Cellular and transcriptional profiles of peripheral blood mononuclear cells pre-vaccination predict immune response to preventative MUC1 vaccine.

A single arm trial (NCT007773097) and a double-blind, placebo controlled randomized trial ( NCT02134925 ) were conducted in individuals with a history of advanced colonic adenoma to test the safety and immunogenicity of the MUC1 tumor antigen vaccine and its potential to prevent new adenomas. These were the first two trials of a non-viral cancer vaccine administered in the absence of cancer. The vaccine was safe and strongly immunogenic in 43% (NCT007773097) and 25% ( NCT02134925 ) of participants. The lack of response in a significant number of participants suggested, for the first time, that even in a premalignant setting, the immune system may have already been exposed to some level of suppression previously reported only in cancer. Single-cell RNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq) on banked pre-vaccination peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from 16 immune responders and 16 non-responders identified specific cell types, genes, and pathways of a productive vaccine response. Responders had a significantly higher percentage of CD4+ naive T cells pre-vaccination, but a significantly lower percentage of CD8+ T effector memory (TEM) cells and CD16+ monocytes. Differential gene expression (DGE) and transcription factor inference analysis showed a higher level of expression of T cell activation genes, such as Fos and Jun, in CD4+ naive T cells, and pathway analysis showed enriched signaling activity in responders. Furthermore, Bayesian network analysis suggested that these genes were mechanistically connected to response. Our analyses identified several immune mechanisms and candidate biomarkers to be further validated as predictors of immune responses to a preventative cancer vaccine that could facilitate selection of individuals likely to benefit from a vaccine or be used to improve vaccine responses.

Pre-vaccination transcriptomic profiles of immune responders to the MUC1 peptide vaccine for colon cancer prevention.

Self-antigens abnormally expressed on tumors, such as MUC1, have been targeted by therapeutic cancer vaccines. We recently assessed in two clinical trials in a preventative setting whether immunity induced with a MUC1 peptide vaccine could reduce high colon cancer risk in individuals with a history of premalignant colon adenomas. In both trials, there were immune responders and non-responders to the vaccine. Here we used PBMC pre-vaccination and 2 weeks after the first vaccine of responders and non-responders selected from both trials to identify early biomarkers of immune response involved in long-term memory generation and prevention of adenoma recurrence. We performed flow cytometry, phosflow, and differential gene expression analyses on PBMCs collected from MUC1 vaccine responders and non-responders pre-vaccination and two weeks after the first of three vaccine doses. MUC1 vaccine responders had higher frequencies of CD4 cells pre-vaccination, increased expression of CD40L on CD8 and CD4 T-cells, and a greater increase in ICOS expression on CD8 T-cells. Differential gene expression analysis revealed that iCOSL, PI3K AKT MTOR, and B-cell signaling pathways are activated early in response to the MUC1 vaccine. We identified six specific transcripts involved in elevated antigen presentation, B-cell activation, and NF-kB1 activation that were directly linked to finding antibody response at week 12. Finally, a model using these transcripts was able to predict non-responders with accuracy. These findings suggest that individuals who can be predicted to respond to the MUC1 vaccine, and potentially other vaccines, have greater readiness in all immune compartments to present and respond to antigens. Predictive biomarkers of MUC1 vaccine response may lead to more effective vaccines tailored to individuals with high risk for cancer but with varying immune fitness.

Deep learning analysis of epicardial adipose tissue to predict cardiovascular risk in heavy smokers.

BACKGROUND: Heavy smokers are at increased risk for cardiovascular disease and may benefit from individualized risk quantification using routine lung cancer screening chest computed tomography. We investigated the prognostic value of deep learning-based automated epicardial adipose tissue quantification and compared it to established cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery calcium. METHODS: We investigated the prognostic value of automated epicardial adipose tissue quantification in heavy smokers enrolled in the National Lung Screening Trial and followed for 12.3 (11.9-12.8) years. The epicardial adipose tissue was segmented and quantified on non-ECG-synchronized, non-contrast low-dose chest computed tomography scans using a validated deep-learning algorithm. Multivariable survival regression analyses were then utilized to determine the associations of epicardial adipose tissue volume and density with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (myocardial infarction and stroke). RESULTS: Here we show in 24,090 adult heavy smokers (59% men; 61 ± 5 years) that epicardial adipose tissue volume and density are independently associated with all-cause (adjusted hazard ratios: 1.10 and 1.38; P < 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (adjusted hazard ratios: 1.14 and 1.78; P < 0.001) beyond demographics, clinical risk factors, body habitus, level of education, and coronary artery calcium score. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that automated assessment of epicardial adipose tissue from low-dose lung cancer screening images offers prognostic value in heavy smokers, with potential implications for cardiovascular risk stratification in this high-risk population.

