Patient-level and system-level determinants of stroke fatality across 16 large hospitals in Ghana and Nigeria: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Every minute, six indigenous Africans develop new strokes. Patient-level and system-level contributors to early stroke fatality in this region are yet to be delineated. We aimed to identify and quantify the contributions of patient-level and system-level determinants of inpatient stroke fatality across 16 hospitals in Ghana and Nigeria. METHODS: The Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network (SIREN) is a multicentre study involving 16 sites in Ghana and Nigeria. Cases include adults (aged ≥18 years) with clinical and radiological evidence of an acute stroke. Data on stroke services and resources available at each study site were collected and analysed as system-level factors. A host of demographic and clinical variables of cases were analysed as patient-level factors. A mixed effect log-binomial model including both patient-level and system-level covariates was fitted. Results are presented as adjusted risk ratios (aRRs) with respective 95% CIs. FINDINGS: Overall, 814 (21·8%) of the 3739 patients admitted with stroke died as inpatients: 476 (18·1%) of 2635 with ischaemic stroke and 338 (30·6%) of 1104 with intracerebral haemorrhage. The variability in the odds of stroke fatality that could be attributed to the system-level factors across study sites assessed using model intracluster correlation coefficient was substantial at 7·3% (above a 5% threshold). Stroke units were available at only five of 16 centres. The aRRs of six patient-level factors associated with stroke fatality were: low vegetable consumption, 1·19 (95% CI 1·07-1·33); systolic blood pressure, 1·02 (1·01-1·04) for each 10 mm Hg rise; stroke lesion volume more than 30 cm3, 1·48 (1·22-1·79); National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, 1·20 (1·13-1·26) for each 5-unit rise; elevated intracranial pressure, 1·75 (1·31-2·33); and aspiration pneumonia, 1·79 (1·16-2·77). INTERPRETATION: Studies are needed to assess the efficacy of interventions targeting patient-level factors such as aspiration pneumonia in reducing acute stroke fatality in this region. Policy directives to improve stroke unit access are warranted. FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health. TRANSLATIONS: For the Twi, Yoruba and Hausa translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Carotid and Vertebral Atherosclerosis in West African Stroke Patients: Findings from the Stroke Investigative Research and Education Network.

Background: We evaluated the characteristics of carotid and vertebral atherosclerosis in indigenous West Africans with stroke. Methodology: Of the 3778stroke patients recruited between 01/2014 and 08/2017, 1070 (28.3%) received carotid and vertebral artery evaluation with B-mode Ultrasound. Carotid and vertebral intima-media thickness (IMT) using multiple site technique were measured bilaterally and plaque frequency was determined. Descriptive and comparative analyses between stroke types and vessels were carried out. Results: There were 809 (75.6%) patients with ischemic stroke. The prevalence of intima-media thickening in the study population was 84.0% (898/1070) [95% CI: 81.7-86.1], being higher in the ischemic stroke (688/809, 85.0%) [95% CI: 82.4-87.3] than in the hemorrhagic stroke group (211/261, 80.8%) [95% CI: 75.6-85.2]. Overall prevalence of plaques which was 26.1% [95% CI: 23.5-28.8], was found also to be higher in ischemic than hemorrhagic stroke (29.8%[95% CI: 26.7-33.0] vs. 14.6% [95% CI: 10.8-19.4], p < 0.05). The mean IMT (carotids: 2.01+1.33 mm; vertebrals: 0.96+0.54mm, p<0.001) and prevalence of plaques (carotids: 8.8%; vertebrals: 1.7%,p<0.001) were higher in carotid than vertebral arteries. Age, hypertension, level of formal education, history of smoking, average monthly income, and family histories of hypertension and stroke were associated with intima-media thickening in the carotids (all p< 0.05) in the ischemic stroke patients while family history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and level of formal education were independently associated with intima-media thickening in the carotids (all p< 0.05) in the hemorrhagic stroke patients. No CVRF showed an independent association with the presence of plaque in the carotid and vertebral arteries both stroke types. Conclusions: One off our stroke patients in our cohort had atherosclerotic plaques, with ischemic patients being twice as likely to have this burden compared to hemorrhagic patients, and carotid atherosclerosis being five times as frequent as vertebral atherosclerosis.

Unraveling the risk factors for spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage among West Africans.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize risk factors for spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) occurrence and severity among West Africans. METHODS: The Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network (SIREN) study is a multicenter case-control study involving 15 sites in Ghana and Nigeria. Patients were adults ≥18 years old with CT-confirmed sICH with age-, sex-, and ethnicity-matched stroke-free community controls. Standard instruments were used to assess vascular, lifestyle, and psychosocial factors. Factors associated with sICH and its severity were assessed using conditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and population-attributable risks (PARs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors. RESULTS: Of 2,944 adjudicated stroke cases, 854 were intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Mean age of patients with ICH was 54.7 ± 13.9 years, with a male preponderance (63.1%), and 77.3% were nonlobar. Etiologic subtypes of sICH included hypertension (80.9%), structural vascular anomalies (4.0%), cerebral amyloid angiopathy (0.7%), systemic illnesses (0.5%), medication-related (0.4%), and undetermined (13.7%). Eight factors independently associated with sICH occurrence by decreasing order of PAR with their adjusted OR (95% CI) were hypertension, 66.63 (20.78-213.72); dyslipidemia, 2.95 (1.84-4.74); meat consumption, 1.55 (1.01-2.38); family history of CVD, 2.22 (1.41-3.50); nonconsumption of green vegetables, 3.61 (2.07-6.31); diabetes mellitus, 2.11 (1.29-3.46); stress, 1.68 (1.03-2.77); and current tobacco use, 14.27 (2.09-97.47). Factors associated with severe sICH using an NIH Stroke Scale score >15 with adjusted OR (95% CI) were nonconsumption of leafy green vegetables, 2.03 (1.43-2.88); systolic blood pressure for each mm Hg rise, 1.01 (1.00-1.01); presence of midline shift, 1.54 (1.11-2.13); lobar ICH, 1.72 (1.16-2.55); and supratentorial bleeds, 2.17 (1.06-4.46). CONCLUSIONS: Population-level control of the dominant factors will substantially mitigate the burden of sICH in West Africa.