirmed: 1) the positive effect of environmental enrichment (PND 28-49) on anxiety-like behaviors in animals submitted to ELSs. These effects depended on type of experience and type of enrichment: foraging enrichment reduced anxiety-like behaviors in animals with prenatal and postnatal stress but increased them in animals without ELSs. This effect was sex-dependent: females showed lower anxiety compared to males. Our data also indicated that females exposed to prenatal and postnatal stress had lower anxious responses than males in the same conditions; 2) no differences were found for social interactions; 3) concerning memory, there was a significant interaction between the three factors: A significant interaction for males with prenatal stress was observed for foraging enrichment, while physical enrichment was positive for males with postnatal stress; d) regarding cognitive flexibility, a positive effect of EE was found in animals exposed to adverse ELSs: animals with combined stress and exposed to physical enrichment showed a higher index of cognitive flexibility than those not exposed to enrichment. Yet, within animals with no EE, those exposed to combined stress showed lower flexibility than those exposed to both prenatal stress and no stress. On the other hand, animals with prenatal stress and exposed to foraging-type enrichment showed lower cognitive flexibility than those with no EE. The prenatal stress-inducing conditions used here 5) did not induced fetal or maternal problems and 6) did not induced changes in the volume of the dentate gyrus of the hippocampus.

Temporal evolution of threshold temperatures for extremely cold days in Spain.

In contrast to research on heat waves, there are no studies in recent years that analyze the temporal evolution of threshold temperatures (Tthreshold) for extremely cold days (ECD). It is unknown whether threshold temperatures have increased more quickly than the minimum daily temperature (Tmin) in recent years. The objective of this study was to analyze the temporal evolution of the minimum daily temperature (Tmin) in a group of Spanish provinces and compare it with the evolution of threshold temperatures. An ecological, retrospective time series study was carried out using daily observations between January 1, 1983 and December 31, 2018 (36 years) in 10 provinces that are representative of the different climate territories in Spain. For each representative observatory in each province, the values of Tmin were obtained for the winter months (November-March). The value of Tthreshold was determined for each province and each year, using dispersion diagrams for the pre-whitened series, with daily mortality due to natural causes displayed on the Y axis (CIEX: A00-R99) and Tmin grouped by 10 degree intervals on the X axis. To determine the temporal evolution of Tmin and Tthreshold for each province, linear models were fitted, with time as the independent variable. During the winter months, Tmin increased at an average rate of 0.2 °C/decade (IC95: 0.1-0.3), while Tthreshold remained practically constant during the period, at 0.1 °C/decade (IC95% -0.1 0.3). These values are much lower than those obtained in the case of heat, both in terms of the evolution of maximum daily temperature and that of Tthreshold. In conclusion, the fact that this trend has been maintained across time in a scenario of climate change, with a slow increase in minimum daily temperatures and constant values of Threshold, suggests a decrease in the number of ECD.

The effect of cold waves on daily mortality in districts in Madrid considering sociodemographic variables.

While there is much research that focuses on the association between cold waves and their impacts on daily mortality at the city level, few analyze the impact related to social context and demographic variables at levels lower than the municipal. The objective of this study was to determine the role of the percentage of people over age 65, income level and percentage of homes without heating in the analysis of the impact of cold waves on daily mortality between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2013 in different districts of the municipality of Madrid. We calculated Relative Risks (RR) and Attributable Risks (RA) for each of 17 districts to determine correlations between the effect of cold waves and daily mortality due to natural causes (CIEX: A00-R99) using Generalized Linear Models (GLM) of the Poisson family (link log). The pattern of risks obtained by district was analyzed using binomial family models (link logit), considering socioeconomic and demographic variables. In terms of results, an impact of cold on mortality was detected in 9 of the 17 districts analyzed. The analysis of risk patterns revealed that the probability of detecting an impact in a district increases in a statistically significant way (p-value <0.05) with a higher percentage of homes without heating systems and a higher percentage of population over age 65. The results obtained identify the factors that should be considered in public health policies that target the district level to reduce the impact of cold waves.

A new integrative perspective on early warning systems for health in the context of climate change.

Climate change causes or aggravates a wide range of exposures with multiple impacts on health, both direct and indirect. Early warning systems have been established to act on the risks posed by these exposures, permitting the timely activation of action plans to minimize health effects. These plans are usually activated individually. Although they show good results from the point of view of minimizing health impacts, such as in the case of high temperature plans, they commonly fail to address the synergies across various climate-related or climate-aggravated exposures. Since several of those exposures tend to occur concurrently, failure to integrate them in prevention efforts could affect their effectiveness and reach. Thus, there is a need to carry out an integrative approach for the multiple effects that climate change has on population health. This article presents a proposal for how these plans should be articulated. The proposed integrated plan would consist of four phases. The first phase, based on early warning systems, would be the activation of different existing individual plans related to the health effects that can be caused by certain circumstances and when possible corrective measures would be implemented. The second phase would attempt to quantify the health impact foreseen by the event in terms of the different health indicators selected. The third phase would be to activate measures to minimize the impact on health, via population alerts and advisories, and additional social and health services, based on the provisions in phase two. Phase four would be related to epidemiological surveillance that permits evaluation of the effects of activating the plan. We believe that this integrative approach should be extended to all of the public health interventions related to climate change.

