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Aim: To validate the role of the albumin-derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (ALB-dNLR) score in diagnosing malnutrition in medical inpatients over 70 years old. Methods: This is a retrospective cross-sectional study involving 7 departments from 14 Chinese hospitals. The ALB-dNLR score was calculated, and outcomes between groups with positive and negative ALB-dNLR scores were compared after propensity score matching (PSM). Afterwards, the outcomes were compared between the groups receiving nutrition support and those not receiving support among malnourished patients diagnosed using the Global Leadership Initiative Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria after PSM. Results: Out of 10,184 cases, 6165 were eligible. 2200 cases were in the positive ALB-dNLR score group. After PSM, 1458 pairs were analyzed, showing lower in-hospital mortality (0.8 % vs. 2.1 %, p = 0.005) and a lower nosocomial infection rate (5.9 % vs. 11.0 %, p < 0.001) in the negative ALB-dNLR score group. In malnourished patients, 259 pairs were analyzed after PSM. It showed better outcomes in mortality (0.8 % vs. 3.5 %, p = 0.033), nosocomial infection rate (5.4 % vs. 15.4 %, p < 0.001), length of stay (LOS) (13.8 ± 10.3 vs. 18.4 ± 14.1, p < 0.001), and total hospital cost (3315.3 ± 2946.4 vs. 4795.3 ± 4198.2, p < 0.001) in the support group. In malnourished patients with ALB-dNLR score as the sole etiological criterion, 94 pairs were calculated. It showed better outcomes in mortality (0.0 % vs. 6.4 %, p = 0.029), nosocomial infection rate (7.4 % vs. 18.1 %, p = 0.029), LOS (13.7 ± 8.3 vs. 19.8 ± 15.2, p = 0.001), and total hospital cost (3379.3 ± 2955.6 vs. 4471.2 ± 4782.4, p = 0.029) in the support group. Conclusions: The ALB-dNLR score was validated to predict in-hospital mortality in medical inpatients over 70 years old. Malnutrition patients diagnosed by the GLIM criteria and using the ALB-dNLR score might benefit from nutrition support.
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Introduction: Immune infiltration within the tumor microenvironment (TME) plays a significant role in the onset and progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Machine learning applied to pathological images offers a practical means to explore the TME at the cellular level. Our former research employed a transfer learning procedure to adapt a convolutional neural network (CNN) model for cell recognition, which could recognize tumor cells, lymphocytes, and stromal cells autonomously and accurately within the images. This study introduces a novel immune classification system based on the modified CNN model. Method: Patients with HCC from both Beijing Hospital and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database were included in this study. Additionally, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analyses, along with logistic regression, were utilized to develop a prognostic model. We proposed an immune classification based on the percentage of lymphocytes, with a threshold set at the median lymphocyte percentage. Result: Patients were categorized into high or low infiltration subtypes based on whether their lymphocyte percentages were above or below the median, respectively. Patients with different immune infiltration subtypes exhibited varying clinical features and distinct TME characteristics. The low-infiltration subtype showed a higher incidence of hypertension and fatty liver, more advanced tumor stages, downregulated immune-related genes, and higher infiltration of immunosuppressive cells. A reliable prognostic model for predicting early recurrence of HCC based on clinical features and immune classification was established. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves was 0.918 and 0.814 for the training and test sets, respectively. Discussion: In conclusion, we proposed a novel immune classification system based on cell information extracted from pathological slices, provides a novel tool for prognostic evaluation in HCC.
