RESUMEN
Identification of Alzheimer's disease (AD) onset risk can facilitate interventions before irreversible disease progression. We demonstrate that electronic health records from the University of California, San Francisco, followed by knowledge networks (for example, SPOKE) allow for (1) prediction of AD onset and (2) prioritization of biological hypotheses, and (3) contextualization of sex dimorphism. We trained random forest models and predicted AD onset on a cohort of 749 individuals with AD and 250,545 controls with a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.72 (7 years prior) to 0.81 (1 day prior). We further harnessed matched cohort models to identify conditions with predictive power before AD onset. Knowledge networks highlight shared genes between multiple top predictors and AD (for example, APOE, ACTB, IL6 and INS). Genetic colocalization analysis supports AD association with hyperlipidemia at the APOE locus, as well as a stronger female AD association with osteoporosis at a locus near MS4A6A. We therefore show how clinical data can be utilized for early AD prediction and identification of personalized biological hypotheses.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Apolipoproteínas E/genética , San FranciscoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Language in nonmedical data sets is known to transmit human-like biases when used in natural language processing (NLP) algorithms that can reinforce disparities. It is unclear if NLP algorithms of medical notes could lead to similar transmissions of biases. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can we identify implicit bias in clinical notes, and are biases stable across time and geography? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: To determine whether different racial and ethnic descriptors are similar contextually to stigmatizing language in ICU notes and whether these relationships are stable across time and geography, we identified notes on critically ill adults admitted to the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF), from 2012 through 2022 and to Beth Israel Deaconess Hospital (BIDMC) from 2001 through 2012. Because word meaning is derived largely from context, we trained unsupervised word-embedding algorithms to measure the similarity (cosine similarity) quantitatively of the context between a racial or ethnic descriptor (eg, African-American) and a stigmatizing target word (eg, nonco-operative) or group of words (violence, passivity, noncompliance, nonadherence). RESULTS: In UCSF notes, Black descriptors were less likely to be similar contextually to violent words compared with White descriptors. Contrastingly, in BIDMC notes, Black descriptors were more likely to be similar contextually to violent words compared with White descriptors. The UCSF data set also showed that Black descriptors were more similar contextually to passivity and noncompliance words compared with Latinx descriptors. INTERPRETATION: Implicit bias is identifiable in ICU notes. Racial and ethnic group descriptors carry different contextual relationships to stigmatizing words, depending on when and where notes were written. Because NLP models seem able to transmit implicit bias from training data, use of NLP algorithms in clinical prediction could reinforce disparities. Active debiasing strategies may be necessary to achieve algorithmic fairness when using language models in clinical research.