Heavy smokers are at increased risk of poor health outcomes, particularly outcomes related to cardiovascular disease. We explore how fat surrounding the heart, known as epicardial adipose tissue, may be an indicator of the health of heavy smokers. We use an artificial intelligence system to measure the heart fat on chest scans of heavy smokers taken during a lung cancer screening trial and following their health for 12 years. We find that higher amounts and denser epicardial adipose tissue are linked to an increased risk of death from any cause, specifically from heart-related issues, even when considering other health factors. This suggests that measuring epicardial adipose tissue during lung cancer screenings could be a valuable tool for identifying heavy smokers at greater risk of heart problems and death, possibly helping to guide their medical management and improve their cardiovascular health.

Deep Learning to Estimate Cardiovascular Risk From Chest Radiographs : A Risk Prediction Study.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines for primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) recommend a risk calculator (ASCVD risk score) to estimate 10-year risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Because the necessary inputs are often missing, complementary approaches for opportunistic risk assessment are desirable. OBJECTIVE: To develop and test a deep-learning model (CXR CVD-Risk) that estimates 10-year risk for MACE from a routine chest radiograph (CXR) and compare its performance with that of the traditional ASCVD risk score for implications for statin eligibility. DESIGN: Risk prediction study. SETTING: Outpatients potentially eligible for primary cardiovascular prevention. PARTICIPANTS: The CXR CVD-Risk model was developed using data from a cancer screening trial. It was externally validated in 8869 outpatients with unknown ASCVD risk because of missing inputs to calculate the ASCVD risk score and in 2132 outpatients with known risk whose ASCVD risk score could be calculated. MEASUREMENTS: 10-year MACE predicted by CXR CVD-Risk versus the ASCVD risk score. RESULTS: Among 8869 outpatients with unknown ASCVD risk, those with a risk of 7.5% or higher as predicted by CXR CVD-Risk had higher 10-year risk for MACE after adjustment for risk factors (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.73 [95% CI, 1.47 to 2.03]). In the additional 2132 outpatients with known ASCVD risk, CXR CVD-Risk predicted MACE beyond the traditional ASCVD risk score (adjusted HR, 1.88 [CI, 1.24 to 2.85]). LIMITATION: Retrospective study design using electronic medical records. CONCLUSION: On the basis of a single CXR, CXR CVD-Risk predicts 10-year MACE beyond the clinical standard and may help identify individuals at high risk whose ASCVD risk score cannot be calculated because of missing data. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: None.

Phenome- and genome-wide analyses of retinal optical coherence tomography images identify links between ocular and systemic health.

The human retina is a multilayered tissue that offers a unique window into systemic health. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) is widely used in eye care and allows the noninvasive, rapid capture of retinal anatomy in exquisite detail. We conducted genotypic and phenotypic analyses of retinal layer thicknesses using macular OCT images from 44,823 UK Biobank participants. We performed OCT layer cross-phenotype association analyses (OCT-XWAS), associating retinal thicknesses with 1866 incident conditions (median 10-year follow-up) and 88 quantitative traits and blood biomarkers. We performed genome-wide association studies (GWASs), identifying inherited genetic markers that influence retinal layer thicknesses and replicated our associations among the LIFE-Adult Study (N = 6313). Last, we performed a comparative analysis of phenome- and genome-wide associations to identify putative causal links between retinal layer thicknesses and both ocular and systemic conditions. Independent associations with incident mortality were detected for thinner photoreceptor segments (PSs) and, separately, ganglion cell complex layers. Phenotypic associations were detected between thinner retinal layers and ocular, neuropsychiatric, cardiometabolic, and pulmonary conditions. A GWAS of retinal layer thicknesses yielded 259 unique loci. Consistency between epidemiologic and genetic associations suggested links between a thinner retinal nerve fiber layer with glaucoma, thinner PS with age-related macular degeneration, and poor cardiometabolic and pulmonary function with a thinner PS. In conclusion, we identified multiple inherited genetic loci and acquired systemic cardio-metabolic-pulmonary conditions associated with thinner retinal layers and identify retinal layers wherein thinning is predictive of future ocular and systemic conditions.

