RESUMEN
Multimorbidity is the simultaneous presence of 2 or more chronic conditions. Metabolomics could identify biomarkers potentially related to multimorbidity. We aimed to identify groups of biomarkers and their association with different multimorbidity patterns. Cross-sectional analyses were conducted within the Seniors-ENRICA-2 cohort in Spain, with information from 700 individuals aged ≥65 years. Biological samples were analyzed using high-throughput proton nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomics. Biomarker groups were identified with exploratory factor analysis, and multimorbidity was classified into 3 types: cardiometabolic, neuropsychiatric, and musculoskeletal. Logistic regression was used to estimate the association between biomarker groups and multimorbidity patterns, after adjusting for potential confounders including sociodemographics, lifestyle, and body mass index. Three factors were identified: the "lipid metabolism" mainly reflected biomarkers related to lipid metabolism, such as very-low-density lipoprotein and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; the "high-density lipoprotein cholesterol" mainly included high-density lipoprotein cholesterol subclasses and other lipids not included in the first factor; and the "amino acid/glycolysis/ketogenesis," composed of some amino acids, glycolysis-related metabolites, and ketone bodies. Higher scores in the "lipid metabolism" factor were associated with a higher likelihood of cardiometabolic multimorbidity, odds ratio for tertile 3 versus tertile 1 was 1.79 (95% confidence interval: 1.17-2.76). The "high-density lipoprotein cholesterol" factor was associated with lower odds of cardiometabolic multimorbidity [0.51 (0.32-0.82)], and the "amino acid/glycolysis/ketogenesis" factor was associated with more frequent cardiometabolic multimorbidity [1.85 (1.18-2.90)]. Different metabolomic biomarkers are associated with different multimorbidity patterns; therefore, multiple biomarker measurements are needed for a complete picture of the molecular mechanisms of multimorbidity.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Multimorbilidad , Humanos , Anciano , Estudios Transversales , Biomarcadores , Aminoácidos , HDL-ColesterolRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There is mounting evidence that the Mediterranean diet prevents type 2 diabetes, but little is known about the role of Mediterranean lifestyles other than diet and among non-Mediterranean populations. This work aimed to examine the association between a comprehensive Mediterranean-type lifestyle and type 2 diabetes incidence in a British adult population. METHODS: We used data from 112,493 individuals free of cardiovascular disease and type 2 diabetes mellitus, aged 40-69 years, from the UK Biobank cohort, who were followed from 2009 to 2010 to 2021. The Mediterranean lifestyle was assessed through the 25-item MEDLIFE index, which comprises three blocks: (a) "Mediterranean food consumption", (b) "Mediterranean dietary habits", (c) "Physical activity, rest, social habits, and conviviality". Diabetes incidence was obtained from clinical records. Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used to analyze associations and adjusted for the main potential confounders. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 9.4 years, 2,724 cases of type 2 diabetes were ascertained. Compared to the first quartile of MEDLIFE adherence, the hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for increasing quartiles of adherence were 0.90 (0.82-0.99), 0.80 (0.72-0.89) and 0.70 (0.62-0.79) (p-trend < 0.001). All three blocks of MEDLIFE were independently associated with lower risk of diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Higher adherence to the MEDLIFE index was associated with lower risk of type 2 diabetes in the UK Biobank. A Mediterranean-type lifestyle, culturally adapted to non-Mediterranean populations, could help prevent diabetes.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Dieta Mediterránea , Adulto , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/prevención & control , Estudios Prospectivos , Bancos de Muestras Biológicas , Estilo de Vida , Incidencia , Reino Unido/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
Biological mechanisms that lead to multimorbidity are mostly unknown, and metabolomic profiles are promising to explain different pathways in the aging process. The aim of this study was to assess the prospective association between plasma fatty acids and other lipids, and multimorbidity in older adults. Data were obtained from the Spanish Seniors-ENRICA 2 cohort, comprising noninstitutionalized adults ≥65 years old. Blood samples were obtained at baseline and after a 2-year follow-up period for a total of 1 488 subjects. Morbidity was also collected at baseline and end of the follow-up from electronic health records. Multimorbidity was defined as a quantitative score, after weighting morbidities (from a list of 60 mutually exclusive chronic conditions) by their regression coefficients on physical functioning. Generalized estimating equation models were employed to assess the longitudinal association between fatty acids and other lipids, and multimorbidity, and stratified analyses by diet quality, measured with the Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010, were also conducted. Among study participants, higher concentrations of omega-6 fatty acids [coef. per 1-SD increase (95% CI) = -0.76 (-1.23, -0.30)], phosphoglycerides [-1.26 (-1.77, -0.74)], total cholines [-1.48 (-1.99, -0.96)], phosphatidylcholines [-1.23 (-1.74, -0.71)], and sphingomyelins [-1.65 (-2.12, -1.18)], were associated with lower multimorbidity scores. The strongest associations were observed for those with a higher diet quality. Higher plasma concentrations of omega-6 fatty acids, phosphoglycerides, total cholines, phosphatidylcholines, and sphingomyelins were prospectively associated with lower multimorbidity in older adults, although diet quality could modulate the associations found. These lipids may serve as risk markers for multimorbidity.
