Gestational Diabetes Mellitus Subtypes Classified by Oral Glucose Tolerance Test and Maternal and Perinatal Outcomes: Results of a Mexican Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study "Cuido Mi Embarazo".

Purpose: This study explores the impact of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) subtypes classified by oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) values on maternal and perinatal outcomes. Patients and Methods: This multicenter prospective cohort study (May 2019-December 2022) included participants from the Mexican multicenter cohort study Cuido mi Embarazo (CME). Women were classified into four groups per 75-g 2-h OGTT: 1) normal glucose tolerance (normal OGTT), 2) GDM-Sensitivity (isolated abnormal fasting or abnormal fasting in combination with 1-h or 2-h abnormal results), 3) GDM-Secretion (isolated abnormal values at 1-h or 2-h or their combination), and 4) GDM-Mixed (three abnormal values). Cesarean delivery, neonates large for gestational age (LGA), and pre-term birth rates were among the outcomes compared. Between-group comparisons were analyzed using either the t-test, chi-square test, or Fisher's exact test. Results: Of 2,056 Mexican pregnant women in the CME cohort, 294 (14.3%) had GDM; 53.7%, 34.4%, and 11.9% were classified as GDM-Sensitivity, GDM-Secretion, and GDM-Mixed subtypes, respectively. Women with GDM were older (p = 0.0001) and more often multiparous (p = 0.119) vs without GDM. Cesarean delivery (63.3%; p = 0.02) and neonate LGA (10.7%; p = 0.078) were higher in the GDM-Mixed group than the overall GDM group (55.6% and 8.4%, respectively). Pre-term birth was more common in the GDM-Sensitivity group than in the overall GDM group (10.2% vs 8.5%, respectively; p=0.022). At 6 months postpartum, prediabetes was more frequent in the GDM-Sensitivity group than in the overall GDM group (31.6% vs 25.5%). Type 2 diabetes was more common in the GDM-Mixed group than in the overall GDM group (10.0% vs 3.3%). Conclusion: GDM subtypes effectively stratified maternal and perinatal risks. GDM-Mixed subtype increased the risk of cesarean delivery, LGA, and type 2 diabetes postpartum. GDM subtypes may help personalize clinical interventions and optimize maternal and perinatal outcomes.

Estimating mortality and disability in Peru before the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of the Disease Study 2019.

Background: Estimating and analyzing trends and patterns of health loss are essential to promote efficient resource allocation and improve Peru's healthcare system performance. Methods: Using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD), Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (2019), we assessed mortality and disability in Peru from 1990 to 2019. We report demographic and epidemiologic trends in terms of population, life expectancy at birth (LE), mortality, incidence, prevalence, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) caused by the major diseases and risk factors in Peru. Finally, we compared Peru with 16 countries in the Latin American (LA) region. Results: The Peruvian population reached 33.9 million inhabitants (49.9% women) in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, LE at birth increased from 69.2 (95% uncertainty interval 67.8-70.3) to 80.3 (77.2-83.2) years. This increase was driven by the decline in under-5 mortality (-80.7%) and mortality from infectious diseases in older age groups (+60 years old). The number of DALYs in 1990 was 9.2 million (8.5-10.1) and reached 7.5 million (6.1-9.0) in 2019. The proportion of DALYs due to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) increased from 38.2% in 1990 to 67.9% in 2019. The all-ages and age-standardized DALYs rates and YLLs rates decreased, but YLDs rates remained constant. In 2019, the leading causes of DALYs were neonatal disorders, lower respiratory infections (LRIs), ischemic heart disease, road injuries, and low back pain. The leading risk factors associated with DALYs in 2019 were undernutrition, high body mass index, high fasting plasma glucose, and air pollution. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, Peru experienced one of the highest LRIs-DALYs rates in the LA region. Conclusion: In the last three decades, Peru experienced significant improvements in LE and child survival and an increase in the burden of NCDs and associated disability. The Peruvian healthcare system must be redesigned to respond to this epidemiological transition. The new design should aim to reduce premature deaths and maintain healthy longevity, focusing on effective coverage and treatment of NCDs and reducing and managing the related disability.

Evaluation of effective coverage for type 2 diabetes in Mexican primary care health information systems: a retrospective registry analysis.

