Machine Learning Models Predict the Need of Amputation and/or Peripheral Artery Revascularization in Hypertensive Patients Within 7-Years Follow-Up.

Lower extremity amputation and requirement of peripheral artery revascularization are common outcomes of undiagnosed peripheral artery disease patients. In the current work, prediction models for the need of amputation or peripheral revascularization focused on hypertensive patients within seven years follow up are employed. We applied machine learning (ML) models using classifiers such as Extreme Gradient Boost (XGBoost), Random Forest (RF) and Adaptive Boost (AdaBoost), that will allow clinicians to identify the patients at risk of these two endpoints using simple clinical data. We used the non-interventional cohort of the getABI study in the primary care setting, selecting 4,191 hypertensive patients out of 6,474 patients with age over 65 years old and followed up for vascular events or death up to 7 years. During this follow up period, 150 patients underwent either amputation or peripheral revascularization or both. Accuracy, Specificity, Sensitivity and Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were estimated for each machine learning model. The results demonstrate Random Forest as the most accurate model for the prediction of the composite endpoint in hypertensive patients within 7 years follow-up, achieving 73.27 % accuracy.Clinical Relevance-This study assists clinicians to better predict and treat these serious outcomes, amputation and peripheral revascularization in hypertensive patients.

What makes an orthopaedic paper highly citable? A bibliometric analysis of top orthopeadic journals with 10-year follow up.

PURPOSE: To examine a series of papers from top ranked orthopaedic journals with respect to the number of citations over a 10-year observation period to identify factors that lead to high citation rates. METHODS: The Web of Science database was consulted to identify all published papers from the first-year term of 2010 (January-May) from four top orthopaedic journals: AJSM, Arthroscopy, JBJS Am and KSSTA. The database was used to analyze and compare the papers with respect to their characteristics and citations up to 2019. Basic information for each paper was collected including the author, country, study type and average citations per year (ACY). The most (Top20%) and least (Bottom20%) frequently cited papers were identified and differences were extracted. RESULTS: Five hundred sixteen papers were included with a total of 19,261 citations. Most of the published papers were from the United States (n = 245). On average, a paper received 37.3 citations over the 10-year observation period. The most cited paper was cited 322 times. The most cited study type was randomized controlled trial (RCT) (Ø80.8). The Top20% papers were cited 37 times more often than the Bottom20%. Among the Top20%, the largest group was cohort study (n = 20) followed by case series (n = 19). Among others, the number of authors, the number of keywords and the number of references significantly correlated with the number of citations (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Factors influencing citation frequency were identified.

Does residential exposure to air pollutants influence mortality and cardiovascular morbidity of older people from primary care?

BACKGROUND: Diseases affecting the cardiovascular system are the most common cause of death worldwide. In addition to classical risk factors of atherosclerosis, long-term exposure to particulate matter with particles of size up to 10 µm (PM10) in the atmosphere has become an increasing focus of scientific attention in recent decades. This study analyses the associations of residential-associated air pollutants exposure with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular morbidity of older patients in a primary care setting. METHODS: The "German Epidemiological Trial on Ankle Brachial Index" (getABI) is a prospective cohort study that started in 2001 and included 6,880 primary care patients with a follow-up of 7 years. The PM10 and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations in the atmosphere are interpolated values from the study "Mapping of background air pollution at a fine spatial scale across the European Union". The primary outcome in this analysis is death of any cause, a secondary outcome is onset of PAD. Cox proportional hazards regression was used in a two-step modelling, the first step with basic adjustment only for age, sex, and one or more air pollutants, the second with additional risk factors. RESULTS: A total of 6,819 getABI patients were included in this analysis. 1,243 of them died during the study period. The hazard ratio (HR) (1.218, 95%-confidence-interval (CI) 0.949-1.562) for the risk of death from any cause was elevated by 22% per 10 µg/m3 increase of PM10 in the fully adjusted model, although not statistically significant. Increased PM10 exposure in combination with the presence of PAD had a significantly increased risk (HR = 1.560, 95%-CI: 1.059-2.298) for this endpoint in the basic adjustment, but not in the fully adjusted model. 736 patients developed peripheral artery disease (PAD) during the course of the study. There was no association of air pollutants and the onset of PAD. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis renders some hints for the impact of air pollutants (PM10, NO2, and proximity to major road) on mortality. Interaction of PAD with PM10 was found. There was no association of air pollutants and the onset of PAD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: German Clinical Trials Register: DRKS00029733 (19/09/2022).

