MARVEL-minimising the emergence and dissemination of HIV-1 drug resistance in Portuguese-speaking African Countries (PALOP): low-cost portable NGS platform for HIV-1 surveillance in Africa.

BACKGROUND: HIV-1 infections remain a global public health concern. Scaled-up antiretroviral treatment (ART) is crucial for reducing morbidity and mortality related to HIV/AIDS. The emergence of drug-resistance mutations (DRMs) compromises viral suppression and contributes to the continued HIV-1 transmission. Several reports indicate a recent increase in acquired (ADR) and transmitted (TDR) drug resistance in Africa, probably linked to the lack of implementation of HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) testing and suboptimal treatment adherence. Herein, we will develop a low-cost protocol using third-generation sequencing (Oxford Nanopore Technology) for HIV-1 surveillance in Portuguese-speaking African Countries - PALOP [Angola (AO), Cape Verde (CV), Mozambique (MZ), and Sao Tome & Principe (STP)]. METHODS: This is a multicentric cross-sectional study that includes around 600 adult patients newly diagnosed with HIV-1 in the PALOP. An epidemiological questionnaire previously validated by our research team will be used to collect sociodemographic and clinical data. Also, whole blood samples will be collected and the plasma samples will be subjected to drug resistance testing using an in-house low-cost NGS protocol. Data analysis will involve bioinformatics, biostatistics and machine learning techniques to generate accurate and up-to-date information about HIV-1 genetic diversity, ADR and TDR. DISCUSSION: The implementation of this low-cost NGS platform for HIV-1 surveillance in the PALOP will allow: (i) to increase DRM surveillance capacity in resource-limited settings; (ii) to understand the pattern and determinants of dissemination of resistant HIV-1 strains; and (iii) to promote the development of technical and scientific skills of African researchers for genomic surveillance of viral pathogens and bioinformatics analysis. These objectives will contribute to reinforcing the capacity to combat HIV infection in Africa by optimizing the selection of ART regimens, improving viral suppression, and reducing ADR or TDR prevalence in PALOPs, with relevant implications for public health.

Detection of Enteric Viruses in Children under Five Years of Age before and after Rotavirus Vaccine Introduction in Manhiça District, Southern Mozambique, 2008-2019.

Enteric viruses are the leading cause of diarrhoea in children <5 years. Despite existing studies describing rotavirus diarrhoea in Mozambique, data on other enteric viruses remains scarce, especially after rotavirus vaccine introduction. We explored the prevalence of norovirus GI and GII, adenovirus 40/41, astrovirus, and sapovirus in children <5 years with moderate-to-severe (MSD), less severe (LSD) diarrhoea and community healthy controls, before (2008-2012) and after (2016-2019) rotavirus vaccine introduction in Manhiça District, Mozambique. The viruses were detected using ELISA and conventional reverse transcription PCR from stool samples. Overall, all of the viruses except norovirus GI were significantly more detected after rotavirus vaccine introduction compared to the period before vaccine introduction: norovirus GII in MSD (13/195, 6.7% vs. 24/886, 2.7%, respectively; p = 0.006) and LSD (25/268, 9.3% vs. 9/430, 2.1%, p < 0.001); adenovirus 40/41 in MSD (7.2% vs. 1.8%, p < 0.001); astrovirus in LSD (7.5% vs. 2.6%, p = 0.002); and sapovirus in MSD (7.1% vs. 1.4%, p = 0.047) and controls (21/475, 4.4% vs. 51/2380, 2.1%, p = 0.004). Norovirus GII, adenovirus 40/41, astrovirus, and sapovirus detection increased in MSD and LSD cases after rotavirus vaccine introduction, supporting the need for continued molecular surveillance for the implementation of appropriate control and prevention measures.

Analytical treatment interruption in children living with HIV: position statement from the EPIICAL consortium.

Analytical treatment interruption (ATI) is widely acknowledged as an essential component of studies to advance our understanding of HIV cure, but discussion has largely been focused on adults. To address this gap, we reviewed evidence related to the safety and utility of ATI in paediatric populations. Three randomised ATI trials using CD4 T-cell and clinical criteria to guide restart of antiretroviral therapy (ART) have been conducted. These trials found low risks associated with ATI in children, including reassuring findings pertaining to neurocognitive outcomes. Similar to adults treated during acute infection, infants treated early in life have shifts in virological and immunological parameters that increase their likelihood of achieving ART-free viral control. Early ART limits the size and diversity of the viral reservoir and shapes effective innate and HIV-specific humoral and cellular responses. Several cases of durable ART-free viral control in early treated children have been reported. We recommend that, where appropriate for the study question and where adequate monitoring is available, ATI should be integrated into ART-free viral control research in children living with HIV. Paediatric participants have the greatest likelihood of benefiting and potentially the most years to prospectively realise those benefits. Excluding children from ATI trials limits the evidence base and delays access to interventions.

