Artificial intelligence methods to estimate overall mortality and non-relapse mortality following allogeneic HCT in the modern era: an EBMT-TCWP study.

Allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) has curative potential counterbalanced by its toxicity. Prognostic scores fail to include current era patients and alternative donors. We examined adult patients from the EBMT registry who underwent alloHCT between 2010 and 2019 for oncohaematological disease. Our primary objective was to develop a new prognostic score for overall mortality (OM), with a secondary objective of predicting non-relapse mortality (NRM) using the OM score. AI techniques were employed. The model for OM was trained, optimized, and validated using 70%, 15%, and 15% of the data set, respectively. The top models, "gradient boosting" for OM (AUC = 0.64) and "elasticnet" for NRM (AUC = 0.62), were selected. The analysis included 33,927 patients. In the final prognostic model, patients with the lowest score had a 2-year OM and NRM of 18 and 13%, respectively, while those with the highest score had a 2-year OM and NRM of 82 and 93%, respectively. The results were consistent in the subset of the haploidentical cohort (n = 4386). Our score effectively stratifies the risk of OM and NRM in the current era but do not significantly improve mortality prediction. Future prognostic scores can benefit from identifying biological or dynamic markers post alloHCT.

Trends in allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation for myelofibrosis in Europe between 1995 and 2018: a CMWP of EBMT retrospective analysis.

We performed a retrospective assessment of patient- and transplant-specific characteristics and outcomes for 4142 patients undergoing allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplant for myelofibrosis between 1995 and 2018 across 278 centres. Activity increased steadily across the four analysed eras (<2006, 2006-2010, 2011-2014 and 2015-2018). Median recipient age increased over time between the earliest and most recent cohort (49.4 years (range, 20.1-68) versus 59.3 years (range, 18.1-78.1). Increasing number of patients with a Karnofsky performance status <90 underwent transplant over time. Increased utilisation of matched unrelated donors was apparent (<2006, 22.5% versus 2015-18, 45.2%; p < 0.001). Decreased use of myeloablative conditioning, increased use of busulphan-based platforms and anti-thymocyte globulin was evident. Of note, rates of acute (a)GVHD grade II-IV by day +100 decreased over time (p = 0.027) as did rates of chronic (c) GVHD, predominantly extensive cGVHD (<2006, 36% (31-41%) versus 2015-18, 23% (21-25%); p = 0.001). Overall, significant factors associated with worse overall survival and non-relapse mortality (NRM) remained older age, use of donors other than matched sibling, recipient CMV seropositivity and a lower Karnofsky performance status (<90). Multivariable analysis demonstrated improvements in overall survival and reductions in relapse risk over time with stable NRM rates despite increasing numbers of older, less fit patients and use of unrelated donors.

Therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes deserve specific diagnostic sub-classification and risk-stratification-an approach to classification of patients with t-MDS.

In the current World Health Organization (WHO)-classification, therapy-related myelodysplastic syndromes (t-MDS) are categorized together with therapy-related acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and t-myelodysplastic/myeloproliferative neoplasms into one subgroup independent of morphologic or prognostic features. Analyzing data of 2087 t-MDS patients from different international MDS groups to evaluate classification and prognostication tools we found that applying the WHO classification for p-MDS successfully predicts time to transformation and survival (both p < 0.001). The results regarding carefully reviewed cytogenetic data, classifications, and prognostic scores confirmed that t-MDS are similarly heterogeneous as p-MDS and therefore deserve the same careful differentiation regarding risk. As reference, these results were compared with 4593 primary MDS (p-MDS) patients represented in the International Working Group for Prognosis in MDS database (IWG-PM). Although a less favorable clinical outcome occurred in each t-MDS subset compared with p-MDS subgroups, FAB and WHO-classification, IPSS-R, and WPSS-R separated t-MDS patients into differing risk groups effectively, indicating that all established risk factors for p-MDS maintained relevance in t-MDS, with cytogenetic features having enhanced predictive power. These data strongly argue to classify t-MDS as a separate entity distinct from other WHO-classified t-myeloid neoplasms, which would enhance treatment decisions and facilitate the inclusion of t-MDS patients into clinical studies.

