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At present, Ontario, like most other jurisdictions in Canada, uses a syndromic-based surveillance definition for acute respiratory infection (ARI) outbreaks in institutions and public hospitals. Confirmed outbreaks are defined as either two or more ARIs in 48 hours with any common epidemiological link and at least one that is laboratory-confirmed; or three cases of ARIs occurring within 48 hours with any common epidemiological link, and not necessarily with lab confirmation. However, with the adoption of broader test-based approaches for sick patients/residents throughout the pandemic, new challenges have surfaced regarding the declaration and management of ARI outbreaks with a variety of scenarios in respiratory testing results. Decisions, including the determination of epidemiological linkage when there are discordant/negative test results, have become more complicated with the addition of virus-specific test results for every sick individual. The ARI outbreak case definition and management guidance was updated in 2018. The purpose of this commentary is to highlight epidemiological trends in ARI outbreaks in Ontario over the 2022-2023 season compared to the 2018-2019 and 2019-2020 pre-pandemic seasons. This is followed by a discussion around some of the benefits and challenges of implementing a test-based versus syndromic-based approach to ARI outbreaks.
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BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) contributes significantly to morbidity in children, placing substantial burdens on health systems, thus RSV vaccine development and program implementation are a public health priority. More data on burden are needed by policymakers to identify priority populations and formulate prevention strategies as vaccines are developed and licensed. METHODS: Using health administrative data, we calculated incidence rates of RSV hospitalization in a population-based birth cohort of all children born over a six-year period (May 2009 to June 2015) in Ontario, Canada. Children were followed until their first RSV hospitalization, death, 5th birthday, or the end of the study period (June 2016). RSV hospitalizations were identified using a validated algorithm based on International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, and/or laboratory-confirmed outcomes. We calculated hospitalization rates by various characteristics of interest, including calendar month, age groups, sex, comorbidities, and gestational age. RESULTS: The overall RSV hospitalization rate for children <5 years was 4.2 per 1000 person-years (PY) with a wide range across age groups (from 29.6 to 0.52 per 1000 PY in children aged 1 month and 36-59 months, respectively). Rates were higher in children born at a younger gestational age (23.2 per 1000 PY for those born at <28 weeks versus 3.9 per 1000 PY born at ≥37 weeks); this increased risk persisted as age increased. While the majority of children in our study had no comorbidities, rates were higher in children with comorbidities. For all age groups, rates were highest between December and March. CONCLUSIONS: Our results confirm the high burden of RSV hospitalization and highlight young infants are at additional risk, namely premature infants. These results can inform prevention efforts.
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Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano , Lactante , Humanos , Niño , Incidencia , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/prevención & control , Ontario/epidemiología , HospitalizaciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Older adults are recommended to receive influenza vaccination annually, and many use statins. Statins have immunomodulatory properties that might modify influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) and alter influenza infection risk. METHODS: Using the test-negative design and linked laboratory and health administrative databases in Ontario, Canada, we estimated VE against laboratory-confirmed influenza among community-dwelling statin users and nonusers aged ≥66 years during the 2010-2011 to 2018-2019 influenza seasons. We also estimated the odds ratio for influenza infection comparing statin users and nonusers by vaccination status. RESULTS: Among persons tested for influenza across the 9 seasons, 54 243 had continuous statin exposure before testing and 48 469 were deemed unexposed. The VE against laboratory-confirmed influenza was similar between statin users and nonusers (17% [95% confidence interval, 13%-20%] and 17% [13%-21%] respectively; test for interaction, P = .87). In both vaccinated and unvaccinated persons, statin users had higher odds of laboratory-confirmed influenza than nonusers (odds ratios for vaccinated and unvaccinated persons 1.15 [95% confidence interval, 1.10-1.21] and 1.15 [1.10-1.20], respectively). These findings were consistent by mean daily dose and statin type. VE did not differ between users and nonusers of other cardiovascular drugs, except for ß-blockers. We did not observe that vaccinated and unvaccinated users of these drugs had increased odds of influenza, except for unvaccinated ß-blocker users. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza VE did not differ between statin users and nonusers. Statin use was associated with increased odds of laboratory-confirmed influenza in vaccinated and unvaccinated persons, but these associations might be affected by residual confounding.
