A genome-wide search for determinants of survival in 1926 patients with advanced colorectal cancer with follow-up in over 22,000 patients.

BACKGROUND: While genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified germline variants influencing the risk of developing colorectal cancer (CRC), there has been limited examination of the possible role of inherited variation as a determinant of patient outcome. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed a GWAS for overall survival (OS) in 1926 patients with advanced CRC from the COIN and COIN-B clinical trials. For single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) showing an association with OS (P < 1.0 × 10-5), we conducted sensitivity analyses based on the time from diagnosis to death and sought independent replications in 5675 patients from the Study of Colorectal Cancer in Scotland (SOCCS) and 16,964 patients from the International Survival Analysis in Colorectal cancer Consortium (ISACC). We analysed the Human Protein Atlas to determine if ERBB4 expression was associated with survival in 438 patients with colon adenocarcinomas. RESULTS: The most significant SNP associated with OS was rs79612564 in ERBB4 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.16-1.32, P = 1.9 × 10-7). SNPs at 17 loci had suggestive associations for OS and all had similar effects on the time from diagnosis to death. No lead SNPs were independently replicated in the meta-analysis of all patients from SOCCS and ISACC. However, rs79612564 was significant in stage-IV patients from SOCCS (P = 2.1 × 10-2) but not ISACC (P = 0.89) and SOCCS combined with COIN and COIN-B attained genome-wide significance (P = 1.7 × 10-8). Patients with high ERBB4 expression in their colon adenocarcinomas had worse survival (HR = 1.50, 95% CI = 1.1-1.9, P = 4.6 × 10-2). CONCLUSIONS: Genetic and expression data support a potential role for rs79612564 in the receptor tyrosine kinase ERBB4 as a predictive biomarker of survival.

Comprehensive analysis of colorectal cancer-risk loci and survival outcome: A prognostic role for CDH1 variants.

PURPOSE: Genome-wide association studies have identified common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at 83 loci associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in European populations. Because germline variation can also influence patient outcome, we studied the relationship between these SNPs and CRC survivorship. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: For the 83 risk loci, 10 lead SNPs were directly genotyped, 72 were imputed and 1 was not genotyped nor imputed, in 1948 unrelated patients with advanced CRC from the clinical trials COIN and COIN-B (oxaliplatin and fluoropyrimidine chemotherapy ± cetuximab). A Cox survival model was used for each variant, and variants classified by pathway, adjusting for known prognostic factors. We imposed a Bonferroni threshold of P = 6.6 × 10-4 for multiple testing. We carried out meta-analyses of published risk SNPs associated with survival. RESULTS: Univariate analysis identified six SNPs associated with overall survival (OS) (P < 0.05); however, only rs9939049 in CDH1 remained significant beyond the Bonferroni threshold (Hazard Ratio [HR] 1.44, 95% Confidence Intervals [CI]: 1.21-1.71, P = 5.0 × 10-5). Fine mapping showed that rs12597188 was the most significant SNP at this locus and remained significant after adjustment for known prognostic factors beyond multiple testing thresholds (HR 1.23, 95% CI: 1.13-1.34, P = 1.9 × 10-6). rs12597188 was also associated with poor response to therapy (OR 0.61, 95% CI: 0.42-0.87, P = 6.6 × 10-3). No combinations of SNPs within pathways were more significantly associated with survival compared with single variants alone, and no other risk SNPs were associated with survival in meta-analyses. CONCLUSIONS: The CRC susceptibility SNP rs9939049 in CDH1 influences patient survival and warrants further evaluation as a prognostic biomarker.

Pattern Recognition Receptor Polymorphisms as Predictors of Oxaliplatin Benefit in Colorectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Constitutional loss of function (LOF) single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in pattern recognition receptors FPR1, TLR3, and TLR4 have previously been reported to predict oxaliplatin benefit in colorectal cancer. Confirmation of this association could substantially improve patient stratification. METHODS: We performed a retrospective biomarker analysis of the Short Course in Oncology Therapy (SCOT) and COIN/COIN-B trials. Participant status for LOF variants in FPR1 (rs867228), TLR3 (rs3775291), and TLR4 (rs4986790/rs4986791) was determined by genotyping array or genotype imputation. Associations between LOF variants and disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed by Cox regression, adjusted for confounders, using additive, dominant, and recessive genetic models. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: Our validation study populations included 2929 and 1948 patients in the SCOT and COIN/COIN-B cohorts, respectively, of whom 2728 and 1672 patients had functional status of all three SNPs determined. We found no evidence of an association between any SNP and DFS in the SCOT cohort, or with OS in either cohort, irrespective of the type of model used. This included models for which an association was previously reported for rs867228 (recessive model, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] for DFS in SCOT = 1.19, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.99 to 1.45, P = .07; HR for OS in COIN/COIN-B = 0.92, 95% CI = 0.63 to 1.34, P = .66), and rs4986790 (dominant model, multivariable-adjusted HR for DFS in SCOT = 0.86, 95% CI = 0.65 to 1.13, P = .27; HR for OS in COIN/COIN-B = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.90 to 1.31, P = .40). CONCLUSION: In this prespecified analysis of two large clinical trials, we found no evidence that constitutional LOF SNPs in FPR1, TLR3, or TLR4 are associated with differential benefit from oxaliplatin. Our results suggest these SNPs are unlikely to be clinically useful biomarkers.

BRAF and NRAS Locus-Specific Variants Have Different Outcomes on Survival to Colorectal Cancer.

Purpose: Somatic mutation status at KRAS, BRAF, and NRAS is associated with prognosis in patients with advanced colorectal cancer (aCRC); however, it remains unclear whether there are intralocus, variant-specific differences in survival and other clinicopathologic parameters.Experimental Design: We profiled 2,157 aCRCs for somatic mutations in KRAS, BRAF, and NRAS and determined microsatellite instability status. We sought inter- and intralocus correlations between mutations and variant-specific associations with survival and clinicopathology.Results:KRAS mutations were rarely found together and those in codons 12 and 13 conferred poor prognosis [hazard ratio (HR), 1.44; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.28-1.61; P = 6.4 × 10-10 and HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.26-1.86; P = 1.5 × 10-05, respectively]. For BRAF, more c.1781A>G (p.D594G) CRCs carried RAS mutations [14% (3/21)] compared with c.1799T>A (p.V600E) CRCs [1% (2/178), P = 9.0 × 10-03]. c.1799T>A (p.V600E) was associated with poor prognosis (HR, 2.60; 95% CI, 2.06-3.28; P = 1.0 × 10-15), whereas c.1781A>G (p.D594G) was not (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 0.73-2.31; P = 0.37); this intralocus difference was significant (P = 0.04). More c.1799T>A (p.V600E) colorectal cancers were found in the right colon [47% (47/100)], compared with c.1781A>G (p.D594G) colorectal cancers [7% (1/15), P = 3.7 × 10-03]. For NRAS, 5% (3/60) of codon 61 mutant colorectal cancers had KRAS mutations compared with 44% (10/23) of codons 12 and 13 mutant colorectal cancers (P = 7.9 × 10-05). Codon 61 mutations conferred poor prognosis (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.09-1.99; P = 0.01), whereas codons 12 and 13 mutations did not (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.64-2.58; P = 0.48).Conclusions: Our data show considerable intralocus variation in the outcomes of mutations in BRAF and NRAS These data need to be considered in patient management and personalized cancer therapy. Clin Cancer Res; 23(11); 2742-9. ©2016 AACR.