A Nationwide Physical Activity Intervention for 654,500 Adults in Singapore: Cost-Utility Analysis.

Background: Increasing physical inactivity is a primary risk factor for diabetes and hypertension, contributing to rising health care expenditure and productivity losses. As Singapore's aging population grows, there is an increased disease burden on Singapore's health systems. Large-scale physical activity interventions could potentially reduce the disease burden but face challenges with the uncertainty of long-term health impact and high implementation costs, hindering their adoption. Objective: We examined the cost-effectiveness of the Singapore National Steps Challenge (NSC), an annual nationwide mobile health (mHealth) intervention to increase physical activity, from both the health care provider perspective, which only considers the direct costs, and the societal perspective, which considers both the direct and indirect costs. Methods: We used a Markov model to assess the long-term impact of increased physical activity from the NSC on adults aged 17 years and older. A Monte Carlo simulation with 1000 samples was conducted to compare two situations: the NSC conducted yearly for 10 years against a no-intervention situation with no NSC. The model projected inpatient and outpatient costs and mortality arising from diabetes and hypertension, as well as their complications. Health outcomes were expressed in terms of the quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. All future costs and QALYs were discounted at 3% per annum. Sensitivity analyses were done to test the robustness of our model results. Results: We estimated that conducting the NSC yearly for 10 years with a mean cohort size of 654,500 participants was projected to prevent 6200 diabetes cases (95% credible interval 3700 to 9100), 10,500 hypertension cases (95% credible interval 6550 to 15,200), and 4930 deaths (95% credible interval 3260 to 6930). This led to a reduction in health care costs of SGD (Singapore dollar) 448 million (95% credible interval SGD 132 million to SGD 1.09 billion; SGD 1=US $0.73 for the year 2019). There would be 78,800 (95% credible interval 55,700 to 102,000) QALYs gained. Using a willingness-to-pay threshold of SGD 10,000 per QALY gained, the NSC would be cost-saving. When indirect costs were included, the NSC was estimated to reduce societal costs by SGD 1.41 billion (95% credible interval SGD 353 million to SGD 3.80 billion). The model was most sensitive to changes in the inpatient cost of treatment for diabetes complications, time horizon, and program compliance. Conclusions: In this modeling study, increasing physical activity by conducting a yearly nationwide physical activity intervention was cost-saving, preventing diabetes and hypertension and reducing mortality from these diseases. Our results provide important information for decision-making in countries that may consider introducing similar large-scale physical activity programs.

The prospective associations of 24-hour movement behaviors and domain-specific activities with executive function and academic achievement among school-aged children in Singapore.

Background: Physical activity (PA), sedentary behavior (SB), and sleep are collectively referred to as 24-h movement behaviors, which may be linked to cognitive development in children. However, most of the evidence was based on cross-sectional studies and/or solely relied on parent-reported information on children's behaviors, and it remains uncertain whether all domains/contexts of PA and SB are similarly associated with executive function and academic achievement. Objective: We investigated the prospective associations of accelerometer-measured 24 h-movement behaviors and domain-specific PA and SB with executive function and academic achievement among school-aged children in Singapore. Methods: The Growing Up in Singapore Toward healthy Outcomes (GUSTO) cohort used a wrist-worn accelerometer (Actigraph-GT3x+) to measure 24 h-movement behaviors data at ages 5.5 and 8 years. Executive function and academic achievement were assessed using NEuroPSYchology (NEPSY) and Wechsler Individual Achievement Tests at ages 8.5 and 9-years, respectively. Compositional data analyses were conducted to explore the associations of 24 h-movement behavior with outcomes, and multiple linear regression models to examine the associations of domain-specific PA and SB with outcomes (n = 432). Results: Among 432 children whose parents agreed to cognitive assessments (47% girls and 58% Chinese), the composition of 24 h-movement behaviors at ages 5.5 and 8 years was not associated with executive function and academic achievement. However, higher moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA) relative to remaining movement behaviors at age 5.5 years was associated with lower academic achievement [Mean difference (95% confidence interval): -0.367 (-0.726, -0.009) z-score], and reallocating MVPA time to sleep showed higher academic achievement scores [30 min from MVPA to sleep: 0.214 (0.023, 0.404) z-score]. Certain domains of PA and SB, notably organized PA/sports, outdoor play, and reading books were favorably associated with outcomes of interest, while indoor play and screen-viewing were unfavorably associated. Conclusion: The associations between movement behaviors and cognitive outcomes are multifaceted, influenced by specific domains of PA and SB. This study underscores the importance of participation in organized PA/sports, outdoor active play, and reading books, while ensuring adequate sleep and limiting screen viewing, to enhance cognitive outcomes. These findings underscore the need for further research into time-use trade-offs. Such studies could have major implications for revising current guidelines or strategies aimed at promoting healthier 24 h-movement behaviors in children. Study registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/, NCT01174875.