ERBB2 Amplification as a Predictive and Prognostic Biomarker in Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma.

Upper tract urothelial carcinomas (UTUCs) occur in about 5-10% of all urothelial carcinomas and are frequently discovered in high-stage disease. We aimed to evaluate human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (ERBB2) protein expression immunohistochemically and ERBB2 amplification in UTUCs by fluorescence in situ hybridization, applying a tissue microarray technique. ERBB2 overexpression and ERBB2 amplification were defined according to the recommendations of the American Society of Clinical Oncology/College of American Pathologists (ASCO/CAP) for breast cancer and gastric carcinoma (GC), revealing scores of 2+ and 3+ in 10.2% and 41.8% of UTUCs, respectively. The performance parameters showed obviously higher sensitivity of ERBB2 immunoscoring according to the ASCO/CAP criteria for GC. ERBB2 amplification was detected in 10.5% of UTUCs. ERBB2 overexpression was more likely to be found in high-grade tumors and was associated with tumor progression. Univariable Cox regression analysis revealed a significantly lower progression-free survival (PFS) in cases with ERBB2 immunoscores of 2+ or 3+ according to the ASCO/CAP guidelines for GC. UTUCs with ERBB2 amplification showed a significantly shorter PFS in the multivariable Cox regression analysis. Irrespective of their ERBB2 status, patients with UTUC treated with platin showed a significantly lower PFS than UTUC patients who had not received any platin-based therapy. In addition, UTUC patients with a normal ERBB2 gene status who had not received platin-based therapy showed significantly longer overall survival. The results suggest that ERBB2 is a biomarker for progression in UTUCs and may define a distinct subgroup of UTUCs. As previously shown, ERBB2 amplification is infrequent. However, the small number of patients diagnosed with ERBB2-amplified UTUC might benefit from ERBB2-targeted cancer therapy. In clinical-pathological routine diagnostics, the determination of ERBB2 amplification is an established method in some defined entities and also successful in small samples. Still, the simultaneous use of ERBB2 immunohistochemistry and ERBB2 in situ hybridization would be important in order to record the low rate of amplified UTUC cases as completely as possible.

Potentially inappropriate medication including drug-drug interaction and the risk of frequent falling, hospital admission, and death in older adults - results of a large cohort study (getABI).

Introduction: With growing age, multiple chronic diseases may result in polypharmacy. Drugs that should be avoided in older adults are called potentially inappropriate medications (PIM). Beyond PIM, drug-drug interactions (DDI) are known to be related to adverse drug events. This analysis examines the risk of frequent falling, hospital admission, and death in older adults associated with PIM and/or DDI (PIM/DDI) prescription. Materials and methods: This post hoc analysis used data of a subgroup of the getABI study participants, a large cohort of community-dwelling older adults. The subgroup comprised 2120 participants who provided a detailed medication report by telephone interview at the 5-year getABI follow-up. The risks of frequent falling, hospital admission, and death in the course of the following 2 years were analysed by logistic regression in uni- and multivariable models with adjustment for established risk factors. Results: Data of all 2,120 participants was available for the analysis of the endpoint death, of 1,799 participants for hospital admission, and of 1,349 participants for frequent falling. The multivariable models showed an association of PIM/DDI prescription with frequent falling (odds ratio (OR) 1.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-2.60, p = 0.027) as well as with hospital admission (OR 1.29, 95% CI 1.04-1.58, p = 0.018), but not with death (OR 1.00, 95% CI 0.58-1.72, p = 0.999). Conclusion: PIM/DDI prescription was associated with the risk of hospital admission and frequent falling. No association was found with death by 2 years. This result should alert physicians to provide a closer look at PIM/DDI prescriptions.

Anticholinergic burden measures, symptoms, and fall-associated risk in older adults with polypharmacy: Development and validation of a prognostic model.

