Relationships Between Measures of the Physical Activity-Related Built Environment and Excess Weight in Preschoolers: A Retrospective, Population-Level Cohort Study.

Background: The built environment can impact health outcomes. Our purpose was to examine relationships between built environment variables related to physical activity and excess weight in preschoolers. Methods: In this retrospective, population-level study of 4- to 6-year-olds, anthropometric measurements were taken between 2009 and 2017 in Calgary and Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. Based on BMI z-scores (BMIz), children were classified as normal weight (-2 ≤ BMIz <1) or excess weight (BMIz ≥1; overweight and obesity). Physical activity-related built environment variables were calculated (distances to nearest playground, major park, school; street intersection density; number of playgrounds and major parks within an 800 m buffer zone). Binomial logistic regression models estimated associations between physical activity-related built environment variables and excess weight. Results: Our analysis included 140,368 participants (females: n = 69,454; Calgary: n = 84,101). For Calgary, adjusted odds ratios (aORs) showed the odds of excess weight increased 1% for every 100-intersection increase [1.010 (1.006-1.015); p < 0.0001] and 13.6% when there were ≥4 playgrounds (vs. 0 or 1) within an 800 m buffer zone [1.136 (1.037-1.243); p = 0.0059]. For Edmonton, aORs revealed lower odds of excess weight for every 100 m increase in distances between residences to nearest major park [0.991 (0.986-0.996); p = 0.0005] and school [0.992 (0.990-0.995); p < 0.0001]. The odds of excess weight decreased as the number of major parks within the 800 m buffer zone increased from 0 to 1 [0.943 (0.896-0.992); p = 0.023] and from 0 to ≥3 [0.879 (0.773-0.999); p = 0.048]. Conclusion: The physical activity-related built environment was associated with excess weight in preschoolers, although relationships varied between cities that differed demographically and geographically.

Gestational diabetes: One size does not fit all-an observational study of maternal and neonatal outcomes by maternal glucose profile.

OBJECTIVES: To examine obstetrical and neonatal outcomes across maternal glucose profiles at the population level and to explore insulin sensitivity and beta-cell function across profiles in an independent, well-phenotyped cohort for potential pathophysiologic explanation. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Observational cohort study of all pregnancies with gestational diabetes screening between October 2008 and December 2018 resulting in live singleton birth in Alberta, Canada (n = 436,773) were categorized into seven maternal glucose profiles: (1) normal 50 g-glucose challenge test (nGCT), (2) normal 75-g OGTT (nOGTT), (3) isolated elevated 1 h post-load glucose (ePLPG1), (4) isolated elevated 2 h post-load glucose (ePLPG2), (5) elevated 1 and 2 h post-load glucose (ePLPG12), (6) isolated elevated FPG (eFPG), and (7) elevated FPG + elevated 1-h and/or 2-h PLG (Combined). Primary outcomes were large for gestational age (LGA) and neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission rates. An independent observational cohort of 1451 women was examined for measures of beta-cell function (ISSI-2, insulinogenic index/HOMA-IR) and insulin sensitivity/resistance (Matsuda index, HOMA-IR) by similar maternal glucose profiles. RESULTS: Pregnancies with elevated FPG, either isolated or combined, had higher adverse events and lower insulin sensitivity. The combination of elevated FPG + elevated 1-h and/or 2-h PLG had the highest rates of LGA(20.9%), NICU admissions (14.7%), and lowest insulin sensitivity as measured by Matsuda index and HOMA-IR, and beta-cell function as measured by ISSI-2 and Insulinogenic index/HOMA-IR. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated fasting plasma glucose, either alone or combined with post-load glucose elevation is associated with worse outcomes than isolated post-load glucose elevation, possibly due to higher degrees of insulin resistance. Future work is needed to better understand these differences, and explore whether tailored treatment of GDM can improve neonatal outcomes.

Impact of a modified screening approach during the COVID-19 pandemic on the diagnosis and outcomes of gestational diabetes mellitus: A population-level analysis of 90,518 pregnant women.

AIMS: To provide real-world evidence on the uptake of and outcomes associated with the modified gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) screening approach offered during the COVID-19 pandemic compared with the standard screening approach. METHODS: All pregnancies between 01 January 2020 and 31 December 2021, in Alberta, Canada, were included in the study. We examined GDM screening and diagnosis rates, and large-for-gestational-age (LGA) outcomes. RESULTS: Annual GDM screening rates were > 95% during the study time period. Overall, 84.7%, and 11.6% of the 92,505 pregnancies underwent standard and modified screening for GDM, respectively. The use of modified screening was the highest among deliveries in August 2020 (49.8%) which corresponded to the early first wave of the pandemic. GDM diagnosis rate was lower in the modified screening (7.4%) than in the standard screening (12.3%, p < 0.001) group. The LGA rates in the modified screening with GDM and the standard screening with GDM groups were 24.8% and 12.6%, respectively (p < 0.001). Women in the modified screening with GDM group were at a higher risk of having an LGA infant (adjusted odds ratio: 3.46; 95% confidence interval: 2.93, 4.08) compared to the standard screening with no GDM group. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 epidemic had no impact on screening for GDM. Women who underwent modified screening, based on HbA1c/random plasma glucose, had lower rates of GDM cases.

