A clinical-molecular prognostic model to predict survival in patients with post polycythemia vera and post essential thrombocythemia myelofibrosis.

Polycythemia vera (PV) and essential thrombocythemia (ET) are myeloproliferative neoplasms with variable risk of evolution into post-PV and post-ET myelofibrosis, from now on referred to as secondary myelofibrosis (SMF). No specific tools have been defined for risk stratification in SMF. To develop a prognostic model for predicting survival, we studied 685 JAK2, CALR, and MPL annotated patients with SMF. Median survival of the whole cohort was 9.3 years (95% CI: 8-not reached-NR-). Through penalized Cox regressions we identified negative predictors of survival and according to beta risk coefficients we assigned 2 points to hemoglobin level <11 g/dl, to circulating blasts ⩾3%, and to CALR-unmutated genotype, 1 point to platelet count <150 × 109/l and to constitutional symptoms, and 0.15 points to any year of age. Myelofibrosis Secondary to PV and ET-Prognostic Model (MYSEC-PM) allocated SMF patients into four risk categories with different survival (P<0.0001): low (median survival NR; 133 patients), intermediate-1 (9.3 years, 95% CI: 8.1-NR; 245 patients), intermediate-2 (4.4 years, 95% CI: 3.2-7.9; 126 patients), and high risk (2 years, 95% CI: 1.7-3.9; 75 patients). Finally, we found that the MYSEC-PM represents the most appropriate tool for SMF decision-making to be used in clinical and trial settings.

Differential clinical effects of different mutation subtypes in CALR-mutant myeloproliferative neoplasms.

A quarter of patients with essential thrombocythemia or primary myelofibrosis carry a driver mutation of CALR, the calreticulin gene. A 52-bp deletion (type 1) and a 5-bp insertion (type 2 mutation) are the most frequent variants. These indels might differentially impair the calcium binding activity of mutant calreticulin. We studied the relationship between mutation subtype and biological/clinical features of the disease. Thirty-two different types of CALR variants were identified in 311 patients. Based on their predicted effect on calreticulin C-terminal, mutations were classified as: (i) type 1-like (65%); (ii) type 2-like (32%); and (iii) other types (3%). Corresponding CALR mutants had significantly different estimated isoelectric points. Patients with type 1 mutation, but not those with type 2, showed abnormal cytosolic calcium signals in cultured megakaryocytes. Type 1-like mutations were mainly associated with a myelofibrosis phenotype and a significantly higher risk of myelofibrotic transformation in essential thrombocythemia. Type 2-like CALR mutations were preferentially associated with an essential thrombocythemia phenotype, low risk of thrombosis despite very-high platelet counts and indolent clinical course. Thus, mutation subtype contributes to determining clinical phenotype and outcomes in CALR-mutant myeloproliferative neoplasms. CALR variants that markedly impair the calcium binding activity of mutant calreticulin are mainly associated with a myelofibrosis phenotype.

The number of prognostically detrimental mutations and prognosis in primary myelofibrosis: an international study of 797 patients.

We recently defined a high-molecular risk category (HMR) in primary myelofibrosis (PMF), based on the presence of at least one of the five 'prognostically detrimental' mutated genes (ASXL1, EZH2, SRSF2 and IDH1/2). Herein, we evaluate the additional prognostic value of the 'number' of mutated genes. A total of 797 patients were recruited from Europe (n=537) and the Mayo Clinic (n=260). In the European cohort, 167 (31%) patients were HMR: 127 (23.6%) had one and 40 (7.4%) had two or more mutated genes. The presence of two or more mutations predicted the worst survival: median 2.6 years (hazard ratio (HR) 3.8, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.6-5.7) vs. 7.0 years (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.4-2.6) for one mutation vs 12.3 years for no mutations. The results were validated in the Mayo cohort and prognostic significance in both cohorts was independent of International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS; HR 2.4, 95% CI 1.6-3.6) and dynamic IPSS (DIPSS)-plus (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.2-3.1), respectively. Two or more mutations were also associated with shortened leukemia-free survival (HR 6.2, 95% CI 3.5-10.7), also Mayo validated. Calreticulin mutations favorably affected survival, independently of both number of mutations and IPSS/DIPSS-plus. We conclude that the 'number' of prognostically detrimental mutations provides added value in the combined molecular and clinical prognostication of PMF.

