Association of longitudinal pet ownership with wheezing in 3-year-old children using the distributed lag model: the Japan Environment and Children's Study.

BACKGROUND: Time-varying exposures like pet ownership pose challenges for identifying critical windows due to multicollinearity when modeled simultaneously. The Distributed Lag Model (DLM) estimates critical windows for time-varying exposures, which are mainly continuous variables. However, applying complex functions such as high-order splines and nonlinear functions within DLMs may not be suitable for situations with limited time points or binary exposure, such as in questionnaire surveys. OBJECTIVES: (1) We examined the estimation performance of a simple DLM with fractional polynomial function for time-varying binary exposures through simulation experiments. (2) We evaluated the impact of pet ownership on childhood wheezing onset and estimate critical windows. METHODS: (1) We compared logistic regression including time-varying exposure in separate models, in one model simultaneously, and using DLM. For evaluation, we employed bias, empirical standard error (EmpSE), and mean squared error (MSE). (2) The Japan Environment and Children's Study (JECS) is a prospective birth cohort study of approximately 100,000 parent-child pairs, registered across Japan from 2011 to 2014. We applied DLM to the JECS data up to age 3. The estimated odds ratios (OR) were considered to be within critical windows when they were significant at the 5% level. RESULTS: (1) DLM and the separate model exhibited lower bias compared to the simultaneously model. Additionally, both DLM and the simultaneously model demonstrated lower EmpSEs than the separate model. In all scenarios, DLM had lower MSEs than the other methods. Specifically, where critical windows is clearly present and exposure correlation is high, DLM showed MSEs about 1/2 to 1/200 of those of other models. (2) Application of DLM to the JECS data showed that, unlike other models, a significant exposure effect was observed only between the ages of 0 and 6 months. During that periods, the highest ORs were 1.07 (95% confidence interval, 1.01 to 1.14) , observed between the ages of 2 and 5 months. CONCLUSIONS: (1) A simple DLM improves the accuracy of exposure effect and critical windows estimation. (2) 0-6 months may be the critical windows for the effect of pet ownership on the wheezing onset at 3 years.

Handling of outcome missing data dependent on measured or unmeasured background factors in micro-randomized trial: Simulation and application study.

Background: Micro-randomized trials (MRTs) enhance the effects of mHealth by determining the optimal components, timings, and frequency of interventions. Appropriate handling of missing values is crucial in clinical research; however, it remains insufficiently explored in the context of MRTs. Our study aimed to investigate appropriate methods for missing data in simple MRTs with uniform intervention randomization and no time-dependent covariates. We focused on outcome missing data depending on the participants' background factors. Methods: We evaluated the performance of the available data analysis (AD) and the multiple imputation in generalized estimating equations (GEE) and random effects model (RE) through simulations. The scenarios were examined based on the presence of unmeasured background factors and the presence of interaction effects. We conducted the regression and propensity score methods as multiple imputation. These missing data handling methods were also applied to actual MRT data. Results: Without the interaction effect, AD was biased for GEE, but there was almost no bias for RE. With the interaction effect, estimates were biased for both. For multiple imputation, regression methods estimated without bias when the imputation models were correct, but bias occurred when the models were incorrect. However, this bias was reduced by including the random effects in the imputation model. In the propensity score method, bias occurred even when the missing probability model was correct. Conclusions: Without the interaction effect, AD of RE was preferable. When employing GEE or anticipating interactions, we recommend the multiple imputation, especially with regression methods, including individual-level random effects.

Multidimensional analysis of schoolteachers' occupational stress by the New Brief Job Stress Questionnaire: focusing on gender differences.

This study investigated teachers' occupational stress using a comprehensive job stress questionnaire, or the New Brief Job Stress Questionnaire, while considering gender differences. A total of 1,825 elementary and junior high school teachers participated in the study. The results revealed that female teachers significantly exhibited more psychological and physical stress reactions and perceived less job resource availability than did male teachers. Moreover, multiple regression analyses demonstrated that support from family and friends was a larger factor associated with mental health outcomes among female teachers than among male teachers. The impacts of marital status also differed between male and female teachers. Job demands were strongly associated with psychological and physical stress reactions among teachers. Meanwhile, job resources were more strongly associated with positive workplace outcomes, such as workplace engagement and social capital, than were job demands. Administrators should consider the distinctive nature of teachers' occupational stress in addition to its gender specific influence. Organizational support, such as securing teachers' autonomy, encouraging their career development, and acknowledging diversity, should be considered to foster teachers' work engagement and create a cohesive environment in the school workplace.

