Intermittent fasting and changes in clinical risk scores: Secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial.

Background: Intermittent fasting may increase longevity and lower cardiometabolic risk. This study evaluated whether fasting modifies clinical risk scores for mortality [i.e., Intermountain Mortality Risk Score (IMRS)] or chronic diseases [e.g., Pooled Cohort Risk Equations (PCRE), Intermountain Chronic Disease score (ICHRON)]. Methods and results: Subjects (N = 71) completing the WONDERFUL trial were aged 21-70 years, had ≥1 metabolic syndrome criteria, elevated cholesterol, and no anti-diabetes medications, statins, or chronic diseases. The intermittent fasting arm underwent 24-h water-only fasting twice-per-week for 4 weeks and once-per-week for 22 weeks (26 weeks total). Analyses examined the IMRS change score at 26 weeks vs. baseline between intermittent fasting (n = 38) and ad libitum controls (n = 33), and change scores for PCRE, ICHRON, HOMA-IR, and a metabolic syndrome score (MSS). Age averaged 49 years; 65% were female. Intermittent fasting increased IMRS (0.78 ± 2.14 vs. controls: -0.61 ± 2.56; p = 0.010) but interacted with baseline IMRS (p-interaction = 0.010) to reduce HOMA-IR (but not MSS) more in subjects with higher baseline IMRS (median HOMA-IR change: fasters, -0.95; controls, +0.05) vs. lower baseline IMRS (-0.29 vs. -0.32, respectively). Intermittent fasting reduced ICHRON (-0.92 ± 2.96 vs. 0.58 ± 3.07; p = 0.035) and tended to reduce PCRE (-0.20 ± 0.22 vs. -0.14 ± 0.21; p = 0.054). Conclusions: Intermittent fasting increased 1-year IMRS mortality risk, but decreased 10-year chronic disease risk (PCRE and ICHRON). It also reduced HOMA-IR more in subjects with higher baseline IMRS. Increased IMRS suggests fasting may elevate short-term mortality risk as a central trigger for myriad physiological responses that elicit long-term health improvements. Increased IMRS may also reveal short-term fasting-induced safety concerns.

Isoniazid preventive therapy completion in children under 5 years old who are contacts of tuberculosis cases in Lima, Peru: study protocol for an open-label, cluster-randomized superiority trial.

BACKGROUND: Children < 5 years old in contact with TB cases are at high risk for developing severe and fatal forms of TB. Contact investigation, BCG vaccination, and isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) are the most effective strategies to prevent TB among children. However, the implementation of IPT faces challenges at several stages of the cascade of care of TB infection among children, particularly those less than 5 years old. In Peru, a large proportion of children do not complete IPT, which highlights the need to design effective interventions that enhance preventive therapy adherence and completion. Although the body of evidence for such interventions has grown, interventions in medium TB incidence settings are lacking. This study aims to test the effectiveness, acceptability, and feasibility of an intervention package to increase information and motivation to complete IPT among children < 5 who have been prescribed IPT. METHODS: An open-label, cluster-randomized superiority trial will be conducted in two districts in South Lima, Peru. Thirty health facilities will be randomized as clusters, 10 to the intervention and 20 to control (standard of care). We aim to recruit 10 children from different households in each cluster. Participants will be caretakers of children aged < 5 years old who initiated IPT. The intervention consists of educational material, and short message services (SMS) reminders and motivators. The primary outcomes will be the proportion of children who picked up > 90% of the 24 weeks of IPT (22 pick-ups) and the proportion of children who picked up the 24 weeks of IPT. The standard of care is a weekly pick-up with monthly check-ups in a health facility. Feasibility and acceptability of the intervention will be assessed through an interview with the caretaker. DISCUSSION: Unfavorable outcomes of TB in young children, high effectiveness of IPT, and low rates of IPT completion highlight the need to enhance adherence and completion of IPT among children < 5 years old. Testing of a context-adapted intervention is needed to improve IPT completion rates and therefore TB prevention in young children. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03881228. Registered on March 19, 2019.

Factors associated with screening failure and study withdrawal in multidrug-resistant TB.

