Spinal catheter revision in pediatric intrathecal baclofen pumps: risk factors and postoperative outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: Intrathecal baclofen (ITB) pumps are commonly used in pediatric patients with cerebral palsy (CP) and medically refractory spasticity. However, catheter malfunction and associated risk factors are not well understood. The aim of this study was to examine potential risk factors for spinal catheter malfunction and characterize postoperative follow-up to understand the clinical consequences. METHODS: Patients who received ITB pump replacement or revision at Boston Children's Hospital between 2010 and 2023 were retrospectively reviewed. The spinal catheter revision cohort (SCRC) included patients whose spinal catheter was occluded requiring lumbar catheter revision. The second cohort included abdominal pump replacements only (APRC). Between-group comparisons and multivariable regression identified factors associated with catheter revision and postoperative outcomes. RESULTS: Forty-one (33.6%) patients underwent spinal catheter revision and were compared with 81 patients (66.4%) who underwent abdominal pump replacement only. Younger age at surgery and an elevated preoperative lower-extremity modified Ashworth scale grade were associated with spinal catheter revision (p < 0.05). Catheter model type, tip location, and history of spinal fusion were not associated with obstruction. Postoperatively, SCRC patients experienced a higher rate of infection (17.1%) relative to APRC patients (0%) within 30 days from their ITB pump replacement procedure (p < 0.05) and greater likelihood of subsequent ITB system removal compared with the APRC (24.4% vs 7.4%, p < 0.05). Although not differing preoperatively, SCRC patients had lower postoperative ITB doses when compared with the APRC group (median dose 143 vs 350 µg/day, p < 0.05) at hospital discharge and remained statistically different at the 6-month and 1-year follow-ups (p < 0.05). There were no postoperative differences in baclofen overdose, withdrawal, or median number of hospital readmissions within 30 days. Overall, 31.7% of spinal catheter revisions were unanticipated by the clinical team at time of surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Younger age at surgery and increased preoperative lower-extremity tone may be risk factors for catheter obstruction, resulting in a higher rate of postoperative infection and subsequent ITB pump removal compared with pump replacement alone. Spinal catheter occlusion can complicate revision or replacement procedures, especially when unanticipated. Routine clinical assessment may be inadequate for diagnosing insidious catheter malfunction. Catheter occlusion deserves further study, and routine assessment of catheter patency may be warranted to prevent suboptimal tone therapy.

Population Pharmacokinetic Analysis and Simulation of Alternative Dosing Regimens for Biosimilars to Adalimumab and Etanercept in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Efficacy to biologics in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients is variable and is likely influenced by each patient's circulating drug levels. Using modelling and simulation, the aim of this study was to investigate whether adalimumab and etanercept biosimilar dosing intervals can be altered to achieve therapeutic drug levels at a faster/similar time compared to the recommended interval. RA patients starting subcutaneous Amgevita or Benepali (adalimumab and etanercept biosimilars, respectively) were recruited and underwent sparse serum sampling for drug concentrations. Drug levels were measured using commercially available kits. Pharmacokinetic data were analysed using a population approach (popPK) and potential covariates were investigated in models. Models were compared using goodness-of-fit criteria. Final models were selected and used to simulate alternative dosing intervals. Ten RA patients starting the adalimumab biosimilar and six patients starting the etanercept biosimilar were recruited. One-compartment PK models were used to describe the popPK models for both drugs; no significant covariates were found. Typical individual parameter estimates were used to simulate altered dosing intervals for both drugs. A simulation of dosing the etanercept biosimilar at a lower rate of every 10 days reached steady-state concentrations earlier than the usual dosing rate of every 7 days. Simulations of altered dosing intervals could form the basis for future personalised dosing studies, potentially saving costs whilst increasing efficacy.

Risk loci involved in giant cell arteritis susceptibility: a genome-wide association study.