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Ácidos Grasos , Multimorbilidad , Humanos , Anciano , Esfingomielinas , Estudios Prospectivos , Ácidos Grasos Omega-6 , Glicerofosfolípidos , Fosfatidilcolinas , Enfermedad CrónicaRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: While some condition clusters represent the chance co-occurrence of common individual conditions, others may represent shared causal factors. The aims of this study were to identify multimorbidity patterns in older adults and to explore the relationship between social variables, lifestyle behaviors, and the multimorbidity patterns identified. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional design. Data came from 3,273 individuals aged ≥65 from the Seniors-ENRICA-2 cohort; information on 60 chronic disease categories, categorized according to the 2nd edition of the International Classification of Primary Care and the 10th edition of the International Classification of Diseases, was obtained from clinical record linkage. To identify multimorbidity patterns, an exploratory factor analysis was conducted over chronic disease categories with a prevalence >5%, using Oblimin rotation and Kaiser's eigenvalues-greater-than-one rule. The association between multimorbidity patterns and their potential determinants was assessed with multivariable linear regression. RESULTS: The three-factor solution (Musculoskeletal diseases and mental disorders, Cardiometabolic diseases, and Cardiopulmonary diseases) explained 64.5% of the total variance. Being older, lower occupational category, higher levels of loneliness, lower levels of physical activity, and higher body mass index were associated with higher scores in the multimorbidity patterns identified. Female sex was linked to the Musculoskeletal diseases and mental disorders pattern, while being male was revealed to the two remaining multimorbidity patterns. A high diet quality was inversely related to Cardiometabolic diseases, while optimal sleep duration was inversely related to Cardiopulmonary diseases. CONCLUSION: Three multimorbidity patterns were identified in older adults. Multimorbidity patterns were differently associated with social variables and lifestyles behavioral factors.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Enfermedades Musculoesqueléticas , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Multimorbilidad , Estudios Transversales , Estilo de Vida , Enfermedad Crónica , Prevalencia , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Musculoesqueléticas/complicacionesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Latent autoimmune diabetes in adults (LADA) is a type of diabetes mellitus showing overlapping characteristics between type 1 Diabetes Mellitus and type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM), and autoimmunity against insulin-producing pancreatic cells. For its diagnosis, at least one type of anti-pancreatic islet antibody (GADAb is the most common) is required. Many authors recommend performing this measure in all newly diagnosed patients with DM, but it is not possible in Primary Health Care (PHC) due to its high cost. Currently, a relevant proportion of patients diagnosed as T2DM could be LADA. Confusing LADA with T2DM has clinical and safety implications, given its different therapeutic approach. The main objective of the study is to develop and validate a clinical score for identifying adult patients with DM at high risk of LADA in PHC. METHODS: This is an observational, descriptive, cross-sectional study carried out in Primary Care Health Centers with a centralized laboratory. All people over 30 years of age diagnosed with diabetes within a minimum of 6 months and a maximum of 4 years before the start of the study will be recruited. Individuals will be recruited by consecutive sampling. The study variables will be obtained through clinical interviews, physical examinations, and electronic medical records. The following variables will be recorded: those related to Diabetes Mellitus, sociodemographic, anthropometric, lifestyle habits, laboratory parameters, presence of comorbidities, additional treatments, personal or family autoimmune disorders, self-perceived health status, Fourlanos criteria, and LADA diagnosis (as main variable) according to current criteria. DISCUSSION: The study will provide an effective method for identifying patients at increased risk of LADA and, therefore, candidates for antibody testing. However, a slight participation bias is to be expected. Differences between participants and non-participants will be studied to quantify this potential bias.
