Musculoskeletal Health and Work: Development and Internal-External Cross-Validation of a Model to Predict Risk of Work Absence and Presenteeism in People Seeking Primary Healthcare.

PURPOSE: To develop and validate prediction models for the risk of future work absence and level of presenteeism, in adults seeking primary healthcare with musculoskeletal disorders (MSD). METHODS: Six studies from the West-Midlands/Northwest regions of England, recruiting adults consulting primary care with MSD were included for model development and internal-external cross-validation (IECV). The primary outcome was any work absence within 6 months of their consultation. Secondary outcomes included 6-month presenteeism and 12-month work absence. Ten candidate predictors were included: age; sex; multisite pain; baseline pain score; pain duration; job type; anxiety/depression; comorbidities; absence in the previous 6 months; and baseline presenteeism. RESULTS: For the 6-month absence model, 2179 participants (215 absences) were available across five studies. Calibration was promising, although varied across studies, with a pooled calibration slope of 0.93 (95% CI: 0.41-1.46) on IECV. On average, the model discriminated well between those with work absence within 6 months, and those without (IECV-pooled C-statistic 0.76, 95% CI: 0.66-0.86). The 6-month presenteeism model, while well calibrated on average, showed some individual-level variation in predictive accuracy, and the 12-month absence model was poorly calibrated due to the small available size for model development. CONCLUSIONS: The developed models predict 6-month work absence and presenteeism with reasonable accuracy, on average, in adults consulting with MSD. The model to predict 12-month absence was poorly calibrated and is not yet ready for use in practice. This information may support shared decision-making and targeting occupational health interventions at those with a higher risk of absence or presenteeism in the 6 months following consultation. Further external validation is needed before the models' use can be recommended or their impact on patients can be fully assessed.

Prognostic Factors and Models for Predicting Work Absence in Adults with Musculoskeletal Conditions Consulting a Healthcare Practitioner: A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE: It is difficult to predict which employees, in particular those with musculoskeletal pain, will return to work quickly without additional vocational advice and support, which employees will require this support and what levels of support are most appropriate. Consequently, there is no way of ensuring the right individuals are directed towards the right services to support their occupational health needs. The aim of this review will be to identify prognostic factors for duration of work absence in those already absent and examine the utility of prognostic models for work absence. METHODS: Eight databases were search using a combination of subject headings and key words focusing on work absence, musculoskeletal pain and prognosis. Two authors independently assessed the eligibility of studies, extracted data from all eligible studies and assessed risk of bias using the QUIPS or PROBAST tools, an adapted GRADE was used to assess the strength of the evidence. To make sense of the data prognostic variables were grouped according to categories from the Disability Prevention Framework and the SWiM framework was utilised to synthesise findings. RESULTS: A total of 23 studies were included in the review, including 13 prognostic models and a total of 110 individual prognostic factors. Overall, the evidence for all prognostic factors was weak, although there was some evidence that older age and better recovery expectations were protective of future absence and that previous absence was likely to predict future absences. There was weak evidence for any of the prognostic models in determining future sickness absence. CONCLUSION: Analysis was difficult due to the wide range of measures of both prognostic factors and outcome and the differing timescales for follow-up. Future research should ensure that consistent measures are employed and where possible these should be in-line with those suggested by Ravinskaya et al. (2023).

Changes in educational inequalities in knee and hip osteoarthritis surgery and non-surgery specialist care visits over time in Sweden.

Objective: To examine changes in prevalence and socioeconomic inequalities in knee and hip OA outcomes, in more specific surgery and non-surgery specialist care visits, from 2001 to 2011 in Sweden and to what extent sociodemographic factors can explain the changes. Design: We included all individuals aged ≥35 years resident in Sweden from 2001 to 2011. Individual-level data was retrieved from the Swedish Interdisciplinary Panel. Highest educational attainment was used as socioeconomic measure and the concentration index was used to assess relative and absolute educational inequalities. We used decomposition method to examine changes in prevalence and relative educational inequalities. Results: A total of 4,794,693 and 5,359,186 people were included for the years 2001 and 2011, respectively. The crude prevalence of surgery and specialist visits for knee and hip OA was 36-83% higher in 2011 than in 2001. The increase in hip OA outcomes was largely explained by changes in the sociodemographic composition of the population, whereas for knee OA outcomes, changes in the strength of the associations with sociodemographic factors appeared more important. All outcomes were concentrated among people with lower education in all study years. The relative inequalities declined over the study period, while the absolute inequalities increased for knee OA outcomes and remained stable for hip OA. Conclusion: Our findings show an increasing burden of all studied OA outcomes. Moreover, our findings suggest persistent educational inequalities with more surgeries and specialist visits among lower-educated individuals. Future research should incorporate additional variables to better understand and address these inequalities.