Modification Effects of Albuminuria on the Association Between Kidney Function and Development of Anemia in Diabetes.

CONTEXT: Previous studies failed to adjust for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in evaluating the association between albuminuria and anemia development, and we aimed to investigate whether albuminuria independently affects anemia development. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study and retrospectively identified adults with diabetes from a Japanese nationwide clinical database (JMDC, Tokyo, Japan). To assess the modification effects of albuminuria on the association between eGFR and anemia development, we estimated prevalence of anemia, defined as hemoglobin < 13 g/dL in men and < 12 g/dL in women, using a modified Poisson regression and marginal standardization form of predictive margins, stratified by albuminuria severity after adjusting for eGFR. Hence, we revealed at which eGFR level this modification effect appeared and the extent to which this modification effect increased the prevalence of anemia. RESULTS: We identified 327 999 data points from 48 056 individuals [normoalbuminuria: 186 472 (56.9%), microalbuminuria: 107 170 (32.7%), and macroalbuminuria: 34 357 (10.5%)]. As eGFR declined, anemia prevalence increased. Albuminuria severity modified this association induced by decreased eGFR among individuals with eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 after adjusting for multivariable factors, including age, sex, comorbidities, and medication use. Compared with the normoalbuminuric group, the macroalbuminuric group had a 5% to 20% higher anemia prevalence among individuals with eGFR of <30 mL/min/1.73 m2. CONCLUSION: We revealed that the severity of albuminuria modified the association between eGFR and anemia development among individuals with eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, highlighting the modification effect of albuminuria on the association between kidney function and anemia development in diabetes.

Correlation of multiple endpoints in the first-line chemotherapy of advanced gastric cancer: Pooled analysis of individual patient data from Japanese Phase III trials.

BACKGROUND: Individual-level surrogates are important for management in patients treated for advanced gastric cancer (AGC). This study aimed to comprehensively investigate the correlation of multiple clinical endpoints in the first-line chemotherapy of AGC. METHODS: Individual patient data (IPD) were collected from four Japanese Phase III trials comparing S-1-based first-line chemotherapies (SPIRITS, START, GC0301/TOP-002, and G-SOX trials). Patients without Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST)-based radiological assessments were excluded. Spearman's rank correlation coefficient was tested for correlation among overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and postprogression survival (PPS). OS, PFS, and PPS were compared between responders (best response: complete response or partial response) and nonresponders (best response: stable disease or progressive disease). RESULTS: The study included a total of 1492 patients. Eighty percent of the patients (n = 1190) received subsequent chemotherapies after the failure of each trial's treatment protocol. PFS moderately correlated with OS (Spearman correlation coefficient = 0.66, p < 0.005), whereas the correlation between PPS and OS was strong (Spearman correlation coefficient = 0.87, p < 0.005). Responders had significantly longer OS (median, 17.7 vs. 9.1 months, p < 0.005), PFS (median, 6.9 vs. 2.8 months, p < 0.005), and PPS (median, 10.5 vs. 6.0 months, p < 0.005) than nonresponders. CONCLUSIONS: Our results reacknowledged the mild surrogacy of PFS and importance of postprogression treatments in patients with AGC receiving first-line chemotherapy. Consistent longer survival outcomes in better RECIST categories suggested that tumor response might be a useful individual-level surrogate.

Short-term outcomes of a prospective multicenter phase II trial of total neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer in Japan (ENSEMBLE-1).

