International trends in oesophageal cancer survival by histological subtype between 1995 and 2014.

INTRODUCTION: Survival from oesophageal cancer remains poor, even across high-income countries. Ongoing changes in the epidemiology of the disease highlight the need for survival assessments by its two main histological subtypes, adenocarcinoma (AC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). METHODS: The ICBP SURVMARK-2 project, a platform for international comparisons of cancer survival, collected cases of oesophageal cancer diagnosed 1995 to 2014, followed until 31st December 2015, from cancer registries covering seven participating countries with similar access to healthcare (Australia, Canada, Denmark, Ireland, New Zealand, Norway and the UK). 1-year and 3-year age-standardised net survival alongside incidence rates were calculated by country, subtype, sex, age group and period of diagnosis. RESULTS: 111 894 cases of AC and 73 408 cases of SCC were included in the analysis. Marked improvements in survival were observed over the 20-year period in each country, particularly for AC, younger age groups and 1 year after diagnosis. Survival was consistently higher for both subtypes in Australia and Ireland followed by Norway, Denmark, New Zealand, the UK and Canada. During 2010 to 2014, survival was higher for AC compared with SCC, with 1-year survival ranging from 46.9% (Canada) to 54.4% (Ireland) for AC and 39.6% (Denmark) to 53.1% (Australia) for SCC. CONCLUSION: Marked improvements in both oesophageal AC and SCC survival suggest advances in treatment. Less marked improvements 3 years after diagnosis, among older age groups and patients with SCC, highlight the need for further advances in early detection and treatment of oesophageal cancer alongside primary prevention to reduce the overall burden from the disease.

Differences in cancer survival by remoteness of residence: an analysis of data from a population-based cancer registry.

PURPOSE: Cancer survival is generally lower for rural compared with urban residents, but findings have been inconsistent. We aimed to assess inequalities in cancer survival by remoteness of residence in Victoria, Australia. METHODS: Incident cancer cases diagnosed in 2001-2015 with 30 cancer types (n = 331,302) were identified through the Victorian Cancer Registry and followed to the end of 2015 through death registries. Five-year net survival was estimated using the Pohar-Perme method and differences assessed by excess mortality rate ratios (EMRRs) using Poisson regression, adjusting for sex, age and year of diagnosis. EMRRs adjusted for socio-economic disadvantage were also estimated. RESULTS: People living outside major cities had lower survival for 11 cancers: esophagus, stomach, colorectum, liver, gallbladder/biliary tract, pancreas, lung, connective/soft tissue, ovary, prostate, kidney. No differences in survival were found for cancers of uterus, small intestine and mesothelioma. After adjusting for socio-economic disadvantage, the observed differences in survival decreased for most cancers and disappeared for colorectal cancer, but they remained largely unchanged for cancers of esophagus, stomach, liver, pancreas, lung, connective/soft tissue, ovary and kidney. CONCLUSION: People with cancer residing outside major cities had lower survival from some cancers, which is partly due to the greater socio-economic disadvantage of rural residents.

Differences in cancer survival by area-level socio-economic disadvantage: A population-based study using cancer registry data.

Despite overall improvements in cancer survival due to earlier diagnosis and better treatment, socio-economically disadvantaged people have lower cancer survival than more advantaged people. We aimed to examine differences in cancer survival by area-level socio-economic disadvantage in Victoria, Australia and assess whether these inequalities varied by year of diagnosis, age at diagnosis, time since diagnosis and sex. Cases diagnosed with a first primary cancer in 2001-2015 were identified using the Victorian Cancer Registry and followed to the end of 2016. Five-year net survival and the excess risk of death due to a cancer diagnosis were estimated. People living in more disadvantaged areas had lower five-year survival than residents of less disadvantaged regions for 21 of 29 cancer types: head and neck, oesophagus, stomach, colorectum, anus/anal canal, liver, gallbladder/biliary tract, pancreas, lung, melanoma, connective/soft tissue, female breast, ovary, prostate, kidney, bladder, brain and central nervous system, unknown primary, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, multiple myeloma and leukemia. The observed lower survival in more deprived regions persisted over time, except head and neck cancer, for which the gap in survival has widened. Socio-economic inequalities in survival decreased with increasing age at diagnosis for cancers of connective/soft tissue, bladder and unknown primary. For colorectal cancer, the observed survival disadvantage in lower socio-economic regions was greater for men than for women, while for brain and central nervous system tumours, it was larger for women. Cancer survival is generally lower for residents of more socio-economically disadvantaged areas. Identifying the underlying reasons for these inequalities is important and may help to identify effective interventions to increase survival for underprivileged cancer patients.