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Enfermedades Autoinmunes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1 , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Intolerancia a la Glucosa , Diabetes Autoinmune Latente del Adulto , Humanos , Adulto , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Estudios Transversales , Autoanticuerpos , Enfermedades Autoinmunes/diagnóstico , Atención Primaria de Salud , Diabetes Autoinmune Latente del Adulto/diagnóstico , Estudios Observacionales como AsuntoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Some amino acids have been associated with aging-related disorders and risk of physical impairment. The aim of this study was to assess the association between plasma concentrations of 9 amino acids, including branched-chain and aromatic amino acids, and multimorbidity. METHODS: This research uses longitudinal data from the Seniors-ENRICA 2 study, a population-based cohort from Spain that comprises noninstitutionalized adults older than 65. Blood samples were extracted at baseline and after a follow-up period of 2 years for a total of 1 488 subjects. Participants' information was linked with electronic health records. Chronic diseases were grouped into a list of 60 mutually exclusive conditions. A quantitative measure of multimorbidity, weighting morbidities by their regression coefficients on physical functioning, was employed and ranged from 0 to 100. Generalized estimating equation models were used to explore the relationship between plasma amino acids and multimorbidity, adjusting for sociodemographics, socioeconomic status, and lifestyle behaviors. RESULTS: The mean age of participants at baseline was 73.6 (SD = 4.2) years, 49.6% were women. Higher concentrations of glutamine (coef. per mmol/l [95% confidence interval] = 10.1 [3.7, 16.6]), isoleucine (50.3 [21.7, 78.9]), and valine (15.5 [3.1, 28.0]) were significantly associated with higher multimorbidity scores, after adjusting for potential confounders. Body mass index could have influenced the relationship between isoleucine and multimorbidity (p = .016). CONCLUSIONS: Amino acids could play a role in regulating aging-related diseases. Glutamine and branched-chain amino acids as isoleucine and valine are prospectively associated and could serve as risk markers for multimorbidity in older adults.
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Aminoácidos , Isoleucina , Humanos , Femenino , Anciano , Masculino , Glutamina , Multimorbilidad , Valina , Enfermedad CrónicaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The role of statins in the management of dyslipidemia in elderly patients with different cardiovascular risks remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To study use of statins and associated factors in subjects aged 90 or over in the Community of Madrid, Spain. METHODS: Observational, cross-sectional study that included all people aged 90 or more residing in the Community of Madrid as of December 31, 2015. The clinical information was obtained from the database that contains the electronic medical records collected by family doctors in primary care. Comorbidity data are collected according to the International Classification of Primary Care, Second Edition (ICPC-2). RESULTS: The study population comprised 59,423 subjects, with a mean age of 93.3 (2.5) years (25.8% males). Slightly more than one quarter of the population (28.2%) was in treatment with statins, 21.9% were in primary prevention, and 48.1% in secondary prevention. The multivariate analysis revealed the factors independently associated with statin treatment to be younger age, not being institutionalized, a higher Barthel score, a lower Charlson score, a higher body mass index, and a history of diabetes, dyslipidemia, chronic kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: A significant percentage of nonagenarians-mainly less frail patients with more comorbidities-in the Community of Madrid receive statin treatment. No clear efficacy has been demonstrated in reducing cardiovascular events in an age group with such a short life expectancy.