Coexistence of muscle atrophy and high subcutaneous adipose tissue radiodensity predicts poor prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Introduction: We aimed to assess the prognostic implications of muscle atrophy and high subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) radiodensity in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: In this retrospective study, muscle atrophy was assessed using the psoas muscle index (PMI) obtained from computed tomography. SAT radiodensity was evaluated based on radiodensity measurements. Survival and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors associated with prognosis. The impact of muscle atrophy and high SAT radiodensity on prognosis was determined through survival analysis. Results: A total of 201 patients (median age: 71 years; 76.6% male) with HCC were included. Liver cirrhosis was observed in 72.6% of patients, and the predominant Child-Pugh grade was A (77.1%). A total of 33.3% of patients exhibited muscle atrophy based on PMI values, whereas 12.9% had high SAT radiodensity. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that patients with muscle atrophy had significantly poorer prognosis than those without muscle atrophy. Patients with high SAT radiodensity had a significantly worse prognosis than those without it. Muscle atrophy, high SAT radiodensity, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer class B, C, or D, and Child-Pugh score ≥ 6 were significantly associated with overall survival. Further classification of patients into four groups based on the presence or absence of muscle atrophy and high SAT radiodensity revealed that patients with both muscle atrophy and high SAT radiodensity had the poorest prognosis. Conclusion: Muscle atrophy and high SAT radiodensity are significantly associated with poor prognosis in patients with HCC. Identifying this high-risk subgroup may facilitate the implementation of targeted interventions, including nutritional therapy and exercise, to potentially improve clinical outcomes.

Low Baseline CXCL9 Predicts Early Progressive Disease in Unresectable HCC with Atezolizumab Plus Bevacizumab Treatment.

Introduction: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab treatment is highly effective in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, progressive disease (PD) occurs in approximately 20% of HCC patients treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, resulting in a poor prognosis. Thus, the prediction and early detection of HCC is crucial. Methods: Patients with unresectable HCC treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and had baseline preserved serum (n = 68) were screened and classified according to their PD, 6 weeks after treatment initiation (early PD; n = 13). Of these, 4 patients each with and without early PD were selected for cytokine array and genetic analyses. The identified factors were validated in the validated cohort (n = 60) and evaluated in patients treated with lenvatinib. Results: No significant differences were observed in the genetic alterations in circulating tumor DNA. Cytokine array data revealed that baseline MIG (CXCL9), ENA-78, and RANTES differed substantially between patients with and without early PD. Subsequent analysis in the validation cohort revealed that baseline CXCL9 was significantly lower in patients with early PD than that in patients without early PD, and the best cut-off value of serum CXCL9 to predict early PD was 333 pg/mL (sensitivity: 0.600, specificity: 0.923, AUC = 0.75). In patients with lower serum CXCL9 (<333 pg/mL), 35.3% (12/34) experienced early PD with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, while progression-free survival (PFS) was significantly shorter relative to that in patients without (median PFS, 126 days vs. 227 days; HR: 2.41, 95% CI: 1.22-4.80, p = 0.0084). While patients with objective response to lenvatinib had significantly lower CXCL9 levels compared with those of patients without. Conclusion: Baseline low serum CXCL9 (<333 pg/mL) levels may predict early PD in patients with unresectable HCC treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab.

Recent prevalence and characteristics of patients with hepatitis delta virus in Hokkaido, Japan.

AIM: Although hepatitis delta virus (HDV) coinfection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a global health concern, the global prevalence of HDV infections remains unknown due to insufficient data in many countries. In Japan, HDV prevalence has not been updated for over 20 years. We aimed to investigate the recent prevalence of HDV infections in Japan. METHODS: We screened 1264 consecutive patients with HBV infection at Hokkaido University Hospital between 2006 and 2022. Patients' serums were preserved and subsequently tested for HDV antibody (immunoglobulin-G). Available clinical information was collected and analyzed. We compared the changes in liver fibrosis using the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index between propensity-matched patients with and without the evidence of anti-HDV antibodies and corrected for baseline FIB-4 index, nucleoside/nucleotide analog treatment, alcohol intake, sex, HIV coinfection, liver cirrhosis, and age. RESULTS: After excluding patients without properly stored serums and those lacking appropriate clinical information, 601 patients with HBV were included. Of these, 1.7% of patients had detectable anti-HDV antibodies. Patients with anti-HDV antibody serum positivity had a significantly higher prevalence of liver cirrhosis, significantly lower prothrombin time, and a higher prevalence of HIV coinfection than those who demonstrated serum anti-HDV antibody negativity. A propensity-matched longitudinal analysis revealed that liver fibrosis (FIB-4 index) progressed more rapidly in patients with positive results for anti-HDV antibody tests. CONCLUSIONS: The recent prevalence of HDV infections in Japanese patients with HBV was 1.7% (10/601). These patients experienced rapid liver fibrosis progression, highlighting the importance of routine HDV testing.

