STOPPING NUCLEOS(T)IDE ANALOGUES IN CHRONIC HEPATITIS B USING HBSAG THRESHOLDS: A META-ANALYSIS AND META-REGRESSION.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recommendations for stopping nucleoside analogue(NA) therapy in HBeAg-negative Chronic Hepatitis B(CHB) are unclear. End-of-treatment quantitative HBsAg(EOTqHBsAg) thresholds<100IU/ml or <1000IU/ml have been proposed as stopping criterion. We assessed this by meta-analysis and meta-regression. DESIGN: We searched PubMed, EMBASE and conference abstracts for studies of HBeAg-negative CHB NA discontinuation. Extracted studies were analysed for risk-of-bias, pooled risk of HBsAg loss, virological(VR) and biochemical relapse(BR). Significant heterogeneity(I2) was addressed by subgroup analysis and random-effects meta-regression with known important covariables, including EOTqHBsAg thresholds, ethnicity, duration of therapy and followup. RESULTS: We found 24 papers(3732 subjects), 16 had low and 8 had moderate risk of bias. The pooled risks of HBsAg loss, VR and BR for stopping therapy at EOTqHBsAg<100IU/ml were 41.8%, 33.4% and 17.3%, versus 4.6%, 72.1% and 34.6% respectively for EOTqHBsAg≥100IU/ml. The pooled risks of HBsAg loss, VR and BR for stopping therapy at EOTqHBsAg<1000IU/ml were 22.0%, 52.7% and 15.9%, versus 3.4%, 63.8% and 26.4% respectively for EOTqHBsAg≥1000IU/ml. Multivariable analysis for HBsAg loss showed ethnicity, followup duration and EOTqHBsAg<100≥IU/ml explained 85% of the variance in heterogeneity; Asians with EOTqHBsAg<100IU/ml had 28.2%, while non-Asians with EOTqHBsAg<1000IU/ml had 38.4% HBsAg loss. Multivariable analysis showed EOTqHBsAg<100≥IU/ml and other covariables only explained 43% and 63% of the variance in heterogeneity for VR and BR respectively, suggesting that other factors are also important for relapse. CONCLUSIONS: While EOTqHBsAg thresholds, ethnicity and followup duration strongly predict HBsAg loss, this is not true for VR and BR, hence stopping NA therapy should be considered cautiously.

Quantitative HBeAg is a strong predictor of HBeAg loss among patients receiving pegylated interferon.

BACKGROUND: HBeAg loss is an important endpoint for antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB), however there are no reliable biomarkers to identify patients who will respond to the addition of pegylated interferon to nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy. AIM: To evaluate the use of serum biomarkers to predict HBeAg loss. METHODS: HBeAg positive CHB participants on NAs who switched-to or added-on 48 weeks pegylated interferon alpha2b (clinicaltrial.gov NCT01928511) were evaluated at week 72 for HBeAg loss. The predictive ability of qHBeAg, qHBsAg, HBV RNA and clinical variables for HBeAg loss were investigated. RESULTS: HBeAg loss occurred in 15/55 (27.3%) participants who completed 48 weeks of pegylated interferon. There was a lower baseline qHBeAg (1.18 IU/mL [2.27] versus 10.04 IU/mL [24.87], P = 0.007) among participants who lost HBeAg. Baseline qHBeAg (OR = 0.15, 95% CI 0.03-0.66, P = 0.01) and detectable HBV DNA at baseline (OR = 25.00, 95% CI 1.67-374.70, P = 0.02) were independent predictors of HBeAg loss. In addition, on-treatment qHBeAg was also a strong predictor of HBeAg loss (OR = 0.39, 95% CI 0.18-0.81, P = 0.012). The models combining detectable baseline HBV DNA with baseline (C-statistic 0.82) and on-treatment (C-statistic 0.83) had good accuracy for predicting HBeAg loss. A rise in qHBeAg ≥ 10 IU/ml was a predictor of flare (ALT ≥ 120 U/ml) on univariable analysis but not after adjustment for treatment arm. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline and on-treatment qHBeAg is a useful biomarker that can identify participants on NA therapy who may benefit from adding or switching to pegylated interferon.