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/prevención & control , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Inhibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Reductasas/uso terapéutico , Masculino , Nonagenarios , España/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the risk profile, achievement of cardiometabolic goals, and frequency and optimal use of cardiovascular preventive therapies among nonagenarians with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). To investigate possible sex differences. DESIGN AND SETTING: A cross-sectional population study of 11 645 persons aged ≥90 years with T2DM living in Madrid (Spain). Sociodemographic, clinical and therapy profiles were collected through electronic records in primary care. We considered antihypertensive therapy and lipid-lowering therapy to be optimal when known patients with hypertension with albuminuria received renin-angiotensin system blockers and statins had been prescribed for overt cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: The prevalence of coronary artery disease was higher in males than in females (21.5% vs 12.6%, p<0.01), as was that of peripheral artery disease (8.5% vs 2.3%, p<0.01). However, the prevalence of cerebrovascular disease was similar in both sexes (16.5% vs 16%; p=0.44). Haemoglobin A1c was lower than 7% in 64.4% of cases, with female predominance in patients with known dementia (67.1% female vs 59.9% male; p<0.01). Antiplatelet therapy was significantly more frequent in males than in females (48.1% vs 44.3%; p<0.01), as were statins (43.2% vs 40.2%; p<0.01). Both in primary and in secondary prevention, rates for simultaneous achievement of the HbA1c, blood pressure, LDL-C goals were significantly lower among females (p<0.01). For each criterion of optimal use of cardiovascular preventive therapies, adherence was significantly better in males than in females. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that the risk of cerebrovascular disease was similar in both male and female Spanish nonagenarians. Adherence was poorer in females for all criteria of optimal use of cardiovascular preventive therapies. Our findings indicate that the known sex differences in younger patients with T2DM persist in patients aged ≥90 years. There is considerable room for improvement in standards of preventive care in nonagenarians with T2DM, especially in females.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Complicaciones de la Diabetes/etiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/prevención & control , Estudios Transversales , Complicaciones de la Diabetes/epidemiología , Complicaciones de la Diabetes/prevención & control , Femenino , Objetivos , Humanos , Masculino , Medición de Riesgo , Distribución por Sexo , Factores SexualesRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of depression in patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and to identify sociodemographic, clinical and psychological factors associated with depression in this population. Additionally, we examine the annual incidence rate of depression among patients with T2DM. METHODS: We performed a large prospective cohort study of patients with T2DM from the Madrid Diabetes Study. The first recruitment drive included 3443 patients. The second recruitment drive included 727 new patients. Data have been collected since 2007 (baseline visit) and annually during the follow-up period (since 2008). RESULTS: Depression was prevalent in 20.03% of patients (n=592; 95% CI 18.6% to 21.5%) and was associated with previous personal history of depression (OR 6.482; 95% CI 5.138 to 8.178), mental health status below mean (OR 1.423; 95% CI 1.452 to 2.577), neuropathy (OR 1.951; 95% CI 1.423 to 2.674), fair or poor self-reported health status (OR 1.509; 95% CI 1.209 to 1.882), treatment with oral antidiabetic agents plus insulin (OR 1.802; 95% CI 1.364 to 2.380), female gender (OR 1.333; 95% CI 1.009 to 1.761) and blood cholesterol level (OR 1.005; 95% CI 1.002 to 1.009). The variables inversely associated with depression were: being in employment (OR 0.595; 95% CI 0.397 to 0.894), low physical activity (OR 0.552; 95% CI 0.408 to 0.746), systolic blood pressure (OR 0.982; 95% CI 0.971 to 0.992) and social support (OR 0.978; 95% CI 0.963 to 0.993). In patients without depression at baseline, the incidence of depression after 1 year of follow-up was 1.20% (95% CI 1.11% to 2.81%). CONCLUSIONS: Depression is very prevalent among patients with T2DM and is associated with several key diabetes-related outcomes. Our results suggest that previous mental status, self-reported health status, gender and several diabetes-related complications are associated with differences in the degree of depression. These findings should alert practitioners to the importance of detecting depression in patients with T2DM.