BACKGROUND: Anticholinergic burden has been associated with adverse outcomes such as falls. To date, no gold standard measure has been identified to assess anticholinergic burden, and no conclusion has been drawn on which of the different measure algorithms best predicts falls in older patients from general practice. This study compared the ability of five measures of anticholinergic burden to predict falls. To account for patients' individual susceptibility to medications, the added predictive value of typical anticholinergic symptoms was further quantified in this context. METHODS AND FINDINGS: To predict falls, models were developed and validated based on logistic regression models created using data from two German cluster-randomized controlled trials. The outcome was defined as "≥ 1 fall" vs. "no fall" within a 6-month follow-up period. Data from the RIME study (n = 1,197) were used in model development, and from PRIMUM (n = 502) for external validation. The models were developed step-wise in order to quantify the predictive ability of anticholinergic burden measures, and anticholinergic symptoms. In the development set, 1,015 patients had complete data and 188 (18.5%) experienced ≥ 1 fall within the 6-month follow-up period. The overall predictive value of the five anticholinergic measures was limited, with neither the employed anticholinergic variable (binary / count / burden), nor dose-dependent or dose-independent measures differing significantly in their ability to predict falls. The highest c-statistic was obtained using the German Anticholinergic Burden Score (0.73), whereby the optimism-corrected c-statistic was 0.71 after interval validation using bootstrapping and 0.63 in the external validation. Previous falls and dizziness / vertigo had the strongest prognostic value in all models. CONCLUSIONS: The ability of anticholinergic burden measures to predict falls does not appear to differ significantly, and the added value they contribute to risk classification in fall-prediction models is limited. Previous falls and dizziness / vertigo contributed most to model performance.

Protein Biomarkers in Blood Reflect the Interrelationships Between Stroke Outcome, Inflammation, Coagulation, Adhesion, Senescence and Cancer.

The most important predictors for outcomes after ischemic stroke, that is, for health deterioration and death, are chronological age and stroke severity; gender, genetics and lifestyle/environmental factors also play a role. Of all these, only the latter can be influenced after the event. Recurrent stroke may be prevented by antiaggregant/anticoagulant therapy, angioplasty of high-grade stenoses, and treatment of cardiovascular risk factors. Blood cell composition and protein biomarkers such as C-reactive protein or interleukins in serum are frequently considered as biomarkers of outcome. Here we aim to provide an up-to-date protein biomarker signature that allows a maximum of mechanistic understanding, to predict health deterioration following stroke. We thus surveyed protein biomarkers that were reported to be predictive for outcome after ischemic stroke, specifically considering biomarkers that predict long-term outcome (≥ 3 months) and that are measured over the first days following the event. We classified the protein biomarkers as immune­inflammatory, coagulation-related, and adhesion-related biomarkers. Some of these biomarkers are closely related to cellular senescence and, in particular, to the inflammatory processes that can be triggered by senescent cells. Moreover, the processes that underlie inflammation, hypercoagulation and cellular senescence connect stroke to cancer, and biomarkers of cancer-associated thromboembolism, as well as of sarcopenia, overlap strongly with the biomarkers discussed here. Finally, we demonstrate that most of the outcome-predicting protein biomarkers form a close-meshed functional interaction network, suggesting that the outcome after stroke is partially determined by an interplay of molecular processes relating to inflammation, coagulation, cell adhesion and cellular senescence.

Siponimod ameliorates metabolic oligodendrocyte injury via the sphingosine-1 phosphate receptor 5.

