Bariatric surgery and all-cause mortality: A methodological review of studies using a non-surgical comparator.

AIM: Non-randomized studies on bariatric surgery have reported large reductions in mortality within 6-12 months after surgery compared with non-surgical patients. It is unclear whether these findings are the result of bias. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We searched PubMed to identify all non-randomized studies investigating the effect of bariatric surgery on all-cause mortality compared with non-surgical patients. We assessed these studies for potential confounding and time-related biases. We conducted bias analyses to quantify the effect of these biases. RESULTS: We identified 21 cohort studies that met our inclusion criteria. Among those, 11 were affected by immortal time bias resulting from the misclassification or exclusion of relevant follow-up time. Five studies were subject to potential confounding bias because of a lack of adjustment for body mass index (BMI). All studies used an inadequate comparator group that lacked indications for bariatric surgery. Bias analyses to correct for potential confounding from BMI shifted the effect estimates towards the null [reported hazard ratio (HR): 0.78 vs. bias-adjusted HR: 0.92]. Bias analyses to correct for the presence of immortal time also shifted the effect estimates towards the null (adjustment for 2-year wait time: reported HR: 0.57 vs. bias-adjusted HR: 0.81). CONCLUSION: Several important sources of bias were identified in non-randomized studies of the effectiveness of bariatric surgery versus non-surgical comparators on mortality. Future studies should ensure that confounding by BMI is accounted for, considering the choice of the comparator group, and that the design or analysis avoids immortal time bias from the misclassification or exclusion.

Perinatal Outcomes Associated With Metformin Use During Pregnancy in Women With Pregestational Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

OBJECTIVE: We emulated a modified randomized trial (Metformin in Women With Type 2 Diabetes in Pregnancy [MiTy]) to compare the perinatal outcomes in women continuing versus discontinuing metformin during pregnancy among those with type 2 diabetes treated with metformin plus insulin before pregnancy. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This study used two health care claims databases (United States, 2000-2020). Pregnant women age 18-45 years with type 2 diabetes who were treated with metformin plus insulin at conception were eligible. The primary outcome was a composite of preterm birth, birth injury, neonatal respiratory distress, neonatal hypoglycemia, and neonatal intensive care unit admission. Secondary outcomes included the components of the primary composite outcome, gestational hypertension, preeclampsia, maternal hypoglycemia, cesarean delivery, infants large for gestational age, infants small for gestational age (SGA), sepsis, and hyperbilirubinemia. We adjusted for potential baseline confounders, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, and proxies for diabetes progression. RESULTS: Of 2,983 eligible patients, 72% discontinued use of metformin during pregnancy. The average age at conception was 32 years, and the prevalence of several comorbidities was higher among continuers. The risk of the composite outcome was 46% for continuers and 48% for discontinuers. The adjusted risk ratio was 0.92 (95% CI 0.81, 1.03). Risks were similar between treatments and consistent between databases for most secondary outcomes, except for SGA, which was elevated in continuers only in the commercially insured population. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings were consistent with those reported in the MiTy randomized trial. Continuing metformin during pregnancy was not associated with increased risk of a neonatal composite adverse outcome. However, a possible metformin-associated risk of SGA warrants further consideration.