Impact of standardized tobacco packaging on smoking-related behaviors and perceptions in Singapore.

INTRODUCTION: Singapore phased in standardized tobacco packaging on 1 July 2020 following a three-month grace period. This pre-post study evaluated its impacts on smoking-related behaviors and perceptions among adults who currently smoke. METHODS: Baseline and follow-up data were collected in a pre- and post-questionnaire from a cohort of 1873 Singaporean adults who were currently smoking at baseline. Baseline data were collected from December 2019 to May 2020, and follow-up data from July 2021 to September 2021. We used descriptive statistics and bivariate analyses to assess pre-post changes (Bhapkar's test, Wilcoxon signed rank test) and to identify characteristics of participants who had quit or cut down smoking at follow-up (Pearson's chi-squared, Fisher's exact test). RESULTS: At follow-up, 11.7% (n=220) had quit smoking. There was a higher proportion of those smoking non-daily (pre: 13.1%, post: 16.9%; p<0.001), and those intending to quit within the next year (pre: 14.8%, post: 17.5%; p<0.05) or six months (pre: 10.4%, post: 13.2%; p<0.01). Tobacco products were scored more negatively in relation to packaging, quality, satisfaction, value for money and overall appeal (scores pre: 15.9, post: 14.3; p<0.001), harmfulness (scores pre: 0.61, post: 0.54; p<0.05), noticing others smoking the same brand (scores pre: 1.92, post: 1.65; p<0.001), and considering quitting due to health warnings (scores pre: 0.81, post: 0.86, p<0.05). Fewer reported that some cigarette brands have higher prestige (pre: 58.0, post: 54.3%; p<0.01), and more reported using flavored cigarettes (pre: 42.2%, post: 60.1%; p<0.001) and e-cigarettes (pre: 4.2%, post: 6.1%; p<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: In Singapore, the changes observed before and after the implementation of standardized packaging suggest that it might be associated with quit-related outcomes, reduced tobacco product appeal, and increased effectiveness of graphic health warnings.

Hourly step recommendations to achieve daily goals for working and older adults.

BACKGROUND: The widespread use of physical activity trackers enables the collection of high-resolution health data, such as hourly step counts, to evaluate health promotion programmes. We aim to investigate how participants meet their daily step goals. METHODS: We used 24-h steps data from the National Steps ChallengeTM Season 3, wherein participants were rewarded with vouchers when achieving specified goals of 5000, 7500, and 10,000 steps per day. We extracted data from 3075 participants' including a total of 52,346 participant-days. We modelled the hourly step counts using a two-part model, in which the distribution for step counts was allowed to depend on the sum of step counts up to the previous hour and participant demographics. RESULTS: Participants have a mean age of 44.2 years (standard deviation = 13.9), and 40.4% are males. We show that on weekdays, the hourly mean step counts among participants aged 60 and above are higher than participants aged 30 to 59 from the start of the day till 6 p.m. We also find that participants who accumulate at least 7000 steps by 7 p.m. are associated with higher success of achieving 10,000 steps. CONCLUSIONS: We provide recommendations on the hourly targets to achieve daily goals, based on different participants' characteristics. Future studies could experimentally test if prompts and nudges at the recommended times of day could promote reaching step goals.

The National Steps Challenge^TM is a nationwide physical activity programme in Singapore that encourages participants to exercise more. We used daily step data from over 3000 adult participants to investigate how different types of participants met their daily step goals. We found that participants who had taken at least 7000 steps by 7 p.m. were more likely to achieve 10,000 steps by the end of the day. Based on our analysis, we propose specific recommendations for hourly targets based on characteristics such as age and sex. Our study provides a better understanding of the population's physical activity levels which will enable people to be given targeted recommendations based on their own characteristics that might facilitate them more easily meeting their exercise goals.

Pharmacotherapy for Venous Thromboprophylaxis following Total Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-analysis.