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OBJECTIVE: Whole-course nutrition management (WNM) has been proven to improve outcomes and reduce complications. We conducted this randomized controlled trial to validate its effectiveness in patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). METHODS: From 1 December 2020, to 30 November 2023, this single-center randomized clinical trial was conducted at the Department of Hepatobiliopancreatic Surgery in a major hospital in Beijing, China. Participants who were undergoing PD were enrolled and randomly allocated to either the WNM group or the control group. The primary outcome was the incidence of postoperative complications. Subgroup analysis in patients who were at nutritional risk was performed. Finally, a 6-month follow-up was conducted and the economic benefit was evaluated using an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). RESULTS: A total of 84 patients were randomly assigned (1:1) into the WNM group and the control group. The incidences of total complications (47.6% vs. 69.0%, P =0.046), total infections (14.3% vs. 33.3%, P =0.040), and abdominal infection (11.9% vs. 31.0%, P =0.033) were significantly lower in the WNM group. In the subgroup analysis of patients at nutritional risk, 66 cases were included (35 cases in the WNM group and 31 cases in the control group). The rate of abdominal infection (11.4% vs. 32.3%, P =0.039) and postoperative length of stay (23.1±10.3 vs. 30.4±17.2, P =0.046) were statistically different between the two subgroups. In the 6-month follow-up, more patients reached the energy target in the WNM group (97.0% vs. 79.4%, P =0.049) and got a higher daily energy intake (1761.3±339.5 vs. 1599.6±321.5, P =0.045). The ICER suggested that WNM saved 31 511 Chinese Yuan (CNY) while reducing the rate of total infections by 1% in the intention-to-treat (ITT) population and saved 117 490 CNY in patients at nutritional risk, while WNM saved 31 511 CNY while reducing the rate of abdominal infections by 1% in the ITT population and saved 101 359 CNY in patients at nutritional risk. CONCLUSION: In this trial, whole-course nutrition management was associated with fewer total postoperative complications, total and abdominal infections, and was cost-effective, especially in patients at nutritional risk. It seems to be a favorable strategy for patients undergoing PD.
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Pancreaticoduodenectomía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Humanos , Pancreaticoduodenectomía/efectos adversos , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/prevención & control , Estudios Prospectivos , Anciano , China , Atención Perioperativa/métodos , Cuidados Posoperatorios/métodos , Análisis Costo-BeneficioRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Management of gastric leak after sleeve gastrectomy (SG) is challenging due to its unpredictable outcomes. We aimed to summarize the characteristics of SG leaks and analyze interventions and corresponding outcomes in a real-world setting. METHODS: To retrospectively review of 15,721 SG procedures from 2010 to 2020 based on a national registry. A cumulative sum analysis was used to identify a fitting curve of gastric leak rate. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank tests were performed to calculate and compare the probabilities of relevant outcomes. The logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine the predictors of acute leaks. RESULTS: A total of 78 cases of SG leaks were collected with an incidence of 0.5% (78/15,721) from this registry (6 patients who had the primary SG in non-participating centers). After accumulating 260 cases in a bariatric surgery center, the leak rate decreased to a stably low value of under 1.17%. The significant differences presented in sex, waist circumference, and the proportion of hypoproteinemia and type 2 diabetes at baseline between patients with SG leak and the whole registry population ( P = 0.005, = 0.026, <0.001, and = 0.001, respectively). Moreover, 83.1% (59/71) of the leakage was near the esophagogastric junction region. Leakage healed in 64 (88.9%, 64/72) patients. The median healing time of acute and non-acute leaks was 5.93 months and 8.12 months, respectively. Acute leak (38/72, 52.8%) was the predominant type with a cumulative reoperation rate >50%, whereas the cumulative healing probability in the patients who required surgical treatment was significantly lower than those requring non-surgical treatment ( P = 0.013). Precise dissection in the His angle area was independently associated with a lower acute leak rate, whereas preservation ≥2 cm distance from the His angle area was an independent risk factor. CONCLUSIONS: Male sex, elevated waist circumference, hypoproteinaemia, and type 2 diabetes are risk factors of gastric leaks after SG. Optimizing surgical techniques, including precise dissection of His angle area and preservation of smaller gastric fundus, should be suggested to prevent acute leaks.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Laparoscopía , Obesidad Mórbida , Humanos , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Fuga Anastomótica/cirugía , Fuga Anastomótica/epidemiología , Gastrectomía/efectos adversos , Gastrectomía/métodos , Reoperación/efectos adversos , Reoperación/métodos , Sistema de Registros , Laparoscopía/métodos , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
PURPOSES: Invasive pancreatic cystic neoplasms (iPCNs) are an uncommon and biologically heterogeneous group of malignant neoplasms. We aimed to investigate the clinicopathological characteristics of iPCN patients and to develop nomograms for individual survival prediction after radical surgery. METHODS: Data of patients diagnosed with iPCN and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) between 2000 and 2018 from the SEER database were retrieved. The differences in clinical outcomes were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier analysis. Nomograms were proposed based on the Cox regression model and internally validated by C-index, area under the curve (AUC) value, and calibration plot. RESULTS: A total of 7777 iPCN patients and 154,336 PDAC patients were enrolled. Most neoplasms were advanced, with 63.1% at stage IV. The 3-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates in surgical patients were as follows: 45.7% and 50.1% for invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), 54.8% and 59.3% for invasive mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN), 97.8% and 98.2% for invasive solid pseudopapillary neoplasm (SPN), 88.9% and 88.9% for invasive serous cystic neoplasm (SCN), and 27.3% and 30.5% for PDAC. Subgroup analyses showed no clinical benefit from chemotherapy or radiotherapy in lymph node-negative iPCN patients who underwent surgery. The following variables associated with OS and CSS were identified: age, race, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, histologic type, pathological grade, regional nodes examined, and T, N, and M stage. The nomograms had good discrimination and calibration by internal validation, with an AUC value of 0.800 for 3-year OS and 0.814 for 3-year CSS. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that the prognosis of iPCN patients was significantly better than PDAC patients. The proposed nomograms demonstrated substantially better discrimination and calibration.