Radioimmunotherapy with (111)In/(90)Y-2IT-BAD-m170 for metastatic prostate cancer.

PURPOSE: Over 31,000 Americans die of androgen-independent metastatic prostate cancer each year. New strategies that do not involve hormonal manipulation but instead recognize the biochemical and molecular characteristics of prostate cancer are needed. Radioimmunotherapy (RIT) uses a tumor-specific monoclonal antibody to deliver systemic, targeted radiation to cancer. The objectives of this Phase I study of (111)In-2IT-BAD-m170 (for imaging) and (90)Y-2IT-BAD-m170 (for therapy) were to determine the toxicity and maximum tolerated dose (MTD), the specificity for targeting metastatic prostate cancer, and the efficacy for palliation of pain. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: M170 is a mouse monoclonal antibody that targets adenocarcinomas. Patients with adequate renal and liver function, rising prostate-specific antigen, and androgen-independent metastatic prostate cancer were eligible. After estimation of dosimetry and pharmacokinetics with (111)In-2IT-BAD-m170, a single dose of (90)Y-2IT-BAD-m170 (0.185, 0.370, 0.555, or 0.740 GBq/m(2)) was administered to cohorts of three patients. Pain was assessed objectively by questionnaires before and for 8 weeks after RIT; weekly prostate-specific antigen levels were obtained for 2 months after RIT. RESULTS: The MTD of (90)Y-2IT-BAD-m170 was 0.740 GBq/m(2) for patients that had up to 10% of the axial skeleton involved with prostate cancer. Toxicity was almost exclusively confined to reversible myelosuppression. Metastatic prostate cancer was targeted by (111)In-2IT-BAD-m170 in all 17 patients. The mean radiation dose delivered to 39 bone and 18 nodal metastases by (90)Y-2IT-BAD-m170 was 10.5 Gy/GBq (range 2.8-25.1). Thirteen of 17 patients reported pain before (90)Y-2IT-BAD-m170; 7 of these 13 had a partial or complete resolution of pain that lasted an average of 4.3 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: This study determined the MTD of (111)In/(90)Y-2IT-BAD-m170 in patients with metastatic prostate cancer. The drugs were well tolerated, targeted metastases, and temporarily palliated pain.

Prevalence of ocular disease in a population study of subjects 65 years old and older.

During a two-year period a randomly selected age-stratified sample of subjects 65 years old and older living in Gisborne, New Zealand, was examined by an ophthalmologist to investigate visual acuity and the prevalence of the major disorders of vision in old age. A total of 481 subjects (a response rate of 86.2%) completed the study. When the results were weighted to remove the effect of stratified sampling, the following prevalence rates for the population 65 years and over were obtained: cataract, 30.1% with no sex difference and an increasing prevalence with increasing age; senile macular degeneration, 6.4% with no sex difference and an increasing prevalence with increasing age; glaucoma, 3.6% with no sex difference except for women 90 years old or older who had a higher rate. The prevalence of glaucoma increased with increasing age in women, but in men there was no clear pattern; diabetic retinopathy, 0.5%. In the population 65 years old and older, we estimated that 81% of the men and 68.8% of the women had best corrected visual acuities of 6/9 (20/30) or better in the better eye.

Falls in old age: a study of frequency and related clinical factors.

An analysis of falls experienced by a stratified population sample of 553 subjects, 65 years and over, was performed. It is estimated that one third of people 65 years and over experience one or more falls in a year. To analyse the association of physical and social variables with falls, the falls were divided into pattern falls and occasional falls. Pattern falls were those which, on history and examination, were assessed as arising from only minimal external upset and primarily from a disorder of balance or postural stability in the subject. Occasional falls were those which had arisen under circumstances which would be liable to cause a fit person to fall. Bivariate analysis showed those having pattern falls tended to have more functional disability, to have increased impairment of mobility, to use more aids to mobility, to be more depressed, to have lower mental test scores and to need more professional support. Women experiencing pattern falls also tended to be older and have poorer vision, while men had lower systolic blood pressure. Discriminant analysis showed that the principal effective 'predictors' of pattern falls in women were functional disability, the need for support services and informal help and the use of walking aids. In men they were functional disability and the need for support services and informal help.