Potential Correlation between Changes in Serum FGF21 Levels and Lenvatinib-Induced Appetite Loss in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Lenvatinib, used for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), causes appetite loss, but the underlying mechanisms, clinical impact, and predictive factors have been unclear. The endocrine factor FGF21 modulates appetite and is involved in cachexia. We evaluated the association between FGF21 level changes during lenvatinib treatment for unresectable HCC and appetite loss. Sixty-three eligible unresectable HCC patients who started lenvatinib treatment between 2018 and 2021 were included. We analyzed FGF21 levels at baseline; 1, 2, and 4 weeks after lenvatinib initiation, and before the onset of appetite loss. Grade ≥ 2 lenvatinib-induced appetite loss led to liver functional reserve deterioration at disease progression and a poor prognosis. Baseline characteristics and serum FGF21 levels were similar between patients with and without appetite loss. However, the serum FGF21 change rate increased significantly at 4 weeks post-lenvatinib initiation in patients with grade ≥ 2 appetite loss, as compared to those without appetite loss. Similar significant increases in the serum FGF21 level change rate were observed prior to grade ≥ 2 appetite loss onset. This suggests that changes in FGF21 levels can be used to predict patients with a greater risk of marked appetite loss and provides insights into the mechanisms underlying lenvatinib-induced appetite loss in patients with HCC.

Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin predicts the efficacy of tolvaptan for ascites in patients with liver cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with liver cirrhosis (LC), water retention, diuretics to treat water retention, and a poor prognosis. Urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) reportedly predicts a poor prognosis in decompensated LC. This study investigated the usefulness of uNGAL in predicting the short- and long-term effects of tolvaptan (TVP) and the incidence of AKI post-TVP administration. METHODS: Of the LC cases with water retention, 86 with available pre-treatment uNGAL were analyzed. A short-term response was defined as weight loss of ≥ 1.5 kg within the first week; a long-term response was defined as a short-term response without early recurrence. The uNGAL usefulness in predicting the short- and long-term effects of TVP and AKI incidence post-TVP administration was investigated. RESULTS: Short-term effects of TVP were observed in 52 patients. Of these, 15 patients had an early recurrence. In multivariate analysis, significant short-term predictive factors were C-reactive protein (CRP) < 1.4 mg/dl, uNa/K ratio ≥ 3.51, and uNGAL < 50.2 ng/ml. Patients were classified according to these three cut-off values, with short-term response rates of 92.9%, 68.8%, 26.7%, and 0% for 0, 1, 2, and 3 points, respectively. CRP < 0.94 mg/dl and uNGAL < 50.2 ng/ml were significant factors for predicting the long-term response of TVP. The AKI incidence post-TVP was 8.1% (n = 7) and was significantly higher among those with uNGAL ≥ 38.1 ng/mL. CONCLUSION: uNGAL is a useful predictor of the short- and long-term efficacy of TVP and can be useful in predicting AKI incidence post-TVP administration.

Hepatitis C virus eradication by direct-acting antivirals causes a simultaneous increase in the prevalence of fatty liver and hyper low-density lipoprotein cholesterolemia without an increase in body weight.