Enhancing HIV positivity yield in southern Mozambique: The effect of a Ministry of Health training module in targeted provider-initiated testing and counselling.

In Mozambique, targeted provider-initiated HIV testing and counselling (PITC) is recommended where universal PITC is not feasible, but its effectiveness depends on healthcare providers' training. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of a Ministry of Health training module in targeted PITC on the HIV positivity yield, and identify factors associated with a positive HIV test. We conducted a single-group pre-post study between November 2018 and November 2019 in the triage and emergency departments of four healthcare facilities in Manhiça District, a resource-constrained semi-rural area. It consisted of two two-month phases split by a one-week targeted PITC training module ("observation phases"). The HIV positivity yield of targeted PITC was estimated as the proportion of HIV-positive individuals among those recommended for HIV testing by the provider. Additionally, we extracted aggregated health information system data over the four months preceding and following the observation phases to compare yield in real-world conditions ("routine phases"). Logistic regression analysis from observation phase data was conducted to identify factors associated with a positive HIV test. Among the 7,102 participants in the pre- and post-training observation phases (58.5% and 41.5% respectively), 68% were women, and 96% were recruited at triage. In the routine phases with 33,261 individuals (45.8% pre, 54.2% post), 64% were women, and 84% were seen at triage. While HIV positivity yield between pre- and post-training observation phases was similar (10.9% (269/2470) and 11.1% (207/1865), respectively), we observed an increase in yield in the post-training routine phase for women in triage, rising from 4.8% (74/1553) to 7.3% (61/831) (Yield ratio = 1.54; 95%CI: 1.11-2.14). Age (25-49 years) (OR = 2.43; 95%CI: 1.37-4.33), working in industry/mining (OR = 4.94; 95%CI: 2.17-11.23), unawareness of partner's HIV status (OR = 2.50; 95%CI: 1.91-3.27), and visiting a healer (OR = 1.74; 95%CI: 1.03-2.93) were factors associated with a positive HIV test. Including these factors in the targeted PITC algorithm could have increased new HIV diagnoses by 2.6%. In conclusion, providing refresher training and adapting the current targeted PITC algorithm through further research can help reach undiagnosed PLHIV, treat all, and ultimately eliminate HIV, especially in resource-limited rural areas.