[Successful treatment of acquired hemophilia A with recombinant porcine factor VIII]. / Erfolgreiche Behandlung einer erworbenen Hemmkörperhämophilie A mit rekombinantem porcinem Faktor VIII.

Acquired hemophilia A is a rare, potentially life-threatening disease resulting from autoantibodies against coagulation factor VIII. We report the case of a patient with acquired hemophilia A and severe bleeding after incision of a peritonsillar abscess. Treatment with high dose factor VIII and recombinant activated factor VII failed to control bleeding. However, a single infusion of recombinant porcine factor VIII stopped bleeding efficiently and resulted in measurable factor VIII levels.

Proposals for revised IWG 2018 hematological response criteria in patients with MDS included in clinical trials.

The heterogeneity of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDSs) has made evaluating patient response to treatment challenging. In 2006, the International Working Group (IWG) proposed a revision to previously published standardized response criteria (IWG 2000) for uniformly evaluating clinical responses in MDSs. These IWG 2006 criteria have been used prospectively in many clinical trials in MDSs, but proved challenging in several of them, especially for the evaluation of erythroid response. In this report, we provide rationale for modifications (IWG 2018) of these recommendations, mainly for "hematological improvement" criteria used for lower-risk MDSs, based on recent practical and reported experience in clinical trials. Most suggestions relate to erythroid response assessment, which are refined in an overall more stringent manner. Two major proposed changes are the differentiation between "procedures" and "criteria" for hematologic improvement-erythroid assessment and a new categorization of transfusion-burden subgroups.

The IPSS-R has prognostic impact in untreated patients with MDS del(5q).

The IPSS-R proved to be a powerful tool for the assessment of prognosis in MDS patients. We aimed at a validation of the IPSS-R for patients with MDS harboring deletion (5q) isolated or accompanied by additional aberrations. The study was based on 444 MDS patients from MDS centers in Europe. 67% of the patients were female, median age was 69 years. 43.5% had MDS del(5q), 5.9% were diagnosed with RCUD, 2.0% RARS, 18.4% RCMD, 14.6% RAEB-I and 15.5% RAEB-II. According to the IPSS-R, there were 9.9% very low, 39.6% low, 16.6% intermediate, 12.8% high, 20.9% very high risk patients. For very low risk patients survival was 7.5 years, low 9.0 years, intermediate 6.5 years, high 1.5 years and very high 0.7 years (p < 0.001). For low and intermediate risk, the probability of AML evolution was significantly different (p = 0.03) as well as for high versus very high risk groups (p = 0.002). The IPSS-R proved to be an appropriate prognostic tool for MDS with del(5q).

Intermediate-dose cytarabine plus mitoxantrone versus standard-dose cytarabine plus daunorubicin for acute myeloid leukemia in elderly patients.

Background: The combination of intermediate-dose cytarabine plus mitoxantrone (IMA) can induce high complete remission rates with acceptable toxicity in elderly patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). We present the final results of a randomized-controlled trial comparing IMA with the standard 7 + 3 induction regimen consisting of continuous infusion cytarabine plus daunorubicin (DA). Patients and methods: Patients with newly diagnosed AML >60 years were randomized to receive either intermediate-dose cytarabine (1000 mg/m2 twice daily on days 1, 3, 5, 7) plus mitoxantrone (10 mg/m2 days 1-3) (IMA) or standard induction therapy with cytarabine (100 mg/m2 continuously days 1-7) plus daunorubicin (45 mg/m2 days 3-5) (DA). Patients in complete remission after DA received intermediate-dose cytarabine plus amsacrine as consolidation treatment, whereas patients after IMA were consolidated with standard-dose cytarabine plus mitoxantrone. Results: Between February 2005 and October 2009, 485 patients were randomized; 241 for treatment arm DA and 244 for IMA; 76% of patients were >65 years. The complete response rate after DA was 39% [95% confidence interval (95% CI): 33-45] versus 55% (95% CI: 49-61) after IMA (odds ratio 1.89, P = 0.001). The 6-week early-death rate was 14% in both arms. Relapse-free survival curves were superimposable in the first year, but separated afterwards, resulting in 3-year relapse-free survival rates of 29% versus 14% in the DA versus IMA arms, respectively (P = 0.042). The median overall survival was 10 months in both arms (P = 0.513). Conclusion: The dose escalation of cytarabine in induction therapy lead to improved remission rates in the elderly AML patients. This did not translate into a survival advantage, most likely due to differences in consolidation treatment. Thus, effective consolidation strategies need to be further explored. In combination with an effective consolidation strategy, the use of intermediate-dose cytarabine in induction may improve curative treatment for elderly AML patients.