Aim: To evaluate the feasibility and safety of total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) in Japan. Methods: This prospective, multicenter, open-label, single-arm phase II trial was conducted at five institutions. The key eligibility criteria were age ≥ 20 years, LARC within 12 cm from the anal verge, and cT3-4N0M0 or TanyN+M0 at the time of diagnosis that enabled curative resection. Preoperative short-course radiation therapy (SCRT) 5 Gy × 5 days (total 25 Gy) + CAPOX (six courses) followed by total mesorectum excision (TME) was the treatment protocol. Non-operative management (NOM) was allowed if clinical complete response (cCR) was obtained in the preoperative evaluation. The primary endpoint was the pathological complete response (pCR) rate. Results: Thirty patients (male, n = 26; female, n = 4; median age, 62.5 [44-74] years; cT [T2, n = 1; T3, n = 25; T4, n = 4]; cN [N0, n = 13; N1, n = 13; N2, n = 4]) were enrolled. The final analysis included 30 patients in total. The completion rates were 100% for SCRT and 83% for CAPOX. TME and NOM were performed in 20 and seven patients, respectively. pCR was observed in six patients (30% [95% CI 14.0%-50.8%]). The primary endpoint was met. pCR+cCR was observed in 13 (43.3%) patients. There were no treatment-related deaths. Grade ≥3 (CTCAE ver. 5.0) adverse events (≥20%), including diarrhea (23.3%) and neutropenia (23.3%). The median follow-up period was 15.6 (10.5-22.8) months, with no recurrence or regrowth in NOM. Conclusions: ENSEMBLE-1 demonstrated satisfactory pCR and cCR, and well-tolerated safety of TNT for patients with LARC in Japan.

Real-world experience with 5-aminolevulinic acid for photodynamic diagnosis of bladder cancer (3rd report): Cost impact of transurethral resection of bladder tumor in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Photodynamic diagnosis-assisted transurethral resection of bladder tumor (PDD-TURBT) showed improvement of diagnostic accuracy and treatment efficacy compared to white light TURBT (WL-TURBT). While PDD-TURBT is highly effective, PDD-TURBT requires the use of PDD device and light-sensitive substance precursor, which increases the medical cost compared to WL-TURBT. In this study, the impact on health care economic costs were examined between PDD-TURBT and WL-TURBT. METHODS: Of the total 265 patients, 88 patients for WL-TURBT and 105 patients for PDD-TURBT were available for analysis. Costs were also examined between 34 patients without false-positives and 36 patients with false-positives with a follow-up period of at least 200 days. To compare costs between the two treatments, we calculated the cost/person/year of TURBT using Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination and Per-Diem Payment System (DPC/PDPS). RESULTS: The total number of surgeries including the first TURBT was 135 (47 recurrences) in the WL-TURBT group and 133 (28 recurrences) in the PDD-TURBT group. The cost per person for hospitalization and surgery was 366,310 Japanese yen (JPY) for the WL-TURBT and 501,930 JPY for the PDD-TURBT. The cost per person per year was 491,622 JPY in the WL-TURBT group and 506,405 JPY in the PDD-TURBT group. Regarding false-positives, the cost per person per year was 494,544 JPY in the group without false-positives and 328,086 JPY in the group with false-positives. CONCLUSIONS: Although PDD-TURBT is cost more than WL-TURBT for one surgical hospitalization, the cost per person per year for PDD-TURBT and WL-TURBT is cost-neutral.

The net benefit for time-to-event outcome in oncology clinical trials with treatment switching.