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Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas , Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Humanos , Anciano , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas/uso terapéutico , Eficacia de las Vacunas , Vacunación , Ontario/epidemiología , Estaciones del AñoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic continues to demonstrate the risks and profound health impacts that result from infectious disease emergencies. Emergency preparedness has been defined as the knowledge, capacity and organizational systems that governments, response and recovery organizations, communities and individuals develop to anticipate, respond to, or recover from emergencies. This scoping review explored recent literature on priority areas and indicators for public health emergency preparedness (PHEP) with a focus on infectious disease emergencies. METHODS: Using scoping review methodology, a comprehensive search was conducted for indexed and grey literature with a focus on records published from 2017 to 2020 onward, respectively. Records were included if they: (a) described PHEP, (b) focused on an infectious emergency, and (c) were published in an Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development country. An evidence-based all-hazards Resilience Framework for PHEP consisting of 11 elements was used as a reference point to identify additional areas of preparedness that have emerged in recent publications. The findings were analyzed deductively and summarized thematically. RESULTS: The included publications largely aligned with the 11 elements of the all-hazards Resilience Framework for PHEP. In particular, the elements related to collaborative networks, community engagement, risk analysis and communication were frequently observed across the publications included in this review. Ten emergent themes were identified that expand on the Resilience Framework for PHEP specific to infectious diseases. Planning to mitigate inequities was a key finding of this review, it was the most frequently identified emergent theme. Additional emergent themes were: research and evidence-informed decision making, building vaccination capacity, building laboratory and diagnostic system capacity, building infection prevention and control capacity, financial investment in infrastructure, health system capacity, climate and environmental health, public health legislation and phases of preparedness. CONCLUSION: The themes from this review contribute to the evolving understanding of critical public health emergency preparedness actions. The themes expand on the 11 elements outlined in the Resilience Framework for PHEP, specifically relevant to pandemics and infectious disease emergencies. Further research will be important to validate these findings, and expand understanding of how refinements to PHEP frameworks and indicators can support public health practice.
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COVID-19 , Defensa Civil , Enfermedades Transmisibles , Humanos , Salud Pública , COVID-19/epidemiología , Urgencias Médicas , Pandemias/prevención & control , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/terapiaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: In 2014, Ontario's Point-of-Care (POC) test providers were advised to focus efforts on provincially defined priority populations who experience a greater risk of HIV. Our objective was to describe the POC program before, during and after this change, including tester characteristics, follow-up testing results, positive predictive value (PPV) over time, and trends and characteristics of those with reactive test results without a confirmatory serological specimen. METHODS: Test-level data of POC screening and confirmatory results were extracted from the Public Health Ontario HIV Datamart. Final test results were defined based on results of the confirmatory blood sample, or the POC test for "non-reactive" tests. Testing volumes, percent of total tests, percent positivity and PPV were calculated overall, annually, and by exposure group. RESULTS: Overall testing volumes decreased by 39.8% between 2014 and 2018. The majority of confirmed positive tests were in the men who have sex with men (MSM) exposure category, followed by HIV-endemic and heterosexual - no identified risk (heterosexual-NIR). Overall percent positivity decreased from 0.59% in 2011 to 0.42% in 2015 (change of 0.17%, 95% CI 0.03% to 0.31%), increasing to 0.69% in 2018 (change of 0.27%, 95% CI 0.20% to 0.34%). Increases in percent positivity corresponded with a decrease in the overall proportion of tests conducted in low-risk populations. When compared to the heterosexual-NIR category, PPV was significantly higher for men who have sex with men - people who use injection drugs (MSM-PWID) (52.7% compared to 100%, P < .001), MSM (52.7% compared to 95.4%, P < .001), HIV-endemic (52.7% compared to 91.5%, P < .001), heterosexual - partner with identified risk (heterosexual-PIR) (52.7% compared to 77.3%, P = .042), and people who use injection drugs (PWID) (52.7% compared to 81.3%, P = 0.007). A total of 13.5% of reactive POC results did not have a serological sample submitted. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted testing towards populations at higher risk of HIV improved the overall test performance characteristics of Ontario's POC testing program. While not unexpected, the large discrepancies between PPV in higher-risk, compared to lower-risk populations, suggests the need for greater awareness and messaging of the likelihood of false positive test results in different populations.
