RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The patient perspective is essential for assessing disease severity, but it is not always adequately considered. We describe how a comprehensive clinical disease severity index (DSI) for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) correlates with patient global self-assessment (PGSA). METHODS: In an individually linked parallel online survey, physicians provided the DSI, and patients provided self-assessed severity using a global question and visual analog scale (0-100) (PGSA). Mean DSI values by PGSA were calculated with 95% confidence intervals. Pearson correlation (r) and the intraclass correlation coefficient were calculated for PGSA vs DSI. Positive predictive values for identifying severe disease with PGSA categories as a reference were based on a threshold >22 points. RESULTS: The primary analysis included 89 pairs (46 Crohn's disease [CD], 43 ulcerative colitis [UC]) with strict criteria and 147 pairs when less stringent. Common reasons for exclusion were missing values for albumin or colonoscopy. Mean DSI values showed no clear trend with increasing PGSA in CD but good discrimination between moderate, severe, and very severe PGSA in UC. For PGSA on the visual analog scale, r was 0.54 for CD and 0.59 for UC (difference in means: CD 27.7, UC 13.8; intraclass correlation coefficient: CD 0.48, UC 0.58). A high DSI predicted severe disease in 76.2% of CD and 65.2% of UC. CONCLUSIONS: The DSI showed good discrimination for patient-reported disease severity in UC but performed unsatisfactorily in CD. Correlations were moderate. Further refinement of the DSI is suggested to better reflect the patient perspective.
The performance of an inflammatory bowel disease severity score was compared with self-perceived severity based on an individually linked online survey of patients and their physicians. Agreement and prediction of severe disease were moderate and should be improved by integrating the patients' perspective.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The course of Crohn's disease (CD) is highly variable. The Prospektive Evaluation eines Score zur Vorhersage eines milden Verlaufsbei neu diagnostizierten Morbus Crohn-Patienten in gastroenterologischen Fachpraxen (PROGNOS) study aimed to determine the frequency of a mild disease course and validate a proposed prediction score. METHODS: The PROGNOS study is a prospective study of CD patients who were newly diagnosed and, except for 1 course of 5-aminosalicylic acid or steroids for ≤10 days, therapy-naïve. Among other predefined inclusion criteria, the initial diagnosis had to be made ≤6 weeks before enrollment. All inception cohort patients were diagnosed and screened consecutively in participating gastroenterology practices in Germany specialized in inflammatory bowel disease. All screened CD patients were scored and, if possible, included in the study for up to 5 years (NCT02193048). RESULTS: A total of 201 CD patients were included in the study (43.3% male; mean age 33 years, mean follow-up 38 months). Altogether, 29.5% of the patients had a mild course at 36 months. Among those with a score ≤2, therapy escalation at 36 months was necessary for only 24.2%, whereas in the group with a score >2, therapy escalation was necessary for 70.2% of patients. In the Kaplan-Meier curve showing time to therapy escalation in the 2 groups, there was a pronounced and statistically significant divergence of the curves starting at 3 months and extending to 48 months (Pâ <â .001). CONCLUSIONS: In this prospective study, about 30% of incident CD patients had a mild disease course. Our suggested PreMiCC (prediction score for a mild course of Crohn's disease) successfully predicted this.
In our study of newly diagnosed Crohn's disease patients, we found that around 30% had a mild disease course. We also successfully tested our proposed PreMiCC (prediction score for a mild course of Crohn's disease), which predicts this mild course.