SGLT-2 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, and DPP-4 inhibitors and risk of hyperkalemia among people with type 2 diabetes in clinical practice: population based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the comparative effectiveness of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists, and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors in preventing hyperkalemia in people with type 2 diabetes in routine clinical practice. DESIGN: Population based cohort study with active-comparator, new user design. SETTING: Claims data from Medicare and two large commercial insurance databases in the United States from April 2013 to April 2022. PARTICIPANTS: 1:1 propensity score matched adults with type 2 diabetes newly starting SGLT-2 inhibitors versus DPP-4 inhibitors (n=778 908), GLP-1 receptor agonists versus DPP-4 inhibitors (n=729 820), and SGLT-2 inhibitors versus GLP-1 receptor agonists (n=873 460). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hyperkalemia diagnosis in the inpatient or outpatient setting. Secondary outcomes were hyperkalemia defined as serum potassium levels ≥5.5 mmol/L and hyperkalemia diagnosis in the inpatient or emergency department setting. RESULTS: Starting SGLT-2 inhibitor treatment was associated with a lower rate of hyperkalemia than DPP-4 inhibitor treatment (hazard ratio 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73 to 0.78) and a slight reduction in rate compared with GLP-1 receptor agonists (0.92, 0.89 to 0.95). Use of GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with a lower rate of hyperkalemia than DPP-4 inhibitors (0.79, 0.77 to 0.82). The three year absolute risk was 2.4% (95% CI 2.1% to 2.7%) lower for SGLT-2 inhibitors than DPP-4 inhibitors (4.6% v 7.0%), 1.8% (1.4% to 2.1%) lower for GLP-1 receptor agonists than DPP-4 inhibitors (5.7% v 7.5%), and 1.2% (0.9% to 1.5%) lower for SGLT-2 inhibitors than GLP-1 receptor agonists (4.7% v 6.0%). Findings were consistent for the secondary outcomes and among subgroups defined by age, sex, race, medical conditions, other drug use, and hemoglobin A1c levels on the relative scale. Benefits for SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists on the absolute scale were largest for those with heart failure, chronic kidney disease, or those using mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists. Compared with DPP-4 inhibitors, the lower rate of hyperkalemia was consistently observed across individual agents in the SGLT-2 inhibitor (canagliflozin, dapagliflozin, empagliflozin) and GLP-1 receptor agonist (dulaglutide, exenatide, liraglutide, semaglutide) classes. CONCLUSIONS: In people with type 2 diabetes, SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists were associated with a lower risk of hyperkalemia than DPP-4 inhibitors in the overall population and across relevant subgroups. The consistency of associations among individual agents in the SGLT-2 inhibitor and GLP-1 receptor agonist classes suggests a class effect. These ancillary benefits of SGLT-2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists further support their use in people with type 2 diabetes, especially in those at risk of hyperkalemia.

Metformin Use in the First Trimester of Pregnancy and Risk for Nonlive Birth and Congenital Malformations: Emulating a Target Trial Using Real-World Data.

BACKGROUND: Metformin is a first-line pharmacotherapy for type 2 diabetes, but there is limited evidence about its safety in early pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the teratogenicity of metformin use in the first trimester of pregnancy. DESIGN: In an observational cohort of pregnant women with pregestational type 2 diabetes receiving metformin monotherapy before the last menstrual period (LMP), a target trial with 2 treatment strategies was emulated: insulin monotherapy (discontinue metformin treatment and initiate insulin within 90 days of LMP) or insulin plus metformin (continue metformin and initiate insulin within 90 days of LMP). SETTING: U.S. Medicaid health care administration database (2000 to 2018). PARTICIPANTS: 12 489 pregnant women who met the eligibility criteria. MEASUREMENTS: The risk and risk ratio of nonlive births, live births with congenital malformations, and congenital malformations among live births were estimated using standardization to adjust for covariates. RESULTS: A total of 850 women were in the insulin monotherapy group and 1557 in the insulin plus metformin group. The estimated risk for nonlive birth was 32.7% under insulin monotherapy (reference) and 34.3% under insulin plus metformin (risk ratio, 1.02 [95% CI, 1.01 to 1.04]). The estimated risk for live birth with congenital malformations was 8.0% (CI, 5.7% to 10.2%) under insulin monotherapy and 5.7% (CI, 4.5% to 7.3%) under insulin plus metformin (risk ratio, 0.72 [CI, 0.51 to 1.09]). LIMITATION: Possible residual confounding by glycemic control and body mass index. CONCLUSION: Compared with switching to insulin monotherapy, continuing metformin and adding insulin in early pregnancy resulted in little to no increased risk for nonlive birth among women receiving metformin before pregnancy. Under conventional statistical criteria, anything between a 49% decrease and a 9% increase in risk for congenital malformations was highly compatible with our data. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

Treatment modality for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and risk of shunt dependent hydrocephalus and mortality: population based study.