The optimal pharmacological prophylaxis for venous thromboembolism (VTE) after hip or knee arthroplasty is uncertain. We conducted a systematic review and network meta-analysis to compare the efficacy and safety of various medications. We searched multiple databases for randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing medications (including factor Xa inhibitors, factor IIa inhibitor, warfarin, unfractionated heparin [UFH], low-molecular-weight heparin [LMWH], aspirin, pentasaccharide) for VTE prophylaxis post-arthroplasty. Outcomes included any postoperative VTE identified with screening, major bleeding, and death. We used LMWH as the main comparator for analysis and performed trial sequential analysis (TSA) for each pairwise comparison. Certainty of evidence was assessed using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessments, Developments and Evaluations). We analyzed 70 RCTs (55,841 participants). Factor Xa inhibitors decreased postoperative VTE significantly compared with LMWH (odds ratio [OR]: 0.55, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.44-0.68, high certainty). Pentasaccharides probably reduce VTE (OR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.36-1.02, moderate certainty), while the factor IIa inhibitor dabigatran may reduce VTE (OR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.40-1.42, low certainty). UFH probably increases VTE compared with LMWH (OR: 1.31, 95% CI: 0.91-1.89, moderate certainty), and other agents like warfarin, aspirin, placebo, and usual care without thromboprophylaxis increase VTE (high certainty). Factor Xa inhibitors may not significantly affect major bleeding compared with LMWH (OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.81-1.39, low certainty). No medications had a notable effect on mortality compared with LMWH (very low certainty). TSA suggests sufficient evidence for the benefit of factor Xa inhibitors over LMWH for VTE prevention. Compared with LMWH and aspirin, factor Xa inhibitors are associated with reduced VTE after hip or knee arthroplasty, without an increase in bleeding and likely no impact on mortality.

Ecological momentary assessment of digital food and beverage marketing exposure and impact in young adults: A feasibility study.

Unhealthy food marketing is contributing to the obesity epidemic, but real-time insights into the mechanisms of this relationship are under-studied. Digital marketing is growing and following food and beverage (F&B) brands on social media is common, but measurement of exposure and impact of such marketing presents novel challenges. Thus, this study aimed to evaluate the feasibility of collecting data on exposure and impact of digital F&B marketing (DFM) using a smartphone-based ecological momentary assessment (EMA) methodology. We hypothesized that DFM-induced food cravings would vary based on whether (or not) participants engaged with F&B brands online. Participants were Singapore residents (n = 95, 21-40 years), recruited via telephone from an existing cohort. Participants were asked to upload screenshots of all sightings of online F&B marketing messages for seven days, and answer in-app contextual questions about sightings including whether any cravings were induced. Participants provided a total of 1310 uploads (median 9 per participant, Q1-Q3: 4-21) of F&B marketing messages, 27% of which were provided on Day 1, significantly more than on other days (P < 0.001). Followers of food/beverage brands on social media encountered 25.6 percentage points (95% CI 11.4, 39.7) more marketing messages that induced cravings than participants who were not followers. University education was also associated with more (18.1 percentage points; 95% CI 3.1, 33.1) encounters with marketing messages that induced cravings. It was practical and acceptable to participants to gather insights into digital F&B marketing exposure and impact using EMA in young adults, although a shorter study period is recommended in future studies. Followers of food and beverage brands on social media appear to be more prone to experience cravings after exposure to digital F&B marketing.

The cross-sectional and prospective associations of parental practices and environmental factors with 24-hour movement behaviours among school-aged Asian children.

BACKGROUND: Parental practices and neighbourhood environmental factors may influence children's movement behaviours. We aimed to investigate the cross-sectional and prospective associations of parental practices and neighbourhood environmental factors with accelerometer-measured 24-hour movement behaviours (24 h-MBs) among school-aged children in Singapore. METHODS: The Growing Up in Singapore Towards healthy Outcomes (GUSTO) study collected information on dimensions of parental practices and neighbourhood environment at age 5.5 years. Confirmatory factor analyses were performed to generate latent variables and used to compute overall parental practices [involvement in PA + support for PA + control of screen viewing context] and environmental scores [facilities for active play + active mobility facilitators + barriers*-1]. Children wore an accelerometer on their non-dominant wrist for seven consecutive days at ages 5.5 and 8 years. The R-package GGIR 2.6 was used to derive moderate-to-vigorous-intensity physical activity (MVPA), light-intensity physical activity (LPA), inactivity, and total-sleep (napping+night sleep) minutes per day. Associations were determined using compositional data analysis with multivariate linear regression models, taking into account potential confounders. RESULTS: Among 425 children (48% girls, 59% Chinese), higher parental involvement in PA, parental support for PA and overall parental practices were associated with 24 h-MBs at ages 5.5 and 8 years, specifically with greater time spent in MVPA and less time being inactive relative to the remaining movement behaviours. The corresponding mean changes in the overall 24 h-MB for increasing parental practices from lowest to highest scores (- 2 to + 2 z-scores) indicated potential increases of up to 15-minutes in MVPA, 20-minutes in LPA, 5-minutes in sleep duration, and a reduction of 40-minutes in inactivity at age 5.5 years. At age 8 years, this could translate to approximately 15-minutes more of MVPA, 20-minutes more of LPA, a 20-minute reduction in sleep duration, and a 20-minute reduction in inactivity. Parental control of screen viewing contexts and neighbourhood environmental factors were not associated with 24 h-MBs. CONCLUSIONS: Parental practices but not environmental factors were associated with higher MVPA and lower inactivity among Singaporean children, even at a later age. Further research may provide insights that support development of targeted public health strategies to promote healthier movement behaviours among children. STUDY REGISTRATION: This study was registered on 4th August 2010 and is available online at ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01174875.

