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The study investigated the application of Wastewater-Based Epidemiology (WBE) as a tool for monitoring the SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in a city in northern Italy from October 2021 to May 2023. Based on a previously used deterministic model, this study proposed a variation to account for the population characteristics and virus biodegradation in the sewer network. The model calculated virus loads and corresponding COVID-19 cases over time in different areas of the city and was validated using healthcare data while considering viral mutations, vaccinations, and testing variability. The correlation between the predicted and reported cases was high across the three waves that occurred during the period considered, demonstrating the ability of the model to predict the relevant fluctuations in the number of cases. The population characteristics did not substantially influence the predicted and reported infection rates. Conversely, biodegradation significantly reduced the virus load reaching the wastewater treatment plant, resulting in a 30% reduction in the total virus load produced in the study area. This approach can be applied to compare the virus load values across cities with different population demographics and sewer network structures, improving the comparability of the WBE data for effective surveillance and intervention strategies.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Aguas Residuales , Italia/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/transmisión , Humanos , Aguas Residuales/virología , Monitoreo Epidemiológico Basado en Aguas Residuales , Carga Viral , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Ciudades/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) are the major components of long-chain per- and polyfluorinated alkyl substances (PFAS), known for their chemical stability and environmental persistence. Even if PFOA and PFOS have been phased out or are limited in use, they still represent a concern for human and environmental health. Several studies have been performed to highlight the toxicological behavior of these chemicals and their mode of action (MoA). Data have suggested a causal association between PFOA or PFOS exposure and carcinogenicity in humans, but the outcomes of epidemiological studies showed some inconsistency. Moreover, the hypothesized MoA based on animal studies is considered not relevant for human cancer. To improve the knowledge on PFAS toxicology and contribute to the weight of evidence for the regulatory classification of PFAS, we used the BALB/c 3T3 cell transformation assay (CTA), an in vitro model under consideration to be included in an integrated approach to testing and assessment for non-genotoxic carcinogens (NGTxCs). PFOS and PFOA were tested at several concentrations using a validated experimental protocol. Our results demonstrate that PFOA does not induce cell transformation, whereas PFOS exposure induced a concentration-related increase of type III foci. Malignant foci formation was triggered at PFOS concentrations equal to or higher than 50 ppm and was not directly associated with cytotoxicity or proliferation induction. The divergent CTA outcomes suggest that different molecular events could be responsible for the toxicological profiles of PFOS and PFOA, which were not fully captured in our study.
PFAS chemicals are known for their durability and resistance to heat, water, and oil. They are persistent in the environment and may pose health risks despite decreased use. This study explored PFOS and PFOA, two common PFAS chemicals, to understand their potential harm and cancer risk. To better understand how they might be harmful, we conducted a cell-based test that can resemble the carcinogenesis process in experimental animals. The test revealed PFOS, but not PFOA, can cause cancer-like changes, at levels of 50 parts per million or higher. This result suggests different PFAS chemicals affect cells differently, but we need more research to understand exactly how they work and how they might cause cancer. Understanding this could help regulate and reduce PFAS harmful effects. This research aligns with 3R principles by using cell-based tests as an alternative to animal testing, thereby promoting ethical research practices.