AIM: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has been reported to cause liver steatosis. Thus, eradicating HCV with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) is expected to reduce liver steatosis. We aimed to clarify long-term changes in the prevalence of fatty liver and hyper-low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterolemia and their associations in patients who achieve successful HCV eradication using DAAs. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with HCV who achieved sustained virologic response after interferon-free DAA and analyzed the changes in the prevalence of fatty liver diagnosed with controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), hyper-LDL cholesterolemia, and their relationships at baseline (n = 100) and 24 weeks (SVR24, n = 100), 96 weeks (SVR96, n = 100), and 144 weeks (SVR144, n = 90) after DAA. RESULTS: In 100 participants, the prevalence of fatty liver (19% vs. 32%, p = 0.0349) and hyper-LDL cholesterolemia (6% vs. 15%, p = 0.0379) significantly increased without changes in body weight at SVR96. Median total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and small-dense-LDL (sdLDL) levels and CAP values were significantly greater at SVR24, SVR96, and SVR144 than at baseline. Baseline CAP values and changes in CAP values were significantly negatively correlated at every observation point: r = -0.5305, p < 0.0001 at SVR24; r = -0.3617, p = 0.0005 at SVR96; and r = -0.4735, p < 0.0001 at SVR144. A similar relationship was observed in cholesterol levels. Unlike at baseline, CAP values were significantly positively correlated with LDL-C and sdLDL-C levels at all observation points after DAAs. CONCLUSIONS: Direct-acting antivirals may cause an increased prevalence of fatty liver accompanying hyper-LDL cholesterolemia without increased body weight. As post-SVR liver steatosis could cause HCC, careful follow-up may be required.

Changes in Serum Growth Factors during Resistance to Atezolizumab Plus Bevacizumab Treatment in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

The possible mechanisms of resistance to atezolizumab/bevacizumab for unresectable HCC, and the subsequent response to these therapies, remain underexplored. The sequential changes in serum growth factors, including VEGF-A, VEGF-C, VEGF-D, ANG-2, FGF-19, HGF, and EGF during atezolizumab/bevacizumab for unresectable HCC were evaluated in 46 patients. Patients who experienced PD after CR, PR, or SD to atezolizumab/bevacizumab were evaluated. A total of 4, 9, 19, and 14 patients showed CR, PR, SD, and PD, respectively. Of 32 patients with disease control, 28 experienced PD after CR, PR, or SD with atezolizumab/bevacizumab. Baseline growth factor levels were similar between patients with or without disease control and those with or without an objective response. Growth factor changes between the baseline and the best overall response points (BOR) for patients with disease control showed that FGF-19 significantly increased and ANG2 significantly decreased at the BOR. Growth factor changes between the BOR and the PD point in 28 patients who experienced PD after disease control showed that VEGF-D and ANG2 significantly increased at the PD point compared with that at the BOR. Summarily, increased serum VEGF-D and ANG-2 levels might contribute to developing resistance to atezolizumab/bevacizumab for unresectable HCC and might be target molecules in subsequent salvage therapies.

Serum Angiopoietin-2 Predicts the Occurrence and Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy for Hepatitis C.

Progressive liver fibrosis after anti-HCV treatment is a risk factor for HCC. Angiopoietin-2 (Ang2) is associated with non-regression of liver fibrosis after direct-acting antiviral (DAA). This study evaluated the predictive value of serum Ang2 levels for HCC occurrence or recurrence after DAA administration. In this retrospective study, 310 HCV-infected patients treated with DAAs in 2014-2020 were screened and evaluated for HCC occurrence or recurrence every three-six months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age ≥ 75 years (HR: 2.92, 95% CI: 1.34-6.33; p = 0.007) and baseline Ang2 level ≥ 464 pg/mL (HR: 2.75, 95% CI: 1.18-6.37; p = 0.019) were significantly associated with HCC occurrence after DAA therapy. A high or low risk of HCC after DAA therapy could be distinguished by the combination of age and baseline Ang2 level. The cumulative incidences of de-novo HCC at two and four years were 0.8% and 3.8% in the low-risk group and 22.6% and 27.1% in the high-risk group, respectively. Baseline Ang2 level ≥ 402 pg/mL was significantly associated with HCC recurrence in patients who achieved sustained virological response with DAAs (HR: 3.68). In conclusion, serum Ang2 levels can predict HCC occurrence and recurrence after successful HCV eradication by DAAs.

Prophylactic tenofovir alafenamide for hepatitis B virus reactivation and reactivation-related hepatitis.