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Infecciones por VIH , Minorías Sexuales y de Género , Abuso de Sustancias por Vía Intravenosa , Masculino , Humanos , Homosexualidad Masculina , Infecciones por VIH/diagnóstico , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Infecciones por VIH/prevención & control , Ontario/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Pruebas en el Punto de AtenciónRESUMEN
Background: Farm workers are critical to Ontario's food supply chain as they grow and harvest the food that Ontario relies on; however, they are subject to several occupation-related coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission risk factors. We describe the epidemiology of farm outbreaks in Ontario over the first calendar year of the pandemic and explore trends in outbreaks by season and type of farm. Methods: Data pertaining to farm outbreaks in Ontario from January 1 to December 31, 2020, and their associated laboratory-confirmed cases were extracted from the provincial database. Outbreaks were characterized by size, season, farm type and duration. Cases were characterized by age, gender, medical risk factors, clinical presentation and outcomes. Results: There were 64 farm outbreaks associated with 2,202 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Ontario during 2020. The majority of outbreaks occurred in spring (n=25, 39.1%) and fall (n=25, 39.1%). The fewest outbreaks occurred in the summer (n=6, 9.4%), corresponding with low community rates during that time, and the majority of these were in greenhouse farms (n=5, 83.3%). The median outbreak size was 14.5 cases (range: 1-240), and the median duration was 23 days (range: 0-128). Among cases, most were male (83.2%), the median age was 35 years, 10.0% had one or more comorbidities, 31.2% were asymptomatic, 16 required hospitalization and three died. Conclusion: Farm outbreaks were a source of COVID-19 transmission and illness in 2020, particularly in the spring and fall. Outbreaks continued in greenhouse farms despite lower summer community transmission.
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This prospective cohort survey evaluated the concordance of clinicians' perceptions of parental intentions and parents' actual intentions to vaccinate their infants against influenza. During a routine healthy baby visit, clinicians provided parents with information about influenza, children's vulnerability to influenza, and nonadjuvanted and adjuvanted trivalent influenza vaccines (TIV and aTIV, respectively). Before and after the clinician−parent interaction, parents were surveyed about their attitudes, their perceptions of support from significant others, and the intention to vaccinate their infant with aTIV. Clinicians were asked about their perception of parents' intentions to choose aTIV for their children. These assessments included 24 clinicians at 15 community practices and nine public health clinics, and 207 parents. The correlation coefficients of the clinicians' assessment of parents' intention to vaccinate were 0.483 (p < 0.001) if the vaccine was presented as free of cost, 0.266 (p < 0.001) if the cost was $25, and 0.146 (p = 0.036) if the cost was $50, accounting for 23%, 7%, and 2% of the variance in parental intentions, respectively. The clinicians were poor at predicting parental intentions to immunize, particularly when cost was involved. Information on vaccine options and influenza infection should be provided for every eligible patient to allow parents to determine if the vaccine is appropriate for their child.
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Adjuvanted trivalent influenza vaccine (aTIV) provides enhanced protection against seasonal influenza in children compared with nonadjuvanted trivalent influenza vaccine (TIV). This prospective cohort study assessed parental attitudes, beliefs, and intentions to vaccinate their infants aged 6-23 months with aTIV. Parents were surveyed before and after routine healthy baby visits, and post clinician interaction results were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression. Physicians at 15 community practice clinics and nurses at 3 public health clinics participated; 207 parents were surveyed. After clinician consultation, most parents considered immunization with aTIV to be safe (72.9%), effective (69.6%), and important (69.0%); most perceived support for vaccination from significant others (62.8%) and clinicians (81.6%); and 66.6% intended to vaccinate their infant with aTIV. Parental attitudes toward vaccinating their infant with aTIV were strongly correlated with perceptions of vaccine safety, efficacy, and importance, and these represented the strongest influence on intentions to vaccinate (odds ratio (OR) 79.25; 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.05-1037.50). Parental intentions were further influenced by perceived strength of clinician recommendation (OR 4.55, 95% CI 1.38-15.06) and social support for vaccination (OR 3.46, 95% CI 0.50-24.13). These findings may inform clinician approaches to parental education to ensure optimal seasonal pediatric influenza vaccination.
