Redefining the exact roles and importance of carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaque thickness in predicting cardiovascular events.

OBJECTIVE: The survey aimed to evaluate the precise roles and importance of carotid plaque thickness and carotid intima-media thickness measured in plaque-free areas (PF CC-IMTmean) in future cardiovascular risk prediction. MATERIAL AND METHODS: 188 respondents between the age of 46 and 87 divided into two groups (I group - 94 respondents without plaques with CIMT measurement and II Group 94 respondents with carotid plaques; 118 men and 70 women; mean age ± SD, 61.80 ± 5.49) were prospectively examined by the carotid ultrasound Doppler (carotid measurements included plaque thickness PT - nonstenotic plaques (carotid stenosis <50%) and stenotic culprit plaques (carotid stenosis ≥50%), mean CIMT and maximum CIMT). Subjects were followed for 36 months from the inclusion in the study (regular control examinations). Data were recorded on new cases of mortality (CV mortality) and adverse CV events (myocardial infarction - -MI, surgical or endovascular revascularization - coronary or stroke). RESULTS: In this study, CIMT values vary between 0.62 and 1.43 mm (mean CIMT = 1.21 ± 0.2 mm) while 52 subjects had nonstenotic plaques (14 respondents plaque ulceration, 22 type 2 diabetes mellitus, 38 arterial hypertension) and 38 subjects had stenotic culprit plaques (17 respondents plaque ulceration, 20 type 2 diabetes mellitus, 31 arterial hypertension). After 36 months of follow-up, 76 vascular events were noted (MI, transient ischaemic attack - TIA, stroke and cardiovascular angioplasty or surgery) in this period. CONCLUSION: Respondents with carotid plaques had higher cardiovascular events occurrence (p < .01, high statistical difference). Carotid plaques as a parameter have higher predictive vascular event value importance than CIMT. Of note, stenotic plaques, the presence of ulceration on the free surface of the plaque, type 2 diabetes mellitus and hypertension were connected with the highest events occurrence.

Prevalence of Carcinogenic Genotypes of HPV-Infected Women in a Ten-Year Period (2014-2023) in Vojvodina, Serbia.

Background and Objectives: Human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and its etiological role in the development of cervical cancer are well established. The cervical cancer mortality rate in Serbia is one of the highest among European countries, and this cancer is the second-leading cause of death in Serbian women aged from 15 to 44. Materials and Methods: This retrospective study was conducted at the Institute of Public Health of Vojvodina. A total of 10,062 cervical specimens from Serbian women were collected and HPV tested in ten years. The study patients were divided into five age groups. HPV genotype testing was performed using a commercial kit to detect 14 high-risk (HR) HPV genotypes. Additionally, cervix cytology data have been available for patients tested in 2022 and 2023. Results: An overall positive rate was found in 43.3% of patients (4356/10,062). A single HPV infection (62.1%) was the main infection pattern. The most frequent HR HPV genotypes were HPV 16, 31, 52, 56, 39, and 51, comprising 62.3% of the detected genotypes, including multiple infections. A significant difference was noted in the HPV prevalence across the different age groups, with a bimodal distribution of HPV infection. The highest prevalence was recorded in the age group ≤ 30 and those after 61 years. Women diagnosed with high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) were significantly older compared to others. HR HPV is the most prevalent in patients with HSIL cytological findings (76.5%). The most common type, according to age-specific distribution and cytological findings, was HR HPV 16. Conclusions: This study provides comprehensive data on HR HPV distribution among Serbian women, which can serve as a basis for subsequent monitoring of genotypic distribution. It is particularly significant considering they are missing in the updated ICO/IARC Report for Serbia, and the cervical cancer mortality rate in Serbia is one of the highest among European countries.

Pleuropulmonary blastoma (PPB) with central nervous system metastasis: case report, imaging findings, and review of literature.