An optimized targeted Next-Generation Sequencing approach for sensitive detection of single nucleotide variants.

Monitoring of minimal residual disease (MRD) has become an important clinical aspect for early relapse detection during follow-up care after cancer treatment. Still, the sensitive detection of single base pair point mutations via Next-Generation Sequencing (NGS) is hampered mainly due to high substitution error rates. We evaluated the use of NGS for the detection of low-level variants on an Ion Torrent PGM system. As a model case we used the c.1849G > T (p.Val617Phe) mutation of the JAK2-gene. Several reaction parameters (e.g. choice of DNA-polymerase) were evaluated and a comprehensive analysis of substitution errors was performed. Using optimized conditions, we reliably detected JAK2 c.1849G > T VAFs in the range of 0.01-0.0015% which, in combination with results obtained from clinical data, validated the feasibility of NGS-based MRD detection. Particularly, PCR-induced transitions (mainly G > A and C > T) were the major source of error, which could be significantly reduced by the application of proofreading enzymes. The integration of NGS results for several common point mutations in various oncogenes (i.e. IDH1 and 2, c-KIT, DNMT3A, NRAS, KRAS, BRAF) revealed that the prevalent transition vs. transversion bias (3.57:1) has an impact on site-specific detection limits of low-level mutations. These results may help to select suitable markers for MRD detection and to identify individual cut-offs for detection and quantification.

A phase 3 randomized placebo-controlled trial of darbepoetin alfa in patients with anemia and lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes.

The use of darbepoetin alfa to treat anemia in patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) was evaluated in a phase 3 trial. Eligible patients had low/intermediate-1 risk MDS, hemoglobin ⩽10 g/dl, low transfusion burden and serum erythropoietin (EPO) ⩽500 mU/ml. Patients were randomized 2:1 to receive 24 weeks of subcutaneous darbepoetin alfa 500 µg or placebo every 3 weeks (Q3W), followed by 48 weeks of open-label darbepoetin alfa. A total of 147 patients were randomized, with median hemoglobin of 9.3 (Q1:8.8, Q3:9.7) g/dl and median baseline serum EPO of 69 (Q1:36, Q3:158) mU/ml. Transfusion incidence from weeks 5-24 was significantly lower with darbepoetin alfa versus placebo (36.1% (35/97) versus 59.2% (29/49), P=0.008) and erythroid response rates increased significantly with darbepoetin alfa (14.7% (11/75 evaluable) versus 0% (0/35 evaluable), P=0.016). In the 48-week open-label period, dose frequency increased from Q3W to Q2W in 81% (102/126) of patients; this was associated with a higher hematologic improvement-erythroid response rate (34.7% (34/98)). Safety results were consistent with a previous darbepoetin alfa phase 2 MDS trial. In conclusion, 24 weeks of darbepoetin alfa Q3W significantly reduced transfusions and increased rates of erythroid response with no new safety signals in lower-risk MDS (registered as EudraCT#2009-016522-14 and NCT#01362140).

Characteristics and outcome of patients with therapy-related acute promyelocytic leukemia front-line treated with or without arsenic trioxide.

