Long-term impact of early non-infectious complications at the initiation of peritoneal dialysis.

BACKGROUND: Early non-infectious complications at initiation of peritoneal dialysis (PD) are a major burden with unknown long-term impacts on individuals. METHODS: Prospective multicentre cohort study using univariable and multivariable Cox regression to identity mortality risk and PD discontinuation risk in those with and without non-infectious complications. All individuals commencing PD between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2018, registered in the New Zealand Peritoneal Dialysis Registry (NZPDR) were followed up to 31 December 2020. Early non-infectious complications defined as functional, catheter-related, exit-site dialysate leak or anatomical leak complications occurring within 30 days of initiation of PD. Primary outcomes were patient survival and time on PD therapy. Secondary outcomes were peritonitis free survival, first PD catheter survival and catheter tunnel infection free survival. RESULTS: Of 1596 individuals included in the study, 102 experienced an early non-infectious complication. Multivariable analysis demonstrated these complications were associated with higher risk of overall mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.71; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.21-2.44), PD discontinuation (HR 1.84; 95% CI 1.41-2.41) and first catheter failure (HR 2.89; 95% CI 2.28-3.66). No difference was found for risk of development of first peritonitis episode or catheter tunnel infection. Mortality risk was associated with functional and exit-site dialysate leak complications and continued beyond 180 days. Risk of PD discontinuation and first catheter loss were associated with catheter and functional complications in the first 180 days. CONCLUSION: Early non-infectious complications are associated with long-term mortality risk. Further research in risk factors and causes of early non-infectious complications are required.

Understanding longer-term disability outcomes for Maori and non-Maori after hospitalisation for injury: results from a longitudinal cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The objectives are to (1) describe disability outcomes at 24 months after injury and (2) identify factors contributing to disability outcomes at 24 months after injury, for Maori and non-Maori who have been hospitalised for injury. STUDY DESIGN: This is a prospective cohort study. METHODS: Prospective Outcomes of Injury Study participants were injured New Zealanders aged 18-64 years and recruited from New Zealand's no-fault injury insurer, the Accident Compensation Corporation's entitlement claims register. Data about a number of pre-injury, injury-related and early post-injury characteristics were collected from interviews held at 3 and 24 months after injury. Disability was measured using the World Health Organization Disability Assessment Schedule (WHODAS). Modified Poisson regression modelling was used to estimate relative risks (RRs) of disability for Maori and non-Maori who were hospitalised for injury. RESULTS: Analyses were restricted to 375 Maori and 1824 non-Maori participants for whom complete data were available. Of these, 105 (28%) Maori and 446 (24%) non-Maori were hospitalised for their injury. Of these hospitalised groups, 26% of Maori and 10% of non-Maori were experiencing disability (WHODAS ≥10) at 24 months after injury. Maori who were hospitalised for injury and who were not working for pay before their injury (RR = 2.7; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4-4.9), who were experiencing disability before their injury (RR = 3.1; 95% CI 1.6-5.8) or who reported trouble accessing healthcare services for their injury (RR = 2.6; 95% CI 1.3-5.2) were independently at increased risk of disability 24 months after injury. Non-Maori who were hospitalised for injury and who had inadequate household income before injury (RR = 2.4; 95% CI 1.4-4.1), less than the secondary school qualifications (RR = 2.0; 95% CI 1.1-3.8), were not working for pay before injury (RR = 2.8; 95% CI 1.5-5.1), were experiencing disability before their injury (RR = 3.0; 95% CI 1.7-5.2), had ≥2 chronic conditions (RR = 3.5; 95% CI 2.0-6.4) or had body mass index ≥30 kg/m2/undisclosed (RR = 2.4; 95% CI 1.3-4.4) were at increased risk of disability 24 months after injury. CONCLUSIONS: Variables predicting disability 24 months after injury for Maori, also predict disability 24 months after injury for non-Maori, with one notable exception-trouble accessing healthcare services. Our findings show that having access to healthcare services for injury plays an important role after injury and must be focussed on to ensure that the burden of poor injury-related outcomes and injury-related inequities are reduced and ultimately eliminated.

A model to predict nodal metastasis in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma.

