High-Density Lipoprotein Particle Concentration and Size Predict Incident Coronary Artery Disease Events in a Cohort With Type 1 Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: The cholesterol efflux capacity of high density lipoprotein (HDL) is negatively associated with cardiovascular risk. Small HDL particles account almost quantitatively for cholesterol efflux capacity, perhaps mediated through efflux of cholesterol and outer leaflet plasma membrane phospholipids by ABCA1 (ATP binding cassette subfamily A member 1). People with type 1 diabetes are at increased coronary artery disease (CAD) risk despite normal HDL-cholesterol concentrations. We therefore tested the hypothesis that small HDL particles (HDL-P)-rather than HDL-cholesterol-predict incident CAD in type 1 diabetes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Incident CAD (CAD death, myocardial infarction, or coronary revascularization) was determined in 550 individuals with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes. HDL-P was quantified by calibrated ion mobility analysis and cholesterol efflux capacity was quantified with validated assays. During a median follow-up of 26 years, 36.5% of the participants developed incident CAD, for an incidence density of 181.3 per 10 000 person-years. In multivariable Cox models, neither HDL-cholesterol nor apolipoprotein A1 concentration was significantly associated with CAD risk. In contrast, higher extra-small HDL-P concentrations were significantly associated with decreased CAD risk (hazard ratio [HR], 0.26 [95% CI, 0.14-0.50]). Weaker associations were observed for total HDL-P (HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.83-0.93]), small HDL (HR, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.68-1.02]), medium HDL (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.71-0.89]), and large HDL (HR, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.59-0.89]). Although cholesterol efflux capacity was negatively associated with incident CAD, this association was no longer significant after adjustment for total HDL-P. CONCLUSIONS: Lower concentrations of total HDL-P and HDL subpopulations were positively associated with incident CAD independently of HDL-cholesterol, apolipoprotein A1, and other common CVD risk factors. Extra-small HDL was a much stronger predictor of risk than the other HDLs. Our data are consistent with the proposal that extra-small HDL plays a critical role in cardioprotection in type 1 diabetes, mediated by macrophage cholesterol efflux by the ABCA1 pathway.

High-density lipoprotein metrics during midlife and future subclinical atherosclerosis in women: the SWAN HDL study.

OBJECTIVE: The clinical utility of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) in risk classification is limited, especially in midlife women. Novel metrics of HDL may better reflect this risk. We clustered a comprehensive profile of HDL metrics into favorable and unfavorable clusters and assessed how these two clusters are related to future subclinical atherosclerosis (carotid intima media thickness [cIMT], interadventitial diameter [IAD], and carotid plaque presence) in midlife women. METHODS: Four hundred sixty-one women (baseline age: 50.4 [2.7] years; 272 White, 137 Black, 52 Chinese) from the Study of Women's Health Across the Nation HDL ancillary study who had baseline measures of HDL cholesterol efflux capacity (HDL-CEC), lipid contents (HDL-phospholipids [HDL-PL] and HDL triglycerides [HDL-Tg]), and HDL particle (HDL-P) distribution and size, followed by carotid ultrasound (average 12.9 [SD: 2.6] years later), were included. Using latent cluster analysis, women were clustered into a favorable (high HDL-CEC, HDL-PL, large and medium HDL-P, less HDL-Tg and small HDL-P, larger size) or an unfavorable HDL cluster (low HDL-CEC, HDL-PL, large and medium HDL-P, more HDL-Tg, and small HDL-P, smaller size) and then linked to future subclinical atherosclerosis using linear or logistic regression. RESULTS: The favorable HDL cluster was associated with lower cIMT, IAD, and odds of carotid plaque presence. These associations were attenuated by body mass index, except in Chinese women where the association with cIMT persisted (0.72 [0.63, 0.83]). CONCLUSIONS: The association between favorable HDL clusters and a better postmenopausal subclinical atherosclerosis profile is largely explained by body mass index; however, racial/ethnic differences may exist.

An Epigenome-Wide Association Study of DNA Methylation and Proliferative Retinopathy over 28 Years in Type 1 Diabetes.