BACKGROUND: Hydrocephalus is a significant contributor to morbidity following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). We aimed to investigate the association between primary treatment modality and the incidence of hydrocephalus requiring CSF diversion, using a target trial approach for causal inference. METHODS: This cohort study used US administrative health claims data (Clinformatics Data Mart) and was conducted among aSAH patients undergoing primary treatment with either clipping or coiling, from January 1, 2004, to February 28, 2023. The primary outcome was hydrocephalus requiring CSF diversion surgery while the secondary outcome was mortality. Multivariable regression and 1:1 propensity score (PS) matching were used for confounder control. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 5816 patients (mean age 59 years; 72% women) undergoing clipping (n=1794) or coiling (n=4022) were included in the primary cohort. The 1:1 PS matched cohort had 1794 participants per arm. Clipping demonstrated higher hazards of shunt dependent hydrocephalus compared with coiling in both the multivariable Fine-Gray model (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.62) and the PS matched cohorts (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.66). Mortality analysis favored clipping in the crude analysis (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.88) but leaned toward coiling after confounder adjustment (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.29 in the multivariable model; HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.29 in the PS matched cohort). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that coiling is associated with reduced hazards of shunt dependent hydrocephalus following aSAH compared with clipping, and provide valuable insights for shared decision making among clinicians and patients, in the context of conflicting evidence from smaller observational studies.

Health Care Utilization and Costs Associated With Empagliflozin in Older Adults With Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: We compared health care resource utilization (HCRU) and costs for inpatient and outpatient services and dispensed medications in older adults with type 2 diabetes initiating empagliflozin versus dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4is). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The study population included U.S. Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries with diabetes (age ≥65 years) initiating empagliflozin or DPP-4is (August 2014 to September 2018). We estimated rate ratios (RRs) for HCRU outcomes using zero-inflated negative binomial regression and per-member per-year (PMPY) cost differences using generalized linear model with gamma distributions, overall and stratified by baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD), after adjusting for 143 baseline covariates using 1:1 propensity score matching. RESULTS: We identified 23,335 matched pairs (mean age 72 years, 51% with baseline CVD). HCRU rates were lower in empagliflozin versus DPP-4i initiators (number of inpatient days, RR 0.89 [95% CI 0.82, 0.97]; number of emergency department [ED] visits, 0.86 [0.82, 0.91]; number of hospitalizations, 0.86 [0.79, 0.93]; number of office visits, 0.96 [0.95, 0.98]). Inpatient cost (-$713 PMPY [95% CI -847, -579), outpatient cost (-$198 PMPY[-272, -124]), and total cost of care (-$1,109 PMPY [-1,478, -739]) were lower for empagliflozin versus DPP-4is, although diabetes medication cost was higher in empagliflozin initiators ($454 PMPY [95% CI 284, 567]). In the CVD subgroup, total cost was lower for empagliflozin initiators (-$2,005 PMPY [-2,451, -1,337]), while the difference was attenuated in the non-CVD subgroup (-$296 PMPY[-740, 148]). CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults with diabetes, empagliflozin was associated with a lower number of inpatient days, hospitalizations, ED visits, and office visits and with lower costs of care compared with DPP-4is, especially in those with history of CVD.