Progress in cancer survival, mortality, and incidence in seven high-income countries 1995-2014 (ICBP SURVMARK-2): a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Population-based cancer survival estimates provide valuable insights into the effectiveness of cancer services and can reflect the prospects of cure. As part of the second phase of the International Cancer Benchmarking Partnership (ICBP), the Cancer Survival in High-Income Countries (SURVMARK-2) project aims to provide a comprehensive overview of cancer survival across seven high-income countries and a comparative assessment of corresponding incidence and mortality trends. METHODS: In this longitudinal, population-based study, we collected patient-level data on 3·9 million patients with cancer from population-based cancer registries in 21 jurisdictions in seven countries (Australia, Canada, Denmark, Ireland, New Zealand, Norway, and the UK) for seven sites of cancer (oesophagus, stomach, colon, rectum, pancreas, lung, and ovary) diagnosed between 1995 and 2014, and followed up until Dec 31, 2015. We calculated age-standardised net survival at 1 year and 5 years after diagnosis by site, age group, and period of diagnosis. We mapped changes in incidence and mortality to changes in survival to assess progress in cancer control. FINDINGS: In 19 eligible jurisdictions, 3 764 543 cases of cancer were eligible for inclusion in the study. In the 19 included jurisdictions, over 1995-2014, 1-year and 5-year net survival increased in each country across almost all cancer types, with, for example, 5-year rectal cancer survival increasing more than 13 percentage points in Denmark, Ireland, and the UK. For 2010-14, survival was generally higher in Australia, Canada, and Norway than in New Zealand, Denmark, Ireland, and the UK. Over the study period, larger survival improvements were observed for patients younger than 75 years at diagnosis than those aged 75 years and older, and notably for cancers with a poor prognosis (ie, oesophagus, stomach, pancreas, and lung). Progress in cancer control (ie, increased survival, decreased mortality and incidence) over the study period was evident for stomach, colon, lung (in males), and ovarian cancer. INTERPRETATION: The joint evaluation of trends in incidence, mortality, and survival indicated progress in four of the seven studied cancers. Cancer survival continues to increase across high-income countries; however, international disparities persist. While truly valid comparisons require differences in registration practice, classification, and coding to be minimal, stage of disease at diagnosis, timely access to effective treatment, and the extent of comorbidity are likely the main determinants of patient outcomes. Future studies are needed to assess the impact of these factors to further our understanding of international disparities in cancer survival. FUNDING: Canadian Partnership Against Cancer; Cancer Council Victoria; Cancer Institute New South Wales; Cancer Research UK; Danish Cancer Society; National Cancer Registry Ireland; The Cancer Society of New Zealand; National Health Service England; Norwegian Cancer Society; Public Health Agency Northern Ireland, on behalf of the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry; The Scottish Government; Western Australia Department of Health; and Wales Cancer Network.