Safety and efficacy of dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine for intermittent preventive treatment of malaria in pregnant women with HIV from Gabon and Mozambique: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: The cornerstone of malaria prevention in pregnancy, intermittent preventive treatment (IPTp) with sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine, is contraindicated in women with HIV who are receiving co-trimoxazole prophylaxis. We assessed whether IPTp with dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine is safe and effective in reducing the risk of malaria infection in women with HIV receiving co-trimoxazole prophylaxis and antiretroviral drugs. METHODS: For this randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial, women with HIV attending the first antenatal care clinic visit, resident in the study area, and with a gestational age up to 28 weeks were enrolled at five sites in Gabon and Mozambique. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either IPTp with dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine at each scheduled antenatal care visit plus daily co-trimoxazole (intervention group) or placebo at each scheduled antenatal care visit plus daily co-trimoxazole (control group). Randomisation was done centrally via block randomisation (block sizes of eight), stratified by country. IPTp was given over 3 days under direct observation by masked study personnel. The number of daily IPTp tablets was based on bodyweight and according to the treatment guidelines set by WHO (target dose of 4 mg/kg per day [range 2-10 mg/kg per day] of dihydroartemisinin and 18 mg/kg per day [range 16-27 mg/kg per day] of piperaquine given once a day for 3 days). At enrolment, all participants received co-trimoxazole (fixed combination drug containing 800 mg trimethoprim and 160 mg sulfamethoxazole) for daily intake. The primary study outcome was prevalence of peripheral parasitaemia detected by microscopy at delivery. The modified intention-to-treat population included all randomly assigned women who had data for the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes included frequency of adverse events, incidence of clinical malaria during pregnancy, and frequency of poor pregnancy outcomes. All study personnel, investigators, outcome assessors, data analysts, and participants were masked to treatment assignment. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03671109. FINDINGS: From Sept 18, 2019, to Nov 26, 2021, 666 women (mean age 28·5 years [SD 6·4]) were enrolled and randomly assigned to the intervention (n=332) and control (n=334) groups. 294 women in the intervention group and 308 women in the control group had peripheral blood samples taken at delivery and were included in the primary analysis. Peripheral parasitaemia at delivery was detected in one (<1%) of 294 women in the intervention group and none of 308 women in the control group. The incidence of clinical malaria during pregnancy was lower in the intervention group than in the control group (one episode in the intervention group vs six in the control group; relative risk [RR] 0·12, 95% CI 0·03-0·52, p=0·045). In a post-hoc analysis, the composite outcome of overall malaria infection (detected by any diagnostic test during pregnancy or delivery) was lower in the intervention group than in the control group (14 [5%] of 311 women vs 31 [10%] of 320 women; RR 0·48, 95% CI 0·27-0·84, p=0·010). The frequency of serious adverse events and poor pregnancy outcomes (such as miscarriages, stillbirths, premature births, and congenital malformations) did not differ between groups. The most frequently reported drug-related adverse events were gastrointestinal disorder (reported in less than 4% of participants) and headache (reported in less than 2% of participants), with no differences between study groups. INTERPRETATION: In the context of low malaria transmission, the addition of IPTp with dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine to co-trimoxazole prophylaxis in pregnant women with HIV did not reduce peripheral parasitaemia at delivery. However, the intervention was safe and associated with a decreased risk of clinical malaria and overall Plasmodium falciparum infection, so it should be considered as a strategy to protect pregnant women with HIV from malaria. FUNDING: European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership 2 (EDCTP2) and Medicines for Malaria Venture. TRANSLATIONS: For the Portuguese and French translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Retention in Care and Virological Failure among Adult HIV-Positive Patients on First-Line Antiretroviral Treatment in Maputo, Mozambique.

INTRODUCTION: Access to antiretroviral treatment (ART) is increasingly available worldwide; however, the number of patients lost to follow-up and number of treatment failures continue to challenge most African countries. OBJECTIVES: To analyse the retention in clinical care and the virological response and their associated factors of HIV-1 patients from the Maputo Military Hospital (MMH). METHODS: A cross-sectional observational study was conducted to analyse data from patients who started ART between 2016 and 2018 in the MMH. RESULTS: At the end of 12 months, 75.1% of 1247 patients were active on clinical follow-up and 16.8% had suspected virologic failure (VL > 1000 copies/mm3). Patients younger than 40 years old were more likely to be lost to follow-up when compared to those aged >50 years old, as well as patients who were unemployed and patients with a CD4 count < 350 cells/mm3. Patients with haemoglobin levels lower than 10 g/dL and with a CD4 count < 350 cells/mm3 were more likely to have virological failure. CONCLUSIONS: We have identified clinical and sociodemographic determinants of loss to follow-up and in the development of virological failure for HIV-positive patients in clinical care in the MMH. Therefore, HIV programs must consider these factors to increase the screening of patients at high risk of poor outcomes and particularly to strengthen adherence counselling programs.

Antimicrobial resistance and clonality of Staphylococcus aureus causing bacteraemia in children admitted to the Manhiça District Hospital, Mozambique, over two decades.