Empagliflozin and Risk of Incident Gout: Analysis from the EMPagliflozin Comparative Effectiveness and SafEty (EMPRISE) Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Hyperuricemia is frequently observed in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and is associated with increased risk of gout and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Empagliflozin lowers serum urate levels by enhancing its urinary excretion. OBJECTIVE: To compare initiators of empagliflozin vs dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP4i) and initiators of empagliflozin vs glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) with respect to the risk of incident gout events. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: Using three claims-based datasets from 08/2014 to 09/2019, we generated two cohorts (cohort 1: empagliflozin vs DPP4i; cohort 2: empagliflozin vs GLP-1RA) of adult patients with T2D and without prior history of gout or gout-specific medication dispensing separately in each dataset. To assess the risk of incident gout, we estimated hazard ratios (HR) and rate differences (RD) per 1000 person-years (PY) with their 95% confidence intervals (CI) before and after 1:1 propensity score (PS) matching adjusting for 141 baseline covariates. KEY RESULTS: We identified 102,262 pairs of 1:1 propensity score-matched adults in cohort 1 and 131,216 pairs in cohort 2. Over a mean follow-up period of 8 months on treatment, the risk of gout was lower in patients initiating empagliflozin compared to DPP4i (HR = 0.69: 95% CI (0.60-0.79); RD = - 2.27: 95% CI (- 3.08, 1.46)) or GLP-1RA (HR = 0.83: 95% CI (0.73-0.94); RD = - 0.99: 95% CI (- 1.66, - 0.32)). Results were consistent across subgroups (sex, age, body mass index, chronic kidney disease, heart failure, cardiovascular disease, and concurrent diuretic use) and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Among adults with T2D, the initiation of empagliflozin vs a DPP4i or GLP-1RA was associated with lower risk of incident gout, complementing results from a post hoc analysis of the EMPA-REG OUTCOME trial and previously published observational research focusing on the sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitor class in more narrowly defined study populations.

Trends in the Use of Medications for Secondary Ischemic Stroke Prevention in Denmark, 2005-2021.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Understanding trends in the use of medications for secondary stroke prevention is crucial for identifying areas for improvement in stroke care. We examined the use of lipid-lowering, antihypertensive, glucose-lowering, oral anticoagulant, and antiplatelet medications after ischemic stroke hospitalization, from 2005 to 2021. METHODS: Using nationwide registries in Denmark, we identified a cohort of patients discharged from hospital with a first-time or recurrent ischemic stroke (N = 150,744). Stratified by calendar year, we ascertained the 180-day probability of filling a prescription for the abovementioned medications after discharge. We further assessed factors associated with medication use. RESULTS: From 2005 to 2021, lipid-lowering medication use increased from 58.3% to 82.0%; atorvastatin use rose from 2.1% to 64.8% and simvastatin use decreased from 55.7% to 8.6%. Antihypertensive medication use remained stable, at approximately 89%, and various antihypertensive classes were used comparably. Glucose-lowering medication use increased from 71.5% in 2005 to 84.1% in 2021, driven primarily by an increase in metformin use (from 28.0% to 59.5%). Use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors continually increased (from 1.7% to 17.5% and from 0.5% to 17.3%, respectively) between 2015 and 2021. Anticoagulant medication use rose from 45.9% in 2005 to 87.0% in 2021, primarily because of increased use of direct oral anticoagulant medications starting around 2010 and a decline in warfarin use. Antiplatelet use remained consistently high, at approximately 95%. Trends were consistent across subgroups of interest; however, overall medication use was lower in older patients (65 years and older), patients with severe stroke, and patients with neurologic and psychiatric comorbidities. DISCUSSION: Despite increasing trends in the use of 3 of 5 medication classes, the overall use of lipid-lowering, glucose-lowering, and oral anticoagulant medications was somewhat lower than expected according to clinical guidelines, particularly among older patients with more severe stroke and other comorbidities. The relatively low use in these subgroups may signify appropriate clinical decision making in consideration of frequent contraindications and reduced life expectancy or highlight potential areas of improvement for the care of patients with recent ischemic stroke.