Pleuropulmonary blastoma (PPB) is a very rare tumor of the chest seen predominantly in young children with great heterogeneity and clinical, biochemical, and biological complexity and recognized, described, and classified as distinct from the pulmonary blastoma typically encountered in adults. Unfortunately, it has a poor and dismal prognosis and is mainly classified as cystic (type 1), mixed type (type 2), and solid (type 3). Herein, we present one case of PPB type 2 presenting clinically with a right pulmonary abscess, a rare clinical presentation of PPB, which was initially treated with surgery, and after approximately 1 year of follow-up, pulmonary rest-recurrence and central nervous system secondary deposits were detected. When a large pleural-based mass is identified in a young child, PPB should also be considered, especially in a patient with a positive oncological family history. Suggestive findings include the absence of chest wall invasion, presence of pleural fluid, right-sided location, and heterogeneous native (NECT) low attenuation with variable postcontrast enhancement. The authors believe that a modern therapeutic approach should consider these results for a better understanding of the genetic nature and complex mechanism and process of PPB disease development (both clinical and preclinical data concerning PPB pathophysiology are still lacking and are not completely understood) so that it would be possible to establish new possible therapeutic options (i.e. nuclear medicine theranostics in PPB treatment, developments and innovation in FLASH radiotherapy and proton therapy) and approaches, and so that, given the severity of the disease, it would be possible to indicate the importance of genetic testing and counseling of close relatives. In line with the previous, the rapid development of artificial intelligence could potentially bring the development of a novel fusion of radio mics and semantic features and MRI-based machine learning in distinguishing PPB from similar pathology.

Identification of Novel Potent NSD2-PWWP1 Ligands Using Structure-Based Design and Computational Approaches.

Dysregulation of histone methyl transferase nuclear receptor-binding SET domain 2 (NSD2) has been implicated in several hematological and solid malignancies. NSD2 is a large multidomain protein that carries histone writing and histone reading functions. To date, identifying inhibitors of the enzymatic activity of NSD2 has proven challenging in terms of potency and SET domain selectivity. Inhibition of the NSD2-PWWP1 domain using small molecules has been considered as an alternative approach to reduce NSD2-unregulated activity. In this article, we present novel computational chemistry approaches, encompassing free energy perturbation coupled to machine learning (FEP/ML) models as well as virtual screening (VS) activities, to identify high-affinity NSD2 PWWP1 binders. Through these activities, we have identified the most potent NSD2-PWWP1 binder reported so far in the literature: compound 34 (pIC50 = 8.2). The compounds identified herein represent useful tools for studying the role of PWWP1 domains for inhibition of human NSD2.

The urine-to-plasma urea concentration ratio is associated with eGFR and eGFR decline over time in a population cohort.

BACKGROUND: Evaluation of renal function and of factors associated with its decline are important public health issues. Besides markers of glomerular function [e.g. glomerular filtration rate (GFR)], those of tubular functions are rarely evaluated. Urea, the most abundant urinary solute, is markedly concentrated in urine when compared with plasma. We explored the urine-to-plasma ratio of urea concentrations (U/P urea ratio) as a marker of tubular functions. METHODS: We evaluated the relationship of the U/P urea ratio with eGFR at baseline in 1043 participants (48 ± 17 years) from the Swiss Kidney Project on Genes in Hypertension (SKIPOGH) population-based cohort, using mixed regression. In 898 participants, we assessed the relation between U/P urea ratio and renal function decline between two study waves 3 years apart. We studied U/P ratios for osmolarity, Na, K and uric acid for comparison. RESULTS: In a transversal study at baseline, estimated GFR (eGFR) was positively associated with U/P-urea ratio [ßscaled = 0.08, 95% CI (0.04; 0.13)] but not with the U/P ratio of osmolarity. Considering separately participants with renal function >90 or ≤90 mL/min × 1.73 m2, this association was observed only in those with reduced renal function. In the longitudinal study, eGFR declined at a mean rate of 1.2 mL/min per year. A significant association was observed between baseline U/P urea ratio and eGFR decline [ßscaled = 0.08, 95% CI (0.01; 0.15)]. A lower baseline U/P urea ratio was associated with a greater eGFR decline. CONCLUSION: This study provides evidence that the U/P urea ratio is an early marker of kidney function decline in the general adult population. Urea is easy to measure with well-standardized techniques and at low cost. Thus, the U/P urea ratio could become an easily available tubular marker for evaluating renal function decline.