BACKGROUND: Giant cell arteritis is an age-related vasculitis that mainly affects the aorta and its branches in individuals aged 50 years and older. Current options for diagnosis and treatment are scarce, highlighting the need to better understand its underlying pathogenesis. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have emerged as a powerful tool for unravelling the pathogenic mechanisms involved in complex diseases. We aimed to characterise the genetic basis of giant cell arteritis by performing the largest GWAS of this vasculitis to date and to assess the functional consequences and clinical implications of identified risk loci. METHODS: We collected and meta-analysed genomic data from patients with giant cell arteritis and healthy controls of European ancestry from ten cohorts across Europe and North America. Eligible patients required confirmation of giant cell arteritis diagnosis by positive temporal artery biopsy, positive temporal artery doppler ultrasonography, or imaging techniques confirming large-vessel vasculitis. We assessed the functional consequences of loci associated with giant cell arteritis using cell enrichment analysis, fine-mapping, and causal gene prioritisation. We also performed a drug repurposing analysis and developed a polygenic risk score to explore the clinical implications of our findings. FINDINGS: We included a total of 3498 patients with giant cell arteritis and 15 550 controls. We identified three novel loci associated with risk of giant cell arteritis. Two loci, MFGE8 (rs8029053; p=4·96 × 10-8; OR 1·19 [95% CI 1·12-1·26]) and VTN (rs704; p=2·75 × 10-9; OR 0·84 [0·79-0·89]), were related to angiogenesis pathways and the third locus, CCDC25 (rs11782624; p=1·28 × 10-8; OR 1·18 [1·12-1·25]), was related to neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs). We also found an association between this vasculitis and HLA region and PLG. Variants associated with giant cell arteritis seemed to fulfil a specific regulatory role in crucial immune cell types. Furthermore, we identified several drugs that could represent promising candidates for treatment of this disease. The polygenic risk score model was able to identify individuals at increased risk of developing giant cell arteritis (90th percentile OR 2·87 [95% CI 2·15-3·82]; p=1·73 × 10-13). INTERPRETATION: We have found several additional loci associated with giant cell arteritis, highlighting the crucial role of angiogenesis in disease susceptibility. Our study represents a step forward in the translation of genomic findings to clinical practice in giant cell arteritis, proposing new treatments and a method to measure genetic predisposition to this vasculitis. FUNDING: Institute of Health Carlos III, Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation, UK Medical Research Council, and National Institute for Health and Care Research.

Polymyalgia rheumatica shows metabolomic alterations that are further altered by glucocorticoid treatment: Identification of metabolic correlates of fatigue.

OBJECTIVE: In polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR), glucocorticoids (GCs) relieve pain and stiffness, but fatigue may persist. We aimed to explore the effect of disease, GCs and PMR symptoms in the metabolite signatures of peripheral blood from patients with PMR or the related disease, giant cell arteritis (GCA). METHODS: Nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy was performed on serum from 40 patients with untreated PMR, 84 with new-onset confirmed GCA, and 53 with suspected GCA who later were clinically confirmed non-GCA, and 39 age-matched controls. Further samples from PMR patients were taken one and six months into glucocorticoid therapy to explore relationship of metabolites to persistent fatigue. 100 metabolites were identified using Chenomx and statistical analysis performed in SIMCA-P to examine the relationship between metabolic profiles and, disease, GC treatment or symptoms. RESULTS: The metabolite signature of patients with PMR and GCA differed from that of age-matched non-inflammatory controls (R2 > 0.7). There was a smaller separation between patients with clinically confirmed GCA and those with suspected GCA who later were clinically confirmed non-GCA (R2 = 0.135). In PMR, metabolite signatures were further altered with glucocorticoid treatment (R2 = 0.42) but did not return to that seen in controls. Metabolites correlated with CRP, pain, stiffness, and fatigue (R2 ≥ 0.39). CRP, pain, and stiffness declined with treatment and were associated with 3-hydroxybutyrate and acetoacetate, but fatigue did not. Metabolites differentiated patients with high and low fatigue both before and after treatment (R2 > 0.9). Low serum glutamine was predictive of high fatigue at both time points (0.79-fold change). CONCLUSION: PMR and GCA alter the metabolite signature. In PMR, this is further altered by glucocorticoid therapy. Treatment-induced metabolite changes were linked to measures of inflammation (CRP, pain and stiffness), but not to fatigue. Furthermore, metabolite signatures distinguished patients with high or low fatigue.