Effectiveness and safety of empagliflozin: final results from the EMPRISE study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Limited evidence exists on the comparative safety and effectiveness of empagliflozin against alternative glucose-lowering medications in individuals with type 2 diabetes with the broad spectrum of cardiovascular risk. The EMPagliflozin compaRative effectIveness and SafEty (EMPRISE) cohort study was designed to monitor the safety and effectiveness of empagliflozin periodically for a period of 5 years with data collection from electronic healthcare databases. METHODS: We identified individuals ≥18 years old with type 2 diabetes who initiated empagliflozin or dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) from 2014 to 2019 using US Medicare and commercial claims databases. After 1:1 propensity score matching using 143 baseline characteristics, we identified four a priori-defined effectiveness outcomes: (1) myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke; (2) hospitalisation for heart failure (HHF); (3) major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE); and (4) cardiovascular mortality or HHF. Safety outcomes included lower-limb amputations, non-vertebral fractures, diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), acute kidney injury (AKI), severe hypoglycaemia, retinopathy progression, and short-term kidney and bladder cancers. We estimated HRs and rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years, overall and stratified by age, sex, baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and heart failure. RESULTS: We identified 115,116 matched pairs. Compared with DPP-4i, empagliflozin was associated with lower risks of MI/stroke (HR 0.88 [95% CI 0.81, 0.96]; RD -2.08 [95% CI (-3.26, -0.90]), HHF (HR 0.50 [0.44, 0.56]; RD -5.35 [-6.22, -4.49]), MACE (HR 0.73 [0.62, 0.86]; RD -6.37 [-8.98, -3.77]) and cardiovascular mortality/HHF (HR 0.57 [0.47, 0.69]; RD -10.36 [-12.63, -8.12]). Absolute benefits were larger in older individuals and in those with ASCVD/heart failure. Empagliflozin was associated with an increased risk of DKA (HR 1.78 [1.44, 2.19]; RD 1.59 [1.08, 2.09]); decreased risks of AKI (HR 0.62 [0.54, 0.72]; RD -2.39 [-3.08, -1.71]), hypoglycaemia (HR 0.75 [0.67, 0.84]; RD -2.46 [-3.32, -1.60]) and retinopathy progression (HR 0.78 [0.63, 0.96)]; RD -9.49 [-16.97, -2.10]); and similar risks of other safety events. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Empagliflozin relative to DPP-4i was associated with risk reductions of MI or stroke, HHF, MACE and the composite of cardiovascular mortality or HHF. Absolute risk reductions were larger in older individuals and in those who had history of ASCVD or heart failure. Regarding the safety outcomes, empagliflozin was associated with an increased risk of DKA and lower risks of AKI, hypoglycaemia and progression to proliferative retinopathy, with no difference in the short-term risks of lower-extremity amputation, non-vertebral fractures, kidney and renal pelvis cancer, and bladder cancer.

Cardiorenal effectiveness of empagliflozin vs. glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists: final-year results from the EMPRISE study.

BACKGROUND: No randomized clinical trials have directly compared the cardiorenal effectiveness of empagliflozin and GLP-1RA agents with demonstrated cardioprotective effects in patients with a broad spectrum of cardiovascular risk. We reported the final-year results of the EMPRISE study, a monitoring program designed to evaluate the cardiorenal effectiveness of empagliflozin across broad patient subgroups. METHODS: We identified patients ≥ 18 years old with type 2 diabetes who initiated empagliflozin or GLP-1RA from 2014 to 2019 using US Medicare and commercial claims databases. After 1:1 propensity score matching using 143 baseline characteristics, we evaluated risks of outcomes including myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke, hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE - MI, stroke, or cardiovascular mortality), a composite of HHF or cardiovascular mortality, and progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) (in patients with chronic kidney disease stages 3-4). We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and rate differences (RD) per 1,000 person-years, overall and within subgroups of age, sex, baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and heart failure (HF). RESULTS: We identified 141,541 matched pairs. Compared with GLP-1RA, empagliflozin was associated with similar risks of MI or stroke [HR: 0.99 (0.92, 1.07); RD: -0.23 (-1.25, 0.79)], and lower risks of HHF [HR: 0.50 (0.44, 0.56); RD: -2.28 (-2.98, -1.59)], MACE [HR: 0.90 (0.82, 0.99); RD: -2.54 (-4.76, -0.32)], cardiovascular mortality or HHF [HR: 0.77 (0.69, 0.86); RD: -4.11 (-5.95, -2.29)], and ESKD [0.75 (0.60, 0.94); RD: -6.77 (-11.97, -1.61)]. Absolute risk reductions were larger in older patients and in those with baseline ASCVD/HF. They did not differ by sex. CONCLUSIONS: The cardiovascular benefits of empagliflozin vs. cardioprotective GLP-1RA agents were larger in older patients and in patients with history of ASCVD or HF, while they did not differ by sex. In patients with advanced CKD, empagliflozin was associated with risk reductions of progression to ESKD.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors and Nephrolithiasis Risk in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes.