Towards a consensus definition of allostatic load: a multi-cohort, multi-system, multi-biomarker individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Allostatic load (AL) is a multi-system composite index for quantifying physiological dysregulation caused by life course stressors. For over 30 years, an extensive body of research has drawn on the AL framework but has been hampered by the lack of a consistent definition. METHODS: This study analyses data for 67,126 individuals aged 40-111 years participating in 13 different cohort studies and 40 biomarkers across 12 physiological systems: hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis, sympathetic-adrenal-medullary (SAM) axis, parasympathetic nervous system functioning, oxidative stress, immunological/inflammatory, cardiovascular, respiratory, lipidemia, anthropometric, glucose metabolism, kidney, and liver. We use individual-participant-data meta-analysis and exploit natural heterogeneity in the number and type of biomarkers that have been used across studies, but a common set of health outcomes (grip strength, walking speed, and self-rated health), to determine the optimal configuration of parameters to define the concept. RESULTS: There was at least one biomarker within 9/12 physiological systems that was reliably and consistently associated in the hypothesised direction with the three health outcomes in the meta-analysis of these cohorts: dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS), low frequency-heart rate variability (LF-HRV), C-reactive protein (CRP), resting heart rate (RHR), peak expiratory flow (PEF), high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), waist-to-height ratio (WtHR), HbA1c, and cystatin C. An index based on five biomarkers (CRP, RHR, HDL-C, WtHR and HbA1c) available in every study was found to predict an independent outcome - mortality - as well or better than more elaborate sets of biomarkers. DISCUSSION: This study has identified a brief 5-item measure of AL that arguably represents a universal and efficient set of biomarkers for capturing physiological 'wear and tear' and a further biomarker (PEF) that could usefully be included in future data collection.

Antigen rapid tests, nasopharyngeal PCR and saliva PCR to detect SARS-CoV-2: A prospective comparative clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Nasopharyngeal antigen Rapid Diagnostic Tests (RDTs), saliva RT-PCR and nasopharyngeal (NP) RT-PCR have shown different performance characteristics to detect patients infected by SARS-CoV-2, according to the viral load (VL)-and thus transmissibility. METHODS: In October 2020, we conducted a prospective trial involving patients presenting at testing centres with symptoms of COVID-19. We compared detection rates and performance of RDT, saliva PCR and nasopharyngeal (NP) PCR, according to VL and symptoms duration. RESULTS: Out of 949 patients enrolled, 928 patients had all three tests performed. Detection rates were 35.2% (95%CI 32.2-38.4%) by RDT, 39.8% (36.6-43.0%) by saliva PCR, 40.1% (36.9-43.3%) by NP PCR, and 41.5% (38.3-44.7%) by any test. For those with viral loads (VL) ≥106 copies/ml, detection rates were 30.3% (27.3-33.3), 31.4% (28.4-34.5), 31.5% (28.5-34.6), and 31.6% (28.6-34.7%) respectively. Sensitivity of RDT compared to NP PCR was 87.4% (83.6-90.6%) for all positive patients, 94.5% (91.5-96.7%) for those with VL≥105 and 96.5% (93.6-98.3%) for those with VL≥106. Sensitivity of STANDARD-Q®, Panbio™ and COVID-VIRO® Ag tests were 92.9% (86.4-96.9%), 86.1% (78.6-91.7%) and 84.1% (76.9-89.7%), respectively. For those with VL≥106, sensitivity was 96.6% (90.5-99.3%), 97.8% (92.1-99.7%) and 95.3% (89.4-98.5%) respectively. No patient with VL<104 was detected by RDT. Specificity of RDT was 100% (99.3-100%) compared to any PCR. RDT sensitivity was similar <4 days (87.8%, 83.5-91.3%) and ≥4 days (85.7%, 75.9-92.6%) after symptoms onset (p = 0.6). Sensitivity of saliva and NP PCR were 95.7% (93.1-97.5%) and 96.5% (94.1-98.1%), respectively, compared to the other PCR. CONCLUSIONS: RDT results allow rapid identification of COVID cases with immediate isolation of most contagious individuals. RDT can thus be a game changer both in ambulatory care and community testing aimed at stopping transmission chains, and even more so in resource-constrained settings thanks to its very low price. When PCR is performed, saliva could replace NP swabbing. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrial.gov Identifier: NCT04613310 (03/11/2020).

