Development and external validation of a prediction model for tube feeding dependency for at least four weeks during chemoradiotherapy for head and neck cancer.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients who receive chemoradiotherapy or bioradiotherapy (CRT/BRT) for locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (LAHNSCC) often experience high toxicity rates interfering with oral intake, causing tube feeding (TF) dependency. International guidelines recommend gastrostomy insertion when the expected use of TF exceeds 4 weeks. We aimed to develop and externally validate a prediction model to identify patients who need TF ≥ 4 weeks and would benefit from prophylactic gastrostomy insertion. METHODS: A retrospective multicenter cohort study was performed in four tertiary head and neck cancer centers in the Netherlands. The prediction model was developed using data from University Medical Center Utrecht and the Netherlands Cancer Institute and externally validated using data from Maastricht University Medical Center and Radboud University Medical Center. The primary endpoint was TF dependency ≥4 weeks initiated during CRT/BRT or within 30 days after CRT/BRT completion. Potential predictors were extracted from electronic health records and radiotherapy dose-volume parameters were calculated. RESULTS: The developmental and validation cohort included 409 and 334 patients respectively. Multivariable analysis showed predictive value for pretreatment weight change, texture modified diet at baseline, ECOG performance status, tumor site, N classification, mean radiation dose to the contralateral parotid gland and oral cavity. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for this model was 0.73 and after external validation 0.62. Positive and negative predictive value for a risk of 90% or higher for TF dependency ≥4 weeks were 81.8% and 42.3% respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and externally validated a prediction model to estimate TF-dependency ≥4 weeks in LAHNSCC patients treated with CRT/BRT. This model can be used to guide personalized decision-making on prophylactic gastrostomy insertion in clinical practice.

The effect of hormonal treatment on conspicuity of prostate cancer: implications for focal boosting radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: For focal boosting of prostate tumors, three questions are important regarding the use of hormonal therapy. Does prolonged hormonal treatment affect the conspicuity of tumor tissue on diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) and dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE-MRI) images? Is tumor delineation possible in patients using hormonal treatment? Can we identify specific imaging thresholds for tumor delineation in patients after prolonged androgen deprivation? MATERIALS AND METHODS: Ninety-six patients were included. Using multivariate linear regression analyses, we investigated if DWI and DCE-MRI parameter maps are different in patients receiving hormonal treatment for 0-3 or >3 months. Furthermore, logistic regression was performed to obtain specific imaging thresholds for tumor tissue for the two patient groups. RESULTS: We found a significantly higher diffusion and lower perfusion of tumor tissue in the >3 months hormonal treatment group compared to the 0-3 group. This resulted in lower tumor conspicuity. Nevertheless, in 18/21 of the patients in the >3 months treatment group, a suspicious lesion could be defined based on the MR images. Based on logistic regression, different imaging thresholds should be set for tumor detection in the two treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged androgen deprivation decreases tumor conspicuity. Different imaging thresholds need to be set to delineate tumor in patients who have had prolonged hormonal treatment.