Importance: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is associated with an increased risk of kidney stones. Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) might lower the risk of nephrolithiasis by altering urine composition. However, no studies have investigated the association between SGLT2i use and nephrolithiasis risk in patients receiving routine care in the US. Objective: To investigate the association between SGLT2i use and nephrolithiasis risk in clinical practice. Design, Setting, and Participants: This new-user, active comparator cohort study used data from commercially insured adults (aged ≥18 years) with T2D who initiated treatment with SGLT2is, glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs), or dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP4is) between April 1, 2013, and December 31, 2020. The data were analyzed from July 2021 through June 2023. Exposure: New initiation of an SGLT2i, GLP-1RA, or DPP4i. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was nephrolithiasis diagnosed by International Classification of Diseases codes in the inpatient or outpatient setting. New SGLT2i users were 1:1 propensity score matched to new users of a GLP-1RA or DPP4i in pairwise comparisons. Incidence rates, rate differences (RDs), and estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were calculated. Results: After 1:1 propensity score matching, a total of 716 406 adults with T2D (358 203 pairs) initiating an SGLT2i or a GLP-1RA (mean [SD] age, 61.4 [9.7] years for both groups; 51.4% vs 51.2% female; 48.6% vs 48.5% male) and 662 056 adults (331 028 pairs) initiating an SGLT2i or a DPP4i (mean [SD] age, 61.8 [9.3] vs 61.7 [10.1] years; 47.4% vs 47.3% female; 52.6% vs 52.7% male) were included. Over a median follow-up of 192 (IQR, 88-409) days, the risk of nephrolithiasis was lower in patients initiating an SGLT2i than among those initiating a GLP-1RA (14.9 vs 21.3 events per 1000 person-years; HR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.67-0.72]; RD, -6.4 [95% CI, -7.1 to -5.7]) or a DPP4i (14.6 vs 19.9 events per 1000 person-years; HR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.71-0.77]; RD, -5.3 [95% CI, -6.0 to -4.6]). The association between SGLT2i use and nephrolithiasis risk was similar by sex, race and ethnicity, history of chronic kidney disease, and obesity. The magnitude of the risk reduction with SGLT2i use was larger among adults aged younger than 70 years vs aged 70 years or older (HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.79-0.91]; RD, -3.46 [95% CI, -4.87 to -2.05] per 1000 person-years; P for interaction <.001). Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that in adults with T2D, SGLT2i use may lower the risk of nephrolithiasis compared with GLP-1RAs or DPP4is and could help to inform decision-making when prescribing glucose-lowering agents for patients who may be at risk for developing nephrolithiasis.

Safety of GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Other Second-Line Antidiabetics in Early Pregnancy.

