Prognostic and Predictive Impact of Primary Tumor Sidedness for Previously Untreated Advanced Colorectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Unplanned subgroup analyses from several studies have suggested primary tumor sidedness (PTS) as a potential prognostic and predictive parameter in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We aimed to investigate the impact of PTS on outcomes of mCRC patients. METHODS: PTS data of 9277 mCRC patients from 12 first-line randomized trials in the ARCAD database were pooled. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox models adjusting for age, sex, performance status, prior radiation/chemotherapy, and stratified by treatment arm. Predictive value was tested by interaction term between PTS and treatment (cetuximab plus chemotherapy vs chemotherapy alone). All statistical tests were 2-sided. RESULTS: Compared with right-sided metastatic colorectal cancer patients (n = 2421, 26.1%), left-sided metastatic colorectal cancer patients (n = 6856, 73.9%) had better OS (median = 21.6 vs 15.9 months; adjusted hazard ratio [HRadj] = 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.67 to 0.76; P < .001) and PFS (median = 8.6 vs 7.5 months; HRadj = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.75 to 0.84; P < .001). Interaction between PTS and KRAS mutation was statistically significant (Pinteraction < .001); left-sidedness was associated with better prognosis among KRAS wild-type (WT) (OS HRadj = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.53 to 0.66; PFS HRadj =0.68, 95% CI = 0.61 to 0.75) but not among KRAS mutated tumors. Among KRAS-WT tumors, survival benefit from anti-EGFR was confirmed for left-sidedness (OS HRadj = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.75 to 0.97; P = .01; PFS HRadj = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.67 to 0.88; P < .001) but not for right-sidedness. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic value of PTS is restricted to the KRAS-WT population. PTS is predictive of anti-EGFR efficacy, with a statistically significant improvement of survival for left-sidedness mCRC patients. These results suggest treatment choice in mCRC should be based on both PTS and KRAS status.

Prognostic value of the combination of circulating tumor cells plus KRAS in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with chemotherapy plus bevacizumab.

OBJECTIVE: Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and v-Ki-ras2 Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) status were identified as prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with chemotherapy and bevacizumab in analyses of the MACRO (Maintenance Treatment in Advanced Colorectal Cancer) trial. In this post hoc analysis of the MACRO trial, the potential additive effect of these 2 factors on patient outcomes was explored. METHODS: A total of 158 of the 480 patients involved in the MACRO trial were included in the biological marker substudy. CTC isolation and enumeration were centralized and performed using the CellSearch System (Veridex LLC, Raritan, NJ) in 7.5 mL of whole blood. Evaluation of KRAS status was performed retrospectively by the standard method used at each center. PFS and OS were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method according to CTC count and KRAS status. RESULTS: Patients with < 3 CTC per 7.5 mL blood at baseline and KRAS wild-type tumors had a median PFS of 14.2 months compared with 6.2 months in patients with ≥ 3 CTCs and KRAS mutated tumors (P < .0001; hazard ratio, 3.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.8-5.2). Similar findings were observed for OS (28.9 and 13.7 months, respectively, P = .0004; hazard ratio 2.8; 95% confidence interval, 1.6-4.9). Multivariate analyses showed that CTC count ≥ 3 and KRAS status were the only independent prognostic factors for both PFS and OS. CONCLUSIONS: This post hoc analysis showed that CTC count and KRAS status were independent prognostic factors for outcomes in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with bevacizumab ± chemotherapy. These factors should be taken into account in the design of future phase III trials.