Multiple sclerosis (MS), an autoimmune-driven, inflammatory demyelinating disease of the central nervous system (CNS), causes irreversible accumulation of neurological deficits to a variable extent. Although there are potent disease-modifying agents for its initial relapsing-remitting phase, immunosuppressive therapies show limited efficacy in secondary progressive MS (SPMS). Although modulation of sphingosine-1 phosphate receptors has proven beneficial during SPMS, the underlying mechanisms are poorly understood. In this project, we followed the hypothesis that siponimod, a sphingosine-1 phosphate receptor modulator, exerts protective effects by direct modulation of glia cell function (i.e., either astrocytes, microglia, or oligodendrocytes). To this end, we used the toxin-mediated, nonautoimmune MS animal model of cuprizone (Cup) intoxication. On the histological level, siponimod ameliorated cuprizone-induced oligodendrocyte degeneration, demyelination, and axonal injury. Protective effects were evident as well using GE180 translocator protein 18-kDa (TSPO) imaging with positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) imaging or next generation sequencing (NGS). Siponimod also ameliorated the cuprizone-induced pathologies in Rag1-deficient mice, demonstrating that the protection is independent of T and B cell modulation. Proinflammatory responses in primary mixed astrocytes/microglia cell cultures were not modulated by siponimod, suggesting that other cell types than microglia and astrocytes are targeted. Of note, siponimod completely lost its protective effects in S1pr5-deficient mice, suggesting direct protection of degenerating oligodendrocytes. Our study demonstrates that siponimod exerts protective effects in the brain in a S1PR5-dependent manner. This finding is not just relevant in the context of MS but in other neuropathologies as well, characterized by a degeneration of the axon-myelin unit.

The Efficacy of Short-Term Bridging Strategies With High- and Low-Dose Prednisolone on Radiographic and Clinical Outcomes in Active Early Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Double-Blind, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: In active early rheumatoid arthritis (RA), glucocorticoids are often used for bridging, due to the delayed action of methotrexate. This study was undertaken to compare the effect of 3 bridging strategies, including high-dose and low-dose prednisolone, on radiographic and clinical outcomes. METHODS: Adult RA patients from 1 rheumatology hospital and 23 rheumatology practices who presented with moderate/high disease activity were randomized (1:1:1) to receive 60 mg prednisolone (high-dose prednisolone [HDP]) or 10 mg prednisolone (low-dose prednisolone [LDP]) daily (tapered to 0 mg within 12 weeks) or placebo. The 12-week intervention period was followed by 40 weeks of therapy at the physicians' discretion. The primary outcome measure was radiographic change at 1 year measured using the total modified Sharp/van der Heijde score (SHS). Disease activity was assessed with the Disease Activity Score in 28 joints using the erythrocyte sedimentation rate (DAS28-ESR). RESULTS: Of 395 randomized patients (HDP, n = 132; LDP, n = 131; placebo, n = 132), 375 (95%) remained in the modified intention-to-treat analysis. Mean ± SD changes in SHS scores in the 3 groups after 1 year were comparable: mean ± SD 1.0 ± 2.0 units in the HDP group, 1.1 ± 2.2 units in the LDP group, and 1.1 ± 1.5 units in the placebo group. The primary analysis showed no superiority of HDP compared to placebo (estimated difference of the mean change -0.04 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) -0.5, 0.4]). At week 12, the mean DAS28-ESR differed: -0.6 (95% CI -1.0, -0.2) for HDP versus placebo; -0.8 (95% CI -1.2, -0.5) for LDP versus placebo. At week 52, there was no significant difference in DAS28-ESR between the 3 groups (range 2.6-2.8). Serious adverse events occurred similarly often. CONCLUSION: Short-term glucocorticoid bridging therapy at a high dose showed no benefit with regard to progression of radiographic damage at 1 year.

Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies in Employees of Three Hospitals of a Secondary Care Hospital Network in Germany and an Associated Fire Brigade: Results of a Repeated Cross-Sectional Surveillance Study Over 1 Year.

Healthcare workers (HCWs) are playing a vital role in the current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. This study investigated how infection spreads within three local hospitals and an associated fire brigade in Germany by testing employees for the presence of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies over one year. The three observational periods corresponded to the initial three pandemic waves: first wave: June-September 2020, second wave: October 2020-January 2021, and third wave: February-June 2021. We analysed 3285 serum samples of 1842 employees, which represents 65.7% of all employees. Altogether, 13.2% employees were seropositive: 194/1411 HCWs (13.7%) and 49/431 non-HCWs (11.4%) with a clear increase of seroprevalence from the first (1.1%) to the second (13.2%) and third (29.3%) pandemic wave. HCWs presumably had an additional occupational risk for infection in the second and third wave due to an increase of infection pressure with more COVID-19 patients treated, showing possible weak points in the recommended infection prevention strategy.