Difficulty in precise decision making on necessity of surgery is a major problem when managing oral squamous cell carcinomas (OSCCs) with clinically negative neck. Therefore, use of clinical and histopathological parameters in combination would be important to improve patient management. The main objective is to develop a model that predicts the presence of nodal metastasis in patients with OSCC.623 patients faced neck dissections with buccal mucosal or tongue squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) were selected from patients' records. Demographic data, clinical information, nodal status, Depth of invasion (DOI) and pattern of invasion (POI) were recorded. The parameters which showed a significant association with nodal metastasis were used to develop a multivariable predictive model (PM). Univariate logistic regression was used to estimate the strengths of those associations in terms of odds ratios (OR). This showed statistically significant associations between status of the nodal metastasis and each of the following 4 histopathological parameters individually: size of the tumour (T), site, POI, and DOI. Specifically, OR of nodal metastasis for tongue cancers relative to buccal mucosal cancers was 1.89, P-value < 0.001. Similarly, ORs for POI type 3 and 4 relative to type 2 were 1.99 and 5.83 respectively. A similar relationship was found with tumour size; ORs for T2, T3, and T4 compared to T1 were 2.79, 8.27 and 8.75 respectively. These four histopathological parameters were then used to develop a predictive model for nodal metastasis. This model showed that probability of nodal metastasis is higher among tongue cancers with increasing POI, with increasing T, and with larger depths while other characteristics remained unchanged. The proposed model provides a way of using combinations of histopathological parameters to identify patients with higher risks of nodal metastasis for surgical management.

Age, cohort and period effects on hip fracture incidence: analysis and predictions from New Zealand data 1974-2007.

UNLABELLED: Hip fractures are substantial problem worldwide. The increase in rate with age does not continue into very old age. Rates decline in successive birth cohorts. If the increasing trend in period effect continues, there will be a substantial increase in hip fracture incidence. INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study is to (1) determine incidence rates for fracture neck of femur (FNF) for the period 1974-2007, (2) estimate age, cohort, and period effects, and (3) predict the burden of FNF in 2025. METHODS: Age adjusted incidence rates were estimated using New Zealand hospital discharge data for 1974-2007. Age-period-cohort modeling was used to estimate individual effects of these factors after adjusting for the other two factors. Future fracture burden was estimated under two scenarios. RESULTS: Age-adjusted rates for women increased from 1974 to 1987 whereas rates for men have increased from 1974 until 2007. Risk increased from 70 years of age but dropped among the very elderly. Period effects showed a steady increase in risk throughout 1974-2007. In contrast, the risk was lower in later cohorts. If there is no change in the period effect from 2007 we estimate a reduction in the burden of illness from FNF, especially for women. However if the period effect continues to increase, there will be substantial increases in FNF incidence, especially for men. CONCLUSIONS: The effect of population aging on FNF incidence is predictable because projections are based on an existing population. The increasing health and improvement in measures of physical status of older people through the last century, explain the decline in FNF incidence in later cohorts. The steady increase in period effect may be due to increased survival of the very frail. This burden of illness resulting from FNFs must be addressed by population based, research proven approaches to fall and fracture prevention.

Accuracy of injury coding under ICD-10-AM for New Zealand public hospital discharges.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the accuracy in coding for principal injury diagnosis (PDx), external cause, place of occurrence, and activity codes under the Australian Modification of the International Classification of Disease, 10th Revision (ICD-10-AM) for public hospital discharges in New Zealand. METHOD: A simple random sample of 1800 injury discharges was selected from the National Minimum Dataset (NMDS) of hospital discharges from July 2001 to June 2004. Records were obtained and coded by the Senior Advisor in Clinical Coding (SACC) independently of the codes already recorded in the NMDS. RESULTS: Of injury discharges selected from the NMDS, 2% were not coded with a PDx of injury by the SACC. Fourteen percent of the PDxs and 26% of the external cause codes (E-codes V01-Y89) had inaccuracies in the first, second, or third characters. Variation in the accuracy of the PDxs and E-codes was obvious by diagnostic and E-code groupings; 22% of the place of occurrence codes (Y92) and 29% of the activity codes (Y93) were incorrect. Accuracy of the PDxs and E-codes was related to the clarity of the documentation in the medical records. CONCLUSIONS: For countries that are considering implementing ICD-10 or one of its variants, these findings provide insight into possible limitations of the classification and offer guidance on where the focus of training should be placed. For countries that have historical data coded according to ICD-10-AM, these results suggest that some specific estimates of injury and external-cause incidence may need to be treated with caution.