BACKGROUND: The net benefit is an effect measure for any type of endpoint, including the time-to-event outcome, and can provide intuitive and clinically meaningful interpretation. It is defined as the probability of a randomly selected subject from the experimental arm surviving by at least a clinically relevant time longer than a randomly selected subject from the control arm. In oncology clinical trials, an intercurrent event such as treatment switching is common, which potentially causes informative censoring; nevertheless, conventional methods for the net benefit are not able to deal with it. In this study, we proposed a new estimator using the inverse probability of censoring weighting (IPCW) method and illustrated an oncology clinical trial with treatment switching (the SHIVA study) to apply the proposed method under the estimand framework. METHODS: The net benefit can be estimated using the survival functions of each treatment group. The proposed estimator was based on the survival functions estimated by the inverse probability of the censoring weighting method that can handle covariate-dependent censoring. The simulation study was undertaken to evaluate the operating characteristics of the proposed estimator under several scenarios; we varied the shapes of the survival curves, treatment effect, covariates effect on censoring, proportion of the censoring, threshold of the net benefit, and sample size. We also applied conventional methods (the scoring rules by Péron or Gehan) and the proposed method to the SHIVA study. RESULTS: Our simulation study showed that the proposed estimator provided less biased results under the covariate-dependent censoring than existing estimators. When applying the proposed method to the SHIVA study, we were able to estimate the net benefit by incorporating the information of the covariates with different estimand strategies to address the intercurrent event of the treatment switching. However, the estimates of the proposed method and those of the aforementioned conventional methods were similar under the hypothetical strategy. CONCLUSIONS: We proposed a new estimator of the net benefit that can include covariates to account for the possibly informative censoring. We also provided an illustrative analysis of the proposed method for the oncology clinical trial with treatment switching using the estimand framework. Our proposed new estimator is suitable for handling the intercurrent events that can potentially cause covariate-dependent censoring.

Glycemic Control, Renal Progression, and Use of Telemedicine Phone Consultations Among Japanese Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Reduced or delayed medical follow-ups have been reported during the COVID-19 pandemic, which may lead to worsening clinical outcomes for patients with diabetes. The Japanese government granted special permission for medical institutions to use telephone consultations and other remote communication modes during the COVID-19 pandemic. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate changes in the frequency of outpatient consultations, glycemic control, and renal function among patients with type 2 diabetes before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: This is a retrospective single-cohort study conducted in Tokyo, Japan, analyzing results for 3035 patients who visited the hospital regularly. We compared the frequency of outpatient consultations attended (both in person and via telemedicine phone consultation), glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus during the 6 months from April 2020 to September 2020 (ie, during the COVID-19 pandemic) with those during the same period of the previous year, 2019, using Wilcoxon signed rank tests. We conducted a multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify factors related to the changes in glycemic control and eGFR. We also compared the changes in HbA1c and eGFR from 2019 to 2020 among telemedicine users and telemedicine nonusers using difference-in-differences design. RESULTS: The overall median number of outpatient consultations attended decreased significantly from 3 (IQR 2-3) in 2019 to 2 (IQR 2-3) in 2020 (P<.001). Median HbA1c levels deteriorated, though not to a clinically significant degree (6.90%, IQR 6.47%-7.39% vs 6.95%, IQR 6.47%-7.40%; P<.001). The decline in median eGFR was greater during the year 2019-2020 compared to the year 2018-2019 (-0.9 vs -0.5 mL/min/1.73 m2; P=.01). Changes in HbA1c and eGFR did not differ between patients who used telemedicine phone consultations and those who did not. Age and HbA1c level before the pandemic were positive predictors of worsening glycemic control during the COVID-19 pandemic, whereas the number of outpatient consultations attended was identified as a negative predictor of worsening glycemic control during the pandemic. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in reduced attendance of outpatient consultations among patients with type 2 diabetes, and these patients also experienced deterioration in kidney function. Difference in consultation modality (in person or by phone) did not affect glycemic control and renal progression of the patients.

Feasibility and Safety of Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Resected Colorectal Cancer in Patients With Renal Insufficiency: A Pooled Analysis of Individual Patient Data from Five Japanese Large-scale Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND/AIM: The incidence of chemotherapy-related adverse events in colorectal cancer patients with renal insufficiency has been compared to patients with normal renal function in only a few studies. The purpose of this analysis was to verify the feasibility and safety of adjuvant chemotherapy for postoperative colorectal cancer patients with renal insufficiency. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adverse events and discontinuation of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with curatively resected locally advanced colorectal cancer were examined using a combined database of individual patient data obtained from five large-scale clinical trials (n=4,106). The renal function of patients was classified into Level (L) 1-2: ≥60 ml/min and L3-4: <60 ml/min. RESULTS: As Grade 3 adverse events, hematological toxicities, such as neutropenia and anemia, and gastrointestinal disorders, such as diarrhea and vomiting, were significantly more frequent in the L3-4 group. Moreover, the time-to-treatment discontinuation in the L3-4 group was higher (hazard ratio=1.21, p=0.0012). T factor, N factor, and creatinine clearance level were found to be independent risk factors for the discontinuation of adjuvant chemotherapy. In the subgroup analysis of FOLFOX, neutropenia and diarrhea were significantly common in the L3-4 group, but neurotoxicities were not different. There was no significant difference in the discontinuation of adjuvant FOLFOX. CONCLUSION: Adverse events of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with resected colorectal cancer were associated with renal insufficiencies. Since adverse events have the potential to shorten the duration of treatment, especially when using chemotherapy without oxaliplatin, careful management, including dose reduction, may be important in patients with renal insufficiency.