Importance: Increasing use of second-line noninsulin antidiabetic medication (ADM) in pregnant individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) may result in fetal exposure, but their teratogenic risk is unknown. Objective: To evaluate periconceptional use of second-line noninsulin ADMs and whether it is associated with increased risk of major congenital malformations (MCMs) in the infant. Design, Setting, and Participants: This observational population-based cohort study used data from 4 Nordic countries (2009-2020), the US MarketScan Database (2012-2021), and the Israeli Maccabi Health Services database (2009-2020). Pregnant women with T2D were identified and their live-born infants were followed until up to 1 year after birth. Exposure: Periconceptional exposure was defined as 1 or more prescription fill of sulfonylureas, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists, and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, or insulin (active comparator) from 90 days before pregnancy to end of first trimester. Main Outcomes and Measures: Relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs for MCMs were estimated using log-binomial regression models, adjusting for key confounders in each cohort and meta-analyzed. Results: Periconceptional exposure to second-line noninsulin ADMs differed between countries (32, 295, and 73 per 100 000 pregnancies in the Nordics, US, and Israel, respectively), and increased over the study period, especially in the US. The standardized prevalence of MCMs was 3.7% in all infants (n = 3 514 865), 5.3% in the infants born to women with T2D (n = 51 826), and among infants exposed to sulfonylureas was 9.7% (n = 1362); DPP-4 inhibitors, 6.1% (n = 687); GLP-1 receptor agonists, 8.3% (n = 938); SGLT2 inhibitors, 7.0% (n = 335); and insulin, 7.8% (n = 5078). Compared with insulin, adjusted RRs for MCMs were 1.18 (95% CI, 0.94-1.48), 0.83 (95% CI, 0.64-1.06), 0.95 (95% CI, 0.72-1.26), and 0.98 (95% CI, 0.65-1.46) for infants exposed to sulfonylureas, DPP-4 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, and SGLT2 inhibitors, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: Use of second-line noninsulin ADMs is rapidly increasing for treatment of T2D and other indications, resulting in an increasing number of exposed pregnancies. Although some estimates were imprecise, results did not indicate a large increased risk of MCMs above the risk conferred by maternal T2D requiring second-line treatment. Although reassuring, confirmation from other studies is needed, and continuous monitoring will provide more precise estimates as data accumulate.

Stratified analysis in comparative effectiveness studies that emulate randomized trials.

PURPOSE: For observational cohort studies that employ matching by propensity scores (PS), preliminary stratification by consequential predictors of outcome better emulates stratified randomization and potentially reduces variance and bias through relaxed dependence on modeling assumptions. We assessed the impact of pre-stratification in two real-life examples. For both, prior evidence from placebo-controlled randomized clinical trials (RCTs) suggested small or no risk reduction, but observational analysis suggested protection, presumably the result of confounding bias. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: The study populations consisted of Medicare beneficiaries (2014-18) with type 2 diabetes initiating either (i) empagliflozin versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) or (ii) empagliflozin versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA). The outcome was myocardial infarction or stroke. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and rate differences (RD) after controlling for 143 pre-exposure covariates via 1:1 PS matching after (1) PS estimation in the total cohort (total-cohort PS-matching) and (2) PS estimation separately by baseline cardiovascular disease (stratified PS matching). RESULTS: Stratified PS matching resulted in HRs that exceeded those from total-cohort PS-matching by 13% and 9%, respectively, for the comparisons of empagliflozin to DPP-4i and GLP-1RA. Against both comparators, HRs and RDs after stratified PS matching were closer to the null, with slightly higher variances (2%-3%) than those after total-cohort PS matching. CONCLUSION: Stratified PS matching produced effect estimates closer to the expected trial findings than total-cohort PS matching. The price paid in increased variance was minimal.

Successful implementation of a stakeholder engagement program for pharmacoepidemiologic research.

PURPOSE: Rigorously conducted pharmacoepidemiologic research requires methodologically complex study designs and analysis yet evaluates problems of high importance to patients and clinicians. Despite this, participation in and mechanisms for stakeholder engagement in pharmacoepidemiologic research are not well-described. Here, we describe our approach and lessons learned from engaging stakeholders, of varying familiarity with research methods, in a rigorous multi-year pharmacoepidemiologic research program evaluating the comparative effectiveness of diabetes medications. METHODS: We recruited 5 patient and 4 clinician stakeholders; each was compensated for their time. Stakeholders received initial formal training in observational research and pharmacoepidemiologic methods sufficient to enable contribution to the research project. After onboarding, stakeholder engagement meetings were held virtually, in the evening, 2-3 times annually. Each was approximately 90 min and focused on 1-2 specific questions about the project, with preparatory materials sent in advance. RESULTS: Stakeholder meeting attendance was high (89%-100%), and all stakeholders engaged with the research project, both during and between meetings. Stakeholders reported positive experiences with meetings, satisfaction, and interest in the research project and its findings, and dedication to the success of the project's goals. They affirmed the value of receiving materials to review in advance and the effectiveness of a virtual platform. Their contributions included prioritizing and suggesting research questions, optimizing written evidence briefs for a lay audience, and guidance on broader topics such as research audience and methods of dissemination. CONCLUSIONS: Stakeholder engagement in pharmacoepidemiologic research using complex study designs and analysis is feasible, acceptable, and positively impacts the research project.