Life-course socioeconomic factors are associated with markers of epigenetic aging in a population-based study.

Adverse socioeconomic circumstances negatively affect the functioning of biological systems, but the underlying mechanisms remain only partially understood. Here, we explore the associations between life-course socioeconomic factors and four markers of epigenetic aging in a population-based setting. We included 684 participants (52 % women, mean age 52.6 ± 15.5 years) from a population and family-based Swiss study. We used nine life-course socioeconomic indicators as the main exposure variables, and four blood-derived, second generation markers of epigenetic aging as the outcome variables (Levine's DNAmPhenoAge, DunedinPoAm38, GrimAge epigenetic age acceleration (EAA), and the mortality risk score (MS)). First, we investigated the associations between socioeconomic indicators and markers of epigenetic aging via mixed-effect linear regression models, adjusting for age, sex, participant's recruitment center, familial structure (random-effect covariate), seasonality of blood sampling, and technical covariates. Second, we implemented counterfactual mediation analysis to investigate life-course and intermediate mechanisms underlying the socioeconomic gradient in epigenetic aging. Effect-size estimates were assessed using regression coefficients and counterfactual mediation parameters, along with their respective 95 % confidence intervals. Individuals reporting a low father's occupation, adverse financial conditions in childhood, a low income, having financial difficulties, or experiencing unfavorable socioeconomic trajectories were epigenetically older and had a higher mortality risk score than their more advantaged counterparts. Specifically, this corresponded to an average increase of 1.1-1.5 years for Levine's epigenetic age (ß and 95 %CI range, ß (minimum and maximum): 1.1-1.5 95 %CI[0.0-0.2; 2.3-3.0]), 1.1-1.5 additional years for GrimAge (ß: 1.1-1.5 95 %CI[0.2-0.6; 1.9-3.0]), a 1-3 % higher DunedinPoAm38 age acceleration (ß: 0.01-0.03 95 %CI[0.00; 0.03-0.04]), and a 10-50 % higher MS score (ß: 0.1-0.4 95 %CI[0.0-0.2; 0.3-0.4]) for the aforementioned socioeconomic indicators. By exploring the life-course mechanisms underlying the socioeconomic gradient in epigenetic aging, we found that both childhood and adulthood socioeconomic factors contributed to epigenetic aging, and that detrimental lifestyle factors mediated the relation between socioeconomic circumstances in adulthood and EAA (31-89 % mediated proportion). This study provides emerging evidence for an association between disadvantaged life-course socioeconomic circumstances and detrimental epigenetic aging patterns, supporting the "sensitive-period" life-course model. Counterfactual mediation analyses further indicated that the effect of socioeconomic factors in adulthood operates through detrimental lifestyle factors, whereas associations involving early-life socioeconomic factors were less clear.

Structure and Dynamics of Human Chemokine CCL16-Implications for Biological Activity.

Human C-C motif ligand 16 (CCL16) is a chemokine that is distinguished by a large cleavable C-terminal extension of unknown significance. Conflicting data have been reported concerning its tissue distribution and modulation of expression, rendering the biological function of CCL16 enigmatic. Here, we report an integrated approach to the characterisation of this chemokine, including a re-assessment of its expression characteristics as well as a biophysical investigation with respect to its structure and dynamics. Our data indicate that CCL16 is chiefly synthesised by hepatocytes, without an appreciable response to mediators of inflammation, and circulates in the blood as a full-length protein. While the crystal structure of CCL16 confirms the presence of a canonical chemokine domain, molecular dynamics simulations support the view that the C-terminal extension impairs the accessibility of the glycosaminoglycan binding sites and may thus serve as an intrinsic modulator of biological activity.

Blood DNA methylation signatures of lifestyle exposures: tobacco and alcohol consumption.

