Cardiovascular complications and drug prescriptions in subjects with and without diabetes in a Northern region of Italy, in 2002 and 2012.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In contrast to the well-documented global prevalence of diabetes, much less is known about the epidemiology of cardiovascular (CV) complications in recent years. We describe the incidence of major CV events, deaths and drug prescribing patterns from 2002 to 2012 in subjects with (DM) or without diabetes mellitus (No DM). METHODS AND RESULTS: Subjects and outcomes were identified using linkable health administrative databases of Lombardy, a region in Northern Italy. A logistic regression model was used to compare myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, major amputation and death between DM and No DM in 2002 and 2012 and between the two index years in each population. The interaction between years and diabetes was introduced in the model. From 2002 to 2012 the incidence of major CV complications and death fell in both groups with a larger reduction among DM only for CV events: OR (95% CI) for the interaction 0.86 (0.79-0.93) for MI, 0.89 (0.82-0.96) for stroke, 0.78 (0.57-1.06) for major amputations. CV prevention drugs rose considerably from 2002 to 2012 particularly in DM and a switch towards safer antihyperglycemic drugs was also observed. CONCLUSIONS: Major CV complications and death declined from 2002 to 2012 in both DM and No DM. This might be due to a larger increase in prescriptions of CV drugs in DM and a relevant change toward recommended antihyperglycemic drugs.

Elevated risk of death and major cardiovascular events in subjects with newly diagnosed diabetes: findings from an administrative database.

AIMS: To investigate the incidence of major cardiovascular complications and mortality in the first years of follow-up in patients with newly diagnosed diabetes. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined incidence rates of hospitalization for cardiovascular reasons and death among new patients with diabetes using the administrative health database of the nine million inhabitants of Lombardy followed from 2002 to 2007. Age and sex-adjusted rates were calculated and hazard ratios (HR) were estimated with a matched population without diabetes of the same sex, age (± 1 year) and general practitioner. There were 158,426 patients with newly diagnosed diabetes and 314,115 subjects without diabetes. Mean follow-up was 33.0 months (SD ± 17.5). 9.7% of patients with diabetes were hospitalized for cardiovascular events vs. 5.4% of subjects without diabetes; mortality rate was higher in patients with diabetes (7.7% vs. 4.4%). The estimated probability of hospitalization during the follow up was higher in patients with diabetes than in subjects without for coronary heart disease (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.3-1.4), cerebrovascular disease (HR 1.3.95% CI 1.2-1.3), heart failure (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.3-1.4) as was mortality (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.4-1.4). Younger patients with diabetes had a risk of death or hospital admission for cardio-cerebrovascular events similar to subjects without diabetes ten years older. CONCLUSIONS: The elevated morbidity and mortality risks were clear since the onset of diabetes and rose over time. These data highlight the importance of prompt and comprehensive patients care in addition to anti-diabetic therapy in patients with newly diagnosed diabetes.

Prevalence, incidence and mortality of diagnosed diabetes: evidence from an Italian population-based study.

AIMS: To describe trends in diagnosed diabetes prevalence, incidence and mortality from 2000 to 2007 in the most heavily populated Italian region. METHODS: We examined the prevalence and incidence rates of Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes and yearly mortality rates among individuals with diabetes from 2000 to 2007 using an administrative health database of prescription, disease-specific exemption and hospitalization records of more than 9 million inhabitants of Lombardy. Age- and sex-specific rates were calculated and temporal trends for subjects aged ≥ 30 years were analysed. RESULTS: The crude point diabetes prevalence rose from 3.0% in 2000 to 4.2% in 2007, a 40% increase. The incidence remained stable during the study period with a rate of 4/1000 per year. Overall mortality declined from 43.2/1000 in 2001 to 40.3/1000 in 2007 (6.7% decrease) at a rate slightly higher than that of the general population (4.8% decrease). Our projection in subjects aged ≥ 30 years indicates that the prevalence will rise continuously over the next years, reaching 11.1% in 2030. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of diabetes increased substantially between 2000 and 2007, mainly because there are more patients with a new diagnosis each year than those who die. The increase observed by 2007 almost reached the World Health Organization prediction for 2030. Our analyses suggest that the increase will continue over the next few decades. These data are important for defining the burden of diabetes in the near future, to help in planning health services and ensure proper allocation of resources.

Potentially severe drug interactions in elderly outpatients: results of an observational study of an administrative prescription database.

PURPOSE: To estimate the prevalence of potentially severe drug-drug interactions (DDIs) and their relationship with age, sex and number of prescribed drugs. METHODS: We analysed all prescriptions dispensed from 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2003 to individuals aged 65 or more registered under the Local Health Authority of Lecco, a northern Italian province with a population of almost 330 000 persons. Elderly who received at least two co-administered prescriptions were selected to assess the presence of DDIs. RESULTS: The prevalence of potentially severe DDIs was 16%, and rose with increasing patient's age and number of drugs prescribed. At multivariate analysis, the adjusted odds ratios rose from 1.07 (95% CI 1.03-1.11) in patients aged 70-74 to 1.52 (95% CI 1.46-1.60) in those aged 85 or older. Elderly taking more than five drugs on a chronic basis had a statistically significant higher risk of sever DDIs than those receiving less than 3 or 3-5 such drugs. CONCLUSIONS: The elderly constitutes a population at high risk of DDIs. As physicians still have some difficulty in managing this problem, it is essential to highlight for them, which factors raise the risk of DDIs.