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Depresión/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Depresión/psicología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamiento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/psicología , Nefropatías Diabéticas/epidemiología , Femenino , Estado de Salud , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Trastornos Mentales/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores Protectores , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , España/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: To compare the type of surgical procedures used, comorbidities, in-hospital complications (IHC) and in-hospital outcomes between women with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and age-matched women without diabetes who were hospitalised with breast cancer. In addition, we sought to identify factors associated with IHC in women with T2DM who had undergone surgical procedures for breast cancer. DESIGN: Retrospective study using the National Hospital Discharge Database, 2013-2014. SETTING: Spain. PARTICIPANTS: Women who were aged ≥40 years with a primary diagnosis of breast cancer and who had undergone a surgical procedure. We grouped admissions by T2DM status. We selected one matched control for each T2DM case. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The type of procedure (breast-conserving surgery (BCS) or mastectomy), clinical characteristics, complications, length of hospital stay and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: We identified 41 458 admissions (9.23% with T2DM). Overall, and in addition to the surgical procedure, we found that comorbidity, hypertension and obesity were more common among patients with T2DM. We also detected a higher incidence of mastectomy in women with T2DM (44.69% vs 42.42%) and a greater rate of BCS in patients without T2DM (57.58% vs 55.31%). Overall, non-infectious complications were more common among women with T2DM (6.40% vs 4.56%). Among women who had undergone BCS or a mastectomy, IHC were more frequent among diabetics (5.57% vs 3.04% and 10.60% vs 8.24%, respectively). Comorbidity was significantly associated with a higher risk of IHC in women with diabetes, independent of the specific procedure used.province CONCLUSIONS: Women with T2DM who undergo surgical breast cancer procedures have more comorbidity, risk factors and advanced cancer presentations than matched patients without T2DM. Mastectomies are more common in women with T2DM. Moreover, the procedures among women with T2DM were associated with greater IHC. Comorbidity was a strong predictor of IHC in women with T2DM.
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Neoplasias de la Mama/cirugía , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Mastectomía Segmentaria , Mastectomía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Comorbilidad , Bases de Datos Factuales , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Modelos Logísticos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Alta del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , España/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To describe incidence, characteristics and outcomes of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) during hospitalization among patients with or without type 2 diabetes (T2DM). METHODS: We used the Spanish national hospital discharge database to select all hospitalization with VAP in subjects aged 40years or more from 2010 to 2014. We analyzed incidence, patient comorbidities, procedures, pneumonia pathogens and in-hospital outcomes according to diabetes status (T2DM and no-diabetes). We used propensity score analysis to estimate the effect of T2DM on in-hospital mortality RESULTS: In 7952 admissions, the patient developed a VAP (13.6% with T2DM). Adjusted incidence rate of VAP was slightly, but significantly, higher in T2DM than in non-diabetic patients (36.46[95% CI 34.41-38.51] vs. 32.57[95% CI 31.40-33.74] cases per 100,000/inhabitants). T2DM people were older and had higher Charlson comorbidity index than non-diabetic people. T2DM patients had a lower mean number of failing organs than non-diabetic patients (1.20 SD 1.17 vs. 1.45 SD 1.44, p<0.001). Pseudomonas was the most frequently isolated agent in both groups. IHM was 41.92% for T2DM patients and 37.91% for non-diabetic patients (p<0.05). Factors associated with a higher mortality in both groups included: older age, more comorbidities and primary diagnoses of vein or artery occlusion, pulmonary disease and cancer. T2DM was not associated with a higher in-hospital mortality after adjustment using a propensity score (OR 0.88; 95% CI 0.76-1.35). CONCLUSIONS: VAP incidence rates were higher among T2DM patients. In-hospital mortality was higher among the older patients and those with more co-morbid conditions. T2DM does not predict higher mortality in VAP during hospitalization.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Neumonía Asociada al Ventilador/mortalidad , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria/tendencias , Humanos , Incidencia , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neumonía Asociada al Ventilador/microbiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Distribución por Sexo , España/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: We aim to determine influenza vaccination uptake among people with diabetes included in the MADIABETES cohort study in order to identify predictors of uptake and to analyze reasons for adherence and non-adherence with vaccination. METHODS: Using data from the MADIABETES Study we conducted a retrospective case record form based study without controls. We included outpatients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Information was obtained from computerized clinical records and by telephone survey. The main dependent variables were influenza vaccination uptake in the year 2013 and the reason for receiving or refusing vaccination. RESULTS: Overall, 65.7% had received the influenza vaccine in 2013. The mean number of influenza vaccines received from 2007 to 2013 was 3.24 (SD1.15), although 19.23% had not received any influenza vaccine and 23.3% had been vaccinated against pneumococcus. The variables that increased the probability of being vaccinated were inclusion in the age-based recommendation (⩾60years), having a chronic respiratory disease, previous pneumococcal vaccination, higher number of visits to the general practitioner, higher number of influenza vaccines, and longer time since diabetes diagnosis. A higher mean glycated haemoglobin value in 2013 was associated with a reduced probability of vaccination. Most patients (90%) agreed to be vaccinated following their physician's advice because of their age or their chronic conditions. The most common reason for refusal among men was the belief that they were not at risk (41.6% vs. 29.79% in women); the most common reason for refusal among women was fear of adverse reactions (32.53% vs. 20.23% in men). CONCLUSIONS: The uptake of influenza vaccination among diabetic patients in the present study was below desirable levels. The main barrier to vaccination was lack of knowledge regarding the need for and risks and advantages of influenza vaccination. Healthcare professionals should educate and encourage influenza vaccination among people with diabetes.