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy using tegafur/uracil, oral leucovorin, and irinotecan (TEGAFIRI) followed by oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy as total neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer: the study protocol for a phase II trial.

BACKGROUND: Total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) is a novel treatment strategy that is an alternative to preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). However, an optimal protocol for TNT has not yet been established. The present study will be an open-label, single-arm, single-center trial to develop a new protocol. METHODS: Thirty LARC patients at high risk of distant metastasis will receive CRT consisting of long-course radiation, concurrent with tegafur/uracil, oral leucovorin, irinotecan (TEGAFIRI), followed by mFOLFOX-6 or CAPOX before undergoing surgery. DISCUSSION: Since previous findings showed a high percentage of grade 3-4 adverse events with the TEGAFIRI regimen for CRT and TNT, the primary outcome of this study will be safety and feasibility. Our regimen for CRT consists of the biweekly administration of irinotecan for good patient compliance. The novel combination approach of this treatment may improve the long-term outcomes of LARC. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Japan Registry of Clinical Trials jRCTs031210660.

The clinical impacts of postoperative complications after colon cancer surgery for the clinical course of adjuvant treatment and survival.

AIM: We investigated whether or not postoperative complications (POCs) themselves have a negative survival impact or indirectly worsen the survival due to insufficient adjuvant chemotherapy in a pooled analysis of two large phase III studies performed in Japan PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study examined the patients who enrolled in 1304, phase III study comparing the efficacy of 6 and 12 months of capecitabine as adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III colon cancer patients and in 882, a phase III study to confirm the tolerability of oxaliplatin, fluorouracil, and l-leucovorin in Japanese stage II/III colon cancer patients. In our study, POCs were defined as the following major surgical complications: anastomotic leakage, pneumonia, bowel obstruction/ileus, surgical site infection, postoperative bleeding, urinary tract infection, and fistula. Patients were classified as those with POCs (C group) and those without POCs (NC group). RESULTS: A total of 2095 patients were examined in the present study. POCs were observed in 169 patients (8.1%). The overall survival (OS) rates at 5 years after surgery were 75.3% in the C group and 86.5% in the NC group (p = 0.0017). The hazard ratio of POCs for the OS in multivariate analysis was 1.70 (95% confidence interval, 1.19 to 2.45; p = 0.0040). The time to adjuvant treatment failure (TTF) of adjuvant chemotherapy was similar between the groups, being 68.6% in the C group and 67.1% in the NC group for the 6-month continuation rate of adjuvant chemotherapy. The dose reduction rate of adjuvant chemotherapy and adjuvant treatment suspension rate were also similar between the groups (C vs. NC groups: 45.0% vs. 48.7%, p = 0.3520; and 52.7% vs. 55.0%, p = 0.5522, respectively). CONCLUSION: POCs were associated with a poor prognosis but did not affect the intensity of adjuvant chemotherapy. These results suggested that POCs themselves negatively influence the survival.

Importance of TKI treatment duration in treatment-free remission of chronic myeloid leukemia: results of the D-FREE study.

