Extensive ablation for elderly patients with persistent atrial fibrillation: insights from the EARNEST-PVI prospective randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: In patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (AF), extensive ablation for substrate modification, such as linear ablation or complex fractionated atrial electrogram ablation in addition to pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) remains controversial. Previous studies investigating extensive ablation have demonstrated its varying efficacy, suggesting the possible heterogeneity of its efficacy. Aging is a major risk factor for AF and is associated with atrial remodeling. We aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of the extensive ablation strategy compared with PVI alone strategy between young and elderly patients. METHODS: This study is a post-hoc analysis of the multicenter, randomized controlled, noninferiority trial investigating the efficacy and safety of PVI-only (PVI-alone arm) compared with extensive ablation (PVI-plus arm) in patients with persistent AF (EARNEST-PVI trial). We divided the overall population into 2 groups based on age and assessed treatment effects. RESULTS: In the young group (age <65 years, N = 206), there was no significant difference in the recurrence rate between the PVI-alone group and PVI-plus group [hazard ratio (HR): 1.00, 95 % CI: 0.57-1.73, p = 0.987], whereas the recurrence rate was significantly lower in the PVI-plus group compared to the PVI-alone group in the elderly group (age ≥65 years, N = 291) (HR: 0.47, 95 % CI: 0.29-0.76, p = 0.0021) (p for interaction = 0.0446). There were no fatal procedural complications. CONCLUSION: In patients with persistent AF, the extensive ablation strategy was more effective than the PVI-alone strategy in elderly patients, while the effectiveness of both approaches was comparable in young patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03514693. URL: https://center6.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000022454 Unique ID issued by UMIN: UMIN000019449.

Extensive ablation for persistent atrial fibrillation patients with mitral regurgitation: Insights from the EARNEST-PVI prospective randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Extensive ablation in addition to pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) has not yielded consistent results, indicating diversity in their efficacy. Mitral regurgitation (MR) associated with AF may indicate a higher prevalence of arrhythmogenic substrate, suggesting potential benefits of extensive ablation for these patients. METHODS: This post-hoc analysis of the EARNEST-PVI trial compared PVI alone versus an extensive ablation strategy (PVI-plus) in persistent AF patients, stratified by MR presence. The primary endpoint of the study was the recurrence of AF. The secondary endpoints included death, cerebral infarction, and procedure-related complications. RESULTS: The trial included 495 eligible patients divided into MR and non-MR groups. The MR group consisted of 192 patients (89 in the PVI-alone arm and 103 in the PVI-plus arm), while the non-MR group had 303 patients (158 in the PVI-alone arm and 145 in the PVI-plus arm). In the non-MR group, recurrence rates were similar between PVI-alone and PVI-plus arms (Log-rank P = 0.47, Hazard ratio = 0.85 [95%CI: 0.54-1.33], P = 0.472). However, in the MR group, PVI-plus was significantly more effective in preventing AF recurrence (Log-rank P = 0.0014, Hazard ratio = 0.40 [95%CI: 0.22-0.72], P = 0.0021). No significant differences were observed in secondary endpoints between the two arms. CONCLUSIONS: For persistent AF patients with mild or greater MR, receiving PVI-plus was superior to PVI-alone in preventing AF recurrence. Conversely, for patients without MR, the effectiveness of extensive ablation was not demonstrated. These findings suggest tailoring ablation strategies based on MR presence can lead to better outcomes in AF management.

Impact of left atrial appendage flow velocity on thrombus resolution and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation and silent left atrial thrombi: insights from the LAT study.