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Ácidos Alcanesulfónicos , Caprilatos , Carcinógenos , Fluorocarburos , Fluorocarburos/toxicidad , Animales , Caprilatos/toxicidad , Ácidos Alcanesulfónicos/toxicidad , Ratones , Carcinógenos/toxicidad , Pruebas de Carcinogenicidad , Células 3T3 BALB , Humanos , Alternativas a las Pruebas en AnimalesRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: to estimate the impact (number of deaths and attributable fraction) of air pollution (chronic exposure to PM2.5 and NO2) and high summer temperatures (acute exposure) on mortality in Italy. DESIGN: observational study. Time series analysis (for estimating acute effects of air temperature), and computation of deaths attributable to heat/pollution using standard health impact assessment functions. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: for the assessment of the impact due to chronic exposure to air pollutants, the study period considered was 2016-2019. For the assessment of the acute effects of air temperature and related impacts, the municipal daily series of deaths from all causes relating to the period 2003-2015 were used. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: mortality for all causes (effects and impacts of acute exposure to air temperature), cause-specific mortality (impact of chronic exposure to pollution). RESULTS: concerning chronic exposure to PM2.5, each year during 2016-2019, 72,083 deaths (11.7%) were estimated to be attributable to annual mean levels of PM2.5 above 5 µg/m3 (WHO-2021 Air Quality Guideline value). Of these, 39,628 were estimated in the regions of the Po Valley and 10,232 in the 6 Italian cities with >500,000 inhabitants. With reference to acute effects of air temperature, over 14,500 deaths (2.3%) were estimated to be attributable to daily temperature increases from the 75th to the 99th percentile of the municipality-specific distribution for the year 2015. Conclusions: high air pollution concentrations and summer temperatures are two environmental risk factors extremely relevant for public health. Although the prevention and mitigation interventions carried out in recent years have contributed to reducing the exposure of the population, there are still alarming numbers of deaths attributable to high levels of particulate matter, nitrogen oxides, and air temperature in the Italian population.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Temperatura , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisisRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The few studies that have examined associations between greenspace and lung function in adulthood have yielded conflicting results and none have examined whether the rate of lung function decline is affected. OBJECTIVE: We explored the association between residential greenspace and change in lung function over 20 years in 5559 adults from 22 centers in 11 countries participating in the population-based, international European Community Respiratory Health Survey. METHODS: Forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and forced vital capacity (FVC) were measured by spirometry when participants were approximately 35 (1990-1994), 44 (1999-2003), and 55 (2010-2014) years old. Greenness was assessed as the mean Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) in 500 m, 300 m, and 100 m circular buffers around the residential addresses at the time of lung function measurement. Green spaces were defined as the presence of agricultural, natural, or urban green spaces in a circular 300 m buffer. Associations of these greenspace parameters with the rate of lung function change were assessed using adjusted linear mixed effects regression models with random intercepts for subjects nested within centers. Sensitivity analyses considered air pollution exposures. RESULTS: A 0.2-increase (average interquartile range) in NDVI in the 500 m buffer was consistently associated with a faster decline in FVC (-1.25 mL/year [95% confidence interval: -2.18 to -0.33]). These associations were especially pronounced in females and those living in areas with low PM10 levels. We found no consistent associations with FEV1 and the FEV1/FVC ratio. Residing near forests or urban green spaces was associated with a faster decline in FEV1, while agricultural land and forests were related to a greater decline in FVC. CONCLUSIONS: More residential greenspace was not associated with better lung function in middle-aged European adults. Instead, we observed slight but consistent declines in lung function parameters. The potentially detrimental association requires verification in future studies.