Incidence, prevalence and mortality of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in England from 2008 to 2018: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Owing to discrepancies in methodologies and how idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is diagnosed it is challenging to establish a consistent understanding of the disease burden In the UK, over 10 years ago, the incidence and prevalence of IPF were reported as 2.8-8.7 per 100 000 person-years (from 2000 to 2012) and 39 per 100 000 persons (in 2012), respectively. Here, we estimated the incidence and prevalence of IPF in England from 2008 to 2018 and investigated IPF mortality. METHODS: Using Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum and Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) linked datasets, we estimated incidence and prevalence using four validated diagnostic-code-based algorithms. Using the registered number of deaths (from Office of National Statistics) with the underlying cause being recorded as IPF, we estimated IPF mortality for the same period. RESULTS: Using Aurum-based definitions, incidence increased over time by 100% for Aurum narrow (3-6.1 per 100 000 person-years) and by 25% for Aurum broad (22.4-28.6 per 100 000 person-years). However, using HES-based definitions showed a decrease in incidence over the same period and lay between the two extremes derived for Aurum-based definition. IPF mortality in 2018 was 7.9 per 100 000 person-years and increased by 53% between 2008 and 2018. INTERPRETATION: When using best-case definitions, incidence rose throughout the study period. Scaling this to England's population (2018), our best estimate would be in the range of 8000-9000 new cases per year which is higher than previously reported estimates (5000-6000). This increased burden in the new cases of IPF each year impacts future health service planning and resource allocation.

Automated multiclass segmentation, quantification, and visualization of the diseased aorta on hybrid PET/CT-SEQUOIA.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease is the most common cause of death worldwide, including infection and inflammation related conditions. Multiple studies have demonstrated potential advantages of hybrid positron emission tomography combined with computed tomography (PET/CT) as an adjunct to current clinical inflammatory and infectious biochemical markers. To quantitatively analyze vascular diseases at PET/CT, robust segmentation of the aorta is necessary. However, manual segmentation is extremely time-consuming and labor-intensive. PURPOSE: To investigate the feasibility and accuracy of an automated tool to segment and quantify multiple parts of the diseased aorta on unenhanced low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) as an anatomical reference for PET-assessed vascular disease. METHODS: A software pipeline was developed including automated segmentation using a 3D U-Net, calcium scoring, PET uptake quantification, background measurement, radiomics feature extraction, and 2D surface visualization of vessel wall calcium and tracer uptake distribution. To train the 3D U-Net, 352 non-contrast LDCTs from (2-[18F]FDG and Na[18F]F) PET/CTs performed in patients with various vascular pathologies with manual segmentation of the ascending aorta, aortic arch, descending aorta, and abdominal aorta were used. The last 22 consecutive scans were used as a hold-out internal test set. The remaining dataset was randomly split into training (n = 264; 80%) and validation (n = 66; 20%) sets. Further evaluation was performed on an external test set of 49 PET/CTs. The dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and Hausdorff distance (HD) were used to assess segmentation performance. Automatically obtained calcium scores and uptake values were compared with manual scoring obtained using clinical softwares (syngo.via and Affinity Viewer) in six patient images. intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) were calculated to validate calcium and uptake values. RESULTS: Fully automated segmentation of the aorta using a 3D U-Net was feasible in LDCT obtained from PET/CT scans. The external test set yielded a DSC of 0.867 ± 0.030 and HD of 1.0 [0.6-1.4] mm, similar to an open-source model with a DSC of 0.864 ± 0.023 and HD of 1.4 [1.0-1.8] mm. Quantification of calcium and uptake values were in excellent agreement with clinical software (ICC: 1.00 [1.00-1.00] and 0.99 [0.93-1.00] for calcium and uptake values, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: We present an automated pipeline to segment the ascending aorta, aortic arch, descending aorta, and abdominal aorta on LDCT from PET/CT and to accurately provide uptake values, calcium scores, background measurement, radiomics features, and a 2D visualization. We call this algorithm SEQUOIA (SEgmentation, QUantification, and visualizatiOn of the dIseased Aorta) and is available at https://github.com/UMCG-CVI/SEQUOIA. This model could augment the utility of aortic evaluation at PET/CT studies tremendously, irrespective of the tracer, and potentially provide fast and reliable quantification of cardiovascular diseases in clinical practice, both for primary diagnosis and disease monitoring.