Purpose: To perform a prospective epigenome-wide association study of DNA methylation (DNAm) and 28-year proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) incidence in type 1 diabetes (T1D). Design: Prospective observational cohort study. Participants: The Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications (EDC) study of childhood-onset (< 17 years) T1D. Methods: Stereoscopic fundus photographs were taken in fields 1, 2, and 4 at baseline, 2, 4, 6, 8, 16, 23, and 28 years after DNAm measurements. The photos were graded using the modified Airlie House System. In those free of PDR at baseline (n = 265; mean T1D duration of 18 years at baseline), whole blood DNAm (EPIC array) at 683 597 CpGs was analyzed in Cox models for time to event. Associations between significant CpGs and clinical risk factors were assessed; genetic variants associated with DNAm were identified (methylation quantitative trait loci [meQTLs]). Mendelian randomization was used to examine evidence of causal associations between DNAm and PDR. Post hoc regional and functional analyses were performed. Main Outcome Measures: Proliferative diabetic retinopathy was defined as the first instance of a grade of ≥ 60 in at least 1 eye or pan-retinal photocoagulation for PDR. Follow-up time was calculated from the study visit at which DNAm data were available (baseline) until PDR incidence or censoring (December 31, 2018 or last follow-up). Results: PDR incidence was 53% over 28-years' follow-up. Greater DNAm of cg27512687 (KIF16B) was associated with reduced PDR incidence (P = 6.3 × 10-9; false discovery rate [FDR]: < 0.01); 113 cis-meQTLs (P < 5 × 10-8) were identified. Mendelian randomization analysis using the sentinel meQTL as the instrumental variable supported a potentially causal association between cg27512687 and PDR. Cg27512687 was also associated with lower pulse rate and albumin excretion rate and higher estimated glomerular filtration rate, but its association with PDR remained independently significant after adjustment for those factors. In regional analyses, DNAm of FUT4, FKBP1A, and RIN2 was also associated with PDR incidence. Conclusions: DNA methylation of KIF16B, FUT4, FKBP1A, and RIN2 was associated with PDR incidence, supporting roles for epigenetic regulation of iron clearance, developmental pathways, and autophagy in PDR pathogenesis. Further study of those loci may provide insight into novel targets for interventions to prevent or delay PDR in T1D. Financial Disclosures: Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Neuropathic Pain With and Without Diabetic Peripheral Neuropathy in Type 1 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) is common; however, the features and burden of neuropathic pain (NP) in type 1 diabetes (T1D) are poorly understood. We evaluated the incidence of first occurrence, annual prevalence, remission, and risk factors for NP during long-term follow-up of participants with T1D. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument (MNSI) was administered annually (1994-2020) for 1,324 participants in the Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications (EDIC) study. NP with clinical signs of DPN (NP DPN+) was defined according to self-reported NP plus an examination score >2, while NP without clinical signs of DPN (NP DPN-) was defined according to self-reported NP and an examination score ≤2. RESULTS: At EDIC year 1, median age for participants was 36 years (interquartile range 30, 41), diabetes duration 13 years (10, 18), and HbA1c 7.9% (7.2, 8.9). At year 26 (median diabetes duration 39 years), cumulative incidence of NP was 57%, regardless of concomitant clinical signs of DPN (36% NP DPN+ vs. 46% NP DPN-). NP prevalence was 20% at 26 years (11% NP DPN+ and 9% NP DPN-), suggesting frequent remission. Annualized remission rates were similar regardless of pain medication use. In addition to HbA1c, female sex was associated with NP DPN-. CONCLUSIONS: NP incidence in T1D was high and frequently occurred in the absence of clinical signs of neuropathy, as assessed with the MNSI. Pain remission was not explained by pain medication use. Effective clinical strategies for identification and management are needed.

Sex differences in the associations of HDL particle concentration and cholesterol efflux capacity with incident coronary artery disease in type 1 diabetes: The RETRO HDLc cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In type 1 diabetes, women lose their relative protection (compared to men) against coronary artery disease (CAD), while high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is less strongly associated with lower CAD risk in women. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess whether sex differences in the HDL particle concentration (HDL-P) and cholesterol efflux capacity (CEC) association with CAD may explain these findings. METHODS: HDL-P (calibrated differential ion mobility analysis) and total and ATP binding cassette transporter A1 (ABCA1)-specific CEC were quantified among 279 men and 271 women with type 1 diabetes (baseline mean age 27·8 years; diabetes duration, 19·6 years). Clinical CAD was defined as CAD death, myocardial infarction and/or coronary revascularization. RESULTS: Women had higher large HDL-P levels and marginally lower concentrations of small HDL-P and ABCA1-specific CEC than men. No sex differences were observed in extra-small HDL-P, medium HDL-P and total CEC. During a median follow-up of 26 years, 37·6 % of men and 35·8 % of women developed CAD (p = 0·72). In multivariable Cox models stratified by sex (pTotal HDL-P x sex interaction=0·01), HDL-P was negatively associated with CAD incidence in both sexes. However, associations were stronger in men, particularly for extra-small HDL-P (hazard ratio (HR)men=0·11, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 0·04-0·30; HRwomen=0·68, 95 % CI: 0·28-1·66; pinteraction=0·001). CEC did not independently predict CAD in either sex. CONCLUSION: Despite few absolute differences in HDL-P concentrations by sex, the HDL-P - CAD association was weaker in women, particularly for extra-small HDL-P, suggesting that HDL-P may be less efficient in providing atheroprotection in women and perhaps explaining the lack of a sex difference in CAD in type 1 diabetes.