AIMS: Blood stasis is crucial in developing left atrial (LA) thrombi. LA appendage peak flow velocity (LAAFV) is a quantitative parameter for estimating thromboembolic risk. However, its impact on LA thrombus resolution and clinical outcomes remains unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: The LAT study was a multicentre observational study investigating patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and silent LA thrombi detected by transoesophageal echocardiography (TEE). Among 17 436 TEE procedures for patients with AF, 297 patients (1.7%) had silent LA thrombi. Excluding patients without follow-up examinations, we enrolled 169 whose baseline LAAFV was available. Oral anticoagulation use increased from 85.7% at baseline to 97.0% at the final follow-up (P < 0.001). During 1 year, LA thrombus resolution was confirmed in 130 (76.9%) patients within 76 (34-138) days. Conversely, 26 had residual LA thrombi, 8 had thromboembolisms, and 5 required surgical removal. These patients with failed thrombus resolution had lower baseline LAAFV than those with successful resolution (18.0 [15.8-22.0] vs. 22.2 [17.0-35.0], P = 0.003). Despite limited predictive power (area under the curve, 0.659; P = 0.001), LAAFV ≤ 20.0 cm/s (best cut-off) significantly predicted failed LA thrombus resolution, even after adjusting for potential confounders (odds ratio, 2.72; 95% confidence interval, 1.22-6.09; P = 0.015). The incidence of adverse outcomes including ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, or all-cause death was significantly higher in patients with reduced LAAFV than in those with preserved LAAFV (28.4% vs. 11.6%, log-rank P = 0.005). CONCLUSION: Failed LA thrombus resolution was not rare in patients with AF and silent LA thrombi. Reduced LAAFV was associated with failed LA thrombus resolution and adverse clinical outcomes.

Appropriate Selection of Substrate Ablation for Persistent Atrial Fibrillation Using Intraprocedural Assessment.

BACKGROUND: It has not been fully elucidated which patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (PerAF) should undergo substrate ablation plus pulmonary vein isolation (PVI). This study aimed to identify PerAF patients who required substrate ablation using intraprocedural assessment of the baseline rhythm and the origin of atrial fibrillation (AF) triggers. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a post hoc subanalysis using extended data of the EARNEST-PVI trial, a prospective multicenter randomized trial comparing PVI-alone and PVI-plus (i.e., PVI with added catheter ablation) arms. We divided 492 patients into 4 groups according to baseline rhythm and the location of AF triggers before PVI: Group A (n=22), sinus rhythm with pulmonary vein (PV)-specific AF triggers (defined as reproducible AF initiation from PVs only); Group B (n=211), AF with PV-specific AF triggers; Group C (n=94), sinus rhythm with no PV-specific AF trigger; Group D (n=165), AF with no PV-specific AF trigger. Among the 4 groups, only in Group D (AF at baseline and no PV-specific AF triggers) was arrhythmia-free survival significantly lower in the PVI-alone than PVI-plus arm (P=0.032; hazard ratio 1.68; 95% confidence interval 1.04-2.70). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with sinus rhythm or PV-specific AF triggers did not receive any benefit from substrate ablation, whereas patients with AF and no PV-specific AF trigger benefited from substrate ablation.

Duration of atrial fibrillation persistence: Implications for recurrence risk after catheter ablation and efficacy of additional substrate ablation.

BACKGROUND: The optimal duration of atrial fibrillation (AF) persistence for predicting poor outcomes after catheter ablation of long-standing AF (LsAF) and the best ablation strategy for these patients remain unclear. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the impact of the duration of AF persistence on outcomes after catheter ablation of AF. METHODS: We analyzed the Efficacy of Pulmonary Vein Isolation Alone in Patients with Persistent Atrial Fibrillation (EARNEST-PVI) trial data comparing pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) alone (PVI-alone) with additional linear ablation or defragmentation (PVI-plus) in persistent AF (PerAF). Patients who received catheter ablation by contact force-sensing catheter were enrolled in the study. In patients with LsAF, the optimal cutoff duration of AF persistence was evaluated. With use of the threshold, patients with LsAF were divided into 2 groups and compared with PerAF <1 year for arrhythmia-free survival after a 3-month blanking period. RESULTS: The optimal cutoff duration was 2.4 years. Of 458 patients, arrhythmia-free survival rates for LsAF 1-2.4 years were comparable to those of PerAF (hazard ratio [HR], 1.01; 95% CI, 0.67-1.52). However, LsAF >2.4 years had a higher recurrence risk than PerAF (HR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.42-3.47). In LsAF >2.4 years, the PVI-plus strategy showed advantages over the PVI-alone strategy (HR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.14-0.89). However, the interaction effect between LsAF 1-2.4 years and LsAF >2.4 years did not reach statistical significance (P = .116). CONCLUSION: Whereas LsAF 1-2.4 years has similar outcomes to those of PerAF, LsAF >2.4 years was linked to higher arrhythmia recurrence risks. For LsAF >2.4 years, the PVI-plus strategy showed a potential to be superior to the PVI-alone strategy.

Uplift modeling to identify patients who require extensive catheter ablation procedures among patients with persistent atrial fibrillation.