Automated detection of genetic relatedness from fundus photographs using Siamese Neural Networks.

Heritability of common eye diseases and ocular traits are relatively high. Here, we develop an automated algorithm to detect genetic relatedness from color fundus photographs (FPs). We estimated the degree of shared ancestry amongst individuals in the UK Biobank using KING software. A convolutional Siamese neural network-based algorithm was trained to output a measure of genetic relatedness using 7224 pairs (3612 related and 3612 unrelated) of FPs. The model achieved high performance for prediction of genetic relatedness; when computed Euclidean distances were used to determine probability of relatedness, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for identifying related FPs reached 0.926. We performed external validation of our model using FPs from the LIFE-Adult study and achieved an AUROC of 0.69. An occlusion map indicates that the optic nerve and its surrounding area may be the most predictive of genetic relatedness. We demonstrate that genetic relatedness can be captured from FP features. This approach may be used to uncover novel biomarkers for common ocular diseases.

Insights into human health from phenome- and genome-wide analyses of UK Biobank retinal optical coherence tomography phenotypes.

The human retina is a complex multi-layered tissue which offers a unique window into systemic health and disease. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) is widely used in eye care and allows the non-invasive, rapid capture of retinal measurements in exquisite detail. We conducted genome- and phenome-wide analyses of retinal layer thicknesses using macular OCT images from 44,823 UK Biobank participants. We performed phenome-wide association analyses, associating retinal thicknesses with 1,866 incident ICD-based conditions (median 10-year follow-up) and 88 quantitative traits and blood biomarkers. We performed genome-wide association analyses, identifying inherited genetic markers which influence the retina, and replicated our associations among 6,313 individuals from the LIFE-Adult Study. And lastly, we performed comparative association of phenome- and genome- wide associations to identify putative causal links between systemic conditions, retinal layer thicknesses, and ocular disease. Independent associations with incident mortality were detected for photoreceptor thinning and ganglion cell complex thinning. Significant phenotypic associations were detected between retinal layer thinning and ocular, neuropsychiatric, cardiometabolic and pulmonary conditions. Genome-wide association of retinal layer thicknesses yielded 259 loci. Consistency between epidemiologic and genetic associations suggested putative causal links between thinning of the retinal nerve fiber layer with glaucoma, photoreceptor segment with AMD, as well as poor cardiometabolic and pulmonary function with PS thinning, among other findings. In conclusion, retinal layer thinning predicts risk of future ocular and systemic disease. Furthermore, systemic cardio-metabolic-pulmonary conditions promote retinal thinning. Retinal imaging biomarkers, integrated into electronic health records, may inform risk prediction and potential therapeutic strategies.

Deep learning to estimate lung disease mortality from chest radiographs.

Prevention and management of chronic lung diseases (asthma, lung cancer, etc.) are of great importance. While tests are available for reliable diagnosis, accurate identification of those who will develop severe morbidity/mortality is currently limited. Here, we developed a deep learning model, CXR Lung-Risk, to predict the risk of lung disease mortality from a chest x-ray. The model was trained using 147,497 x-ray images of 40,643 individuals and tested in three independent cohorts comprising 15,976 individuals. We found that CXR Lung-Risk showed a graded association with lung disease mortality after adjustment for risk factors, including age, smoking, and radiologic findings (Hazard ratios up to 11.86 [8.64-16.27]; p < 0.001). Adding CXR Lung-Risk to a multivariable model improved estimates of lung disease mortality in all cohorts. Our results demonstrate that deep learning can identify individuals at risk of lung disease mortality on easily obtainable x-rays, which may improve personalized prevention and treatment strategies.

Deep Learning Analysis of Chest Radiographs to Triage Patients with Acute Chest Pain Syndrome.