Chronic pain-mental health comorbidity and excess prevalence of health risk behaviours: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic musculoskeletal pain and anxiety/depression are significant public health problems. We hypothesised that adults with both conditions constitute a group at especially high risk of future cardiovascular health outcomes. AIM: To determine whether having comorbid chronic musculoskeletal pain and anxiety/depression is associated with the excess prevalence of selected known cardiovascular health risk behaviours. METHOD: A cross-sectional survey of adults aged 35+ years randomly sampled from 26 GP practice registers in West Midlands, England. Respondents were classified into four groups based on self-reported presence/absence of chronic musculoskeletal pain (pain present on most days for six months) and anxiety or depression (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Score 11+). Standardised binomial models were used to estimate standardised prevalence ratios and prevalence differences between the four groups in self-reported obesity, tobacco smoking, physical inactivity, and unhealthy alcohol consumption after controlling for age, sex, ethnicity, deprivation, employment status and educational attainment. The excess prevalence of each risk factor in the group with chronic musculoskeletal pain-anxiety/depression comorbidity was estimated. FINDINGS: Totally, 14 519 respondents were included, of whom 1329 (9%) reported comorbid chronic musculoskeletal pain-anxiety/depression, 3612 (25%) chronic musculoskeletal pain only, 964 (7%) anxiety or depression only, and 8614 (59%) neither. Those with comorbid chronic musculoskeletal pain-anxiety/depression had the highest crude prevalence of obesity (41%), smoking (16%) and physical inactivity (83%) but the lowest for unhealthy alcohol consumption (18%). After controlling for covariates, the standardised prevalence ratios and differences for the comorbid group compared with those with neither chronic musculoskeletal pain nor anxiety/depression were as follows: current smoking [1.86 (95% CI 1.58, 2.18); 6.8%], obesity [1.93 (1.76, 2.10); 18.9%], physical inactivity [1.21 (1.17, 1.24); 14.3%] and unhealthy alcohol consumption [0.81 (0.71, 0.92); -5.0%]. The standardised prevalences of smoking and obesity in the comorbid group exceeded those expected from simple additive interaction.

Structural Foot Characteristics in People With Midfoot Osteoarthritis: Cross-Sectional Findings From the Clinical Assessment Study of the Foot.

OBJECTIVE: This study compared radiographic measures of foot structure between people with and without symptomatic radiographic midfoot osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study of adults aged 50 years and older registered with four UK general practices who reported foot pain in the past year. Bilateral weightbearing dorsoplantar and lateral radiographs were obtained. Symptomatic radiographic midfoot OA was defined as midfoot pain in the last 4 weeks, combined with radiographic OA in one or more midfoot joints (first cuneometatarsal, second cuneometatarsal, navicular-first cuneiform, and talonavicular). Midfoot OA cases were matched 1:1 for sex and age to controls with a 5-year age tolerance. Eleven radiographic measures were extracted and compared between the groups using independent sample t-tests and effect sizes (Cohen's d). RESULTS: We identified 63 midfoot OA cases (mean ± SD age was 66.8 ± 8.0 years, with 32 male and 31 female participants) and matched these to 63 controls (mean ± SD age was 65.9 ± 7.8 years). There were no differences in metatarsal lengths between the groups. However, those with midfoot OA had a higher calcaneal-first metatarsal angle (d = 0.43, small effect size, P = 0.018) and lower calcaneal inclination angle (d = 0.46, small effect size, P = 0.011) compared with controls. CONCLUSIONS: People with midfoot OA have a flatter foot posture compared with controls. Although caution is required when inferring causation from cross-sectional data, these findings are consistent with a pathomechanical pathway linking foot structure to the development of midfoot OA. Prospective studies are required to determine the temporal relationships between foot structure, function, and the development of this common and disabling condition.