Background: Staphylococcus aureus is one of the main causes of bacteraemia, associated with high mortality, mainly due to the occurrence of multidrug resistant (MDR) strains. Data on antibiotic susceptibility and genetic lineages of bacteraemic S. aureus are still scarce in Mozambique. The study aims to describe the antibiotic susceptibility and clonality of S. aureus isolated from blood cultures of children admitted to the Manhiça District Hospital over two decades (2001-2019). Methods: A total of 336 S. aureus isolates detected in blood cultures of children aged <5 years were analyzed for antibiotic susceptibility by disk diffusion or minimal inhibitory concentration, and for the presence of resistance determinants by PCR. The clonality was evaluated by SmaI-PFGE, spa typing, and MLST. The SCCmec element was characterized by SCCmec typing. Results: Most S. aureus (94%, 317/336) were resistant to at least one class of antibiotics, and one quarter (25%) showed a MDR phenotype. High rates of resistance were detected to penicillin (90%) and tetracycline (48%); followed by erythromycin/clindamycin (25%/23%), and co-trimoxazole (11%), while resistance to methicillin (MRSA strains) or gentamicin was less frequent (≤5%). The phenotypic resistance to distinct antibiotics correlated well with the corresponding resistance determinants (Cohen's κ test: 0.7-1.0). Molecular typing revealed highly diverse clones with predominance of CC5 (17%, 58/336) and CC8 (16%), followed by CC15 (11%) and CC1 (11%). The CC152, initially detected in 2001, re-emerged in 2010 and became predominant throughout the remaining surveillance period, while other CCs (CC1, CC5, CC8, CC15, CC25, CC80, and CC88) decreased over time. The 16 MRSA strains detected belonged to clones t064-ST612/CC8-SCCmecIVd (69%, 11/16), t008-ST8/CC8-SCCmecNT (25%, 4/16) and t5351-ST88/CC88-SCCmecIVa (6%, 1/16). Specific clonal lineages were associated with extended length of stay and high in-hospital mortality. Conclusion: We document the circulation of diverse MDR S. aureus causing paediatric bacteraemia in Manhiça district, Mozambique, requiring a prompt recognition of S. aureus bacteraemia by drug resistant clones to allow more targeted clinical management of patients.

Reasons for non-disclosure of HIV-Positive status to healthcare providers: a mixed methods study in Mozambique.

BACKGROUND: Non-disclosure of known HIV status by people living with HIV but undergoing HIV testing leads to waste of HIV testing resources and distortion of estimates of HIV indicators. In Mozambique, an estimated one-third of persons who tested positive already knew their HIV-positive status. To our knowledge, this study is the first to assess the factors that prevent people living with HIV (PLHIV) from disclosing their HIV-positive status to healthcare providers during a provider-initiated counseling and testing (PICT) campaign. METHODS: This analysis was nested in a larger PICT cross-sectional study performed in the Manhiça District, Southern Mozambique from January to July 2019, in which healthcare providers actively asked patients about their HIV-status. Patients who tested positive for HIV were crosschecked with the hospital database to identify those who had previously tested positive and were currently or previously enrolled in care. PLHIV who did not disclose their HIV-positive status were invited to participate and provide consent, and were interviewed using a questionnaire designed to explore barriers, patterns of community/family disclosure, and stigma and discrimination. RESULTS: We found that 16.1% of participants who tested positive during a PICT session already knew their HIV-positive status but did not disclose it to the healthcare provider. All the participants reported previous mistreatment by general healthcare providers as a reason for nondisclosure during PICT. Other reasons included the desire to know if they were cured (33.3%) or to re-engage in care (23.5%). Among respondents, 83.9% reported having disclosed their HIV-status within their close community, 48.1% reported being victims of verbal or physical discrimination following their HIV diagnosis, and 46.7% reported that their HIV status affected their daily activities. CONCLUSION: Previous mistreatment by healthcare workers was the main barrier to disclosing HIV-positive status. The high proportion of those disclosing their HIV status to their community but not to healthcare providers suggests that challenges with patient-provider relationships affect this care behavior rather than social stigma and discrimination. Improving patient-provider relationships could increase trust in healthcare providers, reduce non-disclosures, and help optimize resources and provide accurate estimates of the UNAIDS first 95 goal.

Genomic characterization of the rotavirus G3P[8] strain in vaccinated children, reveals possible reassortment events between human and animal strains in Manhiça District, Mozambique.

Mozambique introduced the rotavirus vaccine (Rotarix®; GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals, Rixensart, Belgium) in 2015, and since then, the Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça has been monitoring its impact on rotavirus-associated diarrhea and the trend of circulating strains, where G3P[8] was reported as the predominant strain after the vaccine introduction. Genotype G3 is among the most commonly detected Rotavirus strains in humans and animals, and herein, we report on the whole genome constellation of G3P[8] detected in two children (aged 18 months old) hospitalized with moderate-to-severe diarrhea at the Manhiça District Hospital. The two strains had a typical Wa-like genome constellation (I1-R1-C1-M1-A1-N1-T1-E1-H1) and shared 100% nucleotide (nt) and amino acid (aa) identities in 10 gene segments, except for VP6. Phylogenetic analysis demonstrated that genome segments encoding VP7, VP6, VP1, NSP3, and NSP4 of the two strains clustered most closely with porcine, bovine, and equine strains with identities ranging from 86.9-99.9% nt and 97.2-100% aa. Moreover, they consistently formed distinct clusters with some G1P[8], G3P[8], G9P[8], G12P[6], and G12P[8] strains circulating from 2012 to 2019 in Africa (Mozambique, Kenya, Rwanda, and Malawi) and Asia (Japan, China, and India) in genome segments encoding six proteins (VP2, VP3, NSP1-NSP2, NSP5/6). The identification of segments exhibiting the closest relationships with animal strains shows significant diversity of rotavirus and suggests the possible occurrence of reassortment events between human and animal strains. This demonstrates the importance of applying next-generation sequencing to monitor and understand the evolutionary changes of strains and evaluate the impact of vaccines on strain diversity.