Empowering patients with comorbid diabetes and hypertension through a multi-component intervention of mobile app, health coaching and shared decision-making: Protocol for an effectiveness-implementation of randomised controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: Diabetes and hypertension are prevalent and costly to the health system. We have developed a mobile app (EMPOWER app) which enables remote monitoring and education through personalised nudges. We aim to study the effectiveness of a multi-component intervention comprising the EMPOWER mobile app with health coaching and shared decision-making for diabetes and hypertension. METHODS: We will conduct a two-arm, open-label, pragmatic randomised controlled trial (RCT). Participants with comorbid diabetes and hypertension enrolled from public primary care clinics will be randomised to either intervention or control in a 1:1 ratio. The intervention group participants will have access to health coaching with shared decision-making interventions in addition to the EMPOWER app and their usual primary care. The control group participants will continue to receive usual primary care and will neither receive the EMPOWER app nor health coaching and shared decision-making interventions. Our primary outcome is change in HbA1c level over 9 months. Secondary outcomes include change in systolic blood pressure, quality of life, patient activation, medication adherence, physical activity level, diet, and healthcare cost (direct and indirect) over 9 months. DISCUSSION: Our trial will provide key insights into clinical- and cost-effectiveness of a multi-component intervention comprising EMPOWER mobile app, health coaching and shared decision-making in diabetes and hypertension management. This trial will also offer evidence on cost-effective and sustainable methods for promoting behavioural changes among patients with comorbid diabetes and hypertension. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was registered on clintrials.gov on August 3, 2022, with the trial registration number: NCT05486390.

Mechanical circulatory support for cardiogenic shock: a network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials and propensity score-matched studies.

PURPOSE: Cardiogenic shock is associated with high mortality. In refractory shock, it is unclear if mechanical circulatory support (MCS) devices improve survival. We conducted a network meta-analysis to determine which MCS devices confers greatest benefit. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and Scopus databases through 27 August 2023 for relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and propensity score-matched studies (PSMs). We conducted frequentist network meta-analysis, investigating mortality (either 30 days or in-hospital) as the primary outcome. We assessed risk of bias (Cochrane risk of bias 2.0 tool/Newcastle-Ottawa Scale) and as sensitivity analysis reconstructed survival data from published survival curves for a one-stage unadjusted individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis using a stratified Cox model. RESULTS: We included 38 studies (48,749 patients), mostly reporting on patients with Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Intervention shock stages C-E cardiogenic shock. Compared with no MCS, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation with intra-aortic balloon pump (ECMO-IABP; network odds ratio [OR]: 0.54, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.33-0.86, moderate certainty) was associated with lower mortality. There were no differences in mortality between ECMO, IABP, microaxial ventricular assist device (mVAD), ECMO-mVAD, centrifugal VAD, or mVAD-IABP and no MCS (all very low certainty). Our one-stage IPD survival meta-analysis based on the stratified Cox model found only ECMO-IABP was associated with lower mortality (hazard ratio, HR, 0.55, 95% CI 0.46-0.66). CONCLUSION: In patients with cardiogenic shock, ECMO-IABP may reduce mortality, while other MCS devices did not reduce mortality. However, this must be interpreted within the context of inter-study heterogeneity and limited certainty of evidence.