Identifying patients who would benefit from extensive catheter ablation along with pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) among those with persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) has been a subject of controversy. The objective of this study was to apply uplift modeling, a machine learning method for analyzing individual causal effect, to identify such patients in the EARNEST-PVI trial, a randomized trial in patients with persistent AF. We developed 16 uplift models using different machine learning algorithms, and determined that the best performing model was adaptive boosting using Qini coefficients. The optimal uplift score threshold was 0.0124. Among patients with an uplift score ≥ 0.0124, those who underwent extensive catheter ablation (PVI-plus) showed a significantly lower recurrence rate of AF compared to those who received only PVI (PVI-alone) (HR 0.40; 95% CI 0.19-0.84; P-value = 0.015). In contrast, among patients with an uplift score < 0.0124, recurrence of AF did not significantly differ between PVI-plus and PVI-alone (HR 1.17; 95% CI 0.57-2.39; P-value = 0.661). By employing uplift modeling, we could effectively identify a subset of patients with persistent AF who would benefit from PVI-plus. This model could be valuable in stratifying patients with persistent AF who need extensive catheter ablation before the procedure.

Pathophysiological insights into machine learning-based subphenotypes of acute heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

OBJECTIVE: The heterogeneous pathophysiology of the diverse heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) phenotypes needs to be examined. We aim to assess differences in the biomarkers among the phenotypes of HFpEF and investigate its multifactorial pathophysiology. METHODS: This study is a retrospective analysis of the PURSUIT-HFpEF Study (N=1231), an ongoing, prospective, multicentre observational study of acute decompensated HFpEF. In this registry, there is a predefined subcohort in which we perform multibiomarker tests (N=212). We applied the previously established machine learning-based clustering model to the subcohort with biomarker measurements to classify them into four phenotypes: phenotype 1 (n=69), phenotype 2 (n=49), phenotype 3 (n=41) and phenotype 4 (n=53). Biomarker characteristics in each phenotype were evaluated. RESULTS: Phenotype 1 presented the lowest value of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitive C reactive protein, tumour necrosis factor-α, growth differentiation factor (GDF)-15, troponin T and cystatin C, whereas phenotype 2, which is characterised by hypertension and cardiac hypertrophy, showed the highest value of these markers. Phenotype 3 showed the second highest value of GDF-15 and cystatin C. Phenotype 4 presented a low NT-proBNP value and a relatively high GDF-15. CONCLUSIONS: Distinctive characteristics of biomarkers in HFpEF phenotypes would indicate differential underlying mechanisms to be elucidated. The contribution of inflammation to the pathogenesis varied considerably among different HFpEF phenotypes. Systemic inflammation substantially contributes to the pathophysiology of the classic HFpEF phenotype with cardiac hypertrophy. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN-CTR ID: UMIN000021831.

The Prognostic Impact of In-Hospital Major Bleeding and Recurrence of Myocardial Infarction during Acute Phase after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for Acute Myocardial Infarction.

AIM: Both recurrent myocardial infarction (ReMI) and bleeding events after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) were reportedly associated with increased mortality. To date, the prognostic impact of these events on subsequent outcomes in East Asians is still unclear. In this study, we aimed to investigate the impact of bleeding or thrombotic events during acute phase on subsequent mortality and time-dependent change of the impact in patients with AMI undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHOD: We conducted a prospective, multicenter, observational study of patients with AMI (n=12,093). The patients who did not undergo emergent PCI were excluded. In addition, the patients registered before 2003 were excluded because the data of bleeding severity was not obtained. Eligible patients were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of major bleeding within 7 days of PCI, and the same approach was performed for ReMI within 7 days of PCI. The endpoint of this study was all-cause death. We assessed the impact of major bleeding and ReMI, which occurred within 7 days of index PCI, on the subsequent clinical outcomes up to 5 years. RESULTS: A total of 6,769 patients were found to be eligible. All-cause death occurred in 898 (13.3%) patients during a median follow-up period of 1,726 [511-1,840] days. After adjustment for multiple confounders, major bleeding in 7 days from index PCI was independently associated with higher 30-day and 30-day to 1-year mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 2.06 [1.45-2.92] p＜0.001, OR: 2.03 [1.28-3.15] p=0.002), whereas ReMI was not (OR: 1.93 [0.92-3.80] p=0.07, OR: 0.81 [0.24-2.03] p=0.68). Major bleeding and ReMI did not affect mortality between 1 and 5 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.32 [0.77-2.26] p=0.31, HR: 0.48 [0.12-1.94] p=0.30). CONCLUSION: Major bleeding in 7 days from admission was independently associated with higher 30-day and 1-year mortality but not during 1-5 years. ReMI did not affect mortality in all phases. We should be more concerned about bleeding event during acute phase after PCI.