Adenosine metabolic signature in circulating CD4+ T cells predicts remission in rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: Long-term outcomes in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) depend on early and effective disease control. Methotrexate (MTX) remains the first-line disease modifying therapy, however there are no biomarkers with which to identify those most likely to achieve remission. To address this unmet need we explored metabolic pathways involved in MTX mechanism of action within circulating CD4+T cells in a cohort of treatment naive patients with early RA. METHODS: Purified CD4+T cells were isolated from peripheral blood of 68 patients with early RA commencing MTX. The expression of a range of putative MTX metabolism and mechanism of action targets were explored by flow-cytometry and transcriptional analysis. From these data significant predictors of Disease Activity Score 28-C reactive protein (DAS28-CRP) remission (<2.4 at 6 months) were determined by logistic regression (clinical; flow-cytometry data) and linear modelling (gene expression data). RESULTS: Low baseline DAS28-CRP was associated with remission at 6 months (p=0.02). Expression of the ectonucleotidase CD39, involved in ATP-ADP conversion during adenosine synthesis, was higher on CD4+CD25 High regulatory T cells at baseline in those achieving remission (molecules of equivalent fluorescence 1264 vs 847; p=0.007). Expression of other adenosine signalling elements in CD4+T cells were also upregulated at baseline in patients achieving remission: AMPD1 (p<0.001), ADORA2b (p=0.039) and ADORA3 (p=0.047). When combined into a single predictive metric, a combination of these variables outperformed baseline DAS28-CRP in prediction of early remission (area under the curve 0.92 vs 0.67, p=0.001) CONCLUSIONS: Adenosine signalling is important in the achievement of early remission with MTX in RA and biomarkers of adenosine activity may hold utility for the stratification of therapy in early disease.

A proteomics study of rheumatoid arthritis patients on etanercept identifies putative biomarkers associated with clinical outcome measures.

OBJECTIVES: Biologic DMARDs (bDMARDs) are widely used in patients with RA, but response to bDMARDs is heterogeneous. The objective of this work was to identify pretreatment proteomic biomarkers associated with RA clinical outcome measures in patients starting bDMARDs. METHODS: Sequential window acquisition of all theoretical fragment ion spectra mass spectrometry (SWATH-MS) was used to generate spectral maps of sera from patients with RA before and after 3 months of treatment with the bDMARD etanercept. Protein levels were regressed against RA clinical outcome measures, i.e. 28-joint DAS (DAS28) and its subcomponents and DAS28 <2.6 (i.e. remission). The proteins with the strongest evidence for association were analysed in an independent, replication dataset. Finally, subnetwork analysis was carried out using the Disease Module Detection algorithm and biological plausibility of identified proteins was assessed by enrichment analysis. RESULTS: A total of 180 patients with RA were included in the discovery dataset and 58 in the validation dataset from a UK-based prospective multicentre study. Ten individual proteins were found to be significantly associated with RA clinical outcome measures. The association of T-complex protein 1 subunit η with DAS28 remission was replicated in an independent cohort. Subnetwork analysis of the 10 proteins from the regression analysis identified the ontological theme, with the strongest associations being with acute phase and acute inflammatory responses. CONCLUSION: This longitudinal study of 180 patients with RA commencing etanercept has identified several putative protein biomarkers of treatment response to this drug, one of which was replicated in an independent cohort.

Diagnostic delay is associated with uveitis and inflammatory bowel disease in AS: a study of extra-musculoskeletal manifestations in SpA.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the prevalence of extra-musculoskeletal manifestations (EMM) and the association between diagnostic delay and their incidence in AS and PsA. METHODS: This was a retrospective, cohort study comprising two single centre cohorts in Europe and one multicentre cohort in Latin America (RESPONDIA). Crude prevalence of EMMs (uveitis, IBD and psoriasis) was calculated across geographic area and adjusted by direct standardization. Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to assess the association between diagnostic delay and EMM incidence. RESULTS: Of 3553 patients, 2097 had AS and 1456 had PsA. The overall prevalence of uveitis was 22.9% (95% CI: 21.1, 24.8) in AS and 3.8% (95% CI: 2.9, 5.0) in PsA; 8.1% (95% CI: 7.0, 9.4) and 2.1% (1.3, 2.9), respectively, for IBD; and 11.0% (95% CI: 9.7, 12.4) and 94.6% (93.0, 95.9), respectively, for psoriasis. The EMM often presented before the arthritis (uveitis 45.1% and 33.3%, and IBD 37.4% and 70%, in AS and PsA, respectively). In the multivariable model, longer diagnostic delay (≥5 years) associated with more uveitis (hazard ratio [HR] 4.01; 95% CI: 3.23, 4.07) and IBD events (HR 1.85; 95% CI: 1.28, 2.67) in AS. Diagnostic delay was not significantly associated with uveitis (HR 1.57; 95% CI: 0.69, 3.59) or IBD events (HR 1.59; 95% CI: 0.39, 6.37) in PsA. CONCLUSION: EMMs are more prevalent in AS than PsA and often present before the onset of the articular disease. A longer diagnostic delay is associated with the 'de novo' appearance of uveitis and IBD in AS, highlighting the need to enhance diagnostic strategies to shorten the time from first symptom to diagnosis in SpA.