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Complicaciones de la Diabetes/prevención & control , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Vacunas contra la Influenza/administración & dosificación , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Vacunación/psicología , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Outcome prediction is important in the clinical decision-making process. Artificial neural networks (ANN) have been used to predict the risk of post-operative events, including survival, and are increasingly being used in complex medical decision making. We aimed to use ANN analysis to estimate predictive factors of in-hospital mortality (IHM) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) after major lower extremity amputation (LEA) in Spain. METHODS: We design a retrospective, observational study using ANN models. We used the Spanish National Hospital Discharge Database to select all hospital admissions of major LEA procedure in T2DM patients. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Predictors of IHM using 4 ANN models: i) with all discharge diagnosis included in the database; ii) with all discharge diagnosis included in the database, excluding infectious diseases; iii) comorbidities included in the Charlson Comorbidities Index; iv) comorbidities included in the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index. RESULTS: From 2003 to 2013, 40,857 major LEAs in patients with T2DM were identified with a 10.0% IHM. We found that Elixhauser Comorbidity Index model performed better in terms of sensitivity, specificity and precision than Charlson Comorbidity Index model (0.7634 vs 0.7444; 0.9602 vs 0.9121; 0.9511 vs 0.888, respectively). The area under the ROC curve for Elixhauser comorbidity model was 91.7% (95% CI 90.3-93.0) and for Charlson comorbidity model was 88.9% (95% CI; 87.590.2) p = 0.043. Models including all discharge diagnosis with and without infectious diseases showed worse results. In the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index model the most sensitive parameter was age (variable sensitive ratio [VSR] 1.451) followed by female sex (VSR 1.433), congestive heart failure (VSR 1.341), renal failure (VSR 1.274) and chronic pulmonary disease (VSR 1.266). CONCLUSIONS: Elixhauser Comorbidity Index is a superior comorbidity risk-adjustment model for major LEA survival prediction in patients with T2DM than Charlson Comorbidity Index model using ANN models. Female sex, congestive heart failure, and renal failure are strong predictors of mortality in these patients.
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Amputación Quirúrgica/mortalidad , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Extremidad Inferior/cirugía , Redes Neurales de la Computación , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Amputación Quirúrgica/métodos , Amputación Quirúrgica/estadística & datos numéricos , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/métodos , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Alta del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Prevalencia , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , España/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0117346.].
RESUMEN
To describe trends in the rates of discharge due to thoracic aortic aneurysm and dissection (TAAD) among patients with and without type 2 diabetes in Spain (2001-2012).We used national hospital discharge data to select all of the patients who were discharged from the hospital after TAAD. We focused our analysis on patients with TAAD in the primary diagnosis field. Discharges were grouped by diabetes status (diabetic or nondiabetic). Incidence was calculated overall and stratified by diabetes status. We divided the study period into 4 periods of 3 years each. We analyzed diagnostic and surgical procedures, length of stay, and in-hospital mortality.We identified 48,746 patients who were discharged with TAAD. The rates of discharge due to TAAD increased significantly in both diabetic patients (12.65 cases per 100,000 in 2001/2003 to 23.92 cases per 100,000 in 2010/2012) and nondiabetic patients (17.39 to 21.75, respectively). The incidence was higher among nondiabetic patients than diabetic patients in 3 of the 4 time periods.The percentage of patients who underwent thoracic endovascular aortic repair increased in both groups, whereas the percentage of patients who underwent open repair decreased. The frequency of hospitalization increased at a higher rate among diabetic patients (incidence rate ratio 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-1.20) than among nondiabetic patients (incidence rate ratio 1.08, 95% CI 1.07-1.11). The in-hospital mortality was lower in diabetic patients than in nondiabetic patients (odds ratio 0.83, 95% CI 0.69-0.99).The incidence rates were higher in nondiabetic patients. Hospitalizations seemed to increase at a higher rate among diabetic patients. Diabetic patients had a significantly lower mortality, possibly because of earlier diagnoses, and improved and more readily available treatments.