Background Patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with acute chest pain (ACP) syndrome undergo additional testing to exclude acute coronary syndrome (ACS), pulmonary embolism (PE), or aortic dissection (AD), often yielding negative results. Purpose To assess whether deep learning (DL) analysis of the initial chest radiograph may help triage patients with ACP syndrome more efficiently. Materials and Methods This retrospective study used electronic health records of patients with ACP syndrome at presentation who underwent a combination of chest radiography and additional cardiovascular or pulmonary imaging or stress tests at two hospitals (Massachusetts General Hospital [MGH], Brigham and Women's Hospital [BWH]) between January 2005 and December 2015. A DL model was trained on 23 005 patients from MGH to predict a 30-day composite end point of ACS, PE, AD, and all-cause mortality based on chest radiographs. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to compare performance between models (model 1: age + sex; model 2: model 1 + conventional troponin or d-dimer positivity; model 3: model 2 + DL predictions) in internal and external test sets from MGH and BWH, respectively. Results At MGH, 5750 patients (mean age, 59 years ± 17 [SD]; 3329 men, 2421 women) were evaluated. Model 3, which included DL predictions, significantly improved discrimination of those with the composite outcome compared with models 2 and 1 (AUC, 0.85 [95% CI: 0.84, 0.86] vs 0.76 [95% CI: 0.74, 0.77] vs 0.62 [95% CI: 0.60 0.64], respectively; P < .001 for all). When using a sensitivity threshold of 99%, 14% (813 of 5750) of patients could be deferred from cardiovascular or pulmonary testing for differential diagnosis of ACP syndrome using model 3 compared with 2% (98 of 5750) of patients using model 2 (P < .001). Model 3 maintained its diagnostic performance in different age, sex, race, and ethnicity groups. In external validation at BWH (22 764 patients; mean age, 57 years ± 17; 11 470 women), trends were similar and improved after fine tuning. Conclusion Deep learning analysis of chest radiographs may facilitate more efficient triage of patients with acute chest pain syndrome in the emergency department. © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Goo in this issue.

Deep Learning to Predict Mortality After Cardiothoracic Surgery Using Preoperative Chest Radiographs.

BACKGROUND: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality (STS-PROM) estimates mortality risk only for certain common procedures (eg, coronary artery bypass or valve surgery) and is cumbersome, requiring greater than 60 inputs. We hypothesized that deep learning can estimate postoperative mortality risk based on a preoperative chest radiograph for cardiac surgeries in which STS-PROM scores were available (STS index procedures) or unavailable (non-STS index procedures). METHODS: We developed a deep learning model (CXR-CTSurgery) to predict postoperative mortality based on preoperative chest radiographs in 9283 patients at Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) having cardiac surgery before April 8, 2014. CXR-CTSurgery was tested on 3615 different MGH patients and externally tested on 2840 patients from Brigham and Women's Hospital (BWH) having surgery after April 8, 2014. Discrimination for mortality was compared with the STS-PROM using the C-statistic. Calibration was assessed using the observed-to-expected ratio (O/E ratio). RESULTS: For STS index procedures, CXR-CTSurgery had a C-statistic similar to STS-PROM at MGH (CXR-CTSurgery: 0.83 vs STS-PROM: 0.88; P = .20) and BWH (0.74 vs 0.80; P = .14) testing cohorts. The CXR-CTSurgery C-statistic for non-STS index procedures was similar to STS index procedures in the MGH (0.87 vs 0.83) and BWH (0.73 vs 0.74) testing cohorts. For STS index procedures, CXR-CTSurgery had better calibration than the STS-PROM in the MGH (O/E ratio: 0.74 vs 0.52) and BWH (O/E ratio: 0.91 vs 0.73) testing cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: CXR-CTSurgery predicts postoperative mortality based on a preoperative CXR with similar discrimination and better calibration than the STS-PROM. This may be useful when the STS-PROM cannot be calculated or for non-STS index procedures.

Validation of a Deep Learning-Based Model to Predict Lung Cancer Risk Using Chest Radiographs and Electronic Medical Record Data.