SETTING: Multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) clinical trial in Lima, Peru and Cape Town, South Africa.OBJECTIVE: To identify baseline factors associated with screening failure and study withdrawal in an MDR-TB clinical trial.DESIGN: We screened patients for a randomized, blinded, Phase II trial which assessed culture conversion over the first 6 months of treatment with varying doses of levofloxacin plus an optimized background regimen (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01918397). We identified factors for screening failure and study withdrawal using Poisson regression to calculate prevalence ratios and Cox proportional hazard regression to calculate hazard ratios. We adjusted for factors with P < 0.2.RESULTS: Of the 255 patients screened, 144 (56.5%) failed screening. The most common reason for screening failure was an unsuitable resistance profile on sputum-based molecular susceptibility testing (n = 105, 72.9%). No significant baseline predictors of screening failure were identified in the multivariable model. Of the 111 who were enrolled, 33 (30%) failed to complete treatment, mostly for non-adherence and consent withdrawal. No baseline factors predicted study withdrawal in the multivariable model.CONCLUSION: No baseline factors were independently associated with either screening failure or study withdrawal in this secondary analysis of a MDR-TB clinical trial.

Prevalence and clinical characteristics of pulmonary TB among pregnant and post-partum women.

SETTING: Antenatal care (ANC) and postpartum care (PPC) clinic in Manhiça District, Mozambique.OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of TB among pregnant and post-partum women and describe the clinical characteristics of the disease in a rural area of Southern Mozambique.METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional TB prevalence study among pregnant and post-partum women recruited from September 2016 to March 2018 at the Manhiça Health Care Center (MHC). We recruited two independent cohorts of women consecutively presenting for routine pregnancy or post-partum follow-up visits.RESULTS: A total of 1,980 women from the ANC clinic and 1,010 from the PPC clinic were enrolled. We found a TB prevalence of 505/100,000 (95% CI: 242-926) among pregnant women and 297/100,000 (95% CI: 61-865) among post-partum women. Among HIV-positive pregnant women, TB prevalence was 1,626/100,000 (95% CI: 782-2,970) and among postpartum HIV-positive women, TB prevalence was 984/100,000 (95% CI: 203-2,848).CONCLUSIONS: The burden of TB was not higher in postpartum women than in pregnant women. Most TB cases were detected in HIV-positive women. TB screening and diagnostic testing among pregnant and postpartum women attending ANC and PPC clinics in Manhiça District is acceptable and feasible.

Elevated Plasma Matrix Metalloproteinase 8 Associates With Sputum Culture Positivity in Pulmonary Tuberculosis.

Current methods for tuberculosis treatment monitoring are suboptimal. We evaluated plasma matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) and procollagen III N-terminal propeptide concentrations before and during tuberculosis treatment as biomarkers. Plasma MMP-1, MMP-8, and MMP-10 concentrations significantly decreased during treatment. Plasma MMP-8 was increased in sputum Mycobacterium tuberculosis culture-positive relative to culture-negative participants, before (median, 4993 pg/mL [interquartile range, 2542-9188] vs 698 [218-4060] pg/mL, respectively; P = .004) and after (3650 [1214-3888] vs 720 [551-1321] pg/mL; P = .008) 6 months of tuberculosis treatment. Consequently, plasma MMP-8 is a potential biomarker to enhance tuberculosis treatment monitoring and screen for possible culture positivity.

Association of the Intermountain Risk Score with major adverse health events in patients positive for COVID-19: an observational evaluation of a US cohort.