Applying sequence analysis to uncover 'real-world' clinical pathways from routinely collected data: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVES: This systematic review aims to elucidate the methodological practices and reporting standards associated with sequence analysis (SA) for the identification of clinical pathways in real-world scenarios, using routinely collected data. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We conducted a methodological systematic review, searching five medical and health databases: MEDLINE, PsycINFO, CINAHL, EMBASE and Web of Science. The search encompassed articles from the inception of these databases up to February 28, 2023. The search strategy comprised two distinctive sets of search terms, specifically focused on sequence analysis and clinical pathways. RESULTS: 19 studies met the eligibility criteria for this systematic review. Nearly 60% of the included studies were published in or after 2021, with a significant proportion originating from Canada (n = 7) and France (n = 5). 90% of the studies adhered to the fundamental SA steps. The optimal matching (OM) method emerged as the most frequently employed dissimilarity measure (63%), while agglomerative hierarchical clustering using Ward's linkage was the preferred clustering algorithm (53%). However, it is imperative to underline that a majority of the studies inadequately reported key methodological decisions pertaining to SA. CONCLUSION: This review underscores the necessity for enhanced transparency in reporting both data management procedures and key methodological choices within SA processes. The development of reporting guidelines and a robust appraisal tool tailored to assess the quality of SA would be invaluable for researchers in this field.

Plantar pressures in people with midfoot osteoarthritis: cross-sectional findings from the Clinical Assessment Study of the Foot.

BACKGROUND: Midfoot osteoarthritis (OA) is a common condition, however its aetiology is not well understood. Understanding how plantar pressures differ between people with and without midfoot OA may provide insight into the aetiology and how best to manage this condition. RESEARCH QUESTION: To compare plantar pressures between people with and without symptomatic radiographic midfoot OA. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study of adults aged ≥ 50 years registered with four UK general practices who reported foot pain in the past year. Symptomatic radiographic midfoot OA was defined as midfoot pain in the last four weeks, combined with radiographic OA in one or more midfoot joints. Cases were matched 1:1 for sex and age ( ± 5 years) to controls. Peak plantar pressure and maximum force in 10 regions of the foot were determined using a pressure platform (RSscan International, Olen, Belgium) and compared between the groups using independent samples t-tests and effect sizes (Cohen's d). RESULTS: We included 61 midfoot OA cases (mean age 67.0, SD 8.1, 31 males, 30 females) and matched these to 61 controls (mean age 66.0, SD 7.9). Midfoot OA cases displayed greater force (d=0.79, medium effect size, p = <0.001) and pressure at the midfoot (d=0.70, medium effect size, p = <0.001), greater force at the fourth metatarsophalangeal (MTP) joint (d=0.28, small effect size, p = 0.13), and fifth MTP joint (d=0.37, small effect size, p = 0.10) and greater pressure at the fifth MTP joint (d=0.34, small effect size, p = 0.13). They also displayed lower force (d=0.40, small effect size, p = 0.02) and pressure at the hallux (d=0.50, medium effect size, p = <0.001) and lower force (d=0.54, medium effect size, p = <0.001) and pressure at the lesser toes (d=0.48, small effect size, p = <0.001) compared with controls. SIGNIFICANCE: Midfoot OA appears to be associated with lowering of the medial longitudinal arch, greater lateral push off and less propulsion at toe off. Longitudinal studies are needed to establish causal relationships.

