Research protocol and recruitment redesign of a study of pregnant women and their infants during the COVID-19 pandemic: Childhood Allergy and the NeOnatal Environment (CANOE).

Background: Recruitment for research studies is a challenging endeavor that was further complicated by the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. We launched a new multicenter birth cohort, Childhood Allergy and the NeOnatal Environment (CANOE), supported by the National Institutes of Health in January 2020 across 4 sites. Although the pandemic temporarily halted clinical research, we restructured the study and instituted novel recruitment methods that we hypothesized would enable brisk enrollment when research activities resumed. Objective: We sought to develop protocol modifications and recruitment methods that promote successful recruitment of diverse populations in clinical research despite a global pandemic. Methods: Even though study activities were suspended, we modified recruitment strategies to limit in-person contact, shifting toward alternative HIPAA-compliant methods such as clinician referrals, institutional social media, and telemedicine screening and consent procedures. Protocol changes included reducing the frequency of in-person visits, leveraging clinical care visits to collect biospecimens, expanded self-collection of samples at home, and making study materials available online. Results: Remote methods, including targeted social media posts, mailed letters, and email, combined with in-clinic recruitment with modifications for social distancing led to successful recruitment at all sites. Rates of consent have been similar across recruitment sites, with the highest rates of enrollment of mother-infant dyads realized by sites that implemented multiple recruitment strategies. Conclusions: Study procedures that prioritize health and safety measures such as social distancing, study participant convenience, and use diverse recruitment strategies enable successful enrollment of pregnant women and their newborns into clinical research while adhering to public health restrictions during a global pandemic.

Combined metagenomic- and culture-based approaches to investigate bacterial strain-level associations with medication-controlled mild-moderate atopic dermatitis.

Background: The skin microbiome is disrupted in atopic dermatitis (AD). Existing research focuses on moderate to severe, unmedicated disease. Objective: We sought to investigate metagenomic- and culture-based bacterial strain-level differences in mild, medicated AD and the effects these have on human keratinocytes (HKs). Methods: Skin swabs from anterior forearms were collected from 20 pediatric participants (11 participants with AD sampled at lesional and nonlesional sites and 9 age- and sex-matched controls). Participants had primarily mild to moderate AD and maintained medication use. Samples were processed for microbial metagenomic sequencing and bacterial isolation. Isolates identified as Staphylococcus aureus were tested for enterotoxin production. HK cultures were treated with cell-free conditioned media from representative Staphylococcus species to measure barrier effects. Results: Metagenomic sequencing identified significant differences in microbiome composition between AD and control groups. Differences were seen at the species and strain levels for Staphylococci, with S aureus found only in participants with AD and differences in Staphylococcus epidermidis strains between control and AD swabs. These strains showed differences in toxin gene presence, which was confirmed in vitro for S aureus enterotoxins. The strain from the participant with the most severe AD produced enterotoxin B levels more than 100-fold higher than the other strains (P < .001). Strains also displayed differential effects on HK metabolism and barrier function. Conclusions: Strain-level differences in toxin genes from Staphylococcus strains may explain varying effects on HK, with S aureus and non-aureus strains negatively affecting viability and barrier function. These differences are likely important in AD pathogenesis.

Atopic dermatitis phenotype affects expression of atopic diseases despite similar mononuclear cell cytokine response.

BACKGROUND: The atopic march refers to the coexpression and progression of atopic diseases in childhood, often beginning with atopic dermatitis (AD), although children may not progress through each atopic disease. OBJECTIVE: We hypothesized that future atopic disease expression is modified by AD phenotype and that these differences result from underlying dysregulation of cytokine signaling. METHODS: Children (n = 285) were enrolled into the Childhood Origins of Asthma (COAST) birth cohort and followed prospectively. Rates of AD, food allergy, allergic rhinitis, and asthma were assessed longitudinally from birth to 18 years of age. Associations between AD phenotype and food allergy, allergic rhinitis, asthma, allergic sensitization, exhaled nitric oxide, and lung function were determined. Peripheral blood mononuclear cell responses (IL-5, IL-10, IL-13, IFN-γ) to dust mite, phytohemagglutinin, Staphylococcus aureus Cowan I, and tetanus toxoid were compared among AD phenotypes. RESULTS: AD at year 1 was associated with an increased risk of food allergy (P = .004). Both persistent and late-onset AD were associated with an increased risk of asthma (P < .001), rhinitis (P < .001), elevated total IgE (P < .001), percentage of aeroallergens with detectable IgE (P < .001), and elevated exhaled nitric oxide (P = .002). Longitudinal analyses did not reveal consistent differences in peripheral blood mononuclear cell responses among dermatitis phenotypes. CONCLUSION: AD phenotype is associated with differential expression of other atopic diseases. Our findings suggest that peripheral blood cytokine dysregulation is not a mechanism underlying this process, and immune dysregulation may be mediated at mucosal surfaces or in secondary lymphoid organs.