Survival and prognosis among 1545 patients with contemporary polycythemia vera: an international study.

Under the auspices of an International Working Group, seven centers submitted diagnostic and follow-up information on 1545 patients with World Health Organization-defined polycythemia vera (PV). At diagnosis, median age was 61 years (51% females); thrombocytosis and venous thrombosis were more frequent in women and arterial thrombosis and abnormal karyotype in men. Considering patients from the center with the most mature follow-up information (n=337 with 44% of patients followed to death), median survival (14.1 years) was significantly worse than that of the age- and sex-matched US population (P<0.001). In multivariable analysis, survival for the entire study cohort (n=1545) was adversely affected by older age, leukocytosis, venous thrombosis and abnormal karyotype; a prognostic model that included the first three parameters delineated risk groups with median survivals of 10.9-27.8 years (hazard ratio (HR), 10.7; 95% confidence interval (CI): 7.7-15.0). Pruritus was identified as a favorable risk factor for survival. Cumulative hazard of leukemic transformation, with death as a competing risk, was 2.3% at 10 years and 5.5% at 15 years; risk factors included older age, abnormal karyotype and leukocytes ≥15 × 10(9)/l. Leukemic transformation was associated with treatment exposure to pipobroman or P32/chlorambucil. We found no association between leukemic transformation and hydroxyurea or busulfan use.

Mutations and prognosis in primary myelofibrosis.

Patient outcome in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) is significantly influenced by karyotype. We studied 879 PMF patients to determine the individual and combinatorial prognostic relevance of somatic mutations. Analysis was performed in 483 European patients and the seminal observations were validated in 396 Mayo Clinic patients. Samples from the European cohort, collected at time of diagnosis, were analyzed for mutations in ASXL1, SRSF2, EZH2, TET2, DNMT3A, CBL, IDH1, IDH2, MPL and JAK2. Of these, ASXL1, SRSF2 and EZH2 mutations inter-independently predicted shortened survival. However, only ASXL1 mutations (HR: 2.02; P<0.001) remained significant in the context of the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS). These observations were validated in the Mayo Clinic cohort where mutation and survival analyses were performed from time of referral. ASXL1, SRSF2 and EZH2 mutations were independently associated with poor survival, but only ASXL1 mutations held their prognostic relevance (HR: 1.4; P=0.04) independent of the Dynamic IPSS (DIPSS)-plus model, which incorporates cytogenetic risk. In the European cohort, leukemia-free survival was negatively affected by IDH1/2, SRSF2 and ASXL1 mutations and in the Mayo cohort by IDH1 and SRSF2 mutations. Mutational profiling for ASXL1, EZH2, SRSF2 and IDH identifies PMF patients who are at risk for premature death or leukemic transformation.

Incidence and risk factors for bleeding in 1104 patients with essential thrombocythemia or prefibrotic myelofibrosis diagnosed according to the 2008 WHO criteria.

In an international study of 1104 patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET), a histological review according to the 2008 World Health Organization (WHO) criteria confirmed ET in 891 patients (WHO-ET, 81%), and revised the diagnosis to prefibrotic primary myelofibrosis (PMF) in 180 patients (PMF, 16%). Major bleeding during follow-up occurred in 55 (6%) WHO-ET and 21 (12%) PMF patients (P = 0.009), at a rate of 0.79 and 1.39% patients per year, respectively, (P = 0.039). In a multivariable analysis, predictors of bleeding included diagnosis of PMF (P = 0.05; hazard ratio (HR) 1.74), leukocytosis (P = 0.04; HR 1.74), previous hemorrhage (P = 0.025; HR 2.35) and aspirin therapy (P=0.001; HR 3.16). The analysis restricted to patients with WHO-ET confirmed previous hemorrhage (P = 0.043; HR 1.92) and aspirin (P=0.027; HR 2.24) as independent risk factors. The current study reveals that major bleeding associated with thrombocytosis might be relatively specific to PMF, as opposed to WHO-defined ET. Furthermore, it shows that low-dose aspirin exacerbates these hemorrhagic events of PMF. In contrast, thrombocytosis per se was not a risk factor for bleeding; however, low-dose aspirin had a synergistic hemorrhagic effect unmasking the bleeding tendency of patients with extreme thrombocytosis. These observations carry significant therapeutic implications in these two WHO entities.