Importance: Lung cancer screening with chest computed tomography (CT) prevents lung cancer death; however, fewer than 5% of eligible Americans are screened. CXR-LC, an open-source deep learning tool that estimates lung cancer risk from existing chest radiograph images and commonly available electronic medical record (EMR) data, may enable automated identification of high-risk patients as a step toward improving lung cancer screening participation. Objective: To validate CXR-LC using EMR data to identify individuals at high-risk for lung cancer to complement 2022 US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) lung cancer screening eligibility guidelines. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study compared CXR-LC estimates with CMS screening guidelines using patient data from a large US hospital system. Included participants were persons who currently or formerly smoked cigarettes with an outpatient posterior-anterior chest radiograph between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2014, with no history of lung cancer or screening CT. Data analysis was performed between May 2021 and June 2022. Exposures: CXR-LC lung cancer screening eligibility (previously defined as having a 3.297% or greater 12-year risk) based on inputs (chest radiograph image, age, sex, and whether currently smoking) extracted from the EMR. Main Outcomes and Measures: 6-year incident lung cancer. Results: A total of 14 737 persons were included in the study population (mean [SD] age, 62.6 [6.8] years; 7154 [48.5%] male; 204 [1.4%] Asian, 1051 [7.3%] Black, 432 [2.9%] Hispanic, 12 330 [85.2%] White) with a 2.4% rate of incident lung cancer over 6 years (361 patients with cancer). CMS eligibility could be determined in 6277 patients (42.6%) using smoking pack-year and quit-date from the EMR. Patients eligible by both CXR-LC and 2022 CMS criteria had a high rate of lung cancer (83 of 974 patients [8.5%]), higher than those eligible by 2022 CMS criteria alone (5 of 177 patients [2.8%]; P < .001). Patients eligible by CXR-LC but not 2022 CMS criteria also had a high 6-year incidence of lung cancer (121 of 3703 [3.3%]). In the 8460 cases (57.4%) where CMS eligibility was unknown, CXR-LC eligible patients had a 5-fold higher rate of lung cancer than ineligible (127 of 5177 [2.5%] vs 18 of 2283 [0.5%]; P < .001). Similar results were found in subgroups, including female patients and Black persons. Conclusions and Relevance: Using routine chest radiographs and other data automatically extracted from the EMR, CXR-LC identified high-risk individuals who may benefit from lung cancer screening CT.

Deep Learning to Optimize Candidate Selection for Lung Cancer CT Screening: Advancing the 2021 USPSTF Recommendations.

Background A deep learning (DL) model to identify lung cancer screening candidates based on their chest radiographs requires external validation with a recent real-world non-U.S. sample. Purpose To validate the DL model and identify added benefits to the 2021 U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommendations in a health check-up sample. Materials and Methods This single-center retrospective study included consecutive current and former smokers aged 50-80 years who underwent chest radiography during a health check-up between January 2004 and June 2018. Discrimination performance, including receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) calculation, of the model for incident lung cancers was evaluated. The added value of the model to the 2021 USPSTF recommendations was investigated for lung cancer inclusion rate, proportion of selected CT screening candidates, and positive predictive value (PPV). Results For model validation, a total of 19 488 individuals (mean age, 58 years ± 6 [SD]; 18 467 [95%] men) and the subset of USPSTF-eligible individuals (n = 7835; mean age, 57 years ± 6; 7699 [98%] men) were assessed, and the AUCs for incident lung cancers were 0.68 (95% CI: 0.62, 0.73) and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.81), respectively. In individuals with pack-year information (n = 17 390), when excluding low- and indeterminate-risk categories from the USPSTF-eligible sample, the proportion of selected CT screening candidates was reduced to 35.8% (6233 of 17 390) from 45.1% (7835 of 17 390, P < .001), with three missed lung cancers (0.2%). The cancer inclusion rate (0.3% [53 of 17 390] vs 0.3% [56 of 17 390], P = .85) and PPV (0.9% [53 of 6233] vs 0.7% [56 of 7835], P = .42) remained unaffected. Conclusion An externally validated deep learning model showed the added value to the 2021 U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendations for low-dose CT lung cancer screening in reducing the number of screening candidates while maintaining the inclusion rate and positive predictive value for incident lung cancer. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Photoreceptor Layer Thinning Is an Early Biomarker for Age-Related Macular Degeneration: Epidemiologic and Genetic Evidence from UK Biobank OCT Data.