Preoperative anemia and anemia treatment in cardiac surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: We aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the effects of anemia and anemia severity on patient outcomes in cardiac surgery and determine whether preoperative treatments confer postoperative benefit. SOURCE: We searched four international databases for observational and randomized studies published until 1 October 2022. Study quality was assessed via Newcastle-Ottawa scores and the Cochrane Risk-of-Bias 2 tool and certainty of evidence was rated with the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations approach. We conducted random-effects meta-analyses for our primary outcome of mortality, for secondary outcomes including length of stay (LOS) in the hospital and intensive care unit, and for postsurgical complications. As part of a secondary analysis, we analyzed short-term preoperative anemia treatments and conducted trial sequential analysis of randomized trials to assess the efficacy of these treatment programs. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We included 35 studies (159,025 patients) in our primary meta-analysis. Preoperative anemia was associated with increased mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.2 to 2.9; P < 0.001, high certainty). Study-level meta-regression revealed lower hemoglobin levels and studies with lower proportions of male patients to be associated with increased risk of mortality. Preoperative anemia was also associated with an increase in LOS and postsurgical complications. Our secondary analysis (seven studies, 1,012 patients) revealed short-term preoperative anemia treatments did not significantly reduce mortality (OR, 1.1; 95% CI, 0.65 to 1.9; P = 0.69). Trial sequential analysis suggested that there was insufficient evidence to conclude if treatment programs yield any benefit or harm. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative anemia is associated with mortality and morbidity after cardiac surgery. More research is warranted to test the efficacy of current anemia treatment programs. STUDY REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (CRD42022319431); first submitted 17 April 2023.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Notre objectif était de mener une revue systématique et une méta-analyse pour évaluer les effets de l'anémie et de la gravité de l'anémie sur les devenirs des patient·es en chirurgie cardiaque et déterminer si les traitements préopératoires conféraient un bénéfice postopératoire. SOURCES: Nous avons réalisé des recherches dans quatre bases de données internationales pour en extraire des études observationnelles et randomisées publiées jusqu'au 1er octobre 2022. La qualité des études a été évaluée à l'aide des scores de Newcastle-Ottawa et de l'outil Cochrane 2 sur le risque de biais, et la certitude des données probantes a été évaluée selon l'approche GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations). Nous avons réalisé des méta-analyses à effets aléatoires pour notre critère d'évaluation principal de mortalité, pour les critères d'évaluation secondaires, notamment la durée du séjour à l'hôpital et à l'unité de soins intensifs, et pour les complications postopératoires. Dans le cadre d'une analyse secondaire, nous avons examiné les traitements préopératoires de l'anémie à court terme et effectué une analyse séquentielle d'études randomisées afin d'évaluer l'efficacité de ces modalités de traitement. CONSTATATIONS PRINCIPALES: Nous avons inclus 35 études portant sur 159 025 patient·es dans notre méta-analyse. L'anémie préopératoire était associée à une augmentation de la mortalité (rapport de cotes [RC], 2,5; intervalle de confiance [IC] à 95 %, 2,2 à 2,9; P < 0,001, certitude élevée). La méta-régression au niveau de l'étude a révélé que des taux d'hémoglobine plus faibles et des études avec des proportions plus faibles de patients masculins étaient associées à un risque accru de mortalité. L'anémie préopératoire était également associée à une augmentation de la durée de séjour et des complications postopératoires. Notre analyse secondaire (sept études, 1012 patient·es) a révélé que les traitements préopératoires de l'anémie à court terme ne réduisaient pas significativement la mortalité (RC, 1,1; IC 95 %, 0,65 à 1,9; P = 0,69). L'analyse séquentielle des études a suggéré qu'il n'y avait pas suffisamment de données probantes pour conclure si les modalités de traitement entraînaient un bénéfice ou un préjudice. CONCLUSION: L'anémie préopératoire est associée à la mortalité et à la morbidité après une chirurgie cardiaque. D'autres recherches sont justifiées pour tester l'efficacité des programmes actuels de traitement de l'anémie. ENREGISTREMENT DE L'éTUDE: PROSPERO (CRD42022319431); première soumission le 17 avril 2023.

Examining resilience in Singapore in the face of COVID-19 community restrictions.

Introduction: To curb transmission of COVID-19, Singapore has experienced multiple, ongoing community restrictions. Gaining the ability to adapt and thrive under pressure will be key to addressing effects of these restrictions on mental health. To inform this, we examine the following research questions, (1) What typifies adversity related to living with on-off COVID-19 restrictions? (2) Who are the resilient? (3) How are negative effects of adversity attenuated? Methods: Participants were a part of the Strengthening Our Community's Resilience Against Threats from Emerging Infections (SOCRATES) cohort, invited to participate in this survey either via email or text message. Using the community survey data (N = 1,364), analyses including Wilcoxon rank sum test and logistic regression were conducted. Results: Adversities are identified as circumstances associated with a significant increase in Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) scores. These are typified by having financial worries; experiencing heightened emotions and frequent crying; having "out of body" experiences; having to move frequently or not being able to settle into accommodation; and regularly feeling mistreated by someone close to you. Being resilient in the face of adversity was determined by HADS scores for depression and anxiety (dichotomized at the median) and characterized by overall better social relationships such as having harmonious living situations and solution-driven coping strategies, especially the ability to harness the belief that difficult situations can lead to growth. Discussion: In accordance with the Loads-Levers-Lifts model, results indicate that initiatives that increase access to identified protection, while minimizing exposure to known adversities where possible, will promote resilience under COVID-19 restrictions.