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Carcinoma Ductal Pancreático , Neoplasias Quísticas, Mucinosas y Serosas , Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Páncreas , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/cirugía , Carcinoma Ductal Pancreático/cirugía , Neoplasias PancreáticasRESUMEN
AIM: To evaluate the role of Sonazoid enhanced ultrasound assistant laparoscopic radiofrequency ablation in treating liver malignancy. METHODS: Consecutive patients are recruited. Rates of complication and postoperative length of stay are compared between the study and control groups. Progression-free survival (PFS) of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) after ablation are compared. Complete ablation rates are compared and optimal tumor size is calculated by ROC curve analysis. Risk factors of incomplete ablation are determined by logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Totally 73 patients with 153 lesions were included. No significant differences in the rate of complication were found between the study and control groups. PFS of CRLM in laparoscopic, intraoperative CEUS, and laparoscopic CEUS groups are all longer than their control groups. Complete ablation rates of laparoscopic, intraoperative CEUS, and laparoscopic CEUS groups are all higher than in their control groups with statistical significance. A tumor size of 2.15 cm is determined to be the optimal cut-off with the area under the ROC curve of 0.854, 95% CI (0.764, 0.944), p = 0.001. In logistic regression analysis, tumor size [OR 20.425, 95% CI (3.136, 133.045), p = 0.002] and location of segments VII and VIII [OR 9.433, 95% CI (1.364, 65.223), p = 0.023] are calculated to be the risk factors of incomplete ablation, meanwhile, intraoperative CEUS shows to be a protective factor in univariate analysis [OR 0.110, 95% CI (0.013, 0.915), p = 0.041]. CONCLUSION: Sonazoid-enhanced ultrasound assistant laparoscopic radiofrequency ablation is safe and effective to treat liver malignancy. We should pay attention to the ablation planning of larger tumors and tumors in special locations.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Ablación por Catéter , Laparoscopía , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Ablación por Radiofrecuencia , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medios de Contraste , Ablación por Catéter/efectos adversos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Ultrasonografía , Ablación por Radiofrecuencia/efectos adversos , Laparoscopía/efectos adversos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico por imagen , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugíaRESUMEN
Objective: To analyze the correlation between preoperative nutritional status, frailty, sarcopenia, body composition, and anthropometry in geriatric inpatients undergoing major pancreatic and biliary surgery. Methods: This is a cross-sectional study of the database from December 2020 to September 2022 in the department of hepatopancreatobiliary surgery, Beijing Hospital. Basal data, anthropometry, and body composition were recorded. NRS 2002, GLIM, FFP 2001, and AWGS 2019 criteria were performed. The incidence, overlap, and correlation of malnutrition, frailty, sarcopenia, and other nutrition-related variables were investigated. Group comparisons were implemented by stratification of age and malignancy. The present study adhered to the STROBE guidelines for cross-sectional study. Results: A total of 140 consecutive cases were included. The prevalence of nutritional risk, malnutrition, frailty, and sarcopenia was 70.0, 67.1, 20.7, and 36.4%, respectively. The overlaps of malnutrition with sarcopenia, malnutrition with frailty, and sarcopenia with frailty were 36.4, 19.3, and 15.0%. There is a positive correlation between every two of the four diagnostic tools, and all six p-values were below 0.002. Albumin, prealbumin, CC, GS, 6MTW, ASMI, and FFMI showed a significantly negative correlation with the diagnoses of the four tools. Participants with frailty or sarcopenia were significantly more likely to suffer from malnutrition than their control groups with a 5.037 and 3.267 times higher risk, respectively (for frailty, 95% CI: 1.715-14.794, p = 0.003 and for sarcopenia, 95% CI: 2.151-4.963, p<0.001). Summarizing from stratification analysis, most body composition and function variables were worsen in the ≥70 years group than in the younger group, and malignant patients tended to experience more intake reduction and weight loss than the benign group, which affected the nutrition diagnosis. Conclusion: Elderly inpatients undergoing major pancreatic and biliary surgery possessed high prevalence and overlap rates of malnutrition, frailty, and sarcopenia. Body composition and function deteriorated obviously with aging.