Effect of early ultrasound-guided femoral nerve block on preoperative opioid consumption in emergency patients with hip fracture: a randomized trial.

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE: Ultrasound-guided femoral nerve block (FNB) could be used as part of a multimodal preoperative pain management for patients with hip fracture. Evidence of the effects of its early implementation in the emergency room as an immediate alternative to intravenous morphine titration is sparse. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of an early ultrasound-guided FNB performed by emergency physicians on preoperative opioid consumption, compared to standard pain management. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This open randomized controlled trial was conducted in the Emergency Department of a French hospital with patients with neck or trochanteric femoral fracture who had a pain score ≥7 out of 10 points at triage. INTERVENTION: Patients were randomized to receive an initial analgesia with an early ultrasound-guided FNB or with standard pain management. The continuation of pain treatment followed standardized pain control guidelines until hospital discharge in both groups. OUTCOME MEASURE AND ANALYSIS: The primary outcome was preoperative opioid consumption truncated 48h after triage time, and converted in morphine milligram intravenous equivalents (MME). Secondary outcomes were time to pain relief, time for regaining walk, opioid consumption and occurrence of opioid and FNB adverse effects during the hospital stay. Exploratory outcomes included ease and duration of the procedure. MAIN RESULTS: We randomized 35 patients: 17 to standard pain management and 18 to ultrasound-guided FNB, among whom 30 patients completed the protocol. The median of preoperative opioid consumption was reduced by 60% in the ultrasound-guided FNB group compared to standard group [6 MME (3-9) vs. 15 MME (11-18)], with a consumption difference of 9 MME (95% CI: 3-14, P  < 0.001). Throughout hospital stay, opioid consumption was reduced by 56% in the ultrasound-guided FNB group compared to standard group, with a consumption difference of 11.5 MME (95% CI: 0.5-22).Times to pain relief and for regaining walk did not differ between groups. Opioid adverse events occurrence were reduced by 40% (95% CI: 5.1-74.9) in the ultrasound-guided FNB group compared to standard group. No adverse effects of FNB have been detected. CONCLUSION: Early ultrasound-guided FNB resulted in reducing preoperative opioid consumption, without delaying time to pain relief.

Guidelines of care for the management of atopic dermatitis in adults with phototherapy and systemic therapies.

BACKGROUND: For people with atopic dermatitis (AD) refractory to topical therapies, treatment with phototherapy and systemic therapies can be considered. Multiple biologic therapies and Janus kinase (JAK)inhibitors have been approved since 2014 to treat AD. These guidelines update the 2014 recommendations for management of AD with phototherapy and systemic therapies. OBJECTIVE: To provide evidence-based recommendations on the use of phototherapy and systemic therapies for AD in adults. METHODS: A multidisciplinary workgroup conducted a systematic review and applied the GRADE approach for assessing the certainty of evidence and formulating and grading recommendations. RESULTS: The workgroup developed 11 recommendations on the management of AD in adults with phototherapy and systemic agents, including biologics, oral JAK inhibitors, and other immunomodulatory medications. LIMITATIONS: Most randomized controlled trials of phototherapy and systemic therapies for AD are of short duration with subsequent extension studies, limiting comparative long-term efficacy and safety conclusions. CONCLUSIONS: We make strong recommendations for the use of dupilumab, tralokinumab, abrocitinib, baricitinib, and upadacitinib. We make conditional recommendations in favor of using phototherapy, azathioprine, cyclosporine, methotrexate, and mycophenolate, and against the use of systemic corticosteroids.