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Contaminación del Aire , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Capacidad Vital , Volumen Espiratorio Forzado , PulmónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: after the outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in 2020, several waves of pandemic cases have occurred in Italy. The role of air pollution has been hypothesized and investigated in several studies. However, to date, the role of chronic exposure to air pollutants in increasing incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections is still debated. OBJECTIVES: to investigate the association between long-term exposure to air pollutants and the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Italy. DESIGN: a satellite-based air pollution exposure model with 1-km2 spatial resolution for entire Italy was applied and 2016-2019 mean population-weighted concentrations of particulate matter < 10 micron (PM10), PM <2.5 micron (PM2.5), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) was calculated to each municipality as estimates of chronic exposures. A principal component analysis (PCA) approach was applied to 50+ area-level covariates (geography and topography, population density, mobility, population health, socioeconomic status) to account for the major determinants of the spatial distribution of incidence rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Detailed information was further used on intra- and inter-municipal mobility during the pandemic period. Finally, a mixed longitudinal ecological design with the study units consisting of individual municipalities in Italy was applied. Generalized negative binomial models controlling for age, gender, province, month, PCA variables, and population density were estimated. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: individual records of diagnosed SARS-2-CoV-2 infections in Italy from February 2020 to June 2021 reported to the Italian Integrated Surveillance of COVID-19 were used. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: percentage increases in incidence rate (%IR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) per unit increase in exposure. RESULTS: 3,995,202 COVID-19 cases in 7,800 municipalities were analysed (total population: 59,589,357 inhabitants). It was found that long-term exposure to PM2.5, PM10, and NO2 was significantly associated with the incidence rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection. In particular, incidence of COVID-19 increased by 0.3% (95%CI 0.1%-0.4%), 0.3% (0.2%-0.4%), and 0.9% (0.8%-1.0%) per 1 µg/m3 increment in PM2.5, PM10 and NO2, respectively. Associations were higher among elderly subjects and during the second pandemic wave (September 2020-December 2020). Several sensitivity analyses confirmed the main results. The results for NO2 were especially robust to multiple sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: evidence of an association between long-term exposure to ambient air pollutants and the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Italy was found.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , COVID-19 , Humanos , Anciano , Incidencia , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Italia/epidemiología , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisisRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The role of chronic exposure to ambient air pollutants in increasing COVID-19 fatality is still unclear. OBJECTIVES: The study aimed to investigate the association between long-term exposure to air pollutants and mortality among 4 million COVID-19 cases in Italy. METHODS: We obtained individual records of all COVID-19 cases identified in Italy from February 2020 to June 2021. We assigned 2016-2019 mean concentrations of particulate matter (PM) with aerodynamic diameter ≤10µm (PM10), PM with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5µm (PM2.5), and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) to each municipality (n=7,800) as estimates of chronic exposures. We applied a principal component analysis (PCA) and a generalized propensity score (GPS) approach to an extensive list of area-level covariates to account for major determinants of the spatial distribution of COVID-19 case-fatality rates. Then, we applied generalized negative binomial models matched on GPS, age, sex, province, and month. As additional analyses, we fit separate models by pandemic periods, age, and sex; we quantified the numbers of COVID-19 deaths attributable to exceedances in annual air pollutant concentrations above predefined thresholds; and we explored associations between air pollution and alternative outcomes of COVID-19 severity, namely hospitalizations or accesses to intensive care units. RESULTS: We analyzed 3,995,202 COVID-19 cases, which generated 124,346 deaths. Overall, case-fatality rates increased by 0.7% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.5%, 0.9%], 0.3% (95% CI: 0.2%, 0.5%), and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.5%, 0.8%) per 1 µg/m3 increment in PM2.5, PM10, and NO2, respectively. Associations were higher among elderly subjects and during the first (February 2020-June 2020) and the third (December 2020-June 2021) pandemic waves. We estimated â¼8% COVID-19 deaths were attributable to pollutant levels above the World Health Organization 2021 air quality guidelines. DISCUSSION: We found suggestive evidence of an association between long-term exposure to ambient air pollutants with mortality among 4 million COVID-19 cases in Italy. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11882.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , COVID-19 , Humanos , Anciano , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisisRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: the BIGEPI project, co-funded by INAIL, has used big data to identify the health risks associated with short and long-term exposure to air pollution, extreme temperatures and occupational exposures. DESIGN: the project consists of 5 specific work packages (WP) aimed at assessing: 1. the acute effects of environmental exposures over the national territory; 2. the acute effects of environmental exposures in contaminated areas, such as Sites of National Interest (SIN) and industrial sites; 3. the chronic effects of environmental exposures in 6 Italian longitudinal metropolitan studies; 4. the acute and chronic effects of environmental exposures in 7 epidemiological surveys on population samples; 5. the chronic effects of occupational exposures in the longitudinal metropolitan studies of Rome and Turin. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: BIGEPI analyzed environmental and health data at different levels of detail: the whole Italian population (WP1); populations living in areas contaminated by pollutants of industrial origin (WP2); the entire longitudinal cohorts of the metropolitan areas of Bologna, Brindisi, Rome, Syracuse, Taranto and Turin (WP3 and WP5); population samples participating in the epidemiological surveys of Ancona, Palermo, Pavia, Pisa, Sassari, Turin and Verona (WP4). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: environmental exposure: PM10, PM2,5, NO2 and O3 concentrations and air temperature at 1 Km2 resolution at national level. Occupational exposures: employment history of subjects working in at least one of 25 sectors with similar occupational exposures to chemicals/carcinogens; self-reported exposure to dust/fumes/gas in the workplace. Health data: cause-specific mortality/hospitalisation; symptoms/diagnosis of respiratory/allergic diseases; respiratory function and bronchial inflammation. RESULTS: BIGEPI analyzed data at the level of the entire Italian population, data on 2.8 million adults (>=30 yrs) in longitudinal metropolitan studies and on about 14,500 individuals (>=18 yrs) in epidemiological surveys on population samples. The population investigated in the longitudinal metropolitan studies had an average age of approximately 55 years and that of the epidemiological surveys was about 48 years; in both cases, 53% of the population was female. As regards environmental exposure, in the period 2013-2015, at national level average values for PM10, PM2.5, NO2 and summer O3 were: 21.1±13.6, 15.1±10.9, 14.7±9.1 and 80.3±17.3 µg/m3, for the temperature the average value was 13.9±7.2 °C. Data were analyzed for a total of 1,769,660 deaths from non-accidental causes as well as 74,392 incident cases of acute coronary event and 45,513 of stroke. Epidemiological investigations showed a high prevalence of symptoms/diagnoses of rhinitis (range: 14.2-40.5%), COPD (range: 4.7-19.3%) and asthma (range: 3.2-13.2%). The availability of these large datasets has made it possible to implement advanced statistical models for estimating the health effects of short- and long-term exposures to pollutants. The details are reported in the BIGEPI papers already published in other international journals and in those published in this volume of E&P. CONCLUSIONS: BIGEPI has confirmed the great potential of using big data in studies of the health effects of environmental and occupational factors, stimulating new directions of scientific research and confirming the need for preventive action on air quality and climate change for the health of the general population and the workers.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Contaminantes Ambientales , Enfermedades Respiratorias , Adulto , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Dióxido de Nitrógeno , Italia/epidemiología , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisisRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: appropriate assessment of exposure to air pollution is crucial for the estimation of adverse effects on human health, both in the short and long term. Within the BIGEPI project, different indicators of long-term exposure to air pollution, in association with mortality by cause, were tested within the Italian longitudinal metropolitan studies (LMS). This allowed an evaluation of differences in effect estimates using the different exposure indicators. DESIGN: closed cohort. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: subjects aged >=30, who took part in the 2011 census, residents in 5 cities (Turin, Bologna, Rome, Brindisi and Taranto). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: at the time of enrolment, residential exposure levels to particulate matter <=10 µm (PM10), PM <=2.5 µm (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O3) for the period April-September (O3 warm season) were obtained from models at different spatial resolutions, from 1x1km to 200x200m (from the BEEP project) to 100x100m (ELAPSE project). In addition, locally developed models were used in each area (FARM photochemical model at 1x1-km for the cities of Rome, Taranto and Brindisi, Land-Use Regression (LUR) model for the city of Turin, PESCO model for Bologna). Cox proportional hazards models were applied to assess the association between exposure to air pollution (assessed using different exposure indicators) and natural mortality, adjusting for both individual and area covariates. RESULTS: the exposure levels derived by the different models varied between pollutants, with differences between the averages ranging from 3 to 20% for PM10, from 1 to 23% for PM2.5, and from 3 to 28% for NO2; the results for O3 were more heterogeneous. A total of 267,350 deaths from natural causes were observed. There is low heterogeneity in the effect estimates calculated from different environmental models, while there is greater variability in average exposure values, with different behaviour depending on the model and the characteristics of the area investigated. Differences are more pronounced where local risk factors are relevant, e.g., in industrial cities, thus suggesting the need of considering industrial exposure separately from other sources. CONCLUSIONS: the numerous heterogeneities in the data used make it difficult to draw conclusions about the comparisons studied. Nevertheless, this study suggests that different approaches to the assessment of environmental exposure should be evaluated depending on the national or local level of interest, also according to the specifities of the investigated areas.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/efectos adversos , Italia/epidemiología , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisisRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: to assess the potential of using longitudinal metropolitan studies (LMS) to study the association between long-term exposure to air pollution and the incidence of acute coronary events and stroke. DESIGN: closed cohort. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: subjects aged >=30 years, who took part in the 2011 census, residents in 5 cities (Turin, Bologna, Rome, Brindisi and Taranto). Annual concentrations of particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and warm-season ozone (O3) (annual O3 in Taranto and Brindisi), estimated through satellite (Turin, Bologna, Rome) or photochemical models (Taranto and Brindisi) with a spatial resolution of 1 km2, were assigned to the census address. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke until 31.12.2018 (2019 in Bologna). Cohort-specific Hazard Ratios (HRs), estimated using Cox regression models progressively adjusting for individual and contextual covariates, were pooled with random-effect meta-analysis. RESULTS: there were 71,872 incident CHD cases and 43,884 incident cases of stroke in almost 18 million person-years. No association was observed between the exposures studied and incidence of CHD and stroke, except for an increase in the incidence of CHD associated with warm-season O3 exposure (HR 1.034 per 5 µg/m3 increase). Some positive associations were found in specific cities (both outcomes in Brindisi with PM10 exposure and in Taranto with NO2 exposure, stroke in Rome with both PM10 and PM2.5), although estimates were not significant in some instances. CONCLUSIONS: LMS are a high potential tool for the study of comparative medium- and long-term effects of air pollution. Their further development (different definitions of exposure, outcomes, characteristics of the urban areas and extension to other LMS) may make them even more valuable tools for monitoring and planning public health interventions.
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Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Enfermedad Coronaria , Accidente Cerebrovascular , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Enfermedad Coronaria/epidemiología , Enfermedad Coronaria/etiología , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Incidencia , Italia , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/toxicidad , Material Particulado/análisis , Material Particulado/toxicidad , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiologíaRESUMEN
Particulate matter (PM) may play a role in differential distribution and transmission rates of SARS-CoV-2. For public health surveillance, identification of factors affecting the transmission dynamics concerning the endemic (persistent sporadic) and epidemic (rapidly clustered) component of infection can help to implement intervention strategies to reduce the disease burden. The aim of this study is to assess the effect of long-term residential exposure to outdoor PM ≤ 10 µm (PM10) concentrations on SARS-CoV-2 incidence and on its spreading dynamics in Marche region (Central Italy) during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic (February to May 2020), using the endemic-epidemic spatio-temporal regression model for individual-level data. Environmental and climatic factors were estimated at 10 km2 grid cells. 10-years average exposure to PM10 was associated with an increased risk of new endemic (Rate Ratio for 10 µg/m3 increase 1.14, 95%CI 1.04-1.24) and epidemic (Rate Ratio 1.15, 95%CI 1.08-1.22) infection. Male gender, older age, living in Nursing Homes and Long-Term Care Facilities residence and socio-economic deprivation index increased Rate Ratio (RR) in epidemic component. Lockdown increased the risk of becoming positive to SARS-CoV-2 as concerning endemic component while it reduced virus spreading in epidemic one. Increased temperature was associated with a reduction of endemic and epidemic infection. Results showed an increment of RR for exposure to increased levels of PM10 both in endemic and epidemic components. Targeted interventions are necessary to improve air quality in most polluted areas, where deprived populations are more likely to live, to minimize the burden of endemic and epidemic COVID-19 disease and to reduce unequal distribution of health risk.