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Background: The prognostic performance of four lymph node classifications, the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) N stage, lymph node ratio (LNR), log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), and examined lymph nodes (ELN) in early-onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC) remains unclear. Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was searched for patients with EOPC from 2004 to 2016. 1048 patients were randomly divided into training (n = 733) and validation sets (n = 315). The predictive abilities of the four lymph node staging systems were compared using the Akaike information criteria (AIC), receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC), and C-index. Multivariate Cox analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors. A nomogram based on lymph node classification with the strongest predictive ability was established. The nomogram's precision was verified by the C-index, calibration curves, and AUC. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank tests were used to compare differences in survival at each stage of the nomogram. Results: Compared with the 8th N stage, LODDS, and ELN, LNR had the highest C-index and AUC and the lowest AIC. Multivariate analysis showed that N stage, LODDS, LNR were independent risk factors associated with cancer specific survival (CSS), but not ELN. In the training set, the AUC values for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS of the nomogram were 0.663, 0.728, and 0.760, respectively and similar results were observed in the validation set. In addition, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the nomogram was also an important factor in the risk stratification of EOPC. Conclusion: We analyzed the predictive power of the four lymph node staging systems and found that LNR had the strongest predictive ability. Furthermore, the novel nomogram prognostic staging mode based on LNR was also an important factor in the risk stratification of EOPC.
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We conduct this study to investigate the value of Kupffer phase radiomics signature of Sonazoid-enhanced ultrasound images (SEUS) for the preoperative prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) grade. From November 2019 to October 2021, 68 pathologically confirmed HCC nodules from 54 patients were included. Quantitative radiomic features were extracted from grayscale images and arterial and Kupffer phases of SEUS of HCC lesions. Univariate logistic regression and the maximum relevance minimum redundancy (MRMR) method were applied to select radiomic features best corresponding to pathological results. Prediction radiomic signature was calculated using each of the image types. A predictive model was validated using internal leave-one-out cross validation (LOOCV). For discrimination between poorly differentiated HCC (p-HCC) and well-differentiated HCC/moderately differentiated HCC (w/m-HCC), the Kupffer phase radiomic score (KPRS) achieved an excellent area under the curve (AUC = 0.937), significantly higher than the other two radiomic signatures. KPRS was the best radiomic score based on the highest AUC (AUC = 0.878), which is prior to gray and arterial RS for differentiation between w-HCC and m/p-HCC. Univariate and multivariate analysis incorporating all radiomic signatures and serological variables showed that KPRS was the only independent predictor in both predictions of HCC lesions (p-HCC vs. w/m-HCC, log OR 15.869, P < 0.001, m/p-HCC vs. w-HCC, log OR 12.520, P < 0.05). We conclude that radiomics signature based on the Kupffer phase imaging may be useful for identifying the histological grade of HCC. The Kupffer phase radiomic signature may be an independent and effective predictor in discriminating w-HCC and p-HCC.
