[Automated surveillance and risk prediction with the aim of risk-stratified infection control and prevention (RISK PRINCIPE)]. / Automatisierte Surveillance und Risikovorhersage mit dem Ziel einer risikostratifizierten Infektionskontrolle und -prävention (RISK Prediction for Risk-stratified Infection Control and Prevention).

Healthcare-associated infections (HCAIs) represent an enormous burden for patients, healthcare workers, relatives and society worldwide, including Germany. The central tasks of infection prevention are recording and evaluating infections with the aim of identifying prevention potential and risk factors, taking appropriate measures and finally evaluating them. From an infection prevention perspective, it would be of great value if (i) the recording of infection cases was automated and (ii) if it were possible to identify particularly vulnerable patients and patient groups in advance, who would benefit from specific and/or additional interventions.To achieve this risk-adapted, individualized infection prevention, the RISK PRINCIPE research project develops algorithms and computer-based applications based on standardised, large datasets and incorporates expertise in the field of infection prevention.The project has two objectives: a) to develop and validate a semi-automated surveillance system for hospital-acquired bloodstream infections, prototypically for HCAI, and b) to use comprehensive patient data from different sources to create an individual or group-specific infection risk profile.RISK PRINCIPE is based on bringing together the expertise of medical informatics and infection medicine with a focus on hygiene and draws on information and experience from two consortia (HiGHmed and SMITH) of the German Medical Informatics Initiative (MII), which have been working on use cases in infection medicine for more than five years.

Differentiating patients admitted primarily due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from those admitted with incidentally detected severe acute respiratory syndrome corona-virus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) at hospital admission: A cohort analysis of German hospital records.

OBJECTIVE: The number of hospitalized patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) does not differentiate between patients admitted due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) (ie, primary cases) and incidental SARS-CoV-2 infection (ie, incidental cases). We developed an adaptable method to distinguish primary cases from incidental cases upon hospital admission. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Data were obtained from 3 German tertiary-care hospitals. PATIENTS: The study included patients of all ages who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by a standard quantitative reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assay upon admission between January and June 2022. METHODS: We present 2 distinct models: (1) a point-of-care model that can be used shortly after admission based on a limited range of parameters and (2) a more extended point-of-care model based on parameters that are available within the first 24-48 hours after admission. We used regression and tree-based classification models with internal and external validation. RESULTS: In total, 1,150 patients were included (mean age, 49.5±28.5 years; 46% female; 40% primary cases). Both point-of-care models showed good discrimination with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.80 and 0.87, respectively. As main predictors, we used admission diagnosis codes (ICD-10-GM), ward of admission, and for the extended model, we included viral load, need for oxygen, leucocyte count, and C-reactive protein. CONCLUSIONS: We propose 2 predictive algorithms based on routine clinical data that differentiate primary COVID-19 from incidental SARS-CoV-2 infection. These algorithms can provide a precise surveillance tool that can contribute to pandemic preparedness. They can easily be modified to be used in future pandemic, epidemic, and endemic situations all over the world.