Prevalence and impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on maternal and infant health in African populations: protocol of a multicentre prospective cohort study (MA-CoV project).

INTRODUCTION: Pregnant women are currently considered a vulnerable population to SARS-CoV-2 infection, with increased risk of severe COVID-19, preterm birth and maternal mortality. There is, however, a paucity of data on the burden of maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection in sub-Saharan countries. The objective of this study is to determine the prevalence and health effects of maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection in selected sites from Gabon and Mozambique. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: MA-CoV (MAternal CoVid) is an observational, multicentre prospective cohort study where 1000 pregnant women (500 per country) will be enrolled at the antenatal clinic visits. Participants will undergo monthly follow-up at each antenatal care visit, delivery and postpartum visit. The primary study outcome is the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy. The clinical presentation of COVID-19 in pregnancy will also be characterised, and incidence of infection during pregnancy will be evaluated, as well as the risk factors of maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and the risk of mother to child transmission of SARS-CoV-2. SARS-CoV-2 infection screening will be performed through PCR diagnosis. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The protocol was reviewed and approved by the Comité National d'Éthique pour la Recherche au Gabon, Comité Nacional de Bioética para Saúde de Moçambique and the Ethics Committee of the Hospital Clinic of Barcelona (Spain). Project results will be presented to all stakeholders and published in open access journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05303168.

Using testing history to estimate HIV incidence in mothers living in resource-limited settings: Maximizing efficiency of a community health survey in Mozambique.

Obtaining rapid and accurate HIV incidence estimates is challenging because of the need for long-term follow-up for a large cohort. We estimated HIV incidence among women who recently delivered in southern Mozambique by leveraging data available in routine health cards. A cross-sectional household HIV-testing survey was conducted from October 2017 to April 2018 among mothers of children born in the previous four years in the Manhiça Health Demographic Surveillance System area. Randomly-selected mother-child pairs were invited to participate and asked to present documentation of their last HIV test result. HIV-testing was offered to mothers with no prior HIV-testing history, or with negative HIV results obtained over three months ago. HIV incidence was estimated as the number of mothers newly diagnosed with HIV per total person-years, among mothers with a prior documented HIV-negative test. Among 5000 mother-child pairs randomly selected, 3069 were interviewed, and 2221 reported a previous HIV-negative test. From this group, we included 1714 mothers who had taken a new HIV test during the survey. Most of mothers included (83.3%,1428/1714) had a previous documented HIV test result and date. Median time from last test to survey was 15.5 months (IQR:8.0-25.9). A total of 57 new HIV infections were detected over 2530.27 person-years of follow-up. The estimated HIV incidence was 2.25 (95% CI: 1.74-2.92) per 100 person-years. Estimating HIV incidence among women who recently delivered using a community HIV-focused survey coupled with previous HIV-testing history based on patients' clinical documents is an achievable strategy.

Epidemiology and clinical presentation of community-acquired Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia in children under 5 years of age admitted to the Manhiça District Hospital, Mozambique, 2001-2019.

Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia (SAB) is one of the most common bloodstream infections globally. Data on the burden and epidemiology of community-acquired SAB in low-income countries are scarce but needed to define preventive and management strategies. Blood samples were collected from children < 5 years of age with fever or severe disease admitted to the Manhiça District Hospital for bacterial isolation, including S. aureus. Between 2001 and 2019, 7.6% (3,197/41,891) of children had bacteraemia, of which 12.3% corresponded to SAB. The overall incidence of SAB was 56.1 episodes/100,000 children-years at risk (CYAR), being highest among neonates (589.8 episodes/100,000 CYAR). SAB declined significantly between 2001 and 2019 (322.1 to 12.5 episodes/100,000 CYAR). In-hospital mortality by SAB was 9.3% (31/332), and significantly associated with infections by multidrug-resistant (MDR) strains (14.7%, 11/75 vs. 6.9%, 14/204 among non-MDR, p = 0.043) and methicillin-resistant S. aureus (33.3%, 5/15 vs. 7.6%, 20/264 among methicillin-susceptible S. aureus, p = 0.006). Despite the declining rates of SAB, this disease remains an important cause of death among children admitted to MDH, possibly in relation to the resistance to the first line of empirical treatment in use in our setting, suggesting an urgent need to review current policy recommendations.