Associations of childhood and current secondhand smoke exposure at home with current secondhand smoke exposure at work: A cross-sectional analysis of the Singapore multi-ethnic cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Relationships between secondhand smoke exposure (SHSE) in various temporal and physical settings are not fully studied despite its adverse impacts on human health, especially in multi-ethnic Asian populations. We investigated associations of childhood and current SHSE at home (SHSEhome) with current SHSE at work (SHSEwork) in Singapore and its relation to sources of daily smokers at home. METHODS: This cross-sectional study identified 925 healthy, never smoker working adults from the Singapore Multi-Ethnic Cohort (2004-2010). Firstly, the multiple logistic regression model estimated the adjusted odds ratios (AORs) of SHSEhome. Subsequently, sources of daily smokers entered through an additional model building process using the former as a base. RESULTS: Current adults (AOR=2.05; 95% CI: 1.28-3.29) and childhood SHSEhome (AOR=1.43; 95% CI: 0.93-2.19) had a positive and no association with current SHSEwork, respectively. These findings persisted when smoker identity-related variables entered the model: child (AOR=3.56; 95% CI: 1.19-10.64) for current daily smokers; father (AOR=2.30; 95% CI: 0.94-5.64) and sibling (AOR=2.97; 95% CI: 1.55-5.68) for childhood. Compared to no childhood SHSEhome, only those living with their fathers and siblings who smoked daily at home had significantly higher odds of reporting current SHSEwork (AOR=3.70; 95% CI: 1.88-7.30). CONCLUSIONS: Current SHSEhome was a risk factor for current SHSEwork, with risks elevated among those who smoke daily at home and living with their children. Childhood SHSEhome becomes a risk factor when daily household smokers include fathers and siblings. Deformalizing smoking could consider interpersonal dynamics of daily smokers at home with family members in different temporal settings, to reduce SHSEwork.

Evaluating the Effects of Rewards and Schedule Length on Response Rates to Ecological Momentary Assessment Surveys: Randomized Controlled Trials.

BACKGROUND: Ecological momentary assessments (EMAs) are short, repeated surveys designed to collect information on experiences in real-time, real-life contexts. Embedding periodic bursts of EMAs within cohort studies enables the study of experiences on multiple timescales and could greatly enhance the accuracy of self-reported information. However, the burden on participants may be high and should be minimized to optimize EMA response rates. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the effects of study design features on EMA response rates. METHODS: Embedded within an ongoing cohort study (Health@NUS), 3 bursts of EMAs were implemented over a 7-month period (April to October 2021). The response rate (percentage of completed EMA surveys from all sent EMA surveys; 30-42 individual EMA surveys sent/burst) for each burst was examined. Following a low response rate in burst 1, changes were made to the subsequent implementation strategy (SMS text message announcements instead of emails). In addition, 2 consecutive randomized controlled trials were conducted to evaluate the efficacy of 4 different reward structures (with fixed and bonus components) and 2 different schedule lengths (7 or 14 d) on changes to the EMA response rate. Analyses were conducted from 2021 to 2022 using ANOVA and analysis of covariance to examine group differences and mixed models to assess changes across all 3 bursts. RESULTS: Participants (N=384) were university students (n=232, 60.4% female; mean age 23, SD 1.3 y) in Singapore. Changing the reward structure did not significantly change the response rate (F3,380=1.75; P=.16). Changing the schedule length did significantly change the response rate (F1,382=6.23; P=.01); the response rate was higher for the longer schedule (14 d; mean 48.34%, SD 33.17%) than the shorter schedule (7 d; mean 38.52%, SD 33.44%). The average response rate was higher in burst 2 and burst 3 (mean 50.56, SD 33.61 and mean 48.34, SD 33.17, respectively) than in burst 1 (mean 25.78, SD 30.12), and the difference was statistically significant (F2,766=93.83; P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: Small changes to the implementation strategy (SMS text messages instead of emails) may have contributed to increasing the response rate over time. Changing the available rewards did not lead to a significant difference in the response rate, whereas changing the schedule length did lead to a significant difference in the response rate. Our study provides novel insights on how to implement EMA surveys in ongoing cohort studies. This knowledge is essential for conducting high-quality studies using EMA surveys. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05154227; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05154227.

Cross-sectional and prospective associations between children's 24-h time use and their health-related quality of life: a compositional isotemporal substitution approach.

Background: Promoting active, balanced lifestyles among children may be an important approach to optimising their health-related quality of life (HRQoL). However, the relationships between children's movement behaviours and HRQoL remain unclear. Methods: We examined the associations between movement behaviours (sleep, inactivity, light and moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity) assessed using accelerometers at ages 8 and 10 years and self-reported HRQoL scores (overall, and physical and emotional well-being, self-esteem, relationship with family and friends, and school functioning domains) at age 10 years among 370 children in a local birth cohort using compositional isotemporal substitution techniques. Findings: Cross-sectionally, light and moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activities were associated with better self-esteem (ß = 15.94 [2.71, 29.18]) and relationship with friends (ß = 10.28 [3.81, 16.74]) scores respectively. Prospectively, inactivity was associated with lower overall HRQoL (ß = -10.00 [-19.13, -0.87]), relationship with friends (ß = -16.41 [-31.60, -1.23]) and school functioning (ß = -15.30 [-29.16, -1.44]) scores, while sleep showed a positive trend with overall HRQoL (ß = 10.76 [-1.09, 22.61]) and school functioning (ß = 17.12 [-0.87, 35.10]) scores. Children's movement behaviours were not associated with their physical and emotional well-being, or relationship with family scores. The isotemporal substitution analyses suggest that increasing time spent in physical activity and/or sleep at the expense of inactivity may benefit children's HRQoL. Interpretation: Our findings suggest that sleep and physical activity may be associated with better HRQoL, with the inverse for inactivity. However, the relationship between children's movement behaviours and HRQoL is complex and warrants further research. Funding: Singapore National Research Foundation, Singapore Institute for Clinical Sciences, Agency for Science, Technology and Research.