The cost-effectiveness of adding an ultrasound corticosteroid and local anaesthetic injection to advice and education for hip osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: Evidence for the comparative cost-effectiveness of intra-articular corticosteroid injection in people with hip osteoarthritis (OA) remains unclear. This study investigated the cost-effectiveness of best current treatment (BCT) comprising advice and education plus a single ultrasound-guided intra-articular hip injection (USGI) of 40 mg triamcinolone acetonide and 4 ml 1% lidocaine hydrochloride (BCT+US-T) versus BCT alone. METHODS: A trial-based cost-utility analysis of BCT+US-T compared with BCT was undertaken over 6 months. Patient-level cost data were obtained, and effectiveness was measured in terms of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), allowing the calculation of cost per QALY gained from a United Kingdom (UK) National Health Service (NHS) perspective. RESULTS: BCT+US-T was associated with lower mean NHS costs (BCT+US-T minus BCT: £-161.6, 95% CI: £-583.95 to £54.18) and small but significantly higher mean QALYs than BCT alone over 6 months (BCT+US-T minus BCT: 0.0487, 95% CI: 0.0091, 0.0886). In the base case, BCT+US-T was the most cost-effective and dominated BCT alone. Differences in total costs were driven by number of visits to NHS consultants, private physiotherapists, and chiropractors, and hip surgery, which were more common with BCT alone than BCT+US-T. CONCLUSION: Intra-articular corticosteroid injection plus BCT (BCT+US-T) for patients with hip OA results in lower costs and better outcomes, and is highly cost-effective, compared with BCT alone. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT: 2014-003412-37 (August 8, 2015) and registered with Current Controlled Trials: ISRCTN 50550256 (July 28, 2015). TRIAL PROTOCOL: Full details of the trial protocol can be found in the Supplementary Appendix, available with the full text of this article at https://bmcmusculoskeletdisord.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12891-018-2153-0#citeas. DOI: doi.org/10.1186/s12891-018-2153-0.

Use of non-surgical treatments on the journey to knee replacement in patients with knee osteoarthritis: a 10-year population-based case-control study.

AIM: To investigate temporal trends in primary care visits, physiotherapy visits, dispensed non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and opioids in knee osteoarthritis (OA) patients who have and have not undergone knee replacement. METHODS: We analysed 5665 OA patients from the Skåne Healthcare Register, Sweden, who underwent knee replacement between 2015 and 2019. Controls were OA patients without knee replacement, matched 1:1 by sex, age, time and healthcare level of initial OA diagnosis, and assigned a pseudo-index date corresponding to their case's knee replacement date. Annual prevalence and prevalence ratio of primary care and physiotherapy visits, dispensed NSAIDs and opioids (all for any cause) in the 10 years before knee replacement were estimated using Poisson regression. RESULTS: The annual prevalence of all-cause primary care visits, physiotherapy visits and opioid use was similar between cases and controls until 3 years before the index date when it started to increase among the cases. The year before the index date, the prevalence ratio (cases vs controls) for physiotherapy use was 1.8 (95% CI 1.7, 1.8), while for opioid use 1.6 (1.5, 1.7). NSAID use was consistently higher among cases, even 10 years before the index date when the prevalence ratio versus controls was 1.3 (1.2, 1.3), increasing to 1.8 (1.7, 1.9) in the year preceding the index date. CONCLUSIONS: Management of OA patients who have and have not undergone knee replacement appears largely similar except for higher use of NSAIDs in knee replacement cases. Symptomatic treatments start to increase a few years before the surgery in knee replacement cases.

Shared decision-making experiences in child long-term ventilation: a systematic review.

INTRODUCTION: Recent decades have seen an increase in children receiving long-term ventilation. To ensure that long-term ventilation decisions incorporate the perspectives of stakeholders, it is vital that empirical evidence is gathered to substantiate frameworks and guidance on shared decision-making for long-term ventilation. This systematic review and qualitative evidence synthesis aimed to clarify what shared decision-making constitutes in relation to long-term ventilation initiation for children and young people (<21 years). METHODS: A systematic review of qualitative research was undertaken. Searches were conducted in MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO and Web of Science. RESULTS: Findings from 13 studies were included representative of 363 caregivers and 143 healthcare professional experiences. Components that support shared decision-making included acknowledging the unique positionality of caregivers and ensuring caregivers were informed about the implications of long-term ventilation. Beneficial qualities of engagement between stakeholders included honest, clear and timely dialogue using lay, tactful and sensitive language. CONCLUSION: Our findings clarify components and approaches supportive of shared decision-making in discussions about long-term ventilation. This review therefore provides a valuable resource to implement shared decision-making practices in the context of long-term ventilation decisions for children and young people.