OBJECTIVES: The Intermountain Risk Score (IMRS), composed using published sex-specific weightings of parameters in the complete blood count (CBC) and basic metabolic profile (BMP), is a validated predictor of mortality. We hypothesised that IMRS calculated from prepandemic CBC and BMP predicts COVID-19 outcomes and that IMRS using laboratory results tested at COVID-19 diagnosis is also predictive. DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING: Primary, secondary, urgent and emergent care, and drive-through testing locations across Utah and in sections of adjacent US states. Viral RNA testing for SARS-CoV-2 was conducted from 3 March to 2 November 2020. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged ≥18 years were evaluated if they had CBC and BMP measured in 2019 and tested positive for COVID-19 in 2020. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was a composite of hospitalisation or mortality, with secondary outcomes being hospitalisation and mortality separately. RESULTS: Among 3883 patients, 8.2% were hospitalised and 1.6% died. Subjects with low, mild, moderate and high-risk IMRS had the composite endpoint in 3.5% (52/1502), 8.6% (108/1256), 15.5% (152/979) and 28.1% (41/146) of patients, respectively. Compared with low-risk, subjects in mild-risk, moderate-risk and high-risk groups had HR=2.33 (95% CI 1.67 to 3.24), HR=4.01 (95% CI 2.93 to 5.50) and HR=8.34 (95% CI 5.54 to 12.57), respectively. Subjects aged <60 years had HR=3.06 (95% CI 2.01 to 4.65) and HR=7.38 (95% CI 3.14 to 17.34) for moderate and high risks versus low risk, respectively; those ≥60 years had HR=1.95 (95% CI 0.99 to 3.86) and HR=3.40 (95% CI 1.63 to 7.07). In multivariable analyses, IMRS was independently predictive and was shown to capture substantial risk variation of comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: IMRS, a simple risk score using very basic laboratory results, predicted COVID-19 hospitalisation and mortality. This included important abilities to identify risk in younger adults with few diagnosed comorbidities and to predict risk prior to SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Preferential Metabolic Improvement by Intermittent Fasting in People with Elevated Baseline Red Cell Distribution Width: A Secondary Analysis of the WONDERFUL Randomized Controlled Trial.

Red cell distribution width (RDW) predicts cardiovascular outcomes, but it is unstudied with regard to intermittent fasting. In WONDERFUL trial subjects, the effect of the interaction between baseline RDW and intermittent fasting on changes in insulin and other cardiometabolic endpoints and the effect of fasting on changes in RDW were evaluated. The subjects enrolled were aged 21-70 years and were free of statins, anti-diabetes medications, and chronic diseases, and had ≥1 metabolic syndrome feature, as well as elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Subjects were randomized to 24-h, water-only fasting (twice per week for 4 weeks, once per week for 22 weeks) or 26 weeks of ad libitum eating. Subjects (N = 71; n = 38 intermittent fasting, n = 33 controls) had more substantial changes in insulin in intermittent fasting vs. controls (-3.45 ± 2.27 vs. 0.48 ± 3.55 mIU/L) when baseline RDW size distribution (RDW-SD) was ≥median (42.6 fL) than

Neonatal Reference Intervals for the Complete Blood Count Parameters MicroR and HYPO-He: Sensitivity Beyond the Red Cell Indices for Identifying Microcytic and Hypochromic Disorders.

OBJECTIVE: To create neonatal reference intervals for the MicroR and HYPO-He complete blood count (CBC) parameters and to test whether these parameters are sensitive early markers of disease at early stages of microcytic/hypochromic disorders while the CBC indices are still normal. STUDY DESIGN: We retrospectively collected the CBC parameters MicroR and HYPO-He, along with the standard CBC parameters, from infants aged 0-90 days at Intermountain Healthcare hospitals using Sysmex hematology analyzers. We created reference intervals for these parameters by excluding values from neonates with proven microcytic disorders (ie, iron deficiency or alpha thalassemia) from the dataset. RESULT: From >11 000 CBCs analyzed, we created reference intervals for MicroR and HYPO-He in neonates aged 0-90 days. The upper intervals are considerably higher in neonates than in adults, validating increased anisocytosis and polychromasia among neonates. Overall, 52% of neonates with iron deficiency (defined by reticulocyte hemoglobin equivalent <25 pg) had a MicroR >90% upper interval (relative risk, 4.14; 95% CI, 3.80-4.53; P < .001), and 68% had an HYPO-He >90% upper interval (relative risk, 6.64; 95% CI, 6.03-7.32; P < .001). These 2 new parameters were more sensitive than the red blood cell (RBC) indices (P < .001) in identifying 24 neonates with iron deficiency at birth. CONCLUSIONS: We created neonatal reference intervals for MicroR and HYPO-He. Although Sysmex currently designates these as research use only in the US, they can be measured as part of a neonate's CBC with no additional phlebotomy volume or run time and can identify microcytic and hypochromic disorders even when the RBC indices are normal.