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Aneurisma de la Aorta Torácica/epidemiología , Disección Aórtica/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Alta del Paciente/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Disección Aórtica/mortalidad , Disección Aórtica/cirugía , Aneurisma de la Aorta Torácica/mortalidad , Aneurisma de la Aorta Torácica/cirugía , Comorbilidad , Procedimientos Endovasculares/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , España/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
AIMS: To assess the prevalence of stage 3-5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) at baseline and to identify associated risk factors. To determine the effect of CKD and CKD stage according to estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria categories on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality after a 5-year follow-up. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of 3443 outpatients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. RESULTS: The prevalence of CKD was 28.32% (95% CI, 26.84-29.86); and variables most strongly associated were: age >74 years (OR, 19.88; 95% CI, 12.89-30.68) and albuminuria (OR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.72-3.00). During follow-up, 221 CKD patients (22.90%) died compared with 203 non-CKD patients (8.31%) (p<0.01). The adjusted HR of CKD for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality was 1.82 (95% CI, 1.36-2.44) and 2.11 (95% CI, 1.61-2.76) for those with LDL cholesterol =135 mg/dl, respectively. The adjusted HR of very-high-risk CKD for all-cause mortality was 4.44 (95% CI, 2.31-8.53) in aged <75 years and 1.80 (95% CI, 1.19-2.72) in aged ≥75 years. CONCLUSIONS: CKD at baseline is an independent risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the overall cohort, men and women, or in primary and secondary prevention of coronary heart disease. Albuminuria is an independent risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality only in primary prevention.
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Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/mortalidad , Angiopatías Diabéticas/mortalidad , Nefropatías Diabéticas/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/mortalidad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/complicaciones , Causas de Muerte , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/complicaciones , España/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is increasing worldwide. When diagnosed, many patients already have organ damage or advance subclinical atherosclerosis. An early diagnosis could allow the implementation of lifestyle changes and treatment options aimed at delaying the progression of the disease and to avoid cardiovascular complications. Different scores for identifying undiagnosed diabetes have been reported, however, their performance in populations of southern Europe has not been sufficiently evaluated. The main objectives of our study are: to evaluate the screening performance and cut-off points of the main scores that identify the risk of undiagnosed T2DM and prediabetes in a Spanish population, and to develop and validate our own predictive models of undiagnosed T2DM (screening model), and future T2DM (prediction risk model) after 5-year follow-up. As a secondary objective, we will evaluate the atherosclerotic burden of the population with undiagnosed T2DM. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Population-based prospective cohort study with baseline screening, to evaluate the performance of the FINDRISC, DANISH, DESIR, ARIC and QDScore, against the gold standard tests: Fasting plasma glucose, oral glucose tolerance and/or HbA1c. The sample size will include 1352 participants between the ages of 45 and 74â years. ANALYSIS: sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, likelihood ratio positive, likelihood ratio negative and receiver operating characteristic curves and area under curve. Binary logistic regression for the first 700 individuals (derivation) and last 652 (validation) will be performed. All analyses will be calculated with their 95% CI; statistical significance will be p<0.05. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study protocol has been approved by the Research Ethics Committee of the Carlos III Hospital (Madrid). The score performance and predictive model will be presented in medical conferences, workshops, seminars and round table discussions. Furthermore, the predictive model will be published in a peer-reviewed medical journal to further increase the exposure of the scores.