BACKGROUND: Smoking and alcohol consumption may compromise health by way of epigenetic modifications. Epigenetic signatures of alcohol and tobacco consumption could provide insights into the reversibility of phenotypic changes incurred with differing levels of lifestyle exposures. This study describes and validates two novel epigenetic signatures of tobacco (EpiTob) and alcohol (EpiAlc) consumption and investigates their association with disease outcomes. METHODS: The epigenetic signatures, EpiTob and EpiAlc, were developed using data from the Swiss Kidney Project on Genes in Hypertension (SKIPOGH) (N = 689). Epigenetic and phenotypic data available from the 1921 (N = 550) and 1936 (N = 1091) Lothian Birth Cohort (LBC) studies, and two publicly available datasets on GEO Accession (GSE50660, N = 464; and GSE110043, N = 94) were used to validate the signatures. A multivariable logistic regression model, adjusting for age and sex, was used to assess the association between self-reported tobacco or alcohol consumption and the respective epigenetic signature, as well as to estimate the association between CVD and epigenetic signatures. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the risk of mortality in association with the EpiTob and EpiAlc signatures. RESULTS: The EpiTob signature was positively associated with self-reported tobacco consumption for current or never smokers with explained variance ranging from 0.49 (LBC1921) to 0.72 (LBC1936) (pseudo-R2). In the SKIPOGH, LBC1921 and LBC1936 cohorts, the epigenetic signature for alcohol consumption explained limited variance in association with self-reported alcohol status [i.e., non-drinker, moderate drinker, and heavy drinker] (pseudo-R2 = 0.05, 0.03 and 0.03, respectively), although this improved considerably when measuring self-reported alcohol consumption with standardized units consumed per week (SKIPOGH R2 = 0.21; LBC1921 R2 = 0.31; LBC1936 R2 = 0.41). Both signatures were associated with history of CVD in SKIPOGH and LBC1936, but not in LBC1921. The EpiTob signature was associated with increased risk of all-cause and lung-cancer specific mortality in the 1936 and 1921 LBC cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: This study found the EpiTob and EpiAlc signatures to be well-correlated with self-reported exposure status and associated with long-term health outcomes. Epigenetic signatures of lifestyle exposures may reduce measurement issues and biases and could aid in risk stratification for informing early-stage targeted interventions.

Virtual Screening in the Cloud Identifies Potent and Selective ROS1 Kinase Inhibitors.

ROS1 rearrangements account for 1-2% of non-small cell lung cancer patients, yet there are no specifically designed, selective ROS1 therapies in the clinic. Previous knowledge of potent ROS1 inhibitors with selectivity over TrkA, a selected antitarget, enabled virtual screening as a hit finding approach in this project. The ligand-based virtual screening was focused on identifying molecules with a similar 3D shape and pharmacophore to the known actives. To that end, we turned to the AstraZeneca virtual library, estimated to cover 1015 synthesizable make-on-demand molecules. We used cloud computing-enabled FastROCS technology to search the enumerated 1010 subset of the full virtual space. A small number of specific libraries were prioritized based on the compound properties and a medicinal chemistry assessment and further enumerated with available building blocks. Following the docking evaluation to the ROS1 structure, the most promising hits were synthesized and tested, resulting in the identification of several potent and selective series. The best among them gave a nanomolar ROS1 inhibitor with over 1000-fold selectivity over TrkA and, from the preliminary established SAR, these have the potential to be further optimized. Our prospective study describes how conceptually simple shape-matching approaches can identify potent and selective compounds by searching ultralarge virtual libraries, demonstrating the applicability of such workflows and their importance in early drug discovery.

Virtual Screening Expands the Non-Natural Amino Acid Palette for Peptide Optimization.