Coronary Artery Calcium and Cognitive Decline in the Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study.

Background Our aim was to investigate the association of coronary artery calcium (CAC) with cognitive function in adults with impaired glucose tolerance or type 2 diabetes. Methods and Results The Diabetes Prevention Program was a randomized controlled trial comparing an intensive lifestyle intervention, metformin, or placebo for prevention of type 2 diabetes among patients with prediabetes. After 3 years, intensive lifestyle intervention and placebo were stopped, the metformin arm was unmasked, and participants continued in the DPPOS (Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study). Approximately 14 years after randomization (Y14), CAC (Agatston score) was assessed with computed tomography, and cognitive performance was assessed with the Spanish English Verbal Learning Test (SEVLT) and Digit Symbol Substitution Test. SEVLT and Digit Symbol Substitution Test were reassessed 5 years later (Y19) along with the Modified Mini-Mental State Exam. We examined cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between CAC and cognition among 1931 participants using linear and logistic regression. In unadjusted analyses, compared with no calcification, CAC score >300 was associated with decreased performance on all cognitive tests at Y14 in both sexes. Additionally, CAC >300 was associated with a greater 5-year decline in SEVLT Immediate Recall in both sexes and SEVLT Delayed Recall in women. After adjustment for demographic, genetic, metabolic, vascular, and behavioral covariates, CAC score >300 remained associated with greater decline in only SEVLT Delayed Recall in women. Conclusions In women with prediabetes or diabetes, CAC >300, compared with no calcification, was independently associated with greater decline in verbal memory. Registration information clinicaltrials.gov. Identifier: NCT00038727.

HDL Particle Concentration and Size Predict Incident Coronary Artery Disease Events in People with Type 1 Diabetes.

Background: Cholesterol efflux capacity (CEC) negatively correlates with cardiovascular disease risk. Small HDL particles account almost quantitively for CEC, perhaps mediated through efflux of outer leaflet plasma membrane phospholipids by ABCA1. People with type 1 diabetes (T1D) are at increased risk of coronary artery disease (CAD) despite normal levels of HDL-cholesterol (HDL-C). We therefore tested the hypotheses that small HDL particles (HDL-P)-rather than HDL-C levels-predict incident CAD in T1D. Methods: Incident CAD (CAD death, myocardial infarction, and/or coronary revascularization) was determined in a cohort of 550 participants with childhood-onset T1D. HDL-P was quantified by calibrated ion mobility analysis. CEC and phospholipid efflux were quantified with validated assays. Results: During a median follow-up of 26 years, 36.5% of the participants developed incident CAD. In multivariable Cox models, levels of HDL-C and apolipoprotein A-I (APOA1) did not predict CAD risk. In contrast, extra-small HDL particle levels strongly and negatively predicted risk (hazard ratio [HR]=0.25, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.13-0.49). An increased concentration of total HDL particles (T-HDL-P) (HR=0.87, CI=0.82-0.92) and three other HDL sizes were weaker predictors of risk: small HDL (HR=0.80, 0.65-0.98), medium HDL (HR=0.78, CI=0.70-0.87) and large HDL (HR=0.72, CI=0.59-0.89). Although CEC negatively associated with incident CAD, that association disappeared after the model was adjusted for T-HDL-P. Isolated small HDLs strongly promoted ABCA1-dependent efflux of membrane outer leaflet phospholipids. Conclusions: Low concentrations of T-HDL-P and all four sizes of HDL subpopulations predicted incident CAD independently of HDL-C, APOA1, and other common CVD risk factors. Extra-small HDL was a much stronger predictor of risk than the other HDLs. Our data are consistent with the proposal that small HDLs play a critical role in cardioprotection in T1D, which might be mediated by macrophage plasma membrane outer leaflet phospholipid export and cholesterol efflux by the ABCA1 pathway.