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Contaminación del Aire , COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiología , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Humanos , Masculino , Pandemias , Material Particulado , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
The methodology of health impact assessment (HIA), originally proposed by WHO, is widely used to predict the potential health effects in a community living in a place in which a new project (e.g., an industrial plant) will be implemented. One of the key quantities to calculate the impact (i.e., the number of attributable cases) is the baseline (i.e., before the project implementation) rate of selected diseases in the community. In a recent paper on this journal, this methodology has been challenged. Specifically, the use of baseline rate has been questioned, proposing to use only the fraction of the baseline rate due to the exposures related to the project, and not the rate due to all risk factors for the disease. In this commentary, we argue that the proposal is logically and epidemiologically unsound, and devoid of scientific motivation. The conclusion that the traditional approach overestimates the health impact should be rejected as based on flawed assumptions. On the contrary, the proposal may produce a (seriously biased) underestimation of attributable cases.
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Evaluación del Impacto en la Salud , Evaluación del Impacto en la Salud/métodos , HumanosRESUMEN
The large availability of both air pollution and COVID-19 data, and the simplicity to make geographical correlations between them, led to a proliferation of ecological studies relating the levels of pollution in administrative areas to COVID-19 incidence, mortality or lethality rates. However, the major drawback of these studies is the ecological fallacy that can lead to spurious associations. In this frame, an increasing concern has been addressed to clarify the possible role of contextual variables such as municipalities' characteristics (including urban, rural, semi-rural settings), those of the resident communities, the network of social relations, the mobility of people, and the responsiveness of the National Health Service (NHS), to better clarify the dynamics of the phenomenon. The objective of this paper is to identify and collect the municipalities' and community contextual factors and to synthesize their information content to produce suitable indicators in national environmental epidemiological studies, with specific emphasis on assessing the possible role of air pollution on the incidence and severity of the COVID-19 disease. A first step was to synthesize the content of spatial information, available at the municipal level, in a smaller set of "summary indexes" that can be more easily viewed and analyzed. For the 7903 Italian municipalities (1 January 2020-ISTAT), 44 variables were identified, collected, and grouped into five information dimensions a priori defined: (i) geographic characteristics of the municipality, (ii) demographic and anthropogenic characteristics, (iii) mobility, (iv) socio-economic-health area, and (v) healthcare offer (source: ISTAT, EUROSTAT or Ministry of Health, and further ad hoc elaborations (e.g., OpenStreetMaps)). Principal component analysis (PCA) was carried out for the five identified dimensions, with the aim of reducing the large number of initial variables into a smaller number of components, limiting as much as possible the loss of information content (variability). We also included in the analysis PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 population weighted exposure (PWE) values obtained using a four-stage approach based on the machine learning method, "random forest", which uses space-time predictors, satellite data, and air quality monitoring data estimated at the national level. Overall, the PCA made it possible to extract twelve components: three for the territorial characteristics dimension of the municipality (variance explained 72%), two for the demographic and anthropogenic characteristics dimension (variance explained 62%), three for the mobility dimension (variance explained 83%), two for the socio-economic-health sector (variance explained 58%) and two for the health offer dimension (variance explained 72%). All the components of the different dimensions are only marginally correlated with each other, demonstrating their potential ability to grasp different aspects of the spatial distribution of the COVID-19 pathology. This work provides a national repository of contextual variables at the municipality level collapsed into twelve informative factors suitable to be used in studies on the association between chronic exposure to air pollution and COVID-19 pathology, as well as for investigations on the role of air pollution on the health of the Italian population.