Peptides are an important modality in drug discovery. While current peptide optimization focuses predominantly on the small number of natural and commercially available non-natural amino acids, the chemical spaces available for small molecule drug discovery are in the billions of molecules. In the present study, we describe the development of a large virtual library of readily synthesizable non-natural amino acids that can power the virtual screening protocols and aid in peptide optimization. To that end, we enumerated nearly 380 thousand amino acids and demonstrated their vast chemical diversity compared to the 20 natural and commercial residues. Furthermore, we selected a diverse ten thousand amino acid subset to validate our virtual screening workflow on the Keap1-Neh2 complex model system. Through in silico mutations of Neh2 peptide residues to those from the virtual library, our docking-based protocol identified a number of possible solutions with a significantly higher predicted affinity toward the Keap1 protein. This protocol demonstrates that the non-natural amino acid chemical space can be massively extended and virtually screened with a reasonable computational cost.

Epigenetic mechanisms of lung carcinogenesis involve differentially methylated CpG sites beyond those associated with smoking.

Smoking-related epigenetic changes have been linked to lung cancer, but the contribution of epigenetic alterations unrelated to smoking remains unclear. We sought for a sparse set of CpG sites predicting lung cancer and explored the role of smoking in these associations. We analysed CpGs in relation to lung cancer in participants from two nested case-control studies, using (LASSO)-penalised regression. We accounted for the effects of smoking using known smoking-related CpGs, and through conditional-independence network. We identified 29 CpGs (8 smoking-related, 21 smoking-unrelated) associated with lung cancer. Models additionally adjusted for Comprehensive Smoking Index-(CSI) selected 1 smoking-related and 49 smoking-unrelated CpGs. Selected CpGs yielded excellent discriminatory performances, outperforming information provided by CSI only. Of the 8 selected smoking-related CpGs, two captured lung cancer-relevant effects of smoking that were missed by CSI. Further, the 50 CpGs identified in the CSI-adjusted model complementarily explained lung cancer risk. These markers may provide further insight into lung cancer carcinogenesis and help improving early identification of high-risk patients.

PhenoExplorer: An Interactive Web-based Platform for Exploring (Epi)Genome-Wide Associations Using a Swiss Population-based Study.

The recent advent of high-throughput sequencing technologies has allowed exploring the contribution of thousands of genomic, epigenomic, transcriptomic, or proteomic variants to complex phenotypic traits. Here, we sought to conduct large-scale (Epi)Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS/EWAS) to investigate the associations between genomic (Single Nucleotide Polymorphism; SNP) and epigenomic (Cytosine-Phospho-Guanine; CpG) markers, with multiple phenotypic traits in a population-based context. We used data from SKIPOGH, a family- and population-based cohort conducted in the cities of Lausanne, Geneva, and Bern (N=1100). We used 7,577,572 SNPs, 420,444 CpGs, and 825 phenotypes, including anthropometric, clinical, blood, urine, metabolite, and metal measures. GWAS analyses assessed the associations between SNPs and metabolites and metals (N=279), using regression models adjusted for age, sex, recruitment center, and familial structure, whereas EWAS analyses explored the relations between CpGs and 825 phenotypes, additionally adjusting for the seasonality of blood sampling and technical nuisance. Following the implementation of GWAS and EWAS analyses, we developed a web-based platform, PhenoExplorer, aimed at providing an open access to the obtained results. Of the 279 phenotypes included in GWAS, 103 displayed significant associations with 2804 SNPs (2091 unique SNPs) at Bonferroni threshold, whereas 109 of the 825 phenotypes included in EWAS analyses were associated with 4893 CpGs (2578 unique CpGs). All of the obtained GWAS and EWAS results were eventually made available using the in-house built web-based PhenoExplorer platform, with the purpose of providing an open-access to the tested associations. In conclusion, we provide a comprehensive outline of GWAS and EWAS associations performed in a Swiss population-based study. Further, we set up a web-based PhenoExplorer platform with the purpose of contributing to the overall understanding of the role of molecular variants in regulating complex phenotypes.

Seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies, risk factors for infection and associated symptoms in Geneva, Switzerland: a population-based study.