Low-density lipoprotein subclasses over the menopausal transition and risk of coronary calcification and carotid atherosclerosis: the SWAN Heart and HDL ancillary studies.

OBJECTIVE: Perimenopausal women experience a steep increase in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) that is related to a higher risk of carotid plaque later in life. Low-density lipoprotein subclasses have been linked to cardiovascular diseases beyond LDL-C, promising a better risk stratification. We aim to characterize changes in LDL subclasses and assess their associations with presence of coronary artery calcium (CAC score ≥10) and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) over the menopausal transition (MT) and by menopause stage. METHODS: Nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy LDL subclasses were measured for a maximum of five time points. Coronary artery calcification and cIMT were measured for a maximum of two time points. LOESS (locally weighted regression with scatter smoothing) plots, linear mixed-effects models, and generalized estimating equations were used for analyses. RESULTS: The study included 471 women (baseline: age, 50.2 ± 2.7 years; 79.0% premenopausal/early perimenopausal), of whom 221 had data on CAC or cIMT. Low-density lipoprotein subclasses increased over the MT, whereas intermediate density-lipoprotein particles declined. In adjusted models, higher total LDL particles (LDL-P) and apolipoprotein B were associated with greater CAC prevalence and greater cIMT. Although none of the associations were modified by menopause stage, higher LDL-C, apolipoprotein B, and total LDL-P were associated with greater cIMT during the perimenopause or postmenopause stages, whereas higher LDL-C and small LDL-P were associated with greater CAC prevalence, mainly during perimenopause. CONCLUSIONS: During the MT, women experience significant increases in LDL subclasses found to be related to greater cIMT levels and CAC prevalence. Whether these changes could better predict future risk of hard cardiovascular disease events beyond LDL-C remains a research question to address.

The T1D Index: Implications of Initial Results, Data Limitations, and Future Development.

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW: Current global information on incidence, prevalence, and mortality of type 1 diabetes (T1D) is limited, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. To address this gap in evidence, JDRF, Life for a Child, International Society for Pediatric and Adolescent Diabetes, and International Diabetes Federation have developed the T1D Index, which uses a Markov mathematical model, and machine learning and all available data to provide global estimates of the burden on T1D. This review assesses the methodology, limitations, current findings, and future directions of the Index. RECENT FINDINGS: Global prevalence was estimated at 8.4 million in 2021, with 1.5 million <20 years (y). T1D prevalence varied from 1.5 to 534 per 100,000, with T1D accounting for <0.1-17.8% of all diabetes in different countries. A total of 35,000 young people <25 y are estimated to have died at clinical onset of T1D from non-diagnosis. An estimated 435,000 people <25 y were receiving "minimal care." Health-adjusted life years (HALYs) lost for individuals diagnosed with T1D at age 10 y in 2021 ranged from 14 to 55 y. These results show that interventions to reduce deaths from non-diagnosis, and improve access to at least an intermediate care level, are needed to reduce projected life years lost. The results have significant uncertainties due to incomplete data across the required inputs. Obtaining recent incidence, prevalence, and mortality data, as well as addressing data quality issues, misdiagnoses, and the lack of adult data, is essential for maintaining and improving accuracy. The index will be updated regularly as new data become available.