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Contaminación del Aire , COVID-19 , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , COVID-19/epidemiología , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Estudios Epidemiológicos , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Medicina EstatalRESUMEN
Achieving and maintaining asthma control (AC) is the main goal of asthma management. Indoor and outdoor environmental factors may play an important role on AC. The aim of this longitudinal study was to evaluate the association between AC and exposure to greenness and other outdoor or indoor environmental factors in a cohort of asthmatic children. This study involved 179 asthmatic children (5-16 years). Parents were interviewed through a modified version of the SIDRIA questionnaire. AC was assessed at each visit. Exposure to greenness was measured using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). A logistic regression model was applied for assessing risk factors for uncontrolled asthma (UA). Low NDVI exposure was a risk factor for UA (OR: 2.662, 95% CI (1.043-6.799)); children exposed to passive smoke during pregnancy had a higher risk of UA than those non-exposed to passive smoke during pregnancy (OR: 3.816, 95% CI (1.114-13.064)); and a unit increase in the crowding index was associated with an increased risk of UA (OR: 3.376, 95% CI (1.294-8.808)). In conclusion, the current study provided a comprehensive assessment of urban-related environmental exposures on asthma control in children, using multiple indicators of greenness and other outdoor or indoor environmental factors.
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Asma , Contaminación por Humo de Tabaco , Asma/epidemiología , Niño , Estudios de Cohortes , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , EmbarazoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND/AIM: The relationship between air pollution and respiratory morbidity has been widely addressed in urban and metropolitan areas but little is known about the effects in non-urban settings. Our aim was to assess the short-term effects of PM10 and PM2.5 on respiratory admissions in the whole country of Italy during 2006-2015. METHODS: We estimated daily PM concentrations at the municipality level using satellite data and spatiotemporal predictors. We collected daily counts of respiratory hospital admissions for each Italian municipality. We considered five different outcomes: all respiratory diseases, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), lower and upper respiratory tract infections (LRTI and URTI). Meta-analysis of province-specific estimates obtained by time-series models, adjusting for temperature, humidity and other confounders, was applied to extrapolate national estimates for each outcome. At last, we tested for effect modification by sex, age, period, and urbanization score. Analyses for PM2.5 were restricted to 2013-2015 cause the goodness of fit of exposure estimation. RESULTS: A total of 4,154,887 respiratory admission were registered during 2006-2015, of which 29% for LRTI, 12% for COPD, 6% for URTI, and 3% for asthma. Daily mean PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations over the study period were 23.3 and 17 µg/m3, respectively. For each 10 µg/m3 increases in PM10 and PM2.5 at lag 0-5 days, we found excess risks of total respiratory diseases equal to 1.20% (95% confidence intervals, 0.92, 1.49) and 1.22% (0.76, 1.68), respectively. The effects for the specific diseases were similar, with the strongest ones for asthma and COPD. Higher effects were found in the elderly and in less urbanized areas. CONCLUSIONS: Short-term exposure to PM is harmful for the respiratory system throughout an entire country, especially in elderly patients. Strong effects can be found also in less urbanized areas.
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Contaminación del Aire , Material Particulado , Anciano , Contaminación del Aire/estadística & datos numéricos , Hospitalización , Humanos , Italia/epidemiología , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , UrbanizaciónRESUMEN
Environmental Impact Assessments (EIAs) often conclude with a "low" or at least "negligible" final health impact assessment (HIA) of the industrial plant under assessment. We explore the reasons for this - often simplistic - conclusion and offer suggestions on how to extend the assessment focus from just the plant to an appropriate impact area. For many assessments, the conclusions are easily predictable: the application of available risk functions to modest increases in pollution, in the presence of numerically small populations in the areas of greatest fallout and considering rather rare health outcomes, can only result in quantitatively modest health impacts. This is the classic situation of low sensitivity of the observation system due to the impossibility of containing the type II error (false negatives) since we cannot increase the exposed population at will. The risk is to give the green light to an industrial plant in which the apparently null or very limited damage is simply not properly detectable. There is hardly any trace of these elements in the HIA scoping phase. In environmental complex territories, the renewal or authorization of a new plant should consider not only the impact of the individual plant, but also the health profile of the population concerned and the context in which the industrial project is located. An 'HIA area' is therefore configured, aimed at the complex of environmental pressure factors that insist on the same area of impact of the plant. Epidemiology focuses on the exposed population, considers the 'current' state of health, hazard, and risk information from toxicology, and estimates individual exposure and the effects of exposure. The 'HIA area' can assess the impact of the complex of persistent emission sources, considering in the analysis the health status of the exposed population and the presence of specific vulnerabilities. The proposal is in line with what is already foreseen in the Essential levels of care and Environmental technical performance of the National Health Service.A basic condition is the establishment of functions dedicated to integrated environmental and health surveillance to update the health profile and carry out the 'HIA area' as an accompanying tool for local strategic planning. On these issues, the Italian Environment and Health Network (RIAS) has opened a discussion within the network and with any Italian regions.