Evaluating the association of COVID-19 restrictions on discharge planning and post-discharge outcomes in the community hospital and Singapore regional health system.

Objectives: The COVID-19 is a global health issue with widespread impact around the world, and many countries initiated lockdowns as part of their preventive measures. We aim to quantify the duration of delay in discharge to community from Community Hospitals, as well as quantify adverse patient outcomes post discharge pre and during lockdown period. Design and methods: We conducted a before-after study comparing the length of stay in Community Hospitals, unscheduled readmissions or Emergency Department attendance, patients' quality of life using EQ5D-5l, number and severity of falls, in patients admitted and discharged before and during lockdown period. Results: The average length of stay in the lockdown group (27.77 days) were significantly longer than that of the pre-lockdown group (23.76 days), p = 0.003. There were similar proportions of patients with self-reported falls post discharge between both groups. Patients in the pre-lockdown group had slightly better EQ-5D-5l Index score at 0.55, compared to the lockdown study group at 0.49. Half of the patients in both groups were referred to Community Care Services on discharge. Conclusion: Our study would help in developing a future systematic preparedness guideline and contingency plans in times of disease outbreak and other similar public health emergencies.

Association of physical activity with dementia and cognitive decline in UK Biobank.

INTRODUCTION: There is a lack of studies on the association between specific physical activity (PA) types and dementia. We examined the association of leisure time physical activity (LTPA), occupational physical activity (OPA), and sedentary lifestyle with dementia risk and cognitive decline using the UK-Biobank study. METHODS: Baseline PA was collected using questionnaires. A total of 502,481 dementia-free participants were recruited in 2006-2010 and followed for 10 years until the end of 2020 for the ascertainment of dementia. Associations of PA with incident dementia and cognitive decline were examined. RESULTS: Higher levels of LTPA and OPA and lower levels of sedentary hours were associated with lower dementia risk. The fifth quintiles of LTPA (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.53, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.43-0.67) and OPA (HR = 0.68, 95% CI:0.51-0.90) had lower dementia risk, whereas the fifth quintile of sedentary lifestyle had higher dementia risk (HR = 1.23, 95% CI:1.08-1.41). DISCUSSION: Our findings suggest the promotion of an active lifestyle suggested to be preventive of dementia risk. This research has been conducted using the UK Biobank Resource under Application Number 71022.

Risk prediction models for type 2 diabetes using either fasting plasma glucose or HbA1c in Chinese, Malay, and Indians: Results from three multi-ethnic Singapore cohorts.

AIMS: To assess three well-established type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk prediction models based on fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in Chinese, Malays, and Indians, and to develop simplified risk models based on either FPG or HbA1c. METHODS: We used a prospective multiethnic Singapore cohort to evaluate the established models and develop simplified models. 6,217 participants without T2D at baseline were included, with an average follow-up duration of 8.3 years. The simplified risk models were validated in two independent multiethnic Singapore cohorts (N = 12,720). RESULTS: The established risk models had moderate-to-good discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, AUCs 0.762 - 0.828) but a lack of fit (P-values < 0.05). Simplified risk models that included fewer predictors (age, BMI, systolic blood pressure, triglycerides, and HbA1c or FPG) showed good discrimination in all cohorts (AUCs ≥ 0.810), and sufficiently captured differences between the ethnic groups. While recalibration improved fit the simplified models in validation cohorts, there remained evidence of miscalibration in Chinese (p ≤ 0.012). CONCLUSIONS: Simplified risk models including HbA1c or FPG had good discrimination in predicting incidence of T2D in three major Asian ethnic groups. Risk functions with HbA1c performed as well as those with FPG.

Factors influencing myopia stabilisation in young myopic adult Singaporeans.