Treatment-free remission (TFR) is a new goal for patients with chronic myeloid leukemia in chronic phase (CML-CP) with a sustained deep molecular response (DMR) to treatment with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). However, optimal conditions for successful TFR in patients treated with second-generation (2G)-TKIs are not fully defined. In this D-FREE study, treatment discontinuation was attempted in newly diagnosed CML-CP patients treated with the 2G-TKI dasatinib who achieved BCR-ABL1 levels of ≤ 0.0032% (MR4.5) on the international scale (BCR-ABL1IS) and maintained these levels for exactly 1 year. Of the 173 patients who received dasatinib induction therapy for up to 2 years, 123 completed and 60 (48.8%) reached MR 4.5. Among the first 21 patients who maintained MR4.5 for 1 year and discontinued dasatinib, 17 experienced molecular relapse defined as loss of major molecular response (BCR-ABL1IS > 0.1%) confirmed once, or loss of MR4 (BCR-ABL1IS > 0.01%) confirmed on 2 consecutive assessments. The estimated molecular relapse-free survival rate was 16.7% at 12 months. This study was prematurely terminated according to the protocol's safety monitoring criteria. The conclusion was that sustained DMR for just 1 year is insufficient for TFR in CML-CP patients receiving dasatinib for less than a total of 3 years of treatment.

Impact of correlations between prioritized outcomes on the net benefit and its estimate by generalized pairwise comparisons.

Benefit-risk balance is gaining interest in clinical trials. For the comprehensive assessment of benefits and risks, generalized pairwise comparisons are increasingly used to estimate the net benefit based on multiple prioritized outcomes. Although previous research has demonstrated that the correlations between the outcomes impact the net benefit and its estimate, the direction and magnitude of this impact remain unclear. In this study, we investigated the impact of correlations between two binary or Gaussian variables on the true net benefit values via theoretical and numerical analyses. We also explored the impact of correlations between survival and categorical variables on the net benefit estimates based on four existing methods (Gehan, Péron, Gehan with correction, and Péron with correction) in the presence of right censoring via simulation and application to actual oncology clinical trial data. Our theoretical and numerical analyses revealed that the true net benefit values were impacted by the correlations in various directions depending on the outcome distributions. With binary endpoints, this direction was governed by a simple rule with a threshold of 50% for a favorable outcome. Our simulation showed that the net benefit estimates based on Gehan's or Péron's scoring rule could be substantially biased in the presence of right censoring, and that the direction and magnitude of this bias were associated with the outcome correlations. The recently proposed correction method greatly reduced this bias, even in the presence of strong outcome correlations. The impact of correlations should be carefully considered when interpreting the net benefit and its estimate.

Clinical features and oncological outcomes of intestinal cancers associated with ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: Patients with longstanding inflammatory bowel disease are at high risk of developing intestinal cancers. In this study, we aimed to elucidate the differences between intestinal cancers associated with ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease. METHODS: Intestinal cancers in ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease patients treated between 1983 and 2020 at 43 Japanese institutions were retrospectively analyzed.. RESULTS: A total of 1505 intestinal cancers in 1189 ulcerative colitis and 316 Crohn's disease patients were studied. Almost all of ulcerative colitis-associated cancers (99%) were in the colon and rectum, whereas half of Crohn's disease-associated cancers (44%) were in the anus, with 11% in the small intestine. Ulcerative colitis-associated cancers were diagnosed more frequently by surveillance (67% vs. 25%, P < 0.0001) and at earlier stages (stages 0-1, 71% vs. 27%, P < 0.0001) compared with Crohn's disease-associated cancers. Colorectal cancers associated with Crohn's disease showed a significantly worse 5-year overall survival rate than those associated with ulcerative colitis (stage 2, 76% vs. 89%, P = 0.01, stage 3, 18% vs. 68%, P = 0.0009, and stage 4, 0% vs. 13%, P = 0.04). Surveillance correlated with earlier diagnoses for ulcerative colitis- and Crohn's disease-associated intestinal cancers, whereas shorter intervals between endoscopic examinations correlated with an earlier cancer diagnosis in ulcerative colitis patients but not in Crohn's disease patients. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical and oncological features of ulcerative colitis- and Crohn's disease-associated cancers were very different. Crohn's disease-associated cancers were diagnosed at more advanced stages and were detected less frequently by surveillance. Additionally, they showed a significantly poorer prognosis.