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Background: Preoperative anemia is a common clinical situation proved to be associated with severe outcomes in major surgeries, but not in pancreatic surgery. We aim to study the impact of preoperative anemia on morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing open pancreatoduodenectomy and use propensity score matching (PSM) to balance the basal data and reduce bias. Methods: We analyzed the data of consecutive patients undergoing open pancreatoduodenectomy with a complete record of preoperative hemoglobin, at two pancreatic centers in China between 2015 and 2019. Anemia is defined as hemoglobin less than 12 g/dl for male and 11 g/dl for female, following Chinese criteria. We compared clinical and economic outcomes before and after PSM and used logistic regression analysis to assess the correlation between variables and anemia. Results: The unmatched initial cohort consisted of 517 patients. A total of 148 cases (28.6%) were diagnosed with anemia at admission, and no case received a preoperative blood transfusion or anti-anemia therapy. After PSM, there were 126 cases in each group. The rate of severe postoperative complications was significantly higher in the anemia group than in the normal group (43.7% vs. 27.0%, p = 0.006), among which the differences in prevalence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) (31.0% vs. 15.9%, p = 0.005) and cardiac and cerebrovascular events (4.0% vs. 0.0%, p = 0.024) were the most significant. The costs involved were more in the anemia group (26958.2 ± 21671.9 vs. 20987.7 ± 10237.9 USD, p = 0.013). Among anemic patients, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis shows the cut-off value of hemoglobin, below which, patients are prone to suffer from major complications (104.5 g/l in male and 90.5 g/l in female). Among all patients, multivariate analysis showed that preoperative obstructive jaundice [odds ratio (OR) = 1.813, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.206-2.725), p = 0.004] and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma [OR = 1.861, 95% CI (1.178-2.939), p = 0.008] were predictors of anemia. Among paired patients, preoperative anemia [OR = 2.593, 95% CI (1.481-5.541), p = 0.001] and malignant pathology [OR = 4.266, 95% CI (1.597-11.395), p = 0.004] were predictors of postoperative severe complications. Conclusion: Preoperative anemia is a predictor of worse postoperative outcomes following open pancreatoduodenectomy and needs to be identified and treated.
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Neoplasias Colorrectales , Cirugía Colorrectal , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos del Sistema Digestivo , Humanos , Ejercicio Preoperatorio , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos del Sistema Digestivo/métodos , Periodo Posoperatorio , Ejercicio Físico , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/prevención & control , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Cuidados Preoperatorios/métodos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/cirugía , Neoplasias Colorrectales/rehabilitación , Terapia por Ejercicio/métodosRESUMEN
Pancreatic cancer (PC), as a highly malignant and aggressive solid tumor, is common in the digestive system. The acidic microenvironment is one of the critical markers of cancer. Nonetheless, there are few studies on how the acidic microenvironment affects the development of PC. This study focused on investigating the specific molecular mechanisms of the acidic microenvironment in PC. In our study, qRT-PCR was conducted for examining microRNA (miR)-451a and myocyte enhancer factor 2D (MEF2D) expressions in PANC-1 cells. Then, detailed functional effects of an acidic environment on miR-451a and MEF2D in PANC-1 cells were detected by CCK-8, colony formation, flow cytometry, wound healing, transwell, mitochondrial functionality measurement, JC-1 staining, DCFH-DA staining, and sphere formation assays. The relationship between miR-451a and MEF2D was confirmed by luciferase reporter analysis. Under acidic conditions, the increase of proliferation, migration, and invasion of PANC-1 cells was observed. Moreover, the mitochondrial oxidative respiration-related gene miR-451a was reduced in acidic conditions. In addition, we found that, in PANC-1 cells under an acidic environment, miR-451a overexpression enhanced oxygen consumption, mitochondrial membrane potential (MMP) loss, and ROS generation and inhibited proliferation, migration, invasion, and stemness via sponging MEF2D. In a word, our results revealed that the acidic microenvironment regulated PC progression by affecting the miR-451a/MEF2D axis, indicating a novel avenue for the future treatment of PC.
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BACKGROUND: Whether patients with borderline resectable and locally advanced pancreatic cancer (BR/LAPC) benefit from resection of the primary cancer is controversial. We developed a nomogram to screen who would benefit from surgery for the primary tumor. METHODS: We identified patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and then divided them into surgical and non-surgical groups. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was used to mitigate the bias. We hypothesized that patients who underwent surgery would benefit from surgery by having a longer median overall survival (OS) than patients who did not undergo surgery. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine the variables affecting surgical outcomes, and a nomogram was created based on the multivariate logistic results. Finally, we verified the discrimination and calibration of the nomogram with receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plots. RESULTS: A total of 518 pairs of surgical and non-surgical pancreatic cancer patients were matched after PSM. Survival curves showed longer OS in the surgical group than in the non-surgical group, median survival times were 14 months versus 8 months. In the surgical group, 340 (65.63%) patients have a longer survival time than 8 months (beneficial group). Multifactorial logit regression results showed that including age, tumor size, degree of differentiation, and chemotherapy were significant influences on the benefit of surgery for primary tumors and were used as predictors to construct a nomogram. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) reached 0.747 and 0.706 in the training and validation sets. CONCLUSION: We developed a practical predictive model to support clinical decision-making that can be used to help clinicians determine if there is a benefit to surgical resection of the primary tumor in patients with BR/LAPC.