Asunto(s)
Evaluación del Impacto en la Salud , Medicina Estatal , Ambiente , Contaminación Ambiental/efectos adversos , Humanos , Italia/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
As the novel coronavirus disease sweeps across the world, there is growing speculation on the role that atmospheric factors may have played on the different distribution of SARS-CoV-2, and on the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19. Knowing the role that environmental factors play in influenza virus outbreaks, environmental pollution and, in particular, atmospheric airborne (particulate matter, PM) has been considered as a potential key factor in the spread and mortality of COVID-19. A possible role of the PM as the virus carrier has also been debated. The role of PM in exacerbating respiratory and cardiovascular disease has been well recognized. Accumulating evidence support the hypothesis that PM can trigger inflammatory response at molecular, cellular and organ levels. On this basis, we developed the hypothesis that PM may play a role as a booster of COVID-19 rather than as a carrier of SARS-CoV-2. To support our hypothesis, we analyzed the molecular signatures detected in cells exposed to PM samples collected in one of the most affected areas by the COVID-19 outbreak, in Italy. T47D human breast adenocarcinoma cells were chosen to explore the global gene expression changes induced by the treatment with organic extracts of PM 2.5. The analysis of the KEGG's pathways showed modulation of several gene networks related to the leucocyte transendothelial migration, cytoskeleton and adhesion system. Three major biological process were identified, including coagulation, growth control and immune response. The analysis of the modulated genes gave evidence for the involvement of PM in the endothelial disease, coagulation disorders, diabetes and reproductive toxicity, supporting the hypothesis that PM, directly or through molecular interplay, affects the same molecular targets as so far known for SARS-COV-2, contributing to the cytokines storm and to the aggravation of the symptoms triggered by COVID-19. We provide evidence for a plausible cooperation of receptors and transmembrane proteins, targeted by PM and involved in COVID-19, together with new insights into the molecular interplay of chemicals and pathogens that could be of importance for sustaining public health policies and developing new therapeutic approaches.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND/AIM: The aim of the present study was to assess the association between PM2.5, its sources, and preterm birth (PTB), low birth weight (LBW), and small for gestational age (SGA) in a large open residential cohort (Supersito Project in the Emilia-Romagna Region - Northern Italy). METHODS: We collected 2012-2014 pregnancy and childbirth data from Birth Assistance Certificates and selected the pregnancies of interest. PTBs (gestational age < 37 weeks), LBW (weight < 2500 g), and SGA (newborns weighing ≤ 10th age and pregnancy week-specific percentile) were considered. Three-year measurements of daily concentrations and constituents of PM2.5 were available at four sites and were analyzed through a source apportionment approach identifying 6 sources (traffic, biomass burning, oil combustion, anthropogenic mix, and two secondary factors). Exposure to PM2.5 and sources was calculated at address level. Using logistic regression models, associations between exposure and outcomes were derived, applying single-pollutant and two-pollutant models, to verify the independent effect of each source. RESULTS: The study included 23,708 neonates born to 23,415 women, among whom 1,311 PTB, 424 LBW, and 1,354 SGA occurred. PTB was the only outcome associated with PM2.5 mass (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.002-1.058 per 1 µg/m3). Traffic, oil combustion and secondary sulfates and organics showed independent effects on PTB. Exposure to secondary nitrates was associated with a lower risk of PTB. There was no association between LBW or SGA and source-specific PM2.5 components or the residual PM2.5 related to all other sources. CONCLUSION: This study found an association between PTB and PM2.5. Traffic, secondary sulfates, and organic and oil combustion were the sources with most consistent association.