BACKGROUND: As the leading cause of disability and the fourth leading cause of premature death in Mexico, type 2 diabetes (T2D) represents a serious public health concern. The incidence of diabetes has increased dramatically in recent years, and data from the Mexican National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT) indicate that many people remain undiagnosed. Persistent socioeconomic health care barriers exacerbate this situation, as T2D morbidity and mortality are worsened in vulnerable populations, such as those without social security. We evaluated the performance of public primary health centers (PHCs) in T2D medical attention through the measure of effective coverage (EC, a combined measure of health care need, use, and quality) at national, state, health jurisdiction, and municipality levels. METHODS: This retrospective analysis used blinded data recorded during 2017 in the Non-communicable Diseases National Information System (SIC) and T2D prevalence reported in 2018 ENSANUT to evaluate the EC achieved. We included individuals ≥ 20 years old without social security who did not declare the use of private health care services. Each EC component (need, use, and quality) was estimated based on the Shengelia adapted framework. The Kruskal-Wallis test was applied to evaluate the associations among EC quintiles and demographics. RESULTS: In 2017, 26.5 million individuals, aged ≥ 20 years, without social security, and without the use of private health care services, were under the care of 12,086 PHCs. The national prevalence of T2D was 10.3%, equivalent to 2.6 million people living with T2D in need of primary health care. Large contrasts were seen among EC components between and within Mexican states. We found that only 37.1% of the above individuals received health services at PHCs and of them, 25.8% improved their metabolic condition. The national EC was 9.3%, and the range (by health jurisdiction) was 0.2%-38.6%, representing a large geographic disparity in EC. We found an evident disconnect among need, utilization, and quality rates across the country. CONCLUSIONS: Expansion and improvement of EC are urgently needed to address the growing number of people living with T2D in Mexico, particularly in states with vulnerable populations.

MIDO GDM: an innovative artificial intelligence-based prediction model for the development of gestational diabetes in Mexican women.

Given the barriers to early detection of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), this study aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-based prediction model for GDM in pregnant Mexican women. Data were retrieved from 1709 pregnant women who participated in the multicenter prospective cohort study 'Cuido mi embarazo'. A machine-learning-driven method was used to select the best predictive variables for GDM risk: age, family history of type 2 diabetes, previous diagnosis of hypertension, pregestational body mass index, gestational week, parity, birth weight of last child, and random capillary glucose. An artificial neural network approach was then used to build the model, which achieved a high level of accuracy (70.3%) and sensitivity (83.3%) for identifying women at high risk of developing GDM. This AI-based model will be applied throughout Mexico to improve the timing and quality of GDM interventions. Given the ease of obtaining the model variables, this model is expected to be clinically strategic, allowing prioritization of preventative treatment and promising a paradigm shift in prevention and primary healthcare during pregnancy. This AI model uses variables that are easily collected to identify pregnant women at risk of developing GDM with a high level of accuracy and precision.

The burden of disease, injuries, and risk factors in Mexico: 1990-2021 update.

BACKGROUND: For thirty years, Mexico has studied the burden of disease in order to inform health decisions. OBJECTIVE: To analyze the burden of disease, injuries, and risk factors in Mexico between 1990 and 2021. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Estimates from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study were used to analyze mortality, years of life lost due to premature mortality, years lived with disability and disability-adjusted life years, as well as the burden attributable to risk factors by sex, age and state of the country. RESULTS: Infant mortality decreased by 39.4% from 1990 to 2000 and by 49.0% from 2000 to 2013. At the national level, mortality decreased by 27.5% between 1990 and 2019, but increased in 2020 and 2021 across all states, especially in adults aged from 35 to 64 years due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which contributed with 24.3% of deaths in 2021. Significant differences in mortality were observed according to age and sex. The burden attributable to metabolic risk factors did increase, while alcohol and tobacco consumption decreased. Access to drinking water and sanitation showed improvements. CONCLUSIONS: Assessing the burden of disease is crucial in order to design effective strategies to address current health needs and future healthcare challenges.

ANTECEDENTES: Desde hace treinta años, México ha estudiado la carga de la enfermedad para sustentar decisiones en salud. OBJETIVO: Analizar la carga de enfermedad, lesiones y factores de riesgo en México entre 1990 y 2021. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se utilizaron las estimaciones del Global Burden of Disease 2021 para analizar la mortalidad, los años de vida perdidos por muerte prematura, los años vividos con discapacidad y los años de vida saludable perdidos, así como la carga atribuible a los factores de riesgos por sexo, edad y entidad federativa. RESULTADOS: La mortalidad infantil disminuyó 39.4 % de 1990 a 2000, y 49.0 % de 2000 a 2019. En el ámbito nacional, la mortalidad decreció 27.5 % entre 1990 y 2019, pero ascendió en 2020 y 2021 en todos los estados, especialmente en adultos de 35 a 64 años, debido a la pandemia de COVID-19, que contribuyó con 24.3 % de las defunciones en 2019. Se observaron diferencias significativas en la mortalidad según la edad y el sexo. La carga atribuible a los factores de riesgo metabólicos se incrementó, mientras que la atribuible el consumo de alcohol y tabaco disminuyó. El acceso al agua potable y saneamiento mejoró. CONCLUSIONES: Evaluar la carga de enfermedad es crucial para diseñar estrategias eficaces para abordar las necesidades actuales y los futuros desafíos en salud.

