Measures of wave intensity as a non-invasive surrogate for cardiac function predicts mortality in haemodialysis patients.

Background: Risk prediction in haemodialysis (HD) patients is challenging due to the impact of the dialysis regime on the patient's volume status and the complex interplay with cardiac function, comorbidities and hypertension. Cardiac function as a key predictor of cardiovascular (CV) mortality in HD patients is challenging to assess in daily routine. Thus the aim of this study was to investigate the association of a novel, non-invasive relative index of systolic function with mortality and to assess its interplay with volume removal. Methods: A total of 558 (373 male/185 female) HD patients with a median age of 66 years were included in this analysis. They underwent 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring, including wave intensity analysis [i.e. S:D ratio (SDR)]. All-cause and CV mortality served as endpoints and multivariate proportional hazards models were used for risk prediction. Intradialytic changes were analysed in tertiles according to ultrafiltration volume. During a follow-up of 37.8 months, 193 patients died (92 due to CV reasons). Results: The SDR was significantly associated with all-cause {univariate hazard ratio [HR] 1.36 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-1.54], P < .001} and CV [univariate HR 1.41 (95% CI 1.20-1.67), P < .001] mortality. The associations remained significant in multivariate analysis accounting for possible confounders. Changes in the SDR from pre-/early- to post-dialytic averages were significantly different for the three ultrafiltration volume groups. Conclusion: This study provides well-powered evidence for the independent association of a novel index of systolic function with mortality. Furthermore, it revealed a significant association between intradialytic changes of the measure and intradialytic volume removal.

Endothelial dysfunction in retinal vessels of hemodialysis patients compared to healthy controls.

Endothelial dysfunction is a key factor promoting atherosclerosis and cardiovascular complications. Hemodialysis patients typically show various cardiovascular complications and impaired retinal venular dilation has been described as a risk factor for mortality. Non-invasive retinal vessel analysis provides insight into the microvasculature and endothelial function. Static retinal vessel analysis determines arteriolar and venular vessel diameters and dynamic retinal vessel analysis measures microvascular function by flicker-light induced stimulation, which results in physiological dilation of retinal vessels. We measured 220 healthy individuals and compared them to our preexisting cohort of hemodialysis patients (275 for static and 214 for dynamic analysis). Regarding static vessel diameters, hemodialysis patients and healthy individuals did not significantly differ between vessel diameters. Dynamic retinal vessel analysis showed attenuated dilation of the arteriole of hemodialysis patients with 1.6% vs 2.3% in healthy individuals (p = 0.009). Case-control matching for age (mean 65.4 years) did not relevantly diminish the difference. Hemodialysis patients also exhibited reduced venular dilation after matching for age (3.2% vs 3.8%, p = 0.019). Hemodialysis patients showed microvascular dysfunction compared to healthy individuals when using dynamic retinal vessel analysis. Further studies should focus on dynamic retinal vessel analysis which can add insights into the microvascular function and risk factors in multimorbid patients.

Implication of transcription factor FOXD2 dysfunction in syndromic congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT).

Congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT) are the predominant cause for chronic kidney disease below age 30 years. Many monogenic forms have been discovered due to comprehensive genetic testing like exome sequencing. However, disease-causing variants in known disease-associated genes only explain a proportion of cases. Here, we aim to unravel underlying molecular mechanisms of syndromic CAKUT in three unrelated multiplex families with presumed autosomal recessive inheritance. Exome sequencing in the index individuals revealed three different rare homozygous variants in FOXD2, encoding a transcription factor not previously implicated in CAKUT in humans: a frameshift in the Arabic and a missense variant each in the Turkish and the Israeli family with segregation patterns consistent with autosomal recessive inheritance. CRISPR/Cas9-derived Foxd2 knockout mice presented with a bilateral dilated kidney pelvis accompanied by atrophy of the kidney papilla and mandibular, ophthalmologic, and behavioral anomalies, recapitulating the human phenotype. In a complementary approach to study pathomechanisms of FOXD2-dysfunction-mediated developmental kidney defects, we generated CRISPR/Cas9-mediated knockout of Foxd2 in ureteric bud-induced mouse metanephric mesenchyme cells. Transcriptomic analyses revealed enrichment of numerous differentially expressed genes important for kidney/urogenital development, including Pax2 and Wnt4 as well as gene expression changes indicating a shift toward a stromal cell identity. Histology of Foxd2 knockout mouse kidneys confirmed increased fibrosis. Further, genome-wide association studies suggest that FOXD2 could play a role for maintenance of podocyte integrity during adulthood. Thus, our studies help in genetic diagnostics of monogenic CAKUT and in understanding of monogenic and multifactorial kidney diseases.