Association Between Maternal Glucose Levels in Gestational Diabetes Screening and Subsequent Hypertension.

BACKGROUND: We assessed the association between maternal glucose levels in pregnancy and subsequent hypertension. METHODS: This population-level, retrospective cohort study examined women aged 12 to 54 years with singleton pregnancies completed at ≥29 weeks of gestation from October 1, 2008 to December 1, 2018 followed until March 31, 2019 in Alberta, Canada. Women were stratified by results in the 50-gram glucose challenge test and by 75-gram oral glucose tolerance test subtypes (normal oral glucose tolerance test, elevated fasting plasma glucose only [elevated fasting], elevated postload glucose only, or both elevated fasting and postload glucose [combined]. Time to development of hypertension was modeled using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Of 313 361 women, 231 008 (79.1%) underwent a glucose challenge test only while 60 909 (20.9%) underwent either an oral glucose tolerance test only or both. Nine thousand five hundred eighty (3.1%) developed hypertension, and 2824 (0.9%) developed cardiovascular disease over a median follow-up of 5.7 years. Every 1-mmol/L increase in glucose in the glucose challenge test increased the risk of subsequent hypertension by 15% (adjusted hazard ratio and 95% CI, 1.15 [1.14-1.16]). Among those who underwent the oral glucose tolerance test, the combined group conferred the highest risk of subsequent hypertension, followed by elevated fasting, then elevated postload glucose only (reference: glucose challenge test ≤7.1 mmol/L, adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI]: elevated postload glucose only, 1.83 [1.68-2.00]; elevated fasting 2.02 [1.70-2.40]; combined, 2.65 [2.33-3.01]). No significant associations between maternal glucose levels and cardiovascular disease were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing maternal glucose levels in pregnancy were associated with increasing risk of subsequent hypertension. These findings may help identify higher-risk women who should be targeted for earlier postpartum cardiovascular risk reduction.

Validity of Alternative Claims-based Algorithms for Type 1, Type 2, and Gestational Diabetes in Pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: Our aim in this study was to evaluate the accuracy of alternative algorithms for identifying pre-existing type 1 or 2 diabetes (T1DM or T2DM) and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in pregnant women. METHODS: Data from a clinical registry of pregnant women presenting to an Edmonton diabetes clinic between 2002 and 2009 were linked and administrative health records. Three algorithms for identifying women with T1DM, T2DM, and GDM based on International Classification of Diseases---tenth revision (ICD-10) codes were assessed: delivery hospitalization records (Algorithm #1), outpatient clinics during pregnancy (Algorithm #2), and delivery hospitalization plus outpatient clinics during pregnancy (Algorithm #3). In a subset of women with clinic visits between 2005 and 2009, we examined the performance of an additional Algorithm #4 based on Algorithm #3 plus outpatient clinics in the 2 years before pregnancy. Using the diabetes clinical registry as the "gold standard," we calculated true positive rates and agreement levels for the algorithms. RESULTS: The clinical registry included data on 928 pregnancies, of which 90 were T1DM, 89 were T2DM, and 749 were GDM. Algorithm #3 had the highest true positive rate for the detection of T1DM, T2DM, and GDM of 94%, 72%, and 99.9%, respectively, resulting in an overall agreement of 97% in diagnosis between the administrative databases and the clinical registry. Algorithm #4 did not provide much improvement over Algorithm #3 in overall agreement. CONCLUSIONS: An algorithm based on ICD-10 codes in the delivery hospitalization and outpatient clinic records during pregnancy can be used to accurately identify women with T1DM, T2DM, and GDM.

Temporal Trends in Type 1, Type 2, and Gestational Diabetes in Pregnancy: Impact of Rural Residence, Ethnicity, and Material Deprivation.

OBJECTIVE: Our aim in this study was to implement a newly validated algorithm to identify pregnant women with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM), type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), and to identify temporal trends in rates over the last decade. We also compared obstetric and neonatal outcomes of pregnancies with and without diabetes mellitus (DM). METHODS: Among women with live births between 2005 and 2018 in Alberta, we calculated yearly rates of T1DM, T2DM, and GDM, overall, and stratified by ethnicity, urban or rural residence, material deprivation score, and maternal age. RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2018, GDM rates increased from 42.3 to 101.8 per 1,000 deliveries (p<0.0001), T2DM rates increased from 2.6 to 6.4 per 1,000 deliveries (p<0.0001), whereas T1DM remained constant at 3.0 per 1,000 deliveries each year (p=0.4301). Higher GDM and T2DM rates were observed among Chinese and South Asian women, respectively, and among women who were materially deprived and living in urban areas. Women with T2DM were older and had the highest rates of pre-existing hypertension (16%). In contrast, women with T1DM were younger and had the highest rates of gestational hypertension (12%), pre-eclampsia (12%), and cesarean section deliveries (62%). Children of women with T1DM had the highest rates of large for gestational age (46%), neonatal hypoglycemia (41.1%), respiratory distress syndrome (7.7%), and jaundice (29.3%). CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes-in-pregnancy rates have more than doubled over the last decade, driven primarily by increases in GDM and T2DM. These trends may have significant implications for the future health of mothers and children in Alberta.