PURPOSE: Despite widespread use of OCT, an early-stage imaging biomarker for age-related macular degeneration (AMD) has not been identified. Pathophysiologically, the timing of drusen accumulation in relationship to photoreceptor degeneration in AMD remains unclear, as are the inherited genetic variants contributing to these processes. Herein, we jointly analyzed OCT, electronic health record data, and genomic data to characterize the time sequence of changes in retinal layer thicknesses in AMD, as well as epidemiologic and genetic associations between retinal layer thicknesses and AMD. DESIGN: Cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Forty-four thousand eight hundred twenty-three individuals from the UK Biobank (enrollment age range, 40-70 years; 54% women; median follow-up, 10 years). METHODS: The Topcon Advanced Boundary Segmentation algorithm was used for retinal layer segmentation. We associated 9 retinal layer thicknesses with prevalent AMD (present at enrollment) in a logistic regression model and with incident AMD (diagnosed after enrollment) in a Cox proportional hazards model. Next, we associated AMD-associated genetic alleles, individually and as a polygenic risk score (PRS), with retinal layer thicknesses. All analyses were adjusted for age, age-squared (age2), sex, smoking status, and principal components of ancestry. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalent and incident AMD. RESULTS: Photoreceptor segment (PS) thinning was observed throughout the lifespan of individuals analyzed, whereas retinal pigment epithelium (RPE) and Bruch's membrane (BM) complex thickening started after 57 years of age. Each standard deviation (SD) of PS thinning and RPE-BM complex thickening was associated with incident AMD (PS: hazard ratio [HR], 1.35; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-1.47; P = 3.7 × 10-11; RPE-BM complex: HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.06-1.22; P = 0.00024). The AMD PRS was associated with PS thinning (ß, -0.21 SD per twofold genetically increased risk of AMD; 95% CI, -0.23 to -0.19; P = 2.8 × 10-74), and its association with RPE-BM complex was U-shaped (thinning with AMD PRS less than the 92nd percentile and thickening with AMD PRS more than the 92nd percentile). The loci with strongest support for genetic correlation were AMD risk-raising variants Complement Factor H (CFH):rs570618-T, CFH:rs10922109-C, and Age-Related Maculopathy Susceptibility 2 (ARMS2)/High-Temperature Requirement Serine Protease 1 (HTRA1):rs3750846-C on PS thinning and SYN3/Tissue Inhibitor of Metalloprotease 3 (TIMP3):rs5754227-T on RPE-BM complex thickening. CONCLUSIONS: Epidemiologically, PS thinning precedes RPE-BM complex thickening by decades and is the retinal layer most strongly predictive of future AMD risk. Genetically, AMD risk variants are associated with decreased PS thickness. Overall, these findings support PS thinning as an early-stage biomarker for future AMD development.

Deep Learning of the Retina Enables Phenome- and Genome-Wide Analyses of the Microvasculature.

BACKGROUND: The microvasculature, the smallest blood vessels in the body, has key roles in maintenance of organ health and tumorigenesis. The retinal fundus is a window for human in vivo noninvasive assessment of the microvasculature. Large-scale complementary machine learning-based assessment of the retinal vasculature with phenome-wide and genome-wide analyses may yield new insights into human health and disease. METHODS: We used 97 895 retinal fundus images from 54 813 UK Biobank participants. Using convolutional neural networks to segment the retinal microvasculature, we calculated vascular density and fractal dimension as a measure of vascular branching complexity. We associated these indices with 1866 incident International Classification of Diseases-based conditions (median 10-year follow-up) and 88 quantitative traits, adjusting for age, sex, smoking status, and ethnicity. RESULTS: Low retinal vascular fractal dimension and density were significantly associated with higher risks for incident mortality, hypertension, congestive heart failure, renal failure, type 2 diabetes, sleep apnea, anemia, and multiple ocular conditions, as well as corresponding quantitative traits. Genome-wide association of vascular fractal dimension and density identified 7 and 13 novel loci, respectively, that were enriched for pathways linked to angiogenesis (eg, vascular endothelial growth factor, platelet-derived growth factor receptor, angiopoietin, and WNT signaling pathways) and inflammation (eg, interleukin, cytokine signaling). CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that the retinal vasculature may serve as a biomarker for future cardiometabolic and ocular disease and provide insights into genes and biological pathways influencing microvascular indices. Moreover, such a framework highlights how deep learning of images can quantify an interpretable phenotype for integration with electronic health record, biomarker, and genetic data to inform risk prediction and risk modification.

Pre-Existing Autoimmune Disease Increases the Risk of Cardiovascular and Noncardiovascular Events After Immunotherapy.