Aims: To assess SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence over the first epidemic wave in the canton of Geneva, Switzerland, as well as risk factors for infection and symptoms associated with IgG seropositivity. Methods: Between April and June 2020, former participants of a representative survey of the 20-74-year-old population of canton Geneva were invited to participate in the study, along with household members aged over 5 years. Blood samples were tested for anti-SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin G. Questionnaires were self-administered. We estimated seroprevalence with a Bayesian model accounting for test performance and sampling design. Results: We included 8344 participants, with an overall adjusted seroprevalence of 7.8% (95% credible interval 6.8-8.9). Seroprevalence was highest among 18-49 year-olds (9.5%), and lowest in 5-9-year-old children (4.3%) and individuals >65 years (4.7-5.4%). Odds of seropositivity were significantly reduced for female retirees and unemployed men compared to employed individuals, and smokers compared to non-smokers. We found no significant association between occupation, level of education, neighborhood income and the risk of being seropositive. The symptom most strongly associated with seropositivity was anosmia/dysgeusia. Conclusions: Anti-SARS-CoV-2 population seroprevalence remained low after the first wave in Geneva. Socioeconomic factors were not associated with seropositivity in this sample. The elderly, young children and smokers were less frequently seropositive, although it is not clear how biology and behaviours shape these differences.

Investigating the Relations Between Caffeine-Derived Metabolites and Plasma Lipids in 2 Population-Based Studies.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relations between caffeine-derived metabolites (methylxanthines) and plasma lipids by use of population-based data from 2 European countries. METHODS: Families were randomly selected from the general population of northern Belgium (FLEMENGHO), from August 12, 1985, until November 22, 1990, and 3 Swiss cities (SKIPOGH), from November 25, 2009, through April 4, 2013. We measured plasma concentrations (FLEMENGHO, SKIPOGH) and 24-hour urinary excretions (SKIPOGH) of 4 methylxanthines-caffeine, paraxanthine, theobromine, and theophylline-using ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. We used enzymatic methods to estimate total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglyceride levels and the Friedewald equation for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels in plasma. We applied sex-specific mixed models to investigate associations between methylxanthines and plasma lipids, adjusting for major confounders. RESULTS: In both FLEMENGHO (N=1987; 1055 [53%] female participants) and SKIPOGH (N=990; 523 [53%] female participants), total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglyceride levels increased across quartiles of plasma caffeine, paraxanthine, and theophylline (total cholesterol levels by caffeine quartiles in FLEMENGHO, male participants: 5.01±0.06 mmol/L, 5.05±0.06 mmol/L, 5.27±0.06 mmol/L, 5.62±0.06 mmol/L; female participants: 5.24±0.06 mmol/L, 5.15±0.05 mmol/L, 5.25±0.05 mmol/L, 5.42±0.05 mmol/L). Similar results were observed using urinary methylxanthines in SKIPOGH (total cholesterol levels by caffeine quartiles, male participants: 4.54±0.08 mmol/L, 4.94±0.08 mmol/L, 4.87±0.08 mmol/L, 5.27±0.09 mmol/L; female participants: 5.12±0.07 mmol/L, 5.21±0.07 mmol/L, 5.28±0.05 mmol/L, 5.28±0.07 mmol/L). Furthermore, urinary caffeine and theophylline were positively associated with high-density lipoprotein cholesterol in SKIPOGH male participants. CONCLUSION: Plasma and urinary caffeine, paraxanthine, and theophylline were positively associated with plasma lipids, whereas the associations involving theobromine were less clear. We postulate that the positive association between caffeine intake and plasma lipids may be related to the sympathomimetic function of methylxanthines, mitigating the overall health-beneficial effect of caffeine intake.

Health Insurance Deductibles and Health Care-Seeking Behaviors in a Consumer-Driven Health Care System With Universal Coverage.