Consultant-led UK paediatric palliative care services: professional configuration, services, funding.

OBJECTIVES: To systematically gather information on the professional team members, services provided, funding sources and population served for all consultant-led specialised paediatric palliative care (SPPC) teams in the UK. METHODS: Two-part online survey. RESULTS: Survey 1: All 17 medical leads from hospital-based or hospice-based SPPC teams responded to the survey (100% response rate).Only six services met the NICE guidance for minimum SPPC team.All services reported providing symptom management, specialist nursing care, end-of-life planning and care, and supporting discharges and transfers to home or hospice for the child's final days-hours. Most services also provided care coordination (n=14), bereavement support (n=13), clinical psychology (n=10) and social work-welfare support (n=9). Thirteen had one or more posts partially or fully funded by a charity.Survey 2: Nine finance leads provided detailed resource/funding information, finding a range of statutory and charity funding sources. Only one of the National Health Service (NHS)-based services fully funded by the NHS. CONCLUSIONS: One-third of services met the minimum criteria of professional team as defined by NICE. Most services relied on charity funding to fund part or all of one professional post and only one NHS-based service received all its funding directly from the NHS.

SHARPER-DOSY: Sensitivity enhanced diffusion-ordered NMR spectroscopy.

Since its discovery in mid-20th century, the sensitivity of Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR) has increased steadily, in part due to the design of new, sophisticated NMR experiments. Here we report on a liquid-state NMR methodology that significantly increases the sensitivity of diffusion coefficient measurements of pure compounds, allowing to estimate their sizes using a much reduced amount of material. In this method, the diffusion coefficients are being measured by analysing narrow and intense singlets, which are invariant to magnetic field inhomogeneities. The singlets are obtained through signal acquisition embedded in short (<0.5 ms) spin-echo intervals separated by non-selective 180° or 90° pulses, suppressing the chemical shift evolution of resonances and their splitting due to J couplings. The achieved 10-100 sensitivity enhancement results in a 100-10000-fold time saving. Using high field cryoprobe NMR spectrometers, this makes it possible to measure a diffusion coefficient of a medium-size organic molecule in a matter of minutes with as little as a few hundred nanograms of material.

Where does it hurt? Small area estimates and inequality in the prevalence of chronic pain.

BACKGROUND: Chronic pain affects up to half of UK adults, impacting quality of life and demand on local health services. Whilst local health planning is currently based on subnational prevalence estimates, associations between pain and sociodemographic characteristics suggest that inequalities in the prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain between neighbourhoods within local authorities are likely. We aimed to derive lower super output area (LSOA) estimates of the prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain. METHODS: Presence of self-reported chronic and high-impact chronic pain were measured in adults aged 35+ in North Staffordshire and modelled using multilevel regression as a function of demographic and geographic predictors. Multilevel model predictions were post-stratified using the North Staffordshire age-sex population structure and LSOA demographic characteristics to estimate the prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain in 298 LSOAs, corrected for ethnic diversity underrepresented in the data. Confidence intervals were generated for high-impact chronic pain using bootstrapping. RESULTS: Data were analysed from 4162 survey respondents (2358 women, 1804 men). The estimated prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain in North Staffordshire LSOAs ranged from 18.6% to 50.1% and 6.18 [1.71, 16.0]% to 33.09 [13.3, 44.7]%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain in adults aged 35+ varies substantially between neighbourhoods within local authorities. Further insight into small-area level variation will help target resources to improve the management and prevention of chronic and high-impact chronic pain to reduce the impact on individuals, communities, workplaces, services and the economy. SIGNIFICANCE: Post-stratified multilevel model predictions can produce small-area estimates of pain prevalence and impact. The evidence of substantial variation indicates a need to collect local-level data on pain and its impact to understand health needs and to guide interventions.

'It is easier to not allow them to see your disability straight away, to see you as a person': An Interpretative Phenomenological Analysis of video gaming from the perspectives of men with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy.