ß-blockers may be detrimental in frail patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: The effectiveness of ß-blocker in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains to be determined. We aimed to clarify the association between the use of ß-blocker and prognosis according to the status of frailty. METHODS: We compared prognosis between HFpEF patients with and without ß-blockers stratified with the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), using data from the PURSUIT-HFpEF registry (UMIN000021831). RESULTS: Among 1159 patients enrolled in the analysis (median age, 81.4 years; male, 44.7%), 580 patients were CFS ≤ 3, while 579 were CFS ≥ 4. Use of ß-blockers was associated with a worse composite endpoint of all-cause death and heart failure readmission in patients with CFS ≥ 4 (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.43, 95% CI 1.10-1.85, p = 0.007), but was not significantly associated with this endpoint in those with CFS ≤ 3 (adjusted HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.71-1.26, p = 0.719) in multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. These results were confirmed in a propensity-matched analysis (HR in those with CFS ≥ 4: 1.42, 95% CI 1.05-1.90, p = 0.020; that in those with CFS ≤ 3: 0.83, 95% CI 0.60-1.14, p = 0.249), and in an analysis in which patients were divided into CFS ≤ 4 and CFS ≥ 5. CONCLUSIONS: Use of ß-blockers was significantly associated with worse prognosis specifically in patients with HFpEF and high CFS, but not in those with low CFS. Use of ß-blockers in HFpEF patients with frailty may need careful attention.

The efficacy and safety of adaptive servo-ventilation therapy for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

It is unclear whether adaptive servo-ventilation (ASV) therapy for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is effective. The aim of this study was to investigate the details of ASV use, and to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of ASV in real-world HFpEF patients. We retrospectively enrolled 36 HFpEF patients at nine cardiovascular centers who initiated ASV therapy during hospitalization or on outpatient basis and were able to continue using it at home from 2012 to 2017 and survived for at least one year thereafter. The number of hospitalizations for heart failure (HF) during the 12 months before and 12 months after introduction of ASV at home was compared. The median number of HF hospitalizations for each patient was significantly reduced from 1 [interquartile range: 1-2] in the 12 months before introduction of ASV to 0 [0-0] in the 12 months after introduction of ASV (p < 0.001). In subgroup analysis, reduction in heart failure hospitalization was significantly greater in female patients, patients with a body mass index < 25, and those with moderate or severe tricuspid valve regurgitation. In patients with HFpEF, the number of HF hospitalizations was significantly decreased after the introduction of ASV. HFpEF patients with female sex, BMI < 25, or moderate to severe tricuspid valve regurgitation are potential candidates who might benefit from ASV therapy.

P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy after complex percutaneous coronary intervention: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials.

It remains unknown whether the recent trend of short dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) followed by P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy can simply be applied to patients undergoing complex percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy vs. conventional DAPT in patients undergoing complex PCI and non-complex PCI (PROSPERO: CRD42022335723). Primary endpoint was the 1-year Net Adverse Clinical Event (NACE). Among 5,323 screened studies, six randomized trials fulfilled the eligibility criteria. A total of 10,588 complex PCI patients (5,269 vs. 5,319 patients) and 25,618 non-complex PCI patients (12,820 vs 12,798 patients) were randomly assigned to P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy vs. conventional DAPT. In complex PCI patients, P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy was associated with a lower risk of NACE than conventional DAPT [Odds ratio (OR) 0.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63-0.91, P = 0.003], whereas in non-complex PCI patients, P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy was associated with a trend toward lowering the risk of NACE (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.72-1.02, P = 0.09). This meta-analysis across randomized trials demonstrated that a strategy of short DAPT followed by P2Y12 inhibitor monotherapy reduces the risk of 1-year NACE in patients undergoing complex PCI.

Long-Term Impact of Additional Ablation After Pulmonary Vein Isolation: Results From EARNEST-PVI Trial.

