Factors associated with retention of mother-baby pairs in the elimination of mother-to-child transmission of HIV program in Kaberamaido district: A longitudinal analysis.

BACKGROUND: Retention along the elimination of Mother to Child Transmission (eMTCT) cascade in Uganda remains poor as only 62.7%-69.5% are followed up to 18months. The objective of this study was to determine the rates of retention of mother-baby pairs at two levels of the eMTCT cascade (12 and 18 months) and associated factors. METHODS: This was a longitudinal analysis of 368 mother-baby pairs who were enrolled into the eMTCT program in Kaberamaido district from January 2013 to December 2018. Data was extracted from early infant diagnosis (EID) and mothers' ART registers, entered into Microsoft Excel and then exported to Stata statistical software package version 14.0 for management and analysis. Descriptive statistics such as mean and frequencies were computed at univariate level. At the bivariate level, Cox proportional hazard regression was performed to assess the level of association between the primary outcome and each independent variable, while Cox proportional hazard regression model was built at multivariate level to determine the factors independently associated with retention of mother-baby pairs in the eMTCT program. RESULTS: Of the 368 mothers enrolled into the study, their average age was 29.7years (SD = 6.6). Nearly two-thirds of the mothers were married/cohabiting, (n = 232, 63.0%). The 368 mother baby pairs were observed for a total time of 6340 person months, with majority, 349 (94.8%, 95%CI = 92.0-96.7) still active in eMTCT care, while 19(5.2%, 95%CI = 3.3-8.0) were lost to follow up at 12months. At 18 months, 323 (87.8%, 95%CI = 84.0-90.8) were active in eMTCT program while 45(12.2%, 95 CI = 9.2-16.0) were lost to follow up. At bivariate level, marital status, health facility level of enrolment, mothers' ART treatment supporter, and mothers' ART enrolment time were significantly associated with survival/lost to follow up (LTFU) of mother-baby pairs along the eMTCT cascade. At multivariable level, the mothers' time of ART initiation was significantly associated with survival/lost to follow up (LTFU) of mother-baby pairs at along the eMTCT cascade, with mothers-baby pairs who were initiated during the antenatal/post-natal periods having higher hazards of LTFU compared to those who initiated ART before Antenatal period (before pregnancy), aHR = 4.37(95%CI, 1.62-11.76, P = 0.003). Mother-baby pairs who were enrolled into the eMTCT program after the implementation of HIV test and treat policy (year 2017 and 2018) had higher hazards of LTFU as compared to those enrolled before the implementation of test and treat policy in Uganda (year 2013-2016), aHR = 2.22(95% CI, 1.15-4.30, P = 0.017). All the other factors had no significant association with lost to follow up and cascade completion at multivariate level. CONCLUSION: There was high level of retention of mother-baby pairs in the eMTCT program in Kaberamaido at 12 months, but it was suboptimal at 18months. ART initiation during the antenatal and/or post-natal period was significantly associated with suboptimal retention of mother-baby pairs along the eMTCT cascade.

Interactions between climate and COVID-19.

In this Personal View, we explain the ways that climatic risks affect the transmission, perception, response, and lived experience of COVID-19. First, temperature, wind, and humidity influence the transmission of COVID-19 in ways not fully understood, although non-climatic factors appear more important than climatic factors in explaining disease transmission. Second, climatic extremes coinciding with COVID-19 have affected disease exposure, increased susceptibility of people to COVID-19, compromised emergency responses, and reduced health system resilience to multiple stresses. Third, long-term climate change and prepandemic vulnerabilities have increased COVID-19 risk for some populations (eg, marginalised communities). The ways climate and COVID-19 interact vary considerably between and within populations and regions, and are affected by dynamic and complex interactions with underlying socioeconomic, political, demographic, and cultural conditions. These conditions can lead to vulnerability, resilience, transformation, or collapse of health systems, communities, and livelihoods throughout varying timescales. It is important that COVID-19 response and recovery measures consider climatic risks, particularly in locations that are susceptible to climate extremes, through integrated planning that includes public health, disaster preparedness, emergency management, sustainable development, and humanitarian response.

Cholera epidemic amidst the COVID-19 pandemic in Moroto district, Uganda: Hurdles and opportunities for control.