Changes in colorectal cancer incidence in seven high-income countries: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The overall incidence of colorectal cancer is decreasing in many high-income countries, yet analyses in the USA and other high-income countries such as Australia, Canada, and Norway have suggested increasing incidences among adults younger than 50 years. We aimed to examine longitudinal and generational changes in the incidence of colon and rectal cancer in seven high-income countries. METHODS: We obtained data for the incidence of colon and rectal cancer from 21 population-based cancer registries in Australia, Canada, Denmark, Norway, New Zealand, Ireland, and the UK for the earliest available year until 2014. We used age-period-cohort modelling to assess trends in incidence by age group, period, and birth cohort. We stratified cases by tumour subsite according to the 10th edition of the International Classification of Diseases. Age-standardised incidences were calculated on the basis of the world standard population. FINDINGS: An overall decline or stabilisation in the incidence of colon and rectal cancer was noted in all studied countries. In the most recent 10-year period for which data were available, however, significant increases were noted in the incidence of colon cancer in people younger than 50 years in Denmark (by 3·1%), New Zealand (2·9%), Australia (2·9%), and the UK (1·8%). Significant increases in the incidence of rectal cancer were also noted in this age group in Canada (by 3·4%), Australia (2·6%), and the UK (1·4%). Contemporaneously, in people aged 50-74 years, the incidence of colon cancer decreased significantly in Australia (by 1·6%), Canada (1·9%), and New Zealand (3·4%) and of rectal cancer in Australia (2·4%), Canada (1·2%), and the UK (1·2%). Increases in the incidence of colorectal cancer in people younger than 50 years were mainly driven by increases in distal (left) tumours of the colon. In all countries, we noted non-linear cohort effects, which were more pronounced for rectal than for colon cancer. INTERPRETATION: We noted a substantial increase in the incidence of colorectal cancer in people younger than 50 years in some of the countries in this study. Future studies are needed to establish the root causes of this rising incidence to enable the development of potential preventive and early-detection strategies. FUNDING: Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, Cancer Council Victoria, Cancer Institute New South Wales, Cancer Research UK, Danish Cancer Society, National Cancer Registry Ireland, the Cancer Society of New Zealand, NHS England, Norwegian Cancer Society, Public Health Agency Northern Ireland, Scottish Government, Western Australia Department of Health, and Wales Cancer Network.

Correction to: Differences in cancer survival by sex: a population-based study using cancer registry data.

In the original publication of the article, the concluding paragraph of the Discussion section was inadvertently missed and is provided below.

Assessing the feasibility and validity of the Toronto Childhood Cancer Stage Guidelines: a population-based registry study.

BACKGROUND: Cancer stage at diagnosis is crucial for assessing global efforts to increase awareness of childhood cancer and improve outcomes. However, consistent information on childhood cancer stage is absent from population cancer registries worldwide. The Toronto Childhood Cancer Stage Guidelines, compiled through an international consensus process, were designed to provide a standard framework for collection of information on stage at diagnosis of childhood cancers. We aimed to assess the feasibility of implementing the Toronto Guidelines within a national population cancer registry. METHODS: We did a population-based registry study using data from the Australian Childhood Cancer Registry and included data from children aged 0-14 years diagnosed between Jan 1, 2006, and Dec 31, 2010 with one of 16 childhood cancers listed in the Toronto Guidelines (acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, acute myeloid leukaemia, Hodgkin's lymphoma, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, neuroblastoma, Wilms' tumour, rhabdomyosarcoma, non-rhabdomyosarcoma soft tissue sarcoma, osteosarcoma, Ewing's sarcoma, retinoblastoma, hepatoblastoma, testicular cancer, ovarian cancer, medulloblastoma, and ependymoma). We extracted data from medical records, and assigned stage according to the Tier 1 criteria (basic) and Tier 2 criteria (more detailed, requiring data from cytology, imaging, and other diagnostic tests, where available) using computer algorithms derived from the Toronto Guidelines. Additionally, expert reviewers independently assigned Tier 2 stage to a random subsample of 160 cases (ten per malignancy type). Feasibility of the guidelines was assessed on the percentage of cases that could be staged, agreement between stage assigned by the algorithms and the expert reviewers, and the mean time (min) taken to collect the required data. FINDINGS: We obtained data for 1412 eligible children. Stage could be assigned according to Tier 2 criteria for 1318 (93%) cases, ranging from 48 (84%) of 57 cases of non-rhabdomyosarcoma soft tissue sarcoma to 46 (100%) cases of hepatoblastoma. According to Tier 1 criteria, stage could be assigned for 1329 (94%) cases, ranging from 131 (87%) of 151 cases of acute myeloid leukaemia to 46 (100%) cases of hepatoblastoma. By contrast, stage at diagnosis was recorded by the treating physician for 555 (39%) of the 1412 cases. The computer algorithm assigned the same stage as did one or more independent expert reviewers in 155 (97%) of the 160 cases assessed. The mean time taken to review medical records and extract the required data was 18·0 min (SD 9·5 per case). INTERPRETATION: The Toronto Guidelines provide a highly functional framework that can be used to assign cancer stage at diagnosis using data routinely available in medical records for most childhood cancers. Data on staging have the potential to inform interventions targeting improved diagnosis and survival. FUNDING: Cancer Australia.