Estimating overdiagnosis in giant cell arteritis diagnostic pathways using genetic data: genetic association study.

OBJECTIVES: Giant cell arteritis (GCA) may be confirmed by temporal artery biopsy (TAB) but false negatives can occur. GCA may be overdiagnosed in TAB-negative cases, or if neither TAB nor imaging is done. We used Human Leucocyte Antigen (HLA) genetic association of TAB-positive GCA as an "unbiased umpire" test to estimate historic overdiagnosis of GCA. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with GCA between 1990-2014 were genotyped. During this era, vascular imaging alone was rarely used to diagnose GCA. HLA region variants were jointly imputed from genome-wide genotypic data of cases and controls. Per-allele frequencies across all HLA variants with p< 1.0x1 0 -5 were compared with population control data to estimate overdiagnosis rates in cases without a positive TAB. RESULTS: Genetic data from 663 GCA patients were compared with data from 2619 population controls. TAB-negative GCA (n = 147) and GCA without TAB result (n = 160) had variant frequencies intermediate between TAB-positive GCA (n = 356) and population controls. For example, the allele frequency of HLA-DRB1*04 was 32% for TAB-positive GCA, 29% for GCA without TAB result, 27% for TAB-negative GCA and 20% in population controls. Making several strong assumptions, we estimated that around two-thirds of TAB-negative cases and one-third of cases without TAB result may have been overdiagnosed. From these data, TAB sensitivity is estimated as 88%. CONCLUSIONS: Conservatively assuming 95% specificity, TAB has a negative likelihood ratio of around 0.12. Our method for utilising standard genotyping data as an "unbiased umpire" might be used as a way of comparing the accuracy of different diagnostic pathways.

Micro-RNA content of circulating extracellular vesicles in early rheumatoid arthritis as biomarkers and mediators of methotrexate efficacy.

OBJECTIVES: Extracellular vesicles (EVs) are abundant in body fluids, contributing to intercellular signalling by transferring cargo that includes microRNAs (miRs) - themselves implicated in pathobiology. For the first time we evaluated the potential of EV miRs to contribute diagnostic information in early RA, predict methotrexate (MTX) efficacy or shed light on the drug's mechanism of action. METHODS: 798 miRs isolated from serum-derived EVs of 46 patients with untreated RA, 23 with untreated polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR; inflammatory disease control group) and 12 in whom significant inflammatory disease had been excluded (non-inflammatory controls; NICs) were profiled (Nanostring); the same measurements were made for RA patients after 6 months' MTX treatment. Analyses took multiple testing into account. RESULTS: 28 EV miRs were robustly differentially expressed between early RA (but not PMR) patients and NICs after correction for age and sex, suggesting discriminatory value. Cross-validated partial least squared-discriminant analysis also indicated the predictive potential of a distinct baseline EV miR signature with respect to MTX-induced remission at 6 months. The change in expression of 13 miRs over the course of MTX treatment differed significantly between responders and non-responders, and four of those exhibiting increased relative abundance amongst responders have known roles in regulating the pathogenic potential of synovial fibroblasts, namely miR-212-3p, miR-338-5p, miR-410-3p, and miR-537. CONCLUSION: Our data highlight the potential of serum EV miRs as diagnostic and therapeutic biomarkers, highlighting a novel potential mechanism via which MTX may exert its therapeutic effect in early RA that warrants further investigation.

Common co-morbidities in polymyalgia rheumatica and giant cell arteritis: cross-sectional study in UK Biobank.