Associations between social determinants of health and weight status in preschool children: a population-based study. / Associations entre les déterminants sociaux de la santé et le statut pondéral des enfants d'âge préscolaire : une étude de population.

INTRODUCTION: Social determinants of health (SDH) may influence children's weight status. Our objective was to examine relationships between SDH and preschoolers' weight status. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 169 465 children (aged 4-6 years) with anthropometric measurements taken at immunization visits from 2009 to 2017 in Edmonton and Calgary, Canada. Children were categorized by weight status based on WHO criteria. Maternal data were linked to child data. The Pampalon Material and Social Deprivation Indexes were used to assess deprivation. We used multinomial logistic regression to generate relative risk ratios (RRRs) to examine associations between ethnicity, maternal immigrant status, neighbourhood-level household income, urban/ rural residence and material and social deprivation with child weight status. RESULTS: Children of Chinese ethnicity were less likely than those in the General Population to have overweight (RRR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.61-0.69) and obesity (RRR = 0.51, 0.42-0.62). Children of South Asian ethnicity were more likely than those in the General Population to have underweight (RRR = 4.14, 3.54-4.84) and more likely to have obesity (RRR = 1.39, 1.22-1.60). Children with maternal immigrant status were less likely than those without maternal immigrant status to have underweight (RRR = 0.72, 0.63-0.82) and obesity (RRR = 0.71, 0.66-0.77). Children were less likely to have overweight (RRR = 0.95, 0.94-0.95) and obesity (RRR = 0.88, 0.86-0.90) for every CAD 10 000 increase in income. Relative to the least deprived quintile, children in the most materially deprived quintile were more likely to have underweight (RRR = 1.36, 1.13-1.62), overweight (RRR = 1.52, 1.46-1.58) and obesity (RRR = 2.83, 2.54-3.15). Relative to the least deprived quintile, children in the most socially deprived quintile were more likely to have overweight (RRR = 1.21, 1.17-1.26) and obesity (RRR = 1.40, 1.26-1.56). All results are significant to p < 0.001. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest the need for interventions and policies to address SDH in preschoolers to optimize their weight and health.

The Canadian Mother-Child Cohort Active Surveillance Initiative (CAMCCO): Comparisons between Quebec, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta.

BACKGROUND: Given that pregnant women taking medications are excluded from clinical trials, real-world evidence is essential. We aimed to build a Canadian Mother-Child Cohort Active Surveillance Initiative (CAMCCO) and compare frequency of prematurity, low-birth-weight (LBW), major malformations, multiplicity, and gestational medication use across four provinces. METHODS: CAMCCO is a collaborative research infrastructure that uses real-world data from large provincial health care databases in Canada; developed with standardized methods to similarly construct population-based pregnancy/child cohorts with longitudinal follow-up by linking administrative/hospital/birth databases. CAMCCO also includes a common repository to i) share algorithms and case definitions based on diagnostic and procedural codes for research/training purpose, and ii) download aggregate data relevant to primary care providers, researchers, and decision makers. For this study, data from Quebec (1998-2015), Manitoba (1995-2019), Saskatchewan (1996-2020), and Alberta (2005-2018) are compared (Chi-square tests, p-values), and trends are calculated using Cochran-Armitage trend tests. RESULTS: Almost two-thirds (61%) of women took medications during pregnancy, mostly antibiotics (26%), asthma drugs (8%), and antidepressants (4%). Differences in the prevalence of prematurity (5.9-6.8%), LBW (4.0-5.2%), and multiplicity (1.0-2.5%) were statistically significant between provinces (p<0.001). Frequency of major malformations increased over time in Quebec (7-11%; p<0.001), Saskatchewan (5-11%; p<0.001), and Alberta (from 7-8%; p<0.001), and decreased in Manitoba (5-3%; p<0.001). Cardiovascular and musculoskeletal malformations were the most prevalent. INTERPRETATION: Medications are often used among Canadian pregnancies but adverse pregnancy outcomes vary across provinces. Digitized health data may help researchers and care providers understand the risk-benefit ratios related to gestational medication use, as well as province-specific trends.

Long-Term Outcomes for Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome and Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation.

Short-term outcomes are worse for patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) with a history of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). However, long-term prognosis remains unclear. We linked administrative health databases to identify patients hospitalized with ACS (ST-elevation myocardial infarction [STEMI], non-STEMI [NSTEMI], and unstable angina) between 2008 and 2019 in Alberta, Canada. Patients were stratified according to history of NVAF before hospitalization. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality, hospitalization for myocardial infarction, or stroke at 3 years. Cox models were constructed to estimate the association between ACS, NVAF, and outcomes. Of 54,309 ACS hospitalizations, 6,351 patients (11.7%) had a history of NVAF. Compared with patients without NVAF, patients with previous NVAF were older (75.6 ± 11.6 vs 64.9 ± 13.4 years), women (35.1% vs 30.0%), had higher comorbid burden (Charlson co-morbidity index 3.0 vs 1.0), and more often presented with NSTEMI (57.5% vs 49.0%). The primary outcome occurred in 37.0% of patients with previous NVAF and 17.4% without (p <0.001). In the multivariable analysis, there was a 1.14-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09 to 1.20) higher risk of the primary outcome in patients with previous NVAF. There was a significant association with STEMI (adjusted harazard ratio [aHR] 1.24, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.36) and NSTEMI (aHR 1.12, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.19) but not with unstable angina (aHR 1.04, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.22). In conclusion, in this population-based study, we identified that a history of NVAF at ACS presentation is associated with worse long-term prognosis, particularly for STEMI and NSTEMI.