Differences in cancer survival by sex: a population-based study using cancer registry data.

PURPOSE: Few large-scale studies have investigated sex differences in cancer survival and little is known about their temporal and age-related patterns. METHODS: We used cancer registry data for first primary cancers diagnosed between 1982 and 2015 in Victoria, Australia. Cases were followed until the end of 2015 through linkage to death registries. Differences in survival were assessed for 25 cancers using the Pohar-Perme estimator of net survival and the excess mortality rate ratio (EMRR) adjusting for age and year of diagnosis. RESULTS: Five-year net survival for all cancers combined was lower for men (47.1%; 95% CI 46.9-47.4) than women (52.0%; 95% CI 51.7-52.3); EMRR 1.13 (95% CI 1.12-1.14; p < 0.001). A survival disadvantage for men was observed for 11 cancers: head and neck, esophagus, colorectum, pancreas, lung, bone, melanoma, mesothelioma, kidney, thyroid, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma. In contrast, women had lower survival from cancers of the bladder, renal pelvis, and ureter. For the majority of cancers with survival differences, the EMRR decreased with increasing age at diagnosis; for colorectal, esophageal, and kidney cancer, the EMRR increased with time since diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Identifying the underlying reasons behind sex differences in cancer survival is necessary to address inequalities, which may improve outcomes for men and women.

Hepatocellular carcinoma over three decades in Victoria, Australia: epidemiology, diagnosis and trends, 1984-2013.

BACKGROUND: Liver cancer continues to be a health priority in Australia, with the majority attributable to preventable causes, and certain populations at higher risk. AIMS: Epidemiological assessment of incidence, trends and distribution to inform prevention, and reassessment of data in light of recent changes to registry case definitions. METHODS: Reported cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Victoria, Australia, 1984-2013, were obtained from the Victorian Cancer Registry. Demographic characteristics were examined, incidence and survival assessed using Poisson and Cox regression, and geographic distribution mapped. Incidence was compared before and after inclusion of non-histologically confirmed cases in Registry data to assess impacts on incidence trends. RESULTS: Diagnoses of HCC rose substantially between 1984 and 2013, increasing sixfold from 0.9 to 5.9 per 100 000. The rate of increase per year accelerated from 5.3% between 1984 and 2003 to 9.5% between 2004 and 2013. Cases were disproportionately male (80%), median age at diagnosis was 66 years and 53% were born overseas. Even during 2004-2013, 5-year survival was only 16%, although higher among younger people, metropolitan residents and people born overseas. Incidence showed strong geographic clustering. The proportion of cases diagnosed clinically increased from 1% during 1984-2004 to 43% in 2009-2013. The revised case definition added 993 cases (27.3% of total). CONCLUSION: Cases of HCC are becoming increasingly common, and revised incidence estimates highlight the impact of case definitions in the context of changing diagnostic approaches. The ongoing burden, disproportionate population distribution and low survival emphasise the importance of prevention and early detection as a public health imperative.

Novel population-based study finding higher than reported hepatocellular carcinoma incidence suggests an updated approach is needed.