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The adjuvanted trivalent influenza vaccine (aTIV) provides enhanced protection against influenza for infants but is not publicly funded (NPF). The objective of this prospective cohort study of parents with children 6 through 23 months of age was to understand how NPF status influences parental perceptions of approved but unfunded vaccines and their intentions to vaccinate. At healthy baby visits, clinicians provided parents with information about influenza and vaccination. Before and after these interactions, a research nurse assessed parents' intentions to vaccinate their children and their beliefs about the safety, efficacy, and necessity of vaccinating their children with aTIV in both publicly funded (PF) and NPF settings. Overall, 15 community practice clinics (n = 15 physicians) and nine public health clinics (n = 9 nurses) recruited 207 parents. The percentage of parents intending to immunize their children with aTIV decreased from 72% (vaccine PF, free of charge), to 42% (NPF, $25 per dose), to 27% (NPF, $50 per dose). Funding status strongly influenced whether parents perceived immunization with aTIV to be necessary, safe, and effective. Information on influenza and influenza vaccines should be provided to parents routinely to allow for well-informed decisions on the suitability of specific influenza vaccines for their child.
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Background: Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are curative treatments for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, a condition affecting over 100,000 Ontarians. Although DAAs are covered under the public drug programs in Ontario, receiving prescriptions depends on access to healthcare. The aim of this study is to understand the relationship between DAA treatment rates and distance to prescriber in Ontario, Canada. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study and identified patients who filled a DAA prescription through the Ontario Drug Benefit (ODB) in 2019. We calculated crude (per 100,000 ODB recipients) and adjusted (by a regional HCV infection rate) DAA treatment rates by public health unit (PHU). We reported median distances to provider for all visit types, in-person visits, virtual visits, and proportions of visits that were virtual. Results: In 2019, the crude DAA treatment rate for Ontario is 83.0 patients per 100,000 ODB recipients. The HCV-adjusted DAA treatment rate ranges from 28.2 (Northwestern Ontario) to 188.5 (Eastern Ontario) per 100,000. In our primary analysis, patients in rural PHUs, including Northwestern and Porcupine, were among the highest median distances to prescriber for all visit types (1,195 km and 556 km, respectively). These PHUs also had the highest proportions of virtual visits (greater than 60%). Urban PHUs, such as Toronto and Ottawa, had smaller median distances for all visit types, with smaller proportions of virtual visits (10.8% and 12.4%, respectively). Conclusion: We observed heterogeneity in treatment rates, distance to DAA prescribers and use of virtual care in the management of HCV. Increasing use of telemedicine in regions with limited utilization of DAAs may improve access.
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OBJECTIVES: The objective of our study was to estimate the rate of workplace outbreak-associated cases of COVID-19 by industry in labour market participants aged 15-69 years who reported working the majority of hours outside the home in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cross-sectional study of COVID-19 workplace outbreaks and associated cases reported in Ontario between 1 April 2020 and 31 March 2021. All outbreaks were manually classified into two-digit North American Industry Classification System codes. We obtained monthly denominator estimates from the Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey to estimate the incidence of outbreak-associated cases per 100 000 000 hours among individuals who reported the majority of hours were worked outside the home. We performed this analysis across industries and in three distinct time periods. RESULTS: Overall, 12% of cases were attributed to workplace outbreaks among working-age adults across our study period. While incidence varied across the time periods, the five industries with the highest incidence rates across our study period were agriculture, healthcare and social assistance, food manufacturing, educational services, and transportation and warehousing. CONCLUSIONS: Certain industries have consistently increased the incidence of COVID-19 over the course of the pandemic. These results may assist in ongoing efforts to reduce transmission of COVID-19 by prioritising resources, as well as industry-specific guidance, vaccination and public health messaging.
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COVID-19 , Adulto , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , Incidencia , Ontario/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
This study evaluated the impact of a continuing medical education (CME) program that emphasized actionable information, motivation to act, and skills to strengthen physician recommendations for seasonal influenza vaccination in children 6 through 23 months of age for whom influenza immunization rates are suboptimal. Physicians were randomly assigned to an accredited CME program or to no CME. Participants completed pre- and post-study questionnaires. Influenza immunization rates were compared between groups. A total of 33 physicians in the CME group and 35 in the control group documented 292 and 322 healthy baby visits, respectively. Significantly more parents immunized their children against influenza after interacting with CME-trained physicians than those with no CME training (52.9% vs. 40.7%; p = 0.007). The odds ratio for vaccination after visits with CME-trained physicians was 1.52 (95% confidence interval 1.09 to 2.12; p = 0.014), which was unaffected by the socioeconomic status of parents. Parents who discussed influenza vaccination with CME-trained physicians were 20% more likely to choose an approved but publicly unfunded adjuvanted pediatric influenza vaccine. The percentages of physicians reporting the highest levels of knowledge, ability, and confidence doubled or tripled after the CME intervention. Significantly more parents immunized very young children after interacting with physicians who had undergone CME training.