Executive summary: Guidelines of care for the management of atopic dermatitis in adults with phototherapy and systemic therapies.

BACKGROUND: The summarized guidelines update the 2014 recommendations for the management of AD with phototherapy and systemic therapies. METHODS: A multidisciplinary workgroup conducted a systematic review and applied the GRADE approach for assessing the certainty of the evidence and formulating and grading recommendations. RESULTS: The workgroup developed 11 recommendations on the management of AD in adults with phototherapy and systemic therapies, including biologics, oral Janus Kinase inhibitors, and other immunomodulatory medications. CONCLUSIONS: The evidence supported strong recommendations for the use of dupilumab, tralokinumab, abrocitinib, baricitinib, and upadacitinib and conditional recommendations in favor of using phototherapy, azathioprine, cyclosporine, methotrexate, and mycophenolate, and against the use of systemic corticosteroids.

Development and psychometric validation of the Pandemic-Related Traumatic Stress Scale for children and adults.

To assess the public health impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health, investigators from the National Institutes of Health Environmental influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) research program developed the Pandemic-Related Traumatic Stress Scale (PTSS). Based on the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th Edition (DSM-5) acute stress disorder symptom criteria, the PTSS is designed for adolescent (13-21 years) and adult self-report and caregiver-report on 3-12-year-olds. To evaluate psychometric properties, we used PTSS data collected between April 2020 and August 2021 from non-pregnant adult caregivers (n = 11,483), pregnant/postpartum individuals (n = 1,656), adolescents (n = 1,795), and caregivers reporting on 3-12-year-olds (n = 2,896). We used Mokken scale analysis to examine unidimensionality and reliability, Pearson correlations to evaluate relationships with other relevant variables, and analyses of variance to identify regional, age, and sex differences. Mokken analysis resulted in a moderately strong, unidimensional scale that retained nine of the original 10 items. We detected small to moderate positive associations with depression, anxiety, and general stress, and negative associations with life satisfaction. Adult caregivers had the highest PTSS scores, followed by adolescents, pregnant/postpartum individuals, and children. Caregivers of younger children, females, and older youth had higher PTSS scores compared to caregivers of older children, males, and younger youth, respectively. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

The SunBEAm birth cohort: Protocol design.

Background: Food allergy (FA) and atopic dermatitis (AD) are common conditions that often present in the first year of life. Identification of underlying mechanisms and environmental determinants of FA and AD is essential to develop and implement effective prevention and treatment strategies. Objectives: We sought to describe the design of the Systems Biology of Early Atopy (SunBEAm) birth cohort. Methods: Funded by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) and administered through the Consortium for Food Allergy Research (CoFAR), SunBEAm is a US population-based, multicenter birth cohort that enrolls pregnant mothers, fathers, and their newborns and follows them to 3 years. Questionnaire and biosampling strategies were developed to apply a systems biology approach to identify environmental, immunologic, and multiomic determinants of AD, FA, and other allergic outcomes. Results: Enrollment is currently underway. On the basis of an estimated FA prevalence of 6%, the enrollment goal is 2500 infants. AD is defined on the basis of questionnaire and assessment, and FA is defined by an algorithm combining history and testing. Although any FA will be recorded, we focus on the diagnosis of egg, milk, and peanut at 5 months, adding wheat, soy, cashew, hazelnut, walnut, codfish, shrimp, and sesame starting at 12 months. Sampling includes blood, hair, stool, dust, water, tape strips, skin swabs, nasal secretions, nasal swabs, saliva, urine, functional aspects of the skin, and maternal breast milk and vaginal swabs. Conclusions: The SunBEAm birth cohort will provide a rich repository of data and specimens to interrogate mechanisms and determinants of early allergic outcomes, with an emphasis on FA, AD, and systems biology.

Sociodemographic Differences in COVID-19 Pandemic Experiences Among Families in the United States.

