Time-driven activity-based costing (TDABC) of direct-to-angiography pathway for acute ischemic stroke patients with suspected large vessel occlusion.

INTRODUCTION: Direct-to-angiography (DTA) is a novel care pathway for endovascular treatment (EVT) of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) that has been shown to reduce time-to-treatment and improve clinical outcomes for EVT-eligible patients. The institutional costs of adopting the DTA pathway and the many factors affecting costs have not been studied. In this study, we assess the costs and main cost drivers associated with the DTA pathway compared to the conventional CT pathway for patients presenting with AIS and suspected LVO in the anterior circulation. METHODS: Time driven activity based costing (TDABC) model was used to compare costs of DTA and conventional pathways from the healthcare institution perspective. Process mapping was used to outline all activities and resources (personnel, equipment, materials) needed for each step in both pathways. The cost model was developed using our institutional patient database and average New York state wages for personnel costs. Total, incremental and proportional costs were calculated based on institutional and patient factors affecting the pathways. RESULTS: DTA pathway accrued additional $82,583.61 (9%) in total costs compared to the conventional approach for all AIS patients. For EVT-ineligible patients, the DTA pathway incurred additional $82,964.37 (76%) in total costs compared to the CT pathway. For EVT eligible patients, the total and per-patient costs were greater in the CT pathway by $380.76 (0.04%) and $5.60 (0.04%) respectively. CONCLUSION: As the DTA pathway incurred additional $82,964.37 for EVT-ineligible patients, appropriate patient selection criteria are needed to avoid transferring EVT-ineligible patients to the angiography suite.

Cost-effectiveness of MRE versus VCTE in staging fibrosis for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients with advanced fibrosis.

INTRODUCTION: NAFLD is a common cause of liver disease. To determine the optimal testing strategy for NAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis, several factors such as diagnostic accuracy, failure rates, costs of examinations, and potential treatment options need to be considered. The purpose of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of combination testing involving vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) versus magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) as a frontline imaging strategy for NAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis. METHODS: A Markov model was developed from the US perspective. The base-case scenario in this model included patients aged 50 years with a Fibrosis-4 score of ≥2.67 and suspected advanced fibrosis. The model included a decision tree and a Markov state-transition model including 5 health states: fibrosis stage 1-2, advanced fibrosis, compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, and death. Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Staging fibrosis with MRE cost $8388 more than VCTE but led to an additional 1.19 Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) with the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $7048/QALY. The cost-effectiveness analysis of the 5 strategies revealed that MRE+biopsy and VCTE+MRE+biopsy were the most cost-effective with the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $8054/QALY and $8241/QALY, respectively. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses indicated that MRE remained cost-effective with a sensitivity of ≥0.77, whereas VCTE became cost-effective with a sensitivity of ≥0.82. CONCLUSIONS: MRE was not only cost-effective than VCTE as the frontline modality for staging NAFLD patients with Fibrosis-4 ≥2.67 with incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $7048/QALY but also remained cost-effective when used as a follow-up in instances of VCTE failure to diagnose.

Cost-effectiveness of remote robotic mechanical thrombectomy in acute ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVE: Clinical outcomes following endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) treatment are highly time sensitive. Remote robotic (RR)-EVT systems may be capable of mitigating time delays in patient transfer from a primary stroke center (PSC) to a comprehensive/thrombectomy-capable stroke center. However, health economic evidence is needed to assess the costs and benefits of an RR-EVT system. Therefore, the authors of this study aimed to determine whether performing RR-EVT in suspected AIS patients at a PSC as opposed to standard of care might translate to cost-effectiveness over a lifetime. METHODS: An economic evaluation study was performed from a US healthcare perspective, combining decision analysis and Markov modeling methods over a lifetime horizon to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of RR-EVT in suspected AIS patients at a PSC compared to the standard-of-care approach. Total expected costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were estimated. RESULTS: In the cost-effectiveness analysis, RR-EVT yielded greater effectiveness per patient (4.05 vs 3.88 QALYs) and lower costs (US$321,269 vs US$321,397) than the standard-of-care approach. Owing to these lower costs and greater health benefits, RR-EVT was the dominant cost-effective strategy. After initiation of an RR-EVT system, the average costs per year were similar (or slightly reduced), according to this simulation. Sensitivity analyses revealed that RR-EVT remains cost-effective in a wide variety of time delays and cost assumptions. In a one-way sensitivity analysis, RR-EVT remained the most cost-effective strategy when time delays were greater than 2.5 minutes, its complication rate did not exceed 37%, and costs were lower than $54,081. When the cost of the RR-EVT strategy ranged from $19,340 to $54,081 and its complication rate varied from 15% to 37%, the RR-EVT strategy remained the most cost-effective throughout the two ranges. RR-EVT was also the most cost-effective strategy even when its cost doubled (to approximately $40,000) and time delays exceeded 20 minutes. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, RR-EVT was the long-term cost-effective strategy in 89.8% of iterations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/QALY. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis suggests that RR-EVT as an innovative solution to expedite EVT is cost-effective. An RR-EVT system could potentially extend access to care in underserved communities and rural areas, as well as improve care for socioeconomically disadvantaged populations affected by health inequities.

