Time-to-Event Genome-Wide Association Study for Incident Cardiovascular Disease in People With Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To identify genetic risk factors for incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) among people with type 2 diabetes (T2D). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a multiancestry time-to-event genome-wide association study for incident CVD among people with T2D. We also tested 204 known coronary artery disease (CAD) variants for association with incident CVD. RESULTS: Among 49,230 participants with T2D, 8,956 had incident CVD events (event rate 18.2%). We identified three novel genetic loci for incident CVD: rs147138607 (near CACNA1E/ZNF648, hazard ratio [HR] 1.23, P = 3.6 × 10-9), rs77142250 (near HS3ST1, HR 1.89, P = 9.9 × 10-9), and rs335407 (near TFB1M/NOX3, HR 1.25, P = 1.5 × 10-8). Among 204 known CAD loci, 5 were associated with incident CVD in T2D (multiple comparison-adjusted P < 0.00024, 0.05/204). A standardized polygenic score of these 204 variants was associated with incident CVD with HR 1.14 (P = 1.0 × 10-16). CONCLUSIONS: The data point to novel and known genomic regions associated with incident CVD among individuals with T2D.

Multi-ancestry polygenic mechanisms of type 2 diabetes.

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a multifactorial disease with substantial genetic risk, for which the underlying biological mechanisms are not fully understood. In this study, we identified multi-ancestry T2D genetic clusters by analyzing genetic data from diverse populations in 37 published T2D genome-wide association studies representing more than 1.4 million individuals. We implemented soft clustering with 650 T2D-associated genetic variants and 110 T2D-related traits, capturing known and novel T2D clusters with distinct cardiometabolic trait associations across two independent biobanks representing diverse genetic ancestral populations (African, n = 21,906; Admixed American, n = 14,410; East Asian, n =2,422; European, n = 90,093; and South Asian, n = 1,262). The 12 genetic clusters were enriched for specific single-cell regulatory regions. Several of the polygenic scores derived from the clusters differed in distribution among ancestry groups, including a significantly higher proportion of lipodystrophy-related polygenic risk in East Asian ancestry. T2D risk was equivalent at a body mass index (BMI) of 30 kg m-2 in the European subpopulation and 24.2 (22.9-25.5) kg m-2 in the East Asian subpopulation; after adjusting for cluster-specific genetic risk, the equivalent BMI threshold increased to 28.5 (27.1-30.0) kg m-2 in the East Asian group. Thus, these multi-ancestry T2D genetic clusters encompass a broader range of biological mechanisms and provide preliminary insights to explain ancestry-associated differences in T2D risk profiles.

Multi-ancestry Polygenic Mechanisms of Type 2 Diabetes Elucidate Disease Processes and Clinical Heterogeneity.

We identified genetic subtypes of type 2 diabetes (T2D) by analyzing genetic data from diverse groups, including non-European populations. We implemented soft clustering with 650 T2D-associated genetic variants, capturing known and novel T2D subtypes with distinct cardiometabolic trait associations. The twelve genetic clusters were distinctively enriched for single-cell regulatory regions. Polygenic scores derived from the clusters differed in distribution between ancestry groups, including a significantly higher proportion of lipodystrophy-related polygenic risk in East Asian ancestry. T2D risk was equivalent at a BMI of 30 kg/m2 in the European subpopulation and 24.2 (22.9-25.5) kg/m2 in the East Asian subpopulation; after adjusting for cluster-specific genetic risk, the equivalent BMI threshold increased to 28.5 (27.1-30.0) kg/m2 in the East Asian group, explaining about 75% of the difference in BMI thresholds. Thus, these multi-ancestry T2D genetic subtypes encompass a broader range of biological mechanisms and help explain ancestry-associated differences in T2D risk profiles.

Multi-ancestry Polygenic Mechanisms of Type 2 Diabetes Elucidate Disease Processes and Clinical Heterogeneity.

We identified genetic subtypes of type 2 diabetes (T2D) by analyzing genetic data from diverse groups, including non-European populations. We implemented soft clustering with 650 T2D-associated genetic variants, capturing known and novel T2D subtypes with distinct cardiometabolic trait associations. The twelve genetic clusters were distinctively enriched for single-cell regulatory regions. Polygenic scores derived from the clusters differed in distribution between ancestry groups, including a significantly higher proportion of lipodystrophy-related polygenic risk in East Asian ancestry. T2D risk was equivalent at a BMI of 30 kg/m2 in the European subpopulation and 24.2 (22.9-25.5) kg/m2 in the East Asian subpopulation; after adjusting for cluster-specific genetic risk, the equivalent BMI threshold increased to 28.5 (27.1-30.0) kg/m2 in the East Asian group, explaining about 75% of the difference in BMI thresholds. Thus, these multi-ancestry T2D genetic subtypes encompass a broader range of biological mechanisms and help explain ancestry-associated differences in T2D risk profiles.