SARS-CoV-2 Seropositivity and HIV Viral Load Among Mozambican Pregnant Women.

INTRODUCTION: Prevalence estimates of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Africa are limited, particularly among pregnant women and in those living with HIV. This study assessed the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies among Mozambican HIV-infected pregnant women during the first year of the pandemic, before COVID-19 vaccines were deployed in the country. SETTING: The study was conducted in Manhiça district, a semirural area in southern Mozambique. METHODS: A prospective cohort study including pregnant women living with HIV was conducted from November 2019 to June 2021. Women were enrolled at the first antenatal care clinic visit and followed until postpartum. HIV viral load and IgM/IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 were determined in blood samples at first antenatal care clinic visit and at delivery. Associations between SARS-CoV-2 serostatus and maternal characteristics at enrolment were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 397 women were enrolled. SARS-CoV-2 IgG/IgM antibodies were detected in 7.1% of women at enrolment and in 8.5% of women at delivery. Overall, SARS-CoV-2 antibodies were detected in 45 women (11.3%; 95% confidence interval 8.4 to 14.9%) during the study period; the first seropositive sample was identified in September 2020. Having undetectable HIV viral load was associated with seropositivity of SARS-CoV-2 IgG/IgM [odds ratio 3.35 (1.10 to 11.29); P = 0.039]. CONCLUSION: Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in this cohort of Mozambican unvaccinated pregnant women was similar to reported global estimates of approximately 10% in pregnancy for 2021. The findings also suggest that pregnant women with high HIV viral load may have an impaired immune response against SARS-CoV-2 and might need to be carefully managed in case of COVID-19.

Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS): Manhiça site description, Mozambique.

The Manhiça Health Research Centre (Manhiça HDSS) was established in 1996 in Manhiça, a rural district at Maputo Province in the southern part of Mozambique with approximately 49,000 inhabited households, a total population of 209.000 individuals, and an annual estimated birth cohort of about 5000 babies. Since 2016, Manhiça HDSS is implementing the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) program aiming to investigate causes of death (CoD) in stillbirths and children under the age of 5 years using, among other tools, the innovative post-mortem technique known as Minimally Invasive Tissue sampling (MITS). Both in-hospital and community pediatric deaths are investigated using MITS. For this, community-wide socio-demographic approaches (notification of community deaths by key informants, formative research involving several segments of the community, availability of free phone lines for notification of medical emergencies and deaths, etc.) are conducted alongside to foster community awareness, involvement and adherence as well as to compute mortality estimates and collect relevant information of health and mortality determinants. The main objective of this paper is to describe the Manhiça Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) site and the CHAMPS research environment in place including the local capacities among its reference hospital, laboratories, data center and other relevant areas involved in this ambitious surveillance and research project, whose ultimate aim is to improve child survival through public health actions derived from credible estimates and understanding of the major causes of childhood mortality in Mozambique.

Machine learning outperformed logistic regression classification even with limit sample size: A model to predict pediatric HIV mortality and clinical progression to AIDS.

Logistic regression (LR) is the most common prediction model in medicine. In recent years, supervised machine learning (ML) methods have gained popularity. However, there are many concerns about ML utility for small sample sizes. In this study, we aim to compare the performance of 7 algorithms in the prediction of 1-year mortality and clinical progression to AIDS in a small cohort of infants living with HIV from South Africa and Mozambique. The data set (n = 100) was randomly split into 70% training and 30% validation set. Seven algorithms (LR, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Naïve Bayes (NB), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Elastic Net) were compared. The variables included as predictors were the same across the models including sociodemographic, virologic, immunologic, and maternal status features. For each of the models, a parameter tuning was performed to select the best-performing hyperparameters using 5 times repeated 10-fold cross-validation. A confusion-matrix was built to assess their accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. RF ranked as the best algorithm in terms of accuracy (82,8%), sensitivity (78%), and AUC (0,73). Regarding specificity and sensitivity, RF showed better performance than the other algorithms in the external validation and the highest AUC. LR showed lower performance compared with RF, SVM, or KNN. The outcome of children living with perinatally acquired HIV can be predicted with considerable accuracy using ML algorithms. Better models would benefit less specialized staff in limited resources countries to improve prompt referral in case of high-risk clinical progression.