Automatic ECG-based detection of left ventricular hypertrophy and its predictive value in haemodialysis patients.

Objective.Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is one of the most severe risk factors in patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) regarding all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. It contributes to the risk of sudden cardiac death which accounts for approximately 25% of deaths in ESKD patients. Electrocardiography (ECG) is the least expensive way to assess whether a patient has LVH, but manual annotation is cumbersome. Thus, an automated approach has been developed to derive ECG-based LVH parameters. The aim of the current study is to compare automatic to manual measurements and to investigate their predictive value for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.Approach.From the 12-lead 24 h ECG measurements of 301 ESKD patients undergoing haemodialysis, three different LVH parameters were calculated. Peguero-Lo Presti voltage, Cornell voltage, and Sokolow-Lyon voltage were automatically derived and compared to the manual annotations. To determine the agreement between manual and automatic measurements and their predictive value, Bland-Altman plots were created and Cox regression analysis for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality was performed.Main results.The median values for the automatic assessment were: Peguero-Lo Presti voltage 1.76 mV (IQR 1.29-2.55), Cornell voltage 1.14 mV (IQR 0.721-1.66), and Sokolow-Lyon voltage 1.66 mV (IQR 1.08-2.23). The mean differences when compared to the manual measurements were -0.027 mV (0.21 SD), 0.027 mV (0.13 SD) and -0.025 mV (0.24 SD) for Peguero-Lo Presti, Cornell, and Sokolow-Lyon voltage, respectively. The categorial LVH detection based on pre-defined thresholds differed in only 13 cases for all indices between manual and automatic assessment. Proportional hazard ratios only differed slightly in categorial LVH detection between manually and automatically determined LVH parameters; no differences could be found for continuous parameters.Significance.This study provides evidence that automatic algorithms can be as reliable in LVH parameter assessment and risk prediction as manual measurements in ESKD patients undergoing haemodialysis.

Implication of FOXD2 dysfunction in syndromic congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT).

Background: Congenital anomalies of the kidney and urinary tract (CAKUT) are the predominant cause for chronic kidney disease below 30 years of age. Many monogenic forms have been discovered mainly due to comprehensive genetic testing like exome sequencing (ES). However, disease-causing variants in known disease-associated genes still only explain a proportion of cases. Aim of this study was to unravel the underlying molecular mechanism of syndromic CAKUT in two multiplex families with presumed autosomal recessive inheritance. Methods and Results: ES in the index individuals revealed two different rare homozygous variants in FOXD2, a transcription factor not previously implicated in CAKUT in humans: a frameshift in family 1 and a missense variant in family 2 with family segregation patterns consistent with autosomal-recessive inheritance. CRISPR/Cas9-derived Foxd2 knock-out (KO) mice presented with bilateral dilated renal pelvis accompanied by renal papilla atrophy while extrarenal features included mandibular, ophthalmologic, and behavioral anomalies, recapitulating the phenotype of humans with FOXD2 dysfunction. To study the pathomechanism of FOXD2-dysfunction-mediated developmental renal defects, in a complementary approach, we generated CRISPR/Cas9-mediated KO of Foxd2 in ureteric-bud-induced mouse metanephric mesenchyme cells. Transcriptomic analyses revealed enrichment of numerous differentially expressed genes important in renal/urogenital development, including Pax2 and Wnt4 as well as gene expression changes indicating a cell identity shift towards a stromal cell identity. Histology of Foxd2 KO mouse kidneys confirmed increased fibrosis. Further, GWAS data (genome-wide association studies) suggests that FOXD2 could play a role for maintenance of podocyte integrity during adulthood. Conclusions: In summary, our data implicate that FOXD2 dysfunction is a very rare cause of autosomal recessive syndromic CAKUT and suggest disturbances of the PAX2-WNT4 cell signaling axis contribute to this phenotype.