Association between maternal glucose and large for gestational outcomes: Real-world evidence to support Hyperglycaemia and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes (HAPO) study findings.

AIMS: To compare large for gestational age (LGA) rates by maternal glucose levels in a real-world setting with those in the Hyperglycaemia and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes (HAPO) study. To examine the association between fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 1- and 2-h on a 75-g oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTT) and LGA. METHODS: Pregnancies were categorized according to HAPO thresholds. Category-specific LGA rates were compared to those in HAPO. Categories with glucose thresholds below or above the diagnostic criteria for gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) were labelled as lower and higher/GDM, respectively. GDM pregnancies were further stratified according to FPG or post-load elevations and logistic regression was used to examine their independent association with LGA. FINDINGS: In our cohort of 97,032 pregnancies, rates of LGA increased with increasing maternal glucose in lower categories of FPG, 1- and 2-h glucose (trend p < 0.01). However, LGA rates in higher/GDM categories were significantly lower in our study than those in HAPO for 1- and 2-h glucose, but not for FPG. Elevated FPG alone was associated with an almost twofold increase in risk of LGA, while elevated post-load glucose alone was associated with a 20% reduction in risk of LGA, compared to negative OGTT. CONCLUSIONS: Real-world data confirm the HAPO study findings at lower levels of maternal glycaemia. At higher levels, GDM diagnosis and treatment appear to be effective in reducing rates of LGA in pregnancies with post-load glucose elevations, but not elevated FPG. Elevated FPG is a stronger predictor of LGA than post-load glucose elevations.

An updated reference for age-sex-specific birth weight percentiles stratified for ethnicity based on data from all live birth infants between 2005 and 2014 in Alberta, Canada.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to update the current reference for sex-specific birth weight percentiles by gestational age, overall and for specific ethnic groups, based on data from all singleton live-birth deliveries from 2005 to 2014 in Alberta, Canada. METHODS: Infant and maternal information were captured in the Alberta Vital Statistics-Births Database for 473,115 singleton infants born to 311,800 women between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2014. Within each sex, and each sex-ethnic group, birth weights were modelled by gestational age using generalized additive models and natural cubic splines. Crude and corrected estimates for birth weight percentiles including cut-off values for large for gestational age (LGA) and small for gestational age (SGA) were calculated by sex and sex-ethnic group, and gestational age for singleton live births. RESULTS: LGA and SGA cut-offs were lower for females than for males for all gestational ages. The SGA and LGA percentiles were greater for both male and female very preterm infants in Alberta compared to previous national references. Ethnicity-specific LGA and SGA cut-offs for term Chinese and preterm and at-term South Asian infants were consistently lower than those for both the general population in Alberta and the previous national reference. South Asian infants had lower birth weights at almost all gestational ages compared with the other groups. CONCLUSION: The updated birth weight percentiles presented in this study highlight the differences in SGA and LGA cut-offs among infants from South Asian, Chinese, and the general population, which may be important for clinical perinatal care.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: L'objectif de cette étude est d'actualiser la référence actuelle pour les percentiles de poids à la naissance spécifique au sexe par l'âge gestationnel, globalement et pour des groupes ethniques spécifiques, basé sur les données de tous les accouchements de naissances vivante uniques entre 2005 et 2014 en Alberta, au Canada. MéTHODES: L'information infantile et maternelle ont été capturées dans les statistiques de l'état civil ­ base de données sur les naissances, en Alberta, pour 473 115 nourrissons uniques nés de 311 800 femmes entre le 1er janvier 2005 et le 31 décembre 2014. Dans chaque sexe, et dans chaque groupe sexe-ethnique, les poids de naissances ont été modélisés par l'âge gestationnel grâce à l'utilisation de modèles additifs généralisés et de splines cubiques naturelles. Des estimations grossières et corrigées pour les percentiles de poids à la naissance, y compris les valeurs seuils pours les nourrissons gros pour l'âge gestationnel (GAG) et petits pour l'âge gestationnel (PAG), ont été calculées par sexe et groupe sexe-ethnique, et par l'âge gestationnel pour les naissances vivantes uniques. RéSULTATS: Les critères pour GAG et PAG étaient plus bas pour les femelles que pour les mâles pour tous les âges gestationnels. Les percentiles pour PAG et GAG étaient plus élevés pour les nourrissons mâles et femelles nés très prématurés en Alberta en comparaison avec les références nationales précédentes. Les critères pour GAG et PAG spécifiques à l'ethnicité chinoise, pour les nourrissons nés à termes, et sud-asiatiques, pour les nourrissons nés avant et à termes, étaient régulièrement plus basses que ceux de la population générale en Alberta et de la référence nationale précédente. Les nourrissons sud-asiatiques avaient des poids de naissances plus basses à presque tous les âges gestationnels en comparaison avec les autres groupes. CONCLUSION: Les percentiles de poids à la naissance actualisés présentés dans cette étude mettent en évidence les différences de PAG et GAG entre les nourrissons sud-asiatiques, chinoises et de la population générale, qui peuvent êtres importantes pour les soins cliniques périnatales.