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OBJECTIVES: Performance characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid detection assays are understudied within contexts of low pre-test probability, including screening asymptomatic persons without epidemiological links to confirmed cases, or asymptomatic surveillance testing. SARS-CoV-2 detection without symptoms may represent presymptomatic or asymptomatic infection, resolved infection with persistent RNA shedding, or a false-positive test. This study assessed the positive predictive value of SARS-CoV-2 real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) assays by retesting positive specimens from 5 pre-test probability groups ranging from high to low with an alternate assay. METHODS: In total, 122 rRT-PCR positive specimens collected from unique patients between March and July 2020 were retested using a laboratory-developed nested RT-PCR assay targeting the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp) gene followed by Sanger sequencing. RESULTS: Significantly fewer (15.6%) positive results in the lowest pre-test probability group (facilities with institution-wide screening having ≤3 positive asymptomatic cases) were reproduced with the nested RdRp gene RT-PCR assay than in each of the 4 groups with higher pre-test probability (individual group range, 50.0%-85.0%). CONCLUSIONS: Large-scale SARS-CoV-2 screening testing initiatives among low pre-test probability populations should be evaluated thoroughly prior to implementation given the risk of false-positive results and consequent potential for harm at the individual and population level.
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COVID-19 , Ácidos Nucleicos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Prueba de COVID-19 , Humanos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Probabilidad , ARN , ARN Polimerasa Dependiente del ARN , Reacción en Cadena en Tiempo Real de la Polimerasa , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , Transcripción Reversa , SARS-CoV-2/genéticaRESUMEN
We compared secondary attack rates in households with B.1.1.7 variant of concern (VOC) versus non-VOC index cases in a matched cohort in Ontario, Canada. The secondary attack rate for VOC index cases was 1.31 times higher than non-VOC index cases. This increase was particularly accentuated for asymptomatic or presymptomatic index cases.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Incidencia , Ontario/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Outbreaks cause significant morbidity and mortality in healthcare settings. Current testing methods can identify specific viral respiratory pathogens, yet the approach to outbreak management remains general. OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to examine pathogen-specific trends in respiratory outbreaks, including how attack rates, case fatality rates and outbreak duration differ by pathogen between hospitals and long-term care (LTC) and retirement homes (RH) in Ontario. METHODS: Confirmed respiratory outbreaks in Ontario hospitals and LTC/RH reported between September 1, 2007, and August 31, 2017, were extracted from the integrated Public Health Information System (iPHIS). Median attack rates and outbreak duration and overall case fatality rates of pathogen-specific outbreaks were compared in both settings. RESULTS: Over the 10-year surveillance period, 9,870 confirmed respiratory outbreaks were reported in Ontario hospitals and LTC/RH. Influenza was responsible for most outbreaks (32% in LTC/RH, 51% in hospitals), but these outbreaks were shorter and had lower attack rates than most non-influenza outbreaks in either setting. Human metapneumovirus, while uncommon (<4% of outbreaks) had high case fatality rates in both settings. CONCLUSION: Attack rates and case fatality rates varied by pathogen, as did outbreak duration. Development of specific outbreak management guidance that takes into account pathogen and healthcare setting may be useful to limit the burden of respiratory outbreaks.