Background An optimal strategy for left atrial ablation in addition to pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been determined. Methods and Results We conducted an extended follow-up of the multicenter randomized controlled EARNEST-PVI (Efficacy of Pulmonary Vein Isolation Alone in Patients With Persistent Atrial Fibrillation) trial, which compared 12-month rhythm outcomes in patients with persistent AF between patients randomized to a PVI-alone strategy (n=248) or PVI-plus strategy (n=248; PVI followed by left atrial additional ablation, including linear ablation or ablation targeting areas with complex fractionated electrograms). The present study extended the follow-up period to 3 years after enrollment. Outcomes were compared not only between randomly allocated groups but also between on-treatment groups categorized by actually created ablation lesions. Recurrence rate of AF or atrial tachycardia (AT) was lower in the randomly allocated to PVI-plus group than the PVI-alone group (29.0% versus 37.5%, P=0.036). On-treatment analysis revealed that patients with PVI+linear ablation (n=205) demonstrated a lower AF/AT recurrence rate than those with PVI only (26.3% versus 37.8%, P=0.007). In contrast, patients with PVI+complex fractionated electrograms ablation (n=37) had an AF/AT recurrence rate comparable to that of patients with PVI only (40.5% versus 37.8%, P=0.76). At second ablation in 126 patients with AF/AT recurrence, ATs excluding common atrial flutter were more frequent in patients with PVI+linear ablation than in those with PVI only (32.6% versus 5.7%, P<0.0001). Conclusions Left atrial ablation in addition to PVI was efficacious during 3-year follow-up. Linear ablation was superior to other ablation strategies but may increase iatrogenic ATs. Registration URL: http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/index-j.htm; Unique identifier: UMIN000019449.

Medications for specific phenotypes of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction classified by a machine learning-based clustering model.

OBJECTIVE: Our previously established machine learning-based clustering model classified heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) into four distinct phenotypes. Given the heterogeneous pathophysiology of HFpEF, specific medications may have favourable effects in specific phenotypes of HFpEF. We aimed to assess effectiveness of medications on clinical outcomes of the four phenotypes using a real-world HFpEF registry dataset. METHODS: This study is a posthoc analysis of the PURSUIT-HFpEF registry, a prospective, multicentre, observational study. We evaluated the clinical effectiveness of the following four types of postdischarge medication in the four different phenotypes: angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi) or angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARB), beta blockers, mineralocorticoid-receptor antagonists (MRA) and statins. The primary endpoint of this study was a composite of all-cause death and heart failure hospitalisation. RESULTS: Of 1231 patients, 1100 (83 (IQR 77, 87) years, 604 females) were eligible for analysis. Median follow-up duration was 734 (398, 1108) days. The primary endpoint occurred in 528 patients (48.0%). Cox proportional hazard models with inverse-probability-of-treatment weighting showed the following significant effectiveness of medication on the primary endpoint: MRA for phenotype 2 (weighted HR (wHR) 0.40, 95% CI 0.21 to 0.75, p=0.005); ACEi or ARB for phenotype 3 (wHR 0.66 0.48 to 0.92, p=0.014) and statin therapy for phenotype 3 (wHR 0.43 (0.21 to 0.88), p=0.020). No other medications had significant treatment effects in the four phenotypes. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning-based clustering may have the potential to identify populations in which specific medications may be effective. This study suggests the effectiveness of MRA, ACEi or ARB and statin for specific phenotypes of HFpEF. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000021831.

Clinical trajectories and outcomes of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction with normal or indeterminate diastolic function.

BACKGROUND: We recently reported that nearly half of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) did not show echocardiographic diastolic dysfunction (DD), but had normal diastolic function (ND) or indeterminate diastolic function (ID). However, the clinical course and outcomes of patients with HFpEF with ND or ID (ND/ID) remain unknown. METHODS: From the PURSUIT-HFpEF registry, we extracted 289 patients with HFpEF with ND/ID at discharge who had echocardiographic data at 1-year follow-up. Patients were classified according to the status of progression from ND/ID to DD at 1 year. Primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death or HF rehospitalization. RESULTS: Median age was 81 years, and 138 (47.8%) patients were female. At 1 year, 107 (37%) patients had progressed to DD. The composite endpoint occurred in 90 (31.1%) patients. Compared to patients without progression to DD, those with progression had a significantly higher cumulative rate of the composite endpoint (P < 0.001) and HF rehospitalization (P < 0.001) after discharge and at the 1-year landmark (P = 0.030 and P = 0.001, respectively). Progression to DD was independently associated with the composite endpoint (hazard ratio (HR): 2.014, 95%CI 1.239-3.273, P = 0.005) and HF rehospitalization (HR: 2.362, 95%CI 1.402-3.978) after discharge. Age (odds ratio (OR): 1.043, 95%CI 1.004-1.083, P = 0.031), body mass index (BMI) (OR: 1.110, 95%CI 1.031-1.195, P = 0.006), and albumin (OR: 0.452, 95%CI 0.211-0.969, P = 0.041) were independently associated with progression from ND/ID to DD. CONCLUSIONS: More than one-third of HFpEF patients with ND/ID progressed to DD at 1 year and had poor outcomes. Age, BMI and albumin were independently associated with this progression. UMIN-CTR ID: UMIN000021831.