The role of breastfeeding promotion in German hospitals for exclusive breastfeeding duration.

Breastfeeding promotion and support in hospitals is expected to have a positive impact on maternal breastfeeding outcomes. The objective of this study is to examine the association between breastfeeding promotion in maternity hospitals in Germany and exclusive breastfeeding (EBF) rates during the first 4 months. Thus, a nationwide cross-sectional web-based survey of breastfeeding promotion was conducted in 103 hospitals. Mother-infant pairs (n = 962) were recruited at these hospitals for a prospective web-based survey of breastfeeding status at five-time points, that is, during a hospital stay, at discharge as well as after 0.5, 2, and 4 months. The hospital analysis was based on the "10 Steps to Successful Breastfeeding" of the World Health Organization and the United Nations Children's Fund, adapted for Germany. Their degree of implementation was stratified by a breastfeeding promotion index (BPI) as low (≤5 steps), medium (6-8 steps), and high (≥9 steps). The association between the BPI and the odds of EBF at each of the five-time points was estimated by multivariable regression models, adjusting for various maternal factors. At all time points, the proportion of EBF among mothers from high BPI hospitals exceeded the proportion of those from medium or low BPI hospitals. A high BPI was associated with higher odds of EBF during the hospital stay and at discharge, while maternal factors for EBF such as breastfeeding experience and no early use of a pacifier persisted beyond. The high commitment of hospitals and tailored support of mothers is essential for EBF.

Impact of lunch with carbohydrates differing in glycemic index on children's cognitive functioning in the late postprandial phase: a randomized crossover study.

PURPOSE: Studies about effects of lunch dietary Glycemic Index (GI) on cognition of schoolchildren are scarce. Our previous CogniDo GI study found no changes of cognition in the early postprandial phase after consumption of two rice types with medium vs. high dietary GI for lunch (i.e., 45 min after starting lunch). This study investigated whether the dietary GI of lunch has an impact on cognition of schoolchildren in the late postprandial phase, 90 min after lunch. METHODS: A randomized, 2 × 2 crossover intervention study was conducted at a comprehensive school with 5th and 6th grade students. Participants (n = 212) were randomly assigned to either sequence 1 or 2. In the first period, participants of sequence 1 received a dish with high GI rice (GI: 79), those of sequence 2 with medium GI rice (GI: 64)-in the second period, 1 week later, vice versa. Computer-based cognitive testing was performed 90 min after lunch examining tonic alertness, visual search and task switching, and working memory. Treatment effects and treatment effects adjusted for estimated lunch glycemic load (GL) were analyzed using a linear mixed model. RESULTS: The selected cognitive parameters were not affected by the GI of lunch 90 min after lunch, neither after intention-to-treat nor in the per-protocol analysis. Adjustment for GL also did not change results. CONCLUSION: The present study revealed no notable differences after the consumption of two rice types with medium vs. high dietary GI for lunch in children's cognitive function in the late postprandial phase, 90 min after lunch. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS00013597); date of registration: 16/04/2018, retrospectively registered.

Reduction of Potentially Inappropriate Medication in the Elderly.

BACKGROUND: Medications with an unfavorable risk-benefit profile in the elderly, and for which there are safer alternatives, are designated as potentially inappropriate medications (PIM). The RIME trial (Reduction of Potentially Inappropriate Medication in the Elderly) was based on PRISCUS, a list of PIM that was developed in 2010 for the German pharmaceuticals market. In this trial, it was studied whether special training and the PRISCUS card could lessen PIM and undesired drug-drug interactions (DDI) among elderly patients in primary care. METHODS: A three-armed, cluster-randomized, controlled trial was carried out in two regions of Germany. 137 primary care practices were randomized in equal numbers to one of two intervention groups-in which either the primary care physicians alone or the entire practice team received special training-or to a control group with general instructions about medication. The primary endpoint was the percentage of patients with at least one PIM or DDI (PIM/DDI) per practice. The primary hypothesis was that at 1 year this endpoint would be more effectively lowered in the intervention groups compared to the control group. RESULTS: Among 1138 patients regularly taking more than five drugs, 453 (39.8%) had at least one PIM/DDI at the beginning of the trial. The percent - ages of PIM/DDI at the beginning of the trial and 1 year later were 43.0% and 41.3% in the intervention groups and 37.0% and 37.6% in the control group. The estimated intervention effect of any intervention (69 practices) versus control (68 practices) was 2.3% (p = 0.36), while that of team training (35 practices) versus physician training (34 practices) was 4.3% (p = 0.22). CONCLUSION: The interventions in the RIME trial did not significantly lower the percentage of patients with PIM or DDI.