Mortality prediction of retinal vessel diameters and function in a long-term follow-up of haemodialysis patients.

AIM: Retinal vessel diameters are candidate biomarkers of mortality prediction in large population-based studies. We aimed to investigate the predictive value of retinal vessel diameters and flicker-induced retinal arteriolar and venular dilation on all-cause mortality in long-term follow-up of haemodialysis patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Retinal vessel diameters as well as maximum arteriolar (aMax) and venular dilation (vMax) were investigated in 275 and 214 haemodialysis patients, respectively. Patients were observed in a long-term follow-up for a median period of 73 months. About 36% (76/214) and 41% (113/275) of patients died. Arteriolar and venular diameters were 175 ± 19 and 208 ± 20 µm, respectively. Median aMax and vMax were 1.6 (0.3-3.3) and 3.2 (2.0-5.1)%. Patients within the lowest tertile of vMax showed lower 5-year survival rates compared with the highest tertile (50.6 vs. 82.1%) and also exhibited a higher incidence of infection-related deaths (21.7 vs. 4.0%). Univariate hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation increase of vMax for all-cause mortality was 0.69 (0.54-0.88) and was even more pronounced for infection-related mortality [HR 0.53 (0.33-0.83)]. Regarding all-cause mortality, multivariate adjustment for eight non-retinal mortality predictors including interleukin-6 did not attenuate the HR relevantly [0.73 (0.54-0.98)]. Arteriolar and venular diameters did not predict all-cause nor cardiovascular and infection-related mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term follow-up of patients on haemodialysis demonstrated the potential of retinal venular dilation capacity for mortality prediction, which was most pronounced for infection-related mortality. In the same cohort, retinal arteriolar and venular diameters showed no predictive value for hard endpoints. Retinal venular dilation but not arteriolar and venular diameters is a valuable diagnostic biomarker for risk prediction in patients with end-stage renal disease and should be considered for monitoring of critically ill patients.

Study protocol: the TRAnsplant BIOpsies (TRABIO) study - a prospective, observational, multicentre cohort study to assess the treatment of kidney graft rejections.

INTRODUCTION: Despite continued efforts, long-term outcomes of kidney transplantation remain unsatisfactory. Kidney graft rejections are independent risk factors for graft failure. At the participating centres of the TRAnsplant BIOpsies study group, a common therapeutic standard has previously been defined for the treatment of graft rejections. The outcomes of this strategy will be assessed in a prospective, observational cohort study. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A total of 800 kidney transplantation patients will be enrolled who undergo a graft biopsy because of deteriorating kidney function. Patients will be stratified according to the Banff classification, and the influence of the treatment strategy on end points will be assessed using regression analysis. Primary end points will be all-cause mortality and graft survival. Secondary end points will be worsening of kidney function (≥30% decline of estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate [eGFR] or new-onset large proteinuria), recurrence of graft rejection and treatment response. Baseline data and detailed histopathology data will be entered into an electronic database on enrolment. During a first follow-up period (within 14 days) and subsequent yearly follow-ups (for 5 years), treatment strategies and clinical course will be recorded. Recruitment at the four participating centres started in September 2016. As of August 2020, 495 patients have been included. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval for the study has been obtained from the ethics committee of Kiel (AZ B 278/16) and was confirmed by the committees of Munich, Mainz and Stuttgart. The results will be reported in a peer-reviewed journal, according to the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology criteria. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN78772632; Pre-results.

Cognitive impairment and microvascular function in end-stage renal disease.