Individual acute-phase bleeding and thrombotic risk balance assessment in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention for acute myocardial infarction.

Background: Individualized treatment approach based on pre-procedural precise risk balance assessment between bleeding and thrombosis would be desirable for patients with myocardial infarction (MI) undergoing emergent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in this ultra-short dual antiplatelet therapy era. We aimed to develop and validate a quick thrombosis/bleeding risk-balance assessment tool. Methods: We developed and validated a novel thrombosis/bleeding risk-balance assessment tool using individual patient data from the prospective multicenter MI registry. Individual risks of thrombosis and bleeding within 7 days of the index PCI were estimated using a multinomial logistic regression model. The model was developed in the derivation cohort (4554 patients enrolled during 2003-2009) and validated in the validation cohort (2215 patients during 2010-2014). Results: A total of 6769 patients (66 ± 12 years, 5175 men) were eligible in this analysis. Predictive performance of the multinomial logistic regression models for bleeding and thrombosis assessed by calibration plots was good both in the derivation and validation cohorts. The net predicted probability (NPP) was defined as predicted probability of bleeding event (%) - predicted probability of thrombotic event (%). The NPP successfully stratified patients into those with a higher risk of bleeding than thrombosis and those with a higher risk of thrombosis than bleeding. This finding was consistent between the derivation and validation cohorts. Conclusions: We have established the risk balance assessment model for bleeding and thrombosis. Pre-procedural quick and precise assessment of the risk balance may help a decision making of procedural strategy and antithrombotic regimens in STEMI/non-STEMI patients undergoing PCI.

Change in Nutritional Status during Hospitalization and Prognosis in Patients with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction.

The impact of changes in nutritional status during hospitalization on prognosis in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) remains unknown. We examined the association between changes in the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) and prognosis during hospitalization in patients with HFpEF stratified by nutritional status on admission. Nutritional status did and did not worsen in 348 and 349 of 697 patients with high GNRI on admission, and in 142 and 143 of 285 patients with low GNRI on admission, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed no difference in risk of the composite endpoint, all-cause death, or heart failure admission between patients with high GNRI on admission whose nutritional status did and did not worsen. In contrast, patients with low GNRI on admission whose nutritional status did not worsen had a significantly lower risk of the composite endpoint and all-cause death than those who did. Multivariable analysis revealed that worsening nutritional status was independently associated with a higher risk of the composite endpoint and all-cause mortality in patients with low GNRI on admission. Changes in nutritional status during hospitalization were thus associated with prognosis in patients with malnutrition on admission, but not in patients without malnutrition among those with HFpEF.

DR-FLASH Score Is Useful for Identifying Patients With Persistent Atrial Fibrillation Who Require Extensive Catheter Ablation Procedures.