Effects of Three Different Methods Defining Onset of Peripheral Artery Disease on the Assessments of Incidence and Important Predictors - Results from the German Epidemiological Trial on Ankle Brachial Index (getABI).

PURPOSE: The common definition of asymptomatic peripheral artery disease (PAD) by a single determination of the ankle brachial index (ABI) has some uncertainty due to measurement errors. This may impact estimates of PAD incidence and assessment of PAD risk factors. To investigate this issue, we used three methods to define asymptomatic PAD and made use of data from the German Epidemiological Trial on Ankle Brachial Index (getABI). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 6,880 unselected subjects aged ≥65 years, enrolled by 344 trained general practitioners, had ABI assessments at baseline and four visits during follow-up. The first approach defined asymptomatic PAD onset as soon as a single ABI value was below 0.9 (single ABI). The second approach employed a regression method using all available ABI values (regression A), while for the third approach (regression B), an extended regression beyond the last valid ABI value for the observation time of the study was allowed. For each approach, we calculated PAD incidence rates and assessed the effect of important PAD predictors using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: The regression method A showed the lowest (25.0 events per 1,000 person years) and the single ABI method the highest incidence rate (41.2). The regression methods assigned greater impact to several risk factors of incident PAD. Using regression A, the hazard ratios (HR) of active smoking (2.36; 95% CI 1.92 to 2.90) and of diabetes (1.33; 95% CI 1.13 to 1.56), using regression B the HR of older age (1.72; 95% CI 1.50 to 1.97) were about twice as high as the corresponding HR of the single ABI approach. CONCLUSION: Use of the single ABI method leads to higher PAD incidence rates and to lower impact of important PAD predictors compared to regression methods. For an alert risk factor management, multiple ABI determination may be useful.

Predicting hospital admissions from individual patient data (IPD): an applied example to explore key elements driving external validity.

OBJECTIVE: To explore factors that potentially impact external validation performance while developing and validating a prognostic model for hospital admissions (HAs) in complex older general practice patients. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Using individual participant data from four cluster-randomised trials conducted in the Netherlands and Germany, we used logistic regression to develop a prognostic model to predict all-cause HAs within a 6-month follow-up period. A stratified intercept was used to account for heterogeneity in baseline risk between the studies. The model was validated both internally and by using internal-external cross-validation (IECV). RESULTS: Prior HAs, physical components of the health-related quality of life comorbidity index, and medication-related variables were used in the final model. While achieving moderate discriminatory performance, internal bootstrap validation revealed a pronounced risk of overfitting. The results of the IECV, in which calibration was highly variable even after accounting for between-study heterogeneity, agreed with this finding. Heterogeneity was equally reflected in differing baseline risk, predictor effects and absolute risk predictions. CONCLUSIONS: Predictor effect heterogeneity and differing baseline risk can explain the limited external performance of HA prediction models. With such drivers known, model adjustments in external validation settings (eg, intercept recalibration, complete updating) can be applied more purposefully. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: PROSPERO id: CRD42018088129.

Socioeconomic factors and the onset of peripheral artery disease in older adults.