OBJECTIVE: Hemodialysis patients show an approximately threefold higher prevalence of cognitive impairment compared to the age-matched general population. Impaired microcirculatory function is one of the assumed causes. Dynamic retinal vessel analysis is a quantitative method for measuring neurovascular coupling and microvascular endothelial function. We hypothesize that cognitive impairment is associated with altered microcirculation of retinal vessels. METHODS: 152 chronic hemodialysis patients underwent cognitive testing using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment. Retinal microcirculation was assessed by Dynamic Retinal Vessel Analysis, which carries out an examination recording retinal vessels' reaction to a flicker light stimulus under standardized conditions. RESULTS: In unadjusted as well as in adjusted linear regression analyses a significant association between the visuospatial executive function domain score of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment and the maximum arteriolar dilation as response of retinal arterioles to the flicker light stimulation was obtained. CONCLUSION: This is the first study determining retinal microvascular function as surrogate for cerebral microvascular function and cognition in hemodialysis patients. The relationship between impairment in executive function and reduced arteriolar reaction to flicker light stimulation supports the involvement of cerebral small vessel disease as contributing factor for the development of cognitive impairment in this patient population and might be a target for noninvasive disease monitoring and therapeutic intervention.

Electrocardiographic parameters of left ventricular hypertrophy and prediction of mortality in hemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: In hemodialysis patients, left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) contributes to high cardiovascular mortality. We examined cardiovascular mortality prediction by the recently proposed Peguero-Lo Presti voltage since it identifies more patients with electrocardiographic (ECG) LVH than Cornell or Sokolow-Lyon voltages. METHODS: A total of 308 patients on hemodialysis underwent 24 h ECG recordings. LVH parameters were measured before and after dialysis. The primary endpoint of cardiovascular mortality was recorded during a median 3-year follow up. Risk prediction was assessed by Cox regression, both unadjusted and adjusted for the Charlson Comorbidity Index and the Cardiovascular Mortality Risk Score. RESULTS: The Peguero-Lo Presti voltage identified with 21% the most patients with positive LVH criteria. All voltages significantly increased during dialysis. Factors such as ultrafiltration rate, Kt/V, body mass index, sex, and phosphate were the most relevant for these changes. During follow-up, 26 cardiovascular deaths occurred. Post-dialysis Peguero-Lo Presti cut-off as well as the Peguero-Lo Presti and Cornell voltages were independently associated with cardiovascular mortality in unadjusted and adjusted analysis. The Sokolow-Lyon voltage was not significantly associated with mortality. An optimal cut-off for the prediction of cardiovascular mortality was estimated at 1.38 mV for the Peguero-Lo Presti. CONCLUSIONS: The post-dialysis Peguero-Lo Presti cut-off as well as the Peguero-Lo Presti and Cornell voltages allowed independent risk prediction of cardiovascular mortality in hemodialysis patients. Measuring the ECG LVH parameters after dialysis might allow a standardized interpretation as dialysis-specific factors influence the voltages.

U-Shaped Association of the Heart Rate Variability Triangular Index and Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients With Atrial Fibrillation.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in hemodialysis patients and contributes to increased mortality. We aimed to examine heart rate variability triangular index (HRVI) in hemodialysis patients with AF as it has recently been reported to predict mortality in AF patients without kidney disease. Methods: A total of 88 patients on hemodialysis with a medical history of AF or newly diagnosed AF underwent 24-h electrocardiography recordings. The primary endpoint of cardiovascular mortality was recorded during a median follow up of 3.0 years. Risk prediction was assessed by Cox regression, both unadjusted and adjusted for the Charlson Comorbidity Index and the Cardiovascular Mortality Risk Score. Results: Median age was 76 years, median dialysis vintage was 27 months. Altogether, 22 and 44 patients died due to cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular causes. In 55% of patients AF was present during the recording. Kaplan-Meier plots of HRVI quartiles suggested a non-linear association between HRVI, cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality which was confirmed in non-linear Cox regression analysis. Adjusted linear Cox regression revealed a hazard ratio of 6.2 (95% CI: 2.1-17.7, p = 0.001) and 2.2 (95% CI: 1.3-3.8, p = 0.002) for the outer quartiles (combined first and fourth quartile) for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, respectively. Patients in the first quartile were more likely to have sinus rhythm whereas patients in the fourth quartile were more likely to have AF. Conclusions: We found a U-shaped association between HRVI and mortality in hemodialysis AF patients. The results might contribute to risk stratification independent of known risk scores in hemodialysis AF patients.