Therapy-related acute promyelocytic leukemia (t-APL) is relatively rare, with limited data on outcome after treatment with arsenic trioxide (ATO) compared to standard intensive chemotherapy (CTX). We evaluated 103 adult t-APL patients undergoing treatment with all-trans retinoic acid (ATRA) alone (n=7) or in combination with ATO (n=24), CTX (n=53), or both (n=19). Complete remissions were achieved after induction therapy in 57% with ATRA, 100% with ATO/ATRA, 78% with CTX/ATRA, and 95% with CTX/ATO/ATRA. Early death rates were 43% for ATRA, 0% for ATO/ATRA, 12% for CTX/ATRA and 5% for CTX/ATO/ATRA. Three patients relapsed, two developed therapy-related acute myeloid leukemia and 13 died in remission including seven patients with recurrence of the prior malignancy. Median follow-up for survival was 3.7 years. None of the patients treated with ATRA alone survived beyond one year. Event-free survival was significantly higher after ATO-based therapy (95%, 95% CI, 82-99%) as compared to CTX/ATRA (78%, 95% CI, 64-87%; P=0.042), if deaths due to recurrence of the prior malignancy were censored. The estimated 2-year overall survival in intensively treated patients was 88% (95% CI, 80-93%) without difference according to treatment (P=0.47). ATO when added to ATRA or CTX/ATRA is feasible and leads to better outcomes as compared to CTX/ATRA in t-APL.

Pomalidomide in myeloproliferative neoplasm-associated myelofibrosis.

Myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN)-associated myelofibrosis is a MPN characterized by bone marrow fibrosis, cytopenias, splenomegaly and constitutional symptoms. Pomalidomide, an immune-modifying drug, is reported to improve anaemia and thrombocytopenia in some patients with MPN-associated myelofibrosis. We designed a phase 2 study of pomalidomide in patients with MPN-associated myelofibrosis and anaemia and/or thrombocytopenia and/or neutropenia. Subjects received pomalidomide 2.0 mg/day in cohort 1 (n=38) or 0.5 mg/day in cohort 2 (n=58). Prednisolone was added if there was no response after 3 months in cohort 1 and based on up-front randomization in cohort 2 if there was no response at 3 or 6 months. Response rates were 39% (95% confidence interval (CI), 26-55%) in cohort 1 and 24% (95% CI, 15-37%) in cohort 2. In a multivariable logistic regression model pomalidomide at 2.0 mg/day (odds ratio (OR), 2.62; 95% CI, 1.00-6.87; P=0.05) and mutated TET2 (OR, 5.07; 95% CI, 1.16-22.17; P=0.03) were significantly associated with responses. Median duration of responses was 13.0 months (range 0.9-52.7). There was no significant difference in response rates or duration in subjects receiving or not receiving prednisolone. Clinical trial MPNSG 01-09 is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT00949364) and clinicaltrialsregister.eu (EudraCT Number: 2009-010738-23).

Prognostic pre-transplant factors in myelodysplastic syndromes primarily treated by high dose allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation: a retrospective study of the MDS subcommittee of the CMWP of the EBMT.

Many pre-transplant factors are known to influence the outcome of allogeneic stem cell transplantation (SCT) treatment in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). However, patient cohorts are often heterogeneous by disease stage and treatment modalities, which complicates interpretation of the results. This study aimed to obtain a homogeneous patient cohort by including only de novo MDS patients who received upfront allogeneic SCT after standard high dose myelo-ablative conditioning. The effect of pre-transplant factors such as age, disease stage, transfusions, iron parameters and comorbidity on overall survival (OS), non-relapse mortality (NRM), and relapse incidence (RI) was evaluated in 201 patients. In this cohort, characterized by low comorbidity and a short interval between diagnosis and transplantation, NRM was the most determinant factor for survival after SCT (47 % after 2-year follow-up). WHO classification and transfusion burden were the only modalities with a significant impact on overall survival after SCT. Estimated hazard ratios (HR) showed a strongly increased risk of death, NRM and RI, in patients with a high transfusion-burden (HR 1.99; P = 0.006, HR of 1.89; P = 0.03 and HR 2.67; P = 0.03). The HR's for ferritin level and comorbidity were not significantly increased.