Long-term risk of death and recurrent cardiovascular events following acute coronary syndromes.

Estimates of the risk of recurrent cardiovascular events (residual risk) among patients with acute coronary syndromes have largely been based on clinical trial populations. Our objective was to estimate the residual risk associated with common comorbidities in a large, unselected, population-based cohort of acute coronary syndrome patients. 31,056 ACS patients (49.5%-non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction [NSTEMI], 34.0%-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction [STEMI] and 16.5%-unstable angina [UA]) hospitalised in Alberta between April 2010 and March 2016 were included. The primary composite outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) including: death, stroke or recurrent myocardial infarction. The secondary outcome was death from any cause. Cox-proportional hazard models were used to identify the impact of ACS type and commonly observed comorbidities (heart failure, hypertension, peripheral vascular disease, renal disease, cerebrovascular disease and diabetes). At 3.0 +/- 3.7 years, rates of MACE were highest in the NSTEMI population followed by STEMI and UA (3.58, 2.41 and 1.68 per 10,000 person years respectively). Mortality was also highest in the NSTEMI population followed by STEMI and UA (2.23, 1.38 and 0.95 per 10,000 person years respectively). Increased burden of comorbidities was associated with an increased risk of MACE, most prominently seen with heart failure (adjusted HR 1.83; 95% CI 1.73-1.93), renal disease (adjusted HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.40-1.65) and diabetes (adjusted HR 1.51; 95% CI 1.44-1.59). The cumulative presence of each of examined comorbidities was associated with an incremental increase in the rate of MACE ranging from 1.7 to 9.98 per 10,000 person years. Rates of secondary prevention medications at discharge were high including: statin (89.5%), angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker (84.1%) and beta-blockers (85.9%). Residual cardiovascular risk following an acute coronary syndrome remains high despite advances in secondary prevention. A higher burden of comorbidities is associated with increased residual risk that may benefit from aggressive or novel therapies.

Drug Adherence and Long-Term Outcomes in Non-Revascularized Patients Following Acute Myocardial Infarction.

This study examined long-term outcomes and adherence to guideline-based medications in non-revascularized acute myocardial infarction (MI) patients undergoing and not undergoing angiography. We analyzed non-revascularized MI patients hospitalized in Alberta, Canada between 2010-2016 and categorized them according to whether they had undergone coronary angiography. Adherence to guideline-based medications was determined by the proportion of days covered (PDC) and subdivided into categories based on PDC: 0% (none), 1-40% (low), 40-79% (intermediate) and ≥ 80% (high). Patients not undergoing angiography were older, less frequently male, and had more comorbidities. Those not receiving angiography had higher rates of 2-year myocardial infarction (9.9% vs 6.1%, p <0.001), heart failure (14.9% vs 6.1%, p <0.001), and mortality (29.4% vs 7.4%, p <0.001). Optimal medial therapy (OMT), defined by high PDC for the combination of lipid-modifying agents, ß-blockers and angiotensin converting enzyme-inhibitors/receptor blockers (ACE-I/ARBs), was achieved in 32.9%. Patients not undergoing angiography had lower rates of OMT adherence (p <0.001). In patients not undergoing angiography, high-adherence to lipid-modifying agents (HR 0.70 [95% CI 0.57-0.87]), ß-blockers (HR 0.78 [0.62-0.97]), ACE-I/ARBs (HR 0.64 [0.52-0.79]) and OMT (HR 0.56 [0.40-0.77]) was independently associated with lower 2-year mortality. In conclusion, MI patients not receiving angiography had low adherence rates to guideline-based pharmacotherapies and high rates of long-term outcomes, suggesting potential treatment targets to improve prognosis in non-invasively managed MI patients.

Temporal Trends in in-Hospital Bleeding and Transfusion in a Contemporary Canadian ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Patient Population.