Objective: The aim was to determine prevalent co-morbidities in cases with PMR or GCA compared with matched controls. Methods: This was a nested, cross-sectional case-control study within the UK Biobank, which recruited participants aged 40-69 years. Case status was defined as self-reported prior diagnosis of PMR or GCA. Ten controls per case were matched for age, sex, ethnicity and assessment centre. Associations with selected self-reported co-morbidities were studied using conditional logistic regression. Results: Of PMR (n = 1036) or GCA (n = 102) cases, 72% were female, 98% White, and 58% reported current use of glucocorticoids. Mean age was 63 years. At the time of the assessment visit, compared with controls, PMR/GCA cases were more likely to report poor general health and at least several days of low mood in the past 2 weeks. PMR was associated with hypothyroidism [odds ratio (OR) = 1.34; 95% CI = 1.07, 1.67] and ever-use of HRT (OR = 1.26; 95% CI = 1.07, 1.47). Regarding common co-morbidities, PMR and GCA were both associated with hypertension (PMR: OR = 1.21; 95% CI = 1.06, 1.39; GCA: OR = 1.86; 95% CI = 1.23, 2.81) and cataract (PMR: OR = 1.51; 95% CI = 1.19, 1.93; GCA: OR = 3.84; 95% CI = 2.23, 6.60). Additionally, GCA was associated with depression (OR = 3.05; 95% CI = 1.59, 5.85). Neither condition was associated with diabetes. Conclusion: Participants with a history of PMR/GCA, including those not currently taking glucocorticoids, rated their health as poorer than matched controls. Some previously described disease associations (hypothyroidism and early menopause) were replicated. Hypertension and cataract, both of which can be exacerbated by long-term glucocorticoid therapy, were over-represented in both diseases, particularly GCA.

The operational experience of private owners of small-sized care homes in China: a qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: Private small-sized care homes (<50 beds)  have proliferated across China, however, until recently little was known about the characteristics of such institutions, and the challenges and the problems faced by their owners. This study aimed to explore the characteristics of small-sized, privately-owned care homes in the People's Republic of China; and to understand the motivation and challenges faced by their owners. METHODS: This study used an interpretative phenomenological analysis approach of qualitative research. Owners of eight small-sized private care homes located in two cities of Henan Province, China, were interviewed using semi-structured interviews. RESULTS: Four themes and eight subthemes were identified: 1. Motivation for establishing a care home business; 2. Certification and establishing a legal footing for the business; 3. Operational challenges; 4. Future business development. The study found that the development of privately owned small-sized care homes faced great challenges and critical survival problems due to policies, staffing, and management issues. There is a lack of regulations about the safety and quality of care provided for older people and a lack of legal protections for the owners of small-sized private care homes. CONCLUSION: The study suggests that formal regulations and provisions are needed to support these smaller-sized private care homes. Monitoring is also needed to ensure the quality of care. It also suggests that there needs more support by policymakers as well as provision monitoring services to improve quality of care in these care homes. Care regulations and standards are not unique to China so findings from this study can be applied to places where there are similar situations or if there are aged care services still developing.

Prevalence of Poorly Controlled Asthma and Factors Associated with Specialist Referral in Those with Poorly Controlled Asthma in a Paediatric Asthma Population.

Background: Significant morbidity and mortality are associated with poor asthma control. The aim of this study was to determine factors associated with poor control and referral to specialist secondary care services. Methods: We used primary care data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum (CPRD) linked with Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) records from 1st January 2007 to 31st December 2019. We selected patients aged 6-17 years old. Poor control was defined as six or more prescriptions of short-acting beta-agonist (SABA) inhalers, two or more courses of oral corticosteroids (OCS), an Asthma Control test (ACT) or childhood ACT <20, one hospital admission for asthma, or one visit to Accident & Emergency (A&E) department for asthma-related episodes in the 12 months following asthma diagnosis. Asthma severity was defined following GINA guidelines 2021. Results: About 17.6% of children aged between 6 and 17 years with active asthma had poor control. Severe asthma, eczema, food allergies, increased BMI and living in deprived areas were identified as risk factors for poor control. Among those with poor control, referral rates to specialist care were extremely low, only 2% overall. Those with severe asthma were three-times more likely to be referred than those with mild-to-moderate asthma [HRcrude = 4.04 (95% CI, 3.35-4.87); HRadj = 2.72 (95% CI: 2.13-3.49)]. Other factors associated with referral were food allergy and living in a more deprived area. Conclusion: Around 1 in 6 children and adolescents with active asthma are not achieving adequate control of their symptoms. Among the subset of 6-17-year olds with poorly controlled asthma, timely referral for specialist advice in secondary care is rare, especially in those with so-called mild asthma who nevertheless are at significant risk for poor asthma outcomes.