High-Dose vs. Standard-Dose Influenza Vaccine and Cardiopulmonary Hospitalization or Mortality: Emulating the INVESTED Trial Using Insurance Claims Data.

The INVESTED trial did not show benefits of high-dose (HD) vaccine vs. standard-dose (SD) for a primary composite outcome of cardiopulmonary hospitalization or all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.96-1.15) and its components (all-cause mortality HR = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.84-1.21, cardiopulmonary hospitalization HR = 1.05, 95% CI = 0.96-1.16) during three influenza seasons (2016-2019) among participants with recent myocardial infarction or hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). We emulated INVESTED using Medicare claims data to assess whether the real-world evidence (RWE) study reached similar conclusions. We identified 1:1 propensity score (PS)-matched trial-eligible Medicare beneficiaries aged > 65 years and with prior HHF who received an HD or SD vaccine for the 2016-2019 seasons. We also re-analyzed the INVESTED trial data restricting to participants > 65 years with prior HHF to align eligibility criteria more closely with the RWE study. We compared HRs from the trial and RWE study for the main outcomes. Among 53,393 pairs of PS-matched Medicare beneficiaries, the HD vaccine group showed lower risk of the primary composite outcome (HR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.95-0.98) and all-cause mortality (HR = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.91-0.95), and similar risk of cardiopulmonary hospitalization (HR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.96-1.00), compared with SD. The RWE and trial results were closely concordant after the trial population was limited to participants > 65 years with prior HHF: trial-based results for the primary composite outcome (HR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.89-1.17), all-cause mortality (HR = 0.92, 95% CI = 0.72-1.16), and cardiopulmonary hospitalization (HR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.88-1.18). Although similar to the main trial results, the RWE was closer to the results from trial participants with aligned eligibility criteria. This study affirms the importance of considering different distributions of baseline patient characteristics when comparing trial findings to RWE.

A population-based cohort defined risk of hyperkalemia after initiating SGLT-2 inhibitors, GLP1 receptor agonists or DPP-4 inhibitors to patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes.

Hyperkalemia is a common adverse event in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and type 2 diabetes and limits the use of guideline-recommended therapies such as renin-angiotensin system inhibitors. Here, we evaluated the comparative effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i), glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) on the risk of hyperkalemia. We conducted a population-based active-comparator, new-user cohort study using claims data from Medicare and two large United States commercial insurance databases (April 2013-April 2022). People with CKD stages 3-4 and type 2 diabetes who newly initiated SGLT-2i vs. DPP-4i (141671 patients), GLP-1RA vs. DPP-4i (159545 patients) and SGLT-2i vs. GLP-1RA (93033 patients) were included. The primary outcome was hyperkalemia diagnosed in inpatient or outpatient settings. Secondary outcomes included hyperkalemia diagnosed in inpatient or emergency department setting, and serum potassium levels of 5.5 mmol/L or more. Pooled hazard ratios and rate differences were estimated after propensity score matching to adjust for over 140 potential confounders. Initiation of SGLT-2i was associated with a lower risk of hyperkalemia compared with DPP-4i (hazard ratio 0.74; 95% confidence interval 0.68-0.80) and contrasted to GLP-1RA (0.92; 0.86-0.99). Compared with DPP-4i, GLP-1RA were also associated with a lower risk of hyperkalemia (0.80; 0.75-0.86). Corresponding absolute rate differences/1000 person-years were -24.8 (95% confidence interval -31.8 to -17.7), -5.0 (-10.9 to 0.8), and -17.7 (-23.4 to -12.1), respectively. Similar findings were observed for the secondary outcomes, among subgroups, and across single agents within the SGLT-2i and GLP-1RA classes. Thus, SGLT-2i and GLP-1RA are associated with a lower risk of hyperkalemia than DPP-4i in patients with CKD and type 2 diabetes, further supporting the use of these drugs in this population.