BACKGROUND: Young men with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy benefit from palliative care that supports their psychosocial needs. Acknowledging the sub-cultures they engage with can support their wellbeing. Anecdotal reports suggest video gaming is a sub-culture engaged with by young men with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy. AIM: To explore the lived experience of video gaming from the perspective of young men with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy. DESIGN: Interpretative Phenomenological Analysis approach involving in-depth interviews using a topic guide that focused on social media broadly, with reference to video gaming. Sequential interviewing was undertaken to support participation regarding fatigue and tiredness, symptoms of Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy. SETTING/PARTICIPANTS: Participants were purposefully recruited from a hospice in the North of England. Twitter was used to support recruitment. Eight young men with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy were recruited to the study. RESULTS: Five themes were developed; 'gamer as a shared and accepted identity', 'an existential and bodily escapism', 'introspection through video gaming', 'video gaming as a release' and 'when life gives you few choices-video game'. Motivations for engagement with video gaming are diverse and reflective of the situated perspectives of young men with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy. CONCLUSIONS: An awareness of the popular sub-cultures that young men with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy engage with is key to building a therapeutic alliance, establishing rapport and recognising personhood in interactions between professionals and persons in palliative care settings. This study highlights the value of video gaming, offering professionals valuable insight into its placement in the daily lives of young men with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy.

An Evaluation of Different Strategies for Sampling Controls in an Online Case-Crossover Study of Acute Flares in Knee Osteoarthritis.

Objective: To evaluate bias and precision of exposure-outcome effect estimates from three control sampling strategies in a case-crossover study. Methods: Online case-crossover study investigating eight physical activity-related triggers for acute flares in knee osteoarthritis. Exposures were measured in hazard periods (≤24 hours before self-declared flare onset). Control period exposure was measured in three ways: (1) four scheduled questionnaires over 13-weeks, (2) "usual" physical activity levels ascertained at baseline, (3) over three days before flare onset. Derived odds ratios, 95% confidence intervals and standard errors were compared. Results: Of 744 participants (mean age 62.1 [SD 10.2] years; 61% female), 493 reported 714 flares. Selecting controls from scheduled questionnaires, independent of hazard periods, yielded predominantly odds ratios in the expected direction (exposure "a lot" versus exposure "not at all", range: 0.57-3.22). When controls were sampled at baseline (range: 0.01-1.42) or immediately before a flare (range: 0.30-1.27) most odds ratio estimates were inverted. Standard errors of the log odds ratios were smallest when controls were sampled from scheduled questionnaires (range: 0.264-0.473) compared to controls sampled at baseline (range: 0.267-0.589) or immediately before a flare (range: 0.319-0.621). Conclusion: Our findings are sensitive to control sample selection. Under certain conditions, different patterns could be attributed to over reporting and social desirability bias, where people may want to present themselves more positively about their "usual" physical activity levels, at baseline. Exposure measurement at the time of a flare may be less precise and more susceptible to recall bias due to systematically reporting exposures differently during a flare, compared to control measurement independent of flares.

Person-centred deprescribing for patients living with frailty: a qualitative interview study and proposal of a collaborative model.

OBJECTIVES: (1) Present deprescribing experiences of patients living with frailty, their informal carers and healthcare professionals; (2) interpret whether their experiences are reflective of person-centred/collaborative care; (3) complement our findings with existing evidence to present a model for person-centred deprescribing for patients living with frailty, based on a previous collaborative care model. METHODS: Qualitative design in English primary care (general practice). Semi-structured interviews were undertaken immediately post-deprescribing and 5/6 weeks later with nine patients aged 65+ living with frailty and three informal carers of patients living with frailty. Fourteen primary care professionals with experience in deprescribing were also interviewed. In total, 38 interviews were conducted. A two-staged approach to data analysis was undertaken. KEY FINDINGS: Three themes were developed: attitudes, beliefs and understanding of medicines management and responsibility; attributes of a collaborative, person-centred deprescribing consultation; organisational factors to support person-centred deprescribing. Based on these findings and complementary to existing evidence, we offer a model for person-centred deprescribing for patients living with frailty. CONCLUSIONS: Previous models of deprescribing for patients living with frailty while, of value, do not consider the contextual factors that govern the implementation and success of models in practice. In this paper, we propose a novel person-centred model for deprescribing for people living with frailty, based on our own empirical findings, and the wider evidence base.