UNLABELLED: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence is rising rapidly in many developed countries. Primary epidemiological data have invariably been derived from cancer registries that are heterogeneous in data quality and registration methodology; many registries have not adopted current clinical diagnostic criteria for HCC and still rely on histology for classification. We performed the first population-based study in Australia using current diagnostic criteria, hypothesizing that HCC incidence may be higher than reported. Incident cases of HCC (defined by American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases diagnostic criteria or histology) were prospectively identified over a 12-month period (2012-2013) from the population of Melbourne, Australia. Cases were captured from multiple sources: admissions to any of Melbourne's seven tertiary hospitals; attendances at outpatients; and radiology, pathology, and pharmacy services. Our cohort was compared to the Victorian Cancer Registry (VCR) cohort (mandatory notified cases) for the same population and period, and incidence rates were compared for both cohorts. There were 272 incident cases (79% male; median age: 65 years) identified. Cirrhosis was present in 83% of patients, with hepatitis C virus infection (41%), alcohol (39%), and hepatitis B virus infection (22%) the commonest etiologies present. Age-standardized HCC incidence (per 100,000, Australian Standard Population) was 10.3 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 9.0-11.7) for males and 2.3 (95% CI: 1.8 to 3.0) for females. The VCR reported significantly lower rates of HCC: 5.3 (95% CI: 4.4 to 6.4) and 1.0 (95% CI: 0.7 to 1.5) per 100,000 males and females respectively (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: HCC incidence in Melbourne is 2-fold higher than reported by cancer registry data owing to under-reporting of clinical diagnoses. Adoption of current diagnostic criteria and additional capture sources will improve registry completeness. Chronic viral hepatitis and alcohol remain leading causes of cirrhosis and HCC.

Recurrent glioblastoma: Current patterns of care in an Australian population.

This retrospective population-based survey examined current patterns of care for patients with recurrent glioblastoma (rGBM) who had previously undergone surgery and post-operative therapy at original diagnosis. The patients were identified from the Victorian Cancer Registry (VCR) from 2006 to 2008. Patient demographics, tumour characteristics and oncological management were extracted using a standardised survey by the treating clinicians/VCR staff and results analysed by the VCR. Kaplan-Meier estimates of overall survival (OS) at diagnosis and progression were calculated. A total of 95 patients (48%) received treatment for first recurrence; craniotomy and post-operative treatment (38), craniotomy only (34) and non-surgical treatment (23). Patients receiving treatment at first progression had a higher median OS than those who did not (7 versus 3 months, p<0.0001). All patients progressed after treatment for first progression with 43 patients (45%) receiving treatment at second progression. To our knowledge this is the first population-based pattern of care survey of treatment for rGBM in an era where post-operative "Stupp" chemo-radiation is standard. First and second line therapy for rGBM is common and associated with significant benefit. Treatment generally includes re-resection and/or systemic therapy.

Management of glioblastoma in Victoria, Australia (2006-2008).

We describe the management of patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) in a population-based cohort and compare this to a previously studied cohort. We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with GBM from 2006-2008 in Victoria, Australia. Patients were identified from the population-based Victorian Cancer Registry and their treating doctors surveyed by questionnaire. Outcomes were then compared to a study of GBM patients who were diagnosed between 1998 and 2000 using an identical methodology. We reviewed 351 eligible patients. There were slightly more males (62%) and a minority had multifocal disease (13%). Total macroscopic resection, partial resection or biopsy only was performed in 32%, 37% and 24% of patients, respectively. The majority of patients were referred to a radiation oncologist and medical oncologist postoperatively. A total of 56% of patients were treated with postoperative radiotherapy with concurrent and sequential temozolomide and had a median survival of 14.4 months. This was significantly better than patients treated with postoperative radiotherapy alone in the current or earlier cohorts (2006-2008: median survival 6.2 months, p<0.0001 versus 1998-2000: 8.9 months, p<0.0001). This study demonstrates that postoperative chemoradiation has become the standard of care in this Victorian population with an associated improvement in median survival.

Surgical resection and long-term survival outcome for non-small cell lung cancer: a comparison of Victorian population-based studies spanning a decade.