A prospective study of 338 patients with polycythemia vera: the impact of JAK2 (V617F) allele burden and leukocytosis on fibrotic or leukemic disease transformation and vascular complications.

We studied the relationship between JAK2 (V617F) mutant allele burden and clinical phenotype, disease progression and survival in patients with polycythemia vera (PV). The percentage of granulocyte mutant alleles was evaluated using a quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction-based allelic discrimination assay. Of the 338 patients enrolled in this prospective study, 320 (94.7%) carried the JAK2 (V617F) mutation. Direct relationships were found between mutant allele burden and hemoglobin concentration (P=0.001), white blood cell count (P=0.001), spleen size (P=0.001) and age-adjusted bone marrow cellularity (P=0.002), while an inverse relationship was found with platelet count (P<0.001). During the study period, eight patients progressed to post-PV myelofibrosis (MF) (all carrying >50% mutant alleles), while 10 patients developed acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The mutant allele burden was significantly related to the risk of developing myelofibrosis (P=0.029) and retained its significant effect also in multivariable analysis (P=0.03). By contrast, the risk of developing AML as well as that of thrombosis was not significantly related to mutant allele burden. Leukocytosis did not affect thrombosis, MF, leukemia or survival. In conclusion, a JAK2 (V617F) allele burden >50% represents a risk factor for progression to MF in PV.

Deletions of the transcription factor Ikaros in myeloproliferative neoplasms.

Transformation to acute leukemia is a major complication of myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs), however, the genetic changes leading to transformation remain largely unknown. We screened nine patients with post-MPN leukemia for chromosomal aberrations using microarray karyotyping. Deletions on the short arm of chromosome 7 (del7p) emerged as a recurrent defect. We mapped the common deleted region to the IKZF1 gene, which encodes the transcription factor Ikaros. We further examined the frequency of IKZF1 deletions in a total of 29 post-MPN leukemia and 526 MPN patients without transformation and observed a strong association of IKZF1 deletions with post-MPN leukemia in two independent cohorts. Patients with IKZF1 loss showed complex karyotypes, and del7p was a late event in the genetic evolution of the MPN clone. IKZF1 deletions were observed in both undifferentiated and differentiated myeloid cell types, indicating that IKZF1 loss does not cause differentiation arrest but rather renders progenitors susceptible to transformation, most likely through chromosomal instability. Induced Ikzf1 haploinsufficiency in primary murine progenitors resulted in elevated Stat5 phosphorylation and increased cytokine-dependent growth, suggesting that reduced expression of IKZF1 is sufficient to perturb growth regulation. Thus, IKZF1 loss is an important step in the leukemic transformation of a subpopulation of MPN patients.

Bone marrow histology in marginal zone B-cell lymphomas: correlation with clinical parameters and flow cytometry in 120 patients.

BACKGROUND: Among marginal zone lymphomas (MZLs), bone marrow (BM) involvement features are well established in the splenic marginal zone lymphoma (SMZL); few data are available for extranodal marginal zone lymphoma (EMZL) and nodal marginal zone lymphoma (NMZL). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Incidence and patterns of histologic BM involvement are studied in 120 MZL patients (48 SMZL, 59 EMZL, 13 NMZL) at onset and during follow-up; relationships between clinical features, BM histology and flow cytometry (FC) are analyzed. RESULTS: At diagnosis, BM involvement occurs in 90% SMZL, 22% EMZL and 54% NMZL (P<0.0001); at reevaluation, incidence raises to 96% in SMZL and 34% in EMZL. Concordance between histology and FC is found in 87% of cases; most discordant cases have positive histology but negative FC. SMZL and EMZL show a nodular BM infiltration; the interstitial pattern is frequent in NMZL (P<0.0001); sinusoidal localization is typical of SMZL, frequent in NMZL and occasional in EMZL (P=0.0001). Stage, leukemic disease, B symptoms, more than one extranodal involved site, splenomegaly, elevated beta2-microglobulin, serum monoclonal component, International Prognostic Index (IPI) and age-adjusted IPI are directly related to BM infiltration. CONCLUSIONS: The different prevalence of BM involvement in MZL subtypes reflects their heterogeneous dissemination modalities; histology seems more sensible than FC to detect BM infiltration; development of BM involvement during follow-up is typical of EMZL.