Importance: Few population-based studies in the US collected individual-level data from families during the COVID-19 pandemic. Objective: To examine differences in COVID-19 pandemic-related experiences in a large sociodemographically diverse sample of children and caregivers. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Environmental influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) multi-cohort consortium is an ongoing study that brings together 64 individual cohorts with participants (24 757 children and 31 700 caregivers in this study) in all 50 US states and Puerto Rico. Participants who completed the ECHO COVID-19 survey between April 2020 and March 2022 were included in this cross-sectional analysis. Data were analyzed from July 2021 to September 2022. Main Outcomes and Measures: Exposures of interest were caregiver education level, child life stage (infant, preschool, middle childhood, and adolescent), and urban or rural (population <50 000) residence. Dependent variables included COVID-19 infection status and testing; disruptions to school, child care, and health care; financial hardships; and remote work. Outcomes were examined separately in logistic regression models mutually adjusted for exposures of interest and race, ethnicity, US Census division, sex, and survey administration date. Results: Analyses included 14 646 children (mean [SD] age, 7.1 [4.4] years; 7120 [49%] female) and 13 644 caregivers (mean [SD] age, 37.6 [7.2] years; 13 381 [98%] female). Caregivers were racially (3% Asian; 16% Black; 12% multiple race; 63% White) and ethnically (19% Hispanic) diverse and comparable with the US population. Less than high school education (vs master's degree or more) was associated with more challenges accessing COVID-19 tests (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.88; 95% CI, 1.06-1.58), lower odds of working remotely (aOR, 0.04; 95% CI, 0.03-0.07), and more food access concerns (aOR, 4.14; 95% CI, 3.20-5.36). Compared with other age groups, young children (age 1 to 5 years) were least likely to receive support from schools during school closures, and their caregivers were most likely to have challenges arranging childcare and concerns about work impacts. Rural caregivers were less likely to rank health concerns (aOR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.69-0.86) and social distancing (aOR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.73-0.91) as top stressors compared with urban caregivers. Conclusions: Findings in this cohort study of US families highlighted pandemic-related burdens faced by families with lower socioeconomic status and young children. Populations more vulnerable to public health crises should be prioritized in recovery efforts and future planning.

Neighborhood Opportunity and Vulnerability and Incident Asthma Among Children.

Background: The extent to which physical and social attributes of neighborhoods play a role in childhood asthma remains understudied. Objective: To examine associations of neighborhood-level opportunity and social vulnerability measures with childhood asthma incidence. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data from children in 46 cohorts participating in the Environmental Influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) Program between January 1, 1995, and August 31, 2022. Participant inclusion required at least 1 geocoded residential address from birth and parent or caregiver report of a physician's diagnosis of asthma. Participants were followed up to the date of asthma diagnosis, date of last visit or loss to follow-up, or age 20 years. Exposures: Census tract-level Child Opportunity Index (COI) and Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) at birth, infancy, or early childhood, grouped into very low (<20th percentile), low (20th to <40th percentile), moderate (40th to <60th percentile), high (60th to <80th percentile), or very high (≥80th percentile) COI or SVI. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was parent or caregiver report of a physician's diagnosis of childhood asthma (yes or no). Poisson regression models estimated asthma incidence rate ratios (IRRs) associated with COI and SVI scores at each life stage. Results: The study included 10 516 children (median age at follow-up, 9.1 years [IQR, 7.0-11.6 years]; 52.2% male), of whom 20.6% lived in neighborhoods with very high COI and very low SVI. The overall asthma incidence rate was 23.3 cases per 1000 child-years (median age at asthma diagnosis, 6.6 years [IQR, 4.1-9.9 years]). High and very high (vs very low) COI at birth, infancy, or early childhood were associated with lower subsequent asthma incidence independent of sociodemographic characteristics, parental asthma history, and parity. For example, compared with very low COI, the adjusted IRR for asthma was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.75-1.00) for high COI at birth and 0.83 (95% CI, 0.71-0.98) for very high COI at birth. These associations appeared to be attributable to the health and environmental and the social and economic domains of the COI. The SVI during early life was not significantly associated with asthma incidence. For example, compared with a very high SVI, the adjusted IRR for asthma was 0.88 (95% CI, 0.75-1.02) for low SVI at birth and 0.89 (95% CI, 0.76-1.03) for very low SVI at birth. Conclusions: In this cohort study, high and very high neighborhood opportunity during early life compared with very low neighborhood opportunity were associated with lower childhood asthma incidence. These findings suggest the need for future studies examining whether investing in health and environmental or social and economic resources in early life would promote health equity in pediatric asthma.