Impact of rotavirus vaccination on diarrheal hospitalizations in children younger than 5 years of age in a rural southern Mozambique.

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus vaccine(Rotarix®) was introduced in Mozambique through its Expanded Program of Immunization in September 2015. We assessed the impact of rotavirus vaccination on childhood gastroenteritis-associated hospitalizations post-vaccine introduction in a high HIV prevalence rural setting of southern Mozambique. METHODS: We reviewed and compared the trend of hospitalizations (prevalence) and incidence rates of acute gastroenteritis (AGE), and rotavirus associated-diarrhea (laboratory confirmed rotavirus) in pre- (January 2008-August 2015) and post-rotavirus vaccine introduction periods (September 2015-December 2020), among children <5 years of age admitted to Manhiça District Hospital. RESULTS: From January 2008 to December 2020, rotavirus vaccination was found to contribute to the decline of the prevalence of AGE from 19% (95% CI: 18.14-20.44) prior to the vaccine introduction to 10% (95% CI: 8.89-11.48) in the post-introduction period, preventing 40% (95 % IE: 38-42) and 84% (95 % IE: 80-87) of the expected AGE and laboratory confirmed rotavirus cases, respectively, among infants. Similarly, the overall incidence of rotavirus was 11.8-fold lower in the post-vaccine introduction period (0.4/1000 child-years-at-risk [CYAR]; 95% CI: 0.3-0.6) compared with the pre-vaccination period (4.7/1000 CYAR; 95% CI: 4.2-5.1) with the highest reduction being observed among infants (16.8-fold lower from the 15.1/1000 CYAR in the pre-vaccine to 0.9/1000 CYAR in the post-vaccine eras). CONCLUSIONS: We documented a significant reduction in all-cause diarrhea hospitalizations and rotavirus positivity after vaccine introduction demonstrating the beneficial impact of rotavirus vaccination in a highly vulnerable population.

Burden, clinical presentation and risk factors of advanced HIV disease in pregnant Mozambican women.

BACKGROUND: Information on the frequency and clinical features of advanced HIV disease (AHD) in pregnancy and its effects on maternal and perinatal outcomes is limited. The objective of this study was to describe the prevalence and clinical presentation of AHD in pregnancy, and to assess the impact of AHD in maternal and perinatal outcomes in Mozambican pregnant women. METHODS: This is a prospective and retrospective cohort study including HIV-infected pregnant women who attended the antenatal care (ANC) clinic at the Manhiça District Hospital between 2015 and 2020. Women were followed up for 36 months. Levels of CD4 + cell count were determined to assess AHD immune-suppressive changes. Risk factors for AHD were analyzed and the immune-suppressive changes over time and the effect of AHD on pregnancy outcomes were assessed. RESULTS: A total of 2458 HIV-infected pregnant women were enrolled. The prevalence of AHD at first ANC visit was 14.2% (349/2458). Among women with AHD at enrolment, 76.2% (260/341) were on antiretroviral therapy (ART). The proportion of women with AHD increased with age reaching 20.5% in those older than 35 years of age (p < 0.001). Tuberculosis was the only opportunistic infection diagnosed in women with AHD [4.9% (17/349)]. There was a trend for increased CD4 + cell count in women without AHD during the follow up period; however, in women with AHD the CD4 + cell count remained below 200 cells/mm3 (p < 0.001). Forty-two out of 2458 (1.7%) of the women were severely immunosuppressed (CD4 + cell count < 50 cells/mm3). No significant differences were detected between women with and without AHD in the frequency of maternal mortality, preterm birth, low birth weight and neonatal HIV infection. CONCLUSIONS: After more than two decades of roll out of ART in Mozambique, over 14% and nearly 2% of HIV-infected pregnant women present at first ANC clinic visit with AHD and severe immunosuppression, respectively. Prompt HIV diagnosis in women of childbearing age, effective linkage to HIV care with an optimal ART regimen and close monitoring after ART initiation may contribute to reduce this burden and improve maternal and child survival.