BACKGROUND: Although ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) management has evolved substantially over the past decade, its effect on bleeding and transfusion rates are largely unknown in a contemporary population. METHODS: Our study cohort included patients 20 years of age or older who were hospitalized for STEMI between 2007 and 2016 across all Canadian provinces, except Quebec. Unadjusted rates of bleeding and of transfusion during STEMI episodes were calculated overall and for each province according to fiscal year. Patients were stratified into 4 groups according to their bleeding/transfusion. Characteristics, treatment, and outcomes were compared between groups. Multivariate logistic regression modelling was used to assess the association between bleeding and transfusion on in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Using 108,832 STEMI episodes, rates of in-hospital bleeding and transfusion declined between 2007 and 2016 from 3.9% to 2.8% (P < 0.0001) and 4.7% to 3.8% (P < 0.0001), respectively. However, variation in bleeding and transfusion rates were observed across Canadian provinces. Patients with bleeding or transfusion, were older, female, and had more comorbidities. Compared with patients who did not bleed or receive a transfusion, individuals who bled, were transfused, or bled and were transfused, had higher in-hospital mortality (18.6%, 30.3%, and 30.4%, respectively [P < 0.0001]). The association remained after adjustment: bleeding (odds ratio [OR], 2.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.8-2.4), transfusion (OR, 4.4; 95% CI, 3.9-4.9), and bleeding and transfusion (OR, 3.8; 95% CI, 3.2-4.6). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of Canadian STEMI patients who experienced in-hospital bleeding and transfusion has decreased over the past 9 years. However, patients with bleed or transfusion remain at higher risk of adverse outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Bien que la prise en charge de l'infarctus du myocarde avec élévation du segment ST (STEMI) ait considérablement ait considérablement évoluée au cours de la dernière décennie, on ignore en grande partie ses répercussions sur les taux d'hémorragies et de transfusions dans la population contemporaine. MÉTHODES: Notre étude de cohorte regroupait des patients de 20 ans ou plus qui avaient été hospitalisés en raison d'un STEMI entre 2007 et 2016 dans toutes les provinces canadiennes, excepté le Québec. Nous avons calculé globalement et pour chacune des provinces les taux non ajustés d'hémorragies et de transfusions durant les épisodes de STEMI en fonction de l'année financière. Nous avons réparti les patients en quatre groupes en fonction de leurs hémorragies/transfusions. Nous avons comparé les caractéristiques, le traitement et les issues entre les groupes. Nous avons utilisé la modélisation par régression logistique multivariée pour évaluer l'association entre les hémorragies et les transfusions par rapport à la mortalité à l'hôpital. RÉSULTATS: À partir des 108 832 épisodes de STEMI, les taux d'hémorragies et de transfusions à l'hôpital ont baissé entre 2007 et 2016 de 3,9 % à 2,8 % (P < 0,0001) et de 4,7 % à 3,8 % (P < 0,0001), respectivement. Toutefois, nous avons observé la variation des taux d'hémorragies et de transfusions dans toutes les provinces canadiennes. Les patients qui avaient des hémorragies ou des transfusions, étaient plus âgés, de sexe féminin, et avaient plus de comorbidités. Comparativement aux patients qui n'avaient pas d'hémorragie ou qui ne recevaient pas de transfusion, les individus qui avaient une hémorragie, subissaient une transfusion, ou avaient une hémorragie et subissaient une transfusion étaient exposés à une mortalité à l'hôpital plus élevée (18,6 %, 30,3 % et 30,4 %, respectivement [P < 0,0001]). L'association a subsisté après l'ajustement : hémorragie (ratio d'incidence approché [RIA], 2,0; intervalle de confiance [IC] à 95 %, 1,8-2,4), transfusion (RIA, 4,4; IC à 95 %, 3,9-4,9), et hémorragie et transfusion (RIA, 3,8; IC à 95 %, 3,2-4,6). CONCLUSIONS: La proportion de patients canadiens atteints de STEMI qui subissaient des hémorragies ou des transfusions à l'hôpital a diminué au cours des 9 dernières années. Toutefois, les patients qui avaient une hémorragie ou une transfusion demeuraient exposés à un risque plus élevé d'issues défavorables.

Computing the polytomous discrimination index.

Polytomous regression models generalize logistic models for the case of a categorical outcome variable with more than two distinct categories. These models are currently used in clinical research, and it is essential to measure their abilities to distinguish between the categories of the outcome. In 2012, van Calster et al proposed the polytomous discrimination index (PDI) as an extension of the binary discrimination c-statistic to unordered polytomous regression. The PDI is a summary of the simultaneous discrimination between all outcome categories. Previous implementations of the PDI are not capable of running on "big data." This article shows that the PDI formula can be manipulated to depend only on the distributions of the predicted probabilities evaluated for each outcome category and within each observed level of the outcome, which substantially improves the computation time. We present a SAS macro and R function that can rapidly evaluate the PDI and its components. The routines are evaluated on several simulated datasets after varying the number of categories of the outcome and size of the data and two real-world large administrative health datasets. We compare PDI with two other discrimination indices: M-index and hypervolume under the manifold (HUM) on simulated examples. We describe situations where the PDI and HUM, indices based on multiple comparisons, are superior to the M-index, an index based on pairwise comparisons, to detect predictions that are no different than random selection or erroneous due to incorrect ranking.

Lipid Testing, Lipid-Modifying Therapy, and PCSK9 (Proprotein Convertase Subtilisin-Kexin Type 9) Inhibitor Eligibility in 27 979 Patients With Incident Acute Coronary Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: While registry-based studies have shown that as many as 1 in 2 patients with stable atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease would be eligible for PCSK9i (proprotein convertase subtilisin-kexin type 9 inhibitor) therapy, this has not been studied in a large population-based postacute coronary syndrome (ACS) cohort. METHODS: We examined lipid testing performed in hospital or within 90 days of discharge and lipid-lowering therapies dispensed within 90 days of discharge in patients surviving for at least 1 year after their first ACS between 2012 and 2018 in the province of Alberta, Canada. We estimated the proportion of patients eligible for PCSK9i and the expected benefits of treatment. RESULTS: Of the 27 979 patients (median age 64.0 years, 29.3% female, 28.0% diabetic), 3750 (13.4%) did not have lipid testing in-hospital or within 90 days postdischarge. Untested patients were more likely to be older, female, from rural areas, to have more comorbidities, to already be on cardioprotective therapies, to present with unstable angina, and were less likely to have invasive interventions (all P<0.0001). Of the 24 229 tested, 18 767 (77.5%) had at least one lipid value above guideline-recommended threshold (LDL [low-density lipoprotein] ≥1.8 mmol/L [70 mg/dL] and non-HDL [high-density lipoprotein] ≥2.6 mmol/L [100 mg/dL]), of which 7284 (38.8%) did not have repeat testing within the year after discharge. Lipid testing in hospital was associated with higher rates of initiation or escalation of statin therapy within 90 days of their ACS (adjusted odds ratio, 2.13 [95% CI, 1.97-2.30). In total, 9592 patients (39.6% of the tested cohort) would be eligible for PCSK9i use, which could result in 184 fewer cardiovascular events over 3.4 years, including cardiovascular death, nonfatal ACS (myocardial infarction or unstable angina requiring hospitalization), and ischemic stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Within 90 days of incident ACS, ≈80% of patients did not meet guideline-recommended lipid thresholds and more than one-third would potentially be eligible for PCSK9i.