Enhancing 19F Benchtop NMR Spectroscopy by Combining para-Hydrogen Hyperpolarization and Multiplet Refocusing.

Benchtop NMR spectrometers provide a promising alternative to high-field NMR for applications that are limited by instrument size and/or cost. 19F benchtop NMR is attractive due to the larger chemical shift range of 19F relative to 1H and the lack of background signal in most applications. However, practical applications of benchtop 19F NMR are limited by its low sensitivity due to the relatively weak field strengths of benchtop NMR spectrometers. Here we present a sensitivity-enhancement strategy that combines SABRE (Signal Amplification By Reversible Exchange) hyperpolarization with the multiplet refocusing method SHARPER (Sensitive, Homogeneous, And Resolved PEaks in Real time). When applied to a range of fluoropyridines, SABRE-SHARPER achieves overall signal enhancements of up to 5700-fold through the combined effects of hyperpolarization and line-narrowing. This approach can be generalized to the analysis of mixtures through the use of a selective variant of the SHARPER sequence, selSHARPER. The ability of SABRE-selSHARPER to simultaneously boost sensitivity and discriminate between two components of a mixture is demonstrated, where selectivity is achieved through a combination of selective excitation and the choice of polarization transfer field during the SABRE step.

Persistent inequalities in consultation incidence and prevalence of low back pain and osteoarthritis in England between 2004 and 2019.

Objective: We wanted to determine whether socioeconomic inequalities in primary care consultation rates for two major, disabling musculoskeletal conditions in England narrowed or widened between 2004 and 2019. Methods: We analysed data from Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum, a national general practice electronic health records database, linked to national deprivation ranking of each patient's registered residential postcode. For each year, we estimated the age- and sex-standardized consultation incidence and prevalence for low back pain and OA for the most deprived 10% of neighbourhoods through to the least deprived 10%. We then calculated the slope index of inequality and relative index of inequality overall and by sex, age group and geographical region. Results: Inequalities in low back pain incidence and prevalence over socioeconomic status widened between 2004 and 2013 and stabilized between 2014 and 2019. Inequalities in OA incidence remained stable over socioeconomic status within the study period, whereas inequalities in OA prevalence widened markedly over socioeconomic status between 2004 and 2019. The widest gap in low back pain incidence and prevalence over socioeconomic status was observed in populations resident in northern English regions and London and in those of working age, peaking at 45-54 years. Conclusion: We found persistent, and generally increasing, socioeconomic inequalities in the rate of adults presenting to primary care in England with low back pain and OA between 2004 and 2019.

Identifying Long-Term Trajectories of Foot Pain Severity and Potential Prognostic Factors: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: To identify distinct foot pain trajectories over 7 years and examine their associations with potential prognostic factors. METHODS: Adults ages ≥50 years and registered with 4 general practices in North Staffordshire, UK were mailed a baseline health survey. Those reporting current or recent foot pain were invited to attend a research assessment clinic. Follow-up was by repeated postal surveys at 18, 36, 54, and 84 months. Distinct trajectories of foot pain were explored using latent class growth analysis (LCGA). Subsequently, identified trajectories were combined into most and least progressive groups, and covariate-adjusted associations with a range of prognostic factors were examined. RESULTS: Of 560 adults with foot pain attending baseline research clinics, 425 (76%) provided data at baseline and 2 or more follow-up time points. LCGA for foot pain severity (0-10 numerical rating scale) identified a 4-trajectory model: "mild, improving" (37%); "moderate, improving" (33%); "moderate-severe, persistent" (24%); and "severe, persistent" (6%). Compared with individuals in more favorable (improving) pain trajectories, those in less favorable (persistent) pain trajectories were more likely to be obese, have routine/manual and intermediate occupations, have poorer physical and mental health, have catastrophizing beliefs, have greater foot-specific functional limitation, and have self-assessed hallux valgus at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Four distinct trajectories of foot pain were identified over a 7-year period, with one-third of individuals classified as having pain that is persistently moderate-severe and severe in intensity. The effect of intervening to target modifiable prognostic factors such as obesity and hallux valgus on long-term outcomes in people with foot pain requires investigation.