DNA methylation and 28-year cardiovascular disease risk in type 1 diabetes: the Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications (EDC) cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The potential for DNA methylation (DNAm) as an early marker for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and how such an association might differ by glycemic exposure has not been examined in type 1 diabetes, a population at increased CVD risk. We thus performed a prospective epigenome-wide association study of blood leukocyte DNAm (EPIC array) and time to CVD incidence over 28 years in a childhood-onset (< 17 years) type 1 diabetes cohort, the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications (EDC) study (n = 368 with DNA and no CVD at baseline), both overall and separately by glycemic exposure, as measured by HbA1c at baseline (split at the median: < 8.9% and ≥ 8.9%). We also assessed whether DNAm-CVD associations were independent of established cardiometabolic risk factors, including body mass index, estimated glucose disposal rate, cholesterol, triglycerides, blood pressure, pulse rate, albumin excretion rate, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. RESULTS: CVD (first instance of CVD death, myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, ischemic ECG, angina, or stroke) developed in 172 participants (46.7%) over 28 years. Overall, in Cox regression models for time to CVD, none of the 683,597 CpGs examined reached significance at a false discovery rate (FDR) ≤ 0.05. In participants with HbA1c < 8.9% (n = 180), again none reached FDR ≤ 0.05, but three were associated at the a priori nominal significance level FDR ≤ 0.10: cg07147033 in MIB2, cg12324048 (intergenic, chromosome 3), and cg15883830 (intergenic, chromosome 1). In participants with HbA1c ≥ 8.9% (n = 188), two CpGs in loci involved in calcium channel activity were significantly associated with CVD (FDR ≤ 0.05): cg21823999 in GPM6A and cg23621817 in CHRNA9; four additional CpGs were nominally associated (FDR ≤ 0.10). In participants with HbA1c ≥ 8.9%, DNAm-CVD associations were only modestly attenuated after cardiometabolic risk factor adjustment, while attenuation was greater in those with HbA1c < 8.9%. No pathways were enriched in those with HbA1c < 8.9%, while pathways for calcium channel activity and integral component of synaptic membrane were significantly enriched in those with HbA1c ≥ 8.9%. CONCLUSIONS: These results provide novel evidence that DNAm at loci involved in calcium channel activity and development may contribute to long-term CVD risk beyond known risk factors in type 1 diabetes, particularly in individuals with greater glycemic exposure, warranting further study.

Effects of metformin and intensive lifestyle interventions on the incidence of kidney disease in adults in the DPP/DPPOS.

AIMS: We analyzed the incidence of kidney disease in the Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study (DPPOS) by originally randomized treatment group assignment: Intensive Lifestyle (ILS), Metformin (MET) or Placebo (PLB). METHODS: The current analyses used a time-to-event approach in which the primary outcome was kidney disease, ascertained as urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) ≥ 3.39 mg/mmol (30 mg/g) or eGFR <45 mL/min/1.73m2, with confirmation required at the next visit, or adjudicated end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). RESULTS: At a median of 21 years following randomization in DPP, diabetes development was reduced in both the ILS (HR 0.73 [95%CI = 0.62, 0.85]) and MET groups (HR 0.85 [0.73, 0.99]) compared to the PLB group. Although risk for developing the primary kidney disease outcome was higher among those with incident diabetes compared to those without (HR 1.81 [1.43, 2.30]), it did not differ by intervention groups (ILS vs. PLB 1.02 (0.81, 1.29); MET vs. PLB 1.08 (0.86, 1.35). There was a non-significant metformin by age interaction (p = 0.057), with metformin being beneficial for kidney disease in the younger but potentially harmful in the older participants. CONCLUSIONS: Development of kidney disease was increased in participants who developed diabetes but did not differ by original treatment group assignment. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATIONS: Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP) Clinical trial reg. no. NCT00004992 DPP Outcomes Study (DPPOS) Clinical trial reg. no. NCT0038727.

TXNIP DNA methylation is associated with glycemic control over 28 years in type 1 diabetes: findings from the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications (EDC) study.

INTRODUCTION: DNA methylation (DNAme) has been cross-sectionally associated with type 2 diabetes and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) in the general population. However, longitudinal data and data in type 1 diabetes are currently very limited. Thus, we performed an epigenome-wide association study (EWAS) in an observational type 1 diabetes cohort to identify loci with DNAme associated with concurrent and future HbA1cs, as well as other clinical risk factors, over 28 years. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Whole blood DNAme in 683 597 CpGs was analyzed in the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications study of childhood onset (<17 years) type 1 diabetes (n=411). An EWAS of DNAme beta values and concurrent HbA1c was performed using linear models adjusted for diabetes duration, sex, pack years of smoking, estimated cell type composition variables, and technical/batch covariates. A longitudinal EWAS of subsequent repeated HbA1c measures was performed using mixed models. We further identified methylation quantitative trait loci (meQTLs) for significant CpGs and conducted a Mendelian randomization. RESULTS: DNAme at cg19693031 (Chr 1, Thioredoxin-Interacting Protein (TXNIP)) and cg21534330 (Chr 17, Casein Kinase 1 Isoform Delta) was significantly inversely associated with concurrent HbA1c. In longitudinal analyses, hypomethylation of cg19693031 was associated with consistently higher HbA1c over 28 years, and with higher triglycerides, pulse rate, and albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR) independently of HbA1c. We further identified 34 meQTLs in SLC2A1/SLC2A1-AS1 significantly associated with cg19693031 DNAme. CONCLUSIONS: Our results extend prior findings that TXNIP hypomethylation relates to worse glycemic control in type 1 diabetes by demonstrating the association persists over the long term. Additionally, the associations with triglycerides, pulse rate, and ACR suggest TXNIP DNAme could play a role in vascular damage independent of HbA1c. These findings strengthen potential for interventions targeting TXNIP to improve glycemic control in type 1 diabetes through its role in SLC2A1/glucose transporter 1-mediated glucose regulation.