INTRODUCTION: On 21st March 2020, the first COVID-19 case was detected in Uganda and a COVID-19 pandemic declared. On the same date, a nationwide lockdown was instituted in response to the pandemic. Subsequently, more cases were detected amongst the returning international travelers as the disease continued to spread across the country. On May 14th, 2020, a cholera epidemic was confirmed in Moroto district at a time when the district had registered several COVID-19 cases and was in lockdown. This study aimed to describe the cholera epidemic and response activities during the COVID-19 pandemic as well as the hurdles and opportunities for cholera control encountered during the response. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In a cross-sectional study design, we reviewed Moroto district's weekly epidemiological records on cholera and COVID-19 from April to July 2020. We obtained additional information through a review of the outbreak investigation and control reports. Data were analyzed and presented in frequencies, proportions, attack rates, case fatality rates, graphs, and maps. RESULTS: As of June 28th, 2020, 458 cases presenting with severe diarrhea and/or vomiting were line listed in Moroto district. The most affected age group was 15-30 years, 30.1% (138/458). The females, 59.0% [270/458], were the majority. The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) was 0.4% (2/458). Whereas home use of contaminated water following the vandalization of the only clean water source in Natapar Kocuc village, Moroto district, could have elicited the epidemic, implementing COVID-19 preventive and control measures presented some hurdles and opportunities for cholera control. The significant hurdles were observing the COVID-19 control measures such as social distancing, wearing of masks, and limited time in the community due to the need to observe curfew rules starting at 6.00 pm. The opportunities from COVID-19 measures complementary to cholera control measures included frequent hand washing, travel restrictions within the district & surrounding areas, and closure of markets. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 preventive and control measures such as social distancing, wearing of masks, and curfew rules may be a hurdle to cholera control whereas frequent hand washing, travel restrictions within the district & surrounding areas, and closure of markets may present opportunities for cholera control. Other settings experiencing concurrent cholera and COVID-19 outbreaks can borrow lessons from this study.

Evidence of person-to-person transmission of hepatitis E virus during a large outbreak in Northern Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Outbreaks of infection with hepatitis E virus (HEV) are frequently attributed to contaminated drinking water, even if direct evidence for this is lacking. METHODS: We conducted several epidemiologic investigations during a large HEV infection outbreak in Uganda. RESULTS: Of 10,535 residents, 3218 had HEV infection; of these, 2531 lived in households with >1 case. HEV was not detected in drinking water or zoonotic sources. Twenty-five percent of cases occurred > or = 8 weeks after onset of hepatitis in an index case in the household. Households with > or = 2 cases were more likely to have a member(s) who attended a funeral, had close contact with a jaundiced person, or washed hands in a common basin with others (P < .05 for all). CONCLUSIONS: A high attack rate in households, lack of a common source of infection, and poor hygienic practices in households with > or = 2 cases suggest person-to-person transmission of HEV during this outbreak.

Hepatitis E epidemic, Uganda.

In October 2007, an epidemic of hepatitis E was suspected in Kitgum District of northern Uganda where no previous epidemics had been documented. This outbreak has progressed to become one of the largest hepatitis E outbreaks in the world. By June 2009, the epidemic had caused illness in >10,196 persons and 160 deaths.

Isolation of genetically diverse Marburg viruses from Egyptian fruit bats.

In July and September 2007, miners working in Kitaka Cave, Uganda, were diagnosed with Marburg hemorrhagic fever. The likely source of infection in the cave was Egyptian fruit bats (Rousettus aegyptiacus) based on detection of Marburg virus RNA in 31/611 (5.1%) bats, virus-specific antibody in bat sera, and isolation of genetically diverse virus from bat tissues. The virus isolates were collected nine months apart, demonstrating long-term virus circulation. The bat colony was estimated to be over 100,000 animals using mark and re-capture methods, predicting the presence of over 5,000 virus-infected bats. The genetically diverse virus genome sequences from bats and miners closely matched. These data indicate common Egyptian fruit bats can represent a major natural reservoir and source of Marburg virus with potential for spillover into humans.

Newly discovered ebola virus associated with hemorrhagic fever outbreak in Uganda.

Over the past 30 years, Zaire and Sudan ebolaviruses have been responsible for large hemorrhagic fever (HF) outbreaks with case fatalities ranging from 53% to 90%, while a third species, Côte d'Ivoire ebolavirus, caused a single non-fatal HF case. In November 2007, HF cases were reported in Bundibugyo District, Western Uganda. Laboratory investigation of the initial 29 suspect-case blood specimens by classic methods (antigen capture, IgM and IgG ELISA) and a recently developed random-primed pyrosequencing approach quickly identified this to be an Ebola HF outbreak associated with a newly discovered ebolavirus species (Bundibugyo ebolavirus) distantly related to the Côte d'Ivoire ebolavirus found in western Africa. Due to the sequence divergence of this new virus relative to all previously recognized ebolaviruses, these findings have important implications for design of future diagnostic assays to monitor Ebola HF disease in humans and animals, and ongoing efforts to develop effective antivirals and vaccines.