No prospective study on the efficacy of tenofovir alafenamide (TAF), a novel tenofovir prodrug, in preventing hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation has yet been reported. This multicenter prospective study enrolled HBV-carriers who received TAF to prevent HBV reactivation before antitumor or immunosuppressive therapy, and patients with resolved HBV infection who experienced HBV-reactivation and received TAF to prevent HBV reactivation-related hepatitis. The efficacy of prophylactic TAF in preventing HBV reactivation and HBV reactivation-related hepatitis was evaluated at 6 and 12 months after initiating TAF. Overall, 110 patients were administered TAF to prevent HBV reactivation or HBV reactivation-related hepatitis. Three patients died owing to primary disease, whereas one patient was transferred to another hospital within 6 months after initiating TAF. Seven patients died due to primary disease, and five patients were transferred to another hospital within 12 months after initiating TAF. Therefore, 106 and 94 (77 patients with HBV infection, 17 with previous-HBV infection) patients were evaluated at 6 and 12 months after initiating TAF, respectively. No patient experienced HBV reactivation, HBV reactivation-related hepatitis, or treatment discontinuation due to HBV reactivation or adverse events of TAF after 6 and 12 months. TAF could effectively prevent HBV reactivation and HBV reactivation-related hepatitis.

Serum IL-1ß predicts de novo hepatitis B virus reactivation during direct-acting antiviral therapy for hepatitis C, not during anti-cancer/immunosuppressive therapy.

De novo hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation occurs during direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients with resolved HBV infection. We evaluated the predictive factors, mechanical insight, and differences of cytokine levels during anti-cancer/immunosuppressive and DAA. Eleven, 35, and 19 HCV-infected patients with previous HBV infection with HBV reactivation during DAA treatment, previous HBV infection without HBV reactivation during DAA treatment, and without HBV infection resolution receiving DAA treatment, respectively, were enrolled. Clinical data and baseline cytokine levels were analyzed. Low baseline serum interleukin (IL)-1ß levels predicted de novo HBV reactivation during DAA treatment (odds ratio: 47.6, 95% confidence interval: 6.94-333.3). HCV-infected patients with the IL-1ß gene single nucleotide polymorphism rs16944 AA allele had significantly higher IL-1ß levels; no HCV-infected patient with the IL-1ß AA allele experienced HBV reactivation during DAA treatment. Compared to HCV-infected patients with HBV infection resolution, non-HCV infected patients with or without HBV reactivation during anti-cancer/immunosuppressive therapy or bone marrow transplantation had remarkably lower baseline IL-1ß levels. Low IL-1ß levels were not associated with HBV reactivation. IL-1ß levels before DAA for HCV-infected patients with resolved HBV infection could predict HBV reactivation during DAA treatment.

Pre-sarcopenia and Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer as predictors of recurrence and prognosis of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi), a fibrosis marker in various liver diseases, is reportedly a prognostic marker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent hepatectomy. AIM: To evaluate whether the M2BPGi value, M2BP, and pre-sarcopenia before radiofrequency ablation (RFA) could be useful recurrence and prognostic markers in patients with early-stage HCC. METHODS: In total, 160 patients with early-stage primary HCC treated with RFA were separately analyzed as hepatitis C virus (HCV)-positive and HCV-negative. Factors contributing to recurrence and liver-related death, including M2BP, M2BPGi, and skeletal muscle mass index, were statistically analyzed. Eighty-three patients were HCV-positive and 77 were HCV-negative. RESULTS: In HCV-positive patients, only des-γ-carboxy-prothrombin ≥ 23 mAU/mL was a significant poor prognostic factor affecting survival after RFA. In HCV-negative patients, M2BPGi ≥ 1.86 cutoff index was significantly associated with tumor recurrence, while M2BP was not. M2BPGi ≥ 1.86 cutoff index (hazard ratio, 4.89; 95% confidence interval: 1.97-12.18; P < 0.001) and pre-sarcopenia (hazard ratio, 3.34, 95% confidence interval: 1.19-9.37; P = 0.022) were independent significant poor prognostic factors in HCV-negative patients. CONCLUSION: In HCV-negative patients with primary HCC treated with RFA, lower M2BPGi contributed to a lower tumor recurrence rate and longer survival period. Pre-sarcopenia contributed to the poor prognosis independently in HCV-negative patients. These factors might be useful recurrence and prognostic markers for early-stage primary HCC.