Application of regularized regression to identify novel predictors of mortality in a cohort of hemodialysis patients.

Cohort studies often provide a large array of data on study participants. The techniques of statistical learning can allow an efficient way to analyze large datasets in order to uncover previously unknown, clinically relevant predictors of morbidity or mortality. We applied a combination of elastic net penalized Cox regression and stability selection with the aim of identifying novel predictors of mortality in a cohort of prevalent hemodialysis patients. In our analysis we included 475 patients from the "rISk strAtification in end-stage Renal disease" (ISAR) study, who we split into derivation and confirmation cohorts. A wide array of examinations was available for study participants, resulting in over a hundred potential predictors. In the selection approach many of the well established predictors were retrieved in the derivation cohort. Additionally, the serum levels of IL-12p70 and AST were selected as mortality predictors and confirmed in the withheld subgroup. High IL-12p70 levels were specifically prognostic of infection-related mortality. In summary, we demonstrate an approach how statistical learning can be applied to a cohort study to derive novel hypotheses in a data-driven way. Our results suggest a novel role of IL-12p70 in infection-related mortality, while AST is a promising additional biomarker in patients undergoing hemodialysis.

Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation Modify the Associations of Nocturnal Blood Pressure Dipping Pattern With Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients.

Heart failure (HF), hypertension, and abnormal nocturnal blood pressure dipping are highly prevalent in hemodialysis patients. Atrial fibrillation (AF) and HF might be important mediators for the association of abnormal dipping patterns with worse prognosis. Thus, the aim of this study is to investigate the association of dipping with mortality in hemodialysis patients and to assess the influence of AF and HF. In total, 525 hemodialysis patients underwent 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring. All-cause and cardiovascular mortality served as end points. Patients were categorized according to their systolic dipping pattern (dipper, nondipper, and reverse dipper). Cox regression analysis was performed to determine the association between dipping pattern and study end points with dipping as reference. Subgroup analysis was performed for patients with and without AF or HF. In total, 185 patients with AF or HF and 340 patients without AF or HF were included. During a median follow-up of 37.8 months, 177 patients died; 81 from cardiovascular causes. Nondipping and reverse dipping were significantly associated with all-cause mortality in the whole cohort (nondipper: hazard ratio, 1.95 [1.22-3.14]; P=0.006; reverse dipper: hazard ratio, 2.31 [1.42-3.76]; P<0.001) and in patients without AF or HF (nondipper: hazard ratio, 2.78 [1.16-6.66]; P=0.02; reverse dipper: hazard ratio, 4.48 [1.87-10.71]; P<0.001) but not in patients with AF or HF. For cardiovascular mortality, associations were again significant in patients without AF or HF and in the whole cohort. The observed associations remained significant after adjustment for possible confounders. This study provides well-powered evidence for the association between abnormal dipping patterns and mortality in hemodialysis patients and suggests that HF or AF modifies this association.

Cardiovascular Mortality Can Be Predicted by Heart Rate Turbulence in Hemodialysis Patients.

BACKGROUND: Excess mortality in hemodialysis patients is mostly of cardiovascular origin. We examined the association of heart rate turbulence (HRT), a marker of baroreflex sensitivity, with cardiovascular mortality in hemodialysis patients. METHODS: A population of 290 prevalent hemodialysis patients was followed up for a median of 3 years. HRT categories 0 (both turbulence onset [TO] and slope [TS] normal), 1 (TO or TS abnormal), and 2 (both TO and TS abnormal) were obtained from 24 h Holter recordings. The primary end-point was cardiovascular mortality. Associations of HRT categories with the endpoints were analyzed by multivariable Cox regression models including HRT, age, albumin, and the improved Charlson Comorbidity Index for hemodialysis patients. Multivariable linear regression analysis identified factors associated with TO and TS. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, 20 patients died from cardiovascular causes. In patients with HRT categories 0, 1 and 2, cardiovascular mortality was 1, 10, and 22%, respectively. HRT category 2 showed the strongest independent association with cardiovascular mortality with a hazard ratio of 19.3 (95% confidence interval: 3.69-92.03; P < 0.001). Age, calcium phosphate product, and smoking status were associated with TO and TS. Diabetes mellitus and diastolic blood pressure were only associated with TS. CONCLUSION: Independent of known risk factors, HRT assessment allows identification of hemodialysis patients with low, intermediate, and high risk of cardiovascular mortality. Future prospective studies are needed to translate risk prediction into risk reduction in hemodialysis patients.