Background: The use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) is associated with cardiovascular (CV) events, and patients with pre-existing autoimmune disease are at increased CV risk. Objectives: The aim of this study was to characterize the risk for CV events in patients with pre-existing autoimmune disease post-ICI. Methods: This was a retrospective study of 6,683 patients treated with ICIs within an academic network. Autoimmune disease prior to ICI was confirmed by chart review. Baseline characteristics and risk for CV and non-CV immune-related adverse events were compared with a matched control group (1:1 ratio) of ICI patients without autoimmune disease. Matching was based on age, sex, history of coronary artery disease, history of heart failure, and diabetes mellitus. CV events were a composite of myocardial infarction, percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass graft, stroke, transient ischemic attack, deep venous thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, or myocarditis. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the association between autoimmune disease and CV events. Results: Among 502 patients treated with ICIs, 251 patients with and 251 patients without autoimmune disease were studied. During a median follow-up period of 205 days, there were 45 CV events among patients with autoimmune disease and 22 CV events among control subjects (adjusted HR: 1.77; 95% CI: 1.04-3.03; P = 0.0364). Of the non-CV immune-related adverse events, there were increased rates of psoriasis (11.2% vs 0.4%; P < 0.001) and colitis (24.3% vs 16.7%; P = 0.045) in patients with autoimmune disease. Conclusions: Patients with autoimmune disease have an increased risk for CV and non-CV events post-ICI.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors for cancer and venous thromboembolic events.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are widely used cancer treatments. There are limited data on the risk for developing venous thromboembolism (VTE) among patients on an ICI. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of 2854 patients who received ICIs at a single academic centre. VTE events, defined as a composite of deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism, were identified by individual chart review and blindly adjudicated using standard imaging criteria. A self-controlled risk-interval design was applied with an 'at-risk period' defined as the two-year period after and the 'control period', defined as the two-year before treatment. The hazard ratio (HR) was calculated using a fixed-effect proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Of the 2854 patients, 1640 (57.5%) were men; the mean age was 64 ± 13 years. The risk for VTE was 7.4% at 6 months and 13.8% at 1 year after starting an ICI. The rate of VTE was > 4-fold higher after starting an ICI (HR 4.98, 95% CI 3.65-8.59, p < 0.001). There was a 5.7-fold higher risk for deep vein thrombosis (HR 5.70, 95% CI 3.79-8.59, p < 0.001) and a 4.75-fold higher risk for pulmonary embolism (HR 4.75, 95% CI 3.20-7.10, p < 0.001). Comparing patients with and without a VTE event, a history of melanoma and older age predicted lower risk of VTE, while a higher Khorana risk score, history of hypertension and history of VTE predicted higher risk. CONCLUSIONS: The rate of VTE among patients on an ICI is high and increases after starting an ICI.

Association between incidental statin use and skeletal myopathies in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

OBJECTIVES: Skeletal myopathies are highly morbid, and in rare cases even fatal, immune-related adverse events (irAE) associated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). Skeletal myopathies are also a recognized statin-associated side effect. It is unknown whether concurrent use of statins and ICIs increases the risk of skeletal myopathies. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of all patients who were treated with an ICI at a single academic institution (Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA). The primary outcome of interest was the development of a skeletal myopathy. The secondary outcome of interest was an elevated creatine kinase level (above the upper limit of normal). RESULTS: Among 2757 patients, 861 (31.2%) were treated with a statin at the time of ICI start. Statin users were older, more likely to be male and had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular co-morbidities. During a median follow-up of 194 days (inter quartile range 65-410), a skeletal myopathy occurred in 33 patients (1.2%) and was more common among statin users (2.7 vs. 0.9%, P < 0.001). Creatine kinase (CK) elevation was present in 16.3% (114/699) and was higher among statin users (20.0 vs. 14.3%, P = 0.067). In a multivariable Cox model, statin therapy was associated with a >2-fold higher risk for skeletal myopathy (HR, 2.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-4.50; P = 0.033). CONCLUSION: In this large cohort of ICI-treated patients, a higher risk was observed for skeletal myopathies and elevation in CK levels in patients undergoing concurrent statin therapy. Prospective observational studies are warranted to further elucidate the potential association between statin use and ICI-associated myopathies.