Volume of Pancreas-Adjacent Operations Favorably Influences Pancreaticoduodenectomy Outcomes at Lower Volume Pancreas Centers.

OBJECTIVE: This study assesses how the volume of pancreatic-adjacent operations (PAO) impacts the outcomes of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: It is well-established that regionalization benefits outcomes after PD. However, due to a multitude of factors, including geographic, financial, and personal, not all patients receive their care at high-volume pancreas surgery centers. METHODS: The National Cancer Database was queried for pancreatic cancer patients who underwent PD. Hospital volume was calculated for PD and PAO (defined as gastric, hepatic, complex biliary, or pancreatic operations other than PD) and dichotomized as low- and high-volume centers based on the median. Three study cohorts were created: low-volume hospitals (LVH) for both PD and PAO, mixed-volume hospital (MVH) with low-volume PD but high-volume PAO, and high-volume PD hospital (HVH). RESULTS: In total, 24,572 patients were identified, with 41.5%, 7.2%, and 51.3% patients treated at LVH, MVH, and HVH, respectively. Thirty-day mortality for PD was 5.6% in LVH, 3.2% in MVH, and 2.5% in HVH. On multivariable analyses, LVH was predictive for higher 30-day mortality compared to HVH [odds ratio (OR) 2.068; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.770-2.418; P< 0.0001]. However, patients at MVH demonstrated similar 30-day mortality to patients treated at HVH (OR 1.258; 95% CI 0.942-1.680; P = 0.1203). CONCLUSIONS: PD outcomes at low-volume centers that have experience with complex cancer operations near the pancreas are similar to PD outcomes at hospitals with high PD volume. MVH provides a model for PD outcomes to improve quality and access for patients who cannot, or choose not to, receive their care at high-volume centers.

Machine Learning Prediction of Liver Allograft Utilization From Deceased Organ Donors Using the National Donor Management Goals Registry.

Early prediction of whether a liver allograft will be utilized for transplantation may allow better resource deployment during donor management and improve organ allocation. The national donor management goals (DMG) registry contains critical care data collected during donor management. We developed a machine learning model to predict transplantation of a liver graft based on data from the DMG registry. METHODS: Several machine learning classifiers were trained to predict transplantation of a liver graft. We utilized 127 variables available in the DMG dataset. We included data from potential deceased organ donors between April 2012 and January 2019. The outcome was defined as liver recovery for transplantation in the operating room. The prediction was made based on data available 12-18 h after the time of authorization for transplantation. The data were randomly separated into training (60%), validation (20%), and test sets (20%). We compared the performance of our models to the Liver Discard Risk Index. RESULTS: Of 13 629 donors in the dataset, 9255 (68%) livers were recovered and transplanted, 1519 recovered but used for research or discarded, 2855 were not recovered. The optimized gradient boosting machine classifier achieved an area under the curve of the receiver operator characteristic of 0.84 on the test set, outperforming all other classifiers. CONCLUSIONS: This model predicts successful liver recovery for transplantation in the operating room, using data available early during donor management. It performs favorably when compared to existing models. It may provide real-time decision support during organ donor management and transplant logistics.

Measuring Medical Students' Preparedness and Skills to Provide Cross-Cultural Care.

Purpose: Cross-cultural education is an integral and required part of undergraduate medical curricula. However, the teaching of cross-cultural care varies widely and methods of evaluation are lacking. We sought to better understand medical students' perspectives on their own cultural competency across the 4-year curriculum using a validated survey instrument. Methods:We conducted an annual Internet-based survey at Harvard Medical School with students in all 4 years of training, for four consecutive years. We used a tool previously validated with residents and slightly modified it for medical students, assessing their (1) preparedness, (2) skillfulness, and (3) perspectives on the educational curriculum and learning climate. Results: Of 2592 possible survey responses, we received 1561 (60% response rate). Fourth-year students had significantly higher scores than first-year students (p<0.001) for all but one preparedness item (caring for transgender patients) and all but one skillfulness item (identifying ability to read/write English). Less than 50% of students felt adequately prepared/skilled by their fourth year on 8 of 11 preparedness items and 5 of 10 skillfulness items. Lack of practical experience caring for diverse patients was the most frequently cited challenge. Conclusions: While students reported that preparedness and skillfulness to care for culturally diverse patients seem to increase with training, fourth-year students still felt inadequately prepared and skilled in many important aspects of cross-cultural care. Medical schools can use this tool with students to self-assess cultural competency and to help guide enhancements to their curricula focusing on cross-cultural care.

Cost-effectiveness of Bariatric Surgery in Adolescents With Obesity.

Importance: Severe obesity affects 4% to 6% of US youth and is increasing in prevalence. Bariatric surgery for the treatment of adolescents with severe obesity is becoming more common, but data on cost-effectiveness are limited. Objective: To assess the cost-effectiveness of bariatric surgery for adolescents with obesity using recently published results from the Teen-Longitudinal Assessment of Bariatric Surgery study. Design, Setting, and Patients: A state-transition model was constructed to compare 2 strategies: no surgery and bariatric surgery. In the no surgery strategy, patients remained at their initial body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) over time. In the bariatric surgery strategy, patients were subjected to risks of perioperative mortality and complications as well as initial morbidity but also experienced longer-term quality-of-life improvements associated with weight loss. Cohort demographic information-of the 228 patients included, the mean (SD) age was 17 (1.6) years, the mean (range) body mass index was 53 (34-88), and 171 (75.0%) were female-surgery-related outcomes, and base case time horizon (3 years) were based on data from the Teen-Longitudinal Assessment of Bariatric Surgery study. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. Main Outcomes and Measures: Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), total costs (in US dollars adjusted to 2015-year values using the Consumer Price Index), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). A willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000 per QALY was used to assess cost-effectiveness. Results: After 3 years, surgery led to a gain of 0.199 QALYs compared with no surgery at an incremental cost of $30 747, yielding an unfavorable ICER of $154 684 per QALY. When the clinical study results were extrapolated to 4 years, the ICER decreased to $114 078 per QALY and became cost-effective by 5 years with an ICER of $91 032 per QALY. Outcomes were robust in most 1-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Conclusions and Relevance: Bariatric surgery incurs substantial initial cost and morbidity. We found that surgery could be a cost-effective treatment for adolescents with severe obesity if assessed over a time horizon of 5 years. Our study underscores the need for long-term clinical trials in adolescents with at least 5 years of follow-up data that capture financial and quality-of-life end points.