Reconciling markedly discordant values of serum ferritin versus reticulocyte hemoglobin content.

OBJECTIVE: To determine why serum ferritin and reticulocyte hemoglobin (RET-He), drawn to assess neonatal iron sufficiency, sometimes have markedly discordant results. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective records review of five NICUs over 28 months, identifying all patients with a ferritin and RET-He within 48 h. We examined records of all who had marked discordance (one value >95th % reference interval, the other <5th %). RESULTS: Of 190 paired ferritin and RET-He measurements, 16 (8%) were markedly discordant. Fifteen of the 16 discordant samples involved a high ferritin and a low RET-He. In these, low MCV and high %Micro-R, and low MCH and high %HYPO-He were present. In total, 8 of the 15 had laboratory or clinical evidence of an inflammatory process and five had suspicion of infection documented. CONCLUSIONS: When ferritin and RET-He were discordant, erythrocyte microcytosis and hypochromasia suggested that the RET-He gave the more accurate interpretation; that iron deficiency was likely present.

Neonates with suspected microangiopathic disorders: performance of standard manual schistocyte enumeration vs. the automated fragmented red cell count.

OBJECTIVES: To enhance the diagnosis of schistocyte-producing conditions, we compared routine manual schistocyte enumeration with automated fragmented red cell counts (FRCs). STUDY DESIGN: In neonates "suspected" of having sepsis, NEC, or DIC we compared manual schistocyte estimates vs. automated FRC counts. When the two disagreed, we used a "gold standard" from a  ≥ 1000 RBC differential. We also assessed the diagnostic accuracy of the FRC count in diagnosing sepsis, NEC, or DIC. RESULTS: We collected 270 CBCs from 90 neonates. The methods agreed in 63% (95% CI 55%-70%) of the CBCs. Among the 37% where they disagreed, the FRC count was more accurate in 100% (95% CI 88-100%). An elevated FRC count was specific for sepsis, and was sensitive and specific for necrotizing enterocolitis and DIC. CONCLUSIONS: Automated FRC counts have advantages over routine manual evaluation, larger sample size, lower expense, and superior accuracy in diagnosing schistocyte-producing conditions.

HIV-related tuberculosis: mortality risk in persons without vs. with culture-confirmed disease.

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) positive persons is difficult, particularly in resource-limited settings. The relationship between TB culture status and mortality in HIV-positive persons treated for TB is unclear. METHODS: We evaluated HIV-positive adults treated for TB at or after their first HIV clinic visit in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Honduras, Mexico or Peru from 2000 to 2015. Anti-tuberculosis treatment included 2 months of isoniazid, rifampicin (RMP)/rifabutin (RBT), pyrazinamide ± ethambutol, followed by continuation phase treatment with isoniazid + RMP/RBT. RESULTS: Of 759 TB-HIV patients, 238 (31%) were culture-negative, 228 (30%) had unknown culture status or did not undergo culture and 293 (39%) were culture-positive. The median CD4 at TB diagnosis was 96 (interquartile range 40-228); 636 (84%) received concurrent antiretroviral therapy (ART) and anti-tuberculosis treatment. There were 123 (16%) deaths: 90/466 (19%) with TB culture-negative, unknown or not performed vs. 33/293 (11%) who were TB culture-positive (P = 0.005). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, mortality in TB patients without culture-confirmed disease was higher (P = 0.002). In a Cox model adjusted for age, sex, CD4, ART timing, disease site and stratified by study site, mortality in persons without culture-confirmed TB was not significantly increased compared to those with culture-positive TB (hazard ratio 1.39, 95%CI 0.89-2.16, P = 0.15). CONCLUSION: Most HIV-positive patients treated for TB did not have culture-confirmed TB, and mortality tended to be higher in patients without culture-confirmed disease, although the association was not statistically different after adjusting for other variables. Accurate TB diagnosis in HIV-positive persons is crucial.