Impaired Retinal Vessel Dilation Predicts Mortality in End-Stage Renal Disease.

RATIONALE: Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are characterized by increased cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality due to advanced remodeling of the macro- and microvascular beds. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine whether retinal microvascular function can predict all-cause and CV mortality in patients with ESRD. METHODS AND RESULTS: In the multicenter prospective observational ISAR (Risk Stratification in End-Stage Renal Disease) study, data on dynamic retinal vessel analysis (DVA) was available in a sub-cohort of 214 dialysis patients (mean age 62.6{plus minus}15.0; 32% female). Microvascular dysfunction was quantified by measuring maximum arteriolar (aMax) and venular dilation (vMax) of retinal vessels in response to flicker light stimulation. During a mean follow-up of 44 months, 55 patients died, including 25 CV and 30 non-CV fatal events. vMax emerged as a strong independent predictor for all-cause mortality. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, individuals within the lowest tertile of vMax showed significantly shorter three-year survival rates than those within the highest tertile (66.9{plus minus}5.8% vs 92.4{plus minus}3.3%). Uni- and multivariate hazard ratios for all-cause mortality per SD increase of vMax were 0.62 [0.47;0.82] and 0.65[0.47;0.91], respectively. aMax and vMax were able to significantly predict nonfatal and fatal CV events (HR 0.74[0.57;0.97] and 0.78[0.61;0.99], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Our results provide the first evidence that impaired retinal venular dilation is a strong and independent predictor of all-cause mortality in hemodialyzed ESRD patients. DVA provides added value for prediction of all-cause mortality and may be a novel diagnostic tool to optimize CV risk stratification in ESRD and other high-risk CV cohorts. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT01152892.

Comparison of 24-hour and Office Pulse Wave Velocity for Prediction of Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients.

BACKGROUND: Mortality in hemodialysis patients still remains unacceptably high. Enhanced arterial stiffness is a known cardiovascular risk factor, and pulse wave velocity (PWV) has proven to be a valid parameter to quantify risk. Recent studies showed controversial results regarding the prognostic significance of PWV for mortality in hemodialysis patients, which may be due to methodological issues, such as assessment of PWV in the office setting (Office-PWV). METHOD: This study cohort contains patients from the "Risk stratification in end-stage renal disease - the ISAR study," a multicenter prospective longitudinal observatory cohort study. We examined and compared the predictive value of ambulatory 24-hour PWV (24 h-PWV) and Office-PWV on mortality in a total of 344 hemodialysis patients. The endpoints of the study were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Survival analysis included Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: During a follow-up of 36 months, a total of 89 patients died, 35 patients due to cardiovascular cause. Kaplan-Meier estimates for tertiles of 24 h-PWV and Office-PWV were similarly associated with mortality. In univariate Cox regression analysis, 24 h-PWV and Office-PWV were equivalent predictors for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. After adjustment for common risk factors, only 24 h-PWV remained solely predictive for all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 2.51 [95% CI 1.31-4.81]; p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Comparing both measurements, 24 h-PWV is an independent predictor for all-cause-mortality in hemodialysis patients beyond Office-PWV.