Incidence of post-transplant hepatitis B virus reactivation with the use of kidneys from donors with resolved hepatitis B virus infection.

Donors with resolved hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection may be a solution for the organ shortage for kidney transplantation (KT). The purpose of this study was to clarify the current state of HBV markers after KT from donors with resolved HBV infection to HBV naïve recipients and the rate of HBV reactivation in recipients with resolved HBV infection. Furthermore, we investigated HBV covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) in transplanted organs from donors with resolved HBV infection and the capability of HBV replication in kidney cell lines. We retrospectively analysed the HBV status of 340 consecutive donors and recipients who underwent KT in a single centre. We prospectively measured cccDNA by real-time polymerase chain reaction in kidney biopsy specimens of 32 donors with resolved HBV infection. HBV reactivation was found in three recipients with resolved HBV infection (4.8%, 3/63) after KT. We analysed 45 cases of transplantation from donors with resolved HBV infection to HBV-naive recipients. One case (2.2%, 1/45) became seropositive for hepatitis B core antibody (anti-HBc) and in another case (2.2%, 1/45), HBV-DNA was detected qualitatively in an HBV naive recipient with a donor with resolved HBV infection. In the latter case, cccDNA was measured in the donor kidney during KT. HBV replication was observed in kidney cell lines with HBV plasmid transfection. In conclusion, the risk of reactivation in anti-HBc-positive donors is relatively low. However, post-transplant HBV monitoring should be conducted in all at-risk cases.

Efficacy and Effect on Liver Functional Reserve of Atezolizumab and Bevacizumab for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients Who Do Not Meet Eligibility Criteria of IMbrave150.

The IMbrave150 trial demonstrated the high efficacy and safety of atezolizumab and bevacizumab for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this multicenter study, the efficacy of this combination and its effect on liver functional reserve were evaluated in patients not meeting the eligibility criteria of IMbrave150. Of 115 patients with unresectable HCC treated with atezolizumab and bevacizumab between October 2020 and January 2022, 72 did not meet the eligibility criteria of IMbrave150, most frequently due to a history of systemic therapy (60/72), platelet counts < 75 × 109/L (7/72), Child-Pugh B (9/72), and 2+ proteinuria (8/72). Atezolizumab and bevacizumab therapy was equally effective for patients who did or did not meet the eligibility criteria (PFS, 6.5 vs. 6.9 months, p = 0.765), consistent with subgroup analyses of histories of systemic therapy, platelet counts, Child-Pugh, and proteinuria. Baseline ALBI scores were worse in patients who did not meet the criteria than in those who did and significantly worsened after treatment initiation in patients not meeting the criteria (baseline vs. 12 weeks; 2.35 ± 0.43 vs. −2.18 ± 0.54; p = 0.007). Accordingly, atezolizumab plus bevacizumab was effective for patients not meeting the eligibility criteria of IMbrave150, although careful monitoring for changes in liver functional reserve is needed.

Efficacy of rifaximin against covert hepatic encephalopathy and hyperammonemia in Japanese patients.

Covert hepatic encephalopathy (CHE) impairs patient quality of life and occurs in approximately 30% of liver cirrhosis (LC) cases. Japanese clinical practice guidelines recommend rifaximin to treat overt HE (OHE). However, the usefulness of rifaximin against CHE is not thoroughly investigated in Japanese patients. We aimed to investigate the efficacy of rifaximin against hyperammonemia and CHE in Japan. We observed 102 patients with HE showing hyperammonemia secondary to LC and examined various biochemical and behavioral parameters following rifaximin treatment. CHE was diagnosed when the patients exhibited two or more abnormal neuropsychological test (NPT) scores but did not indicate OHE symptoms. In the 102 cases, a significant therapeutic effect of rifaximin on hyperammonemia was observed from 2 to 48 weeks after starting treatment. Excluding 10 patients diagnosed with OHE upon starting rifaximin treatment, 12 of the 92 remaining patients (11.8%) transitioned to OHE within 1 year. The 1 year cumulative OHE transition rate was 14.5%. Among the 24 patients with CHE diagnosed by the NPT for whom NPT results could be evaluated at 4 and 12 weeks after starting treatment, 10 (41.6%) had recovered from CHE at 12 weeks. When the factors contributing to recovery from CHE were examined by multivariate analysis, an ammonia level <129 µg/dL was a significant factor. Rifaximin was thus significantly effective against both hyperammonemia and CHE in Japanese patients.