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CONTEXTE: Le déploiement de mesures de gestion des éclosions de SRAS-CoV-2 dans les établissements de soins de longue durée en Ontario a permis d'en réduire la fréquence et la gravité. Nous décrivons ici les données épidémiologiques et de laboratoire d'une de ces premières éclosions en Ontario afin de déterminer les facteurs associés à son importance et les impacts des interventions progressives de lutte contre les infections appliquées pendant la durée de l'éclosion. MÉTHODES: Nous avons obtenu du bureau de santé la liste des cas et les données de l'éclosion afin de décrire les cas chez les résidents et le personnel, leur gravité et leur distribution dans le temps et à l'intérieur de l'établissement touché. Quand elles étaient disponibles, nous avons obtenu des données concernant les échantillons soumis au laboratoire de Santé publique Ontario et effectué un séquençage complet et une analyse phylogénétique des échantillons viraux de l'éclosion. RÉSULTATS: Sur les 65 résidents de l'établissement de soins de longue durée, 61 (94 %) ont contracté le SRAS-CoV-2, le taux de létalité étant de 45 % (28/61). Parmi les 67 employés initiaux, 34 (51 %) ont contracté le virus, et aucun n'est décédé. Lorsque l'éclosion a été déclarée, 12 employés, 2 visiteurs et 9 résidents présentaient des symptômes. Parmi les résidents, les cas se trouvaient dans 3 des 4 secteurs de l'établissement. L'analyse phylogénétique a montré une forte similitude des séquences; une seule autre souche de SRAS-CoV-2 génétiquement distincte a été identifiée chez un employé à la troisième semaine de l'éclosion. Après le déploiement de toutes les mesures de gestion de l'éclosion, aucun cas n'a été identifié parmi les 26 nouveaux employés appelés en renfort. INTERPRÉTATION: La propagation rapide et non détectée du virus dans un établissement de soins de longue durée a donné lieu à des taux élevés d'infection chez les résidents et le personnel. L'application progressive de mesures de gestion après le pic de l'éclosion a permis d'éviter la contamination du personnel appelé en renfort et fait désormais partie des politiques à long terme de prévention des éclosions en Ontario.
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COVID-19/epidemiología , Cuidados a Largo Plazo/estadística & datos numéricos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ontario/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Accurate SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis is essential to guide prevention and control of COVID-19. Here we examine SARS-CoV-2 molecular-based test performance characteristics and summarize case-level data related to COVID-19 diagnosis. From January 11 through April 22, 2020, Public Health Ontario conducted SARS-CoV-2 testing of 86,942 specimens collected from 80,354 individuals, primarily using real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) methods. We analyzed test results across specimen types and for individuals with multiple same-day and multi-day collected specimens. Nasopharyngeal compared to throat swabs had a higher positivity (8.8% vs. 4.8%) and an adjusted estimate 2.9 Ct lower (SE = 0.5, p<0.001). Same-day specimens showed high concordance (98.8%), and the median Ct of multi-day specimens increased over time. Symptomatic cases had rRT-PCR results with an adjusted estimate 3.0 Ct (SE = 0.5, p<0.001) lower than asymptomatic/pre-symptomatic cases. Overall test sensitivity was 84.6%, with a negative predictive value of 95.5%. Molecular testing is the mainstay of SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis and testing protocols will continue to be dynamic and iteratively modified as more is learned about this emerging pathogen.
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Prueba de Ácido Nucleico para COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Pandemias , Reacción en Cadena de la Polimerasa de Transcriptasa Inversa , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/genética , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ontario/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The implementation of outbreak management measures has decreased the frequency and severity of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks in Ontario long-term care homes. We describe the epidemiological and laboratory data from one of the first such outbreaks in Ontario to assess factors associated with its severity, and the impact of progressive interventions for infection control over the course of the outbreak. METHODS: We obtained line list and outbreak data from the public health unit to describe resident and staff cases, severity and distribution of cases over time and within the outbreak facility. Where available, we obtained data on laboratory specimens from the Public Health Ontario Laboratory and performed whole genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis of viral specimens from the outbreak. RESULTS: Among 65 residents of the long-term care home, 61 (94%) contracted SARS-CoV-2, with a case fatality rate of 45% (28/61). Among 67 initial staff, 34 (51%) contracted the virus and none died. When the outbreak was declared, 12 staff, 2 visitors and 9 residents had symptoms. Resident cases were located in 3 of 4 areas of the home. Phylogenetic analysis showed tight clustering of cases, with only 1 additional strain of genetically distinct SARS-CoV-2 identified from a staff case in the third week of the outbreak. No cases were identified among 26 new staff brought into the home after full outbreak measures were implemented. INTERPRETATION: Rapid and undetected viral spread in a long-term care home led to high rates of infection among residents and staff. Progressive implementation of outbreak measures after the peak of cases prevented subsequent staff cases and are now part of long-term care outbreak policy in Ontario.