Association of Ambulatory Blood Pressure with All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients: Effects of Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Evidence on the utility of ambulatory BP monitoring for risk prediction has been scarce and inconclusive in patients on hemodialysis. In addition, in cardiac diseases such as heart failure and atrial fibrillation (common among patients on hemodialysis), studies have found that parameters such as systolic BP (SBP) and pulse pressure (PP) have inverse or nonlinear (U-shaped) associations with mortality. METHODS: In total, 344 patients on hemodialysis (105 with atrial fibrillation, heart failure, or both) underwent ambulatory BP monitoring for 24 hours, starting before a dialysis session. The primary end point was all-cause mortality; the prespecified secondary end point was cardiovascular mortality. We performed linear and nonlinear Cox regression analyses for risk prediction to determine the associations between BP and study end points. RESULTS: During the mean 37.6-month follow-up, 115 patients died (47 from a cardiovascular cause). SBP and PP showed a U-shaped association with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the cohort. In linear subgroup analysis, SBP and PP were independent risk predictors and showed a significant inverse relationship to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation or heart failure. In patients without these conditions, these associations were in the opposite direction. SBP and PP were significant independent risk predictors for cardiovascular mortality; PP was a significant independent risk predictor for all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence for the U-shaped association between peripheral ambulatory SBP or PP and mortality in patients on hemodialysis. Furthermore, it suggests that underlying cardiac disease can explain the opposite direction of associations.

Mortality prediction in stable hemodialysis patients is refined by YKL-40, a 40-kDa glycoprotein associated with inflammation.

Chronic inflammation contributes to increased mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients. YKL-40 is a novel marker of inflammation, tissue remodeling, and highly expressed in macrophages inside vascular lesions. Elevated levels of YKL-40 have been reported for HD patients but how it integrates into the proinflammatory mediator network as a predictor of mortality remains elusive. We studied serum YKL-40, Interleukin-6 (IL-6), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1), and interferon-gamma induced protein-10 (IP-10) in 475 chronic hemodialysis patients. Patients were followed for mortality for a median of 37 [interquartile range: 25-49] months and checked for interrelation of the measured mediators. To plot cumulative incidence functions, patients were stratified into terciles per YKL-40, IL-6, MCP-1, and IP-10 levels. Multivariable Cox regression models were built to examine associations of YKL-40, IP-10, and MCP-1 with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Net reclassification improvement was calculated for the final models containing YKL-40 and IL-6. Increased YKL-40 was independently associated with age, IP-10, and IL-6 serum levels. After adjustment for demographic and laboratory parameters, comorbidities, and IL-6, only YKL-40 significantly improved risk prediction for all-cause (hazard ratio 1.4; 95% confidence interval 1.1-1.8) and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio 1.5; 95% confidence interval 1.03-2.2). Thus, in contrast to other biomarkers of aberrant macrophage activation, YKL-40 reflects inflammatory activity, which is not covered by IL-6. Mechanistic and prospective studies are needed to test for causal involvement of YKL-40 and whether it might qualify as a therapeutic target.

Reduced Mortality in Maintenance Haemodialysis Patients on High versus Low Dialysate Magnesium: A Pilot Study.

BACKGROUND: Although low magnesium levels have been associated with an increased mortality in dialysis patients, they are kept low by routinely-used dialysates containing 0.50 mmol/L magnesium. Thus, we investigated the impact of a higher dialysate magnesium concentration on mortality. METHODS: 25 patients on high dialysate magnesium (HDM) of 0.75 mmol/L were 1:2 matched to 50 patients on low dialysate magnesium (LDM) of 0.50 mmol/L and followed up for 3 years with regards to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Patients were matched according to age, gender, a modified version of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and smoking status. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, five patients died in the HDM and 18 patients in the LDM group. Patients in the HDM group had significantly higher ionized serum magnesium levels than matched controls (0.64 ± 0.12 mmol/L vs. 0.57 ± 0.10 mmol/L, p = 0.034). Log rank test showed no difference between treatment groups for all-cause mortality. After adjustment for age and CCI, Cox proportional hazards regression showed that HDM independently predicted a 65% risk reduction for all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 0.35, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.13, 0.97). Estimated 3-year probability of death from a cardiovascular event was 14.5% (95% CI: 7.9, 25.8) in the LDM group vs. 0% in the HDM group. Log rank test found a significant group difference for cardiovascular mortality (χ2 = 4.15, p = 0.042). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggests that there might be a beneficial effect of an increased dialysate magnesium on cardiovascular mortality in chronic dialysis patients.