AIM: A survey of management of lung cancer diagnosed in Victoria in 2003 was commissioned by the Victorian Cooperative Oncology Group to identify gaps in the management of this disease. Results from a similar survey in 1993 were available to identify differences in the disease, management and outcomes. This paper details results of the surgically managed subset within the larger study. METHODS: All patients diagnosed with lung cancer in the first 6 months of 2003 were identified from the Victorian Cancer Registry. Registry research staff completed a detailed questionnaire using primary source documents from hospitals and consulting rooms. The survey data were then de-identified with respect to patient and treating clinician prior to statistical analysis by the investigators. RESULTS: From eligible cases identified, non-small cell lung cancer was confirmed in 655 cases with a minimum of 6 years of follow-up. Thoracotomy was performed in 145 cases (22%), but only 130 received the intended resection. Compared with 1993, significant differences were increased use of preoperative positron emission tomography (PET) scanning (79% vs 0%), relatively fewer resections (20% vs 25%), lower pneumonectomy rate (14% vs 25%) and higher sub-lobar resection rate (22% vs 11%). The 30-day mortality remained below 2%. Positive resection margin (21%) and abandoned resection rates (10%) were much higher than expected. Overall 5-year survival was 42%, unchanged from 1993. CONCLUSION: Irrespective of widespread introduction of PET scanning, thoracotomy without resection was common. While operative mortality and overall survival were well within benchmark standards, futile thoracotomy and positive resection margin rates were unacceptably high.

Lung cancer in Victoria: are we making progress?

OBJECTIVES: To identify areas to improve patient management in lung cancer, which remains the greatest cause of death from cancer in Australia. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective survey of all cases of lung cancer reported to the Victorian Cancer Registry from 1 January to 30 June 2003 and followed up for 5 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Patient and disease characteristics, investigations, staging, treatment, cause of death, survival. RESULTS: 841 patients were included. Smoking data were available for 799, of whom 63 (7.9%) had never smoked. Of 655 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) cases, 198 (30.2%) were treated with curative intent, 125 (19.1%) by surgery and 73 (11.1%) by radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy. Only 7 (6.9%) of surgical patients with complete R0 resection had adjuvant chemotherapy. Of 101 small cell lung cancer (SCLC) cases, a third had limited stage disease which was mostly treated with curative intent by chemotherapy with or without radiotherapy. Patients whose cases were discussed at a multidisciplinary meeting (MDM) were significantly more likely to receive anticancer treatment and had longer survival; on multivariate analysis, MDM discussion was an independent prognostic factor. Compared with a similar survey 10 years earlier, the median age of patients diagnosed with lung cancer had increased by almost 3 years, the proportion of affected men decreased and adenocarcinoma was more frequent, while 10% of patients continued to have no pathologically confirmed diagnosis and 26% continued to receive no anticancer treatment. The number of patients with NSCLC who went on to a definitive surgical procedure fell with no detriment to survival, which likely reflected better staging with the introduction of positron emission tomography scanning. CONCLUSIONS: Opportunities to improve patient management included increasing the proportion with a pathologically confirmed diagnosis and greater use of postsurgical adjuvant chemotherapy. A high proportion of patients received no treatment, with underuse of chemotherapy and radiotherapy. Critically, the low rate of case discussions at MDMs needs to increase. However, effective strategies are required to identify cases early, as over two-thirds currently present with incurable disease.

Evaluation of the Simplified Comorbidity Score (Colinet) as a prognostic indicator for patients with lung cancer: a cancer registry study.

INTRODUCTION: A Simplified Comorbidity Score (SCS) provided additional prognostic information to the established factors in patients with non-small cell lung cancer lung cancer. We undertook this analysis to test the prognostic value of the SCS in a population-based study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Retrospective survey of all Victorians diagnosed with lung cancer in January-June 2003, identified from the Victorian Cancer Registry. RESULTS: There were 921 patients, with data available for 841 (91.3%). Median age was 72 years (range 30-94) and 63.1% were male. A tissue diagnosis was made for 89.9%, of which 86.6% were non-small cell (NSCLC), and 13.4% small cell carcinoma (SCLC). Comorbidities on which the SCS is based were distributed: cardiovascular 54.6%; respiratory 38.9%; neoplastic 19.9%; renal 4.6%; diabetes 11.7%; alcoholism 5.5%; and tobacco 83.1%. In patients with NSCLC, higher SCS score (>9) was associated with increasing stage, ECOG performance status, male sex, increasing age, tobacco consumption and not receiving treatment. Using Cox regression, survival was analysed by SCS score after adjusting for the effect of age, sex, cell type (NSCLC, SCLC, no histology), ECOG performance status and stage for all patients and then restricted to NSCLC. As a continuous or dichotomous (≤ or >9) variable, SCS was not a significant prognostic factor for all patients or when restricted to NSCLC. CONCLUSION: In this retrospective analysis of population based registry patients, SCS did not provide additional prognostic information in patients with lung cancer. ECOG performance status may be a substitute for the effect of comorbidity.