PURPOSE: To evaluate factors influencing stabilisation of myopia in the Singapore Cohort of Risk factors for Myopia. METHODS: We evaluated the longitudinal natural history of 424 myopic participants from 1999 to 2022. The outcome was the change in myopia from the adolescence follow-up visit (aged 12-19 years) to the adulthood follow-up visit (aged 26-33 years). Association of predictive factors, including baseline spherical error, gender, ethnicity, parental myopia, time outdoor, near work and age at adolescence, was examined with the dichotomous outcome of adult myopia progression (≤ -1.00 dioptres (D) over 10 years) using multiple logistic regression and progression in linear regression models. RESULTS: For the primary outcome, the mean rate of progression of the outcome was found to be -0.04±0.09 D per year from the adolescent to the adulthood follow-up visits. 82.3% (95% CI 78.3% to 85.8%) had myopia stabilisation, with progression of less than 1.00 D over 10 years while 61.3% (95% CI 56.5% to 66.0%) of the subjects had progression of less than 0.50 D. In logistic regression models, both male gender (p=0.035) and non-Chinese ethnicity (p=0.032) were more likely to achieve myopia stabilisation while in linear multivariate regression models, males had a significantly slower degree of myopia progression (p=0.021). CONCLUSION: 5 in 6 Singaporean young adults had myopia stabilisation. Male gender is 2 times and non-Chinese ethnicities are 2.5 times more likely to achieve myopia stabilisation. However, a proportion of myopes continue to exhibit a clinically significant degree of progression in adulthood.

The association of diffusion tensor MRI measures of normal appearing white matter and cognition.

Objective: Median and peak height of fractional anisotropy (FA) and mean diffusivity (MD) are diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) markers used to quantify white matter microstructure changes. We examine the association of DTI histogram-derived measures in global normal appearing white matter (NAWM) and cognitive decline in patients with normal cognition and cognitive impairment no dementia from a memory clinic in Singapore. Methods: A total of 252 patients (mean age: 71.1 ± 7.6 years, 53.2% women) were included. All patients underwent clinical assessments, a brain MRI scan at baseline, and neuropsychological assessments annually for 2 years. DTI scans were processed to obtain MD and FA histogram-derived measures. The National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke and the Canadian Stroke Network harmonization neuropsychological battery were used to assess cognitive function. Linear regression models with generalised estimating equation (GEE) and logistic regression models were used to examine the association between DTI histogram measures and cognitive decline. Results: When compared to baseline, MD and FA measures at Year 2 were associated with an accelerated worsening in global cognition (all p for interaction <0.001; Year 0 vs 2, MD median: -0.29 (95%CI: -0.49, -0.09) vs -0.45 (95%CI: -0.65,-0.25); MD peak height: 0.22 (95%CI: 0.07, 0.37) vs 0.37 (95%CI: 0.21, 0.53); FA median: 0.11 (95%CI: -0.05, 0.26) vs 0.22 (95%CI: 0.07, 0.37); FA peak height: -0.14 (95%CI: -0.28, 0.00) vs -0.24 (95%CI: -0.38, -0.10);). Similar findings were observed for executive function and visuomotor speed while only MD measures predicted worsening in memory domain. Interpretation: This study shows that DTI histogram measures are associated with accelerated cognitive decline suggesting the utility of DTI as a pre-clinical marker in predicting the worsening of cognition in clinical trials.

Association Between Domain-Specific Physical Activity and Cardiometabolic Factors in a Multiethnic Asian Population: A Longitudinal Study.

AIMS: To examine the association between domain-specific physical activity (PA) and cardiometabolic factors with longitudinal data, which is limited in current literature. METHODS: Participants who attended the Singapore Multi-Ethnic Cohort and follow-up surveys were included in this study (N = 3950, mean age: 44.7 y, female: 57.9%). Self-reported moderate- to vigorous-intensity PA (MVPA) for each domain (leisure-time, transportation, occupation, and household) was categorized into 4 levels: no, low, middle, and high MVPA. The longitudinal associations of domain-specific MVPA with cardiometabolic factors including systolic and diastolic blood pressures, low-density and high-density lipoprotein cholesterols, triglycerides, and body mass index were examined using Generalized Estimating Equations, accounting for confounding factors and repeated measurements. RESULTS: There were 5.2% participants who had no MVPA. For each domain, this rate ranged from 22.6% (household) to 83.3% (occupation). Leisure-time and occupation MVPAs had positive and linear associations with high-density lipoprotein cholesterols, corresponding to 0.030 (95% confidence interval, 0.015 to 0.045) mmol/L (leisure-time) and 0.063 (95% confidence interval, 0.043 to 0.083) mmol/L (occupation), when compared high with no respective MVPA. Occupation and household MVPAs were associated with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Transportation and occupation exhibited a positive and linear relationship with diastolic blood pressure. None of the domains were associated with body mass index, systolic blood pressures, or triglycerides. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that each domain had differential association with individual cardiometabolic risk factors. As occupation, transportation, or household PA had unfavorable associations with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol or diastolic blood pressure, the overall beneficial impact of higher PA levels may not necessarily hold in the context of domain-specific PA and cardiovascular health. Further investigation is needed to corroborate our findings.