The burden attributable to risk factors in Mexico, 1990-2021. Summary of the findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study.

BACKGROUND: Over the past decades, Mexico's health landscape has shifted from infectious to non-communicable diseases and violence, mirroring lifestyle, urbanization, and developmental changes. OBJECTIVE: To describe the impact of risk factors on health in Mexico from 1990 to 2021. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study estimates, we describe risk factor-related mortality and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) in Mexico (1990-2021) by age, sex, and state of the country. RESULTS: In 2021, risk factors led to 14.9 (12.9-16.7) million DALYs, which accounted for 32.4% of Mexico's burden. Metabolic risks, with 19.8% (17.0-21.9%), were the main contributors. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized all-cause mortality rate associated with metabolic risks increased by 6.5%, while behavioral and environmental risks decreased by more than 50%, with marked variations between states. The predominant risk factors shifted from malnutrition and unsafe water and sanitation in 1990 to high glucose and body mass index in 2021. Malnutrition-related risks have the highest impact on health loss in children younger than 5 years. CONCLUSION: Mexico faces a dual health challenge: childhood malnutrition persists, and adult metabolic risks are on the rise, particularly in less developed states, with targeted interventions for traditional and emerging health threats being required.

ANTECEDENTES: Durante décadas, México ha transitado de las enfermedades infecciosas a las crónicas y la violencia, debido a cambios en los estilos de vida y la urbanización. OBJETIVO: Describir el impacto en salud de los factores de riesgo en México entre 1990 y 2021. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se utilizaron las estimaciones del Global Burden of Disease para analizar la mortalidad y años de vida saludable (AVISA) perdidos atribuibles a factores de riesgo, estratificados por edad, sexo y estado. RESULTADOS: Los factores de riesgo representaron 14.9 millones de AVISA en 2021, 32.4 % del total nacional, con predominio de los riesgos metabólicos (19.8 %). La mortalidad estandarizada por edad debida a estos riesgos se incrementó 6.5 % de 1990 a 2021 y los riesgos conductuales y ambientales se redujeron en más de 50 %. Los factores predominantes cambiaron de desnutrición, problemas de acceso al agua potable y saneamiento en 1990 a altos niveles de glucosa y obesidad en 2021; la desnutrición fue el mayor riesgo en los niños menores de cinco años. CONCLUSIONES: México afronta desafíos sanitarios dobles, la desnutrición infantil continúa y los riesgos metabólicos en adultos se incrementan, sobre todo en los estados menos desarrollados, por lo que se requieren intervenciones específicas para amenazas nuevas y existentes.

Respiratory diseases in Mexico: analysis from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory diseases (RD) are often analyzed separately rather than collectively, possibly leading to an underestimation of their total burden. OBJECTIVE: To analyze the burden of RD in Mexico for population aged 20 or older from 1990 to 2021. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We present the burden of RD in Mexico based on estimates of the Global Burden of Disease study for mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), comprising counts, rates per 100,000, as well as age-standardized rates. RDs were categorized into three key groups: chronic respiratory diseases (CRD), respiratory infections (RI), and respiratory cancers. RESULTS: In 2021, among those aged 20+, RDs were responsible for 336,728 deaths, which accounts for 30.5% of total deaths -a nearly threefold increase since 2019, primarily due to the COVID-19 pandemic. CRDs contributed with 3.4% of total deaths; RIs, with 25.9%; and respiratory cancers, with 1.2%. CRDs showed a continuous rise in deaths, crude mortality, and DALY rates across genders, with no signs of leveling. RD burden varied widely across Mexican states. Age-standardized CRD mortality rates have generally declined since 1990, except for interstitial lung diseases, which have consistently increased. CONCLUSION: The significant burden of mortality and disability due to RDs in Mexico underscores the n|ecessity for enhanced prevention, research, and for addressing risk factors such as smoking and pollution. Ongoing healthcare training can help reduce RD burden.