Pancreatic cancer: surgical management and outcomes after 6 years of follow-up.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the management and outcomes of a population-based cohort of patients with pancreatic cancer in Victoria, Australia. DESIGN, SETTING AND PATIENTS: Retrospective study based on questionnaires completed from medical histories of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer during 2002-2003 in Victoria who were identified from the Victorian Cancer Registry and followed up for 6 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportion of patients receiving each form of treatment, 30-day mortality, median survival, and 5-year and 6-year survival. RESULTS: Of 1044 patients with pancreatic cancer identified, 927 were eligible for the study, and questionnaires were completed for 830 (response rate, 89.5%); 67 patients with ampulla of Vater and neuroendocrine tumours were excluded. Of the 763 remaining patients (median age, 72 years), notification of death was available for 747 (97.9%). Most patients (n = 548) had tumours in the head and neck of the pancreas. Resection was performed in a total of 87 patients (11.4%). Patients managed with Whipple resection (n = 75) had a 30-day mortality rate of 5.3% and median survival of 16.3 months. A relatively large number of surgeons (n = 31) each performed a modest number of Whipple resections during the study period. Jaundice was palliated with biliary stents (n = 240) and bypass surgery (n = 99). Survival was shortest in those treated with best supportive care (median, 2.3 months for those with head and neck of pancreas tumours, and 3.4 months for body and tail of pancreas tumours). Of the 20 patients who survived to 5 years, 10 did not have histological confirmation of carcinoma and were presumably false-positive diagnoses, and three of the 10 patients who did have positive histological results had experienced recurrent disease by 6-year follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Most outcomes in Victoria compared favourably with other studies. Prognosis for patients with carcinoma of the pancreas is grim, with few long-term survivors. Six-year survival appears to be a better proxy for cure than 5-year survival.

Use of chemotherapy and radiotherapy in patients with pancreatic cancer in Victoria (2002-2003): a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the management and outcomes of a population-based cohort of patients with pancreatic cancer treated with chemotherapy or radiotherapy in Victoria, Australia. DESIGN, SETTING AND PATIENTS: Questionnaire-based study of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer during 2002-2003 in Victoria who were retrospectively identified from the Victorian Cancer Registry and followed up for a minimum of 5 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Reported treatment, referral patterns and survival rates. RESULTS: 1044 patients with pancreatic cancer were identified, of whom 927 were eligible for the study. Completed questionnaires were obtained for 831 eligible patients (response rate, 89.6%) and data for 66 patients with tumours of the ampulla of Vater and neuroendocrine tumours were excluded. Of the remaining 765 patients, 6.5% were managed in multimodality clinics. Chemotherapy was considered for 413 patients and radiotherapy was considered for 162. One-third of the cohort (275 patients) received chemotherapy, most commonly as palliative treatment (185). Single-agent gemcitabine was the most common palliative treatment (154), and was associated with a median overall survival of 6.6 months. Radiotherapy was used in 119 patients (15.6% of the cohort) - it was used alone or with chemotherapy, as postoperative adjuvant treatment, as potentially curative radical treatment, or as palliative treatment. For 45 patients with locally advanced disease who were treated with chemoradiation as radical treatment, median overall survival was 13.1 months. CONCLUSIONS: There appears to be under-referral of patients to medical and radiation oncologists. Median survival of patients treated with radical chemoradiation or palliative chemotherapy is consistent with clinical trial data, but outcomes for patients in our cohort were generally poor. Development and implementation of treatment guidelines may result in improved outcomes.

