Socioeconomic and environmental factors of poverty in China using geographically weighted random forest regression model.

Correlations between socioeconomic factors and poverty in regression models do not reflect actual relationships, especially when data exhibit patterns of spatial heterogeneity. Spatial regression models can estimate the relationships between socioeconomic factors and poverty in defined geographical areas, explaining the imbalanced distribution of poverty, but the relationships between these factors and poverty are not always linear however, and conventional simple linear local regression models do not accurately capture these nonlinear relationships. To fill this gap, we used a local regression method, geographically weighted random forest regression (GW-RFR), that integrates a spatial weight matrix (SWM) and random forest (RF). The GW-RFR evaluates the spatial variations in the nonlinear relationships between variables. A county-level poverty data set of China was employed to estimate the performance of the GW-RFR against the random forest (RF). In this poverty application, the value of [Formula: see text] was 0.128 higher than that of the RF, the NRMSE value was 1.6% lower than the RF, and the MAE value was 0.295 lower than the RF. These results showed that the relationship between poverty factors and poverty varies with space at the county level in China, and the GW-RFR was suitable for dealing with nonlinear relationships in local regression analysis.

Normalized Method for Land Surface Temperature Monitoring on Coastal Reclaimed Areas.

The temporal analysis of land surface temperature (LST) has generally been studied using data from the same season, as temperature varies greatly over time. However, the cloud cover in thermal remotely sensed images and the coarse resolution of passive sensor system significantly limits data availability of same season for comparative temporal analysis in many parts of the world. To address this problem, we propose a new method for temporal monitoring of surface temperature based on LST normalization (LSTn); deploying the average open water temperature to normalize LST when monitoring temporal change in the surface temperature of newly coastal reclaimed areas. This method was applied in the Lingding Bay area, Guangdong Province, Southern China. Original LST and LSTn values were calculated for years 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2017. In contrast to the original LST, results show that LSTn can reduce seasonal variability when monitoring temporal change in surface temperatures. Additionally, LSTn revealed pronounced differences between the temperature of impervious surfaces and other land cover types. This method offers more robust detection of surface urban heat islands than original LST in newly developed coastal areas.