ANTECEDENTES: Las enfermedades respiratorias (ER) se analizan individualmente, posiblemente con subestimación de su carga total. OBJETIVO: Analizar la carga de las ER en México para población de 20 años o más de 1990 a 2021. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se presenta la carga de ER en México a partir de estimaciones del estudio Global Burden of Disease en cuanto a mortalidad y años de vida saludable (AVISA) perdidos que comprenden recuentos, tasas por 100 000 y tasas estandarizadas por edad. Las ER se categorizaron en enfermedades respiratorias crónicas (ERC), infecciones respiratorias y cánceres respiratorios. RESULTADOS: En 2021, las ER causaron la muerte de 336 728 adultos mayores de 20 años, lo que representó 30.5 % del total de defunciones, incremento cercano al triple respecto a 2019, principalmente debido a COVID-19. Las ERC contribuyeron con 3.4 % del total de muertes, las infecciones respiratorias con 25.9 % y los cánceres respiratorios con 1.2 %. La mortalidad y AVISA perdidos por ERC se incrementaron persistentemente, con variaciones entre los estados. Las tasas de mortalidad ajustadas por edad de las ERC disminuyeron desde 1990, excepto las enfermedades pulmonares intersticiales, que se incrementaron constantemente. CONCLUSIÓN: Los significativos niveles de mortalidad y discapacidad debidos a enfermedades respiratorias en México exigen mejorar la prevención, investigación y abordar factores de riesgo como tabaquismo y contaminación, además de fomentar la capacitación médica continua.

Vaccination coverage estimation in Mexico in children under five years old: Trends and associated factors.

We aimed to estimate vaccination coverage and factors associated in completing schemes in children under 5 years old between 2000 and 2018. A secondary analysis was carried out on five national health surveys between 2000 and 2018 in Mexico. The sample was 53,898 children under 5 years old, where 30% of missing vaccination information was imputed using chained equations. During this period two basic vaccination schemes (CBS) were identified. For each doses and vaccines of both schemes and completed CBS, the coverage was estimated using weighted logistic regression models. Additionally, the factors associated with incomplete schemes were reported. Between 2000 and 2018, the caretakers who did not show the vaccination card went from 13.8% to 45.6%. During this period, the estimated vaccination coverages did not exceed 95%, except for BCG and marginally the first doses of vaccines against pneumococcus, acellular pentavalent, and Sabin. In the same period, the CBS estimated coverage decreased steadily and was under 90%, except for children aged 6-11 months (92.6%; 91.5-93.7) in 2000. Not having health insurance stands out as an associated factor with incomplete vaccination schemes. In conclusion, the imputation allowed to recuperate information and obtain better data of vaccination coverage. The estimated vaccination coverage and CBS do not reach sufficient levels to guarantee herd immunity, hence innovative strategies to improve vaccination must be established in Mexico.

Life expectancy, death, and disability in Haiti, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the magnitude and distribution of the main causes of death, disability, and risk factors in Haiti. METHODS: We conducted an ecological analysis, using data estimated from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 for the period 1990-2017, to present life expectancy (LE), healthy life expectancy (HALE) at under 1-year-old, cause-specific deaths, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), disability adjusted life-years (DALYs), and risk factors associated with DALYs. RESULTS: LE and HALE increased substantially in Haiti. People may hope to live longer in 2017, but in poor health. The Caribbean countries had significantly lower YLLs rates than Haiti for ischemic heart disease, stroke, lower respiratory infections, and diarrheal diseases. Road injuries were the leading cause of DALYs for people aged 5-14 years. Road injuries and HIV/AIDS were the leading causes of DALYs for men and women aged 15-49 years, respectively. Ischemic heart disease was the main cause of DALYs for people older than 50 years. Maternal and child malnutrition were the leading risk factors for DALYs in both sexes. CONCLUSION: Haiti faces a double burden of disease. Infectious diseases continue to be an issue, while non-communicable diseases have become a significant burden of disease. More attention must also be focused on the increase in worrying public health issues such as road injuries, exposure to forces of nature and HIV/AIDS in specific age groups. To address the burden of disease, sustained actions are needed to promote better health in Haiti and countries with similar challenges.