Prompt HIV diagnosis and antiretroviral treatment in postpartum women is crucial for prevention of mother to child transmission during breastfeeding: Survey results in a high HIV prevalence community in southern Mozambique after the implementation of Option B.

OBJECTIVE: World Health Organization recommends promoting breastfeeding without restricting its duration among HIV-positive women on lifelong antiretroviral treatment (ART). There is little data on breastfeeding duration and mother to child transmission (MTCT) beyond 24 months. We compared the duration of breastfeeding in HIV-exposed and HIV-unexposed children and we identified factors associated with postpartum-MTCT in a semi-rural population of Mozambique. METHODS: This cross-sectional assessment was conducted from October-2017 to April-2018. Mothers who had given birth within the previous 48-months in the Manhiça district were randomly selected to be surveyed and to receive an HIV-test along with their children. Postpartum MTCT was defined as children with an initial HIV positive result beyond 6 weeks of life who initiated breastfeeding if they had a first negative PCR result during the first 6 weeks of life or whose mother had an estimated date of infection after the child's birth. Cumulative incidence accounting for right-censoring was used to compare breastfeeding duration in HIV-exposed and unexposed children. Fine-Gray regression was used to assess factors associated with postpartum-MTCT. RESULTS: Among the 5000 mother-child pairs selected, 69.7% (3486/5000) were located and enrolled. Among those, 27.7% (967/3486) children were HIV-exposed, 62.2% (2169/3486) were HIV-unexposed and for 10.0% (350/3486) HIV-exposure was unknown. Median duration of breastfeeding was 13.0 (95%CI:12.0-14.0) and 20.0 (95%CI:19.0-20.0) months among HIV-exposed and HIV-unexposed children, respectively (p<0.001). Of the 967 HIV-exposed children, 5.3% (51/967) were HIV-positive at the time of the survey. We estimated that 27.5% (14/51) of the MTCT occurred during pregnancy and delivery, 49.0% (2551) postpartum-MTCT and the period of MTCT remained unknown for 23.5% (12/51) of children. In multivariable analysis, mothers' ART initiation after the date of childbirth was associated (aSHR:9.39 [95%CI:1.75-50.31], p = 0.001), however breastfeeding duration was not associated with postpartum-MTCT (aSHR:0.99 [95%CI:0.96-1.03], p = 0.707). CONCLUSION: The risk for postpartum MTCT was nearly tenfold higher in women newly diagnosed and/or initiating ART postpartum. This highlights the importance of sustained HIV screening and prompt ART initiation in postpartum women in Sub-Saharan African countries. Under conditions where HIV-exposed infants born to mothers on ART receive adequate PMTCT, extending breastfeeding duration may be recommended.

Optimizing the World Health Organization algorithm for HIV vertical transmission risk assessment by adding maternal self-reported antiretroviral therapy adherence.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) risk assessment algorithm for vertical transmission of HIV (VT) assumes the availability of maternal viral load (VL) result at delivery and early viral control 4 weeks after initiating antiretroviral treatment (ART). However, in many low-and-middle-income countries, VL is often unavailable and mothers' ART adherence may be suboptimal. We evaluate the inclusion of the mothers' self-reported adherence into the established WHO-algorithm to identify infants eligible for enhanced post-natal prophylaxis when mothers' VL result is not available at delivery. METHODS: We used data from infants with perinatal HIV infection and their mothers enrolled from May-2018 to May-2020 in Mozambique, South Africa, and Mali. We retrospectively compared the performance of the WHO-algorithm with a modified algorithm which included mothers' adherence as an additional factor. Infants were considered at high risk if born from mothers without a VL result in the 4 weeks before delivery and with adherence <90%. RESULTS: At delivery, 143/184(78%) women with HIV knew their status and were on ART. Only 17(12%) obtained a VL result within 4 weeks before delivery, and 13/17(76%) of them had VL ≥1000 copies/ml. From 126 women on ART without a recent VL result, 99(79%) had been on ART for over 4 weeks. 45/99(45%) women reported suboptimal (< 90%) adherence. A total of 81/184(44%) infants were classified as high risk of VT as per the WHO-algorithm. The modified algorithm including self-adherence disclosure identified 126/184(68%) high risk infants. CONCLUSIONS: In the absence of a VL result, mothers' self-reported adherence at delivery increases the number of identified infants eligible to receive enhanced post-natal prophylaxis.