Identification of predictive factors interacting with heart rate reduction for potential beneficial clinical outcomes in chronic heart failure: A systematic literature review and meta-analysis.

Background: There is an absence of clinical evidence on what factors modify the effect of heart rate (HR)-reducing treatment on mortality and morbidity in symptomatic heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We performed a Bayesian meta-analysis and meta-regression to identify predictive factors that interact with HR-reducing therapy. Methods: A systematic review was performed to identify randomized placebo-controlled trials that enrolled symptomatic HFrEF patients. The primary objective was to evaluate how different predictive factors modify the efficacy of HR-reducing therapy on clinical outcomes. Secondary objectives included the evaluation of subgroups stratified by a HR reduction threshold of 10 bpm. Results: Data from 20 studies were synthesized and HR-reducing therapy was responsible for 16.7 %, 16.4 %, and 21.1 % risk reductions in all-cause mortality, cardiovascular (CV)-related mortality, and rehospitalization due to worsening HF (WHF), respectively. Empirical Bayes meta-regression showed that type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) significantly modified the efficacy of HR-reducing therapy on all-cause mortality (slope = 0.012 in log risk ratio (RR) per 1 %-unit [95 % credible interval (CrI) 0.004, 0.021]) and CV-related mortality (0.01 in log RR per 1 %-unit [95 % CrI 0.0003, 0.0200]). There were insufficient studies to perform a meta-regression when stratifying by a HR reduction threshold of 10 bpm; however, when including all studies, we observed a significant effect modification for rehospitalization due to WHF (p = 0.004). Conclusions: This meta-analysis focused on the central tenet of HR-reducing therapy and revealed that T2DM is a predictor of HR-reducing treatment effect on all-cause mortality and CV-related mortality in HFrEF patients.

Evaluating the feasibility of a remote-based training program supported by information and communications technology in the older adults living at home.

BACKGROUND: Exercise has been one of the key strategies for preventing frailty. While training programs for preventing frailty have been mainly developed in person, which have now become difficult to perform due to the coronavirus disease pandemic. It would be worthwhile to explore a feasibility of methods for a remote-based training with information and communications technology (ICT) in the pre-frail/robust older adults living at home. METHODS: We assessed the feasibility of a remote-based training with ICT device in terms of 1) a measurement accuracy and 2) whether it could be used for remote-based training of different intensities. To evaluate a measurement accuracy of the ICT device, we evaluated an inter-rater reliability between a true score and scores obtaining from the ICT device in 20 participants aged 65 years and older. Intraclass correlation was calculated. To evaluate a feasibility of remote-based training interventions of different intensities, we did a parallel, randomized, active controlled trial. Participants aged 65 years or older were randomly allocated to the two 3-month intervention programs with different intensity of exercise with the ICT (i.e., an Exercise-Intensive program and a Light-load exercise program). The primary outcome was 3-month scores of the 30-s chair-stand test (CS-30), which was compared between two groups using mixed models for repeated measures to account for within-person correlations. RESULTS: The ICT device showed a high intraclass correlation of over 0.99 for all outcomes including CS-30. Between Aug and Oct 2020, 70 participants (36 and 34 in the Exercise-Intensive and Light-load exercise programs, respectively) were randomized. After 3 months of intervention, CS-30 scores and other physical function improved in both groups. Difference in the 3-month CS-30 scores between two programs was found to be 0.08 (95% confidence interval: - 2.64, 2.79; p = 0.955), which was not statistically significant. No harmful incidents, such as falls, occurred in either group. CONCLUSION: We showed a remote-based training with ICT device in the older adults living at home was feasible. Further studies are warranted to determine what kind of remote exercise intervention programs is more effective for maintaining a physical performance and, beyond that, preventing frailty. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000041616 (05/09/2020) https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr/ctr.cgi?function=brows&action=brows&recptno=R000047504&type=summary&language=E.

Laparoscopic Colectomy: A Risk Factor for Postoperative Peritoneal Metastasis.