Automated Quantification of Fragmented Red Blood Cells: Neonatal Reference Intervals and Clinical Disorders of Neonatal Intensive Care Unit Patients with High Values.

BACKGROUND: Schistocytes are circulating erythrocyte fragments. They can be identified microscopically from a blood smear; but automated systems evaluate more cells and avoid inconsistencies in microscopy. Studies using adult subjects indicate that automated quantification of schistocytes can be clinically useful. However, reference intervals for automated schistocyte counts of neonates have not been published, and the relevance of a high automated schistocyte count from neonates has not been reported. OBJECTIVES: Using retrospective automated neonatal complete blood count (CBC) data, we created reference intervals for fragmented red cells (FRCs) and sought to discover the clinical conditions of neonates with high FRCs (above the upper reference interval). RESULTS: We created reference intervals based on 39,949 CBCs from 15,655 neonates 0-90 days old. The lower reference interval was 0 FRC/µL and the upper interval was 100,000/µL. The highest FRCs (96 CBCs from 44 neonates) were > 250,000/µL. These neonates clustered into the following groups: 37% had sepsis, 29% had disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), 17% had a genetic syndrome, 14% necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), and 7% had iron deficiency (some had more than one diagnosis). Based on the reference intervals, we divided the 39,949 FRC values into 3 groups: (1) < 100,000/µL ("normal"), (2) 100,000-200,000/µL ("moderately elevated"), and (3) > 200,000/µL ("extremely elevated"). The odds that a microangiopathic condition (DIC, sepsis, NEC) or a microcytic disorder (iron deficiency) were present were significantly higher in the moderately elevated, and more so in the extremely elevated group. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that a high FRC could prompt investigation into, or inform follow-up of, a neonatal microangiopathic or extremely microcytic disorder.

Older age at first tuberculosis diagnosis is associated with tuberculosis recurrence in HIV-negative persons.

SETTING: Tuberculosis (TB) clinic in Durban, South Africa. OBJECTIVE: To assess the factors associated with TB recurrence among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) negative adults and children. DESIGN: We conducted a retrospective longitudinal study from January 2000 to December 2012. We defined recurrence as a TB episode occurring within the study period after treatment completion or cure of a previous episode. We used a multivariable Poisson regression model to assess the factors associated with the number of recurrences among HIV-negative patients. RESULTS: Among 17 941 patients with known HIV status, 3653 (20%) were HIV-negative; of these, 235 (6%) had one recurrence, 21 (1%) had two recurrences and 4 (0.1%) had three recurrences. The median follow-up time from the end of treatment for the first episode was 3.0 years (interquartile range 1.9-4.2). Age at the first TB episode was significantly associated with the number of TB recurrences: younger patients had the lowest rate of recurrence, with a steady increase in rates until age 40 years, after which rates stabilized. CONCLUSIONS: TB recurrence rates among HIV-negative patients were higher at increased age at the first TB episode. Further translational studies are needed to clarify the factors that drive multiple TB recurrences in older age, including impaired immunity, the results of which have implications for TB vaccine development.

Extreme erythrocyte macrocytic and microcytic percentages are highly predictive of morbidity and mortality.