Effects of nucleos(t)ide analogs on hepatitis B surface antigen reduction with interferon-lambda 3 induction in chronic hepatitis B patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Benefits of nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) on hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) reduction and interferon-lambda3 (IFN-λ3) induction are still not known. This study aimed to investigate the effects of NAs on HBsAg reduction and association with serum IFN-λ3 levels in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. METHODS: A total of 91 patients [51 treated with nucleoside analog entecavir hydrate (ETV) and 40 treated with nucleotide analog adefovir dipivoxil (ADV) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)] with clinically evident CHB (chronic hepatitis, 57; liver cirrhosis, 34) were enrolled in this study. Serum IFN-λ3 levels among patients receiving ETV and ADV/TDF were measured before the initiation of therapy and 1, 3, and 5 years post-therapy. RESULTS: The change (mean ± standard deviation) in serum HBsAg levels from baseline to year five was -0.38 ± 0.46 and -0.84 ± 0.64 log10 IU/ml in ETV and ADV/TDF groups, respectively (p = 0.0004). Higher serum IFN-λ3 levels were observed in ADV/TDF group compared with ETV group during treatment (p < 0.001). Serum IFN-λ3 levels showed negative correlation with HBsAg reduction in ADV/TDF group (r = -0.386, p = 0.038) at week 48. Nucleotide analogs (ADV/TDF) treatment has associated factors with -0.3 log HBsAg decline at 1 year, -0.5 log HBsAg decline at 3 years, and -0.8 log HBsAg decline at 5 years after NAs treatment on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Nucleotide analog (ADV/TDF) treatment reduced HBsAg levels greater compared with nucleoside analog (ETV) in parallel with IFN-λ3 induction.

Overestimated renal function in patients with liver cirrhosis predicts poor prognosis.

AIM: A high prevalence of overestimated renal function in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) has been reported; nonetheless, its impact on prognosis remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the impact of overestimated renal function on prognosis in patients with LC. METHODS: An overestimated renal function was defined as a >20% increase in the creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), compared with cystatin C-based eGFR. LC patients with conserved serum, who were evaluated for muscle atrophy and had proper clinical information were included, and their prognostic factors were analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 215 consecutive patients with LC were included. The prevalence of overestimated renal function was 29.8% (64/215). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that patients with overestimated renal function had a poorer prognosis than those without overestimated renal function (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.217 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.290-3.810; p = 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that overestimated renal function was a significant prognostic factor, irrespective of sex and the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that overestimated renal function was a significant and independent factor predictive of poor prognosis in the entire cohort (HR: 2.050; 95% CI: 1.041-4.037; p = 0.038) and in subgroups classified by Child-Pugh class A (HR: 2.131; 95% CI: 1.019-4.458; p = 0.044), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score ≤9 (HR: 2.303; 95% CI: 1.038-5.109; p = 0.04), and presence of HCC (HR: 2.290; 95% CI: 1.128-4.651; p = 0.022). CONCLUSION: Overestimated renal function is a significant and independent prognostic factor in patients with LC.

Changes in Serum Growth Factors during Lenvatinib Predict the Post Progressive Survival in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Serum growth factor changes and their effect on prognosis during lenvatinib for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain underexplored. The sequential changes in serum growth factors during lenvatinib for unresectable HCC were evaluated in 58 patients using complete clinical data, and preserved serum was used to investigate changes in FGF-19, ANG-2, HGF, VEGF, and EGF. Patients with a complete response (CR), partial response (PR), and stable disease (SD) were evaluated for growth factor changes between the best response and progressive disease (PD) points, classified based on these changes, and evaluated by post progression survival (PPS). A total of 8, 24, 18, and 8 patients showed CR, PR, SD, and PD, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, relative dose intensity, and baseline ANG-2 were significantly associated with treatment response. Growth factor changes between the best response and PD points revealed that patients could be classified into four groups based on the EGF, ANG-2, and HGF changes. Although patient characteristics at baseline and PD, their response to lenvatinib, and PFS were similar among those groups, patients with an increase in all growth factors had significantly shorter PPS (median PPS was 553, 323, and 316 versus 173 days in groups 1-4 p = 0.032). We revealed that the evaluation of the changes in growth factors during lenvatinib could predict PPS.

