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1.
Math Biosci Eng ; 20(9): 16194-16211, 2023 08 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37920009

RESUMEN

While Bayesian networks (BNs) offer a promising approach to discussing factors related to many diseases, little attention has been poured into chronic kidney disease with mental illness (KDMI) using BNs. This study aimed to explore the complex network relationships between KDMI and its related factors and to apply Bayesian reasoning for KDMI, providing a scientific reference for its prevention and treatment. Data was downloaded from the online open database of CHARLS 2018, a population-based longitudinal survey. Missing values were first imputed using Random Forest, followed by propensity score matching (PSM) for class balancing regarding KDMI. Elastic Net was then employed for variable selection from 18 variables. Afterwards, the remaining variables were included in BNs model construction. Structural learning of BNs was achieved using tabu algorithm and the parameter learning was conducted using maximum likelihood estimation. After PSM, 427 non-KDMI cases and 427 KDMI cases were included in this study. Elastic Net identified 11 variables significantly associated with KDMI. The BNs model comprised 12 nodes and 24 directed edges. The results suggested that diabetes, physical activity, education levels, sleep duration, social activity, self-report on health and asset were directly related factors for KDMI, whereas sex, age, residence and Internet access represented indirect factors for KDMI. BN model not only allows for the exploration of complex network relationships between related factors and KDMI, but also could enable KDMI risk prediction through Bayesian reasoning. This study suggests that BNs model holds great prospects in risk factor detection for KDMI.


Asunto(s)
Trastornos Mentales , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Teorema de Bayes , Algoritmos , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Trastornos Mentales/epidemiología
2.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 1610, 2023 01 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36709366

RESUMEN

Hyperhomocysteinemia (HHcy) is a condition closely associated with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Detecting its risk factors and taking some relevant interventions still represent the top priority to lower its prevalence. Yet, in discussing risk factors, Logistic regression model is usually adopted but accompanied by some defects. In this study, a Tabu Search-based BNs was first constructed for HHcy and its risk factors, and the conditional probability between nodes was calculated using Maximum Likelihood Estimation. Besides, we tried to compare its performance with Hill Climbing-based BNs and Logistic regression model in risk factor detection and discuss its prospect in clinical practice. Our study found that Age, sex, α1-microgloblobumin to creatinine ratio, fasting plasma glucose, diet and systolic blood pressure represent direct risk factors for HHcy, and smoking, glycosylated hemoglobin and BMI constitute indirect risk factors for HHcy. Besides, the performance of Tabu Search-based BNs is better than Hill Climbing-based BNs. Accordingly, BNs with Tabu Search algorithm could be a supplement for Logistic regression, allowing for exploring the complex network relationship and the overall linkage between HHcy and its risk factors. Besides, Bayesian reasoning allows for risk prediction of HHcy, which is more reasonable in clinical practice and thus should be promoted.


Asunto(s)
Hiperhomocisteinemia , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Factores de Riesgo , Fumar , Algoritmos , Homocisteína
3.
Math Biosci Eng ; 19(12): 13660-13674, 2022 09 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36654062

RESUMEN

Stroke is a major chronic non-communicable disease with high incidence, high mortality, and high recurrence. To comprehensively digest its risk factors and take some relevant measures to lower its prevalence is of great significance. This study aimed to employ Bayesian Network (BN) model with Max-Min Hill-Climbing (MMHC) algorithm to explore the risk factors for stroke. From April 2019 to November 2019, Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital conducted opportunistic screening for stroke in ten rural areas in Shanxi Province. First, we employed propensity score matching (PSM) for class balancing for stroke. Afterwards, we used Chi-square testing and Logistic regression model to conduct a preliminary analysis of risk factors for stroke. Statistically significant variables were incorporated into BN model construction. BN structure learning was achieved using MMHC algorithm, and its parameter learning was achieved with Maximum Likelihood Estimation. After PSM, 748 non-stroke cases and 748 stroke cases were included in this study. BN was built with 10 nodes and 12 directed edges. The results suggested that age, fasting plasma glucose, systolic blood pressure, and family history of stroke constitute direct risk factors for stroke, whereas sex, educational levels, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, diastolic blood pressure, and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio represent indirect risk factors for stroke. BN model with MMHC algorithm not only allows for a complicated network relationship between risk factors and stroke, but also could achieve stroke risk prediction through Bayesian reasoning, outshining traditional Logistic regression model. This study suggests that BN model boasts great prospects in risk factor detection for stroke.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Modelos Logísticos
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