Validation of the recording of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in routinely collected electronic healthcare records in England.

BACKGROUND: Routinely-collected healthcare data provide a valuable resource for epidemiological research. Validation studies have shown that for most conditions, simple lists of clinical codes can reliably be used for case finding in primary care, however, studies exploring the robustness of this approach are lacking for diseases such as idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) which are largely managed in secondary care. METHOD: Using the UK's Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum dataset, which comprises patient-level primary care records linked to national hospital admissions and cause-of-death data, we compared the positive predictive value (PPV) of eight diagnostic algorithms. Algorithms were developed based on the literature and IPF diagnostic guidelines using combinations of clinical codes in primary and secondary care (SNOMED-CT or ICD-10) with/without additional information. The positive predictive value (PPV) was estimated for each algorithm using the death record as the gold standard. Utilization of the reviewed codes across the study period was observed to evaluate any change in coding practices over time. RESULT: A total of 17,559 individuals had a least one record indicative of IPF in one or more of our three linked datasets between 2008 and 2018. The PPV of case-finding algorithms based on clinical codes alone ranged from 64.4% (95%CI:63.3-65.3) for a "broad" codeset to 74.9% (95%CI:72.8-76.9) for a "narrow" codeset comprising highly-specific codes. Adding confirmatory evidence, such as a CT scan, increased the PPV of our narrow code-based algorithm to 79.2% (95%CI:76.4-81.8) but reduced the sensitivity to under 10%. Adding evidence of hospitalisation to the standalone code-based algorithms also improved PPV, (PPV = 78.4 vs. 64.4%; sensitivity = 53.5% vs. 38.1%). IPF coding practices changed over time, with the increased use of specific IPF codes. CONCLUSION: High diagnostic validity was achieved by using a restricted set of IPF codes. While adding confirmatory evidence increased diagnostic accuracy, the benefits of this approach need to be weighed against the inevitable loss of sample size and convenience. We would recommend use of an algorithm based on a broader IPF code set coupled with evidence of hospitalisation.

Recent trends in asthma diagnosis, preschool wheeze diagnosis and asthma exacerbations in English children and adolescents: a SABINA Jr study.

BACKGROUND: Asthma-related burden remains poorly characterised in children in the UK. We quantified recent trends in asthma prevalence and burden in a UK population-based cohort (1‒17-year-olds). METHODS: The Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum database (2008‒2018) was used to assess annual asthma incidence and prevalence in 1‒17-year-olds and preschool wheeze in 1‒5-year-olds, stratified by sex and age. During the same period, annual asthma exacerbation rates were assessed in those with either a diagnosis of preschool wheeze or asthma. RESULTS: Annual asthma incidence rates decreased by 51% from 1403.4 (95% CI 1383.7 to 1423.2) in 2008 to 688.0 (95% CI 676.3 to 699.9) per 105 person-years (PYs) in 2018, with the most pronounced decrease observed in 1‒5-year olds (decreasing by 65%, from 2556.9 (95% CI 2509.8 to 2604.7) to 892.3 (95% CI 866.9 to 918.3) per 105 PYs). The corresponding decreases for the 6‒11- and 12‒17-year-olds were 36% (1139.9 (95% CI 1110.6 to 1169.7) to 739.9 (95% CI 720.5 to 759.8)) and 20% (572.3 (95% CI 550.4 to 594.9) to 459.5 (95% CI 442.9 to 476.4)) per 105 PYs, respectively. The incidence of preschool wheeze decreased over time and was slightly more pronounced in the 1‒3 year-olds than in the 4-year-olds. Prevalence of asthma and preschool wheeze also decreased over time, from 18.0% overall in 2008 to 10.2% in 2018 for asthma. Exacerbation rates increased over time from 1.33 (95% CI 1.31 to 1.35) per 10 PYs in 2008 to 1.81 (95% CI 1.78 to 1.83) per 10 PYs in 2018. CONCLUSION: Paediatric asthma incidence decreased in the UK since 2008, particularly in 1-5-year-olds; this was accompanied by a decline in asthma prevalence. Preschool wheeze incidence also decreased in this age group. However, exacerbation rates have been increasing.