Switching to or Add-on Peginterferon in Patients on Nucleos(t)ide Analogues for Chronic Hepatitis B: The SWAP RCT.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The optimal therapeutic strategy in nucleoside analogue (NA) experienced chronic hepatitis B (CHB) using peginterferon is still unclear; hence we explored a switch to or add-on peginterferon strategy versus continued NA. METHODS: We conducted a randomized controlled trial of CHB patients on NA >12 months with HBV DNA(-) randomized to switch or add-on peginterferon-alpha2b (1.5 µg/kg/weekly) for 48 weeks versus continuing NA (controls) (allocation 2:2:1; Clinicaltrial.gov: NCT01928511) in tertiary Singapore hospitals. The primary composite endpoint at week 72 was hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) loss or quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg) >1 log IU/mL reduction, and secondary endpoints were HBsAg loss, HBsAg seroconversion, qHBsAg <200 IU/mL, qHBsAg <100 IU/mL, HBV DNA(-), viral relapse, and safety. Analysis was by intention-to-treat (ITT). RESULTS: A total of 253 patients (controls 51, switch 103, add-on 99) were randomized. The primary ITT endpoint was achieved in 3.9% of controls, 33.3% of switch, and 26.7% of add-on (P < .0001, switch/add-on versus controls). HBsAg loss occurred in 0% of controls, 7.8% of switch, and 10.1% of add-on (ITT, P < .001, switch/add-on versus controls). HBeAg(+) patients on peginterferon had higher HBeAg loss than controls but poor HBsAg responses, whereas HBeAg(-) patients on peginterferon achieved better HBsAg responses than controls. Reduction in qHBsAg in HBeAg(+) was 0.14 log IU/mL versus 0.51 log IU/mL in HBeAg(-) (P < .0001) in peginterferon-treated patients. Clinical relapse was higher in switch (13.6% overall, 27% in HBeAg(+)) versus 1% add-on and 0% controls. Adverse events were typically interferon-related symptoms, with one death (myocardial infarction unrelated to therapy). CONCLUSIONS: ITT analysis showed that either peginterferon strategies were superior to NA for the primary endpoint and HBsAg loss, but add-on peginterferon is preferred to switch due to improved safety and similar efficacy. ClincialTrials.gov number: NCT01928511.

Comparative biomarkers for HBsAg loss with antiviral therapy shows dominant influence of quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg).

BACKGROUND: Biomarkers such as quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg), quantitative hepatitis B virus (HBV) core-related antigen (qHBcrAg) and HBV RNA may be useful in predicting HBsAg loss in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) undergoing antiviral therapy. AIM(S): Our study evaluated qHBsAg, HBV RNA and qHBcrAg as a posthoc analysis of a randomized clinical trial of peginterferon±NA to determine their utility in predicting HBsAg loss. METHODS: CHB patients who completed therapy with 48weeks peginterferon alpha2b ± nucleoside analogue therapy (clinicaltrial.gov NCT01928511) were evaluated at week 72 for HBsAg loss. The predictive ability of qHBsAg, qHBcrAg, HBV RNA and other variables were investigated by univariate and multivariate logistic models for HBeAg-negative patients by odds ratios, area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR). RESULTS: HBsAg loss occurred in 15/114(13%) HBeAg-negative CHB patients who completed 48 weeks of peginterferon. At baseline, qHBsAg was superior to HBcrAg and HBV RNA with AUC 0.916, 0.649 and 0.542, respectively. Using multivariate analysis, the model comprising treatmentarm, age, gender, baseline qHBsAg, HBcrAg and HBV RNA, weeks 4 & 8 qHBsAg had the highest AUC(0.98), but the univariate model with week 8 qHBsAg <70 IU/mL had AUC 0.96. Hence, the contributions of variables other than qHBsAg were marginal. HBV RNA and qHBcrAg were weak predictors of HBsAg loss. Kinetics of the novel markers showed only qHBsAg had a good relationship with HBsAg loss while HBV RNA had a marginal relationship and HBcrAg did not change at all, and none had a good relationship with viral rebound. CONCLUSIONS: On-treatment biomarker predictors were better than baseline ones, and the best predictor of HBsAg loss at 72 weeks was week 8 qHBsAg <70 IU/mL.