Association between the antepartum oral glucose tolerance test and the risk of future diabetes mellitus among women with gestational diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The antepartum oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) has re-emerged as associated with risk of diabetes among women with gestational diabetes (GDM). This systematic review summarized evidence on associations between antepartum OGTT and risk of diabetes in GDM (PROSPERO CRD42018100316). METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, and CENTRAL were searched from January 1, 1982 to February 2020. Studies assessing associations between antepartum OGTT and risk of diabetes among women with GDM were included. Data on study characteristics, participants, OGTT values, and diabetes outcomes were extracted. Estimates on the association between antepartum OGTT and diabetes at follow-up were recorded. Pooled odds ratios for developing diabetes were calculated by study design. FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS: Of 6423 citations, 17 studies were included. Both elevated fasting blood glucose (FBG; OR: 3.62 ([95% CI 1.30, 10.12], I2 = 36%, p < 0.05)) and 2 h OGTT (OR: 3.96 [1.17, 13.40], I2 = 87%, p < 0.05) were associated with diabetes. These associations were attenuated (FBG: OR: 1.91 ([95% CI 0.80, 24.54], I2 = 83%, p = NS) and 1.58 ([95% CI 0.92, 2.74] I2 = 83%, p = NS) for prospective and retrospective data, respectively; 2 h OGTT: ORa: 1.95 ([95% CI 0.43, 8.93], I2 = 94%, p = NS)) after adjustments for common confounders. Further research is needed before clinical recommendations can be made.

Left atrial remodelling, mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide, and prognosis across a range of ejection fractions in heart failure.

AIMS: Measures of structural and functional remodelling of the left atrium (LA) are emerging as useful biomarkers in heart failure (HF). We hypothesized that LA volume and its contribution to stroke volume (SV) would predict a composite endpoint of HF hospitalization or death in patients with HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We recruited 57 controls and 86 patients with HF, including preserved and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging was used to evaluate LA volumes and contribution to LV SV. Plasma mid-region pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-proANP) was evaluated. LA volume was negatively correlated with LVEF (P = 0.001) and positively correlated with LV mass in HFrEF (P < 0.001) but not in HFpEF. LA volume at end-diastole was associated with the composite endpoint in HFrEF (hazard ratio 1.26, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.54; P = 0.044), but not HFpEF (1.06, 0.85-1.30; P = 0.612), per 10 mL/m increase. Active contribution to SV was negatively associated with the composite endpoint in HFpEF (0.32, 0.14-0.66; P = 0.001), but not HFrEF (0.91, 0.38-2.1; P = 0.828) per 10% increase. MR-proANP was associated with the composite endpoint in HFpEF (1.46, 1.03-1.94; P = 0.034), but not in HFrEF (1.14, 0.88-1.37; P = 0.278), per 100 pM increase. CONCLUSION: We found different relationships between LA remodelling and biomarkers in HFrEF and HFpEF. Our results support the hypothesis that the pathophysiologic underpinnings of HFpEF and HFrEF are different, and atrial remodelling encompasses distinct components for each HF subtype.

Is There a Sex Gap in Surviving an Acute Coronary Syndrome or Subsequent Development of Heart Failure?

BACKGROUND: We hypothesized that disparities between sexes in the management of myocardial infarction (MI) may have changed over time, and thus altered the prognoses after MI, especially the risk for the development of heart failure. METHODS: Using a large population-based cohort of patients with MI between April 1, 2002, and March 31, 2016, we examined the incidence, angiographic findings, treatment (including revascularization), and clinical outcomes of patients with a first-time MI. To elucidate the differences between sexes, a series of multivariable models were created to explore all MI and non-ST-segment-elevation MI (NSTEMI) versus ST-segment-elevation MI (STEMI) over time. RESULTS: Between 2002 and 2016, 45 064 patients (13 878 [30.8%] women) were hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of first-time MI (54.9% NSTEMI and 45.1% STEMI). Women were older (median age, 72 versus 61 years), had more comorbidities, and had lower rates of diagnostic angiography than did men (women, 74%, versus men, 87%). When angiography was performed, women had a lower proportion of left main, 2-vessel disease with proximal left anterior descending or 3-vessel disease compared with men (33.4% versus 40.9%, P<0.0001), and a higher frequency of 1-vessel disease or nonobstructive coronary artery disease (39.6% versus 29.1%, P<0.0001). Women had a higher unadjusted rate of in-hospital mortality than did men in both patients with STEMI (women, 9.4%, versus men, 4.5%) and patients with NSTEMI (women, 4.7%, versus men, 2.9%). After adjustment, this difference remained significant in STEMI (adjusted odds ratio, 1.42 [95% CI, 1.24-1.64]) but not in NSTEMI (adjusted odds ratio, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.83-1.13]). After discharge, women developed heart failure after STEMI (women, 22.5%, versus men, 14.9%) as well as after NSTEMI (women, 23.2%, versus men, 15.7%). The adjusted relative risk for women versus men of developing the outcomes of mortality and heart failure remained similar across years, although the differences were nonsignificantly attenuated over 5 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Although some attenuation of differences in clinical outcomes over time has occurred, women remain at higher risk than men of dying or developing heart failure in the subsequent 5 years after STEMI or NSTEMI, even after accounting for differences in angiographic findings, revascularization, and other confounders.