BACKGROUND: The red cell distribution width (RDW) is associated with health outcomes. Whether non-RDW risk information is contained in RBC sizes is unknown. This study evaluated the association of the percentage of extreme macrocytic RBCs (%Macro, RBC volume > 120 fl) and microcytic RBCs (%Micro, RBC volume < 60 fl) and the RDW-size distribution (RDW-sd) with mortality and morbidity. METHODS: Patients (females, n = 165,770; males, n = 100,210) at Intermountain Healthcare were studied if they had a hematology panel between May 2014 and September 2016. Adjusted sex-specific associations of %Macro/%Micro and RDW-sd with mortality and 33 morbidities were evaluated. RESULTS: Among females with fourth-quartile values of %Macro quartile and %Micro (referred to throughout as 4/4), there was an average of 7.2 morbidities versus 2.9 in the lowest risk (LR1) categories, 1/1, 1/2, 2/1, and 2/2 (P < 0.001). Among males, those in the 4/4 category had 8.0 morbidities, while those in the LR1 had 3.4 (P < 0.001). Cox regressions found %Macro/%Micro (4/4 vs. LR1, females: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.97 [95% CI = 1.53, 2.54]; males: HR = 2.17 [CI = 1.72, 2.73]), RDW-sd (quartile 4 vs. 1, females: HR = 1.33 [CI = 1.04, 1.69]; males: HR = 1.41 [CI = 1.10, 1.80]), and RDW (quartile 4 vs. 1, females: HR = 1.59 [CI = 1.26, 2.00]; males: HR = 1.23 [CI = 0.99, 1.52]) independently predicted mortality. Limitations include that the observational design did not reveal causality and unknown confounders may be unmeasured. CONCLUSIONS: Concomitantly elevated %Macro and %Micro predicted the highest mortality risk and the greatest number of morbidities, revealing predictive ability of RBC volume beyond what is measured clinically. Mechanistic investigations are needed to explain the biological basis of these observations. FUNDING: This study was supported by internal Intermountain Heart Institute funds and in-kind support from Sysmex America Inc.

Outcomes of HIV-positive patients with cryptococcal meningitis in the Americas.

BACKGROUND: Cryptococcal meningitis (CM) is associated with substantial mortality in HIV-infected patients. Optimal timing of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in persons with CM represents a clinical challenge, and the burden of CM in Latin America has not been well described. Studies suggest that early ART initiation is associated with higher mortality, but data from the Americas are scarce. METHODS: HIV-infected adults in care between 1985-2014 at participating sites in the Latin America (the Caribbean, Central and South America network (CCASAnet)) and the Vanderbilt Comprehensive Care Clinic (VCCC) and who had CM were included. Survival probabilities were estimated. Risk of death when initiating ART within the first 2 weeks after CM diagnosis versus initiating between 2-8 weeks was assessed using dynamic marginal structural models adjusting for site, age, sex, year of CM, CD4 count, and route of HIV transmission. FINDINGS: 340 patients were included (Argentina 58, Brazil 138, Chile 28, Honduras 27, Mexico 34, VCCC 55) and 142 (42%) died during the observation period. Among 151 patients with CM prior to ART 56 (37%) patients died compared to 86 (45%) of 189 with CM after ART initiation (p=0.14). Patients diagnosed with CM after ART had a higher risk of death (p=0.03, log-rank test). The probability of survival was not statistically different between patients who started ART within 2 weeks of CM (7/24, 29%) vs. those initiating between 2-8 weeks (14/53, 26%) (p=0.96), potentially due to lack of power. INTERPRETATION: In this large Latin-American cohort, patients with CM had very high mortality rates, especially those diagnosed after ART initiation. This study reflects the overwhelming burden of CM in HIV-infected patients in Latin America.

Hope, coping skills, and the prefrontal cortex in alcohol use disorder recovery.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol use disorders adversely affect individual and societal health. These disorders are a chronic brain disease, and protective factors against relapse should be studied. Prefrontal cortex (PFC) dysfunction is evident in alcohol use disorders, and research that explores recovery of the PFC in alcohol use disorders is needed, specifically in regard to how psychological and behavioral factors can augment medicalized treatments and protect against relapse. For example, hope or a belief that recovery is possible is an important cognitive construct-thought to precede behavioral action-that has been associated with relapse. OBJECTIVES: In this study, associations between healthy coping skills and hope (psychological/behavioral factors) and PFC regional activation in response to alcohol cue exposure were examined. It was also examined whether such associations were unique to alcohol cues. METHODS: Forty-two participants, 32 males and nine females in recovery from an alcohol use disorder (AUD), were administered a subjective hope and coping in recovery measure. They also viewed alcohol, positive, negative, and neutral cues during functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIR) PFC assessment. RESULTS: Levels of healthy coping skills positively correlated with activation in the right dorsomedial prefrontal cortex (DMPFC) in response to alcohol cues. This finding was unique to alcohol cues. CONCLUSION: The association between coping skills and activation of the right DMPFC in response to alcohol cues may reflect greater action restraint and top-down PFC control processing that may protect against relapse.