Health Care Utilization During the COVID-19 Pandemic Among Individuals Born Preterm.

Importance: Limited data exist on pediatric health care utilization during the COVID-19 pandemic among children and young adults born preterm. Objective: To investigate differences in health care use related to COVID-19 concerns during the pandemic among children and young adults born preterm vs those born at term. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this cohort study, questionnaires regarding COVID-19 and health care utilization were completed by 1691 mother-offspring pairs from 42 pediatric cohorts in the National Institutes of Health Environmental Influences on Child Health Outcomes Program. Children and young adults (ages 1-18 years) in these analyses were born between 2003 and 2021. Data were recorded by the August 31, 2021, data-lock date and were analyzed between October 2021 and October 2022. Exposures: Premature birth (<37 weeks' gestation). Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was health care utilization related to COVID-19 concerns (hospitalization, in-person clinic or emergency department visit, phone or telehealth evaluations). Individuals born preterm vs term (≥37 weeks' gestation) and differences among preterm subgroups of individuals (<28 weeks', 28-36 weeks' vs ≥37 weeks' gestation) were assessed. Generalized estimating equations assessed population odds for health care used and related symptoms, controlling for maternal age, education, and psychiatric disorder; offspring history of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) or asthma; and timing and age at COVID-19 questionnaire completion. Results: Data from 1691 children and young adults were analyzed; among 270 individuals born preterm, the mean (SD) age at survey completion was 8.8 (4.4) years, 151 (55.9%) were male, and 193 (71.5%) had a history of BPD or asthma diagnosis. Among 1421 comparison individuals with term birth, the mean (SD) age at survey completion was 8.4 (2.4) years, 749 (52.7%) were male, and 233 (16.4%) had a history of BPD or asthma. Preterm subgroups included 159 individuals (58.5%) born at less than 28 weeks' gestation. In adjusted analyses, individuals born preterm had a significantly higher odds of health care utilization related to COVID-19 concerns (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.70; 95% CI, 1.21-2.38) compared with term-born individuals; similar differences were also seen for the subgroup of individuals born at less than 28 weeks' gestation (aOR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.40-3.29). Maternal history of a psychiatric disorder was a significant covariate associated with health care utilization for all individuals (aOR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.17-1.78). Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that during the COVID-19 pandemic, children and young adults born preterm were more likely to have used health care related to COVID-19 concerns compared with their term-born peers, independent of a history of BPD or asthma. Further exploration of factors associated with COVID-19-related health care use may facilitate refinement of care models.

Incidence rates of childhood asthma with recurrent exacerbations in the US Environmental influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) program.

BACKGROUND: Descriptive epidemiological data on incidence rates (IRs) of asthma with recurrent exacerbations (ARE) are sparse. OBJECTIVES: This study hypothesized that IRs for ARE would vary by time, geography, age, and race and ethnicity, irrespective of parental asthma history. METHODS: The investigators leveraged data from 17,246 children born after 1990 enrolled in 59 US with 1 Puerto Rican cohort in the Environmental Influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) consortium to estimate IRs for ARE. RESULTS: The overall crude IR for ARE was 6.07 per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 5.63-6.51) and was highest for children aged 2-4 years, for Hispanic Black and non-Hispanic Black children, and for those with a parental history of asthma. ARE IRs were higher for 2- to 4-year-olds in each race and ethnicity category and for both sexes. Multivariable analysis confirmed higher adjusted ARE IRs (aIRRs) for children born 2000-2009 compared with those born 1990-1999 and 2010-2017, 2-4 versus 10-19 years old (aIRR = 15.36; 95% CI: 12.09-19.52), and for males versus females (aIRR = 1.34; 95% CI 1.16-1.55). Black children (non-Hispanic and Hispanic) had higher rates than non-Hispanic White children (aIRR = 2.51; 95% CI 2.10-2.99; and aIRR = 2.04; 95% CI: 1.22-3.39, respectively). Children born in the Midwest, Northeast and South had higher rates than those born in the West (P < .01 for each comparison). Children with a parental history of asthma had rates nearly 3 times higher than those without such history (aIRR = 2.90; 95% CI: 2.43-3.46). CONCLUSIONS: Factors associated with time, geography, age, race and ethnicity, sex, and parental history appear to influence the inception of ARE among children and adolescents.