Cost-effectiveness of endovascular thrombectomy in acute stroke patients with large ischemic core.

BACKGROUND: Evidence has shown that endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) treatment improves clinical outcomes. Yet, its benefit remains uncertain in patients with large established infarcts as defined by ASPECTS (Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score) <6. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of EVT, compared with standard care (SC), in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients with ASPECTS 3-5. METHODS: An economic evaluation study was performed combining a decision tree and Markov model to estimate lifetime costs (2021 US$) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of AIS patients with ASPECTS 3-5. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), net monetary benefits (NMBs), and deterministic one-way and two-way sensitivity analyses were performed. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were also performed to evaluate the robustness of our model. RESULTS: Compared with SC, the cost-effectiveness analyses revealed that EVT yields higher lifetime benefits (2.20 QALYs vs 1.41 QALYs) with higher lifetime healthcare cost per patient ($285 861 vs $272 954). The difference in health benefits between EVT and SC was 0.79 QALYs, equivalent to 288 additional days of healthy life per patient. Even though EVT is more costly than SC alone, it is still cost-effective given better outcomes with ICER of $16 239/QALY. The probabilistic sensitivity analyses indicated that EVT was the most cost-effective strategy in 98.8% (9882 of 10 000) of iterations at the willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000 per QALY. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that EVT is cost-effective in AIS patients with a large ischemic core (ASPECTS 3-5), compared with SC alone over the patient's lifetime.

Evaluation of direct-to-angiography suite (DTAS) and conventional clinical pathways in stroke care: a simulation study.

BACKGROUND: Rapid time to reperfusion is essential to minimize morbidity and mortality in acute ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion (LVO). We aimed to evaluate the workflow times when utilizing a direct-to-angiography suite (DTAS) pathway for patients with suspected stroke presenting at a comprehensive stroke center compared with a conventional CT pathway. METHODS: We developed a discrete-event simulation (DES) model to evaluate DTAS workflow timelines compared with a conventional CT pathway, varying the admission NIHSS score treatment eligibility criteria. Model parameters were estimated based on 2 year observational data from our institution. Sensitivity analyses of simulation parameters were performed to assess the impact of patient volume and baseline utilization of angiography suites on workflow times utilizing DTAS. RESULTS: Simulation modeling of stroke patients (SimStroke) demonstrated door-to-reperfusion time savings of 0.2-3.5 min (p=0.05) for a range of DTAS eligibility criteria (ie, last known well to arrival <6 hours and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale ≥6-11), when compared with the conventional stroke care pathway. Sensitivity analyses revealed that DTAS time savings is highly dependent on baseline utilization of angiography suites. CONCLUSIONS: The results of the SimStroke model showed comparable time intervals for door-to-reperfusion for DTAS compared with a conventional stroke care pathway. However, the DTAS pathway was very sensitive to baseline angiography suite utilization, with even a 10% increase eliminating the advantages of DTAS compared with the conventional pathway. Given the minimal time savings modeled here, further investigation of implementing the DTAS pathway in clinical care is warranted.

God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks.

We measure the benefit to society created by preventing COVID-19 deaths through a marginal increase in early social distancing. We exploit county-level rainfall on the last weekend before statewide lockdown in the early phase of the pandemic. After controlling for historical rainfall, temperature, and state fixed-effects, current rainfall is a plausibly exogenous instrument for social distancing. A one percent decrease in the population leaving home on the weekend before lockdown creates an average of 132 dollars of benefit per county resident within 2 weeks. The impacts of earlier distancing compound over time and mainly arise from lowering the risk of a major outbreak, yielding large but unevenly distributed social benefit.

Bridging the gap: need for a data repository to support vaccine prioritization efforts.

As the mechanisms for discovery, development, and delivery of new vaccines become increasingly complex, strategic planning and priority setting have become ever more crucial. Traditional single value metrics such as disease burden or cost-effectiveness no longer suffice to rank vaccine candidates for development. The Institute of Medicine-in collaboration with the National Academy of Engineering-has developed a novel software system to support vaccine prioritization efforts. The Strategic Multi-Attribute Ranking Tool for Vaccines-SMART Vaccines-allows decision makers to specify their own value structure, selecting from among 28 pre-defined and up to 7 user-defined attributes relevant to the ranking of vaccine candidates. Widespread use of SMART Vaccines will require compilation of a comprehensive data repository for numerous relevant populations-including their demographics, disease burdens and associated treatment costs, as well as characterizing performance features of potential or existing vaccines that might be created, improved, or deployed. While the software contains preloaded data for a modest number of populations, a large gap exists between the existing data and a comprehensive data repository necessary to make full use of SMART Vaccines. While some of these data exist in disparate sources and forms, constructing a data repository will require much new coordination and focus. Finding strategies to bridge the gap to a comprehensive data repository remains the most important task in bringing SMART Vaccines to full fruition, and to support strategic vaccine prioritization efforts in general.