Early Midlife Cardiovascular Health Influences Future HDL Metrics in Women: The SWAN HDL Study.

Background Utility of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) in assessing the antiatherogenic properties of HDL may be limited in midlife women. Novel metrics of HDL function, lipid contents, and subclasses may better reflect the atheroprotective capacities of HDL, supporting the need to evaluate how cardiovascular health affects these metrics in women. We assessed the relationship of early midlife Life's Simple 7 (LS7) score and its health behavior components with future HDL function (HDL-cholesterol efflux capacity), HDL-phospholipid, HDL-triglyceride, HDL particles (HDL-P) and size, and the relationship between LS7 score and changes in HDL metrics over time. Methods and Results We analyzed 529 women (baseline age: 46.4 [2.6] years, 57% White) from the SWAN HDL (Study of Women's Health Across the Nation HDL) study who had baseline LS7 followed by future repeated HDL metrics. Multivariable linear mixed models were used. Higher LS7 score was associated with favorable future HDL profile (higher HDL-phospholipid, total HDL-P and large HDL-P, lower HDL-triglyceride, and larger overall HDL size). Ideal body mass index was associated with higher HDL-cholesterol efflux capacity, HDL-phospholipid, and large HDL-P, lower HDL-triglyceride and small HDL-P, and larger overall HDL size. Ideal physical activity was associated with higher HDL-phospholipid, and total, large, and medium HDL-P. Ideal smoking was associated with less HDL-triglycerides. Diet was not related to HDL metrics. Higher LS7 score and ideal body mass index were associated with slower progression of HDL size over time. Conclusions Novel HDL metrics may better reflect the clinical utility of HDL. Improving lifestyle at midlife, particularly maintaining ideal body mass index, is associated with better future HDL phenotype.

Global incidence, prevalence, and mortality of type 1 diabetes in 2021 with projection to 2040: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Accurate data on type 1 diabetes prevalence, incidence, associated mortality and life expectancy are crucial to inform public health policy, but these data are scarce. We therefore developed a model based on available data to estimate these values for 201 countries for the year 2021 and estimate the projected prevalent cases in 2040. METHODS: We fitted a discrete-time illness-death model (Markov model) to data on type 1 diabetes incidence and type 1 diabetes-associated mortality to produce type 1 diabetes prevalence, incidence, associated mortality and life expectancy in all countries. Type 1 diabetes incidence and mortality data were available from 97 and 37 countries respectively. Diagnosis rates were estimated using data from an expert survey. Mortality was modelled using random-forest regression of published type 1 diabetes mortality data, and life expectancy was calculated accordingly using life tables. Estimates were validated against observed prevalence data for 15 countries. We also estimated missing prevalence (the number of additional people who would be alive with type 1 diabetes if their mortality matched general population rates). FINDINGS: In 2021, there were about 8·4 (95% uncertainty interval 8·1-8·8) million individuals worldwide with type 1 diabetes: of these 1·5 million (18%) were younger than 20 years, 5·4 million (64%) were aged 20-59 years, and 1·6 million (19%) were aged 60 years or older. In that year there were 0·5 million new cases diagnosed (median age of onset 39 years), about 35 000 non-diagnosed individuals died within 12 months of symptomatic onset. One fifth (1·8 million) of individuals with type 1 diabetes were in low-income and lower-middle-income countries. Remaining life expectancy of a 10-year-old diagnosed with type 1 diabetes in 2021 ranged from a mean of 13 years in low-income countries to 65 years in high-income countries. Missing prevalent cases in 2021 were estimated at 3·7 million. In 2040, we predict an increase in prevalent cases to 13·5-17·4 million (60-107% higher than in 2021) with the largest relative increase versus 2021 in low-income and lower-middle-income countries. INTERPRETATION: The burden of type 1 diabetes in 2021 is vast and is expected to increase rapidly, especially in resource-limited countries. Most incident and prevalent cases are adults. The substantial missing prevalence highlights the premature mortality of type 1 diabetes and an opportunity to save and extend lives of people with type 1 diabetes. Our new model, which will be made publicly available as the Type 1 Diabetes Index model, will be an important tool to support health delivery, advocacy, and funding decisions for type 1 diabetes. FUNDING: JDRF International.