Time-to-Event Genome-Wide Association Study for Incident Cardiovascular Disease in People with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) confers a two- to three-fold increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the mechanisms underlying increased CVD risk among people with T2D are only partially understood. We hypothesized that a genetic association study among people with T2D at risk for developing incident cardiovascular complications could provide insights into molecular genetic aspects underlying CVD. METHODS: From 16 studies of the Cohorts for Heart & Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium, we conducted a multi-ancestry time-to-event genome-wide association study (GWAS) for incident CVD among people with T2D using Cox proportional hazards models. Incident CVD was defined based on a composite of coronary artery disease (CAD), stroke, and cardiovascular death that occurred at least one year after the diagnosis of T2D. Cohort-level estimated effect sizes were combined using inverse variance weighted fixed effects meta-analysis. We also tested 204 known CAD variants for association with incident CVD among patients with T2D. RESULTS: A total of 49,230 participants with T2D were included in the analyses (31,118 European ancestries and 18,112 non-European ancestries) which consisted of 8,956 incident CVD cases over a range of mean follow-up duration between 3.2 and 33.7 years (event rate 18.2%). We identified three novel, distinct genetic loci for incident CVD among individuals with T2D that reached the threshold for genome-wide significance (P<5.0×10-8): rs147138607 (intergenic variant between CACNA1E and ZNF648) with a hazard ratio (HR) 1.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15 - 1.32, P=3.6×10-9, rs11444867 (intergenic variant near HS3ST1) with HR 1.89, 95% CI 1.52 - 2.35, P=9.9×10-9, and rs335407 (intergenic variant between TFB1M and NOX3) HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.16 - 1.35, P=1.5×10-8. Among 204 known CAD loci, 32 were associated with incident CVD in people with T2D with P<0.05, and 5 were significant after Bonferroni correction (P<0.00024, 0.05/204). A polygenic score of these 204 variants was significantly associated with incident CVD with HR 1.14 (95% CI 1.12 - 1.16) per 1 standard deviation increase (P=1.0×10-16). CONCLUSIONS: The data point to novel and known genomic regions associated with incident CVD among individuals with T2D.

Type 2 Diabetes Polygenic Score Predicts the Risk of Glucocorticoid-Induced Hyperglycemia in Patients Without Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether increased genetic risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) is associated with the development of hyperglycemia after glucocorticoid treatment. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of individuals with no diagnosis of diabetes who received a glucocorticoid dose of ≥10 mg prednisone. We analyzed the association between hyperglycemia and a T2D global extended polygenic score, which was constructed through a meta-analysis of two published genome-wide association studies. RESULTS: Of 546 individuals who received glucocorticoids, 210 developed hyperglycemia and 336 did not. T2D polygenic score was significantly associated with glucocorticoid-induced hyperglycemia (odds ratio 1.4 per SD of polygenic score; P = 0.038). CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with increased genetic risk of T2D have a higher risk of glucocorticoid-induced hyperglycemia. This finding offers a mechanism for risk stratification as part of a precision approach to medical treatment.

Proteomic analysis of cardiometabolic biomarkers and predictive modeling of severe outcomes in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: The high heterogeneity in the symptoms and severity of COVID-19 makes it challenging to identify high-risk patients early in the disease. Cardiometabolic comorbidities have shown strong associations with COVID-19 severity in epidemiologic studies. Cardiometabolic protein biomarkers, therefore, may provide predictive insight regarding which patients are most susceptible to severe illness from COVID-19. METHODS: In plasma samples collected from 343 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during the first wave of the pandemic, we measured 92 circulating protein biomarkers previously implicated in cardiometabolic disease. We performed proteomic analysis and developed predictive models for severe outcomes. We then used these models to predict the outcomes of out-of-sample patients hospitalized with COVID-19 later in the surge (N = 194). RESULTS: We identified a set of seven protein biomarkers predictive of admission to the intensive care unit and/or death (ICU/death) within 28 days of presentation to care. Two of the biomarkers, ADAMTS13 and VEGFD, were associated with a lower risk of ICU/death. The remaining biomarkers, ACE2, IL-1RA, IL6, KIM1, and CTSL1, were associated with higher risk. When used to predict the outcomes of the future, out-of-sample patients, the predictive models built with these protein biomarkers outperformed all models built from standard clinical data, including known COVID-19 risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that proteomic profiling can inform the early clinical impression of a patient's likelihood of developing severe COVID-19 outcomes and, ultimately, accelerate the recognition and treatment of high-risk patients.

Relative Mortality Analysis Of The "Golden Hour": A Comprehensive Acuity Stratification Approach To Address Disagreement In Current Literature.

OBJECTIVE: This study sought to address the disagreement in literature regarding the "golden hour" in trauma by using the Relative Mortality Analysis to overcome previous studies' limitations in accounting for acuity when evaluating the impact of prehospital time on mortality. METHODS: The previous studies that failed to support the "golden hour" suffered from limitations in their efforts to account for the confounding effects of patient acuity on the relationship between prehospital time and mortality in their trauma populations. The Relative Mortality Analysis was designed to directly address these limitations using a novel acuity stratification approach, based on patients' probability of survival (PoS), a comprehensive triage metric calculated using Trauma and Injury Severity Score methodology. For this analysis, the population selection and analysis methods of these previous studies were compared to the Relative Mortality Analysis on how they capture the relationship between prehospital time and mortality in the University of Virginia (UVA) Trauma Center population. RESULTS: The methods of the previous studies that failed to support the "golden hour" also failed to do so when applied to the UVA Trauma Center population. However, when applied to the same population, the Relative Mortality Analysis identified a subgroup, 9.9% (with a PoS 23%-91%), of the 5,063 patient population with significantly lower mortality when transported to the hospital within 1 hour, supporting the "golden hour." CONCLUSION: These results suggest that previous studies failed to support the "golden hour" not due to a lack of patients significantly impacted by prehospital time within their trauma populations, but instead due to limitations in their efforts to account for patient acuity. As a result, these studies inappropriately rejected the "golden hour," leading to the current disagreement in literature regarding the relationship between prehospital time and trauma patient mortality. The Relative Mortality Analysis was shown to overcome the limitations of these studies and demonstrated that the "golden hour" was significant for patients who were not low acuity (PoS >91%) or severely high acuity (PoS <23%).