Blood p50 evaluation enhances diagnostic definition of isolated erythrocytosis.

BACKGROUND: High oxygen-affinity haemoglobin variants and 2,3-diphosphoglycerate (2,3-DPG) deficiency are inherited diseases generating low tissue oxygen tension and erythropoietin-driven erythrocytosis, that characterizes the clinical phenotype of patients. Level of blood p50 (the oxygen tension at which haemoglobin is 50% saturated) is used to recognize these conditions. OBJECTIVES: To define the clinical utility of blood p50 measurement in the diagnosis of isolated erythrocytosis. SUBJECTS AND DESIGN: Venous blood p50 measurement was included in the diagnostic work-up of 102 consecutive patients with isolated erythrocytosis besides blood cell count, arterial oxygen saturation, serum erythropoietin measurement and screening for JAK2 mutations. SETTING: Haematological Outpatient Section at University Hospital. RESULTS: Seven patients had relative erythrocytosis. Among 95 patients with absolute erythrocytosis, 4 (4.2%) had decreased p50 level. The extended study of family members revealed a familial inheritance. Two families had haemoglobin variants already described as Haemoglobin Malmö and Haemoglobin San Diego. In one family, the proband had a new high oxygen-affinity haemoglobin variant (Haemoglobin Safi) resulting from the transversion C-->A at codon 81 of the alpha2-globin gene. In the last family, a deficiency of 2,3-DPG was found. Within the 91 patients with normal p50 values, 46 (51%) had secondary erythrocytosis, 13 (14%) polycythemia vera and 32 (35%) idiopathic erythrocytosis. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the investigation of blood p50 level may be useful to define diagnosis in patients with isolated erythrocytosis.

DNA flow cytometric analysis in patients with operable non-small cell lung carcinoma.

Fresh surgical specimens of tumors from 60 patients with previously untreated non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) who underwent radical surgery between January 1991 and October 1992 were investigated by means of flow-cytometry. The nuclear DNA measurement was carried out using a Facscan (Becton, Dickinson, USA). Analysis of the DNA content was performed in all 60 patients whilst cell cycle analysis was possible in 41 cases (68.3%). Forty-two of the 60 cases (70%) were aneuploid and 18 (30%) were diploid. The overall mean value of DNA index was 1.5. Diploid NSCLC were compared with aneuploid tumors: no significant differences in age distribution, sex ratio, histology and staging were found between the two groups (P > 0.05). An S-phase proportion of more than 10% was found in 30 out of 41 patients (73.2%). Early cancer deaths were reported in four patients (6.6%): the aneuploidy rate was very close in these patients (75%) and in the remaining surviving patients (69.6%). An S-phase proportion of more than 10% was found in 100% of early cancer deaths and in 70.2% of the remaining cases; such a difference seems of some importance although it was not statistically significant (P = 0.071). In conclusion, flow-cytometry studies seem to be a useful tool in the understanding of the biological behavior of patients with NSCLC. In the present prospective report there were no significant correlations between DNA measurements and clinical outcome, however, these results suggest that a high S-phase proportion should be seen as a possible prognostic indicator.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

[The prognostic significance of the vascular invasion of colorectal tumors]. / Significato prognostico della invasione vascolare nei tumori colo-rettali.

The authors report their experience about the clinical significance of the invasion of veins (BVI) in 68 patients with colorectal carcinoma, submitted to potentially curative surgery in the period 1980-1988. Every patient was screened for BVI. The tumoral spreading was differentiated into endovascular and perivascular permeation. The authors also considered the incidence and kind of BVI, the recurrence rate of the tumour and five-year survival rate. BVI was present in 33 patients (48.5%). Recurrence was observed in 22 patients (22.3%): 19 patients in the group with BVI (33 patients): 3 in the group of 35 patients without BVI. BVI was related to tumour stage, but it may be considered as an independent factor in its relationship with a poorer prognosis in patients affected by tumours in stages II or III; in fact, the patients in stage II had a poorer prognosis than those in stage III without BVI. These results suggest that BVI, as a prognostic factor, is independent from tumoral stage in determining the recurrence rate and the long term prognosis.