Atopic Dermatitis: Diagnosis, Disparity, and Management in Children of Color.

Atopic dermatitis (AD), sometimes referred to as eczema, is the most common chronic skin condition in children. Children of color have a higher reported prevalence of AD compared with their White counterparts. The purpose of this article is to discuss the differences of AD in skin of color (SOC), including clinical findings and management, with an emphasis on early recognition to avoid more severe, persistent disease. School nurses are on the frontline for these students with their ability to guide families and help support students with AD in the school setting.

Guidelines of care for the management of atopic dermatitis in adults with topical therapies.

BACKGROUND: New evidence has emerged since the 2014 guidelines that further informs the management of atopic dermatitis (AD) with topical therapies. These guidelines update the 2014 recommendations for management of AD with topical therapies. OBJECTIVE: To provide evidence-based recommendations related to management of AD in adults using topical treatments. METHODS: A multidisciplinary workgroup conducted a systematic review and applied the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations) approach for assessing the certainty of evidence and formulating and grading recommendations. RESULTS: The workgroup developed 12 recommendations on the management of AD in adults with topical therapies, including nonprescription agents and prescription topical corticosteroids (TCS), calcineurin inhibitors (TCIs), Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors, phosphodiesterase-4 inhibitors (PDE-4), antimicrobials, and antihistamines. LIMITATIONS: The pragmatic decision to limit the literature review to English-language randomized trials may have excluded data published in other languages and relevant long-term follow-up data. CONCLUSIONS: Strong recommendations are made for the use of moisturizers, TCIs, TCS, and topical PDE-4 and JAK inhibitors. Conditional recommendations are made for the use of bathing and wet wrap therapy and against the use of topical antimicrobials, antiseptics, and antihistamines.

Executive summary: American Academy of Dermatology guidelines of care for the management of atopic dermatitis in adults with topical therapies.

These guidelines update the 2014 recommendations for management of atopic dermatitis in adults with topical therapies. A multidisciplinary workgroup employed best practices for guideline development, including a systematic review of the evidence and application of the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach for assessing the certainty of the evidence and formulating and grading recommendations. The evidence on atopic dermatitis treatment supported strong recommendations for the use of nonprescription moisturizers, topical calcineurin inhibitors, topical corticosteroids, and topical PDE-4 and JAK inhibitors. Conditional recommendations are made for the use of bathing and wet wrap therapy and against the use of topical antimicrobials, antiseptics, and antihistamines.

Performance of the Pediatric Asthma Risk Score across Diverse Populations.

BACKGROUND: Methods to determine whether a toddler is likely to develop asthma are of value to parents and clinical trialists testing primary prevention strategies. The Pediatric Asthma Risk Score (PARS) is a 14-point score of six factors designed to predict asthma in early life. PARS was developed and validated in relatively homogenous populations, so its generalizability is unknown. METHODS: We computed PARS using the six factors of self-declared race (parent-reported as "Black" or "not Black"), parental asthma, eczema, any wheezing, wheezing without a cold, and polysensitization in 5634 children from birth to 3 years of age. The primary outcome of our analysis was the ability of PARS to predict asthma development at 5 to 10 years of age using the area under the receiver operating curve in each cohort and across all cohorts with varying ethnicity, sex, cohort type, birth decades, missing PARS factors, and polysensitization definition. We also performed a meta-analysis across all the cohorts. Finally, we compared PARS predictive ability with the binary Asthma Predictive Index (API). RESULTS: Across 10 cohorts, the area under the receiver operating curve for PARS was 0.76. PARS performance did not differ by ethnicity, sex, cohort type, enrollment decade, missing PARS factors, or polysensitization definition (all P>0.05). The weights of each factor in the meta-analysis were similar to the original PARS weights. PARS and API equally identified children at high risk for developing asthma or not; API missed 31% of children at moderate asthma risk. CONCLUSIONS: PARS provided robust estimates of asthma risk in children from a wide range of ethnicities, backgrounds, and susceptibility. (Funded by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and others.)