BACKGROUND: The oncologic outcomes are generally considered equivalent for both laparoscopic and open surgery. However, our previous single-center study found a greater risk of postoperative peritoneal metastasis (PM) after laparoscopic colectomy (LC) than after open colectomy (OC) in patients with pathological T4a (pT4a) colon cancer. This multicenter study aimed to clarify if the risk of PM was increased after LC. METHODS: This study used the multicenter database of the Japanese Study Group for Postoperative Follow-up of Colorectal Cancer, which included patients with colorectal cancer treated between 1997 and 2012 in 24 referral hospitals across Japan. The analysis included 17,323 patients with pathological stage I-III colon cancer, including 2380 patients with pT4a disease. The risk of PM was compared between the LC and OC groups. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of PM was significantly higher after LC in patients with pT4a colon cancer (13.0% vs. 7.7%; P = .001). Multivariable analyses showed LC was a significant risk factor for PM (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.78, P = .023), which was confirmed by propensity score analyses (HR: 1.36, 95% CI: 1.04-1.78, P = .024). CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated a significant increase in the risk of PM after LC than after OC.

Multicenter, single-arm, phase II study of the continuous use of panitumumab in combination with FOLFIRI after FOLFOX for RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer: Exploratory sequential examination of acquired mutations in circulating cell-free DNA.

This multicenter single-arm, phase II study evaluated the efficacy and safety of uninterrupted panitumumab usage combined with cytotoxic doublets for unresectable/metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Additionally, clinical value of the RAS/BRAF mutation status in circulating cell-free DNA (ccfDNA) was evaluated; this evaluation was measured independently of the protocol treatment. Eligible patients with RAS wild-type mCRC who had received the first-line panitumumab plus FOLFOX treatment were recruited and administered continuous panitumumab combined with FOLFIRI. Progression-free survival (PFS) at 6 months was the primary endpoint, with threshold and expected values of 35% and 50%, respectively. In total, 54 patients were enrolled between October 2017 and October 2019. The crude 6-month PFS rate was 37.0%, with a 4.8-month median PFS. The response rate and disease control rate were 16.7% and 50.0%, respectively. Notably, of the 54 participants, 17 showed RAS/BRAF mutations until the end of the protocol treatment and of the 22 patients with progressive disease as their best response, 10 possessed RAS/BRAF mutations in their plasma ccfDNA at baseline. The median PFS significantly differed among patients harboring tumors with BRAF and RAS mutations and those with wild-type tumors. In conclusion, our study failed to show the expected efficacy of the continuous panitumumab use in the second-line treatment. Liquid biopsy discriminated the duration of PFS according to the mutation status. The effectiveness of continuous treatment with panitumumab should be evaluated in patients with RAS/BRAF wild-type mCRC determined by liquid biopsy at the start of the second-line treatment.

Bayesian adaptive randomization design incorporating propensity score-matched historical controls.

Incorporating historical control data to augment the control arm in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) is one way of increasing their efficiency and feasibility when adequate RCTs cannot be conducted. In recent work, a Bayesian adaptive randomization design incorporating historical control data has been proposed to reduce sample size according to the amount of information that could be borrowed, assessed at interim assessment in respect to prior-data conflict. However, the approach does not distinguish between the two sources of prior-data conflict: (1) imbalance in measured covariates, and (2) imbalance in unmeasured covariates. In this paper, we propose an extension of the Bayesian adaptive randomization design to incorporate propensity score-matched historical controls. At interim assessment, historical controls similar to the concurrent controls in terms of measured covariates are selected using propensity score matching. Then, final sample size of the control arm is adjusted according to the extent of borrowing from the matched historical controls quantified by effective historical sample size. The conditional power prior approach and commensurate prior approach are adopted for designing the prior, and addressing prior-data conflict due to unmeasured covariate imbalance. Simulation results show that the proposed method yields reduced bias in treatment effect estimates, type I error at the nominal level, and reduced sample size while maintaining statistical power. Even when residual imbalance exists due to unmeasured covariates, the proposed method borrowed more information without risking substantially inflated type I error and bias, providing meaningful implications for use of historical controls to facilitate the conduct of adequate RCTs.