OBJETIVO: Investigar la magnitud y la distribución de las principales causas de muerte, discapacidad y factores de riesgo en Haití. MÉTODOS: Se llevó a cabo un análisis ecológico con datos estimados a partir del estudio Carga Global de Morbilidad 2017 para el período 1990-2017 para presentar la esperanza de vida (LE), la esperanza de vida saludable (HALE), la mortalidad por causas específicas, los años de vida perdidos (YLL), los años vividos con discapacidad (YLD), los años de vida ajustados por discapacidad (DALY), y los factores de riesgo asociados a los DALY. RESULTADOS: La LE y la HALE aumentaron sustancialmente en Haití. En 2017, la población puede esperar vivir más, pero con mala salud. Los países del Caribe tuvieron tasas de YLL significativamente más bajas que Haití en cuanto a cardiopatías isquémicas, accidentes cerebrovasculares, infecciones respiratorias bajas y enfermedades diarreicas. Las lesiones debidas a accidentes de tránsito fueron la principal causa de DALY para las personas de 5 a 14 años. Las lesiones debidas a accidentes de tránsito y el VIH/sida fueron las principales causas de DALY en hombres y mujeres de 15 a 49 años de edad, respectivamente. Las cardiopatías isquémicas fueron la principal causa de DALY para las personas mayores de 50 años. Las desnutriciones materna e infantil fueron los principales factores de riesgo de DALY en ambos sexos. CONCLUSIÓN: Haití se enfrenta a una doble carga de enfermedad. Las enfermedades infecciosas siguen siendo un problema, mientras que las enfermedades no transmisibles se han convertido en una carga significativa de enfermedad. También debe prestarse más atención al aumento de problemas de salud pública preocupantes, como las lesiones por accidentes de tránsito, la exposición a fenómenos naturales y el VIH/sida en grupos etarios específicos. Para hacer frente a la carga de morbilidad es necesario adoptar medidas sostenidas para promover una mejor salud en Haití y en los países con desafíos similares.

[Effective coverage of treatment of hypertension in Mexican adults by states]. / Cobertura efectiva del tratamiento de la hipertensión arterial en adultos en México por entidad federativa.

OBJECTIVE:: To estimate the effective coverage (EC) of treatment of hypertension (HT) in Mexican adults in 2012 and compared with those reported in 2006. MATERIALS AND METHODS:: The National Health and Nutrition Survey 2012 was analyzed. The EC has three dimensions: health need as prevalence of HT, utilization of health services when the need is real and quality as recovering health after the treatment. The EC of treatment of HT was estimated using instrumental variables. RESULTS:: In 2012, the EC national of treatment of HT was 28.3% (95%CI 26.5-30.1), ranging from Michoacan with 19.3% (15.3-23.4) to State of Mexico with 39.7% in (25.3-54.0). From 2006 to 2012 the national EC increased 22.5%. CONCLUSION:: The EC treatment of hypertension is low and heterogeneous. The use of synthetic indicators should be a daily exercise of measurement, because report summarizes the performance of state health systems.

Cobertura efectiva del tratamiento de la hipertensión arterial en adultos en México por entidad federativa / Effective coverage of treatment of hypertension in Mexican adults by states

Resumen: Objetivo: Estimar la cobertura efectiva (CE) del tratamiento de hipertensión arterial (HTA) en adultos mexicanos en 2012 y compararla con lo reportado en 2006. Material y métodos: Se analizó la Encuesta Nacional de Salud y Nutrición 2012. Se estimó la población que necesita recibir atención, la población que utiliza los servicios dado que los necesita, y la recuperación de su salud por recibir el tratamiento. La CE del tratamiento de la HT se estimó empleado variables instrumentales. Resultados: En 2012, la CE nacional del tratamiento de HTA fue 28.3% (IC95% 26.5-30.1), variando entre 19.3% (15.3-23.4) en Michoacán hasta 39.7% (25.3-54.0) en el Estado de México. De 2006 a 2012 la CE aumentó 22.5%. Conclusión: La CE del tratamiento de la HTA es baja y heterogénea. El empleo de indicadores sintéticos debiera ser un ejercicio cotidiano de medición, pues informan de manera resumida el desempeño de los sistemas estatales de salud.

Abstract: Objective: To estimate the effective coverage (EC) of treatment of hypertension (HT) in Mexican adults in 2012 and compared with those reported in 2006. Materials and methods: The National Health and Nutrition Survey 2012 was analyzed. The EC has three dimensions: health need as prevalence of HT, utilization of health services when the need is real and quality as recovering health after the treatment. The EC of treatment of HT was estimated using instrumental variables. Results: In 2012, the EC national of treatment of HT was 28.3% (95%CI 26.5-30.1), ranging from Michoacan with 19.3% (15.3-23.4) to State of Mexico with 39.7% in (25.3-54.0). From 2006 to 2012 the national EC increased 22.5%. Conclusion: The EC treatment of hypertension is low and heterogeneous. The use of synthetic indicators should be a daily exercise of measurement, because report summarizes the performance of state health systems.