Ambulance Use, Health Outcomes, and Costs for Emergency Department Visits for Primary Diagnosis of Syncope in Canada.

BACKGROUND: Syncope is a common presentation to the emergency department (ED), yet little is known regarding patient mode of arrival. METHODS: We identified patients ≥20 years old who presented to the ED with a primary diagnosis of syncope in Alberta and Ontario, Canada, between 2010 and 2016. Outcomes included 30-day in-hospital mortality, ED revisits, and rehospitalizations according to mode of arrival and discharge status. The estimated cost for ambulance use was calculated based on the provincial rates (Alberta CAD$385 and Ontario $240). RESULTS: A total of 271,601 syncope presentations to the ED were identified and 60.7% arrived by ambulance. A total of 76.3% (n = 125,793) of ambulance users and 87.0% of self-presenters (n = 92,845) were discharged from the ED. Regardless of mode of arrival, discharged patients were younger with fewer comorbidities. Compared with ambulance users admitted, those discharged had lower in-hospital mortality (0.2% vs 3.5%, P < 0.001), ED revisits (4.4% vs 10.4%, P < 0.001), and rehospitalizations (3.6% vs 10.7%, P < 0.001). Discharged self-presenters also had significantly lower outcomes (P < 0.001, for each outcome) compared with admitted self-presenters. The estimated cost for ambulance use among patients discharged from the ED was $33,137,735. CONCLUSION: A majority of syncope patients arrived to the ED by ambulance, and over 3 quarters were directly discharged home. Although discharged patients had a favourable short-term prognosis, they incurred high transportation costs. Strategies aimed at preventing unnecessary ambulance use are needed.

CONTEXTE: La syncope est une manifestation courante chez les patients qui se présentent au service des urgences; pourtant, on en sait peu sur la façon dont ces patients arrivent à l'hôpital. MÉTHODOLOGIE: Nous avons examiné les dossiers de patients âgés de 20 ans ou plus qui se sont présentés au service des urgences d'hôpitaux de l'Alberta et de l'Ontario, au Canada, et qui ont reçu un diagnostic de syncope entre 2010 et 2016. Les issues évaluées comprenaient la mortalité hospitalière à 30 jours, les nouvelles visites au service des urgences et les réadmissions à l'hôpital en fonction du mode d'arrivée et du statut au moment de la sortie de l'hôpital. Le coût estimatif des services d'ambulance a été calculé à partir des tarifs provinciaux (385 $ en Alberta et 240 $ en Ontario). RÉSULTATS: En tout, 271 601 cas de syncope ont été recensés dans les services des urgences; dans 60,7 % des cas, le patient est arrivé en ambulance. Au total, 76,3 % (n = 125 793) des patients arrivés en ambulance et 87,0 % des patients qui se sont présentés d'eux-mêmes (n = 92 845) ont reçu leur congé du service des urgences. Quel que soit leur mode d'arrivée, les patients qui ont reçu leur congé étaient plus jeunes et présentaient moins d'affections concomitantes. Chez les patients arrivés en ambulance, ceux qui ont reçu leur congé ont affiché des résultats inférieurs à ceux qui ont été admis à l'hôpital quant à la mortalité hospitalière (0,2 % vs 3,5 %, p < 0,001), aux nouvelles visites au service des urgences (4,4 % vs 10,4 %, p < 0,001) et aux réadmissions à l'hôpital (3,6 % vs 10,7 %, p < 0,001). Dans le cas des patients qui se sont présentés d'eux-mêmes, l'incidence des issues évaluées était aussi plus faible chez ceux qui ont reçu leur congé (p < 0,001 pour chaque issue) que chez ceux qui ont été admis à l'hôpital. Le coût estimatif du recours aux services d'ambulance par les patients qui ont reçu leur congé du service des urgences se chiffrait à 33 137 735 $. CONCLUSION: La majorité des patients subissant une syncope sont arrivés au service des urgences en ambulance, et plus des trois quarts ont reçu directement leur congé à la maison. Bien que le pronostic à court terme des patients ayant reçu leur congé du service des urgences ait été favorable, ces patients ont dû payer des frais de transport élevés. Des stratégies visant à prévenir le recours inutile aux services d'ambulance s'imposent.