Background Modification of arrhythmogenic substrates with extensive ablation comprising linear and/or complex fractional atrial electrogram ablation in addition to pulmonary vein isolation (PVI-plus) can theoretically reduce the recurrence of atrial fibrillation. The DR-FLASH score (score based on diabetes mellitus, renal dysfunction, persistent form of atrial fibrillation, left atrialdiameter >45 mm, age >65 years, female sex, and hypertension) is reportedly useful for identifying patients with arrhythmogenic substrates. We hypothesized that, in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation, the DR-FLASH score can be used to classify patients into those who require PVI-plus and those for whom a PVI-only strategy is sufficient. Methods and Results This study is a post hoc subanalysis of the a multicenter, randomized controlled, noninferiority trial investigating efficacy and safety of pulmonary vein isolation alone for recurrence prevention compared with extensive ablation in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation (EARNEST-PVI trial). This analysis focuses on the relationship between DR-FLASH score and the efficacy of different ablation strategies. We divided the population into 2 groups based on a DR-FLASH score of 3 points. A total of 469 patients were analyzed. Among those with a DR-FLASH score >3 (N=279), the event rate of atrial arrhythmia recurrence was significantly lower in the PVI-plus arm than in the PVI-only arm (hazard ratio [HR], 0.45 [95% CI, 0.28-0.72]; P<0.001). In contrast, among patients with a DR-FLASH score ≤3 (N=217), no differences were observed in the event rate of atrial arrhythmia recurrence between the PVI-only arm and the PVI-plus arm (HR, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.61-1.89]; P=0.795). There was significant interaction between patients with a DR-FLASH score >3 and DR-FLASH score ≤3 (P value for interaction=0.020). Conclusions The DR-FLASH score is a useful tool for deciding the catheter ablation strategy for patients with persistent atrial fibrillation. Registration URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03514693.

Relationships of Atrial Fibrillation at Diagnosis and Type of Atrial Fibrillation During Follow-up With Long-Term Outcomes for Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Background: Few data are available regarding the impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) at diagnosis and type of AF during the follow-up period on long-term outcomes in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Methods and Results: In all, 1,697 patients diagnosed as HFpEF between March 2010 and December 2017 were included in this study. At enrollment, 698 (41.1%) patients had AF. Over a median follow-up of 1,017 days, there were no significant differences between patients with and without AF in the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause death or admission for heart failure. However, those with AF had a higher risk of stroke (HR 1.831; P=0.003). Of 998 patients with sinus rhythm at enrollment, 139 (13.9%) developed new-onset AF. Predictors of new-onset AF were pulse, hemoglobin, left ventricular end-diastolic dimension, and B-type natriuretic peptide. Compared with sinus rhythm, paroxysmal AF had a similar risk for all-cause death, admission for HF, and stroke; persistent AF had a lower risk of all-cause death (HR 0.701; P=0.015), but a higher risk for admission for HF (HR 1.608; P=0.002); and new-onset AF had a lower risk for all-cause death (HR 0.654; P=0.040), but a higher risk of admission for HF (HR 2.475; P<0.001). Conclusions: In patients with HFpEF, long-term outcome may differ by type of AF. Physicians need to consider individual risk with regard to AF type.

Loop Diuretic Use is Associated With Adverse Clinical Outcomes in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients With Low Volume Status.

To investigate the difference in the prognostic impact of loop diuretics in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) based on plasma volume status, a total of 3,364 survivors of AMI who were registered in the large database of the Osaka Acute Coronary Insufficiency Study (OACIS) were studied. Plasma volume status was assessed by the estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) that was calculated based on a weight- and hematocrit-based formula at discharge. The endpoint was a composite endpoint of all-cause death and rehospitalization due to heart failure for 5 years. During a median follow-up period of 1.9 years, 90 and 223 patients had events in the groups with low ePVS (

Pre-infarction Angina: Time Interval to Onset of Myocardial Infarction and Comorbidity Predictors.

Aims: As part of efforts to identify candidates for patient education aimed at decreasing mortality from acute myocardial infarction, we investigated the prevalence of pre-infarction angina and its predictors among comorbidities in patients who were hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction (MI). Methods: We conducted a prospective multicenter observational registry of MI patients from 1998 to 2014 (N = 12,093). The present study investigated the prevalence of pre-infarction angina and its predictors among comorbidities with a logistic regression model. Pre-infarction angina was defined as chest pain/oppression observed within 1 month before the onset of MI but which lasted <30 min. Results: After excluding 976 (8.1%) patients with missing data on pre-infarction angina, 11,117 patients [66.4 ± 12.0 years, 9,096 (75.2%) male] were analyzed. Of these, 5,428 patients (48.8%) experienced pre-infarction angina before the onset of MI, while 5,689 (51.2%) experienced sudden onset of acute MI. Most patients experienced the first episode of angina >6 h before the onset of MI, while 15% did so ≤6 h before. Patients with hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, or a family history of MI had a higher probability of pre-infarction angina than those without. Elderly patients and those with a history of cerebrovascular disease were less likely to experience pre-infarction angina. Conclusions: Almost half of MI patients in our registry experienced pre-infarction angina before MI onset. Patients with hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, or a family history of MI had a higher probability of experiencing pre-infarction angina than those without.