Associations of HDL subclasses and lipid content with complement proteins over the menopause transition: The SWAN HDL ancillary study: HDL and complement proteins in women.

BACKGROUND: The menopause transition (MT) could trigger low-grade chronic inflammation which may modify high-density lipoproteins (HDL) and lead to additional inflammatory responses contributing to atherosclerosis development. OBJECTIVE: To test whether complement proteins C3 and C4 increase around the final menstrual period (FMP), and whether changes in HDL subclasses and lipid content associate with C3 and C4 levels over time in midlife women. METHODS: The study included 471 women (at baseline: age 50.2(2.7) years; 87.3% pre or peri-menopausal) who had nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy HDL subclasses, lipid content, and C3 and C4 measured up to 5 times over the MT. RESULTS: Adjusted annual changes in C3 and C4 varied by time segments relative to FMP with significant increases, steeper for C3, only observed within 1 year before to 2 years after the FMP. Greater decreases in large HDL particles (HDL-P), HDL size, and HDL-phospholipids, and greater increases in small HDL-P and HDL-Triglycerides were associated with higher C3 and C4 over time, although associations with C4 were weaker than those with C3. CONCLUSION: Complement proteins C3 and C4 significantly rise around menopause with C3 showing the steepest rise. Changes in HDL subclasses, overall size, and lipid content, over the MT may play a role in modulating inflammation responses known to be related to atherosclerosis. These results raise the possibility that novel therapeutic agents focusing on HDL might contribute to CVD protection by modulating inflammation.

Long term risk of heart failure in individuals with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate the risk of heart failure in young adults with childhood-onset type 1 diabetes from the Pittsburgh Epidemiology of Diabetes Complications (EDC) Study. We also examined risk factors and microvascular disease burden associated with the incidence of heart failure. METHODS: Participants in the EDC study without known baseline heart failure (n = 655) were enrolled and then followed for 25 years. "Any" heart failure comprised the underlying cause of death, primary reason for hospitalization, EDC clinic examination findings or self-report of a physician diagnosis. "Hard" heart failure was determined only by the underlying cause of death or primary reason for hospitalization. Incidence rates for heart failure were estimated using Poisson models. Cox models were constructed to examine the associations between risk factors and microvascular disease burden with incident heart failure. RESULTS: The mean baseline age and diabetes duration were 27(8) years and 19 (8) years. Incidence for any and hard heart failure were 3.4 and 1.8/1000 person-years. Diabetes duration, ever smoking and triglycerides were significant risk factors of any heart failure; longer diabetes duration, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and higher white blood cell count significantly predicted hard heart failure. A gradient association was observed between the number of microvascular disease (from 0 to 3) and "hard" heart failure endpoint but not "any" clinically defined heart failure. CONCLUSION: Young adults with long-duration type 1 diabetes had a high risk of heart failure. As microvascular disease burden increases so does the risk of heart failure independently of diabetes duration, A1c and coronary artery disease.

Effects of Long-term Metformin and Lifestyle Interventions on Cardiovascular Events in the Diabetes Prevention Program and Its Outcome Study.

BACKGROUND: Lifestyle intervention and metformin have been shown to prevent diabetes; however, their efficacy in preventing cardiovascular disease associated with the development of diabetes is unclear. We examined whether these interventions reduced the incidence of major cardiovascular events over a 21-year median follow-up of participants in the DPP trial (Diabetes Prevention Program) and DPPOS (Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study). METHODS: During DPP, 3234 participants with impaired glucose tolerance were randomly assigned to metformin 850 mg twice daily, intensive lifestyle or placebo, and followed for 3 years. During the next 18-year average follow-up in DPPOS, all participants were offered a less intensive group lifestyle intervention, and unmasked metformin was continued in the metformin group. The primary outcome was the first occurrence of nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death adjudicated by standard criteria. An extended cardiovascular outcome included the primary outcome or hospitalization for heart failure or unstable angina, coronary or peripheral revascularization, coronary heart disease diagnosed by angiography, or silent myocardial infarction by ECG. ECGs and cardiovascular risk factors were measured annually. RESULTS: Neither metformin nor lifestyle intervention reduced the primary outcome: metformin versus placebo hazard ratio 1.03 (95% CI, 0.78-1.37; P = 0.81) and lifestyle versus placebo hazard ratio 1.14 (95% CI, 0.87-1.50; P = 0.34). Risk factor adjustment did not change these results. No effect of either intervention was seen on the extended cardiovascular outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Neither metformin nor lifestyle reduced major cardiovascular events in DPPOS over 21 years despite long-term prevention of diabetes. Provision of group lifestyle intervention to all, extensive out-of-study use of statin and antihypertensive agents, and reduction in the use of study metformin together with out-of-study metformin use over time may have diluted the effects of the interventions. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifiers: DPP (NCT00004992) and DPPOS (NCT00038727).