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Nomogramas , Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Humanos , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/cirugía , Pronóstico , Puntaje de Propensión , Programa de VERFRESUMEN
AIM: To propose a modified subclassification of grade B postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) based on management approaches in Chinese patients. METHODS: Data of consecutive pancreatoduodenectomy at two hospitals in China from 2013 to 2018 were collected, and outcomes were compared across different groups of POPF. Subclassification of B-POPF was made based on intervention to B1: non-interventional subclass and B2: interventional subclass. RESULTS: A total of 142 of 522 patients had biochemical leaks (BLs) (27.2%), and POPFs developed in 106 of 522 patients (20.3%), with 81 B-POPFs (15.5%) and 25 C-POPFs (4.8%). BL did not differ from the non-fistula condition in almost all outcomes. The differences of outcomes among the non-fistula/BL, B-POPF and C-POPF groups were significant. The prevalence of subclass B1 and B2 was 56.8% (46/81) and 43.2% (35/81), respectively. Compared to the B1 group, patients in the B2 group had worse outcomes, such as post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage (15.2% vs 34.3%, P = .045), biliary fistula (13.0% vs 34.3%, P = .023), postoperative hospital stay (32 vs 39 days, P = .011), and cost ($US28 601.0 vs $US39 314.5, P < .001). CONCLUSION: The recently reported B-POPF subclassification method was modified in Chinese patients according to the intervention, and is more practical, simpler and fits Chinese patients.
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Pancreatectomía , Fístula Pancreática , Humanos , Pancreatectomía/métodos , Fístula Pancreática/epidemiología , Pancreaticoduodenectomía/efectos adversos , Pancreaticoduodenectomía/métodos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
Background: Total pancreatectomy (TP) seems to be experiencing a renaissance in recent years. In this study, we aimed to determine the long-term survival of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients who underwent TP by comparing with pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD), and formulate a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) for PDAC individuals following TP. Methods: Patients who were diagnosed with PDAC and received PD (n = 5,619) or TP (n = 1,248) between 2004 and 2015 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. OS and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of the PD and TP groups were compared using Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. Furthermore, Patients receiving TP were randomly divided into the training and validation cohorts. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were applied to identify the independent factors affecting OS to construct the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was measured according to concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: There were no significant differences in OS and CSS between TP and PD groups. Age, differentiation, AJCC T stage, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and lymph node ratio (LNR) were identified as independent prognostic indicators to construct the nomogram. The C-indexes were 0.67 and 0.69 in the training and validation cohorts, while 0.59 and 0.60 of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system. The calibration curves showed good uniformity between the nomogram prediction and actual observation. DCA curves indicated the nomogram was preferable to the AJCC staging system in terms of the clinical utility. A new risk stratification system was constructed which could distinguish patients with different survival risks. Conclusions: For PDAC patients following TP, the OS and CSS are similar to those who following PD. We developed a practical nomogram to predict the prognosis of PDAC patients treated with TP, which showed superiority over the conventional AJCC staging system.
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Background: Lymph node (LN) metastasis is considered one of the most important risk factors affecting the prognosis of distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC). This study aimed to demonstrate the superiority of log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) compared with other LN stages, and to establish a novel prognostic nomogram to predict the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of DCC. Methods: From the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, the data of 676 patients after DCC radical operation were screened, and patients were randomly divided into training (n = 474) and validation sets (n = 474). The prognostic evaluation performance of the LODDS and American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) N stage and lymph node ratio (LNR) were compared using the Akaike information criteria, receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC), and C-index. Multivariate Cox analysis was used to screen independent risk factors, and a LODDS-based nomogram prognostic staging model was established. The nomogram's precision was verified by C-index, calibration curves, and AUC, and the results were compared with those of the AJCC TNM staging system. Results:Compared with the other two stages of LN metastasis, LODDS was most effective in predicting CSS in patients with DCC. Multivariate analysis proved that LODDS, histologic grade, SEER historic stage, and tumor size were independent risk factors for DCC. The C-index of the nomogram, based on the above factors, in the validation set was 0.663. The 1-, 3-, and 5-y AUCs were 0.735, 0.679, and 0.745, respectively. Its good performance was also verified by calibration curves. In addition, the C-index and Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the nomogram performed better than the AJCC TNM staging system. Conclusion:For postoperative patients with DCC, the LODDS stage yielded better prognostic efficiency than the AJCC N and LNR stages. Compared with the AJCC TNM staging system, the nomogram, based on the LODDS, demonstrated superior performance.