Background: As evidence concerning the impact of socioeconomic factors on the risk of peripheral artery disease (PAD) is sparse, we assessed the association of education and area-level factors (population density, type of municipality and local unemployment rate) on the onset of PAD in older adults. Patients and methods: The analysis used data of the getABI study, a prospective cohort study with seven years of follow-up. Onset of PAD was determined by ankle brachial index (<0.9) or PAD symptoms. Cox regression analysis was employed. Results: Out of 5,444 primary care attendees without PAD at baseline, there were 1,381 participants with PAD onset (cumulative observation time 31,739 years), yielding an event rate of 43.5 (0.95 confidence interval [0.95 CI] 41.2-45.8) per 1,000 person-years. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed an association of PAD onset with low education (hazard ratio 1.29; 0.95 CI 1.14-1.46; P<0.001), high population density (0.93; 0.89-0.98; P=0.002), small cities (compared to large cities) (0.71; 0.53-0.96; P=0.027) and high local unemployment rate (1.04; 1.00-1.07; P=0.032). The impact of low education on PAD onset was higher for men (2.11; 1.64-2.72) than for women (1.22; 1.07-1.40) (interaction term P=0.013). Conclusions: Socioeconomic factors, education as well as area-level socioeconomic indicators, make independent contributions to PAD onset in older adults.

Prospective observational cohort study on epidemiology, treatment and outcome of patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) in German BG hospitals.

OBJECTIVES: Since 2000/2001, no large-scale prospective studies addressing traumatic brain injury (TBI) epidemiology in Germany have been published. Our aim was to look for a possible shift in TBI epidemiology described in other European countries, to look for possible changes in TBI management and to identify predictors of 1-year outcome especially in patients with mild TBI. DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING: All patients suffering from a TBI of any degree between 1 October 2014 and 30 September 2015, and who arrived in one of the seven participating BG hospitals within 24 hours after trauma, were included. PARTICIPANTS: In total, 3514 patients were included. OUTCOME MEASURES: Initial care, acute hospital care and rehabilitation were documented using standardised documentation forms. A standardised telephone interview was conducted 3 and 12 months after TBI in order to obtain information on outcome. RESULTS: Peaks were identified in males in the early 20s and mid-50s, and in both sexes in the late 70s, with 25% of all patients aged 75 or older. A fall was the most frequent cause of TBI, followed by traffic accidents (especially bicyclists). The number of head CT scans increased, and the number of conventional X-rays of the skull decreased compared with 2000/2001. Besides, more patients were offered rehabilitation than before. Though most TBI were classified as mild, one-third of the patients participating in the telephone interview after 12 months still reported troubles attributed to TBI. Negative predictors in mild TBI were female gender, intracranial bleeding and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) 13/14. CONCLUSION: The observed epidemiologic shift in TBI (ie, elderly patients, more falls, more bicyclists) calls for targeted preventive measures. The heterogeneity behind the diagnosis 'mild TBI' emphasises the need for defining subgroups not only based on GCS.

COVID-19: Hotspot hospital?- seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in hospital employees in a secondary care hospital network in Germany: Intermediate results of a prospective surveillance study.

PURPOSE: The objective of the ongoing study was to investigate how SARS-CoV-2 infection spread within two hospitals in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany by testing the employees working in high-risk, intermediate-risk and low-risk-areas for the presence of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies. Presented intermediate results evaluate the first infection period until the end of September 2020. METHODS: The study "COVID-19: Hotspot hospital?- Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in hospital employees in a secondary care hospital network in Germany " is a prospective, single centre observational cohort study conducted at the St. Vincenz Hospital Datteln with 316 beds. The presented data include one other hospital: St. Laurentius Stift Waltrop, Germany with 172 beds. RESULTS: Between June 2020 and September 2020 we analyzed serum samples of 907 employees which represents 62.1% of all employees. Thirteen employees (1.4%), respectively 13/696 healthcare workers (HCWs) (1.9%) had detectable SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies. Among them, 4 (30.8%) were aware of COVID-19 exposure, and 5 (38.5%) reported clinical symptoms. HCWs working in high-risk areas had a seroprevalence rate of 1.6% (1/64), HCWs working in intermediate-risk area 1.7% (11/632) and 0.5% employees (1/211) in low-risk areas with no contact to patients were seropositive. CONCLUSION: Even if we treated COVID-19 positive patients, we found no clear evidence that infection was transmitted to HCWs in contact to these patients. As knowledge about SARS-CoV-2 transmission evolves, the concept of infection prevention must be continuously reviewed and adapted as needed to keep hospitals a safe place.