Urinary Proteomics Identifies Cathepsin D as a Biomarker of Rapid eGFR Decline in Type 1 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Understanding mechanisms underlying rapid estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline is important to predict and treat kidney disease in type 1 diabetes (T1D). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We performed a case-control study nested within four T1D cohorts to identify urinary proteins associated with rapid eGFR decline. Case and control subjects were categorized based on eGFR decline ≥3 and <1 mL/min/1.73 m2/year, respectively. We used targeted liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry to measure 38 peptides from 20 proteins implicated in diabetic kidney disease. Significant proteins were investigated in complementary human cohorts and in mouse proximal tubular epithelial cell cultures. RESULTS: The cohort study included 1,270 participants followed a median 8 years. In the discovery set, only cathepsin D peptide and protein were significant on full adjustment for clinical and laboratory variables. In the validation set, associations of cathepsin D with eGFR decline were replicated in minimally adjusted models but lost significance with adjustment for albuminuria. In a meta-analysis with combination of discovery and validation sets, the odds ratio for the association of cathepsin D with rapid eGFR decline was 1.29 per SD (95% CI 1.07-1.55). In complementary human cohorts, urine cathepsin D was associated with tubulointerstitial injury and tubulointerstitial cathepsin D expression was associated with increased cortical interstitial fractional volume. In mouse proximal tubular epithelial cell cultures, advanced glycation end product-BSA increased cathepsin D activity and inflammatory and tubular injury markers, which were further increased with cathepsin D siRNA. CONCLUSIONS: Urine cathepsin D is associated with rapid eGFR decline in T1D and reflects kidney tubulointerstitial injury.

Associations of Abdominal and Cardiovascular Adipose Tissue Depots With HDL Metrics in Midlife Women: the SWAN Study.

CONTEXT: The menopause transition is accompanied by declines in the atheroprotective features of high-density lipoprotein (HDL), which are linked to deleterious cardiovascular (CV) outcomes. OBJECTIVE: This work aimed to assess the relationship between abdominal and CV visceral adipose tissues (VAT) with future HDL metrics in midlife women, and the role of insulin resistance (IR) on these associations. METHODS: Temporal associations compared abdominal and CV fat with later measures of HDL metrics. This community-based cohort comprised 299 women, baseline mean age 51.1 years (SD: 2.8 years), 67% White, 33% Black, from the Study of Women's Health Across the Nation (SWAN) HDL ancillary study. Exposures included volumes of abdominal VAT, epicardial AT (EAT), paracardial AT (PAT), or perivascular AT (PVAT). Main outcomes included HDL cholesterol efflux capacity (HDL-CEC); HDL phospholipids (HDL-PL), triglycerides (HDL-Tgs), and cholesterol (HDL-C); apolipoprotein A-I (ApoA-I), and HDL particles (HDL-P) and size. RESULTS: In multivariable models, higher abdominal VAT was associated with lower HDL-CEC, HDL-PL, HDL-C, and large HDL-P and smaller HDL size. Higher PAT was associated with lower HDL-PL, HDL-C, and large HDL-P and smaller HDL size. Higher EAT was associated with higher small HDL-P. Higher PVAT volume was associated with lower HDL-CEC. The Homeostatic Model Assessment of Insulin Resistance partially mediated the associations between abdominal AT depots with HDL-CEC, HDL-C, large HDL-P, and HDL size; between PVAT with HDL-CEC; and PAT with HDL-C, large HDL-P, and HDL size. CONCLUSION: In midlife women, higher VAT volumes predict HDL metrics 2 years later in life, possibly linking them to future CV disease. Managing IR may preclude the unfavorable effect of visceral fat on HDL metrics.