Incidence and survival of lymphohematopoietic neoplasms according to the World Health Organization classification: a population-based study from the Victorian Cancer Registry in Australia.

We studied the incidence and relative survival of 39 837 cases of lymphohematopoietic neoplasms (LHN) reported to the Victorian Cancer Registry during 1982-2004, classified according to the World Health Organization (WHO) classification. We modeled excess mortality using Poisson regression to estimate differences in survival by age, sex, and time period. Age-standardized incidence rates varied across subtypes of lymphoid and myeloid neoplasms. All major subtypes predominantly affected the elderly except Hodgkin lymphoma (incidence peaks at 20-24 and 75-79 years) and acute lymphoblastic leukemia (0-9 years). After an initial rise, overall lymphoid and myeloid incidence stabilized in the mid-1990s. The 5-year relative survival was 58% for lymphoid and 35% for myeloid neoplasms. Survival improved during 1990-2004 for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, follicular lymphoma, acute myeloid leukemia, chronic myeloid leukemia, and myelodysplastic syndromes (p < 0.001) and declined with advancing age for all subtypes (p < 0.001). Female sex was associated with higher survival for most myeloid subtypes. The results represent a rare epidemiological characterization of the whole range of LHN according to WHO subtypes.

Season of diagnosis has no effect on survival from malignant melanoma.

Diagnosis in summer had been shown to be associated with better survival from some cancers, but such studies on malignant melanoma where sun exposure is a risk factor for disease are rare. We evaluated seasonality in melanoma diagnosis and its effect on survival in Victoria, Australia using 26,060 cases reported to the population-based Victorian Cancer Registry during 1986-2004. To estimate the amplitude of the seasonal variation, we calculated the ratio of the number of melanoma cases diagnosed in summer to that in winter. Linear regression was undertaken to assess the variation in thickness, the main prognostic indicator for melanoma, by season of diagnosis adjusting for sex, anatomical site, year of diagnosis and age at diagnosis. We modeled excess mortality using Poisson regression controlling for possible confounders in order to study the effect of season of diagnosis on survival. An overall 46% summer diagnostic excess was evident (summer-to-winter ratio 1.46; 95% CI 1.41, 1.52). Results of linear regression showed that melanoma diagnosed in winter were thicker than those diagnosed in any other season (percentage difference in thickness -2.01, -6.97 and -10.68 for spring, summer and autumn, respectively; p < 0.001). In the Poisson regression model of relative survival, cases diagnosed in spring, summer or autumn had slightly lower excess mortality than those diagnosed in winter before adjustment for other variables, but after adjustment the excess mortality ratios were close to unity. Our findings do not support the hypothesis that melanoma cases diagnosed in winter have worse prognosis than cases diagnosed in other seasons.

Gender-specific activity of chemotherapy correlates with outcomes in chemosensitive cancers of young adulthood.

Good evidence indicates that adolescents and young adults (AYAs) with cancer do badly compared with children with similar cancers. The reasons are poorly understood. Australian registry data on 14,824 cancers of adolescence and young adulthood seen between 1982 and 2002 were reviewed. A detailed substudy of clinical characteristics was analyzed from 179 AYAs with Hodgkin lymphoma (HL), Ewing sarcoma (ES) or osteosarcomas (OS) treated at a single institution. Despite significant improvements in survival for both groups over the period in question, for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, rhabdomyosarcoma, ES, OS and HL, survival for AYAs was worse than for children. For ES, OS and HL, the survival gap occurred almost entirely in males (Hazard ratios compared with female AYAs of 1.8 [p < 0.01], 1.4 [p = 0.03] and 1.5 [p < 0.01] respectively). Survival outcomes from ES, OS and HL for female AYAs were not significantly different from children of either sex. For brain tumors and thyroid cancers, which are primarily treated surgically, there were no gender-related differences in outcomes. Although no differences in tumor stage or compliance were identified, male AYAs experienced less toxicity and lower response rates to chemotherapy (p = 0.008). Young males account almost entirely for excess mortality from chemosensitive cancers of adolescence and young adulthood compared to children, which may be due to relative underdosing with current chemotherapy dosing algorithms.