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma using age and liver stiffness on transient elastography after hepatitis C virus eradication.

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a useful tool for assessing advanced liver fibrosis, an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatitis C (HCV) eradication. This study aimed to clarify the non-invasive factors associated with HCC following sustained virological response (SVR) and to identify the low-risk group. 567 patients without history of HCC who achieved SVR at 24 weeks (SVR24) after IFN-free treatment were retrospectively analyzed. The cumulative incidence of HCC and the risk factors were examined using pre-treatment and SVR24 data. The median observation period was 50.2 months. Thirty cases of HCC were observed, and the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 5.9%. In multivariate analysis, significant pre-treatment factors were age ≥ 71 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.402) and LSM ≥ 9.2 kPa (HR: 6.328); SVR24 factors were age ≥ 71 years (HR: 2.689) and LSM ≥ 8.4 kPa (HR: 6.642). In cases with age < 71 years and LSM < 8.4 kPa at the time of SVR24, the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was as low as 1.1%. Both pre-treatment LSM (≥ 9.2 kPa) and SVR24 LSM (≥ 8.4 kPa) and age (≥ 71 years) are useful in predicting the risk of HCC after SVR with IFN-free treatment. Identification of low-risk individuals may improve the efficiency of follow-up.

Frequency and Characteristics of Overestimated Renal Function in Japanese Patients with Chronic Liver Disease and Its Relation to Sarcopenia.

Renal dysfunction and sarcopenia are important prognostic factors in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). Muscle atrophy can cause the overestimation of renal function based on serum creatinine. However, the frequency of overestimated renal function in Japanese patients with CLD and its relationship with sarcopenia are unclear. In present study, we evaluated the frequency of overestimated renal function, defined as a >20% higher eGFR using creatinine than using cystatin C, in 307 patients with CLD as well as its relationship with indicators of sarcopenia. In total, 24.8% of patients had overestimated renal function. In a multivariate regression analysis, liver cirrhosis (p = 0.004) and psoas muscle mass index (p = 0.049) were significantly associated with overestimated renal function. Loss of skeletal muscle mass was significantly more frequent in both male and female patients with overestimated renal function than without. In males, the loss of muscle strength and rate of sarcopenia, defined as loss of muscle mass and strength, were significantly higher in patients with than without overestimated renal function. The high frequency of overestimated renal function in Japanese patients suggests that indicators of renal function should be carefully considered; furthermore, monitoring and interventions for both renal function and sarcopenia are needed in patients with CLD.

Possible correlation between increased serum free carnitine levels and increased skeletal muscle mass following HCV eradication by direct acting antivirals.

We aimed to evaluate factors associated with changes in skeletal muscle mass in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients after treatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). Consecutive HCV-infected patients after treatment with DAA were recruited into the study. Patients who achieved sustained virological response (SVR); and had complete clinical information, preserved serum samples at baseline and SVR48, and skeletal muscle mass evaluations based on the psoas muscle mass index (PMI) on computed tomography at baseline and ≥ 12 months were included. Altogether, 70.7% of patients (41/58) showed increased PMI after DAA therapy, and mean relative PMI was significantly higher after DAA therapy than at baseline. There were no significant associations between baseline clinical factors routinely examined in clinical practice and increased PMI. Among factors reported to be associated with skeletal muscle loss in patients with chronic liver disease, serum zinc levels and total and free carnitine levels increased significantly after DAA therapy and only changes in serum free carnitine levels were significantly associated with an increased PMI (r = 0305, P = 0.020). In conclusion, increased skeletal muscle mass after successful HCV eradication by DAAs was significantly associated with increased serum-free carnitine levels. L-carnitine supplementation may be beneficial in patients with low skeletal muscle mass after DAA.