Importance: Characteristics of a health care system can facilitate forgoing of health care owing to economic reasons and can influence population health. Whether health insurance deductibles are associated with forgoing of health care in a consumer-driven health care system with universal coverage, such as the Swiss health system, remains to be determined. Objective: To assess the association between insurance plan deductibles and forgoing of health care with consideration of socioeconomic factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study was conducted in Geneva, Switzerland, using data collected from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2019. Population-based samples were obtained yearly through random stratified sampling by age and sex of the general population aged 20 to 74 years. Participants were invited to an appointment at 1 of the 3 study sites in Geneva, where they completed a sociodemographic and health questionnaire. Exposures: Insurance plan deductible level. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was forgoing of health care owing to economic reasons. Unadjusted and multivariable Poisson models were used to assess the association between deductible level and forgoing of health care. Differences in forgoing health care across the range of health insurance deductibles or household income levels were quantified using the relative index of inequality (RII). Results: The study group included 11 872 participants (5974 [50.3%] male; median age, 48.1 years [interquartile range, 38.7-59.1 years]); 1146 (9.7%) reported forgoing health care. Participants with high-deductible plans reported forgoing health care more frequently than those with low-deductible plans (331 [13.5%] vs 591 [8.7%]). In adjusted analysis, higher-deductible plans were associated with a greater likelihood of forgoing health care (RII, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.7-3.0; P < .001) independently of socioeconomic status, known comorbidities, and cardiovascular risk factors. Deductible level was associated with forgoing of health care among participants younger than 40 years (RII, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.6-4.0; P < .001) and those aged 40 to 64 years (RII, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.3-2.9; P = .002) but not among those older than 65 years (RII, 2.9; 95% CI, 0.8-10.4; P = .11). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study, high insurance plan deductibles were associated with forgoing of health care independent of socioeconomic status and preexisting conditions in a universal consumer-driven health care system with good population outcomes in Switzerland. Uncovering health care system design features that could lead to suboptimal population care may help decision makers improve their current health care system design to achieve better outcomes.

Insights into household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from a population-based serological survey.

Understanding the risk of infection from household- and community-exposures and the transmissibility of asymptomatic infections is critical to SARS-CoV-2 control. Limited previous evidence is based primarily on virologic testing, which disproportionately misses mild and asymptomatic infections. Serologic measures are more likely to capture all previously infected individuals. We apply household transmission models to data from a cross-sectional, household-based population serosurvey of 4,534 people ≥5 years from 2,267 households enrolled April-June 2020 in Geneva, Switzerland. We found that the risk of infection from exposure to a single infected household member aged ≥5 years (17.3%,13.7-21.7) was more than three-times that of extra-household exposures over the first pandemic wave (5.1%,4.5-5.8). Young children had a lower risk of infection from household members. Working-age adults had the highest extra-household infection risk. Seropositive asymptomatic household members had 69.4% lower odds (95%CrI,31.8-88.8%) of infecting another household member compared to those reporting symptoms, accounting for 14.5% (95%CrI, 7.2-22.7%) of all household infections.

Prospective Identification of Elevated Circulating CDCP1 in Patients Years before Onset of Lung Cancer.

Increasing evidence points to a role for inflammation in lung carcinogenesis. A small number of circulating inflammatory proteins have been identified as showing elevated levels prior to lung cancer diagnosis, indicating the potential for prospective circulating protein concentration as a marker of early carcinogenesis. To identify novel markers of lung cancer risk, we measured a panel of 92 circulating inflammatory proteins in 648 prediagnostic blood samples from two prospective cohorts in Italy and Norway (women only). To preserve the comparability of results and protect against confounding factors, the main statistical analyses were conducted in women from both studies, with replication sought in men (Italian participants). Univariate and penalized regression models revealed for the first time higher blood levels of CDCP1 protein in cases that went on to develop lung cancer compared with controls, irrespective of time to diagnosis, smoking habits, and gender. This association was validated in an additional 450 samples. Associations were stronger for future cases of adenocarcinoma where CDCP1 showed better explanatory performance. Integrative analyses combining gene expression and protein levels of CDCP1 measured in the same individuals suggested a link between CDCP1 and the expression of transcripts of LRRN3 and SEM1. Enrichment analyses indicated a potential role for CDCP1 in pathways related to cell adhesion and mobility, such as the WNT/ß-catenin pathway. Overall, this study identifies lung cancer-related dysregulation of CDCP1 expression years before diagnosis. SIGNIFICANCE: Prospective proteomics analyses reveal an association between increased levels of circulating CDCP1 and lung carcinogenesis irrespective of smoking and years before diagnosis, and integrating gene expression indicates potential underlying mechanisms.See related commentary by Itzstein et al., p. 3441.