Validation of genetic variants associated with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease in an ethnic Chinese population.

BACKGROUND: Genetic factors play an important role in the pathogenesis and development of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). AIM: To study the association of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), previously identified in Western populations, with the risk of MAFLD in a Singapore Chinese population and their interactions with environmental and medical risk factors. METHODS: A retrospective case-control study was conducted with 72 MAFLD cases and 72 controls with no hepatic steatosis on computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, or controlled attenuation parameter score. Subjects were recruited from two tertiary hospitals. Genetic alleles such as NCAN, GCKR, LYPLAL1, PNPLA3, PPP1R3B, FDFT1, COL13A1, EFCAB4B, PZP, and TM6SF2 were genotyped using the TaqMan® Predesigned SNP Genotyping Assay. RESULTS: Weight and body mass index (BMI) were 1.2-times higher in patients (70.6 kg, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 57.1-84.1 vs 60.8 kg, 95%CI: 48.5-73.1, P < 0.001 and 26.9 kg, 95%CI: 23-40.8 vs 23.3 kg 95%CI: 19-27.6, P < 0.001 respectively). The prevalence of diabetes mellitus in patients was 40.3% and 20.8% in controls (P = 0.011). Patients had higher mean triglycerides than controls (P < 0.001). PNPLA3 GG was more likely to be associated with MAFLD (43.4% CC vs 69.7% GG, P = 0.017, and 44.8% CG vs 69.7% GG, P = 0.022). In multivariable analysis, hypertriglyceridemia (odds ratio [OR]: 2.04 95%CI: 1.3-3.1, P = 0.001), BMI (OR: 1.2 95%CI: 1.1-1.4, P < 0.001) and PNPLA3 GG (OR: 3.4 95%CI: 1.3-9.2, P = 0.014) were associated with MAFLD (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.823). CONCLUSION: Among the Chinese population of Singapore, PNPLA3 homozygous GG allele is a strong predictor of MAFLD, whereas LYPLAL1, GCKR, FDFT1, COL13A1, PZP, and TM6SF2 are not significantly associated. Hypertriglyceridemia, high BMI, and PNPLA3 GG are independent predictors of MAFLD.

Risk factors for ribavirin treatment failure in Asian organ transplant recipients with chronic hepatitis E infection.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection is a cause of chronic hepatitis in immunosuppressed patients. Sustained virologic response rates to a 12-wk course of ribavirin therapy were reported to be > 70% in the West. This study describes the outcome of HEV treatment in a transplant center in Singapore. AIM: To study the outcome of ribavirin treatment in a series of chronic HEV patients, and the cause of treatment failure. METHODS: We studied all of the transplant recipients who were diagnosed with HEV infection between 2012 to 2015. The outcome of therapy and virologic relapse are monitored for three years after the end of therapy. RESULTS: Ten transplant recipients (4 liver, 5 kidney, and 1 bone marrow transplantation) with positive HEV RNA were studied. Nine patients received at least 12 wk of ribavirin therapy, and the remaining patient resolved after reducing immunosuppression therapy. Two subjects had prolonged viremia that lasted more than one year, despite continuous ribavirin therapy. Four ribavirin-treated patients (44.4%) had HEV RNA relapse after achieving a virologic response by the end of treatment. The overall failure rate is 66.7%. Being a kidney transplant recipient is the strongest risk factor for not achieving an initial sustained virologic response (0/5 treated, Chi-Square test, P < 0.05). The most common side effect of ribavirin is anemia (100%) (haemoglobin reduction of 3-6.2 g/dL). Seven patients required either a blood transfusion or erythropoietin therapy. CONCLUSION: The sustained virologic response rate of 12-wk ribavirin therapy for HEV infection in this Asian series was lower than expected. Kidney transplant recipients had a higher rate of treatment failure due to higher immunosuppression requirements and adverse effects.

Findings from a large Asian chronic hepatitis C real-life study.

There is a paucity of information on chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients treated with direct antiviral agents (DAAs) in Asia. We invited Asia-Pacific physicians to collate databases of patients enrolled for CHC treatment, recording baseline clinical, virologic and biochemical characteristics, sustained virologic response at week 12 (SVR12) and virologic failure. SVR12 outcome was based on intention to treat (ITT). Multivariate analysis was used to assess independent risk factors for SVR12 using SPSS version 20. A total of 2171 patients from India (n = 977), Myanmar (n = 552), Pakistan (n = 406), Thailand (n = 139), Singapore (n = 72) and Malaysia (n = 25) were collected. At baseline, mean age was 49 years, 50.2% were males, and 41.8% had cirrhosis. Overall, SVR12 was 89.5% and by genotype (GT) based on ITT and treatment completion, respectively, was 91% and 92% for GT1, 100% and 100% for GT2, 91% and 97% for GT3, 64% and 95% for GT4, 87% and 87% for GT6 and 79% and 91% for GT untested. Patients with cirrhosis had SVR12 of 85% vs 93% for noncirrhosis (P < 0.001) (RR 2.1, 95% CI 1.4-3.1, P = 0.0002). Patients with GT1 and GT3 treated with sofosbuvir/ribavirin (SR) had 88% and 89% SVR12, respectively, but those GT6 treated with sofosbuvir/ledipasvir (SL) had only 77.6% SVR12. Multivariate analysis showed absence of cirrhosis was associated with higher SVR12 (OR 2.0, 95% CI 1.3-3.1, P = 0.002). In conclusion, patients with GT1 and GT3 with/without cirrhosis had surprisingly high efficacy using SR, suggesting that Asians may respond better to some DAAs. However, poor GT6 response to SL suggests this regimen is suboptimal for this genotype.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure in a multi-ethnic Asian city: A comparison of patients identified by Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver and European Association for the Study of the Liver definitions.

AIM: To explore the applicability of the Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) and European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) guidelines for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in profiling patients and determining the outcome. METHODS: Patients admitted to a tertiary hospital in Singapore with acute decompensation of liver disease from January 2004 to July 2014 are screened for ACLF according to the APASL and EASL criteria. The patients' data (including basic demographics, information about existing chronic liver disease, information about the acute decompensation, relevant laboratory values during admission, treatment, and outcome) are retrospectively analyzed to determine the background, precipitating factors and outcome. RESULTS: A total of 458 liver patients is analyzed, and 78 patients with ACLF are identified. Sixty-three patients (80.8%) meet the APASL criteria, 64 patients (82.1%) meet the EASL criteria, and 49 patients (62.8%) fulfilled both criteria. The most common causes of acute liver injury are bacterial infections (59.0%), hepatitis B flare (29.5%), and variceal bleeding (24.4%). The common aetiologies of the underlying chronic disease included hepatitis B (43.6%), alcoholic (20.5%) and cryptogenic (11.5%) liver disease. The overall mortality rate is 61.5%. Increased age, the number of organ failures (as per CLIF-SOFA score), peak creatinine, INR, and amylase levels are associated with increased mortality or the need for liver transplantation. 14.3% of patients undergo liver transplantation with a 100% 1-year survival rate. CONCLUSION: Both APASL and EASL criteria have identified ACLF patients with high three-month mortality, but those who fulfill APASL criteria alone have a better survival.

Search for a cure for chronic hepatitis B infection: How close are we?

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) remains a significant unmet medical need, with 240 million chronically infected persons worldwide. It can be controlled effectively with either nucleoside/nucleotide-based or interferon-based therapies. However, most patients receiving these therapies will relapse after treatment withdrawal. During recent years, the advances in molecular biology and immunology have enabled a better understanding of the viral-host interaction and inspired new treatment approaches to achieve either elimination of the virus from the liver or durable immune control of the infection. This review aims to provide a brief overview on the potential new therapies that may overcome the challenge of persistent CHB infection in the near future.